Circulating tumour DNA and its clinical utility in predicting treatment response or survival in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: We investigate the current knowledge on circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) and its clinical utility in predicting outcomes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched. Last search 16/12/2020. We included studies on patients with mCRC reporting the predictive or prognostic value of ctDNA. We performed separate random-effects meta-analyses to investigate if baseline ctDNA and early changes in ctDNA levels during treatment were associated with survival. The risk of bias was assessed according to the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. RESULTS: Seventy-one studies were included with 6930 patients. Twenty-four studies were included in meta-analyses. High baseline ctDNA level was associated with short progression-free survival (PFS) (HR = 2.2; 95% CI 1.8-2.8; n = 509) and overall survival (OS) (HR = 2.4; 95% CI 1.9-3.1; n = 1336). A small or no early decrease in ctDNA levels during treatment was associated with short PFS (HR = 3.0; 95% CI 2.2-4.2; n = 479) and OS (HR = 2.8; 95% CI 2.1-3.9; n = 583). Results on clonal evolution and lead-time were inconsistent. A majority of included studies (n = 50/71) had high risk of bias in at least one domain. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma ctDNA is a strong prognostic biomarker in mCRC. However, true clinical utility is lacking.

Prognostic and predictive value of circulating DNA for hepatic arterial infusion of chemotherapy for patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases.

Hepatic arterial infusion (HAI) of chemotherapy is an experimental treatment option for patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRCLM). The current study aimed to investigate the predictive and prognostic value of cell free DNA (cfDNA) in patients with CRCLM receiving HAI with oxaliplatin and systemic capecitabine. Plasma samples from 62 patients were investigated who were included into a single arm phase II study investigating HAI treatment for patients with CRCLM. The clinical outcome of the trial has been presented previously. In brief, treatment consisted of intrahepatic infusion of oxaliplatin 100 mg/m2 every second week with concomitant oral capecitabine 3,500 mg/m2 every second week for up to 12 cycles. Blood samples were drawn at baseline and follow-up and plasma was analyzed for cell free DNA using a direct fluorescent assay. The baseline level of plasma cfDNA was 0.92 ng/µl (95% CI 0.84-1.00). Patients with a baseline value of cfDNA above the 75th quartile had a median overall survival of 2.4 years (95% CI 0.7-2.8), compared with 3.9 years (95% CI 2.8-5.9) for patients below the 75th quartile (P=0.02). The baseline level of cfDNA was significantly lower (0.91 ng/µl, 95% CI 0.76-0.98) in patients who achieved an objective response compared to non-responders (1.79 ng/µl; 95% CI 0.99-2.57; P=0.02). The current study demonstrated a possible prognostic and predictive value of cfDNA for patients with CRCLM undergoing HAI with oxaliplatin and concomitant capecitabine.

Circulating tumor DNA as a marker of minimal residual disease following local treatment of metastases from colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Local treatment of liver and/or lung metastases from colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasingly used in daily practice and comprises resection, radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and stereotactic radiotherapy (SBRT). The need for prognostic markers for patients undergoing such treatment is currently unmet. We investigated post-treatment circulating tumor-specific DNA (ctDNA) analysis and address a possible prognostic value in a pilot study. MATERIALS: From July 2015 to September 2017, patients undergoing standard of care local treatment of liver and/or lung metastases were included in a prospective translational study. Blood samples were drawn 2 weeks after local treatment and during follow-up. CtDNA was detected by ddPCR and a mass spectrometry-based platform MassARRAY®. RESULTS: Post treatment blood samples were available for 35 patients including five with detectable ctDNA (KRAS mutation, n = 2; NRAS mutation, n = 2; BRAF mutation, n = 1) by ddPCR. 17 out of 35 patients (49%) developed recurrence within a median of 273 days (95%CI 95-NA) among patients positive for ctDNA, while the median time to recurrence was not reached for the group of patients negative for ctDNA (p = .03). CONCLUSION: The presence of ctDNA following local treatment of metastatic CRC is associated with an increased risk of recurrence and a short time to failure.

Cell-Free DNA in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Circulating DNA can be detected and quantified in the blood of cancer patients and used for detection of tumor-specific genetic alterations. The clinical utility has been intensively investigated for the past 10 years. The majority of reports focus on analyzing the clinical potential of tumor-specific mutations, whereas the use of total cell-free DNA (cfDNA) quantification is somehow controversial and sparsely described in the literature, but holds important clinical information in itself. The purpose of the present report was to present a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prognostic value of total cfDNA in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) treated with chemotherapy. In addition, we report on the overall performance of cfDNA as source for KRAS mutation detection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic literature search of PubMed and Embase was performed by two independent investigators. Eligibility criteria were (a) total cfDNA analysis, (b) mCRC, and (c) prognostic value during palliative treatment. The preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed, and meta-analysis applied on both aggregate data extraction and individual patients' data. RESULTS: Ten eligible cohorts were identified, including a total of 1,076 patients. Seven studies used quantitative polymerase chain reaction methods, two BEAMing [beads, emulsification, amplification, and magnetics] technology, and one study digital droplet polymerase chain reaction. The baseline levels of cfDNA was similar in the presented studies, and all studies reported a clear prognostic value in favor of patients with lowest levels of baseline cfDNA. A meta-analysis revealed a combined estimate of favorable overall survival hazard ratio (HR) in patients with levels below the median cfDNA (HR = 2.39, 95% confidence interval 2.03-2.82, p < .0001). CONCLUSION: The total cfDNA levels are high in patients with mCRC and bear strong prognostic information, which should be tested prospectively by using a predefined cut-off value based on normal values in healthy cohorts. Finally, the potential use of cfDNA for detection of tumor-specific mutations was emphasized in a large individual patients' data meta-analysis. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Reliable prognostic markers could help to guide patients and treating physicians regarding the relevance and choice of systemic therapy. Small fragments of circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) can be measured in a simple blood sample. This report presents the first meta-analysis of the prognostic value of total cfDNA measurement in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. Data from 1,076 patients confirmed that patients with the lowest pre-treatment levels of cfDNA had a significantly higher chance of longer survival than those with higher levels. Cell-free DNA analysis can also be used for detection of tumor-specific mutations, and hold potential as a valuable tool in colorectal cancer treatment.