Enhancing Early Lung Cancer Diagnosis: Predicting Lung Nodule Progression in Follow-Up Low-Dose CT Scan with Deep Generative Model.

Early diagnosis of lung cancer can significantly improve patient outcomes. We developed a Growth Predictive model based on the Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network framework (GP-WGAN) to predict the nodule growth patterns in the follow-up LDCT scans. The GP-WGAN was trained with a training set (N = 776) containing 1121 pairs of nodule images with about 1-year intervals and deployed to an independent test set of 450 nodules on baseline LDCT scans to predict nodule images (GP-nodules) in their 1-year follow-up scans. The 450 GP-nodules were finally classified as malignant or benign by a lung cancer risk prediction (LCRP) model, achieving a test AUC of 0.827 ± 0.028, which was comparable to the AUC of 0.862 ± 0.028 achieved by the same LCRP model classifying real follow-up nodule images (p = 0.071). The net reclassification index yielded consistent outcomes (NRI = 0.04; p = 0.62). Other baseline methods, including Lung-RADS and the Brock model, achieved significantly lower performance (p < 0.05). The results demonstrated that the GP-nodules predicted by our GP-WGAN model achieved comparable performance with the nodules in the real follow-up scans for lung cancer diagnosis, indicating the potential to detect lung cancer earlier when coupled with accelerated clinical management versus the current approach of waiting until the next screening exam.

AI and machine learning in medical imaging: key points from development to translation.

Innovation in medical imaging artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (ML) demands extensive data collection, algorithmic advancements, and rigorous performance assessments encompassing aspects such as generalizability, uncertainty, bias, fairness, trustworthiness, and interpretability. Achieving widespread integration of AI/ML algorithms into diverse clinical tasks will demand a steadfast commitment to overcoming issues in model design, development, and performance assessment. The complexities of AI/ML clinical translation present substantial challenges, requiring engagement with relevant stakeholders, assessment of cost-effectiveness for user and patient benefit, timely dissemination of information relevant to robust functioning throughout the AI/ML lifecycle, consideration of regulatory compliance, and feedback loops for real-world performance evidence. This commentary addresses several hurdles for the development and adoption of AI/ML technologies in medical imaging. Comprehensive attention to these underlying and often subtle factors is critical not only for tackling the challenges but also for exploring novel opportunities for the advancement of AI in radiology.

Leveraging Serial Low-Dose CT Scans in Radiomics-based Reinforcement Learning to Improve Early Diagnosis of Lung Cancer at Baseline Screening.

Purpose To evaluate the feasibility of leveraging serial low-dose CT (LDCT) scans to develop a radiomics-based reinforcement learning (RRL) model for improving early diagnosis of lung cancer at baseline screening. Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, 1951 participants (female patients, 822; median age, 61 years [range, 55-74 years]) (male patients, 1129; median age, 62 years [range, 55-74 years]) were randomly selected from the National Lung Screening Trial between August 2002 and April 2004. An RRL model using serial LDCT scans (S-RRL) was trained and validated using data from 1404 participants (372 with lung cancer) containing 2525 available serial LDCT scans up to 3 years. A baseline RRL (B-RRL) model was trained with only LDCT scans acquired at baseline screening for comparison. The 547 held-out individuals (150 with lung cancer) were used as an independent test set for performance evaluation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the net reclassification index (NRI) were used to assess the performances of the models in the classification of screen-detected nodules. Results Deployment to the held-out baseline scans showed that the S-RRL model achieved a significantly higher test AUC (0.88 [95% CI: 0.85, 0.91]) than both the Brock model (AUC, 0.84 [95% CI: 0.81, 0.88]; P = .02) and the B-RRL model (AUC, 0.86 [95% CI: 0.83, 0.90]; P = .02). Lung cancer risk stratification was significantly improved by the S-RRL model as compared with Lung CT Screening Reporting and Data System (NRI, 0.29; P < .001) and the Brock model (NRI, 0.12; P = .008). Conclusion The S-RRL model demonstrated the potential to improve early diagnosis and risk stratification for lung cancer at baseline screening as compared with the B-RRL model and clinical models. Keywords: Radiomics-based Reinforcement Learning, Lung Cancer Screening, Low-Dose CT, Machine Learning © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article.

X-ray source motion blur modeling and deblurring with generative diffusion for digital breast tomosynthesis.

