Features of immunometabolic depression as predictors of antidepressant treatment outcomes: pooled analysis of four clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Profiling patients on a proposed 'immunometabolic depression' (IMD) dimension, described as a cluster of atypical depressive symptoms related to energy regulation and immunometabolic dysregulations, may optimise personalised treatment. AIMS: To test the hypothesis that baseline IMD features predict poorer treatment outcomes with antidepressants. METHOD: Data on 2551 individuals with depression across the iSPOT-D (n = 967), CO-MED (n = 665), GENDEP (n = 773) and EMBARC (n = 146) clinical trials were used. Predictors included baseline severity of atypical energy-related symptoms (AES), body mass index (BMI) and C-reactive protein levels (CRP, three trials only) separately and aggregated into an IMD index. Mixed models on the primary outcome (change in depressive symptom severity) and logistic regressions on secondary outcomes (response and remission) were conducted for the individual trial data-sets and pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: Although AES severity and BMI did not predict changes in depressive symptom severity, higher baseline CRP predicted smaller reductions in depressive symptoms (n = 376, ßpooled = 0.06, P = 0.049, 95% CI 0.0001-0.12, I2 = 3.61%); this was also found for an IMD index combining these features (n = 372, ßpooled = 0.12, s.e. = 0.12, P = 0.031, 95% CI 0.01-0.22, I2= 23.91%), with a higher - but still small - effect size compared with CRP. Confining analyses to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor users indicated larger effects of CRP (ßpooled = 0.16) and the IMD index (ßpooled = 0.20). Baseline IMD features, both separately and combined, did not predict response or remission. CONCLUSIONS: Depressive symptoms of people with more IMD features improved less when treated with antidepressants. However, clinical relevance is limited owing to small effect sizes in inconsistent associations. Whether these patients would benefit more from treatments targeting immunometabolic pathways remains to be investigated.

Reward Behavior Disengagement, a Neuroeconomic Model-Based Objective Measure of Reward Pathology in Depression: Findings from the EMBARC Trial.

The probabilistic reward task (PRT) has identified reward learning impairments in those with major depressive disorder (MDD), as well as anhedonia-specific reward learning impairments. However, attempts to validate the anhedonia-specific impairments have produced inconsistent findings. Thus, we seek to determine whether the Reward Behavior Disengagement (RBD), our proposed economic augmentation of PRT, differs between MDD participants and controls, and whether there is a level at which RBD is high enough for depressed participants to be considered objectively disengaged. Data were gathered as part of the Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care (EMBARC) study, a double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial of antidepressant response. Participants included 195 individuals with moderate to severe MDD (Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology (QIDS-SR) score ≥ 15), not in treatment for depression, and with complete PRT data. Healthy controls (n = 40) had no history of psychiatric illness, a QIDS-SR score < 8, and complete PRT data. Participants with MDD were treated with sertraline or placebo for 8 weeks (stage I of the EMBARC trial). RBD was applied to PRT data using discriminant analysis, and classified MDD participants as reward task engaged (n = 137) or reward task disengaged (n = 58), relative to controls. Reward task engaged/disengaged groups were compared on sociodemographic features, reward-behavior, and sertraline/placebo response (Hamilton Depression Rating Scale scores). Reward task disengaged MDD participants responded only to sertraline, whereas those who were reward task engaged responded to sertraline and placebo (F(1293) = 4.33, p = 0.038). Reward task engaged/disengaged groups did not differ otherwise. RBD was predictive of reward impairment in depressed patients and may have clinical utility in identifying patients who will benefit from antidepressants.

Immune Dysregulation in Treatment-Resistant Depression: Precision Approaches to Treatment Selection and Development of Novel Treatments.

Owing to the link between immune dysfunction and treatment-resistant depression (TRD) and the overwhelming evidence that the immune dysregulation and major depressive disorder (MDD) are associated with each other, using immune profiles to identify the biological distinct subgroup may be the step forward to understanding MDD and TRD. This report aims to briefly review the role of inflammation in the pathophysiology of depression (and TRD in particular), the role of immune dysfunction to guide precision medicine, tools used to understand immune function, and novel statistical techniques.

Leveraging the microbiome to understand clinical heterogeneity in depression: findings from the T-RAD study.

