Integrating Radiomics and Neural Networks for Knee Osteoarthritis Incidence Prediction.

OBJECTIVE: Accurately predicting knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is essential for early detection and personalized treatment. We aimed to develop and test an MRI-based Joint Space Radiomic Model (JS-RM) to predict radiographic KOA incidence through neural networks by integrating meniscus and femorotibial cartilage radiomic features. METHODS: In the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort, knees without radiographic KOA at baseline but at high risk for radiographic KOA were included. Case knees developed radiographic KOA whereas control knees did not over 4-year. We randomly split the knees into development and test cohorts (D/T=8/2) and extracted features from baseline 3D-DESS-sequence MRI. Model performance was evaluated using an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity in both cohorts. Nine resident surgeons performed the reader experiment without/with the JS-RM aid. RESULTS: Our study included 549 knees in the development cohort (275 cases vs. 274 controls) and 137 knees in the test cohort (68 cases vs. 69 controls). In the test cohort, JS-RM had a favorable accuracy for predicting the radiographic KOA incidence with an AUC of 0.931 (95%CI: 0.876-0.963), a sensitivity of 84.4% (95%CI: 83.9%-84.9%), and a specificity of 85.6% (95%CI: 85.2%-86.0%). The mean specificity and sensitivity of resident surgeons through MRI reading in predicting radiographic KOA incidence were increased from 0.474 (95%CI: 0.333-0.614) and 0.586 (95%CI: 0.429-0.743) without the assistance of JS-RM to 0.874 (95%CI: 0.847-0.901) and 0.812 (95%CI: 0.742-0.881) with JS-RM assistance, respectively (p<.001). CONCLUSION: JS-RM integrating the features of the meniscus and cartilage showed improved predictive values in radiographic KOA incidence.

The impact of ankle-foot orthoses on mobility of dual-task walking in stroke patients? A cross-sectional two-factor factorial design clinical trial.

ABSTRACTTo assess the impact of ankle-foot orthoses (AFOs) on mobility and gait during dual-task walking in post-stroke survivors. In this cross-sectional, factorial design trial, stroke survivors performed four randomized tasks: (1) dual-task walking with AFOs, (2) single-task walking with AFOs, (3) dual-task walking without AFOs, and (4) single-task walking without AFOs. Primary outcome was the Timed Up and Go (TUG) test, with secondary outcomes including gait metrics, Tinetti scores, and auditory N-back tests. In the results, 48 subjects (38 males and 10 females; 19-65 years) completed the trial. Patients had a greater TUG score with AFOs compared with non-AFOs conditions (95% CI: 7.22-14.41, P < 0.001) in single-task and dual-task conditions. Secondary outcomes showed marked enhancement with AFOs during dual-task walking, with significant interaction effects in gait metrics, balance, and cognitive function (P < 0.05). Although not statistically significant, dual-task effects of TUG and walking speed were more pronounced during dual-task walking. In conclusion, AFOs enhance mobility and gait during both single and dual-task walking in post-stroke survivors.

The association between anterior cruciate ligament degeneration and incident knee osteoarthritis: Data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