Objective. Digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) has significantly improved the diagnosis of breast cancer due to its high sensitivity and specificity in detecting breast lesions compared to two-dimensional mammography. However, one of the primary challenges in DBT is the image blur resulting from x-ray source motion, particularly in DBT systems with a source in continuous-motion mode. This motion-induced blur can degrade the spatial resolution of DBT images, potentially affecting the visibility of subtle lesions such as microcalcifications.Approach. We addressed this issue by deriving an analytical in-plane source blur kernel for DBT images based on imaging geometry and proposing a post-processing image deblurring method with a generative diffusion model as an image prior.Main results. We showed that the source blur could be approximated by a shift-invariant kernel over the DBT slice at a given height above the detector, and we validated the accuracy of our blur kernel modeling through simulation. We also demonstrated the ability of the diffusion model to generate realistic DBT images. The proposed deblurring method successfully enhanced spatial resolution when applied to DBT images reconstructed with detector blur and correlated noise modeling.Significance. Our study demonstrated the advantages of modeling the imaging system components such as source motion blur for improving DBT image quality.

Artificial intelligence in medicine: mitigating risks and maximizing benefits via quality assurance, quality control, and acceptance testing.

The adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) tools in medicine poses challenges to existing clinical workflows. This commentary discusses the necessity of context-specific quality assurance (QA), emphasizing the need for robust QA measures with quality control (QC) procedures that encompass (1) acceptance testing (AT) before clinical use, (2) continuous QC monitoring, and (3) adequate user training. The discussion also covers essential components of AT and QA, illustrated with real-world examples. We also highlight what we see as the shared responsibility of manufacturers or vendors, regulators, healthcare systems, medical physicists, and clinicians to enact appropriate testing and oversight to ensure a safe and equitable transformation of medicine through AI.

Detection of Severe Lung Infection on Chest Radiographs of COVID-19 Patients: Robustness of AI Models across Multi-Institutional Data.

The diagnosis of severe COVID-19 lung infection is important because it carries a higher risk for the patient and requires prompt treatment with oxygen therapy and hospitalization while those with less severe lung infection often stay on observation. Also, severe infections are more likely to have long-standing residual changes in their lungs and may need follow-up imaging. We have developed deep learning neural network models for classifying severe vs. non-severe lung infections in COVID-19 patients on chest radiographs (CXR). A deep learning U-Net model was developed to segment the lungs. Inception-v1 and Inception-v4 models were trained for the classification of severe vs. non-severe COVID-19 infection. Four CXR datasets from multi-country and multi-institutional sources were used to develop and evaluate the models. The combined dataset consisted of 5748 cases and 6193 CXR images with physicians' severity ratings as reference standard. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate model performance. We studied the reproducibility of classification performance using the different combinations of training and validation data sets. We also evaluated the generalizability of the trained deep learning models using both independent internal and external test sets. The Inception-v1 based models achieved AUC ranging between 0.81 ± 0.02 and 0.84 ± 0.0, while the Inception-v4 models achieved AUC in the range of 0.85 ± 0.06 and 0.89 ± 0.01, on the independent test sets, respectively. These results demonstrate the promise of using deep learning models in differentiating COVID-19 patients with severe from non-severe lung infection on chest radiographs.

Model-based deep CNN-regularized reconstruction for digital breast tomosynthesis with a task-based CNN image assessment approach.

Objective. Digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) is a quasi-three-dimensional breast imaging modality that improves breast cancer screening and diagnosis because it reduces fibroglandular tissue overlap compared with 2D mammography. However, DBT suffers from noise and blur problems that can lower the detectability of subtle signs of cancers such as microcalcifications (MCs). Our goal is to improve the image quality of DBT in terms of image noise and MC conspicuity.Approach. We proposed a model-based deep convolutional neural network (deep CNN or DCNN) regularized reconstruction (MDR) for DBT. It combined a model-based iterative reconstruction (MBIR) method that models the detector blur and correlated noise of the DBT system and the learning-based DCNN denoiser using the regularization-by-denoising framework. To facilitate the task-based image quality assessment, we also proposed two DCNN tools for image evaluation: a noise estimator (CNN-NE) trained to estimate the root-mean-square (RMS) noise of the images, and an MC classifier (CNN-MC) as a DCNN model observer to evaluate the detectability of clustered MCs in human subject DBTs.Main results. We demonstrated the efficacies of CNN-NE and CNN-MC on a set of physical phantom DBTs. The MDR method achieved low RMS noise and the highest detection area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) rankings evaluated by CNN-NE and CNN-MC among the reconstruction methods studied on an independent test set of human subject DBTs.Significance. The CNN-NE and CNN-MC may serve as a cost-effective surrogate for human observers to provide task-specific metrics for image quality comparisons. The proposed reconstruction method shows the promise of combining physics-based MBIR and learning-based DCNNs for DBT image reconstruction, which may potentially lead to lower dose and higher sensitivity and specificity for MC detection in breast cancer screening and diagnosis.