Alterations in the gut microbiome have been linked to a variety of mental illnesses including anxiety and depression. This study utilized advanced bioinformatics tools that integrated both the compositional and community nature of gut microbiota to investigate how gut microbiota influence clinical symptoms in a sample of participants with depression. Gut microbiota of 179 participants with major depressive disorder (MDD) in the Texas Resilience Against Depression (T-RAD) study were analyzed by 16S rRNA gene sequencing of stool samples. Severity of anxiety, depression, and anhedonia symptoms were assessed with General Anxiety Disorder - 7 item scale, Patient Health 9-item Questionnaire, and Dimensional Anhedonia Rating Scale, respectively. Using weighted correlation network analysis, a data-driven approach, three co-occurrence networks of bacterial taxa were identified. One of these co-occurrence networks was significantly associated with clinical features including depression and anxiety. The hub taxa associated with this co-occurrence module -one Ruminococcaceae family taxon, one Clostridiales vadinBB60 group family taxon, and one Christencenellaceae family taxon- were connected to several additional butyrate-producing bacteria suggesting that deficits in butyrate production may contribute to clinical symptoms. Therefore, by considering the community nature of the gut microbiome in a real world clinical sample, this study identified a gut microbial co-occurrence network that was significantly associated with clinical anxiety in a cohort of depressed individuals.

Data driven clusters derived from resting state functional connectivity: Findings from the EMBARC study.

BACKGROUND: To address the clinical heterogeneity of Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), this investigation determined whether resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) could be deployed to identify circuit based homogeneous subgroups, and whether subgroups identified show differential treatment outcomes. METHODS: Pretreatment resting state fMRIs obtained from 278 outpatients with nonpsychotic MDD from Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response for Clinical Care for Depression Study were used to create data-driven subgroups using CLICK clustering. These subgroups were then compared using baseline clinical data, as well as baseline-to-week 8 changes in depression severity measured using the 17-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HAMD17) and response/remission rates by treatment group. RESULTS: Three subgroups were identified. Cluster-1 was characterized by overallhyperconnectivity coupled with profound hypoconnectivity between the supramarginal gyrus (executive control network; ECN) and the superior frontal cortex (dorsal attention network; DAN). Cluster-2 was characterized by overall hypoconnectivity coupled with hyperconnectivity between supramarginal gyrus (ECN) and superior frontal cortex (DAN). Cluster-3 showed hypoconnectivity, especially profound between the angular cortex (default mode network; DMN) and middle frontal cortex (ECN). While baseline clinical measures did not differentiate the three clusters, Cluster-3 had the remission rate (51.6%) compared to Cluster-1 and Cluster-2 (32.7% and 31.9%) when treated with sertraline. LIMITATIONS: Due to the exploratory nature of these analyses, there were no adjustments for multiple comparisons. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline functional connectivity can be used to subgroup patients with MDD that differ in acute phase treatment outcomes. Measures of connectivity may address the heterogeneity of MDD.

Accelerated brain aging in individuals with diabetes: Association with poor glycemic control and increased all-cause mortality.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes has been linked to accelerated brain aging, i.e., neuroimaging-predicted age of brain is higher than chronological age. This report evaluated whether accelerated brain aging in diabetes is associated with higher levels of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and increased mortality. METHODS: Brain age in Dallas Heart Study (n = 1949) was estimated using T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans and a previously-published Gaussian Processes Regression model. Accelerated brain aging (adjusted Δ brain age) was computed as follows: (brain age adjusted for chronological age)-minus-(chronological age). Mortality data until 12/31/2016 were obtained from the National Death Index. Associations of adjusted Δ brain age with diabetes in full sample and with HbA1c in individuals with diabetes were evaluated. Proportion of association between diabetes and all-cause mortality that was accounted for by adjusted Δ brain age were evaluated with mediation analyses. Covariates included Framingham 10-year risk score, race/ethnicity, income, body mass index, and history of myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Diabetes was associated with] higher adjusted Δ brain age [estimate= 1.79; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.889, 2.68]. Among those with diabetes, higher HbA1c (log-base-2-transformed) was associated with higher adjusted Δ brain age (estimate=3.88; 95% CI: 1.47, 6.30). Over a median follow-up of 97.5 months, 24/246 (9.8%) with diabetes and 63/1703 (3.7%) without diabetes died. Adjusted Δ brain age accounted for 65.3 (95% CI: 39.3, 100.0)% of the association between diabetes and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: Accelerated brain aging may be related to poor glycemic control in diabetes and partly account for the association between diabetes and all-cause mortality.

Immune characterization of suicidal behavior in female adolescents.

