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1.
Int J Antimicrob Agents ; 63(5): 107134, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38453094

RESUMO

AIM: To investigate the efficacy of intravenous (IV) fosfomycin as combination therapy for treatment of difficult-to-treat (DTT) acute and subacute infections with multi-drug-resistant (MDR) Gram-negative bacteria (GNB), and risk factors associated with 90-day mortality. METHODS: A retrospective, observational, monocentric study enrolled patients treated with IV fosfomycin in combination regimens (≥72 h) for proven DTT-MDR-GNB infection. Multi-variate regression analysis identified independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. A propensity score for receiving fosfomycin was performed to control for confounding factors. RESULTS: In total, 70 patients were included in this study: 54.3% had carbapenem-resistant isolates, 31.4% had ceftazidime/avibactam-resistant isolates and 28.6% had ceftolozane/tazobactam-resistant isolates. The main pathogens were Pseudomonas aeruginosa (57.1%) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (22.9%). The most prevalent infections were nosocomial pneumonia (42.9%), osteomyelitis (17.1%) and intra-abdominal infections. All-cause 30- and 90-day mortality were 15.7% and 31.4%, respectively (18.9% and 50% considering acute DTT-MDR-GNB infections alone). Relapse at 30 days occurred in 22.9% of cases (29% with emergence of fosfomycin resistance). Mortality at 90 days was independently associated with septic shock and ceftolozane/tazobactam resistance. The relationship between resistance to ceftolozane/tazobactam and 90-day mortality was confirmed to be significant after adjustment by propensity score analysis (hazard ratio 5.84, 95% confidence interval 1.65-20.68; P=0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Fosfomycin seems to be a promising salvage, combination treatment in DTT-MDR-GNB infections. Resistance to ceftolozane/tazobactam seems to be independently associated with treatment failure. Randomized clinical trials focusing on pathogen and infection sites are needed urgently to demonstrate the superiority of fosfomycin in combination with other agents for the resolution of DTT-MDR-GNB infections.


Assuntos
Administração Intravenosa , Antibacterianos , Cefalosporinas , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla , Quimioterapia Combinada , Fosfomicina , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Negativas , Fosfomicina/uso terapêutico , Fosfomicina/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Masculino , Feminino , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Negativas/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Negativas/microbiologia , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Negativas/mortalidade , Idoso , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Antibacterianos/administração & dosagem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Bactérias Gram-Negativas/efeitos dos fármacos , Resultado do Tratamento , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Tazobactam/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Combinação de Medicamentos , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/efeitos dos fármacos , Fatores de Risco
2.
Int J Antimicrob Agents ; 63(1): 107018, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38214244

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Treatment failures to modern antiretroviral therapy (ART) raise concerns, as they could reduce future options. Evaluations of occurrence of multiple failures to modern ART are missing and their significance in the long run is unclear. METHODS: People with HIV (PWH) in the ICONA cohort who started a modern first-line ART were defined as 'difficult to treat' (DTT) if they experienced ≥1 among: i) ≥2 VF (2 viral loads, VL>200 copies/mL or 1 VL>1000 copies/mL) with or without ART change; ii) ≥2 treatment discontinuations (TD) due to toxicity/intolerance/failure; iii) ≥1 VF followed by ART change plus ≥1 TD due to toxicity/intolerance/failure. A subgroup of the DTT participants were matched to PWH that, after the same time, were non-DTT. Treatment response, analysing VF, TD, treatment failure, AIDS/death, and SNAE (Serious non-AIDS event)/death, were compared. Survival analysis by KM curves and Cox regression models were employed. RESULTS: Among 8061 PWH, 320 (4%) became DTT. Estimates of becoming DTT was 6.5% (95% CI: 5.8-7.4%) by 6 years. DTT PWH were significantly older, with a higher prevalence of AIDS and lower CD4+ at nadir than the non-DTT. In the prospective analysis, DTT demonstrated a higher unadjusted risk for all the outcomes. Once controlled for confounders, significant associations were confirmed for VF (aHR 2.23, 1.33-3.73), treatment failure (aHR 1.70, 1.03-2.78), and SNAE/death (aHR 2.79, 1.18-6.61). CONCLUSION: A total of 6.5% of PWH satisfied our definition of DTT by 6 years from ART starting. This appears to be a more fragile group who may have higher risk of failure.