Survival Prediction of Patients with Bladder Cancer after Cystectomy Based on Clinical, Radiomics, and Deep-Learning Descriptors.

Accurate survival prediction for bladder cancer patients who have undergone radical cystectomy can improve their treatment management. However, the existing predictive models do not take advantage of both clinical and radiological imaging data. This study aimed to fill this gap by developing an approach that leverages the strengths of clinical (C), radiomics (R), and deep-learning (D) descriptors to improve survival prediction. The dataset comprised 163 patients, including clinical, histopathological information, and CT urography scans. The data were divided by patient into training, validation, and test sets. We analyzed the clinical data by a nomogram and the image data by radiomics and deep-learning models. The descriptors were input into a BPNN model for survival prediction. The AUCs on the test set were (C): 0.82 ± 0.06, (R): 0.73 ± 0.07, (D): 0.71 ± 0.07, (CR): 0.86 ± 0.05, (CD): 0.86 ± 0.05, and (CRD): 0.87 ± 0.05. The predictions based on D and CRD descriptors showed a significant difference (p = 0.007). For Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, the deceased and alive groups were stratified successfully by C (p < 0.001) and CRD (p < 0.001), with CRD predicting the alive group more accurately. The results highlight the potential of combining C, R, and D descriptors to accurately predict the survival of bladder cancer patients after cystectomy.

Deep learning denoising of digital breast tomosynthesis: Observer performance study of the effect on detection of microcalcifications in breast phantom images.

BACKGROUND: The noise in digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) includes x-ray quantum noise and detector readout noise. The total radiation dose of a DBT scan is kept at about the level of a digital mammogram but the detector noise is increased due to acquisition of multiple projections. The high noise can degrade the detectability of subtle lesions, specifically microcalcifications (MCs). PURPOSE: We previously developed a deep-learning-based denoiser to improve the image quality of DBT. In the current study, we conducted an observer performance study with breast radiologists to investigate the feasibility of using deep-learning-based denoising to improve the detection of MCs in DBT. METHODS: We have a modular breast phantom set containing seven 1-cm-thick heterogeneous 50% adipose/50% fibroglandular slabs custom-made by CIRS, Inc. (Norfolk, VA). We made six 5-cm-thick breast phantoms embedded with 144 simulated MC clusters of four nominal speck sizes (0.125-0.150, 0.150-0.180, 0.180-0.212, 0.212-0.250 mm) at random locations. The phantoms were imaged with a GE Pristina DBT system using the automatic standard (STD) mode. The phantoms were also imaged with the STD+ mode that increased the average glandular dose by 54% to be used as a reference condition for comparison of radiologists' reading. Our previously trained and validated denoiser was deployed to the STD images to obtain a denoised DBT set (dnSTD). Seven breast radiologists participated as readers to detect the MCs in the DBT volumes of the six phantoms under the three conditions (STD, STD+, dnSTD), totaling 18 DBT volumes. Each radiologist read all the 18 DBT volumes sequentially, which were arranged in a different order for each reader in a counter-balanced manner to minimize any potential reading order effects. They marked the location of each detected MC cluster and provided a conspicuity rating and their confidence level for the perceived cluster. The visual grading characteristics (VGC) analysis was used to compare the conspicuity ratings and the confidence levels of the radiologists for the detection of MCs. RESULTS: The average sensitivities over all MC speck sizes were 65.3%, 73.2%, and 72.3%, respectively, for the radiologists reading the STD, dnSTD, and STD+ volumes. The sensitivity for dnSTD was significantly higher than that for STD (p < 0.005, two-tailed Wilcoxon signed rank test) and comparable to that for STD+. The average false positive rates were 3.9 ± 4.6, 2.8 ± 3.7, and 2.7 ± 3.9 marks per DBT volume, respectively, for reading the STD, dnSTD, and STD+ images but the difference between dnSTD and STD or STD+ did not reach statistical significance. The overall conspicuity ratings and confidence levels by VGC analysis for dnSTD were significantly higher than those for both STD and STD+ (p ≤ 0.001). The critical alpha value for significance was adjusted to be 0.025 with Bonferroni correction. CONCLUSIONS: This observer study using breast phantom images showed that deep-learning-based denoising has the potential to improve the detection of MCs in noisy DBT images and increase radiologists' confidence in differentiating noise from MCs without increasing radiation dose. Further studies are needed to evaluate the generalizability of these results to the wide range of DBTs from human subjects and patient populations in clinical settings.