Background: To address the need to identify potential markers of suicide behavior for adolescents (ages 12-18 years), mass cytometry was used to explore the cellular mechanisms that may underpin immune dysregulation in adolescents with recent suicidal behavior. Methods: Peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) samples from 10 female adolescents with a recent suicide attempt and 4 healthy female adolescents were used. A panel of 30 antibodies was analyzed using mass cytometry. We used two complementary approaches to 1) identify the cell types that significantly differed between the two groups, and 2) explore differences in the expression profile of markers on the surface of these cells. Mass cytometry data were investigated using (Center for Disease Control, 2021) Opt-SNE for dimension reduced (Curtin and Heron, 2019), FlowSOM for clustering, and (Bridge et al., 2006) EgdeR and SAM for statistical analyses. Results: Opt-SNE (a data driven clustering analysis) identified 15 clusters of distinct cell types. From these 15 clusters, cluster 5 (classical monocytes) had statistically lower abundance in suicidal adolescents as compared to healthy controls, whereas cluster 7 (gamma-delta T cells) had statistically higher abundance in suicidal adolescents compared to healthy control. Furthermore, across the 15 cell types, chemokine receptors, CXCR3 (cluster 5) and CXCR5 (clusters 4, 5, 7, and 9), had an elevated expression profile in those with a recent suicide attempt versus healthy controls. Conclusion: This report demonstrates the utility of high dimensional cell phenotyping in psychiatric disorders and provides preliminary evidence for distinct immune dysfunctions in adolescents with recent suicide attempts as compared to healthy controls.

Dysfunction of default mode network is associated with active suicidal ideation in youths and young adults with depression: Findings from the T-RAD study.

Deaths due to suicide are one of the leading causes of mortality among youths and young adults. Active suicidal ideation (SI) is considered one of the strongest risk factors for suicide. Here, we evaluated the neurocircuitry of SI in a sample of youths and young adults (aged 10-26 years) with current or past diagnosis of either major depression or bipolar disorder who were enrolled in Texas Resilience Against Depression Study (T-RAD), and had neuroimaging and SI (assessed with the 3-item Suicidal Thoughts factor of Concise Health Risk Tracking self-report scale) data available (n = 72, 53 females). Resting-state functional connectivity (FC) was computed amongst 121 cortical and subcortical regions of interest resulting in 7260 FC pairs. Mean (SD) age and SI levels of participants were 19.6 years (4.01) and 1.48 (2.36) respectively. In univariate analyses, 34 out of the 7260 FC pairs were correlated with SI (p < .005). Stronger connectivity of default mode network (DMN) with striatum was associated with higher SI. Conversely, higher SI was associated with weaker connectivity of limbic network with hippocampus, DMN, dorsal attention network, and executive control network. In multivariate analyses, these 34 FC pairs together had an average correlation of 0.54 after five-fold cross-validation. In conclusion, SI was associated with distinct patterns of resting-state functional connectivity among youths and young adults with regions in DMN and the ventral striatum as key nodes.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on adults with current and prior depression: initial findings from the longitudinal Texas RAD study.

BACKGROUND: Emerging work has suggested worsening mental health in the general population during the COVID-19 pandemic, but there is minimal data on individuals with a prior history of depression. METHODS: Data regarding depression, anxiety and quality of life in adult participants with a history of a depressive disorder (n = 308) were collected before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Mixed effects regression models were fit for these outcomes over the period May - August 2020, controlling for pre-pandemic depressive groups (none, mild, moderate-to-severe), demographic characteristics, and early COVID-19 related experiences (such as disruptions in routines, mental health treatment, and social supports). RESULTS: In pre-to-early pandemic comparisons, the 3 pre-pandemic depressive categories varied significantly in anxiety (Fdf=2,197 = 7.93, p < 0.0005) and psychological QOL (Fdf=2,196 = 8.57, p = 0.0003). The mildly depressed group (Fdf=1,201 = 6.01, p = 0.02) and moderate-to-severely depressed group (Fdf=1,201 = 38.51, p < 0.0001) had a significant reduction in anxiety. There were no changes among the groups in any outcome from May to August 2020. However, early impact on mental health care access and disruption in routines predicted worse outcomes during this time. LIMITATIONS: Follow-up data were self-reported. Furthermore, the duration was a relatively short span into the pandemic. CONCLUSIONS: Symptoms of depression, anxiety, and quality of life were generally stable from 2019 throughout August 2020 in adults with a history of depression. Disruption in mental health care access and routines in May 2020 predicted worse symptom outcomes through August 2020.

