Impact of respiratory pathogens detection by a rapid multiplex polymerase chain reaction assay on the management of community-acquired pneumonia for children at the paediatric emergency department. A randomized controlled trial, the Optimization of Pneumonia Acute Care (OPTIPAC) study.

OBJECTIVES: The pathogen of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in children is typically uncertain during initial treatment, leading to systematic empiric antibiotic use. This study investigates if having rapid multiplex PCR results in the emergency department (ED) improves empiric treatment. METHODS: OPTIPAC, a French multicentre study (2016-2018), enrolled patients consulting for CAP at the paediatric ED in 11 centres. Patients were randomized to either receive a multiplex PCR test plus usual care or usual care alone and followed for 15 days. The primary outcome was the appropriateness of initial antimicrobial management, determined by a blinded committee. RESULTS: Of the 499 randomized patients, 248 were tested with the multiplex PCR. Appropriateness of the antibiotic treatment was higher in the PCR group (168/245, 68.6% vs. 120/249, 48.2%; Relative risk 1.42 [1.22-1.66]; p < 0.0001), chiefly by reducing unnecessary antibiotics in viral pneumonia (RR 3.29 [2.20-4.90]). No adverse events were identified. DISCUSSION: The multiplex PCR assay result at the ED improves paediatric CAP's antimicrobial stewardship, by both reducing antibiotic prescriptions and enhancing treatment appropriateness.

Clinical features and treatment outcomes of bone and joint nontuberculous mycobacterial infections according to immune status: a 9-year retrospective observational cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) bone and joint infections (BJIs) are uncommon. We evaluated the characteristics of BJIs and identified differences according to immune status. METHODS: We performed a multicenter retrospective study in France involving patients with documented NTM BJI over a 9-year period. We collected the clinical and microbiological characteristics, management, and clinical outcomes of the patients. RESULTS: Overall, 95 patients were included, of whom 50.5% (48/95) were immunosuppressed. Tenosynovitis was more frequent in the immunocompetent group, and native arthritis more common in the immunosuppressed group. Mycobacerium marinum and M. abscessus complex were significantly more frequent in the immunocompetent group, and M. avium and M. xenopi were significantly more frequent in the immunosuppressed group. The combination of antibiotherapy with surgery tended to be more frequent in the immunocompetent than the immunosuppressed group (63.8% (30/47) vs 47.8% (22/46), respectively); of the latter, 45.7% (21/46) received antimicrobial therapy alone, a higher frequency than in the immunocompetent group (23.4%, 11/47). The median duration of antimicrobial treatment was similar in the two groups (11 months). Mortality was significantly higher in the immunosuppressed group. CONCLUSIONS: Although the clinical presentations and the NTM species involved in BJI differed according to immune status, most recovered completely after treatment.

Optimized decision algorithm for the microbiological diagnosis of osteoarticular infections in adults using synovial fluid samples: a prospective study in two French hospitals including 423 samples of synovial fluid.

No consensus exists about the techniques to use for microbiological diagnosis of bone and joint infections (BJIs). The objective herein was to define an algorithm to optimize BJI diagnosis in adults using various bacteriological methods on synovial fluid samples. This prospective multi-center study included 423 synovial fluids collected from adult patients with suspected BJIs. Culture (using five solid media, an enrichment broth, and blood culture bottles), universal 16S rRNA PCR followed by Sanger sequencing, and seven specific bacterial PCRs were systematically performed. Combinations of methods were compared to arrive at the optimized algorithm. Among 423 synovial fluids, 242 infections were diagnosed (57.2 %): 213 mono- and 29 poly-microbial for a total of 284 bacteria (staphylococci at 54.6 %, streptococci-enterococci at 16.5 %, Gram-negative bacilli at 15.5 %, anaerobic species at 8.8 %). Comparing culture techniques, blood culture bottles had the highest sensitivity (67.6 % for pediatric and 63.9 % for anaerobic bottles) but are not sufficient alone and require being combined with solid media. The 16S rDNA PCR detected only 52.3 % of the bacteria, whereas specific PCRs had a higher sensitivity (Staphylococcus spp. at 66.2 %, S. aureus at 85.2 %, Streptococcus spp. at 91.2 %). Based on these results, an algorithm was proposed associating three solid media; inoculation into blood culture bottles; and 16S, Staphylococcus spp., and Streptococcus spp. PCRs, which would have detected 90.5 % of bacteria in the present cohort versus 79.2 % using all culture techniques on synovial fluid. This prospective study shows that a combination of culture and molecular methods on synovial fluids allows the optimization of bacterial detection.

