Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Mostrar: 20 | 50 | 100
Resultados 1 - 20 de 82
Filtrar
1.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 35: 100792, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38883560

RESUMO

Background: Lyme disease is the most common vector-borne disease in the United States with the majority of cases occurring in the Northeast, upper Midwest, and mid-Atlantic regions. While historically considered a low incidence state, North Carolina (NC) has reported an increasing number of cases over the past decade. Therefore, the aim of this study was to characterise the spatiotemporal evolution of Lyme disease in NC from 2010 to 2020. Methods: Confirmed and probable cases reported to the NC Division of Public Health without associated travel to high-transmission state were included in the analysis. The study period was divided into four sub-periods and data were aggregated by zip code of residence. The absolute change in incidence was mapped and spatial autocorrelation analyses were performed within each sub-period. Findings: We identified the largest absolute changes in incidence in zip codes located in northwestern NC along the Appalachian Mountains. The spatial distribution of cases became increasingly clustered over the study period (Moran's I of 0.012, p = 0.127 in 2010-2012 vs. 0.403, p < 0.0001 in 2019-2020). Identified clusters included 22 high-incidence zip codes in the 2019-2020 sub-period, largely overlapping with the same areas experiencing the greatest absolute changes in disease incidence. Interpretation: Lyme disease has rapidly emerged in northwestern NC with some zip codes reporting incidence rates similar to historically high incidence regions across the US Northeast, mid-Atlantic, and upper Midwest. Efforts are urgently needed to raise awareness among medical providers to prevent excess morbidity. Funding: Funding was provided by a "Creativity Hub" award from the UNC Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research. Additional support was provided by Southeastern Center of Excellence in Vector Borne Diseases (U01CK000662).

2.
Trop Med Int Health ; 2024 May 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38813598

RESUMO

Rickettsia africae is a tick-borne bacteria known to cause African tick bite fever (ATBF). While the disease was first described more than 100 years ago, knowledge of transmission risk factors and disease burden remain poorly described. To better understand the burden of R. africae, this article reviewed and summarized the published literature related to ATBF epidemiology and clinical management. Using a systematic approach, consistent with the PRISMA guidelines, we identified more than 100 eligible articles, including 65 epidemiological studies and 41 case reports. Most reports described R. africae in ticks and livestock, while human studies were less common. Human disease case reports were exclusively among returning travellers from non-endemic areas, which limits our disease knowledge among at-risk populations: people living in endemic regions. Substantial efforts to elucidate the ATBF risk factors and clinical manifestations among local populations are needed to develop effective preventative strategies and facilitate appropriate and timely diagnosis.

3.
medRxiv ; 2024 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38746440

RESUMO

In Africa, the first Plasmodium falciparum Kelch13 (K13) artemisinin partial resistance mutation 561H was first detected and validated in Rwanda. Surveillance to better define the extent of the emergence in Rwanda and neighboring countries as other mutations arise in East Africa is critical. We employ a novel scheme of liquid blood drop preservation combined with pooled sequencing to provide a cost-effective rapid assessment of resistance mutation frequencies at multiple collection sites across Rwanda and neighboring countries. Malaria-positive samples (n=5,465) were collected from 39 health facilities in Rwanda, Uganda, Tanzania, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) between May 2022 and March 2023 and sequenced in 199 pools. In Rwanda, K13 561H and 675V were detected in 90% and 65% of sites with an average frequency of 19.0% (0-54.5%) and 5.0% (0-35.5%), respectively. In Tanzania, 561H had high frequency in multiple sites while it was absent from the DRC although 675V was seen at low frequency. Conceringly candidate mutations were observed: 441L, 449A, and 469F co-occurred with validated mutations suggesting they are arising under the same pressures. Other resistance markers associated with artemether-lumefantrine are common: P. falciparum multidrug resistance protein 1 N86 at 98.0% and 184F at 47.0% (0-94.3%) and P. falciparum chloroquine resistance transporter 76T at 14.7% (0-58.6%). Additionally, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine-associated mutations show high frequencies. Overall, K13 mutations are rapidly expanding in the region further endangering control efforts with the potential of engendering partner drug resistance.

