Evaluating the performance of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) in fracture risk prediction and developing a new Charlson Fracture Index (CFI): a register-based cohort study.

The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) may be applicable for predicting fracture risk since several diagnoses from the index are predictors of fracture. Main results were that the CCI was updated to predict risk of hip fracture with fair precision and that the index could be useful in detecting high-risk individuals. PURPOSE: Several of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) diagnoses are validated predictors of fracture. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the performance of the CCI 1987 by Charlson et al. and of the CCI 2011 by Quan et al. in predicting major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture (HF). Furthermore, it was examined whether the index could be modified to improve fracture risk prediction. METHODS: The study population included the entire Danish population aged 45 + years as per January 1, 2018. The cohort was split randomly 50/50 into a development and a validation cohort. CCI diagnoses and fracture outcomes were identified from hospital diagnoses. The weighting of diagnoses was updated in a new Charlson Fracture Index (CFI) using multivariable logistic regression. Predictive capabilities of the CCI 1987, the updated CCI 2011 and the new Charlson Fracture index were evaluated in the validation cohort by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: In the validation cohort, the 1987 and 2011 CCIs resulted in AUCs below or around 0.7 in prediction of MOF and HF in both sexes. The CFI resulted in AUCs < 0.7 in prediction of MOF in both sexes. In prediction of HF, the CFI resulted in AUC of 0.755 (95% CI 0.749; 0.761) in women and 0.782 (95% CI 0.772; 0.793) in men. CONCLUSION: The 1987 and 2011 CCIs showed overall poor accuracy in fracture risk prediction. The CFI showed fair accuracy in prediction of HF in women and in men.

Maternal rheumatoid arthritis during pregnancy and neurodevelopmental disorders in offspring: a systematic review.

Objective: To summarize the available literature on in utero exposure to maternal rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and its influence on the risk of neurodevelopmental disorders (NDDs) in offspring.Method: We conducted a systematic literature review and assessed the internal validity of studies with the Newcastle Ottawa Scale tool.Results: Six studies were included. Three reported on autism spectrum disorders; one cohort study indicated a slightly elevated risk, and two case-control studies reported too few cases for risk assessment. Two large cohort studies reported elevated hazard ratios for epilepsy in offspring, in overlapping populations. One study on attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) reported higher odds for maternal RA during pregnancy, among children with ADHD.Conclusion:Few studies were found specifically studying maternal RA during pregnancy and NDDs in offspring. The studies pointed towards a moderately higher risk of these outcomes; however, reporting bias appears to be a problem. Additional studies of appropriate design and power are needed.

General medical conditions and mortality in women with postpartum psychiatric disorders.

BACKGROUND: Psychiatric patients have an increased risk of general medical conditions and mortality, but no study has systematically explored these outcomes among women with mental disorders following childbirth (postpartum psychiatric disorders: PPD). Therefore, we aimed to investigate the risk of subsequent general medical conditions and mortality in women with a broad spectrum of PPD. METHODS: This register-based cohort study followed all Danish women born after January 1, 1960, until January 1, 2016. The exposure of interest was (i) mild-moderate PPD: first-ever prescription of psychotropic medication (ATC codes: N03-N07) and (ii) severe PPD: first-ever in- or out-patient contact to a psychiatric facility, both within six months postpartum. Outcomes of interest were (i) hospital-registered chronic medical conditions and (ii) mortality from natural and unnatural causes. We included 1 841 949 women representing 22 615 310 person-years at risk. RESULTS: Among 15 852 women with mild-moderate PPD and 4266 women with severe PPD, we found a higher risk of any subsequent general medical condition (mild-moderate PPD: IRR 1.25; 95% CI 1.20-1.31 and severe PPD: IRR 1.35; 95% CI: 1.24-1.48) when compared to the female background population. Mortality from both natural and unnatural causes was higher in both groups: Mild-moderate PPD: natural causes MRR 1.37; 95% CI: 1.17-1.61; unnatural causes MRR 1.52; 95% CI: 1.10-2.11, and severe PPD: natural causes MRR 1.42; 95% CI 1.02-2.00, and unnatural causes MRR 5.05; 95% CI: 3.40-7.51. CONCLUSIONS: This first overview of general medical prognosis in PPD shows that women at either end of the spectrum are at increased risk of subsequent chronic medical conditions and overall mortality.