Prospective Evaluation of the BD MAX StaphSR Assay for the Screening of Methicillin-Susceptible and -Resistant Staphylococcus aureus from Nasal Swabs Taken in Intensive Care Unit Patients.

Screening patients for S. aureus nasal carriage has proved effective in preventing cross-contamination and endogenous infection with this bacterium. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of the BD MAX StaphSR assay with liquid Amies elution swabs, taken during routine care of intensive care unit patients. Direct and pre-enriched cultures were used as reference methods to screen for S. aureus and methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA). Discrepant results between the BD MAX StaphSR assay and cultures were resolved by using the Xpert SA Nasal Complete assay. A total of 607 nasal swabs taken from 409 patients were included in this study. Compared to culture methods, the sensitivity and specificity of the BD MAX StaphSR assay were 92.5% and 91.7% for S. aureus screening, and 94.7% and 98.3% for MRSA screening, respectively. In 52 (8.6%) specimens, there was a discrepancy between the results of cultures and the BD MAX StaphSR assay, including 13 (25%) where the results of the BD MAX StaphSR assay were confirmed by the Xpert SA Nasal Complete test. This prospective study showed that the BD MAX StaphSR assay is reliable for S. aureus and MRSA detection from nasal samples taken with liquid Amies elution swabs.

Genetic Diversity and Population Structure of Mycobacterium bovis at the Human-Animal-Ecosystem Interface in France: "A One Health Approach".

Mycobacterium bovis infects cattle and wildlife, and also causes a small proportion of tuberculosis cases in humans. In most European countries, M. bovis infections in cattle have been drastically reduced, but not eradicated. Here, to determine the M. bovis circulation within and between the human, cattle, and wildlife compartments, we characterized by spoligotyping and mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit-variable number tandem repeat (MIRU-VNTR) typing the genetic diversity of M. bovis isolates collected from humans, cattle, and wildlife in France from 2000 to 2010. We also assessed their genetic structure within and among the different host groups, and across time and space. The M. bovis genetic structure and its spatiotemporal variations showed different dynamics in the human and animal compartments. Most genotypes detected in human isolates were absent in cattle and wildlife isolates, possibly because in patients, M. bovis infection was contracted abroad or was the reactivation of an old lesion. Therefore, they did not match the genetic pool present in France during the study period. However, some human-cattle exchanges occurred because some genotypes were common to both compartments. This study provides new elements for understanding M. bovis epidemiology in France, and calls for increased efforts to control this pathogen worldwide.

Evaluation of the BL-RED (Beta-Lactamase Rapid Electrochemical Detection) test for the rapid detection of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins in Enterobacteriaceae.

The sensitivity of NG-test CTX-M Multi assay and BL-RED test incubated 10 min for the detection of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Enterobacteriaceae was 80.6% and 90.3% respectively. Using an extended 60 min incubation with the BL-RED test, its sensitivity was increased to 100% and 60.9% for ESBL-producing and cephalosporinase-overexpressing Enterobacteriaceae respectively.

Masquelet's induced membrane technique associated with Reamer Irrigation Aspiration grafting and intramedullary Nailing (MaRIAN) for chronic diaphyseal osteomyelitis of the lower limb.

