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BACKGROUND: Familial cancers are those that co-occur among first-degree relatives without showing Mendelian patterns of inheritance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this analysis, we compare the genomic characteristics of familial and sporadic cancers, with a focus on low-grade gliomas (LGGs) using sequence and expression data from the Cancer Genome Atlas. RESULTS: Familial cancers show similar genomic and molecular biomarker profiles to sporadic cancers, consistent with the similarity in their clinical features. There are no statistically significant differences among somatic mutation, copy number variant, or gene expression patterns between familial and sporadic cancers; methylation profiles are the only class of molecular data to show significant differences. CONCLUSION: Familial cancers are likely driven by multiple, individually weak contributions to familiality (i.e. large numbers of alleles and/or shared environmental risks). Consequently, these risk factors tend to be obscured by stronger confounding variables such as clinical or molecular variation among cancer subtypes.
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Biomarcadores Tumorais/genética , Variações do Número de Cópias de DNA/genética , Glioma/genética , Proteínas de Neoplasias/genética , Alelos , Biomarcadores Tumorais/biossíntese , Regulação Neoplásica da Expressão Gênica , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Mutação em Linhagem Germinativa/genética , Glioma/patologia , Humanos , Gradação de Tumores , Proteínas de Neoplasias/biossíntese , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is the most common and aggressive adult primary brain cancer, with <10% of patients surviving for more than 3 years. Demographic and clinical factors (e.g. age) and individual molecular biomarkers have been associated with prolonged survival in GBM patients. However, comprehensive systems-level analyses of molecular profiles associated with long-term survival (LTS) in GBM patients are still lacking. We present an integrative study of molecular data and clinical variables in these long-term survivors (LTSs, patients surviving >3 years) to identify biomarkers associated with prolonged survival, and to assess the possible similarity of molecular characteristics between LGG and LTS GBM. We analyzed the relationship between multivariable molecular data and LTS in GBM patients from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), including germline and somatic point mutation, gene expression, DNA methylation, copy number variation (CNV) and microRNA (miRNA) expression using logistic regression models. The molecular relationship between GBM LTS and LGG tumors was examined through cluster analysis. We identified 13, 94, 43, 29, and 1 significant predictors of LTS using Lasso logistic regression from the somatic point mutation, gene expression, DNA methylation, CNV, and miRNA expression data sets, respectively. Individually, DNA methylation provided the best prediction performance (AUC = 0.84). Combining multiple classes of molecular data into joint regression models did not improve prediction accuracy, but did identify additional genes that were not significantly predictive in individual models. PCA and clustering analyses showed that GBM LTS typically had gene expression profiles similar to non-LTS GBM. Furthermore, cluster analysis did not identify a close affinity between LTS GBM and LGG, nor did we find a significant association between LTS and secondary GBM. The absence of unique LTS profiles and the lack of similarity between LTS GBM and LGG, indicates that there are multiple genetic and epigenetic pathways to LTS in GBM patients.
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Neoplasias Encefálicas/mortalidade , Glioblastoma/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Algoritmos , Biomarcadores Tumorais , Criança , Análise por Conglomerados , Estudos de Coortes , Metilação de DNA , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Dosagem de Genes , Genótipo , Humanos , Masculino , MicroRNAs/metabolismo , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Fenótipo , Mutação Puntual , Análise de Componente Principal , Análise de Regressão , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto JovemRESUMO
STUDY DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness analysis with decision analysis and meta-analysis. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relative cost-effectiveness of anterior cervical discectomy with fusion (with autograft, allograft, or spacers), anterior cervical discectomy without fusion (ACD), and cervical disc replacement (CDR) for the treatment of 1-level cervical disc disease. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: There is debate as to the optimal anterior surgical strategy to treat single-level cervical disc disease. Surgical strategies include 3 techniques of anterior cervical discectomy with fusion (autograft, allograft, or spacer-assisted fusion), ACD, and CDR. Several controlled trials have compared these treatments but have yielded mixed results. Decision analysis provides a structure for making a quantitative comparison of the costs and outcomes of each treatment. METHODS: A literature search was performed and yielded 156 case series that fulfilled our search criteria describing nearly 17,000 cases. Data were abstracted from these publications and pooled meta-analytically to estimate the incidence of various outcomes, including index-level and adjacent-level reoperation. A decision analytic model calculated the expected costs in US dollars and outcomes in quality-adjusted life years for a typical adult patient with 1-level cervical radiculopathy subjected to each of the 5 approaches. RESULTS: At 5 years postoperatively, patients who had undergone ACD alone had significantly (P < 0.001) more quality-adjusted life years (4.885 ± 0.041) than those receiving other treatments. Patients with ACD also exhibited highly significant (P < 0.001) differences in costs, incurring the lowest societal costs ($16,558 ± $539). Follow-up data were inadequate for comparison beyond 5 years. CONCLUSION: The results of our decision analytic model indicate advantages for ACD, both in effectiveness and costs, over other strategies. Thus, ACD is a cost-effective alternative to anterior cervical discectomy with fusion and CDR in patients with single-level cervical disc disease. Definitive conclusions about degenerative changes after ACD and adjacent-level disease after CDR await longer follow-up. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4.