Differential response to SSRI versus Placebo and distinct neural signatures among data-driven subgroups of patients with major depressive disorder.

OBJECTIVE: To identify data-driven subgroups in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) in order to elucidate underlying neural correlates and determine if these subgroups have utility in predicting response to antidepressant versus placebo. METHODS: Using 27 clinical measures at baseline of Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response for Clinical Care for Depression (EMBARC) study, participants with MDD (n=244) were sub grouped using principal component (PC) analysis. Baseline-to-week-8 changes in depression severity with sertraline versus placebo were compared in these subgroups. Resting-state functional connectivity of these subgroups were compared to those of healthy controls (n=38). RESULTS: Eight subgroups were identified from four PCs: (PC1) severity of depression-associated symptoms, (PC2) sub-threshold mania and anhedonia, (PC3) childhood trauma, medical comorbidities, and sexual dysfunction, and (PC4) personality traits of openness and agreeableness. Participants with high childhood trauma experienced greater improvement with sertraline (Cohen's d=0.87), whereas those with either higher levels of subthreshold hypomanic symptoms (Cohen's d=0.67) or with lower levels of agreeableness and openness experienced greater improvement with placebo (Cohen's d=0.71). Participants with high childhood trauma had greater connectivity between salience and dorsal attention networks, whereas those with higher levels of subthreshold hypomanic symptoms and lower levels of agreeableness and openness had greater connectivity within limbic network and that of visual network with hippocampus and dorsal attention network. CONCLUSION: Assessing history of childhood trauma, presence of subthreshold hypomanic symptoms and personality traits may help to identify subgroups of patients with MDD who respond differentially to sertraline or placebo and have distinct neural signatures.

Dorsolateral Prefrontal Cortex and Subcallosal Cingulate Connectivity Show Preferential Antidepressant Response in Major Depressive Disorder.

BACKGROUND: Major depressive disorder is associated with abnormal connectivity across emotion and reward circuits as well as other established circuits that may negatively impact treatment response. The goal of this study was to perform an exploratory reanalysis of archival data from a clinical trial to identify moderators of treatment outcome of sertraline over placebo. METHODS: EMBARC (Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care) study participants completed magnetic resonance imaging before randomization to either sertraline or placebo for 8 weeks (n = 279). Seed-based functional connectivity was computed using 4 bilateral seeds (2 spheres defined bilaterally): amygdala, dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC), subcallosal cingulate cortex, and ventral striatum. Functional connectivity maps were generated, principal component analysis was performed, linear mixed effects models were used to determine moderators of treatment outcome, and post hoc analyses were used to determine level of connectivity (low and high, -1 and +1 SD from the mean) that was most sensitive to improved depression severity (baseline to week 8) based on treatment. RESULTS: Greater mean reduction in the 17-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression score by 8 weeks occurred with sertraline relative to placebo when connectivity in the DLPFC was low (3-way interaction test, p = .05). Conditional on low connectivity in the DLPFC and subcallosal cingulate cortex and high connectivity in the ventral striatum and amygdala, there was on average a 4.8-point greater reduction in the 17-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression score with sertraline relative to placebo (p = .003). CONCLUSIONS: The level of functional connectivity seeded in both the DLPFC and the subcallosal cingulate cortex networks may play an important role in identifying a favorable response to sertraline over placebo.

Sex-specific differences in the association between body mass index and brain aging in young adults: Findings from the human connectome project.

BACKGROUND: This report evaluated sex-specific differences in the association between brain aging and body mass index (BMI) in young adults using the publicly available data from the Human Connectome Project (HCP). METHODS: Participants of HCP with available structural imaging and BMI data were included [n = 1112; mean age = 28.80 (SD = 3.70); mean BMI = 26.53 (SD = 5.20); males n = 507, females n = 605]. Predicted brain age was generated using raw T1-weighted MRI scan and a Gaussian Processes regression model. The difference (Δ aging) between brain age predicted by structural imaging and chronological age was computed. A linear regression model was used with Δ aging as the dependent variable, and sex, BMI, and BMI-by-sex interaction as independent variables of interest, and race, ethnicity, income, and education as covariates. RESULTS: There was a significant BMI-by-sex interaction for Δ aging (p = 0.041). Higher BMI was associated with greater brain aging in both sexes. However, this association was substantially stronger in males (ß = 0.215; SE = 0.050; p < 0.0001) than in females (ß = 0.122; SE = 0.035; p = 0.0005). CONCLUSION: We found evidence suggesting that higher BMI is associated with greater brain aging in adults. Furthermore, the association between higher BMI and greater brain aging was stronger in males than in females. Future studies are needed to explore the mechanistic pathways that link higher BMI to greater brain aging and whether weight-loss interventions, such as exercise, can reverse higher BMI-associated greater brain aging.