INTRODUCTION: Masquelet's induced membrane technique offers a definitive contribution to the treatment of diaphyseal osteomyelitis. To overcome its drawbacks while maintaining its principles, technical modifications have been proposed: antibiotic cement, femoral intramedullary autograft harvested by RIA (Reamer Irrigation Aspiration) and interlocking nails. MATERIAL AND METHOD: This retrospective study gathered patients with chronic osteomyelitis of the femur or tibia. The first surgical stage consisted of bone resection in the healthy zone and use of a gentamicin cement spacer to fill the bone defect. The second stage consisted of the placement of a statically locked intramedullary nail associated with a bone autograft using the RIA technique. RESULTS: Among this group of 12 men with diaphyseal osteomyelitis; 9 tibial and 2 femoral, and 1 knee nonunion, the mean bone defect was 7.3cm (±6.7). The mean time between the 2 stages was 2.7months (±3) with a mean antibiotic period of 3.25weeks (±3). There was a femoral diaphyseal fracture at the donor site, and a wrong trajectory intraoperatively during the RIA. Two patients with tibial nonunion presented with nail rupture without septic recurrence. A septic recurrence was healed by removal of the nail. At a minimum follow-up of 18months, with an average of 5years, consolidation was complete without infectious recurrence. Despite the statistical weakness related to the size of the cohort, the resumption of early weight bearing (OR=-7.68 95% CI [-13.33 to -2.08] (p=0.01)) and nail dynamization seemed to have an impact on the formation of complete consolidation (OR=-0.86 95% CI [-1.39 to -0.33] (p=0.007)). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: This short series, compared to the literature, demonstrated that the proposed technical modifications improved the overall management of this rare and challenging condition while maintaining the reliability of the original technique. Dynamization was also seen to be of particular interest. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV, retrospective study.

Automated Coding in Case Mix Databases of Bacterial Infections Based on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Test Results.

Our objective was to improve the accuracy of bacteria and resistance coding in a hospital case mix database. Data sources consisted of 50,074 files on bacteriological susceptibility tests transmitted with the HPRIM protocol from laboratory management system to electronic health record of the University hospital of Saint Etienne in July 2017. An algorithm was implemented to detect susceptibility tests containing information corresponding to codes whose addition in the case mix database was susceptible to increase the severity level of a diagnosis related group. Among 132 hospital stays fulfilling the conditions, 27 were lacking bacteria and/or resistance codes, and the tariff was increased for 9 stays, with earnings of €54,612. Analyzing Antimicrobial susceptibility tests helps to improve clinical coding and optimize the financial gain.

Management of patients with pulmonary mycobacteriosis in France: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies report very low adherence of practitioners to ATS/IDSA recommendations for the treatment of nontuberculous mycobacteria pulmonary disease (NTM-PD), as well as a great variability of practices. Type of management could impact prognosis. METHODS: To evaluate management and prognosis of patients with NTM-PD cases with respect to ATS recommendations, we conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study (18 sentinel sites distributed throughout France), over a period of six years. We collected clinical, radiological, microbiological characteristics, management and outcome of the patients (especially death or not). RESULTS: 477 patients with NTM-PD were included. Respiratory comorbidities were found in 68% of cases, tuberculosis sequelae in 31.4% of patients, and immunosuppression in 16.8% of cases. The three most common NTM species were Mycobacterium avium complex (60%), M. xenopi (20%) and M. kansasii (5.7%). Smear-positive was found in one third of NTM-PD. Nodulobronchiectatic forms were observed in 54.3% of cases, and cavitary forms in 19.1% of patients. Sixty-three percent of patients were treated, 72.4% of patients with smear-positive samples, and 57.5% of patients with smear-negative samples. Treatment was in adequacy with ATS guidelines in 73.5%. The 2-year mortality was 14.4%. In the Cox regression, treatment (HR = 0.51), age (HR = 1.02), and M. abscessus (3.19) appeared as the 3 significant independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: These findings highlight the adequacy between French practices and the ATS/IDSA guidelines. Treatment was associated with a better survival.

Assessment of Respiratory Bacterial Coinfections Among Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2-Positive Patients Hospitalized in Intensive Care Units Using Conventional Culture and BioFire, FilmArray Pneumonia Panel Plus Assay.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 15% of patients infected by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) present with severe forms of the disease and require hospitalization in intensive care units, which has been associated with high mortality rates. The prevalence of bacterial infections in these patients is not well established, and more data are needed to guide empiric antibiotic therapy and improve patient outcomes. METHODS: In this prospective multicenter study, we assessed bacterial coinfections identified in culture from 99 French patients infected by SARS-Cov-2 and hospitalized in intensive care units. We concomitantly evaluated an innovative molecular diagnostic technology technique, the BioFire, FilmArray Pneumonia Panel plus (FA-pneumo) assay, to identify these coinfections at an early stage, and its concordance with conventional culture. RESULTS: We showed that a bacterial coinfection was detected in 15% of patients based on conventional culture. Staphylococcus aureus and Haemophilus influenzae were the most prevalent pathogens. The sensitivity of FA-pneumo compared with culture was 100%. In contrast, the specificity varied between 88.4% and 100% according to the pathogen, and our results highlighted that 60.5% of bacterial targets reported using this assay were not recovered by culture; 76.9% of discordant results corresponded to bacteria belonging to commensal oral flora and/or reported with ≤105 copies/mL bacterial nucleic acids. CONCLUSIONS: Based on its excellent sensitivity, the FA-pneumo assay is useful to rule out bacterial coinfections in the context of severe SARS-CoV-2 infection and avoid the inappropriate prescription of antibiotics. However, positive tests should be interpreted carefully, taking into consideration deoxyribonucleic acid bacterial load and all clinical and biological signs.

