Impact of Fall Risk and Direct Oral Anticoagulant Treatment on Quality-Adjusted Life-Years in Older Adults with Atrial Fibrillation: A Markov Decision Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The decision to initiate anticoagulation in older adults with atrial fibrillation is complicated by the benefit of ischemic stroke prevention vs the risk of falls resulting in major bleeds. The objective of this study was to assess the impact of different treatments including direct oral anticoagulants on quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) in patients aged 75 years and older with atrial fibrillation in the context of falls. METHODS: A Markov decision process was constructed for older patients with atrial fibrillation taking no anti-thrombotic, aspirin, warfarin, rivaroxaban, and apixaban. Input probabilities for clinical events were estimated from the available literature. One-way and two-way sensitivity analyses were performed by measuring the impact of varying input probabilities of clinical events on QALY outcomes. RESULTS: The base-case scenario estimated that older adults treated with no anti-thrombotic, aspirin, warfarin, rivaroxaban, and apixaban had QALYs of 8.03, 8.69, 10.38, 11.02, and 11.56, respectively. The sensitivity analysis estimated that an older adult would need to fall over 45 (rivaroxaban) and 458 (apixaban) times per year for the QALY of a direct oral anticoagulant to be lower than that of aspirin. CONCLUSIONS: Older adults with atrial fibrillation benefit from stroke protection of anticoagulants, especially direct oral anticoagulants, even if they are at high risk of falls. Clinicians should not consider fall risk as a deciding factor for withholding anticoagulation in this population of patients.

Effect of treatment variation on outcomes in patients with Clostridium difficile.

PURPOSE: New guidelines for the treatment of Clostridium difficile-associated diarrhea were published by the Infectious Disease Society of America (IDSA) in 2010, however, there has been no literature evaluating the effectiveness of these guidelines. The purpose of this study was to examine the clinical outcomes of Clostridium difficile infection including death, C difficile infection recurrence, toxic megacolon, and surgery between patients who received guideline-concordant therapy vs guideline-discordant therapy. METHODS: Retrospective case-control study of hospitalized adults with C difficile infection presenting to a 420-bed tertiary care referral county teaching hospital. Patients were identified by International Classification of Diseases-9th Revision codes, and included if they were ≥18 years of age and treated for C difficile infection during their hospital visit. Complication rates (death, infection recurrence, toxic megacolon, and surgery) of patients with C difficile infection were measured to determine if following the IDSA guidelines improves outcomes. RESULTS: Only 51.7% of the patients' prescribers followed the 2010 IDSA guidelines. Patients whose prescribers followed the IDSA guidelines experienced fewer complications than patients whose prescribers strayed from the guidelines (17.2% vs 56.3%, P <.0001). This difference was mainly due to a reduction in mortality (5.4% vs 21.8%, P = .0012) and infection recurrence (14% vs 35.6%, P = .0007). Patients who presented with severe and complicated disease received guideline-based therapy significantly less often than patients with mild disease (19.7%, 35.3%, and 81.2%, respectively, P <.0001). CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant reduction in C difficile infection recurrence and mortality when prescribers followed the IDSA/Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America guidelines for treatment of C difficile infection.