Pretreatment Reward Sensitivity and Frontostriatal Resting-State Functional Connectivity Are Associated With Response to Bupropion After Sertraline Nonresponse.

BACKGROUND: Standard guidelines recommend selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors as first-line antidepressants for adults with major depressive disorder, but success is limited and patients who fail to benefit are often switched to non-selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor agents. This study investigated whether brain- and behavior-based markers of reward processing might be associated with response to bupropion after sertraline nonresponse. METHODS: In a two-stage, double-blinded clinical trial, 296 participants were randomized to receive 8 weeks of sertraline or placebo in stage 1. Individuals who responded continued on another 8-week course of the same intervention in stage 2, while sertraline and placebo nonresponders crossed over to bupropion and sertraline, respectively. Data from 241 participants were analyzed. The stage 2 sample comprised 87 patients with major depressive disorder who switched medication and 38 healthy control subjects. A total of 116 participants with major depressive disorder treated with sertraline in stage 1 served as an independent replication sample. The probabilistic reward task and resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging were administered at baseline. RESULTS: Greater pretreatment reward sensitivity and higher resting-state functional connectivity between bilateral nucleus accumbens and rostral anterior cingulate cortex were associated with positive response to bupropion but not sertraline. Null findings for sertraline were replicated in the stage 1 sample. CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment reward sensitivity and frontostriatal connectivity may identify patients likely to benefit from bupropion following selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor failures. Results call for a prospective replication based on these biomarkers to advance clinical care.

Comprehensive phenotyping of depression disease trajectory and risk: Rationale and design of Texas Resilience Against Depression study (T-RAD).

Depression has a chronic and recurrent course often with early onset and is the leading cause of disability worldwide. In contrast to diagnoses for other conditions which rely on precise medical tests, the diagnosis of depression still focuses exclusively on symptom reports. As a result, heterogeneous patient groups are included under broad categories. Furthermore, in the absence of companion diagnostic tests, choosing specific treatments for patients remains imprecise with only one-third of patients entering remission with initial treatment, with others requiring multiple intervention steps to achieve remission. In addition to improving treatment outcomes, disease prevention is essential to reduce overall disease burden. Adolescence is a critical window where complex emotional, social, familial, and biological shifts may predispose to lifelong depression. Thus, personalized medicine, integrating individual variability in genes, brain function, and clinical phenotypes, can offer a comprehensive approach to provide precise diagnosis, novel drug development, optimal treatment assignment, and prevention of illness and its associated burden. Texas Resilience Against Depression study (T-RAD) encompasses two natural history, longitudinal (10 + years), prospective studies (D2K and RAD), each enrolling 2500 participants. The D2K study follows participants (ages 10 years and older) who have a current or past diagnosis of depression or bipolar disorder. The RAD study follows participants aged 10-24 years who are at risk for depression but not yet suffering from the disease. The T-RAD study will help to uncover the socio-demographic, lifestyle, clinical, psychological, and neurobiological factors that contribute to mood disorder onset, recurrence, progression, and differential treatment response.

Effect of Intrinsic Patterns of Functional Brain Connectivity in Moderating Antidepressant Treatment Response in Major Depression.

OBJECTIVE: Major depressive disorder is associated with aberrant resting-state functional connectivity across multiple brain networks supporting emotion processing, executive function, and reward processing. The purpose of this study was to determine whether patterns of resting-state connectivity between brain regions predict differential outcome to antidepressant medication (sertraline) compared with placebo. METHODS: Participants in the Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care (EMBARC) study underwent structural and resting-state functional MRI at baseline. Participants were then randomly assigned to receive either sertraline or placebo treatment for 8 weeks (N=279). A region of interest-based approach was utilized to compute functional connectivity between brain regions. Linear mixed-model intent-to-treat analyses were used to identify brain regions that moderated (i.e., differentially predicted) outcomes between the sertraline and placebo arms. RESULTS: Prediction of response to sertraline involved several within- and between-network connectivity patterns. In general, higher connectivity within the default mode network predicted better outcomes specifically for sertraline, as did greater between-network connectivity of the default mode and executive control networks. In contrast, both placebo and sertraline outcomes were predicted (in opposite directions) by between-network hippocampal connectivity. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified specific functional network-based moderators of treatment outcome involving brain networks known to be affected by major depression. Specifically, functional connectivity patterns of brain regions between and within networks appear to play an important role in identifying a favorable response for a drug treatment for major depressive disorder.