Background: Though anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) tear has been widely accepted as an important accelerator for knee osteoarthritis (KOA), the role of intrinsic ACL degeneration in developing KOA has not been fully investigated. Purpose: To determine whether ACL degeneration, in the absence of ACL tear, is associated with incident KOA over 4 years. Study design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2. Methods: Participants' knees in this nested case-control study were selected from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) study, with Kellgren-Lawrence grading (Kellgren-Lawrence grading) of 0 or 1 â€‹at baseline (BL). Case knees which had incident KOA (KLG ≥2) over 4 years, were matched 1:1 with control knees by gender, age and radiographic status. ACL signal intensity alteration (0-3 scale) and volume were assessed as compositional feature and morphology of ACL degeneration, using knee MRI at P0 (time of onset of incident KOA), P-1 (1 year prior to P0) and baseline. Conditional logistic regression was applied to analyze the association between measures of ACL degeneration and incident KOA. Results: 337 case knees with incident KOA were matched to 337 control knees. Participants were mostly female (68.5%), with an average age of 59.9 years old. ACL signal intensity alterations at BL, P-1 and P0 were significantly associated with an increased odds of incident KOA respectively (all P for trend ≤0.001). In contrast, ACL volumes were not significantly associated with incident KOA at any time points. Conclusions: ACL signal intensity alteration is associated with increased incident KOA over 4 years, whereas ACL volume is not.The translational potential of this article: This paper focused on ACL signal intensity alteration which could better reflect ACL degeneration rather than ACL tear during the progression of KOA and explored this topic in a nested case-control study. Utilizing MR images from KOA participants, we extracted the imaging features of ACL. In addition, we established a semi-quantitative score for ACL signal intensity alteration and found a significant correlation between it and KOA incidence. Our findings confirmed that the more severe the ACL signal intensity alteration, the stronger relationship with the occurrence of KOA. This suggests that more emphasis should be placed on ACL degeneration rather than ACL integrity in the future.

Electro-acupuncture for central obesity: a patient-assessor blinded, randomized sham-controlled clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Central obesity is considered as a significant health threat to individuals. Scientific research has demonstrated that intra-abdominal fat accumulation is associated with higher metabolic and cardiovascular disease risks independent of Body Mass Index (BMI). This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of electro-acupuncture in treating central obesity compared with sham acupuncture. METHOD: This was a patient-assessor blinded, randomized, sham-controlled clinical trial. One hundred sixty eight participants aged between 18 and 65 years old with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 and waist circumference (WC) of men ≥ 90 cm / women ≥ 80 cm were enrolled and allocated to the acupuncture or sham acupuncture group equally. For the acupuncture group, disposable acupuncture needles were inserted into eight body acupoints, including Tianshu (ST-25), Daheng (SP-15), Daimai (GB-26), Qihai (CV-6), Zhongwan (CV-12), Zusanli (ST-36), Fenglong (ST-40), and Sanyinjiao (SP-6) with electrical stimulation. For the control group, Streitberger's non-invasive acupuncture needles were utilized at the same acupoints with identical stimulation modalities. The treatment duration was 8 weeks with 2 sessions per week and the follow-up period was 8 weeks. The primary outcome was the change in WC before and after the treatment. The secondary outcomes were the changes in hip circumference, waist-to-hip circumference ratio, BMI, and body fat percentage during the treatment and follow-up period. RESULTS: The acupuncture group displayed a significant change in WC compared to the sham group both treatment and follow-up period (MD = -1.1 cm, 95% CI = -2.8 to 4.1). Significant change in body fat percentage was recorded for both groups after treatment but no significance was observed during the follow-up period (MD = -0.1%, 95% CI = -1.9 to 2.2). The changes in hip circumference were also significant both treatment and follow-up period for the acupuncture group (MD = -2.0 cm, 95% CI = -3.7 to -1.7). Compared with sham acupuncture, the body weight (MD = -1 kg, 95% CI = -3.3 to 5.3), BMI (MD = -0.5, 95% CI = -0.7 to 1.9) also decreased significantly within and between groups. The incidence of adverse events was similar in the two groups. CONCLUSION: This study provided evidence that electro-acupuncture could be effective in treating central obesity by reducing WC, hip circumference, body weight, BMI, and waist-to-hip circumference ratio. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03815253, Registered 24 Jan 2019.