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Vértebras Cervicais/cirurgia , Discotomia/economia , Discotomia/métodos , Degeneração do Disco Intervertebral/cirurgia , Deslocamento do Disco Intervertebral/cirurgia , Adulto , Análise Custo-Benefício , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Humanos , Degeneração do Disco Intervertebral/economia , Deslocamento do Disco Intervertebral/economia , Qualidade de Vida , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Brain tissue segmentation on magnetic resonance (MR) imaging is a difficult task because of significant intensity overlap between the tissue classes. We present a new knowledge-driven decision theory (KDT) approach that incorporates prior information of the relative extents of intensity overlap between tissue class pairs for volumetric MR tissue segmentation. The proposed approach better handles intensity overlap between tissues without explicitly employing methods for removal of MR image corruptions (such as bias field). Adaptive tissue class priors are employed that combine probabilistic atlas maps with spatial contextual information obtained from Markov random fields to guide tissue segmentation. The energy function is minimized using a variational level-set-based framework, which has shown great promise for MR image analysis. We evaluate the proposed method on two well-established real MR datasets with expert ground-truth segmentations and compare our approach against existing segmentation methods. KDT has low-computational complexity and shows better segmentation performance than other segmentation methods evaluated using these MR datasets.
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Differentiating treatment-induced necrosis from tumor recurrence is a central challenge in neuro-oncology. These 2 very different outcomes after brain tumor treatment often appear similarly on routine follow-up imaging studies. They may even manifest with similar clinical symptoms, further confounding an already difficult process for physicians attempting to characterize a new contrast-enhancing lesion appearing on a patient's follow-up imaging. Distinguishing treatment necrosis from tumor recurrence is crucial for diagnosis and treatment planning, and therefore, much effort has been put forth to develop noninvasive methods to differentiate between these disparate outcomes. In this article, we review the latest developments and key findings from research studies exploring the efficacy of structural and functional imaging modalities for differentiating treatment necrosis from tumor recurrence. We discuss the possibility of computational approaches to investigate the usefulness of fine-grained imaging characteristics that are difficult to observe through visual inspection of images. We also propose a flexible treatment-planning algorithm that incorporates advanced functional imaging techniques when indicated by the patient's routine follow-up images and clinical condition.
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Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico , Diagnóstico por Imagem , Necrose , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/diagnóstico , Lesões por Radiação/diagnóstico , Diagnóstico Diferencial , HumanosRESUMO
Weather is the most frequently proposed factor driving apparent seasonal trends in stroke admissions. Here, we present the largest study of the association between weather and ischemic stroke in the USA to date. We consider admissions to 155 United States hospitals in 20 states during the five-year period from 2004 to 2008. The data set included 196,439 stroke admissions, which were classified as ischemic (n=98,930), hemorrhagic (n=18,960), or transient ischemic attack (n=78,549). Variations in stroke admissions were tested to determine if they tracked seasonal and transient weather patterns over the same time period. Using autocorrelation analyses, no significant seasonal changes in stroke admissions were observed over the study period. Using time-series analyses, no significant association was observed between any weather variable and any stroke subtype over the five-year study. This study suggests that seasonal associations between weather and stroke are highly confounded, and an association between weather and stroke is virtually non-existent. Therefore, previous studies reporting an association between specific weather patterns and stroke should be interpreted with caution.
