Predicting herd immunity achievement: a time-series analysis of vaccination and fatality rates using 1,075 days of COVID-19 data.

Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic, driven by SARS-CoV-2, has made vaccination a critical strategy for global control. However, vaccine hesitancy, particularly among certain age groups, remains a significant barrier to achieving herd immunity. Methods: This study uses Poisson regression and ARIMA time-series modeling to identify factors contributing to vaccine hesitancy, understand age-specific vaccination preferences, and assess the impact of bivalent vaccines on reducing hesitancy and fatality rates. It also predicts the time required to achieve herd immunity by analyzing factors such as vaccine dosing intervals, age-specific preferences, and changes in fatality rates. Results: The study finds that individuals recovering from COVID-19 often delay vaccination due to perceived immunity. There is a preference for combining BNT162b2 and CoronaVac vaccines. The BNT162b2 bivalent vaccine has significantly reduced vaccine hesitancy and is linked with lower fatality rates, particularly in those aged 80 and above. However, it tends to induce more severe side effects compared to Sinovac. Vaccine hesitancy is most prevalent among the youngest (0-11) and oldest (80+) age groups, posing a challenge to reaching 90% vaccination coverage. Conclusion: Vaccine hesitancy is a major obstacle to herd immunity. Effective strategies include creating urgency, offering incentives, and prioritizing vulnerable age groups. Despite these challenges, the government should have continued to encourage vaccinations while gradually lifting COVID-19 control measures, balancing public health safety with the return to normal life, as was observed in the transition period during the latter stages of the pandemic.

Sex differences in cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis.

INTRODUCTION: The risk of cardiovascular disease increases in patients with acute pancreatitis. However, it remains unknown whether this increase varies between males and females. OBJECTIVES: To assess sex differences in cardiovascular outcomes among acute pancreatitis patients during long-term follow-up. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Participants were recruited from the UK-biobank, which is a population-based cohort study consisting of 502 368 individuals aged 40-69 years old. Cardiovascular outcomes were defined as major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular adverse events (MACCE), encompassing all-cause death, myocardial infarction, and stroke. We compared sex difference in MACCE incidence using incidence rate per 1,000 person-years. The association between sex and MACCE risk was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models and win-ratio method, adjusted for demographic, lifestyle, metabolic factors and medication use. RESULTS: A total of 1371 participants with acute pancreatitis were included, 42.5% were male. Over a median follow-up of 13.9 years, 226 MACCE cases occurred. The incidence rate of MACCE for male was 16.44, compared to 9.80 in female. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated a higher risk of MACCE in male compared to female (HR 1.80 [95% CI 1.36-2.38]). Adjusted HR for all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, and stroke were 1.49, 2.75, and 1.67, respectively. The adjusted win ratio by inverse probability of treatment weighting was 0.55 (P <0.001), suggesting a worse outcome in male acute pancreatitis patients. CONCLUSIONS: Male experienced more adverse cardiovascular outcomes than female in the long follow-up after acute pancreatitis, suggesting a need for sex-specific management strategies in acute pancreatitis patients.

Associations between social determinants of health and cardiovascular and cancer mortality in cancer survivors: a prospective cohort study.

AIMS: The cause-specific mortality implications of social determinants of health (SDOH) in cancer survivors were unclear. This study aimed to explore associations between SDOH and cardiovascular and cancer mortality in cancer survivors. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 2013 to 2017 National Health Interview Survey were used for this prospective cohort study. Social determinants of health were quantified using a 38 point, 6 domain score, with higher points indicating worse deprivation. Associations between SDOH and outcomes (primary: cardiovascular mortality; secondary: cancer and all-cause mortality) were assessed using cause-specific multivariable Cox regression, with cancer survivors and individuals without cancer modelled separately. Post hoc analyses were performed among cancer survivors to explore associations between each domain of SDOH and the risks of outcomes. Altogether, 37 882 individuals were analysed (4179 cancer survivors and 33 703 individuals without cancer). Among cancer survivors, worse SDOH was associated with higher cardiovascular [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.31 (1.02-1.68)], cancer [aHR 1.20 (1.01-1.42)], and all-cause mortality [aHR 1.16 (1.02-1.31)] when adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and risk factors. Among individuals without cancer, SDOH was associated with cardiovascular mortality and all-cause when only adjusted for demographics, but not when further adjusted for comorbidities and risk factors; no associations between SDOH and cancer mortality were found. Among cancer survivors, psychological distress, economic stability, neighbourhood, physical environment and social cohesion, and food insecurity were varyingly associated with the outcomes. CONCLUSION: Social determinants of health were independently associated with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality among cancer survivors but not among individuals without cancer. Different domains of SDOH may have different prognostic importance.