Osteoporosis and osteoarthritis: a bi-directional Mendelian randomization study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the causal relationship between low bone mineral density (BMD) and osteoarthritis (OA) using Mendelian randomization (MR) design. METHODS: Two-sample bi-directional MR analyses were performed using summary-level information on OA traits from UK Biobank and arcOGEN. Sensitivity analyses including MR-Egger, simple median, weighted median, MR pleiotropy residual sum, and outlier approaches were utilized in conjunction with inverse variance weighting (IVW). Gene ontology (GO) enrichment analyses and expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) colocalization analyses were used to investigate the potential mechanism and shared genes between osteoporosis (OP) and OA. RESULTS: The IVW method revealed that genetically predicted low femoral neck BMD was significantly linked with hip (ß = 0.105, 95% CI: 0.023-0.188) and knee OA (ß = 0.117, 95% CI: 0.049-0.184), but not with other site-specific OA. Genetically predicted low lumber spine BMD was significantly associated with OA at any sites (ß = 0.048, 95% CI: 0.011-0.085), knee OA (ß = 0.101, 95% CI: 0.045-0.156), and hip OA (ß = 0.150, 95% CI: 0.077-0.224). Only hip OA was significantly linked with genetically predicted reduced total bone BMD (ß = 0.092, 95% CI: 0.010-0.174). In the reverse MR analyses, no evidence for a causal effect of OA on BMD was found. GO enrichment analysis and eQTL analysis illustrated that DDN and SMAD-3 were the most prominent co-located genes. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggested that OP may be causally linked to an increased risk of OA, indicating that measures to raise BMD may be effective in preventing OA. More research is required to determine the underlying processes via which OP causes OA.

Use of patient-derived tumor organoid platform to predict the benefit of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for poor responders to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer.

Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) for poor responders to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) remains debatable among patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), necessitating biomarkers to accurately predict the benefits of AC. This study aimed to develop a patient-derived tumor organoid (PDTO) platform to predict the benefit of AC in LARC patients showing poor nCRT response. PDTOs were established using irradiated rectal cancer specimens with poor nCRT responses, and their sensitivity to chemotherapy regimens was tested. The half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) value for the PDTO drug test was defined based on the clinical outcomes, and the accuracy of the PDTO prognostic predictions was calculated. Predictive models were developed and validated using the PDTO drug test results. Between October 2018 and December 2021, 86 PDTOs were successfully constructed from 138 specimens (success rate 62.3%). The optimal IC50 cut-off value for the organoid drug test was 39.31 µmol/L, with a sensitivity of 84.75%, a specificity of 85.19%, and an accuracy of 84.88%. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the PDTO drug test was an independent predictor of prognosis. A nomogram based on the PDTO drug test was developed, showing good prognostic ability in predicting the 2-year and 3-year disease-free survivals (AUC of 0.826 [95% CI, 0.721-0.931] and 0.902 [95% CI, 0.823-0.982], respectively) and overall survivals (AUC of 0.859 [95% CI, 0.745-0.973] and 0.885 [95% CI, 0.792-0.978], respectively). The PDTO drug test can predict the benefit of postoperative AC in poor responders with LARC to nCRT.

A continuous age-specific standardized mortality ratio for estimating the unascertained rates in the early epidemic of COVID-19 in different regions.

The difference in age structure and aging population level was an important factor that caused the difference in COVID-19's case fatality rate (CFR) in various regions. To eliminate the age effect on estimating the CFR of COVID-19, our study applied nonlinear logistic model and maximum likelihood method to fit the age-fatality curves of COVID-19 in different countries and regions. We further computed the standardized mortality ratio from the age-fatality curves of COVID-19 in the above regions and found that the risk of COVID-19 death in Wuhan was of a moderate level, while the non-Hubei region was even lower, compared with other regions. Regarding the disparity of CFRs among different regions in the country, we believed that there might be an unascertained phenomenon in high-endemic regions. Based on age-fatality rate curves, we estimated unascertained rates in cities with severe epidemics such as Wuhan and New York, and it was found that the total unascertained rates in Wuhan and New York were 81.6% and 81.2%, respectively. Meanwhile, we also found that the unascertained rates varied greatly with age.

