Normal Lung Function and Mortality in World Trade Center Responders and National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III Participants.

Rationale: Low FEV1 is a biomarker of increased mortality. The association of normal lung function and mortality is not well described. Objectives: To evaluate the FEV1-mortality association among participants with normal lung function. Methods: A total of 10,999 Fire Department of the City of New York (FDNY) responders and 10,901 Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) participants, aged 18-65 years with FEV1 ⩾80% predicted, were analyzed, with FEV1 percent predicted calculated using Global Lung Function Initiative Global race-neutral reference equations. Mortality data were obtained from linkages to the National Death Index. Cox proportional hazards models estimated the association between FEV1 and all-cause mortality, controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking history, and, for FDNY, work assignment. Cohorts were followed for a maximum of 20.3 years. Measurements and Main Results: We observed 504 deaths (4.6%) of 10,999 for FDNY and 1,237 deaths (9.4% [weighted]) of 10,901 for NHANES III. Relative to FEV1 ⩾120% predicted, mortality was significantly higher for FEV1 100-109%, 90-99%, and 80-89% predicted in the FDNY cohort. In the NHANES III cohort, mortality was significantly higher for FEV1 90-99% and 80-89% predicted. Each 10% higher predicted FEV1 was associated with 15% (hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.80-0.91) and 23% (hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.84) lower mortality for FDNY and NHANES III, respectively. Conclusions: In both cohorts, higher FEV1 is associated with lower mortality, suggesting higher FEV1 is a biomarker of better health. These findings demonstrate that a single cross-sectional measurement of FEV1 is predictive of mortality over two decades, even when FEV1 is in the normal range.

All-cause and cause-specific mortality in a cohort of WTC-exposed and non-WTC-exposed firefighters.

OBJECTIVE: To compare mortality rates in World Trade Center (WTC)-exposed Fire Department of the City of New York (FDNY) firefighters with rates in similarly healthy, non-WTC-exposed/non-FDNY firefighters, and compare mortality in each firefighter cohort with the general population. METHODS: 10 786 male WTC-exposed FDNY firefighters and 8813 male non-WTC-exposed firefighters from other urban fire departments who were employed on 11 September 2001 were included in the analyses. Only WTC-exposed firefighters received health monitoring via the WTC Health Programme (WTCHP). Follow-up began 11 September 2001 and ended at the earlier of death date or 31 December 2016. Death data were obtained from the National Death Index and demographics from the fire departments. We estimated standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) in each firefighter cohort versus US males using demographic-specific US mortality rates. Poisson regression models estimated relative rates (RRs) of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in WTC-exposed versus non-WTC-exposed firefighters, controlling for age and race. RESULTS: Between 11 September 2001 and 31 December 2016, there were 261 deaths among WTC-exposed firefighters and 605 among non-WTC-exposed. Both cohorts had reduced all-cause mortality compared with US males (SMR (95% CI)=0.30 (0.26 to 0.34) and 0.60 (0.55 to 0.65) in WTC-exposed and non-WTC-exposed, respectively). WTC-exposed firefighters also had lower rates of all-cause mortality (RR=0.54, 95% CI=0.49 to 0.59) and cancer-specific, cardiovascular-specific and respiratory disease-specific mortality compared with non-WTC-exposed firefighters. CONCLUSION: Both firefighter cohorts had lower than expected all-cause mortality. Fifteen years post 11 September 2001, mortality was lower in WTC-exposed versus non-WTC-exposed firefighters. Lower mortality in the WTC-exposed suggests not just a healthy worker effect, but additional factors such as greater access to free health monitoring and treatment that they receive via the WTCHP.

Association of Lung Function Decline with All-Cause and Cancer-Cause Mortality after World Trade Center Dust Exposure.

Rationale: In numerous cohorts, lung function decline is associated with all-cause and cardiovascular-cause mortality, but the association between the decrease in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and cancer-cause mortality, particularly after occupational/environmental exposure(s), is unclear. Exposure to dust/smoke from the World Trade Center (WTC) disaster caused inflammation and lung injury in Fire Department of the City of New York rescue/recovery workers. In addition, prior research found that >10% of the cohort experienced greater than twice the age-related decrease in FEV1 (⩾64 ml/yr). Objectives: To evaluate the association of longitudinal lung function with all-cause and cancer-cause mortality after exposure to the WTC disaster. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study using longitudinal prebronchodilator FEV1 data for 12,264 WTC-exposed firefighters and emergency medical service providers. All-cause and cancer-cause mortality were ascertained using National Death Index data from September 12, 2001, through December 31, 2021. Joint longitudinal survival models evaluated the association of baseline FEV1 and change in FEV1 from baseline with all-cause and cancer-cause mortality adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, height, smoking, work assignment (firefighters vs. emergency medical service providers), and WTC exposure. Results: By December 31, 2021, 607 of the 12,264 individuals in the cohort (4.9%) had died (crude rate = 259.5 per 100,000 person-years), and 190 of 12,264 (1.5%) had died from cancer (crude rate = 81.2 per 100,000 person-years). Baseline FEV1 was ⩾80% predicted in 10,970 of the 12,264 (89.4%); final FEV1 was ⩾80% in 9,996 (81.5%). Lower FEV1 at baseline was associated with greater risk for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] per liter = 2.32; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.98-2.72) and cancer-cause mortality (HR per liter = 1.99; 95% CI = 1.49-2.66). Longitudinally, each 100-ml/yr decrease in FEV1 was associated with an 11% increase in all-cause mortality (HR = 1.11; 95% CI = 1.06-1.15) and a 7% increase in cancer-cause mortality (HR = 1.07; 95% CI = 1.00-1.15). Compared with FEV1 decrease <64 ml/yr, those with FEV1 decrease ⩾64 ml/yr had higher all-cause (HR = 2.91; 95% CI = 2.37-3.56) and cancer-cause mortality (HR = 2.68; 95% CI = 1.90-3.79). Conclusions: Baseline FEV1 and longitudinal FEV1 decrease are associated with increased risk of all-cause and cancer-cause mortality in a previously healthy occupational cohort, the majority of whom had normal lung function, after intense exposure to dust/smoke. Further investigation is needed to define pathways by which lung function impacts mortality after an irritant exposure.