Point-of-Care Ultrasound in the Emergency Department: Training, Perceptions, Applications, and Barriers from Different Healthcare Professionals.

Background: Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is a valuable tool that assists in diagnosis and management of patients in the emergency department (ED) while being cost-efficient and without the use of ionizing radiation. To discern the opinions and perceptions of ED staff about POCUS applications and barriers, we conducted a cross-sectional survey of employees of 12 EDs in North Texas. Methods: Participants completed a 20-item online survey about POCUS with questions pertaining to four domains: (1) employee and training information, (2) perceived benefits, (3) common applications, and (4) barriers to use. Out of 805 eligible ED employees, 103 completed the survey (16.1% response rate). Results: The results indicated a generally positive perception of POCUS among all employee types. Physician had significant exposure and training of POCUS than non-physician group ( p < 0.001). Physicians tend to find cardiac assessments more useful for clinical management than non-physicians (47% vs. 23%, p = 0.01), while non-physicians find soft tissue/abscess assessments more useful (27% vs. 9%, p = 0.01). Conclusion: The most significant barriers to POCUS use were time constraints for physicians and a lack of training for non-physician employees. Our study provides valuable insights into the perceptions of multiple ED professionals, serving as a foundation for promoting POCUS use in the ED.

High-impact chronic pain in sickle cell disease: insights from the Pain in Sickle Cell Epidemiology Study (PiSCES).

ABSTRACT: The US National Pain Strategy recommends identifying individuals with chronic pain (CP) who experience substantial restriction in work, social, or self-care activities as having high-impact chronic pain (HICP). High-impact chronic pain has not been examined among individuals with CP and sickle cell disease (SCD). We analyzed data from 63 individuals with SCD and CP who completed at least 5 months of pain diaries in the Pain in Sickle Cell Epidemiology Study (PiSCES). Forty-eight individuals met the definition for HICP, which was operationalized in this study as reporting pain interference on more than half of diary days. Compared with individuals without HICP, individuals with HICP experienced higher mean daily pain intensity, particularly on days without crises. They also experienced a greater proportion of days with pain, days with healthcare utilization, and days with home opioid use and higher levels of stress. They did not have a statistically significantly higher proportion of days with crises or experience higher mean daily pain intensity on days with crises. Individuals with HICP experienced worse physical functioning and worse physical health compared with those without HICP, controlling for mean pain intensity, age, sex, and education. The results of this study support that HICP is a severely affected subgroup of those with CP in SCD and is associated with greater pain burden and worse health outcomes. The findings from this study should be confirmed prospectively in a contemporary cohort of individuals with SCD.

Treatment Patterns with Mirabegron and Antimuscarinics for Overactive Bladder: A Prospective, Registry Study in Taiwan and South Korea (FAITH).

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to assess overactive bladder (OAB) treatment patterns and factors associated with effectiveness and persistence. METHODS: A prospective, longitudinal, observational registry study of adults starting OAB therapy with mirabegron or antimuscarinics was undertaken. Primary endpoints were time from treatment initiation to discontinuation/switching; proportion who discontinued/switched; and reasons for discontinuation/switching. Secondary endpoints included OAB Symptom Score (OABSS), OAB Questionnaire: Short Form, and OAB Bladder Assessment Tool scores; factors associated with effectiveness and persistence; and safety. RESULTS: In total, 556 patients initiating mirabegron and 250 initiating antimuscarinics were enrolled. There was no treatment switch, change, or discontinuation in 68.5% of the mirabegron initiator group and median time to treatment change was not reached. Mean initial treatment duration was 130.8 days. In multivariable models, baseline OABSS was the only variable significantly associated with change from baseline in OABSS, and patients with mild and moderate OAB had significantly better persistence with mirabegron than those with severe OAB. Urinary tract infection was the most common adverse event with mirabegron. There was no treatment switch, change, or discontinuation in 60.4% of the antimuscarinics initiator group and median time to treatment change was not reached. Solifenacin was the most frequent initial treatment (66.0%). Mean treatment duration was 122.2 days. In multivariable models, baseline OABSS was the only variable significantly associated with change from baseline in OABSS, while patients with OAB medication in the 12 months before enrollment had significantly better persistence with antimuscarinics than those with no previous OAB medication. Dry mouth was the most common adverse event with antimuscarinics. CONCLUSIONS: Mirabegron and solifenacin were commonly prescribed as first-line OAB medications. There was no treatment switch, change, or discontinuation in more than 60% of the mirabegron initiator and antimuscarinics initiator groups. Mean initial treatment duration was 130.8 days and 122.2 days for mirabegron and antimuscarinics, respectively. Graphical Abstract available for this article. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03572231.