Assuntos
Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida , Fármacos Anti-HIV , Infecções por HIV , Humanos , Fármacos Anti-HIV/efeitos adversos , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Falha de Tratamento , Análise de Sobrevida , Carga Viral
3.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 94(5): 474-481, 2023 12 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37949448

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The objective of the study was to develop machine learning (ML) models that predict the percentage weight change in each interval of time in antiretroviral therapy-experienced people living with HIV. METHODS: This was an observational study that comprised consecutive people living with HIV attending Modena HIV Metabolic Clinic with at least 2 visits. Data were partitioned in an 80/20 training/test set to generate 10 progressively parsimonious predictive ML models. Weight gain was defined as any weight change >5%, at the next visit. SHapley Additive exPlanations values were used to quantify the positive or negative impact of any single variable included in each model on the predicted weight changes. RESULTS: A total of 3,321 patients generated 18,322 observations. At the last observation, the median age was 50 years and 69% patients were male. Model 1 (the only 1 including body composition assessed with dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry) had an accuracy greater than 90%. This model could predict weight at the next visit with an error of <5%. CONCLUSIONS: ML models with the inclusion of body composition and metabolic and endocrinological variables had an excellent performance. The parsimonious models available in standard clinical evaluation are insufficient to obtain reliable prediction, but are good enough to predict who will not experience weight gain.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Composição Corporal , Aumento de Peso , Aprendizado de Máquina
4.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 8956, 2023 06 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37268716

RESUMO

The objective of this study was to characterize frailty and resilience in people evaluated for Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome (PACS), in relation to quality of life (QoL) and Intrinsic Capacity (IC). This cross-sectional, observational, study included consecutive people previously hospitalized for severe COVID-19 pneumonia attending Modena (Italy) PACS Clinic from July 2020 to April 2021. Four frailty-resilience phenotypes were built: "fit/resilient", "fit/non-resilient", "frail/resilient" and "frail/non-resilient". Frailty and resilience were defined according to frailty phenotype and Connor Davidson resilience scale (CD-RISC-25) respectively. Study outcomes were: QoL assessed by means of Symptoms Short form health survey (SF-36) and health-related quality of life (EQ-5D-5L) and IC by means of a dedicated questionnaire. Their predictors including frailty-resilience phenotypes were explored in logistic regressions. 232 patients were evaluated, median age was 58.0 years. PACS was diagnosed in 173 (74.6%) patients. Scarce resilience was documented in 114 (49.1%) and frailty in 72 (31.0%) individuals. Predictors for SF-36 score < 61.60 were the phenotypes "frail/non-resilient" (OR = 4.69, CI 2.08-10.55), "fit/non-resilient" (OR = 2.79, CI 1.00-7.73). Predictors for EQ-5D-5L < 89.7% were the phenotypes "frail/non-resilient" (OR = 5.93, CI 2.64-13.33) and "frail/resilient" (OR = 5.66, CI 1.93-16.54). Predictors of impaired IC (below the mean score value) were "frail/non-resilient" (OR = 7.39, CI 3.20-17.07), and "fit/non-resilient" (OR = 4.34, CI 2.16-8.71) phenotypes. Resilience and frailty phenotypes may have a different impact on wellness and QoL and may be evaluated in people with PACS to identify vulnerable individuals that require suitable interventions.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Fragilidade , Humanos , Idoso , Idoso Fragilizado , Qualidade de Vida , Estudos Transversais , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , Avaliação Geriátrica
5.
Microorganisms ; 11(6)2023 Jun 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37375108

RESUMO

Invasive bacterial infections are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality after liver transplant (LT), especially during the first months after LT, and infections due to multi-drug-resistant organisms (MDRO) are increasing in this setting. Most of the infections in patients in intensive care unit arise from the endogenous microflora and, for this reason, pre-LT MDRO rectal colonization is a risk factor for developing MDRO infections in the post-LT. Moreover, the transplanted liver may carry an increased risk of MDRO infections due to organ transportation and preservation, to donor intensive care unit stay and previous antibiotic exposure. To date, little evidence is available about how MDRO pre-LT colonization in donors and recipients should address LT preventive and antibiotic prophylactic strategies, in order to reduce MDRO infections in the post-LT period. The present review provided an extensive overview of the recent literature on these topics, with the aim to offer a comprehensive insight about the epidemiology of MDRO colonization and infections in adult LT recipients, donor-derived MDRO infections, possible surveillance, and prophylactic strategies to reduce post-LT MDRO infections.