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Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Tempo (Meteorologia) , Isquemia Encefálica/etiologia , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Humanos , Incidência , Estações do Ano , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Alcohol and drug use is known to be a major factor affecting the incidence of traumatic injury. However, the ways in which immediate pre-injury substance use affects patients' clinical care and outcomes remains unclear. The goal of the present study is to determine the associations between pre-injury use of alcohol or drugs and patient injury severity, hospital course, and clinical outcome. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study used more than 200,000 records from the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB), which is the largest trauma registry in the United States. Incidents in the NTDB were placed into one of four classes: alcohol related, drug related, alcohol-and-drug related, and substance negative. Logistic regression models were used to determine comorbid conditions or treatment complications that were significantly associated with pre-injury substance use. Hospital charges were associated with the presence or absence of drugs and alcohol, and patient outcomes were assessed using discharge disposition as delimited by the NTDB. RESULTS: The rates of complications arising during treatment were 8.3, 10.9, 9.9 and 8.6 per one hundred incidents in the alcohol related, drug related, alcohol-and-drug related, and substance-negative classes, respectively. Regression models suggested that pre-injury alcohol use is associated with a 15% higher risk of infection, whereas pre-injury drug use is associated with a 30% higher risk of infection. Pre-injury substance use did not appear to significantly impact clinical outcomes following treatment for traumatic injury, however. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that pre-injury drug use is associated with a significantly higher complication rate. In particular, infection during hospitalization is a significant risk for both alcohol and drug related trauma visits, and drug-related trauma incidents are associated with increased risk for additional circulatory complications. Although drug and alcohol related trauma incidents are not associated with appreciably worse clinical outcomes, patients experiencing such complications are associated with significantly greater length of stay and higher hospitalization costs. Therefore significant benefits to trauma patients could be gained with enhanced surveillance for pre-injury substance use upon admission to the ED, and closer monitoring for infection or circulatory complications during their period of hospitalization.
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BACKGROUND: A seasonal and meteorological influence on the incidence of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has been suggested, but a consensus in the literature has yet to emerge. OBJECTIVE: This study examines the impact of weather patterns on the incidence of SAH using a geographically broad analysis of hospital admissions and represents the largest study of the topic to date. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed SAH admissions to 155 US hospitals during the calendar years 2004 to 2008 (N = 7758). Daily weather readings for temperature, pressure, and humidity were obtained for the same period from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration weather stations located near each hospital. The daily values of each weather variable were associated with the daily volume of SAH admissions using a combination of correlation and time-series analyses. RESULTS: No seasonal trends were observed in the monthly volume of SAH admissions during the study period. No significant correlation was detected between the daily SAH admission volume and the day's weather, the previous day's weather, or the 24-hour weather change. CONCLUSION: This study represents the most comprehensive investigation of the association between weather and spontaneous SAH to date. The results suggest that neither season nor weather significantly influences the incidence of SAH.
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Hemorragia Subaracnóidea/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Subaracnóidea/etiologia , Tempo (Meteorologia) , Hospitais , Humanos , Incidência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estações do Ano , Estados UnidosRESUMO
OBJECT Standard treatment options for patients with lumbar spinal stenosis include nonoperative therapies as well as decompressive laminectomy. The introduction of interspinous decompression devices such as the X-STOP has broadened treatment options, but data comparing these treatment strategies are lacking. The object of this study was to provide a cost-effectiveness analysis of laminectomy, interspinous decompression, and nonoperative treatment for patients with lumbar stenosis. METHODS The authors performed a structured literature review of lumbar stenosis and constructed a cost-effectiveness model. Using conservative treatment, decompressive laminectomy, and placement of X-STOP as the treatment arms, their primary analysis evaluated the optimal treatment strategy for a patient with lumbar stenosis at a 2-year time horizon. Secondary analyses were done to compare cases in which patients required single-level procedures with those in which multilevel procedures were required as well as to examine the outcomes for a 4-year time horizon. Outcomes were calculated using quality-adjusted life years and costs were considered from the perspective of society. RESULTS Laminectomy was found to be the most effective treatment strategy, followed by X-STOP and then conservative treatment at a 2-year time horizon. Both surgical procedures were more costly than conservative treatment. Because laminectomy was both more effective and less costly than X-STOP, it is said to dominate overall. When single level procedures were considered alone, laminectomy was more effective but also more costly than X-STOP. CONCLUSIONS Lumbar laminectomy appears to be the most cost-effective treatment strategy for patients with symptomatic lumbar spinal stenosis.
