Cycle threshold values are inversely associated with poorer outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: a prospective, observational cohort study conducted at a UK tertiary hospital.

This single-centre observational study demonstrated that lower cycle threshold (Ct) values (indicating higher viral loads) on admission to hospital were associated with poorer outcomes in unvaccinated, hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Demographic and outcome data were collected prospectively for all adult patients who tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 on admission to the University Hospitals North Midlands NHS Trust between 1 February and 1 July 2020. Nasopharyngeal swab samples were obtained, and a valid Ct value was determined for all patients using the Viasure reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction assay, validated by Public Health England, on admission to hospital. Multi-variable logistic regression results based on data from 618 individuals demonstrated a significant inverse relationship between the odds of death and Ct values (adjusted odds ratio 0.95, 95% confidence interval 0.92-0.98, P=0.001). The association remained highly significant after adjusting for known clinical risk factors for COVID-19.

Developing a core outcome set for children with protracted bacterial bronchitis.

BACKGROUND: Protracted bacterial bronchitis (PBB) is a chronic endobrochial infection and a leading cause of chronic wet cough in children. There is an urgent need for a randomised controlled trial to investigate the optimal treatment but there is no core outcome set (COS) to inform choice of outcomes. A COS is a standardised set of outcomes representing the minimum that should be measured and reported in clinical trials of a specific condition. We have developed a COS for PBB. METHODS: Potential core outcomes were collated from a systematic review, interviews with parents and a clinician survey. A two-round Delphi survey of healthcare professionals identified which outcomes had consensus for inclusion. The final COS was agreed at a consensus meeting of parent representatives and clinicians. RESULTS: 20 outcomes were identified for the Delphi survey. After two rounds, 10 reached consensus. These were combined and edited at the consensus meeting into the final six: 1) Resolution of cough assessed using a cough score/diary recorded daily by parent(s) during treatment; 2) relapse of chronic wet cough and/or cumulative antibiotic treatment during ≥12 months follow-up; 3) change in child's quality of life (parent-proxy reporting for young children); 4) emergence of antibiotic resistance; 5) development of bronchiectasis diagnosed on clinically indicated computed tomography scans; and 6) microbiological clearance of identified respiratory pathogen if samples readily available. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a COS for PBB which will reduce the outcome heterogeneity and bias of future clinical trials, as well as promoting comparison between studies.

Duration of initial antibiotic course is associated with recurrent relapse in protracted bacterial bronchitis.

Protracted bacterial bronchitis (PBB) is the leading cause of chronic wet cough in young children from developed countries. Despite its high prevalence there is a paucity of evidence to inform the optimal duration of treatment leading to variation in practice. Relapse of chronic cough is common and recurrent PBB (>3 episodes in 12 months) is associated with a future diagnosis of bronchiectasis. We investigated the factors associated with any relapse (≥1 episode in 12 months) and recurrent PBB in 66 children. No factor was significantly associated with any relapse. Duration of initial antibiotic treatment was the only factor significantly associated with recurrent PBB. Those who received antibiotics for 6 weeks antibiotics were less likely to develop recurrent PBB than those who received for 2 weeks (p=0.046). This is the first study to show an association between duration of initial antibiotic course and therefore future bronchiectasis. Prospective studies are needed to investigate this association.