In cancer survivors, worse social deprivation contributed to higher risks of cardiovascular, cancer and overall death beyond what can be explained by demographics, coexisting illnesses, and risk factors. Specifically, psychological distress, economic stability, neighbourhood, physical environment and social cohesion, and food insecurity may be particularly influential aspects of deprivation. Meanwhile, in individuals without cancer, the contribution of social deprivation to cardiovascular and overall death may be largely explained by demographics, coexisting illnesses, and risk factors.

Associations between glucocorticoid use and major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with prostate cancer receiving antiandrogen: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Prednisolone/prednisone coadministration with abiraterone may explain abiraterone-related increase in cardiovascular risk. We explored this postulation and glucocorticoid's association with cardiovascular risk. METHODS: Patients with prostate cancer on androgen deprivation therapy and enzalutamide, or abiraterone with 5 mg (ABI + P5) or 10 mg (ABI + P10) daily total prednisolone/prednisone were followed up for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). RESULTS: We analyzed 933 patients. ABI + P10, but not enzalutamide, had higher risk of MACE than ABI + P5. Cumulative glucocorticoid dose before enzalutamide/abiraterone initiation was associated with MACE. CONCLUSIONS: Prednisolone/prednisone coadministration with abiraterone likely contributed to abiraterone-related increased cardiovascular risk. Prevalent cumulative glucocorticoid dose was associated with cardiovascular risk.

Healthcare worker attitudes on routine non-urological preoperative urine cultures: a qualitative assessment.

OBJECTIVE: Many preoperative urine cultures are of low value and may even lead to patient harms. This study sought to understand practices around ordering preoperative urine cultures and prescribing antibiotic treatment. DESIGN: Open-ended, semi-structured qualitative interviews. SETTING: 5 Veterans Affairs hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: Interviews with 14 surgeons (9 surgeons, 5 surgical leaders), 7 infectious disease physicians, 8 surgical advanced practice providers (APPs), 1 surgical nurse manager, 3 infectious disease pharmacists, 1 hospitalist, and 1 lab manager. METHODS: We interviewed participants using a qualitative semi-structured interview guide. Collected data was coded inductively and with the Dual Process Model (DPM) using MAXQDA software. Data in the "Testing Decision-Making" code was further reviewed using the concept of perceived risk as a sensitizing concept. RESULTS: We identified themes relating to surgeons' concerns about de-implementing preoperative urine cultures to detect asymptomatic bacteriuria (ASB) in patients undergoing non-urological procedures: (1) anxiety and uncertainty surrounding missing infection signs spanned surgical specialties, (2) there were perceived risks of negative consequences associated with omitting urine cultures and treatment prior to specific procedure sites and types, and additionally, (3) participants suggested potential routes for adjusting these perceived risks to facilitate de-implementation acceptance. Notably, participants suggested that leadership support and peer engagement could help improve surgeon buy-in. CONCLUSIONS: Concerns about perceived risks sometimes outweigh the evidence against routine preoperative urine cultures to detect ASB. Evidence from trusted peers may improve openness to de-implementing preoperative urine cultures.

Advances in pharmacotherapy for heart failure and reduced ejection fraction: what's new in 2024?