Development and External Validation of Clinical Features-based Machine Learning Models for Predicting COVID-19 in the Emergency Department.

Introduction: Timely diagnosis of patients affected by an emerging infectious disease plays a crucial role in treating patients and avoiding disease spread. In prior research, we developed an approach by using machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict serious acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection based on clinical features of patients visiting an emergency department (ED) during the early coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. In this study, we aimed to externally validate this approach within a distinct ED population. Methods: To create our training/validation cohort (model development) we collected data retrospectively from suspected COVID-19 patients at a US ED from February 23-May 12, 2020. Another dataset was collected as an external validation (testing) cohort from an ED in another country from May 12-June 15, 2021. Clinical features including patient demographics and triage information were used to train and test the models. The primary outcome was the confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19, defined as a positive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction test result for SARS-CoV-2. We employed three different ML algorithms, including gradient boosting, random forest, and extra trees classifiers, to construct the predictive model. The predictive performances were evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the testing cohort. Results: In total, 580 and 946 ED patients were included in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Of them, 98 (16.9%) and 180 (19.0%) were diagnosed with COVID-19. All the constructed ML models showed acceptable discrimination, as indicated by the AUC. Among them, random forest (0.785, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.747-0.822) performed better than gradient boosting (0.774, 95% CI 0.739-0.811) and extra trees classifier (0.72, 95% CI 0.677-0.762). There was no significant difference between the constructed models. Conclusion: Our study validates the use of ML for predicting COVID-19 in the ED and demonstrates its potential for predicting emerging infectious diseases based on models built by clinical features with temporal and spatial heterogeneity. This approach holds promise for scenarios where effective diagnostic tools for an emerging infectious disease may be lacking in the future.

Risk of Bleeding Following Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant Use in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke Treated With Alteplase.

Importance: Current guidelines advise against intravenous alteplase therapy for treatment of acute ischemic stroke in patients previously treated with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Objective: To evaluate the risk of bleeding and mortality after alteplase treatment for acute ischemic stroke among patients treated with NOACs compared to those not treated with NOACs. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nationwide, population-based cohort study was conducted in Taiwan using data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database from January 2011 through November 2020 and included 7483 patients treated with alteplase for acute ischemic stroke. A meta-analysis incorporating the results of the study with those of previous studies was performed, and the review protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO. Exposures: NOAC treatment within 2 days prior to stroke, compared to either no anticoagulant treatment or warfarin treatment. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was intracranial hemorrhage after intravenous alteplase during the index hospitalization (the hospitalization subsequent to alteplase administration). Secondary outcomes were major bleeding events and mortality during the index hospitalization. Propensity score matching was used to control potential confounders. Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) of outcome events. Meta-analysis was performed using a random-effects model. Results: Of the 7483 included patients (mean [SD] age, 67.4 [12.7] years; 2908 [38.9%] female individuals and 4575 [61.1%] male individuals), 91 (1.2%), 182 (2.4%), and 7210 (96.4%) received NOACs, warfarin, and no anticoagulants prior to their stroke, respectively. Compared to patients who were not treated with anticoagulants, those treated with NOACs did not have significantly higher risks of intracranial hemorrhage (risk difference [RD], 2.47% [95% CI, -4.23% to 9.17%]; OR, 1.37 [95% CI, 0.62-3.03]), major bleeding (RD, 4.95% [95% CI, -2.56% to 12.45%]; OR, 1.69 [95% CI, 0.83-3.45]), or in-hospital mortality (RD, -4.95% [95% CI, -10.11% to 0.22%]; OR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.15-1.29]) in the propensity score-matched analyses. Furthermore, the risks of bleeding and mortality were not significantly different between patients treated with NOACs and those treated with warfarin. Similar results were obtained in the meta-analysis. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study with meta-analysis, compared to no treatment with anticoagulants, treatment with NOACs prior to stroke was not associated with a higher risk of intracranial hemorrhage, major bleeding, or mortality in patients receiving intravenous alteplase for acute ischemic stroke.

