Tobacco Smoking Rates in a National Cohort of People with Substance Use Disorder Receiving Treatment.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The prevalence of tobacco smoking among individuals receiving treatment for substance use disorder (SUD) remains high. Respiratory disease and other harms are of prime concern to health policy-makers, given the contributory role played by tobacco smoking in the excess rates of premature mortality seen in individuals with SUD. The aim was to use SUD treatment data to investigate tobacco smoking prevalence among subgroups of adults over the course of treatment. METHODS: We used the English National Drug Treatment Monitoring System (NDTMS) to examine number of days tobacco had been smoked in the previous month in adults receiving SUD treatment (N = 106,472, median length of treatment 157 days). RESULTS: At baseline (treatment start), 48.7% reported smoking tobacco; the highest rate was observed in opiate users (61%). Overall, the level of smoking at the latest assessment was 48.5%. Reductions (of between 5 and 7%) were observed among those who finished treatment but only within the final stages of treatment. A 5% increase in smoking was observed in those still in treatment within the study timeframe. CONCLUSIONS: This study identifies the potential for a greater emphasis on reducing tobacco consumption within SUD treatment, for example, by offering all smokers within SUD treatment smoking cessation support as part of their SUD treatment programme.

Cocaine treatment demands in 10 western European countries: observed trends between 2011 and 2018.

AIMS: To describe cocaine treatment demand in 10 western European countries and to examine the size, direction and temporality of recent trends in the proportion of cocaine users among all clients entering treatment. DESIGN: Aggregated data collected through the European Union standardized treatment demand monitoring system (TDI) between 2011 and 2018 were used. SETTING: Belgium, England, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Spain, Switzerland and the Netherlands. PARTICIPANTS: In total, more than 700 000 cocaine treatment records were analysed. Clients in treatment for cocaine as primary drug were predominantly male (85%), with an average age of 35 years. MEASUREMENTS: Number of treatment episodes for substance use and for cocaine as primary or secondary drug were collected year- and country-wise. When available, powder cocaine and crack and patients with and without previous treatment were differentiated. FINDINGS: Among the participating countries the share of cocaine as primary drug in treatment demand ranged between 4.7% [95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.6-4.9%] in Germany and 43.1% in Spain (95% CI = 42.6-43.5%). The general trend analysis showed a decreasing proportion of cocaine-related treatment entrants between 2011 and 2014 among all subgroups followed by a strong increase in 2015. The increase appeared stronger than for powder cocaine. Seven of 10 countries observed a recent significant increase in the proportion of treatment entrants reporting cocaine as the primary substance: Belgium [annual percentage change (APC) = 9.6%, P < 0.01], England (APC = 14.9%, P < 0.05), France (APC = 21.8%, P < 0.01), Ireland (APC = 28.2%, P < 0.01), Italy (APC = 7.8%, P < 0.01), Spain (APC = 7.0%, P < 0.05) and Switzerland (APC = 12.0%, P < 0.05). Trends were similar when looking at cocaine reported as primary or adjunctive substance. CONCLUSIONS: Despite substantial country-specific variation regarding cocaine prevalence and treatment demand, there has been an overall significant increase since 2015 in the share of cocaine-related treatment demand in western Europe.

Modeling the Potential Impact of Changing Access Rates to Specialist Treatment for Alcohol Dependence for Local Authorities in England: The Specialist Treatment for Alcohol Model (STreAM).

OBJECTIVE: We modeled the impact of changing Specialist Treatment Access Rates to different treatment pathways on the future prevalence of alcohol dependence, treatment outcomes, service capacity, costs, and mortality. METHOD: Local Authority numbers and the prevalence of people "potentially in need of assessment for and treatment in specialist services for alcohol dependence" (PINASTFAD) are estimated by mild, moderate, severe, and complex needs. Administrative data were used to estimate the Specialist Treatment Access Rate per PINASTFAD person and classify 22 different treatment pathways. Other model inputs include natural remission, relapse after treatment, service costs, and mortality rates. "What-if" analyses assess changes to Specialist Treatment Access Rates and treatment pathways. Model outputs include the numbers and prevalence of people who are PINASTFAD, numbers treated by 22 pathways, outcomes (successful completion with abstinence, successfully moderated nonproblematic drinking, re-treatment within 6 months, dropout, transfer, custody), mortality rates, capacity requirements (numbers in contact with community services or staying in residential or inpatient places), total treatment costs, and general health care savings. Five scenarios illustrate functionality: (a) no change, (b) achieve access rates at the 70th percentile nationally, (c) increase access by 25%, (d) increase access to Scotland rate, and (e) reduce access by 25%. RESULTS: At baseline, 14,581 people are PINASTFAD (2.43% of adults) and the Specialist Treatment Access Rate is 10.84%. The 5-year impact of scenarios on PINASTFAD numbers (vs. no change) are (B) reduced by 191 (-1.3%), (C) reduced by 477 (-3.3%), (D) reduced by almost 2,800 (-19.2%), and (E) increased by 533 (+3.6%). The relative impact is similar for other outputs. CONCLUSIONS: Decision makers can estimate the potential impact of changing Specialist Treatment Access Rates for alcohol dependence.