Strategy using a new antigenic test for rapid diagnosis of Streptococcus pneumoniae infection in respiratory samples from children consulting at hospital.

BACKGROUND: Despite vaccination programs, Streptococcus pneumoniae remains among the main microorganisms involved in bacterial pneumonia, notably in terms of severity. The prognosis of pneumococcal infections is conditioned in part by the precocity of the diagnosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of a Rapid Diagnostic Test (RDT) targeting cell wall polysaccharide of Streptococcus pneumoniae and performed directly in respiratory samples, on the strategy of diagnosis of respiratory pneumococcal infections in children. RESULTS: Upper-respiratory tract samples from 196 children consulting at hospital for respiratory infection were tested for detecting S. pneumoniae using a newly-designed RDT (PneumoResp, Biospeedia), a semi-quantitative culture and two PCR assays. If positive on fluidized undiluted specimen, the RDT was repeated on 1:100-diluted sample. The RDT was found highly specific when tested on non-S. pneumoniae strains. By comparison to culture and PCR assays, the RDT on undiluted secretions exhibited a sensitivity (Se) and negative predictive value (NPV) of more than 98%. By comparison to criteria of S. pneumoniae pneumonia combining typical symptoms, X-ray image, and culture ≥107 CFU/ml, the Se and NPV of RDT on diluted specimens were 100% in both cases. CONCLUSIONS: In case of negative result, the excellent NPV of RDT on undiluted secretions allows excluding S. pneumoniae pneumonia. In case of positive result, the excellent sensitivity of RDT on diluted secretions for the diagnosis of S. pneumoniae pneumonia allows proposing a suitable antimicrobial treatment at day 0.

Evaluation of effectiveness and compliance with the mupirocin nasal ointment part of Staphylococcus aureus decolonization in real life using UPLC-MS/MS mupirocin quantification.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative decolonization is recommended in Staphylococcus aureus nasal carriers scheduled for cardiac surgery. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of and compliance with mupirocin use in nasal S. aureus carriers in a real-life setting. METHODS: Prospective study including consecutive patients scheduled for cardiac surgery screened for S. aureus nasal carriage at preoperative consultation. Carriers were prescribed mupirocin nasal ointment, chlorhexidine shower and mouthwash. Effectiveness of decolonization was evaluated with a postoperative nasal sample. Compliance was evaluated objectively by determination of nasal mupirocin concentration using UPLC-MS/MS and self-reported by questionnaire. RESULTS: Over 10 months, 361 patients were included, 286 had preoperative screening, 75 (26.2%) were S. aureus nasal carriers and 19 of them (25.3%) failed to be effectively decolonized. No resistance to mupirocin was documented. Preoperative and postoperative strains were identical in all cases. Declared good compliance was associated with decolonization success (OR = 24; 95% CI 4-143, P < 0.0001). Mupirocin detection was significantly associated with the level of compliance. Mupirocin was detected in 52.2% (24/46) of patients effectively decolonized and in 12.5% (2/16) of patients with decolonization failure (P < 0.01). In 2/19 patients, failure of decolonization was not associated with a compliance issue. Postoperative carriage was associated with an increased risk of S. aureus infection (OR = 9.8; 95% CI 1.8-53, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In real life, decolonization is not always effective, hence there is a persisting risk of S. aureus endogenous infection. Mupirocin concentration measurement may help to understand compliance issues and failures in decolonization.

Specific PCR and Quantitative Real-Time PCR in Ocular Samples from Acute and Delayed-Onset Postoperative Endophthalmitis.