4.
Insects ; 15(3)2024 Feb 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38535349

RESUMO

Ticks are one of the most important vectors of human and animal disease worldwide. In addition to pathogens, ticks carry a diverse microbiota of symbiotic and commensal microorganisms. In this study, we used next-generation sequencing (NGS) to survey the microbiomes of Haemaphysalis longicornis (Acari: Ixodidae) at different life stages collected from field populations in North Carolina (NC), USA. Sequence analyses were performed using QIIME2 with the DADA2 plugin and taxonomic assignments using the Greengenes database. Following quality filtering and rarefaction, the bacterial DNA sequences were assigned to 4795 amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) in 105 ticks. A core microbiome of H. longicornis was conserved across all ticks analyzed, and included bacterial taxa: Coxiella, Sphingomonas, Staphylococcus, Acinetobacter, Pseudomonas, Sphingomonadaceae, Actinomycetales, and Sphingobium. Less abundant bacterial taxa, including Rickettsia and Aeromonas, were also identified in some ticks. We discovered some ASVs that are associated with human and animal infections among the identified bacteria. Alpha diversity metrics revealed significant differences in bacterial diversity between life stages. Beta diversity metrics also revealed that bacterial communities across the three life stages were significantly different, suggesting dramatic changes in the microbiome as ticks mature. Based on these results, additional investigation is necessary to determine the significance of the Haemaphysalis longicornis microbiome for animal and human health.

5.
J Infect Dis ; 2024 Feb 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38330207

RESUMO

We obtained samples from the Department of Defense Serum Repository from soldiers who were stationed at Fort Liberty, North Carolina, between 1991 and 2019 to assess temporal trends in tick-borne rickettsiosis and ehrlichiosis. Serological evidence of infection was common, with nearly 1 in 5 (18.9%) demonstrating antibodies. We observed significant decreases in Rickettsia seroprevalence (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.42 [95% CI, .27-.65], P = .0001) while over the same period Ehrlichia seroprevalence, albeit less common, nearly doubled (aOR, 3.61 [95% CI, 1.10-13.99], P = .048). The increase in Ehrlichia seroprevalence likely reflects increased transmission resulting from the expanding geographic range of the lone star tick.

6.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(3): 564-567, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38407256

RESUMO

Healthcare providers in North Carolina, USA, have limited experience diagnosing and managing Lyme disease because few cases occur annually statewide. We outline the prolonged diagnostic course for a patient with locally acquired Lyme disease in North Carolina. This case highlights the need for greater awareness and professional education.


Assuntos
Diagnóstico Tardio , Doença de Lyme , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Pessoal de Saúde , Doença de Lyme/diagnóstico , Doença de Lyme/epidemiologia
7.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 110(4): 815-818, 2024 Apr 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38412547

RESUMO

Delayed treatment of Rocky Mountain spotted fever is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Because the diagnosis cannot be established from a single serological test, guidelines recommend empirical antibiotic initiation in suspect patients. We evaluated a policy used by UNC Health of paging clinicians when acute testing for Rickettsia returned with a titer ≥1:256. Our objective was to assess the potential effect of paging on routine treatment practices. Notably, we found that a high proportion of cases (N = 28, 40%) were not prescribed antibiotics until the results were available. The vast majority of these cases did not have evidence of compatible symptoms or disease progression. These findings suggest that paging may have prompted unnecessary treatment. Overall, the policy, which has now been discontinued, appears to have had limited benefit. Efforts are urgently needed to improve adherence to testing and treatment guidelines.


Assuntos
Rickettsia , Febre Maculosa das Montanhas Rochosas , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Febre Maculosa das Montanhas Rochosas/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/diagnóstico , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/epidemiologia , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico
8.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(1): e2351418, 2024 Jan 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38206624