Improved Repeatability of Mouse Tibia Volume Segmentation in Murine Myelofibrosis Model Using Deep Learning.

A murine model of myelofibrosis in tibia was used in a co-clinical trial to evaluate segmentation methods for application of image-based biomarkers to assess disease status. The dataset (32 mice with 157 3D MRI scans including 49 test-retest pairs scanned on consecutive days) was split into approximately 70% training, 10% validation, and 20% test subsets. Two expert annotators (EA1 and EA2) performed manual segmentations of the mouse tibia (EA1: all data; EA2: test and validation). Attention U-net (A-U-net) model performance was assessed for accuracy with respect to EA1 reference using the average Jaccard index (AJI), volume intersection ratio (AVI), volume error (AVE), and Hausdorff distance (AHD) for four training scenarios: full training, two half-splits, and a single-mouse subsets. The repeatability of computer versus expert segmentations for tibia volume of test-retest pairs was assessed by within-subject coefficient of variance (%wCV). A-U-net models trained on full and half-split training sets achieved similar average accuracy (with respect to EA1 annotations) for test set: AJI = 83-84%, AVI = 89-90%, AVE = 2-3%, and AHD = 0.5 mm-0.7 mm, exceeding EA2 accuracy: AJ = 81%, AVI = 83%, AVE = 14%, and AHD = 0.3 mm. The A-U-net model repeatability wCV [95% CI]: 3 [2, 5]% was notably better than that of expert annotators EA1: 5 [4, 9]% and EA2: 8 [6, 13]%. The developed deep learning model effectively automates murine bone marrow segmentation with accuracy comparable to human annotators and substantially improved repeatability.

AAPM task group report 273: Recommendations on best practices for AI and machine learning for computer-aided diagnosis in medical imaging.

Rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning, and specifically in deep learning (DL) techniques, have enabled broad application of these methods in health care. The promise of the DL approach has spurred further interest in computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) development and applications using both "traditional" machine learning methods and newer DL-based methods. We use the term CAD-AI to refer to this expanded clinical decision support environment that uses traditional and DL-based AI methods. Numerous studies have been published to date on the development of machine learning tools for computer-aided, or AI-assisted, clinical tasks. However, most of these machine learning models are not ready for clinical deployment. It is of paramount importance to ensure that a clinical decision support tool undergoes proper training and rigorous validation of its generalizability and robustness before adoption for patient care in the clinic. To address these important issues, the American Association of Physicists in Medicine (AAPM) Computer-Aided Image Analysis Subcommittee (CADSC) is charged, in part, to develop recommendations on practices and standards for the development and performance assessment of computer-aided decision support systems. The committee has previously published two opinion papers on the evaluation of CAD systems and issues associated with user training and quality assurance of these systems in the clinic. With machine learning techniques continuing to evolve and CAD applications expanding to new stages of the patient care process, the current task group report considers the broader issues common to the development of most, if not all, CAD-AI applications and their translation from the bench to the clinic. The goal is to bring attention to the proper training and validation of machine learning algorithms that may improve their generalizability and reliability and accelerate the adoption of CAD-AI systems for clinical decision support.

Recursive Training Strategy for a Deep Learning Network for Segmentation of Pathology Nuclei With Incomplete Annotation.