PURPOSE: Rapid identification of virulent pathogens is essential to strengthen the therapeutic strategy of acute endophthalmitis. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to compare the contribution of a combination of polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based tests to culture methods, in patients with postoperative endophthalmitis. DESIGN: Prospective multicenter study diagnostic evaluation. METHODS: Setting: university referral centers. PARTICIPANTS: 153 consecutive patients presenting with acute or delayed-onset postoperative endophthalmitis, between 2008 and 2015. There were a total of 284 aqueous humor (AH) and/or vitreous fluid (VF) samples. Outcomes and measurements: microbiological tests of intraocular samples included bacterial culturing of pediatric blood culture bottles; 16SrDNA amplification and sequencing (panbacterial PCR) for detection and identification of all bacterial species; real-time PCR (qPCR) assays targeting the femA or lytA gene for detection of Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) or Streptococcus pneumoniae (S. pneumoniae), respectively; and a qPCR assay targeting the tuf gene for detection and quantification of Staphylococcus epidermidis (S. epidermidis). RESULTS: At the time of admission, the rate of detection of microorganisms by PCR-based tests was not significantly different than that by culturing (38% versus 30% in AH samples [n = 69]; 66% versus 63% in VF samples [n = 82], respectively). In contrast, after 1 intravitreal injection (IVI) of antibiotics, the identification rate by PCR-based tests was higher than that in VF by culturing (62% vs 48%, respectively; n = 94; P = 0.05). Bacteria were identified in 70% of patients, with a predominance of Gram-positive bacteria (93%). Specific qPCR tests targeting S. aureus and S. pneumoniae did not provide additional diagnoses but provided earlier results. The S. epidermidis load in vitreous at the time of patients' admission was higher in cases of final visual acuity (VA) of <20/40 (127,118 ± 125,848 DNA copies/mL) in patients with a VA of ≥20/40 (40350,000 ± 46,912 DNA copies/mL; P = 0.09). No significant changes in S. epidermidis load was found after one IVI. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with acute or delayed-onset endophthalmitis should benefit from microbiological identification in vitreous samples by combined analysis using bacterial cultures in pediatric blood culture bottles and panbacterial PCR. The last test was more effective than cultures in vitreous samples collected after an IVI of antibiotics. The qPCR tests targeting S. aureus and S. pneumoniae gave earlier results than culture and panbacterial PCR but did not provide additional diagnoses. As for S. epidermidis infections, determination of bacterial load using the qPCR test targeting the tuf gene could help evaluation of the visual prognosis of patients. Its role in the follow-up of patients after antibiotic treatment needs further investigation.

Interplay of nasal and rectal carriage of Staphylococcus aureus in intensive care unit patients.

The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between nasal and rectal Staphylococcus aureus carriage in intensive care unit (ICU) patients and the occurrence of ICU-acquired infections related to S. aureus carriage. Three hundred and ninety-five patients admitted in ICU were screened for S. aureus nasal and rectal carriages and followed to record S. aureus infections during their stay. S. aureus strains were genotyped by arbitrarily primed PCR, spa-typing, microarray and whole genome sequencing. At ICU admission, 112 of 363 (30.9%) patients carried S. aureus including 61 (16.8%) exclusive nasal carriers, 40 (11.0%) combined nasal and rectal carriers and 11 (3.0%) exclusive rectal carriers. The 152 S. aureus isolates from nasal and rectal swabs belonged to 19 clonal complexes (CCs). Patients colonized in both nose and rectum harboured different strains in at least 40% of cases according to arbitrarily primed PCR data. Nasal carriers of CC5 S. aureus had an increased risk of rectal carriage (RR = 1.85, P < .05). S. aureus nasal and rectal carriage was a risk factor of S. aureus ICU-acquired infection (RR = 4.04; 95%CI [1.38-11.76]). Incidence rates of endogenous ICU-acquired infections in exclusive nasal carriers, exclusive rectal carriers and in both nasal and rectal carriers were 0.08 (5/61), 0.09 (1/11) and 0.03 (1/40), respectively (p = 0.47). Rectal swabbing increased the detection of S. aureus carriage and revealed an important diversity of S. aureus strains in ICU patients. Further studies are needed to understand how S. aureus rectal carriage increases the risk of endogenous ICU-acquired infections.

Comparison of the Fully Automated FilmArray BCID Assay to a 4-Hour Culture Test Coupled to Mass Spectrometry for Day 0 Identification of Microorganisms in Positive Blood Cultures.