INTRODUCTION: Updated guidelines for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and acute decompensation have improved outcomes, but ongoing efforts are focused on uncovering new evidence and developing novel therapies. This review examines the limitations of current treatments and the potential impact of emerging therapies. AREAS COVERED: A literature search focused on studies investigating drugs for HFrEF. We review recent clinical trials and emerging therapies to assess evidence strength, explore guideline updates, and identify strategies to optimize patient outcomes. EXPERT OPINION: The HFrEF treatment landscape is rapidly evolving, with advances in therapies like sodium/glucose cotransporter inhibitors and sacubitril-valsartan. Though managing acute decompensated heart failure remains challenging, recent trials suggest improvements in diuretic strategies and anti-inflammatory treatments. Ongoing research is essential for validating these therapies and incorporating them into standard practice.

Cardiomyopathies in Pregnancy: Trends and Clinical Outcomes in Delivery Hospitalizations in the United States (2005-2020).

BACKGROUND: Cardiomyopathy (CDM) in pregnancy is associated with maternal morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVES: To explore trends and clinical outcomes in CDM subtypes during delivery hospitalizations. METHODS: We used the National Inpatient Sample database to identify delivery hospitalizations between 2005-2020 by CDM subtypes: peripartum (PPCM), dilated (DCM), hypertrophic (HCM), and restrictive (RCM). Maternal and fetal outcomes were identified using International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Baseline characteristics and temporal trends of CDM subtypes were analyzed. Maternal cardiovascular, pregnancy, and fetal outcomes were evaluated by CDM subtype using univariate logistic regression. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: During 2005-2020, 37,125 out of 61,811,842 delivery hospitalizations were complicated by CDM. Among CDM-related delivery hospitalizations, the most prevalent were DCM (46%), followed by PPCM (45.6%), HCM (4.6%), and RCM (3.9%). The rates of in-hospital mortality (1.7%), adverse cardiovascular events such as acute heart failure (17%), cardiogenic shock (3.4%), and cardiac arrest (3.1%), and adverse pregnancy outcomes such as preeclampsia (14.2%) and preterm labor (11%), were highest among PPCM (all p < 0.0001). The prevalence of PPCM (49.1% to 38.5%) decreased while the prevalence of HCM (2.7% to 8.8%) and DCM (48% to 52.2%) increased over time. CONCLUSIONS: Over a 15-year period, PPCM had higher rates of in-hospital mortality, cardiovascular events, and adverse pregnancy outcomes compared to other CDM subtypes. While the prevalence of PPCM decreased over time, the prevalence of HCM and DCM increased. Hence, further research on cardiomyopathies during pregnancy and prospective studies on this vulnerable patient cohort are urgently needed.

Outcomes of transcatheter closure for coronary artery fistulas with or without aneurysm: A comparative study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary Artery Fistulas (CAFs) Patients with aneurysm may face severe complications, necessitating prompt treatment. However, data on the outcomes of transcatheter closure in CAFs patients with aneurysm are notably scarce. METHODS: This retrospective study included all consecutive CAFs patients who underwent transcatheter closure at Fuwai Hospital from January 2010 to December 2023. Patients were divided into two groups based on the presence of aneurysm, and baseline characteristics, anatomical features, and transcatheter closure outcomes were further compared. RESULTS: The study ultimately included 104 patients, consisting of 56 in the aneurysm group and 48 in the non-aneurysm group. Patients in the aneurysm group were younger [39.79 (16.35) versus 50.69 (13.31) years, p < 0.001] and more frequently present with heart murmurs (21.43% vs. 6.25%, p = 0.03). Multivariate logistic regression indicated that a larger fistula diameter and the presence of CCFs are independent risk factors for the presence of aneurysm in CAF patients. The procedural success rate (75% vs. 75%, P = 1), fistula recanalization rate (11.11% vs. 16.67%, p = 0.42), and reintervention rate (3.7% vs. 6.25%, p = 0.89) were similar between the aneurysm and non-aneurysm groups. CONCLUSION: A larger fistula diameters and the presence of coronary-cameral fistulas are independent risk factors for the occurrence of aneurysms in patients with CAFs. The outcomes of transcatheter closure are comparable for CAFs patients with and without aneurysm, though post-closure thrombosis within the fistula appears to be more common in patients with aneurysm.

