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1.
EClinicalMedicine ; 68: 102444, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38333537

RESUMO

Background: Identifying the critical modifiable risk factors for acute respiratory tract infections (ARIs) and diarrhoea is crucial to reduce the burden of disease and mortality among children under 5 years of age in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and ultimately achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). We investigated the modifiable risk factors of ARI and diarrhoea among children under five using nationally representative surveys. Methods: We used the most recent demographic and health survey (DHS) data (2014-2021) from 25 SSA countries, encompassing a total of 253,167 children. Countries were selected based on the availability of recent datasets (e.g., DHS-VII or DHS-VIII) that represent the current socioeconomic situations. Generalised linear latent mixed models were used to compute odds ratios (ORs). Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated using adjusted ORs and prevalence estimates for key modifiable risk factors among ARI and diarrhoeal cases. Findings: This study involved 253,167 children, with a mean age of 28.7 (±17.3) months, and 50.5% were male. The highest PAFs for ARI were attributed to unclean cooking fuel (PAF = 15.7%; 95% CI: 8.1, 23.1), poor maternal education (PAF = 13.4%; 95% CI: 8.7, 18.5), delayed initiation of breastfeeding (PAF = 12.4%; 95% CI: 9.0, 15.3), and poor toilets (PAF = 8.5%; 95% CI: 4.7, 11.9). These four modifiable risk factors contributed to 41.5% (95% CI: 27.2, 52.9) of ARI cases in SSA. The largest PAFs of diarrhoea were observed for unclean cooking fuel (PAF = 17.3%; 95% CI: 13.5, 22.3), delayed initiation of breastfeeding (PAF = 9.2%; 95% CI: 7.5, 10.5), household poverty (PAF = 7.0%; 95% CI: 5.0, 9.1) and poor maternal education (PAF = 5.6%; 95% CI: 2.9, 8.8). These four modifiable risk factors contributed to 34.0% (95% CI: 26.2, 42.3) of cases of diarrhoea in SSA. Interpretation: This cross-sectional study identified four modifiable risk factors for ARI and diarrhoea that should be a priority for policymakers in SSA. Enhancing home-based care and leveraging female community health workers is crucial for accelerating the reduction in under-5 mortality linked to ARI and diarrhoea in SSA. Funding: None.

2.
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth ; 24(1): 144, 2024 Feb 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38368373

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Maternal near-miss (MNM) is defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) working group as a woman who nearly died but survived a life-threatening condition during pregnancy, childbirth, or within 42 days of termination of pregnancy due to getting quality of care or by chance. Despite the importance of the near-miss concept in enhancing quality of care and maternal health, evidence regarding the prevalence of MNM, its primary causes and its determinants in Africa is sparse; hence, this study aimed to address these gaps. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies published up to October 31, 2023, was conducted. Electronic databases (PubMed/Medline, Scopus, Web of Science, and Directory of Open Access Journals), Google, and Google Scholar were used to search for relevant studies. Studies from any African country that reported the magnitude and/or determinants of MNM using WHO criteria were included. The data were extracted using a Microsoft Excel 2013 spreadsheet and analysed by STATA version 16. Pooled estimates were performed using a random-effects model with the DerSimonian Laired method. The I2 test was used to analyze the heterogeneity of the included studies. RESULTS: Sixty-five studies with 968,555 participants were included. The weighted pooled prevalence of MNM in Africa was 73.64/1000 live births (95% CI: 69.17, 78.11). A high prevalence was found in the Eastern and Western African regions: 114.81/1000 live births (95% CI: 104.94, 123.59) and 78.34/1000 live births (95% CI: 67.23, 89.46), respectively. Severe postpartum hemorrhage and severe hypertension were the leading causes of MNM, accounting for 36.15% (95% CI: 31.32, 40.99) and 27.2% (95% CI: 23.95, 31.09), respectively. Being a rural resident, having a low monthly income, long distance to a health facility, not attending formal education, not receiving ANC, experiencing delays in health service, having a previous history of caesarean section, and having pre-existing medical conditions were found to increase the risk of MNM. CONCLUSION: The pooled prevalence of MNM was high in Africa, especially in the eastern and western regions. There were significant variations in the prevalence of MNM across regions and study periods. Strengthening universal access to education and maternal health services, working together to tackle all three delays through community education and awareness campaigns, improving access to transportation and road infrastructure, and improving the quality of care provided at service delivery points are key to reducing MNM, ultimately improving and ensuring maternal health equity.