The incidence, predictors, and causes of cardiac arrest in United States emergency departments.

Background: Emergency department cardiac arrest (EDCA) is a global public health challenge associated with high mortality rates and poor neurological outcomes. This study aimed to describe the incidence, risk factors, and causes of EDCA during emergency department (ED) visits in the U.S. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used data from the 2019 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS). Adult ED visits with EDCA were identified using the cardiopulmonary resuscitation code. We used descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression, considering NEDS's complex survey design. The primary outcome measure was EDCA incidence. Results: In 2019, there were approximately 232,000 ED visits with cardiac arrest in the U.S. The incidence rate of EDCA was approximately 0.2%. Older age, being male, black race, low median household income, weekend ED visits, having Medicare insurance, and ED visits in non-summer seasons were associated with a higher risk of EDCA. Hispanic race was associated with a lower risk of EDCA. Certain comorbidities (e.g., diabetes and cancer), trauma centers, hospitals with a metropolitan and/or teaching program, and hospitals in the South were associated with a higher risk of EDCA. Depression, dementia, and hypothyroidism were associated with a lower risk of EDCA. Septicemia, acute myocardial infarction, and respiratory failure, followed by drug overdose, were the predominant causes of EDCA. Conclusions: Some patients were disproportionately affected by EDCA. Strategies should be developed to target these modifiable risk factors, specifically factors within ED's control, to reduce the subsequent disease burden.

Endoscopic management of upper tract urothelial cancer in a highly endemic area: A Taiwan nationwide collaborative study.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic management of upper tract urothelial cancer (UTUC) is an important treatment option for low risk UTUC. Although Taiwan is an endemic area for UTUC, endoscopic treatment outcomes in Taiwan are frequently under- reported. METHODS: This study retrospectively reviewed the treatment outcomes of endoscopic management for clinically localized UTUC. Patients with biopsy or washing cytology confirmed UTUC who underwent endoscopic or percutaneous management with a curative intent were retrospectively reviewed for eligibility of analysis. Those cases without pre-intervention confirmed UTUC, and metastatic or nodal disease at diagnosis were excluded. RESULTS: In total, 307 patients who underwent endoscopic management were reviewed and 279 cases were eligible for final analysis. With a median follow-up of 44.3 months (inter-quartile range (IQR): 23.4-76.4 months), 117 cases (46.4%) were endoscopic cured after median one session (range:1-8; IQR:1-2) of endoscopic treatment. Those endoscopic cured UTUC was associated with more small-sized tumor, more low-grade biopsied-histology, less concomitant bladder UC and less pre-operative hydronephrosis. In addition, 201(79.7%) cases among 252 cases with confirmed oncological outcome were free of UTUC at the end of follow-up and only 43 (17%) patients had a UTUC related mortality. Salvage RNU offered a better tumor free survival rate (92% vs. 77.5%) than those without salvage RNU in those UTUC refractory to endoscopic management. In multivariable analyses, pre-operative hydronephrosis was the independent risk factor for OS. Multiplicity and concomitant bladder UC were independent risk factors for DFS. CONCLUSIONS: We confirmed the consistent safety and efficacy of endoscopic management of clinical localized UTUC in a highly UTUC endemic area like Taiwan. Early salvage RNU is mandatory in those UTUC refractory to endoscopic management in prevention of UTUC related death.

Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in United States emergency departments, 2010-2018.

OBJECTIVES: Little is known about the recent status of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) in the U.S. emergency department (ED). This study aimed to describe the disease burden (visit and hospitalization rate) of AECOPD in the ED and to investigate factors associated with the disease burden of AECOPD. METHODS: Data were obtained from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS), 2010-2018. Adult ED visits (aged 40 years or above) with AECOPD were identified using International Classification of Diseases codes. Analysis used descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression accounting for NHAMCS's complex survey design. RESULTS: There were 1,366 adult AECOPD ED visits in the unweighted sample. Over the 9-year study period, there were an estimated 7,508,000 ED visits for AECOPD, and the proportion of AECOPD visits in the entire ED population remained stable at approximately 14 per 1,000 visits. The mean age of these AECOPD visits was 66 years, and 42% were men. Medicare or Medicaid insurance, presentation in non-summer seasons, the Midwest and South regions (vs. Northeast), and arrival by ambulance were independently associated with a higher visit rate of AECOPD, whereas non-Hispanic black or Hispanic race/ethnicity (vs. non-Hispanic white) was associated with a lower visit rate of AECOPD. The proportion of AECOPD visits that were hospitalized decreased from 51% to 2010 to 31% in 2018 (p = 0.002). Arrival by ambulance was independently associated with a higher hospitalization rate, whereas the South and West regions (vs. Northeast) were independently associated with a lower hospitalization rate. The use of antibiotics appeared to be stable over time, but the use of systemic corticosteroids appeared to increase with near statistical significance (p = 0.07). CONCLUSIONS: The number of ED visits for AECOPD remained high; however, hospitalizations for AECOPD appeared to decrease over time. Some patients were disproportionately affected by AECOPD, and certain patient and ED factors were associated with hospitalizations. The reasons for decreased ED admissions for AECOPD deserve further investigation.

End-tidal Carbon Dioxide + Return of Spontaneous Circulation After Cardiac Arrest (RACA) Score to Predict Outcomes After Out-of-hospital Cardiac Arrest.

INTRODUCTION: The return of spontaneous circulation after cardiac arrest (RACA) score is a well-validated model for estimating the probability of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) by incorporating several variables, including gender, age, arrest aetiology, witness status, arrest location, initial cardiac rhythms, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and emergency medical services (EMS) arrival time. The RACA score was initially designed for comparisons between different EMS systems by standardising ROSC rates. End-tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) is a quality indicator of CPR. We aimed to improve the performance of the RACA score by adding minimum EtCO2 measured during CPR to develop the EtCO2 + RACA score for OHCA patients transported to an emergency department (ED). METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis using prospectively collected data for OHCA patients resuscitated at an ED during 2015-2020. Adult patients with advanced airways inserted and available EtCO2 measurements were included. We used the EtCO2 values recorded in the ED for analysis. The primary outcome was ROSC. In the derivation cohort, we used multivariable logistic regression to develop the model. In the temporally split validation cohort, we assessed the discriminative performance of the EtCO2 + RACA score by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared it with the RACA score using the DeLong test. RESULTS: There were 530 and 228 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The median measurements of EtCO2 were 8.0 times (interquartile range [IQR] 3.0-12.0 times), with the median minimum EtCO2 of 15.5 millimeters of mercury (mm Hg) (IQR 8.0-26.0 mm Hg). The median RACA score was 36.4% (IQR 28.9-48.0%), and a total of 393 patients (51.8%) achieved ROSC. The EtCO2 + RACA score was validated with good discriminative performance (AUC, 0.82, 95% CI 0.77-0.88), outperforming the RACA score (AUC, 0.71, 95% CI 0.65-0.78) (DeLong test: P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The EtCO2 + RACA score may facilitate the decision-making process regarding allocations of medical resources in EDs for OHCA resuscitation.