Association between "weekend warrior" physical activity and the incidence of neurodegenerative diseases.

While guidelines recommend 150 â€‹min of moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) weekly to enhance health, it remains unclear whether concentrating these activities into 1-2 days of the week, "weekend warrior" (WW) pattern, has the same benefit for neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs). This study aimed to evaluate the associations of WW pattern and the risk of NDDs. This prospective study was conducted using accelerometer-based physical activity data for a full week from June 2013 to December 2015 in the UK Biobank. These individuals were categorized into distinct physical activity patterns, including the WW pattern (i.e., over 50% or 75% of recommended MVPA achieved over 1-2 days), regular pattern, and inactive pattern. Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the association between physical activity patterns and outcomes. Compared to inactive group, WW pattern and regular pattern was similarly linked to a reduced risk of all-cause dementia (WW: Hazard Ratio [HR]: 0.68, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.56-0.84; regular: HR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.67-1.1) and all-cause Parkinsonism (WW: HR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.35-0.63; regular: HR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.5-0.95). When the exercise threshold was increased to 75% of MVPA, both patterns still were associated with decreased risk of incident all-cause dementia (WW: HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.41-0.91; regular: HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.63-0.92) and all-cause Parkinsonism (WW: HR: 0.22, 95% CI: 0.10-0.47; regular: HR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.46-0.75). Concentrating recommended physical activities into 1-2 days per week is associated with a lower incidence of NDDs.

A Wearable Personalised Sonification and Biofeedback Device to Enhance Movement Awareness.

Movement sonification has emerged as a promising approach for rehabilitation and motion control. Despite significant advancements in sensor technologies, challenges remain in developing cost-effective, user-friendly, and reliable systems for gait detection and sonification. This study introduces a novel wearable personalised sonification and biofeedback device to enhance movement awareness for individuals with irregular gait and posture. Through the integration of inertial measurement units (IMUs), MATLAB, and sophisticated audio feedback mechanisms, the device offers real-time, intuitive cues to facilitate gait correction and improve functional mobility. Utilising a single wearable sensor attached to the L4 vertebrae, the system captures kinematic parameters to generate auditory feedback through discrete and continuous tones corresponding to heel strike events and sagittal plane rotations. A preliminary test that involved 20 participants under various audio feedback conditions was conducted to assess the system's accuracy, reliability, and user synchronisation. The results indicate a promising improvement in movement awareness facilitated by auditory cues. This suggests a potential for enhancing gait and balance, particularly beneficial for individuals with compromised gait or those undergoing a rehabilitation process. This paper details the development process, experimental setup, and initial findings, discussing the integration challenges and future research directions. It also presents a novel approach to providing real-time feedback to participants about their balance, potentially enabling them to make immediate adjustments to their posture and movement. Future research should evaluate this method in varied real-world settings and populations, including the elderly and individuals with Parkinson's disease.