Discovery and replication of cerebral blood flow differences in major depressive disorder.

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a serious, heterogeneous disorder accompanied by brain-related changes, many of which are still to be discovered or refined. Arterial spin labeling (ASL) is a neuroimaging technique used to measure cerebral blood flow (CBF; perfusion) to understand brain function and detect differences among groups. CBF differences have been detected in MDD, and may reveal biosignatures of disease-state. The current work aimed to discover and replicate differences in CBF between MDD participants and healthy controls (HC) as part of the EMBARC study. Participants underwent neuroimaging at baseline, prior to starting study medication, to investigate biosignatures in MDD. Relative CBF (rCBF) was calculated and compared between 106 MDD and 36 HC EMBARC participants (whole-brain Discovery); and 58 MDD EMBARC participants and 58 HC from the DLBS study (region-of-interest Replication). Both analyses revealed reduced rCBF in the right parahippocampus, thalamus, fusiform and middle temporal gyri, as well as the left and right insula, for those with MDD relative to HC. Both samples also revealed increased rCBF in MDD relative to HC in both the left and right inferior parietal lobule, including the supramarginal and angular gyri. Cingulate and prefrontal regions did not fully replicate. Lastly, significant associations were detected between rCBF in replicated regions and clinical measures of MDD chronicity. These results (1) provide reliable evidence for ASL in detecting differences in perfusion for multiple brain regions thought to be important in MDD, and (2) highlight the potential role of using perfusion as a biosignature of MDD.

Cerebral Blood Perfusion Predicts Response to Sertraline versus Placebo for Major Depressive Disorder in the EMBARC Trial.

BACKGROUND: Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) has been associated with brain-related changes. However, biomarkers have yet to be defined that could "accurately" identify antidepressant-responsive patterns and reduce the trial-and-error process in treatment selection. Cerebral blood perfusion, as measured by Arterial Spin Labelling (ASL), has been used to understand resting-state brain function, detect abnormalities in MDD, and could serve as a marker for treatment selection. As part of a larger trial to identify predictors of treatment outcome, the current investigation aimed to identify perfusion predictors of treatment response in MDD. METHODS: For this secondary analysis, participants include 231 individuals with MDD from the EMBARC study, a randomised, placebo-controlled trial investigating clinical, behavioural, and biological predictors of antidepressant response. Participants received sertraline (n = 114) or placebo (n = 117) and response was monitored for 8 weeks. Pre-treatment neuroimaging was completed, including ASL. A whole-brain, voxel-wise linear mixed-effects model was conducted to identify brain regions in which perfusion levels differentially predict (moderate) treatment response. Clinical effectiveness of perfusion moderators was investigated by composite moderator analysis and remission rates. Composite moderator analysis combined the effect of individual perfusion moderators and identified which contribute to sertraline or placebo as the "preferred" treatment. Remission rates were calculated for participants "accurately" treated based on the composite moderator (lucky) versus "inaccurately" treated (unlucky). FINDINGS: Perfusion levels in multiple brain regions differentially predicted improvement with sertraline over placebo. Of these regions, perfusion in the putamen and anterior insula, inferior temporal gyrus, fusiform, parahippocampus, inferior parietal lobule, and orbital frontal gyrus contributed to sertraline response. Remission rates increased from 37% for all those who received sertraline to 53% for those who were lucky to have received it and sertraline was their perfusion-preferred treatment. INTERPRETATION: This large study showed that perfusion patterns in brain regions involved with reward, salience, affective, and default mode processing moderate treatment response favouring sertraline over placebo. Accurately matching patients with defined perfusion patterns could significantly increase remission rates. FUNDING: National Institute of Mental Health, the Hersh Foundation, and the Center for Depression Research and Clinical Care, Peter O'Donnell Brain Institute at UT Southwestern Medical Center.Trial Registration.Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response for Clinical Care for Depression (EMARC) Registration Number: NCT01407094 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01407094).