Evaluating the causal effect of circulating proteome on the risk of osteoarthritis-related traits.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to identify circulating proteins that are causally associated with osteoarthritis (OA)-related traits through Mendelian randomisation (MR)-based analytical framework. METHODS: Large-scale two-sample MR was employed to estimate the effects of thousands of plasma proteins on 12 OA-related traits. Additional analyses including Bayesian colocalisation, Steiger filtering analysis, assessment of protein-altering variants and mapping expression quantitative trait loci to protein quantitative trait loci were performed to investigate the reliability of the MR findings; protein-protein interaction, pathway enrichment analysis and evaluation of drug targets were conducted to deepen the understanding and identify potential therapeutic targets of OA. RESULTS: Dozens of circulating proteins were identified to have putatively causal effects on OA-related traits, and a majority of these proteins were either drug targets or considered druggable. CONCLUSIONS: Through MR analysis, we have identified numerous plasma proteins associated with OA-related traits, shedding light on protein-mediated mechanisms and offering promising therapeutic targets for OA.

Excess Deaths of Gastrointestinal, Liver, and Pancreatic Diseases During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States.

Objectives: To evaluate excess deaths of gastrointestinal, liver, and pancreatic diseases in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: We retrieved weekly death counts from National Vital Statistics System and fitted them with a quasi-Poisson regression model. Cause-specific excess deaths were calculated by the difference between observed and expected deaths with adjustment for temporal trend and seasonality. Demographic disparities and temporal-spatial patterns were evaluated for different diseases. Results: From March 2020 to September 2022, the increased mortality (measured by excess risks) for Clostridium difficile colitis, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, and acute pancreatitis were 35.9%; 24.8%; and 20.6% higher than the expected. For alcoholic liver disease, fibrosis/cirrhosis, and hepatic failure, the excess risks were 1.4-2.8 times higher among younger inhabitants than older inhabitants. The excess deaths of selected diseases were persistently observed across multiple epidemic waves with fluctuating trends for gastrointestinal hemorrhage and fibrosis/cirrhosis and an increasing trend for C. difficile colitis. Conclusion: The persistently observed excess deaths of digestive diseases highlights the importance for healthcare authorities to develop sustainable strategies in response to the long-term circulating of SARS-CoV-2 in the community.

Effects of machine perfusion strategies on different donor types in liver transplantation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The increasing use of extended criteria donors (ECD) sets higher requirements for graft preservation. Machine perfusion (MP) improves orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) outcomes, but its effects on different donor types remains unclear. The authors' aim was to assess the effects of hypothermic machine perfusion (HMP), normothermic machine perfusion (NMP), or normothermic regional perfusion (NRP) versus static cold storage (SCS) on different donor types. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A literature search comparing the efficacy of MP versus SCS in PubMed, Cochrane, and EMBASE database was conducted. A meta-analysis was performed to obtain pooled effects of MP on ECD, donation after circulatory death (DCD), and donor after brainstem death. RESULTS: Thirty nine studies were included (nine randomized controlled trials and 30 cohort studies). Compared with SCS, HMP significantly reduced the risk of non-anastomotic biliary stricture (NAS) [odds ratio (OR) 0.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.26-0.72], major complications (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.39-0.78), and early allograft dysfunction (EAD) (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.32-0.65) and improved 1-year graft survival (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.55-3.62) in ECD-OLT. HMP also reduced primary non-function (PNF) (OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.18-0.92) and acute rejection (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.40-0.97). NMP only reduced major complications in ECD-OLT (OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.34-0.94), without favorable effects on other complications and survival. NRP lowered the overall risk of NAS (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.11-0.68), PNF (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.22-0.85), and EAD (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.42-0.80) and meanwhile improved 1-year graft survival (OR 2.40, 95% CI 1.65-3.49) in control DCD-OLT. CONCLUSIONS: HMP might currently be considered for marginal livers as it comprehensively improves ECD-OLT outcomes. NMP assists some outcomes in ECD-OLT, but more evidence regarding NMP-ECD is warranted. NRP significantly improves DCD-OLT outcomes and is recommended where longer non-touch periods exist.