Correction: Tsai et al. The Efficacy of Transvaginal Ultrasound-Guided BoNT-A External Sphincter Injection in Female Patients with Underactive Bladder. Toxins 2023, 15, 199.

In the original publication [...].

Point-of-care testing for adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest resuscitated at the ED to predict ROSC: Development and external validation of POC-ED-ROSC model.

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Most prediction models, like return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) after cardiac arrest (RACA) or Utstein-based (UB)-ROSC score, were developed for prehospital settings to predict the probability of ROSC in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). A prediction model has been lacking for the probability of ROSC in patients with OHCA at emergency departments (EDs). OBJECTIVE: In the present study, a point-of-care (POC) testing-based model, POC-ED-ROSC, was developed and validated for predicting ROSC of OHCA at EDs. DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospectively collected data for adult OHCA patients between 2015 and 2020 were analysed. POC blood gas analysis obtained within 5 min of ED arrival was used. OUTCOMES MEASURE AND ANALYSIS: The primary outcome was ROSC. In the derivation cohort, multivariable logistic regression was used to develop the POC-ED-ROSC model. In the temporally split validation cohort, the discriminative performance of the POC-ED-ROSC model was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and compared with RACA or UB-ROSC score using DeLong test. MAIN RESULTS: The study included 606 and 270 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. In the total cohort, 471 patients achieved ROSC. Age, initial cardiac rhythm at ED, pre-hospital resuscitation duration, and POC testing-measured blood levels of lactate, potassium and glucose were significant predictors included in the POC-ED-ROSC model. The model was validated with fair discriminative performance (AUC: 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.81) with no significant differences from RACA (AUC: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.62-0.74) or UB-ROSC score (AUC: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.68-0.79). CONCLUSION: Using only six easily accessible variables, the POC-ED-ROSC model can predict ROSC for OHCA resuscitated at ED with fair accuracy.

Pulmonary embolism in United States emergency departments, 2010-2018.

Little is known about pulmonary embolism (PE) in the United States emergency department (ED). This study aimed to describe the disease burden (visit rate and hospitalization) of PE in the ED and to investigate factors associated with its burden. Data were obtained from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) from 2010 to 2018. Adult ED visits with PE were identified using the International Classification of Diseases codes. Analyses used descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression accounting for the NHAMCS's complex survey design. Over the 9-year study period, there were an estimated 1,500,000 ED visits for PE, and the proportion of PE visits in the entire ED population increased from 0.1% in 2010-2012 to 0.2% in 2017-2018 (P for trend = 0.002). The mean age was 57 years, and 40% were men. Older age, obesity, history of cancer, and history of venous thromboembolism were independently associated with a higher proportion of PE, whereas the Midwest region was associated with a lower proportion of PE. The utilization of chest computed tomography (CT) scan appeared stable, which was performed in approximately 43% of the visits. About 66% of PE visits were hospitalized, and the trend remained stable. Male sex, arrival during the morning shift, and higher triage levels were independently associated with a higher hospitalization rate, whereas the fall and winter months were independently associated with a lower hospitalization rate. Approximately 8.8% of PE patients were discharged with direct-acting oral anticoagulants. The ED visits for PE continued to increase despite the stable trend in CT use, suggesting a combination of prevalent and incident PE cases in the ED. Hospitalization for PE remains common practice. Some patients are disproportionately affected by PE, and certain patient and hospital factors are associated with hospitalization decisions.

Point-of-Care Ultrasound in Airway Evaluation and Management: A Comprehensive Review.