Rapid bacterial identification of positive blood culture is important for adapting the antimicrobial therapy in patients with blood stream infection. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of the multiplex FilmArray Blood Culture Identification (BCID) assay by comparison to an in-house protocol based on MALDI-TOF MS identification of microcolonies after a 4-hour culture, for identifying on the same day the microorganisms present in positive blood culture bottles. One hundred and fifty-three positive bottles from 123 patients were tested prospectively by the 3 techniques of bacterial identification: 11 bottles yielding negative results by the 3 tests were considered false positive (7.2%). The reference MALDI-TOF MS technique identified 134 monomicrobial (87.6%) and 8 double infections (5.2%), which resulted in a total of 150 microorganisms. Globally, 137 (91.3%) of these 150 pathogens were correctly identified by the fully automated multiplex FilmArray BCID system at the species or genus level on day of growth detection, versus 117 (78.8%) by MALDI-TOF MS identification on nascent microcolonies after a 4-hour culture (P < 0.01). By combining the two approaches, 140 (93.5%) of the positive bottles were identified successfully at day 0. These results confirm the excellent sensitivity of the FilmArray BCID assay, notably in case of multimicrobial infection. Due to the limited number of targets included into the test, it must be coupled to another identification strategy, as that presented in this study relying on MALDI-TOF MS identification of microcolonies obtained after a very short culture period.

Community-Acquired Staphylococcus argenteus Sequence Type 2250 Bone and Joint Infection, France, 2017.

We report a rare case of Staphylococcus argenteus bone and joint infection in a 9-year-old boy in France. His finger arthritis was complicated by osteitis 5 weeks later, which resulted in a secondary intervention. This case indicates the virulence of S. argenteus, an emerging pathogen whose clinical effects are poorly described.

Changing patterns of human migrations shaped the global population structure of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in France.

Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) exhibits a structured phylogeographic distribution worldwide linked with human migrations. We sought to infer how the interactions between distinct human populations shape the global population structure of Mtb on a regional scale. We applied the recently described timescaled haplotypic density (THD) technique on 638 minisatellite-based Mtb genotypes from French tuberculosis patients. THD with a long-term (200 y) timescale indicated that Mtb population in France had been mostly influenced by interactions with Eastern and Southern Europe and, to a lesser extent, Northern and Middle Africa, consistent with historical migrations favored by geographic proximity or commercial exchanges with former French colonies. Restricting the timescale to 20 y, THD identified a sustained influence of Northern Africa, but not Europe where tuberculosis incidence decreased sharply. Evolving interactions between human populations, thus, measurably influence the local population structure of Mtb. Relevant information on such interactions can be inferred using THD from Mtb genotypes.

Emergence of Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Lymphadenitis in Children After the Discontinuation of Mandatory Bacillus Calmette and GuÉrin Immunization in France.

Eighty-five children were diagnosed with culture-confirmed nontuberculous mycobacterial cervical lymphadenitis within the MYCOMED surveillance network from 2004 to 2013. The mean incidence sharply increased from 0.57 to 3.7 per 100,000 children per year, after the discontinuation of mandatory bacillus Calmette and Guérin immunization in 2007. Cases were documented as Mycobacterium avium (62.3%), Mycobacterium intracellulare (15.3%) and Mycobacterium lentiflavum (12.9%). Outcome was favorable in all, with or without surgery or antimycobacterial treatment.

Strain-specific estimation of epidemic success provides insights into the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis.

The transmission dynamics of tuberculosis involves complex interactions of socio-economic and, possibly, microbiological factors. We describe an analytical framework to infer factors of epidemic success based on the joint analysis of epidemiological, clinical and pathogen genetic data. We derive isolate-specific, genetic distance-based estimates of epidemic success, and we represent success-related time-dependent concepts, namely epidemicity and endemicity, by restricting analysis to specific time scales. The method is applied to analyze a surveillance-based cohort of 1,641 tuberculosis patients with minisatellite-based isolate genotypes. Known predictors of isolate endemicity (older age, native status) and epidemicity (younger age, sputum smear positivity) were identified with high confidence (P < 0.001). Long-term epidemic success also correlated with the ability of Euro-American and Beijing MTBC lineages to cause active pulmonary infection, independent of patient age and country of origin. Our results demonstrate how important insights into the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis can be gained from active surveillance data.