Effects of vaginal microbiota transfer on the neurodevelopment and microbiome of cesarean-born infants: A blinded randomized controlled trial.

The microbiomes of cesarean-born infants differ from vaginally delivered infants and are associated with increased disease risks. Vaginal microbiota transfer (VMT) to newborns may reverse C-section-related microbiome disturbances. Here, we evaluated the effect of VMT by exposing newborns to maternal vaginal fluids and assessing neurodevelopment, as well as the fecal microbiota and metabolome. Sixty-eight cesarean-delivered infants were randomly assigned a VMT or saline gauze intervention immediately after delivery in a triple-blind manner (ChiCTR2000031326). Adverse events were not significantly different between the two groups. Infant neurodevelopment, as measured by the Ages and Stages Questionnaire (ASQ-3) score at 6 months, was significantly higher with VMT than saline. VMT significantly accelerated gut microbiota maturation and regulated levels of certain fecal metabolites and metabolic functions, including carbohydrate, energy, and amino acid metabolisms, within 42 days after birth. Overall, VMT is likely safe and may partially normalize neurodevelopment and the fecal microbiome in cesarean-delivered infants.

Latest insights in disease-modifying osteoarthritis drugs development.

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a prevalent and severely debilitating disease with an unmet medical need. In order to alleviate OA symptoms or prevent structural progression of OA, new drugs, particularly disease-modifying osteoarthritis drugs (DMOADs), are required. Several drugs have been reported to attenuate cartilage loss or reduce subchondral bone lesions in OA and thus potentially be DMOADs. Most biologics (including interleukin-1 (IL-1) and tumor necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitors), sprifermin, and bisphosphonates failed to yield satisfactory results when treating OA. OA clinical heterogeneity is one of the primary reasons for the failure of these clinical trials, which can require different therapeutic approaches based on different phenotypes. This review describes the latest insights into the development of DMOADs. We summarize in this review the efficacy and safety profiles of various DMOADs targeting cartilage, synovitis, and subchondral bone endotypes in phase 2 and 3 clinical trials. To conclude, we summarize the reasons for clinical trial failures in OA and suggest possible solutions.

The effect of systemic iron status on osteoarthritis: A mendelian randomization study.

Objective: To assess the causal effect of systemic iron status by using four biomarkers (serum iron; transferrin saturation; ferritin; total iron-binding capacity) on knee osteoarthritis (OA), hip OA, total knee replacement, and total hip replacement using 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) design. Methods: Three instrument sets were used to construct the genetic instruments for the iron status: Liberal instruments (variants associated with one of the iron biomarkers), sensitivity instruments (liberal instruments exclude variants associated with potential confounders), and conservative instruments (variants associated with all four iron biomarkers). Summary-level data for four OA phenotypes, including knee OA, hip OA, total knee replacement, and total hip replacement were obtained from the largest genome-wide meta-analysis with 826,690 individuals. Inverse-variance weighted based on the random-effect model as the main approach was conducted. Weighted median, MR-Egger, and Mendelian randomization pleiotropy residual sum and outlier methods were used as sensitivity MR approaches. Results: Based on liberal instruments, genetically predicted serum iron and transferrin saturation were significantly associated with hip OA and total hip replacement, but not with knee OA and total knee replacement. Statistical evidence of heterogeneity across the MR estimates indicated that mutation rs1800562 was the SNP significantly associated with hip OA in serum iron (odds ratio, OR = 1.48), transferrin saturation (OR = 1.57), ferritin (OR = 2.24), and total-iron binding capacity (OR = 0.79), and hip replacement in serum iron (OR = 1.45), transferrin saturation (OR = 1.25), ferritin (OR = 1.37), and total-iron binding capacity (OR = 0.80). Conclusion: Our study suggests that high iron status might be a causal factor of hip OA and total hip replacement where rs1800562 is the main contributor.