Airway management is a common and critical procedure in acute settings, such as the Emergency Department (ED) or Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of hospitals. Many of the traditional physical examination methods have limitations in airway assessment. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) has emerged as a promising tool for airway management due to its familiarity, accessibility, safety, and non-invasive nature. It can assist physicians in identifying relevant anatomy of the upper airway with objective measurements of airway parameters, and it can guide airway interventions with dynamic real-time images. To date, ultrasound has been considered highly accurate for assessment of the difficult airway, confirmation of proper endotracheal intubation, prediction of post-extubation laryngeal edema, and preparation for cricothyrotomy by identifying the cricothyroid membrane. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the key evidence on the use of ultrasound in airway management. Databases including PubMed and Embase were systematically searched. A search strategy using a combination of the term "ultrasound" combined with several search terms, i.e., "probe", "anatomy", "difficult airway", "endotracheal intubation", "laryngeal edema", and "cricothyrotomy" was performed. In conclusion, POCUS is a valuable tool with multiple applications ranging from pre- and post-intubation management. Clinicians should consider using POCUS in conjunction with traditional exam techniques to manage the airway more efficiently in the acute setting.

Mirabegron is better tolerated than solifenacin in Sjogren's syndrome patients with overactive bladder symptoms-A randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: This study investigates the efficacy and adverse events of beta-3 agonists and antimuscarinic agents for managing overactive bladder syndrome in Sjogren syndrome. METHODS: Sjogren's syndrome patients with an Overactive Bladder Symptom Score (OABSS) >5 were enrolled and were randomly assigned to mirabegron 50 mg/day or solifenacin 5 mg/day. Patients were evaluated on the recruitment day and reassessed at Week 1, 2, 4, and 12. The study's primary endpoint was to have a significant change in OABSS at Week 12. The secondary endpoint was the adverse event and crossover rate. RESULTS: A total of 41 patients were included in the final analysis, with 24 in the mirabegron group and 17 in the solifenacin group. The study's primary outcome was a change of the OABSS at Week 12. We found that both mirabegron and solifenacin significantly reduce patients' OABSS after 12 weeks of treatment. The evolution of the OABSS was -3.08 for mirabegron and -3.71 for solifenacin (p = .56). Six out of 17 patients from the solifenacin group crossed over to the mirabegron arm due to severe dry mouth or constipation, while none from the mirabegron arm crossed over to the solifenacin group. Sjogren's syndrome-related pain was also improved in the mirabegron group (4.96-1.67, p = .008) compared to the solifenacin group (4.39-3.4, p = .49). CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that mirabegron is equally effective as solifenacin in treating Sjogren's syndrome patients with overactive bladder. Mirabegron is superior to solifenacin in terms of treatment-related adverse events.

The Efficacy of Transvaginal Ultrasound-Guided BoNT-A External Sphincter Injection in Female Patients with Underactive Bladder.

Owing to the diverse treatment outcomes after a botulinum toxin A (BoNT-A) injection to the external sphincter, this study aimed to develop a new technique: an ultrasound-guided BoNT-A external sphincter injection. This single-center prospective cohort study was conducted at a tertiary medical center in Taichung, Taiwan. From December 2020 to September 2022, 12 women were enrolled. The patients were evaluated for lower urinary tract syndrome using patient perception of bladder condition (PPBC), international prostate symptom score (IPSS), uroflowmetry, post-void residual volume (PVR), cystometry, and external sphincter electromyography. We evaluated the patients the day before surgery and 1 week after the BoNT-A injection. For the patients requiring self-catheterization, we recorded the number of times they required clean intermittent catheterization (CIC) per day before the procedure and 1 month after the procedure. The IPSS, PPBC, and PVR were significantly better after the transvaginal ultrasound-guided BoNT-A external sphincter injection. The number of times the patients required daily CIC was also reduced after the injection. Only one patient developed de novo urge urinary incontinence. Our results demonstrated that a transvaginal ultrasound-guided BoNT-A injection was efficacious and safe in the treatment of underactive bladder.