Comparisons of the risks of new-onset prostate cancer in type 2 diabetes mellitus between SGLT2I and DPP4I users: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I) have been suggested to reduce new-onset cancer amongst type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. This study aims to compare the risks of prostate cancer between SGLT2I and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4I) amongst T2DM patients. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a retrospective population-based cohort study of prospectively recorded data on male patients with T2DM who were prescribed either SGLT2I or DPP4I between 1st January 2015 and 31st December 2020 from Hong Kong. METHODS: The primary outcome was new-onset prostate cancer. The secondary outcomes included cancer-related mortality and all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching (1:1 ratio) using the nearest neighbor search was performed and multivariable Cox regression was applied. A three-arm analysis including the glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP1a) cohort was conducted. RESULTS: This study included 42129 male T2DM patients (median age: 61.0 years old [SD: 12.2]; SGLT2I: n = 17,120; DPP4I: n = 25,009). In the propensity score matched cohort, the number of prostate cancers was significantly lower in SGLT2I users (n = 60) than in DPP4I (n = 102). Over a follow-up duration of 5.61 years, SGLT2I was associated with lower prostate cancer risks (HR: 0.45; 95% CI: 0.30-0.70) than DPP4I after adjustments. The subgroup analyses showed that the interactions between SGLT2I and age, hypertension, heart failure, and GLP-1a were not statistically significant. The result remained consistent in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSION: The study demonstrated SGLT2I was associated with lower risks of new-onset prostate cancer after propensity score matching and adjustments compared to DPP4I amongst T2DM patients.

Comparison of infection risk between enzalutamide and abiraterone in patients with prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Enzalutamide and abiraterone may differ in their immunomodulatory effects, and the prednisone coadministered with abiraterone can be immunosuppressive. This study aimed to compare the risk of different types of infection in patients with prostate cancer receiving enzalutamide or abiraterone in combination with androgen deprivation therapy. METHODS: Patients with prostate cancer receiving enzalutamide or abiraterone in addition to androgen deprivation therapy in Hong Kong between December 1999 to March 2021 were identified in this retrospective cohort study and followed up until September 2021, death, or crossover. Outcomes, including any sepsis, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, cellulitis or skin abscess, central nervous system infections, and tuberculosis, were analyzed as both time-to-event outcomes (multivariable Fine-Gray regression, with mortality considered a competing event) and recurrent-event outcomes (multivariable negative binomial regression). RESULTS: Altogether, 1582 patients were analyzed (923 abiraterone users; 659 enzalutamide users) with a median follow-up of 10.6 months (interquartile range: 5.3-19.9 months). Compared to abiraterone users, enzalutamide users had lower cumulative incidences of sepsis (adjusted subhazard ratio [SHR] 0.70 [0.53-0.93], p = .014), pneumonia (adjusted SHR 0.76 [0.59-0.99], p = .040), and cellulitis or skin abscess (adjusted SHR 0.55 [0.39-0.79], p = .001), but not urinary tract infection (adjusted SHR 0.91 [0.62-1.35], p = .643). Associations between exposure and central nervous system infections and tuberculosis were not assessed because of low event rates. Analyzing the outcomes as recurrent events gave similar results. Enzalutamide use may be associated with a lower risk of urinary tract infection in patients with diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to abiraterone users, enzalutamide users have significantly lower risks of sepsis, pneumonia, cellulitis, or skin abscess.

Transcatheter closure of multiple coronary artery fistulas: a coronary computed tomography angiography-based anatomic classification.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to retrospectively analyze the anatomical characteristics and classification of multiple coronary artery fistulas (MCAFs), and to compare the outcomes of transcatheter closure between MCAFs and single fistulas. METHODS: All patients who underwent attempts at transcatheter closure of coronary artery fistulas (CAFs) at Fuwai Hospital from 2010 to 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized into single fistula and MCAFs groups, and anatomical characteristics and transcatheter closure outcomes were compared between the 2 groups. RESULTS: This retrospective study included 146 patients who underwent attempted transcatheter closure of CAFs, with a 14.38% failure rate. Among the 146 patients with CAFs, 32.19% were identified as having MCAFs, with types I, II, and III constituting 40.43%, 42.55%, and 17.02%, respectively. Unlike single fistulas, which predominantly originated from the right coronary artery and terminated in the left ventricle, MCAFs mainly had simultaneous origins from the right coronary artery and left anterior descending artery (29.79%), and predominantly drained into the pulmonary artery (70.21%), with a notable prevalence of plexus-like morphology (38.3% vs 2.02%, P<.001). The success rate of transcatheter closure was significantly lower for multiple fistulas compared with single fistula (64.29% vs 84.34%, P=.011). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that the risk of closure failure for MCAFs was 2.64 times that of single fistulas. CONCLUSIONS: MCAFs are common among CAFs and can be classified into 3 types based on the number and location of their origins and terminations. The risk of failure of transcatheter closure is significantly higher in MCAFs than in single fistulas.