This study developed a recursive training strategy to train a deep learning model for nuclei detection and segmentation using incomplete annotation. A dataset of 141 H&E stained breast cancer pathologic images with incomplete annotation was randomly split into training/validation set and test set of 89 and 52 images, respectively. The positive training samples were extracted at each annotated cell and augmented with affine translation. The negative training samples were selected from the non-cellular regions free of nuclei using a histogram-based semi-automatic method. A U-Net model was initially trained by minimizing a custom loss function. After the first stage of training, the trained U-Net model was applied to the images in the training set in an inference mode. The U-Net segmented objects with high quality were selected by a semi-automated method. Combining the newly selected high quality objects with the annotated nuclei and the previously generated negative samples, the U-Net model was retrained recursively until the stopping criteria were satisfied. For the 52 test images, the U-Net trained with and without using our recursive training method achieved a sensitivity of 90.3% and 85.3% for nuclei detection, respectively. For nuclei segmentation, the average Dice coefficient and average Jaccard index were 0.831±0.213 and 0.750±0.217, 0.780±0.270 and 0.697±0.264, for U-Net with and without recursive training, respectively. The improvement achieved by our proposed method was statistically significant (P < 0.05). In conclusion, our recursive training method effectively enlarged the set of annotated objects for training the deep learning model and further improved the detection and segmentation performance.

Hybrid U-Net-based deep learning model for volume segmentation of lung nodules in CT images.

OBJECTIVE: Accurate segmentation of the lung nodule in computed tomography images is a critical component of a computer-assisted lung cancer detection/diagnosis system. However, lung nodule segmentation is a challenging task due to the heterogeneity of nodules. This study is to develop a hybrid deep learning (H-DL) model for the segmentation of lung nodules with a wide variety of sizes, shapes, margins, and opacities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A dataset collected from Lung Image Database Consortium image collection containing 847 cases with lung nodules manually annotated by at least two radiologists with nodule diameters greater than 7 mm and less than 45 mm was randomly split into 683 training/validation and 164 independent test cases. The 50% consensus consolidation of radiologists' annotation was used as the reference standard for each nodule. We designed a new H-DL model combining two deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) with different structures as encoders to increase the learning capabilities for the segmentation of complex lung nodules. Leveraging the basic symmetric U-shaped architecture of U-Net, we redesigned two new U-shaped deep learning (U-DL) models that were expanded to six levels of convolutional layers. One U-DL model used a shallow DCNN structure containing 16 convolutional layers adapted from the VGG-19 as the encoder, and the other used a deep DCNN structure containing 200 layers adapted from DenseNet-201 as the encoder, while the same decoder with only one convolutional layer at each level was used in both U-DL models, and we referred to them as the shallow and deep U-DL models. Finally, an ensemble layer was used to combine the two U-DL models into the H-DL model. We compared the effectiveness of the H-DL, the shallow U-DL and the deep U-DL models by deploying them separately to the test set. The accuracy of volume segmentation for each nodule was evaluated by the 3D Dice coefficient and Jaccard index (JI) relative to the reference standard. For comparison, we calculated the median and minimum of the 3D Dice and JI over the individual radiologists who segmented each nodule, referred to as M-Dice, min-Dice, M-JI, and min-JI. RESULTS: For the 164 test cases with 327 nodules, our H-DL model achieved an average 3D Dice coefficient of 0.750 ± 0.135 and an average JI of 0.617 ± 0.159. The radiologists' average M-Dice was 0.778 ± 0.102, and the average M-JI was 0.651 ± 0.127; both were significantly higher than those achieved by the H-DL model (p < 0.05). The radiologists' average min-Dice (0.685 ± 0.139) and the average min-JI (0.537 ± 0.153) were significantly lower than those achieved by the H-DL model (p < 0.05). The results indicated that the H-DL model approached the average performance of radiologists and was superior to the radiologist whose manual segmentation had the min-Dice and min-JI. Moreover, the average Dice and average JI achieved by the H-DL model were significantly higher than those achieved by the individual shallow U-DL model (Dice of 0.745 ± 0.139, JI of 0.611 ± 0.161; p < 0.05) or the individual deep U-DL model alone (Dice of 0.739 ± 0.145, JI of 0.604 ± 0.163; p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Our newly developed H-DL model outperformed the individual shallow or deep U-DL models. The H-DL method combining multilevel features learned by both the shallow and deep DCNNs could achieve segmentation accuracy comparable to radiologists' segmentation for nodules with wide ranges of image characteristics.

Computerized Decision Support for Bladder Cancer Treatment Response Assessment in CT Urography: Effect on Diagnostic Accuracy in Multi-Institution Multi-Specialty Study.

