Understanding forms of childhood adversities and associations with adult health outcomes: A regression tree analysis.

BACKGROUND: Empirical studies have demonstrated associations between ten original adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and multiple health outcomes. Identifying expanded ACEs can capture the burden of other childhood adversities that may have important health implications. OBJECTIVE: We sought to identify childhood adversities that warrant consideration as expanded ACEs. We hypothesized that experiencing expanded and original ACEs would be associated with poorer adult health outcomes compared to experiencing original ACEs alone. PARTICIPANTS: The 11,545 respondents of the National Longitudinal Surveys (NLS) and Child and Young Adult Survey were 48.9 % female, 22.7 % Black, 15.8 % Hispanic, 36.1 % White, 1.7 % Asian/Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander/Native American/Native Alaskan, and 7.5 % Other. METHODS: This study used regression trees and generalized linear models to identify if/which expanded ACEs interacted with original ACEs in association with six health outcomes. RESULTS: Four expanded ACEs-basic needs instability, lack of parental love and affection, community stressors, and mother's experience with physical abuse during childhood -significantly interacted with general health, depressive symptom severity, anxiety symptom severity, and violent crime victimization in adulthood (all p-values <0.005). Basic needs instability and/or lack of parental love and affection emerged as correlates across multiple outcomes. Experiencing lack of parental love and affection and original ACEs was associated with greater anxiety symptoms (p = 0.022). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to use supervised machine learning to investigate interaction effects among original ACEs and expanded ACEs. Two expanded ACEs emerged as predictors for three adult health outcomes and warrant further consideration in ACEs assessments.

Impact of State Stroke Systems of Care Laws on Stroke Outcomes.

Since 2003, 38 US states and Washington, DC have adopted legislation and/or regulations to strengthen stroke systems of care (SSOCs). This study estimated the impact of SSOC laws on stroke outcomes. We used a coded legal dataset of 50 states and DC SSOC laws (years 2003-2018), national stroke accreditation information (years 1997-2018), data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (years 2012-2018), and National Vital Statistics System (years 1979-2019). We applied a natural experimental design paired with longitudinal modeling to estimate the impact of having one or more SSOC policies in effect on outcomes. On average, states with one or more SSOC policies in effect achieved better access to primary stroke centers (PSCs) than expected without SSOC policies (ranging from 2.7 to 8.0 percentage points (PP) higher), lower inpatient hospital costs (USD 610-1724 less per hospital stay), lower age-adjusted stroke mortality (1.0-1.6 fewer annual deaths per 100,000), a higher proportion of stroke patients with brain imaging results within 45 min of emergency department arrival (3.6-5.0 PP higher), and, in some states, lower in-hospital stroke mortality (5 fewer deaths per 1000). Findings were mixed for some outcomes and there was limited evidence of model fit for others. No effect was observed in racial and/or rural disparities in stroke mortality.