Geographical and ecological analyses of childhood acute leukaemias and lymphomas in north-west England.

Childhood leukaemias and lymphomas have been associated with exposure to environmental factors, including infections, which show geographical variation. This study examined the geographical distribution of the incidence of acute leukaemia and lymphoma using Manchester Children's Tumour Registry (MCTR) data 1976-2000. A total of 910 children were included, all of whom had histologically and/or cytologically verified leukaemia or lymphoma. At the time of their diagnoses, all the children were aged 0-14 years and were resident in the counties of Greater Manchester or Lancashire. Standardized morbidity ratios were calculated. Poisson regression was used to examine the relationship between incidence rates and small-area (census ward) population density, ethnic composition and deprivation index. There was a monotonic relationship between acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) incidence and population density (P = 0.05). Higher rates were seen in more densely populated areas. There was evidence for a monotonic relationship between the incidence of the mixed cellularity subtype of Hodgkin's disease (HD) and the Townsend deprivation score (P = 0.001). Markedly higher incidence was associated with greater levels of unemployment and household overcrowding. The results for ALL and mixed cellularity HD support the involvement of environmental factors, such as infections, in disease aetiology.

Geographical and ecological analyses of childhood Wilms' tumours and soft-tissue sarcomas in North West England.

The aim of this paper was to study the geographical distribution of Wilms' tumours (WT) and soft-tissue sarcomas (STS) for 0-14 year olds included in a population-based registry from North West England during 1976-2000. Standardised morbidity ratios (SMRs) were calculated. Relationships between incidence rates and small area (ward) population density, ethnic composition, deprivation index and urban-rural status were examined using Poisson regression. There was a non-linear relationship between WT incidence and population density (P=0.008), with a higher incidence associated with wards with low deprivation scores (P=0.02); and which included a greater proportion of whites (P=0.01). For STS, a higher incidence was associated with wards with low deprivation scores (P=0.04); and which were 'more rural/less urban' (P=0.03). These results are consistent with a role for localised environmental exposures, in combination with lifestyle factors, in the aetiology of WT. For STS, there is some evidence for the involvement of environmental and/or lifestyle factors.

Space-time clustering patterns in childhood solid tumours other than central nervous system tumours.

The aetiology of most childhood solid tumours (other than central nervous system [CNS] tumours) is unclear. To investigate whether certain environmental exposures may be involved, we have analysed for space-time clustering using population-based data from North West England for the period 1954-98. Knox tests for space-time interactions between cases were applied with fixed thresholds of close in space, <5 km, and close in time, <1 year apart. Addresses at birth and at diagnosis were used. Tests were repeated replacing geographical distance with distance to the Nth nearest neighbour. N was chosen such that the mean distance was 5 km. Data were also examined by a second order procedure based on K-functions. There was significant evidence of space-time clustering for Wilms' tumours (p = 0.03 and 0.04, using the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the Knox test; and p = 0.07 and 0.03, using the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the K-function method), and soft tissue sarcomas (p = 0.01, using both the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the Knox test; and p = 0.001 and 0.002, using the geographical distance and nearest neighbour versions of the K-function method) based on time and location at birth, but not time and location at diagnosis. There was little or no evidence of space-time clustering amongst other diagnostic groups. These are the first results to demonstrate space-time clustering for childhood Wilms' tumours and soft tissue sarcomas. The results are consistent with environmental exposure hypotheses, relating to locations pre-natally or peri-natally.