RESUMO

Importance: Tick-borne diseases (TBDs) other than Lyme disease, such as spotted fever group rickettsiosis, ehrlichiosis, and galactose-α-1,3-galactose (α-gal) syndrome, are an emerging public health issue. Long-term sequelae secondary to Ehrlichia or Rickettsia infection are uncommon; however, musculoskeletal symptoms are often attributed to prior tick exposure. Objective: To evaluate the potential associations between prior exposure to TBDs and musculoskeletal symptoms, including radiographic osteoarthritis. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study analyzed serum samples from the fourth visit (2017-2018) of the Johnston County Osteoarthritis (JoCo OA) project, an ongoing longitudinal, population-based study in Johnston County, North Carolina. Biospecimen testing and analysis were performed between May 2022 and November 2023. Participants in the JoCo OA project are noninstitutionalized White and Black Johnston County residents 45 years or older. Main Outcome and Measures: The primary outcome was seropositivity with Ehrlichia IgG, Rickettsia IgG, and/or α-gal IgE and musculoskeletal symptoms. Secondary outcomes included risk factors associated with elevated α-gal IgE and weighted population point prevalence rates. Participants completed questionnaires, underwent physical assessments, and provided biospecimens for serological testing. Multivariable models were used to estimate associations of interest. Results: Of the 605 participants who completed the fourth visit of the JoCo OA project, 488 (80.7%) had serum samples available for testing. The 488 participants had a median (IQR) age of 72 (68-78) years and included 336 females (68.9%) and 161 Black (33.0%) and 327 White (67.0%) individuals. The overall weighted point prevalence was 8.6% (95% CI, 5.9%-11.3%) for Ehrlichia IgG, 17.1% (95% CI, 12.6%-21.5%) for Rickettsia IgG, and 19.6% (95% CI, 15.3%-23.8%) for α-gal IgE level greater than 0.1 IU/mL. Only α-gal IgE was associated with knee pain, aching or stiffness (mean ratio, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.09-1.56). Antibodies to Rickettsia, Ehrlichia, and α-gal were not associated with symptomatic radiographic knee osteoarthritis. Male sex (odds ratio [OR], 2.63; 95% CI, 1.55-4.47), current smoker status (OR, 3.55; 95% CI, 1.38-9.18), and an attached tick bite in the past 5 years (OR, 3.99; 95% CI, 2.22-7.15) were all risk factors that were associated with α-gal IgE level greater than 0.1 IU/mL. Despite only 84 individuals (17.2%) recalling a tick bite in the past 5 years, 178 (36.5%) had evidence of prior tick-borne exposure, suggesting frequent human-tick interactions. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cross-sectional study indicate no association between Ehrlichia or Rickettsia seropositivity and chronic musculoskeletal symptoms or osteoarthritis. Further investigation is needed into the pathogenesis of α-gal syndrome and interventions to reduce human-tick interactions.


Assuntos
Dor Musculoesquelética , Osteoartrite , Picadas de Carrapatos , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos , Feminino , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Dor Musculoesquelética/epidemiologia , Picadas de Carrapatos/complicações , Picadas de Carrapatos/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Galactose , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/epidemiologia , Imunoglobulina G , Imunoglobulina E
9.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 4(1): e0002727, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38241274

RESUMO

In Uganda, children with febrile illness are often treated with antibiotics even though most have self-limiting, likely viral, infections. C-reactive protein (CRP) measurement can help identify those who are more likely to have a bacterial infection and therefore need antibiotic treatment. Implementation of a CRP rapid diagnostic test (RDT) at the point-of-care in resource-constrained settings with minimal laboratory infrastructure could reduce unnecessary antibiotic use. In this study, we evaluated the performance of three semi-quantitative CRP RDTs (Actim, BTNX, Duo) against a reference CRP assay requiring an electrically powered analyzer (Afinion). While both tests demonstrated substantial agreement with Afinion, Actim had slightly higher agreement than BTNX. The sensitivity was higher for the BTNX test, whereas the Actim test had a higher specificity, at cut-offs of 40 mg/L and 80 mg/L. At a cut-off of 20 mg/L, Duo demonstrated substantial agreement with the Afinion test as well. Our results demonstrate the reliability of CRP RDTs when compared to a reference standard. CRP RDTs without the need for a laboratory-based analyzer are promising tools for optimizing antibiotic use in low-resource settings.

10.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(1): ofae009, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38293246

RESUMO

Few studies have described changes in SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels in response to infection and vaccination at frequent intervals and over extended follow-up periods. The purpose of this study was to assess changes in SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody responses among a prospective cohort of health care personnel over 18 months with up to 22 samples per person. Antibody levels and live virus neutralization were measured before and after mRNA-based vaccination with results stratified by (1) SARS-CoV-2 infection status prior to initial vaccination and (2) SARS-CoV-2 infection at any point during follow-up. We found that the antibody response to the first dose was almost 2-fold higher in individuals who were seropositive prior to vaccination, although neutralization titers were more variable. The antibody response induced by vaccination appeared to wane over time but generally persisted for 8 to 9 months, and those who were infected at any point during the study had slightly higher antibody levels over time vs those who remained uninfected. These findings underscore the need to account for SARS-CoV-2 natural infection as a modifier of vaccine responses, and they highlight the importance of frequent testing of longitudinal antibody titers over time. Together, our results provide a clearer understanding of the trajectories of antibody response among vaccinated individuals with and without prior SARS-CoV-2 infection.