Associations Between Social Determinants of Health and Cardiovascular Health of U.S. Adult Cancer Survivors.

Background: Relationships between the social determinants of health (SDOH) and cardiovascular health (CVH) of cancer survivors are underexplored. Objectives: This study sought to investigate associations between the SDOH and CVH of adult cancer survivors. Methods: Data from the U.S. National Health Interview Survey (2013-2017) were used. Participants reporting a history of cancer were included, excluding those with only nonmelanotic skin cancer, or with missing data for any domain of SDOH or CVH. SDOH was quantified with a 6-domain, 38-item score, consistent with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommendations (higher score indicated worse deprivation). CVH was quantified based on the American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8, but due to unavailable detailed dietary data, a 7-item CVH score was used, with a higher score indicating worse CVH. Survey-specific multivariable Poisson regression was used to test associations between SDOH quartiles and CVH. Results: Altogether, 8,254 subjects were analyzed, representing a population of 10,887,989 persons. Worse SDOH was associated with worse CVH (highest vs lowest quartile: risk ratio 1.30; 95% CI: 1.25-1.35; P < 0.001), with a grossly linear relationship between SDOH and CVH scores. Subgroup analysis found significantly stronger associations in younger participants (P interaction = 0.026) or women (P interaction = 0.001) but without significant interactions with race (P interaction = 0.051). Higher scores in all domains of SDOH were independently associated with worse CVH (all P < 0.001). Higher SDOH scores were also independently associated with each component of the CVH score (all P < 0.05 for highest SDOH quartile). Conclusions: An unfavorable SDOH profile was independently associated with worse CVH among adult cancer survivors in the United States.

Modifiable Lifestyle Risk Factors in Adult Survivors of Childhood Cancer: A Nationally Representative Study.

OBJECTIVES: Given the vulnerable health condition of adult childhood cancer survivors, it is essential that they develop positive health behaviors to minimize controllable health risks. Therefore, we evaluated if adult survivors of non-childhood cancer and childhood cancer differ in the odds of each modifiable risk factor compared with each other and compared with the general population. METHODS: This nationally representative study leveraged the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) sample from 2000 to 2018 and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) sample from 2016 to 2021. Our study population included adults diagnosed with cancer when they were ≤14 years of age. Outcomes included physical activity, body mass index (BMI), current smoking, ever-smoking, alcohol use, and binge drinking. RESULTS: Insufficient physical activity was not statistically significant in the BRFSS, but in the NHIS, childhood cancer survivors had significantly more insufficient physical activity compared with non-childhood cancer survivors (aOR 1.29, P =0.038) and the general population (aOR 1.40, P =0.006). Childhood cancer survivors also had a higher likelihood of being significantly underweight (aOR 1.84, P =0.018) and having ever-smoked (aOR 1.42, P =0.001) compared with the general population in the NHIS. There was a significantly higher likelihood of smoking among childhood cancer survivors in the BRFSS (aOR 2.02, P =0.004). CONCLUSIONS: The likelihoods of many risky behaviors between adult childhood cancer survivors and general population controls were comparable, although rates of physical activity may be decreased, and rates of smoking may be increased among childhood cancer survivors. Targeted interventions are needed to promote healthy behaviors in this vulnerable population.

Associations of neighborhood social cohesion and changes in BMI-The Maastricht Study.