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Descompressão Cirúrgica/métodos , Laminectomia/métodos , Vértebras Lombares/cirurgia , Estenose Espinal/cirurgia , Fenômenos Biomecânicos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Árvores de Decisões , Descompressão Cirúrgica/economia , Descompressão Cirúrgica/instrumentação , Avaliação da Deficiência , Humanos , Laminectomia/economia , Dispositivos de Fixação Ortopédica , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estenose Espinal/economiaRESUMO
As their power and utility increase, genome-wide association (GWA) studies are poised to become an important element of the neurosurgeon's toolkit for diagnosing and treating disease. In this paper, the authors review recent findings and discuss issues associated with gathering and analyzing GWA data for the study of neurological diseases and disorders, including those of neurosurgical importance. Their goal is to provide neurosurgeons and other clinicians with a better understanding of the practical and theoretical issues associated with this line of research. A modern GWA study involves testing hundreds of thousands of genetic markers across an entire genome, often in thousands of individuals, for any significant association with a particular disease. The number of markers assayed in a study presents several practical and theoretical issues that must be considered when planning the study. Genome-wide association studies show great promise in our understanding of the genes underlying common neurological diseases and disorders, as well as in leading to a new generation of genetic tests for clinicians.
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Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla/métodos , Genômica/métodos , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso/genética , Marcadores Genéticos , Genótipo , Humanos , Doenças do Sistema Nervoso/cirurgia , NeurocirurgiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To compare cost-effectiveness of different strategies for completion angiography after cerebral aneurysm clipping. METHODS: A literature search was used to determine the outcome probabilities and costs of various strategies. The pooled results were used in a Markov cost-effectiveness model to compare quality-adjusted life-years and costs of each strategy. Sensitivity (threshold) analyses and Monte Carlo simulation were used to test variation in the model. RESULTS: Routine (for all cases) intraoperative angiography proved to be slightly more cost-effective than selective (only for cases deemed "high risk") intraoperative angiography, being both less costly and more effective. Routine postoperative angiography was the least cost-effective. However, in centers whose rates of clip-induced arterial compromise are much lower than the averages reported in the literature, selective angiography might be warranted. CONCLUSION: Routine intraoperative angiography remains the most cost-effective form of completion angiography after aneurysm clipping, at least at our present state of technology.
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Angiografia Cerebral/economia , Angiografia Cerebral/métodos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Aneurisma Intracraniano/economia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Operatórios/economia , Humanos , Aneurisma Intracraniano/cirurgia , MEDLINE/estatística & dados numéricos , Cadeias de Markov , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Instrumentos Cirúrgicos/provisão & distribuiçãoRESUMO
Decisions regarding the return of injured athletes to contact sports after spinal surgery can be complicated. The authors offer a brief overview of the return-to-play guidelines used successfully at their institution for the past two decades when caring for professional and amateur athletes after spinal surgery.
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Traumatismos em Atletas/reabilitação , Traumatismos da Coluna Vertebral/reabilitação , Humanos , Vértebras Lombares/lesões , Vértebras Torácicas/lesõesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: There is considerable uncertainty about the indications for cranial computed tomography (CT) scanning in patient with minor traumatic brain injury (TBI). This analysis involves an evidence-based comparison of several strategies for selecting patients for CT with regard to effectiveness and cost. METHODS: We performed a structured literature review of mild traumatic brain injury and constructed a cost-effectiveness model. The model estimated the impact of missed intracranial lesions on longevity, quality of life and costs. Using a 20-year-old patient for primary analysis, we compared the following strategies to screen for the need to perform a CT scan: observation in the emergency department or hospital floor, skull radiography, Selective CT based on the presence of additional risk factors and scanning all. RESULTS: Outcome measures for each strategy included average years of life, quality of life and costs. Selective CT and the CT All policy performed significantly better than the alternatives with respect to outcome. They were also less expensive in terms of total direct health care costs, although the differences did not reach statistical significance. The model yielded similar, but smaller, differences between the selective imaging and other strategies when run for older patients. CONCLUSIONS: Although the incidence of intracranial lesions, especially those that require surgery, is low in mild TBI, the consequences of delayed diagnosis are forbidding. Adverse outcome of an intracranial hematoma is so costly that it more than balances the expense of CT scans. In our cost-effectiveness model, the liberal use of CT scanning in mild TBI appears justified.