Quantitatively Measured Infrapatellar Fat Pad Signal Intensity Alteration is Associated with Joint Effusion-synovitis in Knee Osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to investigate whether quantitatively measured infrapatellar fat pad (IPFP) signal intensity alteration is associated with joint effusion-synovitis in people with knee osteoarthritis (OA) over two years. METHODS: Among 255 knee OA patients, IPFP signal intensity alteration represented by four measurement parameters [standard deviation of IPFP signal intensity (IPFP sDev), upper quartile value of IPFP high signal intensity region (IPFP UQ (H)), ratio of IPFP high signal intensity region volume to whole IPFP volume (IPFP percentage (H)), and clustering factor of IPFP high signal intensity (IPFP clustering factor (H))] was measured quantitatively at baseline and two-year follow-up using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Effusion-synovitis of the suprapatellar pouch and other cavities were measured both quantitatively and semi-quantitatively as effusion-synovitis volume and effusion-synovitis score at baseline and two-year follow-up using MRI. Mixed effects models assessed the associations between IPFP signal intensity alteration and effusion-synovitis over two years. RESULTS: In multivariable analyses, all four parameters of IPFP signal intensity alteration were positively associated with total effusion-synovitis volume and effusion-synovitis volumes of the suprapatellar pouch and of other cavities over two years (all P＜0.05). They were also associated with the semi-quantitative measure of effusion-synovitis except for IPFP percentage (H) with effusion-synovitis in other cavities. CONCLUSION: Quantitatively measured IPFP signal intensity alteration is positively associated with joint effusion-synovitis in people with knee OA, suggesting that IPFP signal intensity alteration may contribute to effusion-synovitis and a coexistent pattern of these two imaging biomarkers could exist in knee OA patients.

Associations of childhood-to-adulthood body size trajectories and genetic susceptibility with the risks of osteoarthritis: a population-based cohort study of UK Biobank data.

BACKGROUND: Large adulthood body size was associated with increased risk of osteoarthritis. We aimed to examine the association between body size trajectories from childhood to adulthood and potential interactions with genetic susceptibility on osteoarthritis risk. METHODS: We included participants from the UK Biobank aged 38-73 years in 2006-10. Childhood body size information was collected by questionnaire. Adulthood BMI was assessed and transformed into three categories (<25 kg/m2 for normal, 25-29·9 kg/m2 for overweight, and >30 kg/m2 for obesity). A Cox proportional hazards regression model was applied to assess the association between body size trajectories and osteoarthritis incidence. Osteoarthritis-related polygenic risk score (PRS) was constructed to evaluate its interactions with body size trajectories on osteoarthritis risk. FINDINGS: For the 466 292 participants included, we identified nine body size trajectories [thinner to normal (11·6%), overweight (17·2%), or obesity (26·9%); average to normal (11·8%), overweight (16·2%), or obesity (23·7%); and plumper to normal (12·3%), overweight (16·2%), or obesity (23·6%)]. Compared with individuals in the average-to-normal group, all other trajectory groups had higher risks of osteoarthritis, after adjustment for demographic, social-economic and lifestyle covariates (hazard ratios [HRs] 1·05-2·41; all p<0·01). Among them, thinner-to-obesity (HR 2·41; 95% CI 2·23-2·49) had the most prominent association with increased osteoarthritis risk. A high PRS was significantly associated with an increased risk of osteoarthritis (1·14; 1·11-1·16), whereas no interaction between childhood-to-adulthood body size trajectories and PRS on osteoarthritis risks was observed. The population attributable fraction suggested that body size towards normal in adulthood could eliminate osteoarthritis cases by 18·67% for thinner-to-overweight to 38·74% for plumper-to-obesity. INTERPRETATION: Average-to-normal body size seems to be the healthiest childhood-to-adulthood trajectory for osteoarthritis risk, whereas a trajectory of increased body size from thinner to obesity has the highest risk for osteoarthritis. These associations are independent of osteoarthritis genetic susceptibility. FUNDING: The National Natural Science Foundation of China (32000925) and Guangzhou Science and Technology Program (202002030481).