The role of the social environment can facilitate positive health outcomes through active community engagement, normalization of healthy behaviors, and stress buffering. We aim to examine the associations of neighborhood social cohesion with changes in BMI over time. A total of 7641 participants from The Maastricht Study between the ages of 40 and 75 years were analyzed. Weight and height were measured at baseline, and weight was self-reported annually up to 10 years of follow-up (median = 4.7 years). Perceived social cohesion was obtained by questionnaire. Home addresses for each participant were linked to geographic information system data from the Geoscience and Health Cohort Consortium to create neighborhood exposure variables including area level social cohesion, neighborhood walkability, and food environment within a 1000 m Euclidian buffer. Linear regression analyses were performed with BMI adjusted for socioeconomic variables. A mixed model analysis was carried out to examine changes in BMI. Living in the highest quartile area of individually perceived social cohesion was associated with lower BMI (Q4 B: -.53; 95% CI = -.79, -.28) compared to the lowest quartile. Similar findings were discovered using the area level measure (Q4 B: -.97; 95% CI = -1.29, -.65). There was no longitudinal association between social cohesion and BMI. Neighborhood social cohesion was associated with lower BMI classifying it as an obesogenic area characteristic that influences weight, independent of conventional built environment features.

Topical corticosteroids for hives and itch (urticaria): Systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis of randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: Topical corticosteroids are widely used as a treatment for itch and wheals (urticaria), but their benefits and harms are unclear. OBJECTIVE: To systematically synthesize the benefits and harms of topical corticosteroids for the treatment of urticaria. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL from database inception to March 23, 2024, for randomized trials comparing topical corticosteroids with placebo for patients with urticaria (either chronic spontaneous or inducible urticaria or acute urticaria elicited from skin/intradermal allergy testing). Paired reviewers independently screened records, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias. Random-effects meta-analyses addressed urticaria severity, itch severity (numeric rating scale; range 0-10; higher is worse), and adverse events. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach informed certainty of evidence ratings. PROSPERO registration: CRD42023455182. RESULTS: A total of 19 randomized controlled trials enrolled 379 participants with a median of mean age of 30.1 (range 21.1-44.0) years. Compared with placebo, topical corticosteroids may reduce wheal size (ratio of means 0.47, 95% CI 0.38-0.59; low certainty) and itch severity (mean difference -1.30, 95% CI -5.07 to 2.46; very low certainty). Topical corticosteroids result in little to no difference in overall adverse events (94 fewer patients per 1000, 95% credible intervals 172 fewer to 12 more; high certainty). CONCLUSION: Compared with placebo, topical corticosteroids may result in a reduction of wheal size and little to no difference in overall adverse events. Topical corticosteroids may reduce itch severity, but the evidence is very uncertain. Future large, randomized trials addressing the use of topical corticosteroids would further support optimal urticaria management.

Healthcare Resource Utilization Associated with Intermittent Oral Corticosteroid Prescribing Patterns in Asthma.

Purpose: Oral corticosteroid (OCS) use for asthma is associated with considerable healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs. However, no study has investigated this in relation to patterns of intermittent OCS prescription. Methods: This historical UK cohort study used primary care medical records, linked to Hospital Episode Statistics, from 2008 to 2019, of patients (≥4 years old) with asthma prescribed intermittent OCS. Patients were categorized by OCS prescribing pattern (one-off [single], less frequent [≥90-day gap] and frequent [<90-day gap]) and matched 1:1 (by sex, age and index date) with people never prescribed OCS with/without asthma. HCRU (reported as episodes, except for length of hospital stay [days] and any prescription [records]) and associated costs were compared between intermittent OCS and non-OCS cohorts, and among intermittent OCS prescribing patterns. Results: Of 149,191 eligible patients, 50.3% had one-off, 27.4% less frequent, and 22.3% frequent intermittent OCS prescribing patterns. Annualized non-respiratory HCRU rates were greater in the intermittent OCS versus non-OCS cohorts for GP visits (5.93 vs 4.70 episodes, p < 0.0001), hospital admissions (0.24 vs 0.16 episodes, p < 0.0001), and length of stay (1.87 vs 1.58 days, p < 0.0001). In the intermittent OCS cohort, rates were highest in the frequent prescribing group for GP visits (7.49 episodes; p < 0.0001 vs one-off), length of stay (2.15 days; p < 0.0001) and any prescription including OCS (25.22 prescriptions; p < 0.0001). Mean per-patient non-respiratory related and all-cause HCRU-related costs were higher with intermittent OCS than no OCS (£3902 vs £2722 and £8623 vs £4929, respectively), as were mean annualized costs (£565 vs £313 and £1526 vs £634, respectively). A dose-response relationship existed; HCRU-related costs were highest in the frequent prescribing cohort (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Intermittent OCS use and more frequent intermittent OCS prescription patterns were associated with increased HCRU and associated costs. Improved asthma management is needed to reduce reliance on intermittent OCS in primary care.

