Computer-aided prognosis of tuberculous meningitis combining imaging and non-imaging data.

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is the most lethal form of tuberculosis. Clinical features, such as coma, can predict death, but they are insufficient for the accurate prognosis of other outcomes, especially when impacted by co-morbidities such as HIV infection. Brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) characterises the extent and severity of disease and may enable more accurate prediction of complications and poor outcomes. We analysed clinical and brain MRI data from a prospective longitudinal study of 216 adults with TBM; 73 (34%) were HIV-positive, a factor highly correlated with mortality. We implemented an end-to-end framework to model clinical and imaging features to predict disease progression. Our model used state-of-the-art machine learning models for automatic imaging feature encoding, and time-series models for forecasting, to predict TBM progression. The proposed approach is designed to be robust to missing data via a novel tailored model optimisation framework. Our model achieved a 60% balanced accuracy in predicting the prognosis of TBM patients over the six different classes. HIV status did not alter the performance of the models. Furthermore, our approach identified brain morphological lesions caused by TBM in both HIV and non-HIV-infected, associating lesions to the disease staging with an overall accuracy of 96%. These results suggest that the lesions caused by TBM are analogous in both populations, regardless of the severity of the disease. Lastly, our models correctly identified changes in disease symptomatology and severity in 80% of the cases. Our approach is the first attempt at predicting the prognosis of TBM by combining imaging and clinical data, via a machine learning model. The approach has the potential to accurately predict disease progression and enable timely clinical intervention.

Glioblastoma and radiotherapy: A multicenter AI study for Survival Predictions from MRI (GRASP study).

BACKGROUND: The aim was to predict survival of glioblastoma at 8 months after radiotherapy (a period allowing for completing a typical course of adjuvant temozolomide), by applying deep learning to the first brain MRI after radiotherapy completion. METHODS: Retrospective and prospective data were collected from 206 consecutive glioblastoma, isocitrate dehydrogenase -wildtype patients diagnosed between March 2014 and February 2022 across 11 UK centers. Models were trained on 158 retrospective patients from 3 centers. Holdout test sets were retrospective (n = 19; internal validation), and prospective (n = 29; external validation from 8 distinct centers). Neural network branches for T2-weighted and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted inputs were concatenated to predict survival. A nonimaging branch (demographics/MGMT/treatment data) was also combined with the imaging model. We investigated the influence of individual MR sequences; nonimaging features; and weighted dense blocks pretrained for abnormality detection. RESULTS: The imaging model outperformed the nonimaging model in all test sets (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, AUC P = .038) and performed similarly to a combined imaging/nonimaging model (P > .05). Imaging, nonimaging, and combined models applied to amalgamated test sets gave AUCs of 0.93, 0.79, and 0.91. Initializing the imaging model with pretrained weights from 10 000s of brain MRIs improved performance considerably (amalgamated test sets without pretraining 0.64; P = .003). CONCLUSIONS: A deep learning model using MRI images after radiotherapy reliably and accurately determined survival of glioblastoma. The model serves as a prognostic biomarker identifying patients who will not survive beyond a typical course of adjuvant temozolomide, thereby stratifying patients into those who might require early second-line or clinical trial treatment.

Operationalizing the centiloid scale for [18F]florbetapir PET studies on PET/MRI.

INTRODUCTION: The Centiloid scale aims to harmonize amyloid beta (Aß) positron emission tomography (PET) measures across different analysis methods. As Centiloids were created using PET/computerized tomography (CT) data and are influenced by scanner differences, we investigated the Centiloid transformation with data from Insight 46 acquired with PET/magnetic resonanceimaging (MRI). METHODS: We transformed standardized uptake value ratios (SUVRs) from 432 florbetapir PET/MRI scans processed using whole cerebellum (WC) and white matter (WM) references, with and without partial volume correction. Gaussian-mixture-modelling-derived cutpoints for Aß PET positivity were converted. RESULTS: The Centiloid cutpoint was 14.2 for WC SUVRs. The relationship between WM and WC uptake differed between the calibration and testing datasets, producing implausibly low WM-based Centiloids. Linear adjustment produced a WM-based cutpoint of 18.1. DISCUSSION: Transformation of PET/MRI florbetapir data to Centiloids is valid. However, further understanding of the effects of acquisition or biological factors on the transformation using a WM reference is needed. HIGHLIGHTS: Centiloid conversion of amyloid beta positron emission tomography (PET) data aims to standardize results.Centiloid values can be influenced by differences in acquisition.We converted florbetapir PET/magnetic resonance imaging data from a large birth cohort.Whole cerebellum referenced values could be reliably transformed to Centiloids.White matter referenced values may be less generalizable between datasets.