Influenza-Associated Excess Mortality by Age, Sex, and Subtype/Lineage: Population-Based Time-Series Study With a Distributed-Lag Nonlinear Model.

BACKGROUND: Accurate estimation of the influenza death burden is of great significance for influenza prevention and control. However, few studies have considered the short-term harvesting effects of influenza on mortality when estimating influenza-associated excess deaths by cause of death, age, sex, and subtype/lineage. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the cause-, age-, and sex-specific excess mortality associated with influenza and its subtypes and lineages in Guangzhou from 2015 to 2018. METHODS: Distributed-lag nonlinear models were fitted to estimate the excess mortality related to influenza subtypes or lineages for different causes of death, age groups, and sex based on daily time-series data for mortality, influenza, and meteorological factors. RESULTS: A total of 199,777 death certificates were included in the study. The average annual influenza-associated excess mortality rate (EMR) was 25.06 (95% empirical CI [eCI] 19.85-30.16) per 100,000 persons; 7142 of 8791 (81.2%) deaths were due to respiratory or cardiovascular mortality (EMR 20.36, 95% eCI 16.75-23.74). Excess respiratory and cardiovascular deaths in people aged 60 to 79 years and those aged ≥80 years accounted for 32.9% (2346/7142) and 63.7% (4549/7142) of deaths, respectively. The male to female ratio (MFR) of excess death from respiratory diseases was 1.34 (95% CI 1.17-1.54), while the MFR for excess death from cardiovascular disease was 0.72 (95% CI 0.63-0.82). The average annual excess respiratory and cardiovascular mortality rates attributed to influenza A (H3N2), B/Yamagata, B/Victoria, and A (H1N1) were 8.47 (95% eCI 6.60-10.30), 5.81 (95% eCI 3.35-8.25), 3.68 (95% eCI 0.81-6.49), and 2.83 (95% eCI -1.26 to 6.71), respectively. Among these influenza subtypes/lineages, A (H3N2) had the highest excess respiratory and cardiovascular mortality rates for people aged 60 to 79 years (20.22, 95% eCI 14.56-25.63) and ≥80 years (180.15, 95% eCI 130.75-227.38), while younger people were more affected by A (H1N1), with an EMR of 1.29 (95% eCI 0.07-2.32). The mortality displacement of influenza A (H1N1), A (H3N2), and B/Yamagata was 2 to 5 days, but 5 to 13 days for B/Victoria. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza was associated with substantial mortality in Guangzhou, occurring predominantly in the elderly, even after considering mortality displacement. The mortality burden of influenza B, particularly B/Yamagata, cannot be ignored. Contrasting sex differences were found in influenza-associated excess mortality from respiratory diseases and from cardiovascular diseases; the underlying mechanisms need to be investigated in future studies. Our findings can help us better understand the magnitude and time-course of the effect of influenza on mortality and inform targeted interventions for mitigating the influenza mortality burden, such as immunizations with quadrivalent vaccines (especially for older people), behavioral campaigns, and treatment strategies.