6.
Viruses ; 15(2)2023 01 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36851508

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Treatment guidelines recommend the tocilizumab use in patients with a CRP of >7.5 mg/dL. We aimed to estimate the causal effect of glucocorticoids + tocilizumab on mortality overall and after stratification for PaO2/FiO2 ratio and CRP levels. METHODS: This was an observational cohort study of patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. The primary endpoint was day 28 mortality. Survival analysis was conducted to estimate the conditional and average causal effect of glucocorticoids + tocilizumab vs. glucocorticoids alone using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models with a time-varying variable for the intervention. The hypothesis of the existence of effect measure modification by CRP and PaO2/FiO2 ratio was tested by including an interaction term in the model. RESULTS: In total, 992 patients, median age 69 years, 72.9% males, 597 (60.2%) treated with monotherapy, and 395 (31.8%), adding tocilizumab upon respiratory deterioration, were included. At BL, the two groups differed for median values of CRP (6 vs. 7 mg/dL; p < 0.001) and PaO2/FiO2 ratio (276 vs. 235 mmHg; p < 0.001). In the unadjusted analysis, the mortality was similar in the two groups, but after adjustment for key confounders, a significant effect of glucocorticoids + tocilizumab was observed (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.38-0.90). Although the study was not powered to detect interactions (p = 0.41), there was a signal for glucocorticoids + tocilizumab to have a larger effect in subsets, especially participants with high levels of CRP at intensification. CONCLUSIONS: Our data confirm that glucocorticoids + tocilizumab vs. glucocorticoids alone confers a survival benefit only in patients with a CRP > 7.5 mg/dL prior to treatment initiation and the largest effect for a CRP > 15 mg/dL. Large randomized studies are needed to establish an exact cut-off for clinical use.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Glucocorticoides , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Feminino , Glucocorticoides/uso terapêutico , Estado Terminal , Estudos Retrospectivos , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19
7.
Int J Infect Dis ; 128: 254-256, 2023 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36610658

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PCP) incidence is increasing in people without HIV. Decompensated liver cirrhosis is not currently considered a risk factor for PCP. The aim of this paper is to describe a case series of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and PCP. METHODS: All consecutive patients hospitalized with decompensated cirrhosis and microbiology-confirmed PCP at Policlinico Modena University Hospital from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2021 were included in our series. RESULTS: Eight patients were included. All patients had advanced-stage liver disease with a model for end-stage liver disease score above 15 (6/8 above 20). Four were on an active orthotopic liver transplant waiting list at the time of PCP diagnosis. Five patients did not have any traditional risk factor for PCP, whereas the other three were on glucocorticoid treatment for acute-on-chronic liver failure. All patients were treated with cotrimoxazole, except two who died before the diagnosis. Five patients died (62.5%), four of them within 30 days from PCP diagnosis. Of the remaining three, one patient underwent liver transplantation. CONCLUSION: Although further studies are needed, liver cirrhosis can be an independent risk factor for PCP in patients with decompensated cirrhosis that is mainly due to severe alcoholic hepatitis and who are on corticosteroids therapy, and primary prophylaxis for PCP should be considered.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal , Pneumocystis carinii , Pneumonia por Pneumocystis , Humanos , Pneumonia por Pneumocystis/diagnóstico , Doença Hepática Terminal/complicações , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Cirrose Hepática/complicações
8.
Commun Biol ; 5(1): 1376, 2022 12 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36522489