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Lesões Encefálicas/diagnóstico por imagem , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/economia , Lesões Encefálicas/economia , Lesões Encefálicas/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Árvores de Decisões , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
/Late cerebral radiation necrosis usually occurs within 3 years of stereotactic radiosurgery. The authors report on a case of recurrent radiation necrosis with rapid clinical deterioration and imaging findings resembling those of a malignant glioma. This 68-year-old man, who had a history of a left posterior temporal and thalamic arteriovenous malformation (AVM) treated with linear accelerator radiosurgery 13 years before presentation and complicated by radiation necrosis 11 years before presentation, exhibited new-onset mixed aphasia, right hemiparesis, and right hemineglect. Imaging studies demonstrated hemorrhage and an enlarging, heterogeneously enhancing mass in the region of the previously treated AVM. The patient was treated medically with corticosteroid agents, and stabilized temporarily. Unfortunately, his condition worsened precipitously soon thereafter, requiring the placement of a shunt for relief of obstructive hydrocephalus. Further surgical intervention was offered, but the patient's family opted for hospice care instead. The patient died 10 weeks after initially presenting to the authors' institution, and the results of an autopsy demonstrated radiation necrosis. Symptomatic radiation necrosis can occur more than a decade after stereotactic radiosurgery, necessitating patient follow up during a longer period of time than currently practiced. Furthermore, there is a need for more careful reporting on the natural history of such cases to clarify the pathogenesis of very late and recurrent radiation necrosis after radiosurgery and to define patient groups with a higher risk for these entities.
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Encéfalo/patologia , Encéfalo/efeitos da radiação , Malformações Arteriovenosas Intracranianas/cirurgia , Radiocirurgia/efeitos adversos , Idoso , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Necrose , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Lesões por Radiação , RecidivaRESUMO
Systemic hemangiomatosis is extremely rare in adolescents and adults. The authors describe a 37-year-old man with a history of hepatic, splenic, cerebral, and multiple recurring osseous hemangiomas since age 14. After a 9-year period without disease progression, the patient presented with an acute bilateral lower extremity myelopathy. This was secondary to a T11 vertebral hemangioma that compressed the spinal cord. A 2-week course of radiation therapy failed to alleviate the patient's symptoms. Successful T11 vertebrectomy was then performed to decompress the spinal cord. The many organs and serially involved bones may represent a distinct variant of hemangiomatosis not previously described in the literature.
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Hemangioma/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Primárias Múltiplas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Coluna Vertebral/diagnóstico , Vértebras Torácicas/patologia , Adulto , Descompressão Cirúrgica , Hemangioma/patologia , Hemangioma/cirurgia , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias Primárias Múltiplas/patologia , Neoplasias Primárias Múltiplas/cirurgia , Recidiva , Compressão da Medula Espinal/etiologia , Compressão da Medula Espinal/patologia , Fusão Vertebral , Neoplasias da Coluna Vertebral/patologia , Neoplasias da Coluna Vertebral/cirurgia , Síndrome , Vértebras Torácicas/cirurgia , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Functional stimulation is accompanied by increases in regional cerebral blood flow which exceed metabolic demands under normal circumstances, but it is unknown whether functional stimulation is beneficial or detrimental in the setting of acute ischemia. The aim of this study was to determine the effect of forepaw stimulation during temporary focal ischemia on neurological and tissue outcome in a rat model of reversible focal forebrain ischemia. METHODS: Sprague-Dawley rats were prepared for temporary occlusion of the right middle cerebral artery (MCA) using the filament model. Cerebral blood flow in the MCA territory was continuously monitored with a laser-Doppler flowmeter. Subdermal electrodes were inserted into the dorsal forepaw to stimulate either the forepaw ipsilateral or contralateral to the occlusion starting 1 minute into ischemia and continuing throughout the ischemic period. A neurological evaluation was undertaken after 24 hours of reperfusion, and animals were then euthanized and brain slices stained with 2,3,5-triphenyltetrazolium chloride. Cortical and striatal damage was measured separately. RESULTS: The cortical and striatal infarct volumes were both significantly reduced in the contralateral stimulated group compared with the ipsilateral stimulated group (48% total reduction). There were no statistically significant differences in the neurobehavioral scores between the 2 groups, or in the laser-Doppler flow measurements from the MCA core. CONCLUSIONS: Functional stimulation of ischemic tissue may decrease tissue damage and improve outcome from stroke. Although the precise mechanism of this effect remains to be determined, functional stimulation could readily be translated to clinical practice.