Assuntos
Morte Materna , Near Miss , Complicações na Gravidez , Gravidez , Feminino , Humanos , Near Miss/métodos , Cesárea , Mortalidade Materna , Complicações na Gravidez/epidemiologia , África/epidemiologia
3.
Int J Cancer ; 154(8): 1377-1393, 2024 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38059753

RESUMO

Globally women face inequality in cancer outcomes; for example, smaller improvements in life expectancy due to decreased cancer-related deaths than men (0.5 vs 0.8 years, 1981-2010). However, comprehensive global evidence on the burden of cancer among women (including by reproductive age spectrum) as well as disparities by region, remains limited. This study aimed to address these evidence gaps by considering 34 cancer types in 2020 and their projections for 2040. The cancer burden among women in 2020 was estimated using population-based data from 185 countries/territories sourced from GLOBOCAN. Mortality to Incidence Ratios (MIR), a proxy for survival, were estimated by dividing the age-standardised mortality rates by the age-standardised incidence rates. Demographic projections were performed to 2040. In 2020, there were an estimated 9.3 million cancer cases and 4.4 million cancer deaths globally. Projections showed an increase to 13.3 million (↑44%) and 7.1 million (↑60%) in 2040, respectively, with larger proportional increases in low- and middle-income countries. MIR among women was higher (poorer survival) in rare cancers and with increasing age. Countries with low Human Development Indexes (HDIs) had higher MIRs (69%) than countries with very high HDIs (30%). There was inequality in cancer incidence and mortality worldwide among women in 2020, which will further widen by 2040. Implementing cancer prevention efforts and providing basic cancer treatments by expanding universal health coverage through a human rights approach, expanding early screening opportunities and strengthening medical infrastructure are key to improving and ensuring equity in cancer control and outcomes.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Expectativa de Vida , Incidência , Previsões , Carga Global da Doença , Saúde Global
4.
J Pain Symptom Manage ; 67(3): e211-e227, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38043746

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Supportive cancer care is vital to reducing the current disparities in cancer outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), including poor survival and low quality of life, and ultimately achieving equity in cancer care. This is the first review aimed to evaluate the extent of unmet supportive care needs and identify their contributing factors among patients with cancer in SSA. METHODS: Six electronic databases (CINAHL, Embase, Medline [Ovid], PsycINFO, PubMed, and Cochrane Library of Databases] were systematically searched. Studies that addressed one or more domains of unmet supportive cancer care needs were included. Findings were analyzed using narrative analysis and meta-analysis, as appropriate. RESULT: Eleven articles out of 2732 were retained in the review. The pooled prevalence of perceived unmet need for cancer care in SSA was 63% (95% CI: 45, 81) for physical, 59% (95% CI: 45, 72) for health information and system, 58% (95% CI: 42, 74) for psychological, 44% (95% CI: 29, 59) for patient care and support, and 43% (95% CI: 23, 63) for sexual. Older age, female sex, rural residence, advanced cancer stage, and low access to health information were related to high rates of multiple unmet needs within supportive care domains. CONCLUSION: In SSA, optimal cancer care provision was low, up to two-thirds of patients reported unmet needs for one or more domains. Strengthening efforts to develop comprehensive and integrated systems for supportive care services are keys to improving the clinical outcome, survival, and quality of life of cancer patients in SSA.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/terapia , Assistência ao Paciente/métodos , Avaliação das Necessidades , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde
5.
Midwifery ; 123: 103704, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37196576

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: In Australia, area of residence is an important health policy focus and has been suggested as a key risk factor for preterm birth (PTB), low birth weight (LBW) and cesarian section (CS) due to its influence on socioeconomic status, access to health services, and its relationship with medical conditions. However, there is inconsistent evidence about the relationship of maternal residential areas (rural and urban areas) with PTB, LBW, and CS. Synthesising the evidence on the issue will help to identify the relationships and mechanisms for underlying inequality and potential interventions to reduce such inequalities in pregnancy outcomes (PTB, LBW and CS) in rural and remote areas. METHODS: Electronic databases, including MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and Maternity & Infant Care, were systematically searched for peer-reviewed studies which were conducted in Australia and compared PTB, LBW or CS by maternal area of residence. Articles were appraised for quality using JBI critical appraisal tools. RESULTS: Ten articles met the eligibility criteria. Women who lived in rural and remote areas had higher rates of PTB and LBW and lower rate of CS compared to their urban and city counterparts. Two articles fulfilled JBI's critical appraisal checklist for observational studies. Compared to women living in urban and city areas, women living in rural and remote areas were also more likely to give birth at a younger age (<20 years) and have chronic diseases such as hypertension and diabetes. They were also less likely to have higher levels of completing university degree education, private health insurance and births in private hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Addressing the high rate of pre-existing and/or gestational hypertension and diabetes, limited access of health services and a shortage of experienced health staff in remote and rural areas are keys to early identification and intervention of risk factors of PTB, LBW, and CS.