The Association Between Quadriceps Strength and Synovitis in Knee Osteoarthritis: An Exploratory Study From the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to explore the association between quadriceps strength and synovitis in knee osteoarthritis (KOA). METHODS: This study was derived from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), which recruited adults from the OAI cohort with or at risk of KOA. Knees with complete records of isometric quadriceps strength and effusion-synovitis and Hoffa-synovitis assessments were included. Quadriceps strength was measured isometrically at baseline. Effusion-synovitis and Hoffa-synovitis were measured using the Magnetic Resonance Imaging Osteoarthritis Knee Score at baseline and at 1-year and 2-year follow-ups. Generalized estimating equations were used to analyze the associations of baseline quadriceps strength with changes in effusion-synovitis and Hoffa-synovitis in multivariable analyses. Additionally, analyses were stratified by synovitis-driven inflammatory phenotypes. RESULTS: A total of 1513 knees were included in this study. In total, 61% of the subjects were female; subjects had an average age of 61.9 (SD 8.8) years and a mean BMI of 29.4 (SD 4.7). Regarding the whole population, baseline quadriceps strength was negatively associated with baseline effusion-synovitis and follow-up changes in effusion-synovitis (odds ratio [OR] 0.77-0.86), but no significant association was observed in terms of Hoffa-synovitis. Stratified by synovitis-driven inflammatory phenotype, baseline quadriceps strength was significantly associated with follow-up changes in effusion-synovitis-but not in Hoffa-synovitis-in the population with existing effusion-synovitis (OR 0.75-0.79). CONCLUSION: Higher baseline quadriceps strength was negatively associated with changes in effusion-synovitis-but not in Hoffa-synovitis-especially in the population with existing effusion-synovitis. Our findings suggested a potential protective role of the quadriceps in effusion-synovitis.

Gender Differences in Unhealthy Lifestyle Behaviors among Adults with Diabetes in the United States between 1999 and 2018.

Lifestyle management is important to patients with diabetes, but whether gender differences exist in lifestyle management is unclear. Data from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES 1999 to 2018) was used for this research. Gender differences were evaluated descriptively and using an odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). A total of 8412 participants (48% women) were finally included. Across these surveys, the incidences of poor diet (OR: 1.26 (95% CI, 1.12, 1.43)), smoking (1.58 (1.35, 1.84)), alcohol consumption (1.94 (1.68, 2.25)) and sedentary behavior (1.20 (1.04, 1.39)) were more common in men, while depression (0.47 (0.37, 0.59)), obesity (0.69 (0.61, 0.78)) and insufficient physical activity (0.56 (0.49, 0.65)) were more common in women. Reductions in poor diet were greater in men between 1999 and 2000 and 2017 and 2018 (p = 0.037), while the mean body mass index (BMI) levels (p = 0.019) increased more among women. Furthermore, several gender differences were found to be related to age, race/ethnicity and marital/insurance/employment statuses. Our research found gender differences in diabetes-related unhealthy lifestyle behaviors and provides reference data for implementing measures to reduce the gender differences. Further work to reduce gender-specific barriers to a healthy lifestyle is warranted in order to further improve diabetes management.

Metformin use and associated risk of total joint replacement in patients with type 2 diabetes: a population-based matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: It is uncertain whether metformin use is associated with reduced risk of joint replacement in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. We aimed to establish whether metformin use was associated with a reduced risk of total knee replacement (TKR) or total hip replacement (THR) among these patients. METHODS: We selected patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus that was diagnosed between 2000 and 2012 from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. We used prescription time-distribution matching and propensity-score matching to balance potential confounders between metformin users and nonusers. We assessed the risks of TKR or THR using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: We included 20 347 participants who were not treated with metformin and 20 347 who were treated with metformin, for a total of 40 694 participants (mean age 63 yr, standard deviation 11 yr; 49.8% were women) after prescription time-distribution matching. Compared with participants who did not use metformin, those who used metformin had lower risks of TKR or THR (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60-0.81 for TKR or THR; adjusted HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.61-0.84 for TKR; adjusted HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.41-0.92 for THR) after adjustment for covariates. Propensity-score matching analyses (10 163 participants not treated with metformin v. 10 163 treated with metformin) and sensitivity analyses using inverse probability of treatment weighting and competing risk regression showed similar results. INTERPRETATION: Metformin use in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus was associated with a significantly reduced risk of total joint replacement. Randomized controlled clinical trials in patients with osteoarthritis are warranted to determine whether metformin is effective in decreasing the need for joint replacement.