RESUMO

Little is known about SARS-CoV-2 evolution under Molnupiravir and Paxlovid, the only antivirals approved for COVID-19 treatment. By investigating SARS-CoV-2 variability in 8 Molnupiravir-treated, 7 Paxlovid-treated and 5 drug-naïve individuals at 4 time-points (Days 0-2-5-7), a higher genetic distance is found under Molnupiravir pressure compared to Paxlovid and no-drug pressure (nucleotide-substitutions/site mean±Standard error: 18.7 × 10-4 ± 2.1 × 10-4 vs. 3.3 × 10-4 ± 0.8 × 10-4 vs. 3.1 × 10-4 ± 0.8 × 10-4, P = 0.0003), peaking between Day 2 and 5. Molnupiravir drives the emergence of more G-A and C-T transitions than other mutations (P = 0.031). SARS-CoV-2 selective evolution under Molnupiravir pressure does not differ from that under Paxlovid or no-drug pressure, except for orf8 (dN > dS, P = 0.001); few amino acid mutations are enriched at specific sites. No RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp) or main proteases (Mpro) mutations conferring resistance to Molnupiravir or Paxlovid are found. This proof-of-concept study defines the SARS-CoV-2 within-host evolution during antiviral treatment, confirming higher in vivo variability induced by Molnupiravir compared to Paxlovid and drug-naive, albeit not resulting in apparent mutation selection.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Antivirais/farmacologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Evolução Molecular
9.
Antibiotics (Basel) ; 11(8)2022 Jul 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36009885

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Despite the global efforts to antagonize carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) spreading, it remains an emerging threat with a related mortality exceeding 40% among critically ill patients. The purpose of this review is to provide evidence concerning the best infection prevention and control (IPC) strategies to fight CRAB spreading in endemic hospitals. METHODS: The study was a critical review of the literature aiming to evaluate all available studies reporting IPC measures to control CRAB in ICU and outside ICU in both epidemic and endemic settings in the past 10 years. RESULTS: Among the 12 included studies, the majority consisted of research reports of outbreaks mostly occurred in ICUs. The reported mortality reached 50%. Wide variability was observed related to the frequency of application of recommended CRAB IPC measures among the studies: environmental disinfection (100%); contact precautions (83%); cohorting staff and patients (75%); genotyping (66%); daily chlorhexidine baths (58%); active rectal screening (50%); closing or stopping admissions to the ward (33%). CONCLUSIONS: Despite effective control of CRAB spreading during the outbreaks, the IPC measures reported were heterogeneous and highly dependent on the different setting as well as on the structural characteristics of the wards. Reinforced 'search and destroy' strategies both on the environment and on the patient, proved to be the most effective measures for permanently eliminating CRAB spreading.

10.
Antibiotics (Basel) ; 11(8)2022 Jul 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35892396

RESUMO

Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in critically ill patients with COVID-19 represents a very huge global threat due to a higher incidence rate compared to non-COVID-19 patients and almost 50% of the 30-day mortality rate. Pseudomonas aeruginosa was the first pathogen involved but uncommon non-fermenter gram-negative organisms such as Burkholderia cepacea and Stenotrophomonas maltophilia have emerged as other potential etiological causes. Against carbapenem-resistant gram-negative microorganisms, Ceftazidime/avibactam (CZA) is considered a first-line option, even more so in case of a ceftolozane/tazobactam resistance or shortage. The aim of this report was to describe our experience with CZA in a case series of COVID-19 patients hospitalized in the ICU with VAP due to difficult-to-treat (DTT) P. aeruginosa, Burkholderia cepacea, and Stenotrophomonas maltophilia and to compare it with data published in the literature. A total of 23 patients were treated from February 2020 to March 2022: 19/23 (82%) VAPs were caused by Pseudomonas spp. (16/19 DTT), 2 by Burkholderia cepacea, and 6 by Stenotrophomonas maltophilia; 12/23 (52.1%) were polymicrobial. Septic shock was diagnosed in 65.2% of the patients and VAP occurred after a median of 29 days from ICU admission. CZA was prescribed as a combination regimen in 86% of the cases, with either fosfomycin or inhaled amikacin or cotrimoxazole. Microbiological eradication was achieved in 52.3% of the cases and the 30-day overall mortality rate was 14/23 (60.8%). Despite the high mortality of critically ill COVID-19 patients, CZA, especially in combination therapy, could represent a valid treatment option for VAP due to DTT non-fermenter gram-negative bacteria, including uncommon pathogens such as Burkholderia cepacea and Stenotrophomonas maltophilia.