Assuntos
Nascimento Prematuro , Recém-Nascido , Feminino , Gravidez , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , Nascimento Prematuro/etiologia , Cesárea/efeitos adversos , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Resultado da Gravidez , Parto , Peso ao Nascer
6.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 32(8): 1011-1020, 2023 08 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37257201

RESUMO

Spatial modeling of cancer survival is an important tool for identifying geographic disparities and providing an evidence base for resource allocation. Many different approaches have attempted to understand how survival varies geographically. This is the first scoping review to describe different methods and visualization techniques and to assess temporal trends in publications. The review was carried out using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guideline using PubMed and Web of Science databases. Two authors independently screened articles. Articles were eligible for review if they measured cancer survival outcomes in small geographical areas by using spatial regression and/or mapping. Thirty-two articles were included, and the number increased over time. Most articles have been conducted in high-income countries using cancer registry databases. Eight different methods of modeling spatial survival were identified, and there were seven different ways of visualizing the results. Increasing the use of spatial modeling through enhanced data availability and knowledge sharing could help inform and motivate efforts to improve cancer outcomes and reduce excess deaths due to geographical inequalities. Efforts to improve the coverage and completeness of population-based cancer registries should continue to be a priority, in addition to encouraging the open sharing of relevant statistical programming syntax and international collaborations.


Assuntos
Neoplasias , Humanos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Renda
7.
Reprod Sci ; 30(9): 2767-2779, 2023 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36973581

RESUMO

In Australia, nearly half of births involve labour interventions. Prior research in this area has relied on cross-sectional and administrative health data and has not considered biopsychosocial factors. The current study examined direct and indirect associations between biopsychosocial factors and labour interventions using 19 years of population-based prospective data. The study included singleton babies among primiparous women of the 1973-1978 cohort of the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health. Data from 5459 women who started labour were analysed using path analysis. 42.2% of babies were born without intervention (episiotomy, instrumental, or caesarean delivery): Thirty-seven percent reported vaginal birth with episiotomy and instrumental birth interventions, 18% reported an unplanned caesarean section without episiotomy and/or instrumental interventions, and 3% reported unplanned caesarean section after episiotomy and/or instrumental interventions. Vaginal births with episiotomy and/or instrumental interventions were more likely among women with chronic hypertension (RRR(95%-CI):1.50(1.12-2.01)), a perceived length of labour of more than 36 h (RRR(95%-CI):1.86(1.45-2.39)), private health insurance (RRR(95%-CI):1.61(1.41-1.85)) and induced labour (RRR(95%-CI):1.69(1.46-1.94)). Risk factors of unplanned caesarean section without episiotomy and/or instrumental birth intervention included being overweight (RRR(95%-CI):1.30(1.07-1.58)) or obese prepregnancy (RRR(95%-CI):1.63(1.28-2.08)), aged ≥ 35 years (RRR(95%-CI):1.87(1.46-2.41)), having short stature (< 154 cm) (RRR(95%-CI):1.68(1.16-2.42)), a perceived length of labour of more than 36 h (RRR(95%-CI):3.26(2.50-4.24)), private health insurance (RRR(95%-CI):1.38(1.17-1.64)), and induced labour (RRR(95%-CI):2.56(2.16-3.05)). Prevention and management of hypertension, diabetes, and obesity during preconception and/or antenatal care are keys for reducing labour interventions and strengthening the evidence-base around delivery of best practice obstetric care.


Assuntos
Cesárea , Hipertensão , Lactente , Gravidez , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Austrália , Parto Obstétrico
8.
Midwifery ; 110: 103334, 2022 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35421789