11.
J Infect Dis ; 229(1): 173-182, 2024 Jan 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37584317

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria epidemics result from extreme precipitation and flooding, which are increasing with global climate change. Local adaptation and mitigation strategies will be essential to prevent excess morbidity and mortality. METHODS: We investigated the spatial risk of malaria infection at multiple timepoints after severe flooding in rural western Uganda employing longitudinal household surveys measuring parasite prevalence and leveraging remotely sensed information to inform spatial models of malaria risk in the 3 months after flooding. RESULTS: We identified clusters of malaria risk emerging in areas (1) that showed the greatest changes in Normalized Difference Vegetation Index from pre- to postflood and (2) where residents were displaced for longer periods of time and had lower access to long-lasting insecticidal nets, both of which were associated with a positive malaria rapid diagnostic test result. The disproportionate risk persisted despite a concurrent chemoprevention program that achieved high coverage. CONCLUSIONS: The findings enhance our understanding not only of the spatial evolution of malaria risk after flooding, but also in the context of an effective intervention. The results provide a "proof of concept" for programs aiming to prevent malaria outbreaks after flooding using a combination of interventions. Further study of mitigation strategies-and particularly studies of implementation-is urgently needed.


Assuntos
Inseticidas , Malária , Humanos , Uganda/epidemiologia , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Malária/parasitologia , Estudos Longitudinais , Quimioprevenção
12.
Am J Infect Control ; 52(4): 381-386, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38069921

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Infection precautions (IP) facilitate standardized and safe patient care. Research has demonstrated several barriers to IP adherence among health care personnel (HCP) but potential exposure risk to SARS-CoV-2 and job role has not been considered. METHODS: Researchers used self-reported baseline surveys with 191 HCPs at a university medical center to examine factors that may have affected IP adherence (eg, personal protective equipment [PPE] and hand hygiene errors) over the 2 weeks prior to the survey. Chi-square tests were used to determine if differences existed first, among job role and IP adherence, and second, the potential risk of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 and IP adherence. A binary logistic regression estimated if PPE nonadherence was associated with COVID-19 stress, job role, and potential exposure risk to SARS-CoV-2. RESULTS: PPE nonadherence varied by job role. Those in the Other group (ie, nonphysician/non-nursing HCP) reported significantly fewer errors (9.6%) compared to Physicians (26.5%) and Registered Nurses (33.3%). Hand/glove hygiene errors between COVID-19 patient rooms varied by job role. Respondents who had higher risks of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 were 5.74 times more likely to experience errors. CONCLUSIONS: The results provide implications for adopting systems-level approaches to support worker knowledge and engagement across job roles to improve IP adherence.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa do Paciente para o Profissional/prevenção & controle , Equipamento de Proteção Individual , Pessoal de Saúde
13.
J Clin Microbiol ; 61(12): e0073123, 2023 12 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38014985

RESUMO

IMPORTANCE: Despite the relatively high mortality and the difficulty in diagnosis, nearly one-third of patients hospitalized with a documented diagnosis of encephalitis did not undergo a lumbar puncture (LP). When an LP was performed, pathogen-specific testing was greatly underutilized. Infectious etiologies were most common, but over 40% of cases were idiopathic at discharge. These findings suggest that there is a substantial opportunity to improve the quality of care through more accurate and timely diagnosis.


Assuntos
Líquidos Corporais , Encefalite , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Encefalite/diagnóstico , Encefalite/epidemiologia , Punção Espinal
14.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(9): ofad452, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37705692

RESUMO

In rural Uganda where birth dose vaccination for hepatitis B is not routine, we implemented a pilot program for preventing mother-to-child transmission that effectively identified women with high-risk hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and started antiviral treatment during pregnancy. Further work is required to enhance antiviral adherence through delivery to ensure effective prevention of vertical HBV transmission.