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Isquemia Encefálica/fisiopatologia , Estimulação Elétrica , Animais , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico por imagem , Isquemia Encefálica/patologia , Isquemia Encefálica/terapia , Circulação Cerebrovascular , Terapia por Estimulação Elétrica , Técnicas In Vitro , Artéria Cerebral Média/patologia , Ratos , Ratos Sprague-Dawley , Ultrassonografia Doppler TranscranianaRESUMO
OBJECT: The average 65-year-old patient with moderate dementia can look forward to only 1.4 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), that is, longevity times quality of life. Some of these patients suffer from normal-pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) and respond dramatically to shunt insertion. Currently, however, NPH cannot be diagnosed with certainty. The authors constructed a Markov decision analysis model to predict the outcome in patients with NPH treated with and without shunts. METHODS: Transition probabilities and health utilities were obtained from a review of the literature. A sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo simulation were applied to test outcomes over a wide range of parameters. Using shunt response and complication rates from the literature, the average patient receiving a shunt would gain an additional 1.7 QALYs as a result of automatic shunt insertion. Even if 50% of patients receiving a shunt have complications, the shunt response rate would need to be less than 5% for empirical shunt insertion to do more harm than good. Authors of most studies have reported far better statistics. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, many more patients with suspected NPH should be considered for shunt insertion.
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Derivações do Líquido Cefalorraquidiano/estatística & dados numéricos , Demência/cirurgia , Hidrocefalia de Pressão Normal/cirurgia , Idoso , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Árvores de Decisões , Demência/mortalidade , Humanos , Hidrocefalia de Pressão Normal/mortalidade , Cadeias de Markov , Método de Monte Carlo , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Probabilidade , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Análise de SobrevidaRESUMO
OBJECT: Many tests have been proposed to help choose candidates for shunt insertion in cases of suspected normal-pressure hydrocephalus (NPH). It is unclear what sensitivity and specificity a prospective test must have to improve outcomes, compared with the results of automatic shunt insertion. METHODS: The authors adapted the decision analysis model used in a companion article to allow for application of a screening test. Using the reported sensitivities and specificities of several such tests, they evaluated the effects such tests would have on the expected outcome of an average 65-year-old patient with moderate dementia. They also evaluated the cost-effectiveness of a theoretical screening test with superior sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSIONS: Although external lumbar drainage comes quite close, none of the screening tests reported to date have sufficient sensitivity and specificity to improve expected outcome in an average candidate, compared with the results of automatic shunt placement in cases of suspected NPH. In addition, even a theoretically improved test would need to be considerably less expensive than prolonged lumbar drainage to be cost-effective in clinical practice.
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Demência/economia , Demência/cirurgia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hidrocefalia de Pressão Normal/economia , Hidrocefalia de Pressão Normal/cirurgia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício/economia , Demência/diagnóstico , Demência/mortalidade , Humanos , Hidrocefalia de Pressão Normal/diagnóstico , Hidrocefalia de Pressão Normal/mortalidade , Método de Monte Carlo , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Análise de Sobrevida , Estados UnidosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: There has never been a large, randomized controlled trial to assess the impact of intraoperative imaging on the success of carotid endarterectomy (CEA). This comparison involves cost-effectiveness analysis. METHODS: We constructed a decision-analytic model to compare effectiveness and costs of intraoperative ultrasound (IUS) and completion angiography as adjuncts to CEA. Data on procedural mortality, morbidity, and costs were obtained from the English-language literature. The review included a total of 52 reports, encompassing more than 22,000 patients. The main components of costs were those of the monitoring interventions and the care of perioperative stroke. RESULTS: Mean perioperative outcome without completion imaging is approximately 96.7% of what it would be in the absence of perioperative stroke or death. IUS and completion angiography each result in approximately 2% improvement in expected outcome. Mean perioperative costs are 396.50 dollars for IUS, 721.30 dollars for no monitoring, and 840.90 dollars for completion angiography. Because IUS is significantly more effective at detecting technical errors that would likely result in perioperative stroke than no imaging and is significantly less costly than angiography, this strategy dominates the other two (i.e., it provides greater effectiveness at lower cost). CONCLUSION: Although surgical complications are uncommon, IUS substantially lowers the rate of perioperative stroke and mortality and thus is significantly more cost-effective than either completion angiography or no operative imaging.