Critical congenital heart disease: contemporary prenatal screening performance and outcomes in a multi-centre perinatology service.

BACKGROUND: Prenatal detection of critical congenital heart disease (CCHD) optimises perinatal decision-making and neonatal outcomes. The objective of this study was to determine the prenatal screening performance, care pathways and perinatal outcomes for prenatally and postnatally diagnosed cases of CCHD over a four-year period. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study in a tertiary centre and its two affiliated secondary sites examined all cases of CCHD, including cases of pregnancy termination and in-utero fetal death, neonatal death and liveborn babies that underwent cardiac catheterization or surgery in the first six weeks of life. Prenatal and postnatal data were ascertained from the first trimester assessment for all patients diagnosed prenatally. Cases requiring intervention that were first identified in the postnatal period were included to determine prenatal detection rates. Follow-up for all cases of CCHD continued to one year of age. RESULTS: In a consecutive cohort of 49,950 pregnancies in a 4-year period 01/2019 to 12/2022, a prenatal diagnosis of CCHD was made in 96 cases, yielding a prevalence of 1.9 per 1000 births. The prenatal detection for right duct-dependant heart pathology and congenital heart block was 100%, 85% for left duct-dependant pathology and 93% for transposition of the great arteries (TGA). In the prenatally diagnosed group, 37% of cases were complicated by extracardiac structural abnormalities, a genetic diagnosis or both. All cases of prenatal detection were identified in the context of routine anatomy screening rather than specialist Fetal Cardiac screening services. Almost half of all pregnancies complicated by CCHD did not undergo neonatal cardiac intervention, by virtue of parental choice determined either prenatally or after birth. An additional eight babies were diagnosed with CCHD in the neonatal period, such that the prenatal detection rate for CCHD was 92% (96/104, 95% CI = 84%-96%). Survival at 1-year for infants deemed suitable for CCHD surgery was 85%. CONCLUSION: In a large unselected population, optimal rates of prenatal detection of critical congenital heart disease can be achieved by a protocolised approach to mid-trimester fetal anatomy ultrasound, underpinned by a programme of sonographer education and training. The cardiac abnormalities most likely to evade prenatal detection are left-sided obstructive lesions.

Dynamic growth changes in fetal growth restriction using serial ultrasonographic biometry and umbilical artery doppler: The multicenter PORTO study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the growth dynamics of fetuses with initial fetal growth restriction (FGR) later outgrowing the 10th centile for estimated fetal weight with respect to perinatal outcomes and maternal factors. METHODS: A multicenter prospective study recruited 1116 patients for ultrasound surveillance between 2010 and 2012. All pregnancies were growth-restricted singleton gestations between 24 + 0 and 36 + 0 weeks. Biometry and Doppler analysis were carried out, and delivery and adverse perinatal outcomes were recorded. RESULTS: A total of 193 (17%) fetuses outgrew their diagnosis of initial FGR (surpassed the 10th centile) on their last sonogram before delivery. These fetuses were termed "growers," to compare with the true FGR group. The mothers of "growers" were less likely to be smokers (14% vs 25%, P = 0.0001) or affected by hypertensive pregnancy complications (5.2% vs 15%, P = 0.001). Of the growers, 49 (25%) had an abnormal umbilical artery Doppler; however, in most cases (33/49, 67%), this was a single episode of raised umbilical artery pulsatility index, which subsequently normalized. CONCLUSION: There were dynamic growth changes in FGR fetuses, with 17% outgrowing their original diagnosis. Positive growth spurts more commonly occurred in healthy mothers. Once a fetus had outgrown the 10th centile, antenatal surveillance could be decreased.

Growth patterns and cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses: 2. Normal growth and progressive growth restriction.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize growth processes and their associated cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses with normal growth and progressive growth restriction patterns as defined by Individualized Growth Assessment (IGA). METHODS: A SGA cohort (EFW and BW < 10th percentile) was derived from the PORTO study that included 47 fetuses with normal growth outcome (SGA Normal) and 34 fetuses with progressive growth restriction (SGA Growth Restricted, Pattern 1). Composite fetal size parameters were used to quantify growth pathology at individual third trimester time points (individual composite Prenatal Growth Assessment Score {icPGAS}) and calculated cumulatively during the third trimester (Fetal Growth Pathology Score 1{FGPS1}). Paired Doppler evaluations of the umbilical artery (UA), middle cerebral artery (MCA), ductus venosus (DV) and myocardial performance index (MPI) were used to detect cardiovascular anomalies. Outcome variables were birth age and birth weight. RESULTS: Ranking fetuses with respect to the severity of the 3rd trimester growth pathology (-FGPS1) revealed three subgroups in each of these two groups. In SGA Normal, no (51%), minimal (19%) or minor (30%) growth abnormalities were present. Although vascular flow abnormalities occurred without growth abnormalities (UA: 38%; MCA: 35%), they increased with minor growth disturbances (UA: 64%; MCA: 50%). All fetuses delivered at term and in only 7 cases (minor growth abnormalities subgroup) were the neonates abnormally small based on IGA criteria. In SGA Growth Restricted, Pattern 1, the progression of growth restriction was slow (47%), moderate (21%) and rapid (32%). Corresponding median -FGPS1 values were -1.34%, -2.67% and -4.88%, respectively. The median age of onset was 33.6, 29.7 and 29.7 weeks in these three subgroups. UA abnormalities occurred infrequently in the first two subgroups but were found in all cases of rapidly progressing pathology. Similar results were found for the MCA and DV + MPI Doppler parameters (rapid progression: MCA = 50%; DV + MPI = 50%). Premature delivery occurred less frequently with slow progression but was nearly 100% in the moderately and rapidly progressive subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Negative FGPS1 growth restriction patterns can be used to classify SGA fetuses. Subgroups, based on ranked -FGPS1 values in both SGA Normal and SGA Growth Restricted Pattern 1 groups had marked differences in cardiovascular abnormalities and neonatal outcomes. The characteristics of these two groups are consistent with small, normally growing fetuses and fetuses with "early" growth restriction, respectively.