15.
Parasit Vectors ; 16(1): 295, 2023 Aug 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37620979

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic was marked by an increase in diagnosis and treatment delays for a range of medical conditions. Yet the impact of the pandemic on the management of tick-borne diseases, which frequently manifest as an acute febrile illness similar to COVID-19, has not been well described. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study of patients with suspected tick-borne disease attending the University of North Carolina Health facilities, we compared the timeliness of diagnosis and treatment in a "pre-COVID" period (March 2019 to February 2020) and a "post-COVID" period (March 2020 to February 2021). Participants included patients with an ICD-10 diagnosis code of spotted fever group rickettsiosis or ehrlichiosis and a positive Rickettsia rickettsii or Ehrlichia indirect immunofluorescence assay immunoglobulin G antibody test result. Of the 897 patients who had an eligible diagnosis, 240 (26.8%) met the inclusion criteria. The main outcome was time from initial presentation to definitive diagnosis and treatment. RESULTS: During the 2-year study period, 126 (52.5%) patients were grouped in the pre-COVID period and 114 (47.5%) were grouped in the post-COVID period; 120 (50.0%) were female; and 139 (57.9%) were aged > 50 years. Comparing the post-COVID to the pre-COVID period, the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for delay in treatment > 0 days was 1.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-3.07, P = 0.03), and for a treatment delay > 7 days, 1.65 (95% CI 0.94-2.90, P = 0.08). The odds of a delay in diagnosis were similar for patients in the post- and pre-COVID periods, with an aOR of 1.61 (95% CI 0.96-2.72, P = 0.07) for delays > 0 days, and aOR of 1.72 (95% CI 0.99-3.00, P = 0.05) for delays > 7 days. CONCLUSIONS: The odds of a delay in treatment > 0 days were significantly higher in the post-COVID period than in the pre-COVID period. However, the odds of a delay in treatment > 7 days, or a delay in diagnosis, were similar between these two periods. Shifts in care-seeking, alternative care delivery models and prioritization of COVID-19 may contribute to diminished timeliness of treatment for patients with tick-borne diseases.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Ehrlichiose , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Pandemias , Estudos Retrospectivos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/diagnóstico , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/tratamento farmacológico , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/epidemiologia , Teste para COVID-19
16.
Epidemiology ; 34(5): 721-731, 2023 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37527450

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Population-based seroprevalence studies are crucial to understand community transmission of COVID-19 and guide responses to the pandemic. Seroprevalence is typically measured from diagnostic tests with imperfect sensitivity and specificity. Failing to account for measurement error can lead to biased estimates of seroprevalence. Methods to adjust seroprevalence estimates for the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic test have largely focused on estimation in the context of convenience sampling. Many existing methods are inappropriate when data are collected using a complex sample design. METHODS: We present methods for seroprevalence point estimation and confidence interval construction that account for imperfect test performance for use with complex sample data. We apply these methods to data from the Chatham County COVID-19 Cohort (C4), a longitudinal seroprevalence study conducted in central North Carolina. Using simulations, we evaluate bias and confidence interval coverage for the proposed estimator compared with a standard estimator under a stratified, three-stage cluster sample design. RESULTS: We obtained estimates of seroprevalence and corresponding confidence intervals for the C4 study. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence increased rapidly from 10.4% in January to 95.6% in July 2021 in Chatham County, North Carolina. In simulation, the proposed estimator demonstrates desirable confidence interval coverage and minimal bias under a wide range of scenarios. CONCLUSION: We propose a straightforward method for producing valid estimates and confidence intervals when data are based on a complex sample design. The method can be applied to estimate the prevalence of other infections when estimates of test sensitivity and specificity are available.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Viés , Anticorpos Antivirais
17.
J Immunol Methods ; 520: 113523, 2023 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37423588

RESUMO

Measuring seroprevalence over time is a valuable epidemiological tool for improving our understanding of COVID-19 immunity. Due to the large number of collections required for population surveillance as well as concerns about potential infection risk to the collectors, self-collection approaches are being increasingly pursued. To advance this methodology, we collected paired venous and capillary blood samples by routine phlebotomy and Tasso-SST device respectively from 26 participants and measured total immunoglobulin (Ig) and IgG antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2 receptor binding domain (RBD) by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) on both specimens. Qualitatively, no discrepancies were noted in binary results between Tasso and venipuncture-derived plasma. Furthermore, in vaccinated participants, correlation between Tasso and venous total Ig and IgG specific antibody quantitative levels was high (Total Ig: Spearman ρ = 0.72, 95% CI (0.39,0.90); IgG: Spearman ρ = 0.85, 95% CI (0.54, 0.96)). Our results support the use of Tasso at-home collection devices for antibody testing.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Flebotomia , Humanos , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2 , Imunoglobulina G , Anticorpos Antivirais
18.
Malar J ; 22(1): 197, 2023 Jun 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37365595