11.
Eur Respir J ; 60(4)2022 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35361632

RESUMO

RATIONALE: Pulse glucocorticoid therapy is used in hyperinflammation related to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We evaluated the efficacy and safety of pulse intravenous methylprednisolone in addition to standard treatment in COVID-19 pneumonia. METHODS: In this multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, 304 hospitalised patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were randomised to receive 1 g of methylprednisolone intravenously for three consecutive days or placebo in addition to standard dexamethasone. The primary outcome was the duration of patient hospitalisation, calculated as the time interval between randomisation and hospital discharge without the need for supplementary oxygen. The key secondary outcomes were survival free from invasive ventilation with orotracheal intubation and overall survival. RESULTS: Overall, 112 (75.4%) out of 151 patients in the pulse methylprednisolone arm and 111 (75.2%) of 150 in the placebo arm were discharged from hospital without oxygen within 30 days from randomisation. Median time to discharge was similar in both groups (15 days, 95% CI 13.0-17.0 days and 16 days, 95% CI 13.8-18.2 days, respectively; hazard ratio (HR) 0.92, 95% CI 0.71-1.20; p=0.528). No significant differences between pulse methylprednisolone and placebo arms were observed in terms of admission to intensive care unit with orotracheal intubation or death (20.0% versus 16.1%; HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.74-2.16; p=0.176) or overall mortality (10.0% versus 12.2%; HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.42-1.64; p=0.584). Serious adverse events occurred with similar frequency in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Methylprenisolone pulse therapy added to dexamethasone was not of benefit in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.


Assuntos
Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Metilprednisolona , Glucocorticoides , Método Duplo-Cego , Oxigênio , Resultado do Tratamento
12.
PLoS One ; 16(8): e0251378, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34383784

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The benefit of tocilizumab on mortality and time to recovery in people with severe COVID pneumonia may depend on appropriate timing. The objective was to estimate the impact of tocilizumab administration on switching respiratory support states, mortality and time to recovery. METHODS: In an observational study, a continuous-time Markov multi-state model was used to describe the sequence of respiratory support states including: no respiratory support (NRS), oxygen therapy (OT), non-invasive ventilation (NIV) or invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), OT in recovery, NRS in recovery. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy-one consecutive adult patients were included in the analyses contributing to 695 transitions across states. The prevalence of patients in each respiratory support state was estimated with stack probability plots, comparing people treated with and without tocilizumab since the beginning of the OT state. A positive effect of tocilizumab on the probability of moving from the invasive and non-invasive mechanical NIV/IMV state to the OT in recovery state (HR = 2.6, 95% CI = 1.2-5.2) was observed. Furthermore, a reduced risk of death was observed in patients in NIV/IMV (HR = 0.3, 95% CI = 0.1-0.7) or in OT (HR = 0.1, 95% CI = 0.0-0.8) treated with tocilizumab. CONCLUSION: To conclude, we were able to show the positive impact of tocilizumab used in different disease stages depicted by respiratory support states. The use of the multi-state Markov model allowed to harmonize the heterogeneous mortality and recovery endpoints and summarize results with stack probability plots. This approach could inform randomized clinical trials regarding tocilizumab, support disease management and hospital decision making.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/uso terapêutico , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Terapia Respiratória/métodos , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ventilação não Invasiva , Oxigenoterapia , Respiração Artificial , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
13.
AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses ; 37(4): 283-291, 2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33619997

RESUMO

The aim of this study was to evaluate both positive outcomes, including reduction of respiratory support aid and duration of hospital stay, and negative ones, including mortality and a composite of invasive mechanical ventilation or death, in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia treated with or without oral darunavir/cobicistat (DRV/c, 800/150 mg/day) used in different treatment durations. The secondary objective was to evaluate the percentage of patients treated with DRV/c who were exposed to potentially severe drug-drug interactions (DDIs) and died during hospitalization. This observational retrospective study was conducted in consecutive patients with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Modena, Italy. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to compare patients receiving standard of care with or without DRV/c. Adjustment for key confounders was applied. Two hundred seventy-three patients (115 on DRV/c) were included, 75.8% males, mean age was 64.6 (±13.2) years. Clinical improvement was similar between the groups, depicted by respiratory aid switch (p > .05). The same was observed for duration of hospital stay [13.2 (±8.9) for DRV/c vs. 13.4 (±7.2) days for no-DRV/c, p = .9]. Patients on DRV/c had higher rates of mortality (25.2% vs. 10.1%, p < .0001. The rate of composite outcome of mechanical ventilation and death was higher in the DRV/c group (37.4% vs. 25.3%, p = .03). Multiple serious DDI associated with DRV/c were observed in the 19 patients who died. DRV/c should not be recommended as a treatment option for COVID-19 pneumonia outside clinical trials.


Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Cobicistat/uso terapêutico , Darunavir/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Fármacos Anti-HIV/efeitos adversos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/virologia , Cobicistat/efeitos adversos , Darunavir/efeitos adversos , Combinação de Medicamentos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação
14.
PLoS One ; 15(11): e0239172, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33180787

RESUMO

AIMS: The aim of this study was to estimate a 48 hour prediction of moderate to severe respiratory failure, requiring mechanical ventilation, in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. METHODS: This was an observational prospective study that comprised consecutive patients with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to hospital from 21 February to 6 April 2020. The patients' medical history, demographic, epidemiologic and clinical data were collected in an electronic patient chart. The dataset was used to train predictive models using an established machine learning framework leveraging a hybrid approach where clinical expertise is applied alongside a data-driven analysis. The study outcome was the onset of moderate to severe respiratory failure defined as PaO2/FiO2 ratio <150 mmHg in at least one of two consecutive arterial blood gas analyses in the following 48 hours. Shapley Additive exPlanations values were used to quantify the positive or negative impact of each variable included in each model on the predicted outcome. RESULTS: A total of 198 patients contributed to generate 1068 usable observations which allowed to build 3 predictive models based respectively on 31-variables signs and symptoms, 39-variables laboratory biomarkers and 91-variables as a composition of the two. A fourth "boosted mixed model" included 20 variables was selected from the model 3, achieved the best predictive performance (AUC = 0.84) without worsening the FN rate. Its clinical performance was applied in a narrative case report as an example. CONCLUSION: This study developed a machine model with 84% prediction accuracy, which is able to assist clinicians in decision making process and contribute to develop new analytics to improve care at high technology readiness levels.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Infecções por Coronavirus/complicações , Aprendizado de Máquina , Pneumonia Viral/complicações , Insuficiência Respiratória/diagnóstico , Idoso , Betacoronavirus , Gasometria , COVID-19 , Feminino , Humanos , Itália , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Pandemias , Estudos Prospectivos , Respiração Artificial , Insuficiência Respiratória/etiologia , SARS-CoV-2
15.
J Proteomics ; 166: 19-26, 2017 08 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28687424

RESUMO

Component-resolved diagnosis (CRD) of IgE-mediated hypersensitivities is challenged by the possibility that single patients are sensitized to components not commercially available to the clinical lab. Here, we studied a patient with positive extract-based diagnosis of house dust mite (HDM) allergy based on routine in vivo (prick test) and in vitro (serum specific IgE) tests, whose serum scored negative for IgE to the three recombinant allergens routinely used in CRD (group 1 allergens, group 2 allergens and tropomyosin). By means of serological proteome analysis via two-dimensional gel electrophoresis combined with immunoblotting and mass spectrometry, paramyosin (group 11 allergen: Der f 11 and Der p 11) was identified as the allergen component recognized by serum IgE from this patient in a raw allergen extract. Nine patients (64%) had IgE to Der p 11 in a group of 14 HDM allergic patients. BIOLOGICAL SIGNIFICANCE: Our results add up to previous reports indicating that paramyosin is a clinically relevant HDM allergen and highlight that it can represent, in some patients, the first sensitizing component of this allergen source. This suggests that, at the moment, the use of allergen extract for the purpose of measuring IgE reactivity cannot be replaced by component resolved diagnosis and that group 11 allergens should be included among allergen components routinely tested in the clinical laboratory.


Assuntos
Alérgenos/imunologia , Proteoma/análise , Pyroglyphidae/imunologia , Tropomiosina/imunologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Animais , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Hipersensibilidade/diagnóstico , Imunoglobulina E/sangue , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tropomiosina/sangue , Adulto Jovem
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