Reproductive life in women with celiac disease; a nationwide, population-based matched cohort study.

STUDY QUESTION: How does celiac disease (CD) influence women's reproductive life, both prior to and after the diagnosis? SUMMARY ANSWER: Prior to the diagnosis of CD, an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes was seen, whereas after the diagnosis, no influence on reproductive outcomes was found. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: CD has been associated with several conditions influencing female reproduction and pregnancy outcomes including spontaneous abortion and stillbirth. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A nationwide matched cohort study following 6319 women diagnosed with CD and 63166 comparison women and identifying reproductive events between the ages of 15 and 50 years. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Through linkage of several Danish national health registers, we identified all women diagnosed with CD between 1977 and 2016. We identified an age- and sex-matched comparison cohort and obtained data on reproductive outcomes for both cohorts. Adjusted stratified Cox and logistic regression models were used to estimate differences in reproductive outcomes between women with and without CD. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Comparing women with diagnosed CD with the non-CD women, the chance of pregnancy, live birth and risk of stillbirth, molar and ectopic pregnancy, spontaneous abortion and abortion due to foetal disease was the same. However, prior to being diagnosed, CD women had an excess risk of spontaneous abortion equal to 11 extra spontaneous abortions per 1000 pregnancies (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.22) and 1.62 extra stillbirths per 1000 pregnancies (adjusted OR = 1.57, 95% CI: 1.05, 2.33) compared with the non-CD women. In the period 0-2 years prior to diagnosis fewer pregnancies occurred in the undiagnosed CD group, equal to 25 (95% CI: 20-31) fewer pregnancies per 1000 pregnancies compared to the non-CD group and in addition, fewer undiagnosed CD women initiated ART-treatment in this period, corresponding to 4.8 (95% CI: 0.9, 8.7) fewer per 1000 women compared to non-CD women. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Validity of the diagnoses in the registers was not confirmed, but reporting to the registers is mandatory for all hospitals in Denmark. Not all spontaneous abortions will come to attention and be registered, whereas live- and stillbirths, ectopic and molar pregnancies and abortion due to foetal disease are unlikely not to be registered. We adjusted for several confounding factors but residual confounding cannot be ruled out. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: These findings suggest that undiagnosed CD can affect female reproduction and the focus should be on early detection of CD in risk groups. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was funded by the Health Research Fund of Central Denmark Region and The Hede Nielsens Foundation, Denmark. The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.

Birth by cesarean section in relation to adult offspring overweight and biomarkers of cardiometabolic risk.

BACKGROUND: Birth by Cesarean section (C-section) may increase the risk for non-communicable diseases. We aimed to examine the relation of birth by C-section with offspring overweight and markers of cardiometabolic risk in a prospective observational cohort with 20 years of follow-up. METHODS: The Danish Fetal Origins Cohort enrolled 965 pregnant women in 1988-1989. In 2008, a follow-up study of the offspring was completed. The offspring were invited to participate in a clinical examination with measurements of anthropometry and a fasting blood sample (n=443). In addition, 252 offspring completed a self-administered questionnaire with questions on height and weight, leaving us with a study sample of 695 offspring. Offspring overweight at 20 years was defined as body mass index (BMI)⩾25 kg m-2. We also analyzed blood pressure and fasting blood samples for cardiometabolic risk factors including insulin, leptin and adiponectin, and lipid concentrations. RESULTS: In the cohort, 7% were born by C-section, and at age 20 years, 18% of the offspring had a BMI ⩾25 kg m-2. Birth by C-section was associated with increased odds of overweight or obesity at 20 years (Odds ratio=2.17 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10, 4.27)) after adjustment for potential confounders. Birth by C-section was also associated with higher serum concentrations of total cholesterol (8.5%, 95% CI: 1.1-16.5), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (12.6%, 95% CI: 1.0, 25.5), leptin (73.1%, 95% CI: 5.9, 183.1) and Apolipoprotein B (0.08 g l-1, 95% CI: 0.04, 0.15). In contrast, birth by C-section was not related to blood pressure or serum concentrations of insulin, adiponectin, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein or Apolipoprotein A. CONCLUSION: Birth by C-section was associated with higher frequency of dysmetabolic traits in offspring independently of shared risk factors. Further research aimed at replicating these findings and elucidating the underlying biological mechanisms of this relation is needed.