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria risk is not uniform across relatively small geographic areas, such as within a village. This heterogeneity in risk is associated with factors including demographic characteristics, individual behaviours, home construction, and environmental conditions, the importance of which varies by setting, making prediction difficult. This study attempted to compare the ability of statistical models to predict malaria risk at the household level using either (i) free easily-obtained remotely-sensed data or (ii) results from a resource-intensive household survey. METHODS: The results of a household malaria survey conducted in 3 villages in western Uganda were combined with remotely-sensed environmental data to develop predictive models of two outcomes of interest (1) a positive ultrasensitive rapid diagnostic test (uRDT) and (2) inpatient admission for malaria within the last year. Generalized additive models were fit to each result using factors from the remotely-sensed data, the household survey, or a combination of both. Using a cross-validation approach, each model's ability to predict malaria risk for out-of-sample households (OOS) and villages (OOV) was evaluated. RESULTS: Models fit using only environmental variables provided a better fit and higher OOS predictive power for uRDT result (AIC = 362, AUC = 0.736) and inpatient admission (AIC = 623, AUC = 0.672) compared to models using household variables (uRDT AIC = 376, Admission AIC = 644, uRDT AUC = 0.667, Admission AUC = 0.653). Combining the datasets did not result in a better fit or higher OOS predictive power for uRDT results (AIC = 367, AUC = 0.671), but did for inpatient admission (AIC = 615, AUC = 0.683). Household factors performed best when predicting OOV uRDT results (AUC = 0.596) and inpatient admission (AUC = 0.553), but not much better than a random classifier. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that residual malaria risk is driven more by the external environment than home construction within the study area, possibly due to transmission regularly occurring outside of the home. Additionally, they suggest that when predicting malaria risk the benefit may not outweigh the high costs of attaining detailed information on household predictors. Instead, using remotely-sensed data provides an equally effective, cost-efficient alternative.


Assuntos
Malária , Humanos , Uganda/epidemiologia , Malária/epidemiologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Características da Família , Fatores de Risco
19.
IJID Reg ; 7: 164-169, 2023 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37034427

RESUMO

Background: Racial and ethnic minorities have borne a disproportionate burden from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Certain essential occupations, including food processing and farm work, employ large numbers of Hispanic migrant workers and have been shown to carry an especially high risk of infection. Methods: This observational cohort study measured the seroprevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) and assessed the risk factors for seropositivity among food processing and farm workers, and members of their households, in North Carolina, USA. Participants completed questionnaires, blood samples were collected, and an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to assess SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity. Univariate and multi-variate analyses were undertaken to identify risk factors associated with seropositivity, using generalized estimating equations to account for household clustering. Findings: Among the 218 participants, 94.5% were Hispanic, and SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity was 50.0%. Most seropositive individuals did not report a history of illness compatible with COVID-19. Attending church, having a prior history of COVID-19, having a seropositive household member, and speaking Spanish as one's primary language were associated with SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity, while preventive behaviours were not. Interpretation: These findings underscore the substantial burden of COVID-19 among a population of mostly Hispanic essential workers and their households in rural North Carolina. This study contributes to a large body of evidence showing that Hispanic Americans have suffered a disproportionate burden of COVID-19. This study also highlights the epidemiologic importance of viral transmission within the household.

20.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1140405, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37056663

RESUMO

Background: The World Health Organization has promoted "test and treat" guidelines for malaria since 2010, recommending all suspected malaria cases be confirmed with a parasitological test, typically a rapid diagnostic test (RDT), prior to treatment with antimalarial medications. However, many fevers at private drug shops in Uganda continue to be treated presumptively as malaria without diagnostic testing. Methods: The purpose of this study was to document private sector malaria case management in rural Uganda through a cross-sectional survey of drug shop clients in Bugoye sub-county. Drug shop vendors (n = 46) recorded information about sales interactions with clients reporting fever or requesting antimalarials and collected capillary blood samples from clients who purchased medications without an RDT. We estimated the proportion of clients who purchased an RDT, adhered to the RDT result, and received antimalarials without having laboratory-confirmed malaria. Results: Most drug shops were unlicensed (96%) and sold RDTs (98%). Of 934 clients with suspected malaria who visited study drug shops during the data collection period, only 25% bought an RDT. Since some clients reported previous RDTs from the public sector, 40% of clients were aware of their malaria status at the drug shop. Among those with negative tests, 36% still purchased antimalarials. Sixty-five percent of clients who purchased an antimalarial without an RDT subsequently tested negative. Conclusions: Despite national guidelines, drug shop clients who purchase antimalarials from drug shops in Bugoye are often not tested to confirm a malaria diagnosis prior to treatment. Most clients treated presumptively with antimalarials did not have malaria. Interventions are needed to improve malaria case management and rational drug use in the private sector.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos , Malária , Humanos , Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Estudos Transversais , Uganda , Setor Privado , Malária/diagnóstico , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Febre
SELEÇÃO DE REFERÊNCIAS
DETALHE DA PESQUISA