Development and validation of tools for predicting the risk of death and ICU admission of non-HIV-infected patients with Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia.

Introduction: The mortality rate of non-HIV-infected Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PCP) is high. This research aimed to develop and validate two clinical tools for predicting the risk of death and intensive care unit (ICU) admission in non-HIV-infected patients with PCP to reduce mortality. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted at Peking Union Medical College Hospital between 2012 and 2021. All proven and probable non-HIV-infected patients with PCP were included. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method and multivariable logistic regression analysis were used to select the high-risk prognostic parameters. In the validation, the receiver operating characteristic curve and concordance index were used to quantify the discrimination performance. Calibration curves were constructed to assess the predictive consistency compared with the actual observations. A likelihood ratio test was used to compare the tool and CURB-65 score. Results: In total, 508 patients were enrolled in the study. The tool for predicting death included eight factors: age, chronic lung disease, respiratory rate, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), cytomegalovirus infection, shock, and invasive mechanical ventilation. The tool for predicting ICU admission composed of the following factors: respiratory rate, dyspnea, lung moist rales, LDH, BUN, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, and pleural effusion. In external validation, the two clinical models performed well, showing good AUCs (0.915 and 0.880) and fit calibration plots. Compared with the CURB-65 score, our tool was more informative and had a higher predictive ability (AUC: 0.880 vs. 0.557) for predicting the risk of ICU admission. Conclusion: In conclusion, we developed and validated tools to predict death and ICU admission risks of non-HIV patients with PCP. Based on the information from the tools, clinicians can tailor appropriate therapy plans and use appropriate monitoring levels for high-risk patients, eventually reducing the mortality of those with PCP.

High initial (1, 3) Beta-d-Glucan concentration may be a predictor of satisfactory response of c aspofungin combined with TMP/SMZ for HIV-negative patients with moderate to severe Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the efficacy of combination therapy of caspofungin and TMP/SMZ (trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole) in moderate to severe pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP) in patients without human immunodeficiency virus infection (HIV) and the relationship between therapeutic effect and plasma (1, 3) Beta-d-Glucan (BDG) levels. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed HIV-negative patients with PJP diagnosed in our department, who were treated with combination therapy of caspofungin and TMP/SMZ or monotherapy of TMP/SMZ during a six and a half year period. RESULTS: A total of 126 moderate to severe PJP patients were enrolled in the study. In the multivariate analysis, low lymphocyte counts, high serum lactate dehydrogenase levels at the diagnosis of PJP and progression to shock were significant risk factors for death. In all patients, there was no significant difference in risk of death at 3 months. In the group of BDG≥800pg/m, patients receiving combination therapy was associated with a significantly decreased risk of death at 3 months, whereas in the group of BDG<800pg/ml, there were no statistically significant difference in survival rate between the two treatment regimens. CONCLUSION: High initial plasma (1, 3) Beta-d-Glucan concentration may be a predictor of satisfactory caspofungin response to HIV-negative patients with PJP. Based on our findings, we suggest the choice of combination therapy with caspofungin and TMP/SMZ as the initial treatment when BDG≥800pg/ml in moderate to severe HIV-negative patients with PJP.