Prenatal antidepressant exposure and child behavioural outcomes at 7 years of age: a study within the Danish National Birth Cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of prenatal antidepressant exposure on behavioural problems in children at 7 years of age. DESIGN: Nationwide population-based study. SETTING: Danish National Birth Cohort. POPULATION: A cohort of 49 178 pregnant women recruited between 1996 and 2002. METHODS: Data obtained from computer-assisted telephone interviews twice during pregnancy were used to identify children born to: (i) depressed women who took antidepressants during pregnancy (n = 210); (ii) depressed women who did not take any antidepressants during pregnancy (n = 231); and (iii) healthy women who were not depressed (n = 48 737). Childhood behavioural problems at 7 years of age were examined using the validated Danish parent-report version of the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: SDQ scores. RESULTS: No associations were observed between prenatal antidepressant exposure and abnormal SDQ scores for overall problem behaviour (adjusted relative risk, aRR 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 95% CI 0.49-2.05), hyperactivity/inattention (aRR 0.99; 95% CI 0.56-1.75), or peer problems (aRR 1.04; 95% CI 0.57-1.91). Although prenatal antidepressant exposure appeared to be associated with abnormal SDQ scores on the subscales of emotional symptoms (aRR 1.68; 95% CI 1.18-2.38) and conduct problems (aRR 1.58; 95% CI 1.03-2.42), these associations were significantly attenuated following adjustment for antenatal mood status (aRR 1.20; 95% CI 0.85-1.70 and aRR 1.19; 95% CI 0.77 1.83, respectively). Untreated prenatal depression was associated with an increased risk of all behavioural outcomes evaluated, compared with unexposed children, with significant attenuation following adjustment for antenatal mood status. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that independent of maternal illness, prenatal antidepressant exposure is not associated with an increased risk of behavioural problems in children at 7 years of age. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Prenatal antidepressant exposure is not associated with an increased risk of child behavioural problems.

Prenatal exposure to persistent organic pollutants and offspring allergic sensitization and lung function at 20 years of age.

BACKGROUND: Prenatal exposures to persistent organic pollutants (POPs) have been associated with asthma medication use and self-reported symptoms, but associations with lung function and allergic sensitization have been minimally explored. The aim of the study was to examine the associations between prenatal exposures to POPs and allergic sensitization and lung function in 20-year-old offspring. METHODS: In a Danish cohort of 965 pregnant women established in 1988-1989, six polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) congeners, hexachlorobenzene (HCB), and dichlorodiphenyldichloroethylene (p,p'-DDE) were quantified in archived maternal serum drawn in gestational week 30 (n = 872). Among those with available maternal exposure information, at age 20, 421 offspring attended attended a clinical examination including measurements of allergic sensitization (serum-specific IgE ≥ 0.35 kUA /L) (n = 418) and lung function [forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1 ) and forced vital capacity (FVC)] (n = 414). RESULTS: There were no associations between maternal concentrations of POPs and offspring allergic sensitization at 20 years of age. Maternal concentrations of POPs were, however, positively associated with offspring airway obstruction (FEV1 /FVC < 75%). Compared to offspring in the first tertile of exposure, offspring in the third tertile of dioxin-like PCB exposure had an OR of 2.96 (95% CI: 1.14-7.70). Similar associations for non-dioxin-like PCBs, HCB, and p,p'-DDE were 2.68 (1.06-6.81), 2.63 (1.07, 6.46), and 2.87 (1.09, 7.57), respectively. No associations were observed with reduced lung function (FEV1 % of predicted value < 90%). CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Our data indicate that prenatal exposure to POPs appears to be associated with airway obstruction but not allergic sensitization at 20 years of age. The findings support that chronic obstructive lung diseases may have at least part of their origins in early life.