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: In Australia, 8.6% of all births are premature, and this figure has relativelyincreased by 10% in the past decade. A range of biological, psychological, and socialfactors have previously been identified as predictors of preterm birth using cross sectionaldata; however, this lacks ascertainment of a cause-and-effect relationship.This study harnessed the power of longitudinal cohort data by investigating pretermbirth among women prospectively followed for 19 years using a comprehensiveframework that examines biological, psychological, and social factors concurrently. METHODS: Data from 5,292 women (11,256 newborns) who reported singleton birthsbetween 1996 and 2015 in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health wereincluded. RESULTS: The prevalence of preterm birth was 8.5% for first-births and 5.9% for allbirths.The recurrent preterm birth rate was 9.5% . Risk factors for first preterm birthswere chronic hypertension (OR 2.34; 95% CI: 1.67-3.27), gestational hypertension (OR2.87; 95% CI: 2.22-3.72), gestational diabetes (OR 1.66; 95% CI: 1.14-2.41),menarche before 12 years (OR 1.36; 95% CI: 1.02-1.82) and history of miscarriage(OR 1.35; 95% CI: 1.01-1.79). Risk factors for all preterm births were a history ofpreterm birth (OR 2.33; 95% CI: 1.46-3.70), menarche before 12 years (OR 1.33; 95%CI: 1.00-1.77), not being partnered (OR 1.31; 95% CI: 1.02-1.69), chronic hypertension(OR 2.02; 95% CI: 1.45-2.82), gestational hypertension (OR 3.22; 95% CI: 2.43-4.25),gestational diabetes (OR 1.67; 95% CI: 1.16-2.41), and asthma (OR 1.40; 95% CI:1.14-1.72). Premature birth was less likely for second or later births (OR 0.44; 95% CI:0.36-0.55) compared to first births. Premature birth was also less likely for women whocompleted a university degree compared to women with a high school certificate (OR0.73; 95% CI: 0.57-0.94). CONCLUSION: Further development of multi-sectoral policies for chronic diseaseprevention and reducing social inequalities is required to prevent preterm birth inAustralia.


Assuntos
Diabetes Gestacional , Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez , Doenças do Recém-Nascido , Complicações na Gravidez , Nascimento Prematuro , Austrália/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Estudos Longitudinais , Gravidez , Complicações na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
9.
Eur J Public Health ; 31(4): 776-783, 2021 10 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33755156

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In Australia, 6.7% of babies (5.2% for singletons) are born low birth weight (LBW), and over the past decade, this figure has increased by 8%. Evidence regarding LBW has largely come from hospital-based cross-sectional studies, which are not representative, lack temporality and do not examine the potential predictors of LBW using a comprehensive theoretical framework. This study, therefore, examined predictors of LBW within a biopsychosocial framework, using a community-based representative prospective cohort with 19 years of data. METHODS: The study included 11 854 singleton babies born to 5622 women from the 1973 to 1978 cohort of the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health. RESULTS: Among 5622 first births, 310 (5.5%) were reported as LBW. Maternal risk factors included pre-pregnancy underweight (aOR = 2.27, 95% CI: 1.43-3.62), chronic diabetes (aOR = 2.38, 95% CI: 1.14-4.95), gestational diabetes (aOR = 1.93, 95% CI: 1.27-2.94), chronic hypertension (aOR = 2.23, 95% CI: 1.50-3.33) and gestational hypertension (aOR = 2.44, 95% CI: 1.78-3.36). Among all births (N = 11 854), the overall LBW rate was 3.8% with a recurrence rate of 4.8%. Identified risk factors included menarche before 12 years (aOR = 1.57; 95% CI: 1.17-2.11), pre-pregnancy underweight (aOR = 2.25, 95% CI: 1.46-3.45), gestational diabetes (aOR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.16-2.59), chronic hypertension (aOR = 2.01, 95% CI: 1.40-2.90) and gestational hypertension (aOR = 2.81, 95% CI: 2.05-3.84). LBW was less likely for second births (aOR = 0.39, 95% CI: 0.31-0.50) and third/above births (aOR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.35-0.67) compared with the first births. CONCLUSION: Increased nutrition counselling/supplementation for underweight women and interventions aimed at chronic disease prevention and management by using a multi-sectoral approach may be the key to the prevention of LBW.


Assuntos
Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Austrália/epidemiologia , Peso ao Nascer , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Estudos Longitudinais , Gravidez , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
10.
AIDS Res Treat ; 2018: 1573845, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30515324