Machine learning to predict in-hospital cardiac arrest from patients presenting to the emergency department.

In-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) in the emergency department (ED) is not uncommon but often fatal. Using the machine learning (ML) approach, we sought to predict ED-based IHCA (EDCA) in patients presenting to the ED based on triage data. We retrieved 733,398 ED records from a tertiary teaching hospital over a 7 year period (Jan. 1, 2009-Dec. 31, 2015). We included only adult patients (≥ 18 y) and excluded cases presenting as out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Primary outcome (EDCA) was identified via a resuscitation code. Patient demographics, triage data, and structured chief complaints (CCs), were extracted. Stratified split was used to divide the dataset into the training and testing cohort at a 3-to-1 ratio. Three supervised ML models were trained and performances were evaluated and compared to the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and logistic regression (LR) model by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We included 316,465 adult ED records for analysis. Of them, 636 (0.2%) developed EDCA. Of the constructed ML models, Random Forest outperformed the others with the best AUC result (0.931, 95% CI 0.911-0.949), followed by Gradient Boosting (0.930, 95% CI 0.909-0.948) and Extra Trees classifier (0.915, 95% CI 0.892-0.936). Although the differences between each of ML models and LR (AUC: 0.905, 95% CI 0.882-0.926) were not significant, all constructed ML models performed significantly better than using the NEWS2 scoring system (AUC 0.678, 95% CI 0.635-0.722). Our ML models showed excellent discriminatory performance to identify EDCA based only on the triage information. This ML approach has the potential to reduce unexpected resuscitation events if successfully implemented in the ED information system.

Developing and validating clinical features-based machine learning algorithms to predict influenza infection in influenza-like illness patients.

BACKGROUND: Seasonal influenza poses a significant risk, and patients can benefit from early diagnosis and treatment. However, underdiagnosis and undertreatment remain widespread. We developed and compared clinical feature-based machine learning (ML) algorithms that can accurately predict influenza infection in emergency departments (EDs) among patients with influenza-like illness (ILI). MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in five EDs in the US and Taiwan from 2015 to 2020. Adult patients visiting the EDs with symptoms of ILI were recruited and tested by real-time RT-PCR for influenza. We evaluated seven ML algorithms and compared their results with previously developed clinical prediction models. RESULTS: Out of the 2189 enrolled patients, 1104 tested positive for influenza. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting achieved superior performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.79-0.85), with a sensitivity of 0.92 (95% CI = 0.88-0.95), specificity of 0.89 (95% CI = 0.86-0.92), and accuracy of 0.72 (95% CI = 0.69-0.76) in the testing set over cut-offs of 0.4, 0.6 and 0.5, respectively. These results were superior to those of previously proposed clinical prediction models. The model interpretation revealed that body temperature, cough, rhinorrhea, and exposure history were positively associated with and the days of illness and influenza vaccine were negatively associated with influenza infection. We also found the week of the influenza season, pulse rate, and oxygen saturation to be associated with influenza infection. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical feature-based ML model outperformed conventional models for predicting influenza infection.

A time-frame comparison study of surgical volume shifts on female primary stress urinary incontinence surgery.

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: The objective was to investigate the surgical volume shifts for primary female stress urinary incontinence (SUI) over a 20-year period (1999-2018) in Taiwan. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study based on Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. We divided the time-frame into four periods: first period (1999-2003), second period (2004-2008), third period (2009-2013), and fourth period (2014-2018). The variables included major surgical types for SUI (retropubic urethropexy, pubovaginal sling, midurethral sling, etc.), surgeon gender, specialty, surgical volume (high ≥30, median 5-29, low <5), and hospital accreditation level. Reoperation rates within 1 year were analyzed as an outcome measurement. RESULTS: A total of 51,018 patients were identified. Major surgical types increased significantly during the first three periods and slightly decreased during the fourth period. The proportion of surgical volume shifted from high- to medium-, and low-volume, but it reversed during the fourth period. The proportion of SUI surgeries decreased in medical centers, whereas it increased in regional and local hospitals. The proportion of SUI surgeries by female surgeons increased. Similar phenomena occurred in MUS. As for surgeon specialty, major surgical types were performed by gynecologists and urologists equally, whereas MUS were performed more by gynecologists than by urologists. Unexpectedly, 1-year reoperation rates were higher in high-volume surgeons. CONCLUSIONS: The surgical trend of SUI surgeries shifted from high- to medium-, and low-volume surgeons, medical centers to regional and local hospitals during the study periods. This implied surgical skills and performance spreading, which may have a great influence on patient and healthcare provider choice of treatment.