First trimester coffee and tea intake and risk of gestational diabetes mellitus: a study within a national birth cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Coffee and tea consumption is associated with a decreased type 2 diabetes risk in non-pregnant adults. We examined the relation between first trimester coffee and tea consumption and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) risk. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Denmark 1996-2002. POPULATION: Non-diabetic women with singleton pregnancies in the Danish National Birth Cohort (n = 71,239). METHODS: Estimated adjusted relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) for the association between first trimester coffee and tea or estimated total caffeine and GDM. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: GDM ascertained from the National Hospital Discharge Register or maternal interview. RESULTS: Coffee or tea intake was reported in 81.2% (n = 57,882) and 1.3% (n = 912) of pregnancies were complicated by GDM. Among non-consumers, 1.5% of pregnancies were complicated by GDM. Among coffee drinkers, GDM was highest among women who drank ≥8 cups/day (1.8%) with no significant difference across intake levels (P = 0.10). Among tea drinkers, there was no difference in GDM across intake levels (1.2%; P = 0.98). After adjustment for age, socio-occupational status, parity, pre-pregnancy body mass index, smoking, and cola, there was suggestion of a protective, but non-significant association with increasing coffee (RR ≥8 versus 0 cups/day = 0.89 [95%CI 0.64-1.25]) and tea (RR ≥8 versus 0 cups/day = 0.77 [95%CI 0.55-1.08]). Results were similar by smoking status, except a non-significant 1.45-fold increased risk with ≥8 coffee cups/day for non-smokers. There was a non-significant reduced GDM risk with increasing total caffeine. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that moderate first trimester coffee and tea intake were not associated with GDM increased risk and possibly may have a protective effect.

Gestational weight gain in normal weight women and offspring cardio-metabolic risk factors at 20 years of age.

OBJECTIVE: Limited knowledge exists on the long-term implications of maternal gestational weight gain (GWG) on offspring health. Our objective was to examine whether high GWG in normal weight women is associated with adult offspring cardio-metabolic risk factors. METHODS: We used a cohort of 308 Danish women who gave birth in 1988-89 and whose offspring participated in a clinical examination at 20 years of age. Main outcome measures were offspring body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, weight-regulating hormones, blood lipids and glucose metabolism. Associations were assessed using multivariable linear and logistic regression models. RESULTS: A weak positive association was observed between GWG during the first 30 weeks and offspring anthropometry. Each 1-kg increase in maternal GWG was associated with 0.1-kg m(-2) higher (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.01, 0.2) offspring BMI and 10% (95% CI: 0.1%, 20%) higher odds of offspring overweight at the age of 20 years, with similar associations observed in both sexes. However, sex differences were observed for the association between maternal GWG and specific cardio-metabolic risk factors. Hence, a 1-kg increase in GWG was associated with 3.4% (95% CI; 0.8, 6.0%) higher homeostasis model assessment-estimated insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), 3.7% (95% CI: 1.4%, 6.2%) higher insulin and 10.7% (95% CI: 5.7%, 15.9%) higher leptin levels in male offspring. These associations were not observed in females, which may partly be explained by more frequent reports of dieting and physical exercise at follow-up among female offspring. CONCLUSIONS: In normal-weight women, high GWG may have modest long-term implications on offspring cardio-metabolic risk factors at adult age.