Incidental findings on brain imaging and blood tests: results from the first phase of Insight 46, a prospective observational substudy of the 1946 British birth cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To summarise the incidental findings detected on brain imaging and blood tests during the first wave of data collection for the Insight 46 study. DESIGN: Prospective observational sub-study of a birth cohort. SETTING: Single-day assessment at a research centre in London, UK. PARTICIPANTS: 502 individuals were recruited from the MRC National Survey of Health and Development (NSHD), the 1946 British birth cohort, based on pre-specified eligibility criteria; mean age was 70.7 (SD: 0.7) and 49% were female. OUTCOME MEASURES: Data regarding the number and types of incidental findings were summarised as counts and percentages, and 95% confidence intervals were calculated. RESULTS: 93.8% of participants completed a brain scan (n=471); 4.5% of scanned participants had a pre-defined reportable abnormality on brain MRI (n=21); suspected vascular malformations and suspected intracranial mass lesions were present in 1.9% (n=9) and 1.5% (n=7) respectively; suspected cerebral aneurysms were the single most common vascular abnormality, affecting 1.1% of participants (n=5), and suspected meningiomas were the most common intracranial lesion, affecting 0.6% of participants (n=3); 34.6% of participants had at least one abnormality on clinical blood tests (n=169), but few reached the prespecified threshold for urgent action (n=11). CONCLUSIONS: In older adults, aged 69-71 years, potentially serious brain MRI findings were detected in around 5% of participants, and clinical blood test abnormalities were present in around one third of participants. Knowledge of the expected prevalence of incidental findings in the general population at this age is useful in both research and clinical settings.

Study protocol: Insight 46 - a neuroscience sub-study of the MRC National Survey of Health and Development.

BACKGROUND: Increasing age is the biggest risk factor for dementia, of which Alzheimer's disease is the commonest cause. The pathological changes underpinning Alzheimer's disease are thought to develop at least a decade prior to the onset of symptoms. Molecular positron emission tomography and multi-modal magnetic resonance imaging allow key pathological processes underpinning cognitive impairment - including ß-amyloid depostion, vascular disease, network breakdown and atrophy - to be assessed repeatedly and non-invasively. This enables potential determinants of dementia to be delineated earlier, and therefore opens a pre-symptomatic window where intervention may prevent the onset of cognitive symptoms. METHODS/DESIGN: This paper outlines the clinical, cognitive and imaging protocol of "Insight 46", a neuroscience sub-study of the MRC National Survey of Health and Development. This is one of the oldest British birth cohort studies and has followed 5362 individuals since their birth in England, Scotland and Wales during one week in March 1946. These individuals have been tracked in 24 waves of data collection incorporating a wide range of health and functional measures, including repeat measures of cognitive function. Now aged 71 years, a small fraction have overt dementia, but estimates suggest that ~1/3 of individuals in this age group may be in the preclinical stages of Alzheimer's disease. Insight 46 is recruiting 500 study members selected at random from those who attended a clinical visit at 60-64 years and on whom relevant lifecourse data are available. We describe the sub-study design and protocol which involves a prospective two time-point (0, 24 month) data collection covering clinical, neuropsychological, ß-amyloid positron emission tomography and magnetic resonance imaging, biomarker and genetic information. Data collection started in 2015 (age 69) and aims to be completed in 2019 (age 73). DISCUSSION: Through the integration of data on the socioeconomic environment and on physical, psychological and cognitive function from 0 to 69 years, coupled with genetics, structural and molecular imaging, and intensive cognitive and neurological phenotyping, Insight 46 aims to identify lifetime factors which influence brain health and cognitive ageing, with particular focus on Alzheimer's disease and cerebrovascular disease. This will provide an evidence base for the rational design of disease-modifying trials.