Multimodal phenotyping and correlates of pain following hematopoietic cell transplant in children with sickle cell disease.

INTRODUCTION: There is limited understanding of pain, patient-reported outcomes (PROs) of health-related quality of life (HRQoL), psychological factors, and experimental pain sensitivity before and following hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) in children with sickle cell disease (SCD). METHODS: Individuals aged 8 years and older, English speaking, and scheduled for a HCT were invited to participate in an observational study where they completed assessments of pain, PROs, psychological factors, and qualitative interviews before and around 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years post-HCT. An optional substudy of experimental pain sensitivity before and around 6 month, 1 year, and 2 years post-HCT was also offered. RESULTS: Data from eight participants (median age 13.5 years, 25% female) with sickle cell anemia (SCA) or similarly severe genotype, and successful donor-derived erythropoiesis post-HCT are reported. We found that collection of pain, PROs, psychological factors, and qualitative data were feasible in the context of HCT. We found moderate to large differences in pain and some PROs between baseline to 1 year and baseline to 2 year post-HCT based on effect sizes, but only some differences were statistically significant. We found moderate to large differences in pressure pain threshold and moderate differences in cold pain threshold between baseline to 1 year and baseline to 2 year post-HCT based on effect sizes, but these differences were not statistically significant. Qualitative data indicated an improvement in pain and HRQoL post-HCT. CONCLUSION: This study provides a framework for the conduct of multimodal pain assessments before and after HCT, which is feasible but faced with unique barriers.

High-risk Return Visits to United States Emergency Departments, 2010-2018.

INTRODUCTION: Although factors related to a return visit to the emergency department (ED) have been reported, only a few studies have examined "high-risk" ED revisits with serious adverse outcomes. In this study we aimed to describe the incidence and trend of high-risk ED revisits in United States EDs and to investigate factors associated with these revisits. METHODS: We obtained data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS), 2010-2018. Adult ED revisits within 72 hours of a previous discharge were identified using a mark on the patient record form. We defined high-risk revisits as revisits with serious adverse outcomes, including intensive care unit admissions, emergency surgery, cardiac catheterization, or cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) during the return visit. We performed analyses using descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression, accounting for NHAMCS's complex survey design. RESULTS: Over the nine-year study period, there were an estimated 37,700,000 revisits, and the proportion of revisits in the entire ED population decreased slightly from 5.1% in 2010 to 4.5% in 2018 (P for trend = 0.02). By contrast, there were an estimated 827,000 high-risk ED revisits, and the proportion of high-risk revisits in the entire ED population remained stable at approximately 0.1%. The mean age of these high-risk revisit patients was 57 years, and 43% were men. Approximately 6% of the patients were intubated, and 13% received CPR. Most of them were hospitalized, and 2% died in the ED. Multivariable analysis showed that older age (65+ years), Hispanic ethnicity, daytime visits, and arrival by ambulance during the revisit were independent predictors of high-risk revisits. CONCLUSION: High-risk revisits accounted for a relatively small fraction (0.1%) of ED visits. Over the period of the NHAMCS survey between 2010-2018, this fraction remained stable. We identified factors during the return visit that could be used to label high-risk revisits for timely intervention.