Preschool behavioral problems in children prenatally exposed to antiepileptic drugs - a follow-up study.

We studied the association between maternal epilepsy, antiepileptic drug (AED) treatment, and behavioral problems in preschool children. In the Danish National Birth Cohort, we identified 4- to 5-year-old children whose mothers had epilepsy and received AED treatment (n=133) or not (n=304) during pregnancy and compared them with randomly selected children whose mothers did not have epilepsy (n=1193). The children's behavioral problems were assessed by the use of the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ). Children prenatally exposed to AEDs more often had an abnormal total SDQ score as compared with children of women without epilepsy (odds ratio (OR)=4.8 (95% CI: 1.9-12.1)) and as compared with children of women with epilepsy who were not treated with AEDs during their pregnancy (OR=4.0 (95% CI: 1.3-12.8)). In conclusion, prenatal AED exposure may increase the risk of behavioral problems in preschool children even after adjustments for potential confounders and maternal epilepsy.

Maternal bereavement in the antenatal period and oral cleft in the offspring.

STUDY QUESTION: Is maternal bereavement (emotional stress) due to loss of a close relative in the antenatal period associated with the risk of oral cleft in the offspring? SUMMARY ANSWER: Our study suggests prenatal maternal bereavement is associated with an increased risk of oral cleft in the offspring, especially when the bereavement was due to a sudden death or death of a child. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The aetiology of oral cleft is unknown but includes both genetic and environmental causes. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE AND DURATION: We performed a population-based cohort study based on several national registers in Denmark from 1978 to 2008. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Our final study population consisted of 1 771 663 children. Of these 35 118 (2%) were born to mothers who experienced bereavement in the exposure window from 1 year before pregnancy to the end of the first trimester. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: In total, 3043 children were diagnosed with a cleft; 968 with cleft lip, 1206 with cleft lip and palate and 869 with a cleft palate. For overall bereavement the prevalence was 1.7 per 1 000 live born in the unexposed children and 2.2 per 1 000 live born in the exposed children. Overall, maternal bereavement due to the death of a close relative from 1 year before conception to the end of the first trimester was associated with a significantly increased risk of oral cleft [odds ratio (OR): 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01; 1.61). When mothers lost a relative due to a sudden death, the risk of oral cleft in the offspring was higher (OR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.06; 2.94). Losing a relative in the time period before pregnancy and during the first trimester showed a tendency to an increased risk. The risk increase was 77% when the mother was bereaved due to sudden death and the estimation was robust in different analytical strategies. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: It is a limitation that we only studied live born children, but most children with isolated oral cleft would survive their pregnancy and birth. Since oral cleft are rare and despite the large study population, we still had a relatively small number of cases, which results in limited power to detect small differences. We did not have actual measurements of the maternal cortisol concentration, but we believe that bereavement due to death of a close relative produces a strong stress reaction in most people. Also we did not have the opportunity to adjust for intake of folic acid and use of anti-depressant; however, analysis in a subset of the data showed no difference in these intakes between exposed and unexposed mothers. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: With this study we add a large-scale human cohort study to the body of literature on stress and birth defects. Our study is in agreement with previously published results and can be generalized to similar populations like the native Danish population. Severe stress may be added to the list of potential causes for oral cleft.