This observer study investigates the effect of computerized artificial intelligence (AI)-based decision support system (CDSS-T) on physicians' diagnostic accuracy in assessing bladder cancer treatment response. The performance of 17 observers was evaluated when assessing bladder cancer treatment response without and with CDSS-T using pre- and post-chemotherapy CTU scans in 123 patients having 157 pre- and post-treatment cancer pairs. The impact of cancer case difficulty, observers' clinical experience, institution affiliation, specialty, and the assessment times on the observers' diagnostic performance with and without using CDSS-T were analyzed. It was found that the average performance of the 17 observers was significantly improved (p = 0.002) when aided by the CDSS-T. The cancer case difficulty, institution affiliation, specialty, and the assessment times influenced the observers' performance without CDSS-T. The AI-based decision support system has the potential to improve the diagnostic accuracy in assessing bladder cancer treatment response and result in more consistent performance among all physicians.

Effect of Dose Level on Radiologists' Detection of Microcalcifications in Digital Breast Tomosynthesis: An Observer Study with Breast Phantoms.

OBJECTIVES: To compare radiologists' sensitivity, confidence level, and reading efficiency of detecting microcalcifications in digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) at two clinically relevant dose levels. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Six 5-cm-thick heterogeneous breast phantoms embedded with a total of 144 simulated microcalcification clusters of four speck sizes were imaged at two dose modes by a clinical DBT system. The DBT volumes at the two dose levels were read independently by six MQSA radiologists and one fellow with 1-33 years (median 12 years) of experience in a fully-crossed counter-balanced manner. The radiologist located each potential cluster and rated its conspicuity and his/her confidence that the marked location contained a cluster. The differences in the results between the two dose modes were analyzed by two-tailed paired t-test. RESULTS: Compared to the lower-dose mode, the average glandular dose in the higher-dose mode for the 5-cm phantoms increased from 1.34 to 2.07 mGy. The detection sensitivity increased for all speck sizes and significantly for the two smaller sizes (p <0.05). An average of 13.8% fewer false positive clusters was marked. The average conspicuity rating and the radiologists' confidence level were higher for all speck sizes and reached significance (p <0.05) for the three larger sizes. The average reading time per detected cluster reduced significantly (p <0.05) by an average of 13.2%. CONCLUSION: For a 5-cm-thick breast, an increase in average glandular dose from 1.34 to 2.07 mGy for DBT imaging increased the conspicuity of microcalcifications, improved the detection sensitivity by radiologists, increased their confidence levels, reduced false positive detections, and increased the reading efficiency.

AI in medical physics: guidelines for publication.

The Abstract is intended to provide a concise summary of the study and its scientific findings. For AI/ML applications in medical physics, a problem statement and rationale for utilizing these algorithms are necessary while highlighting the novelty of the approach. A brief numerical description of how the data are partitioned into subsets for training of the AI/ML algorithm, validation (including tuning of parameters), and independent testing of algorithm performance is required. This is to be followed by a summary of the results and statistical metrics that quantify the performance of the AI/ML algorithm.

Prediction of Disease Free Survival in Laryngeal and Hypopharyngeal Cancers Using CT Perfusion and Radiomic Features: A Pilot Study.

(1) Purpose: The objective was to evaluate CT perfusion and radiomic features for prediction of one year disease free survival in laryngeal and hypopharyngeal cancer. (2) Method and Materials: This retrospective study included pre and post therapy CT neck studies in 36 patients with laryngeal/hypopharyngeal cancer. Tumor contouring was performed semi-autonomously by the computer and manually by two radiologists. Twenty-six radiomic features including morphological and gray-level features were extracted by an internally developed and validated computer-aided image analysis system. The five perfusion features analyzed included permeability surface area product (PS), blood flow (flow), blood volume (BV), mean transit time (MTT), and time-to-maximum (Tmax). One year persistent/recurrent disease data were obtained following the final treatment of definitive chemoradiation or after total laryngectomy. We performed a two-loop leave-one-out feature selection and linear discriminant analysis classifier with generation of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and confidence intervals (CI). (3) Results: 10 patients (28%) had recurrence/persistent disease at 1 year. For prediction, the change in blood flow demonstrated a training AUC of 0.68 (CI 0.47-0.85) and testing AUC of 0.66 (CI 0.47-0.85). The best features selected were a combination of perfusion and radiomic features including blood flow and computer-estimated percent volume changes-training AUC of 0.68 (CI 0.5-0.85) and testing AUC of 0.69 (CI 0.5-0.85). The laryngoscopic percent change in volume was a poor predictor with a testing AUC of 0.4 (CI 0.16-0.57). (4) Conclusions: A combination of CT perfusion and radiomic features are potential predictors of one-year disease free survival in laryngeal and hypopharyngeal cancer patients.