Control for multiple risk factors and incident heart failure and mortality in patients with diabetes mellitus: Insights from the Kailuan cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the relationship between controlling multiple risk factors and diabetes-related heart failure and all-cause mortality, and the extent to which the excess risk can be reduced. METHODS: 17,676 patients with diabetes and 69,493 matched non-diabetic control subjects were included in the Kailuan study, with a median follow-up of 11.19 years. The risk factor control was defined by the attainment of target values for systolic blood pressure, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, high-sensitive C-reactive protein and smoking. Fine-Gray and Cox models were used to estimate associations between the degree of risk factor control and risk of heart failure and all-cause mortality respectively. RESULTS: Among diabetes patients, there was a gradual reduction in the risk of outcomes as the degree of risk factor control increased. For each additional risk factor that was controlled, there was an associated 16 % decrease in heart failure risk and a 10 % decrease in all-cause mortality risk. Among diabetes patients with ≥5 well-controlled risk factors, the adjusted hazard ratio compared to controls for heart failure and all-cause mortality was 1.25 (95 %CI: 0.99-1.56) and 1.17(95 %CI: 1.05-1.31) respectively. The protective effect of comprehensive risk factor control on the risk of heart failure was more pronounced in men and those using antihypertensive medications. CONCLUSIONS: Control for multiple risk factors is associated with reduced heart failure and all-cause mortality risks in a cumulative and sex-specific manner. However, despite optimization of risk factor control, diabetes patients still face increased risks compared to the general population.

Leukotriene receptor antagonists as add-on therapy to antihistamines for urticaria: Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: The benefits and harms of adding antileukotrienes to H1 antihistamines (AHs) for the management of urticaria (hives, itch, and/or angioedema) remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: We sought to systematically synthesize the treatment outcomes of antileukotrienes in combination with AHs versus AHs alone for acute and chronic urticaria. METHODS: As part of updating American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology and American College of Allergy, Asthma, and Immunology Joint Task Force on Practice Parameters urticaria guidelines, we searched Medline, Embase, Central, LILACS, WPRIM, IBECS, ICTRP, CBM, CNKI, VIP, Wanfang, US Food and Drug Administration, and European Medicines Agency databases from inception to December 18, 2023, for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating antileukotrienes and AHs versus AHs alone in patients with urticaria. Paired reviewers independently screened citations, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias. Random effects models pooled effect estimates for urticaria activity, itch, wheal, sleep, quality of life, and harms. The GRADE approach informed certainty of evidence ratings. The study was registered at the Open Science Framework (osf.io/h2bfx/). RESULTS: Thirty-four RCTs enrolled 3324 children and adults. Compared to AHs alone, the combination of a leukotriene receptor antagonist with AHs probably modestly reduces urticaria activity (mean difference, -5.04; 95% confidence interval, -6.36 to -3.71; 7-day urticaria activity score) with moderate certainty. We made similar findings for itch and wheal severity as well as quality of life. Adverse events were probably not different between groups (moderate certainty); however, no RCT reported on neuropsychiatric adverse events. CONCLUSION: Among patients with urticaria, adding leukotriene receptor antagonists to AHs probably modestly improves urticaria activity with little to no increase in overall adverse events. The added risk of neuropsychiatric adverse events in this population with leukotriene receptor antagonists is small and uncertain.