Prenatal antidepressant exposure and behavioral problems in early childhood--a cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate a potential association between in utero exposure to antidepressants and behavioral problems in childhood. METHOD: Information on exposures was obtained from the Danish National Birth Cohort. We studied the children of 127 mothers who had used antidepressants during pregnancy and compared these to 98 children of mothers with a prenatal depression with no use of antidepressants during pregnancy and 723 children of mothers with no prenatal depression and no use of antidepressant during pregnancy (unexposed). Behavioral problems were assessed at 4 or 5 years of age by the parent-reported Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ). RESULTS: Prenatal antidepressant exposure was not associated with abnormal SDQ scores compared with prenatal exposure to untreated prenatal depression or to no exposure. Untreated prenatal depression was associated with abnormal SDQ scores in the subscales of conduct [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.3 (95% CI, 1.2-4.5)] and prosocial problems [aOR 3.0 (95% CI, 1.2-7.8)] compared with unexposed children. Total SDQ score was higher in children of mothers with untreated prenatal depression. These associations attenuated after adjusting for postnatal maternal psychiatric disease. CONCLUSION: Prenatal antidepressant exposure was not associated with behavioral or emotional problems in early childhood.

Prospective study evaluating performance of first-trimester combined screening for trisomy 21 using repeat sampling of maternal serum markers PAPP-A and free ß-hCG.

OBJECTIVE: To prospectively evaluate the performance of first-trimester combined screening for trisomy 21 using the biochemical markers pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (free ß-hCG) obtained before and at the time of the nuchal translucency (NT) scan. METHODS: Three fetal medicine departments in Denmark participated in the study. Screening for trisomy 21 was set up as a two-step approach with blood sampling performed before the NT scan (early sample) and again at the time of the NT scan (late sample). PAPP-A and free ß-hCG were measured on both the early and late samples. Age-standardized detection and false-positive rates for different screening protocols were calculated. RESULTS: We collected two blood samples in 27 pregnancies affected by trisomy 21 and in 3891 control pregnancies. The early samples were taken between gestational ages 8 + 0 and 13 + 6 weeks, and the late samples between 11 + 3 and 14 + 6 weeks. The median interval between the samples was 17 (range, 1-40) days. We found a significantly better estimated screening performance when using early sampling vs late sampling (P < 0.05). With a risk cut-off of 1 in 100, at the time of the risk assessment the estimated detection and false-positive rates when using the early sample were 91% (95% CI, 81-98%) and 1.6% (95% CI, 1.3-2.0%), respectively. For fixed false-positive rates the highest detection rates were achieved using both blood samples. When comparing early sampling vs double sampling there was no significant difference in screening performance. CONCLUSION: In combined first-trimester screening for trisomy 21, use of early sampling with measurement of PAPP-A and free ß-hCG before the time of the NT scan can optimize screening performance. Using maternal serum markers obtained both before and at the time of the NT scan has the potential to further improve performance, but larger studies are needed to confirm this potential.

Semen quality according to prenatal coffee and present caffeine exposure: two decades of follow-up of a pregnancy cohort.

BACKGROUND: A few studies have investigated the association between male caffeine consumption in adult life and semen quality with conflicting results, but so far no studies have explored the effect of prenatal coffee exposure. We studied the association between prenatal coffee and current caffeine exposure and semen quality and levels of reproductive hormones. METHODS: From a Danish pregnancy cohort established in 1984-1987, 347 sons out of 5109 were selected for a follow-up study conducted 2005-2006. Semen and blood samples were analyzed for conventional semen characteristics and reproductive hormones and were related to information on maternal coffee consumption during pregnancy and present caffeine consumption. Data were available for 343 men. RESULTS: There was a tendency toward decreasing crude median semen volume (P = 0.06) and adjusted mean testosterone (P = 0.06) and inhibin B (P = 0.09) concentrations with increasing maternal coffee consumption during pregnancy. Sons of mothers drinking 4-7 cups/day had lower testosterone levels than sons of mothers drinking 0-3 cups/day (P = 0.04). Current male caffeine intake was associated with increasing testosterone levels (P = 0.007). Men with a high caffeine intake had approximately 14% higher concentration of testosterone than those with a low caffeine intake (P = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: The results observed in this study are only tentative, but they do not exclude a small to moderate effect of prenatal coffee exposure on semen volume and levels of reproductive hormones. Present adult caffeine intake did not show any clear associations with semen quality, but high caffeine intake was associated with a higher testosterone concentration.