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The major mode of HIV transmission in many resource-limited settings is via heterosexual intercourse, but the primary risk factor for youth is primarily through perinatal infection. With the maturing of the HIV epidemic, youth who acquired the virus perinatally are now reaching adolescence and becoming young adults. There is a paucity of data on the sexual practices of perinatally infected youth in Ethiopia. METHODS: This a cross-sectional study among 343 HIV positive youths receiving HIV care and treatment in the two hospitals in northwest Ethiopia. A self-administered questionnaire was administered among those who were able to read and write, and the questionnaire was administered by a trained study team member for those who were illiterate. Data were entered using Epi data version 3.5 and analyzed using SPSS. Sexual behaviors of the two groups were compared using bivariate logistic regression and the significant ones were further analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. Statistical significance was declared at 95% confidence interval and P-value less than 0.05. RESULT: About (63.3%) were females, and 177 (51.6%) were between 20 and 24 years of age. The modes of HIV acquisition were 133 (35%) through perinatal HIV infection, 120 (35%) through sexual contact, 27 (7.9%) through exposure to HIV infected sharp materials, and 63 (18.4%) unsure how they acquired HIV. More than half 155 (59.3%) had multiple sexual partners, and 50 (63.3%) of their sexual partners were HIV negative. Among those who were sexually active, only 77 (56.2%) use a condom consistently. CONCLUSIONS: More children who acquired HIV from their mothers are joining the youth population. Their sexual behavior is similar to those youth with behaviorally acquired HIV. There is significant risky sexual behavior among both groups. There is great urgency to effectively address the HIV the prevention strategy to break the cycle of "transgenerational" infection.

11.
J Public Health Res ; 6(1): 834, 2017 Apr 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28480176

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Currently, diabetes is the second most common non-communicable disease (NCD) in Ethiopia. Its burden is 4.8% in this country, even though three quarter of its population live with undiagnosed diabetes mellitus (DM), which causes complications like heart failure, blood vessels, eyes, kidneys and nerves damages. Early detection of DM is vital for a timely intervention to prevent these life threatening complications. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of undiagnosed DM and related factors in East Gojjam, North West Ethiopia, in 2016. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 757 individuals in East Gojjam from June to September 2016. The sampled population was selected using multi-stage cluster sampling method. Basic data were collected in Amharic (local language) and a pretested interviewer administered the questionnaire. Peripheral blood samples were collected by puncturing the ring finger in order to measure fasting blood glucose. Univarite and multivariate logistic regressions analysis were performed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) software version 20.0. RESULTS: The percentage of undiagnosed DM in the study area was 11.5% (95%CI=9.2, 13.7). The prevalence was 11.3% among male vs. 11.8% among female; 13.4% in urban areas vs. 10.3% in rural areas. The occurrence of undiagnosed DM was mainly associated with older age (AOR=5.99, 95%CI=1.54, 23.24), family history of diabetes (AOR=9.86, 95%CI=4.25, 22.89), history of gestational diabetes (AOR=3.01, 95%CI=1.17, 8.39) and sedentary behaviour >4 hours per day (AOR=2.13, 95%CI=1.04, 4.34). Being non-smoker (AOR=0.05, 95%CI=0.01, 0.17) and unmarried (AOR=0.09, 95%CI=0.02, 0.42) were also predictive characteristics for undiagnosed DM in the study area. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, this study revealed a relatively high prevalence of undiagnosed DM in the study area. The occurrence of undiagnosed DM was significantly higher when associated with the age of the participants, their marital status, history of hypertension, diabetes family history, history of gestational diabetes mellitus, current smoking practices and sedentary behaviour. Thus, efforts have to be made, particularly by the individuals involved in health practice, to early detect the disease and thereby initiate a suitable therapeutic service, before complications arise.

12.
Biomed Res Int ; 2015: 146306, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25685772

RESUMO

Introduction. In regional state of the study area, HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus) prevalence is 2.2% and opportunistic infections (OIs) occurred in 88.9% of pre-ART (Antiretroviral Therapy) people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA). Even though OIs are prevalent in the study area, duration of staying free from acquiring rehappening opportunistic infections and its determinant factors are not studied. Method. The study was conducted in randomly selected 341 adult Pre-ART PLWHA who are included in chronic HIV care. OI free duration was estimated using the actuarial life table and Kaplan Meier survival. Cox proportional-hazard model was used to calculate hazard rate. Result. OIs were rediagnosed in three quarters (75.37%) participants. In each week the probability of getting new recurrence OI was about 15.04 per 1000 person weeks. The median duration of not acquiring OI recurrence was 54 weeks. After adjustment, variables associated with recurrence were employment status, marital status, exposure for prophylaxis and adherence to it, CD4 count, and hemoglobin value. Conclusion. Giving prophylaxis and counseling to adhere it, rise in CD4 and hemoglobin level, and enhancing job opportunities should be given for PLWHA who are on chronic HIV care while continuing the care.


Assuntos
Infecções Oportunistas Relacionadas com a AIDS/mortalidade , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/mortalidade , Infecções Oportunistas Relacionadas com a AIDS/terapia , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/terapia , Adulto , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos
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