Growth patterns and cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses: 3. Late, adaptive and recovering growth restriction.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize abnormal growth processes and their associated cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses using Individualized Growth Assessment (IGA). METHODS: This longitudinal investigation utilized a SGA cohort [EFW and BW <10th percentile] derived from the PORTO study. Fetuses categorized by their Fetal Growth Pathology Score [FGPS1] patterns [Pattern 2 {n = 12}, Pattern 3 {n = 11}, Pattern 5 {n = 13}] were evaluated. Growth pathology was measured using the -FGPS1 and the individual composite Prenatal Growth Assessment Score {-icPGAS]. Paired cardiovascular assessments utilized measurements of the Pulsatility Index [umbilical artery {UA}, middle cerebral artery {MCA}, ductus venosus {DV}] and the myocardial performance index [MPI; heart]. Outcome variables were birth age [preterm or, term] and birth weight [small or normal (IGA criteria)]. RESULTS: Pattern 2 was usually characterized by a single, growth abnormality (67% of cases) of variable magnitude that occurred within two weeks of delivery {median onset age: 37.6 weeks}. The incidence of UA abnormalities was low (25%) while those of MCA and DV/MPI were high {60%, 42%}. Most neonates were of normal size (67%) and delivered at term (67%).Pattern 3 had an initial progressive growth restriction phase, followed by constant but abnormally low growth. Growth pathology had an early onset (median age: 31.6 weeks), was moderate but persistently abnormal. The incidences of cardiovascular abnormalities were moderate [30-50%]. Most neonates were abnormally small (80%) but delivered at term (90%).Pattern 5 had an initial progressive phase with an early onset [onset age {median}: 31.6 weeks]. However, this process was arrested and returned toward normal. Growth pathology magnitudes were minor as were the incidences of cardiovascular abnormalities. Neonatal size was usually normal and all fetuses delivered at term. CONCLUSIONS: Characteristics of SGA Growth Restricted, Patterns 2, 3 and 5 are clearly different from those found in SGA Normal or SGA Growth Restricted Pattern 1 groups. They also differed from one another, indicating that growth restriction can manifest itself in several different ways. Pattern 2 is similar to "late" growth restriction reported previously. Patterns 3 and 5 are novel and have been designated as "adaptive" and "recovering" types of growth restriction.

The prediction of morbidity related to vaginal delivery in nulliparous women - A secondary analysis from the genesis multicenter trial.

OBJECTIVE: In the prospective multicenter Genesis study, we developed a prediction model for Cesarean delivery (CD) in term nulliparous women. The objective of this secondary analysis was to determine whether the Genesis model has the potential to predict maternal and neonatal morbidity associated with vaginal delivery. STUDY DESIGN: The national prospective Genesis trial recruited 2,336 nulliparous women with a vertex presentation between 39 + 0- and 40 + 6-weeks' gestation from seven tertiary centers. The prediction model used five parameters to assess the risk of CD: maternal age, maternal height, body mass index, fetal head circumference and fetal abdominal circumference. Simple and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to develop the Genesis model. The risk score calculated using this model were correlated with maternal and neonatal morbidity in women who delivered vaginally: postpartum hemorrhage (PPH), obstetric anal sphincter injury (OASI), shoulder dystocia, one- and five-minute Apgar score ≤ 7, neonatal intensive care (NICU) admission, cephalohematoma, fetal laceration, nerve palsy and fractures. The morbidities associated with spontaneous vaginal delivery were compared with those associated with operative vaginal delivery (OVD). The likelihood ratios for composite morbidity and the morbidity associated with OVD based on the Genesis risk scores were also calculated. RESULTS: A total of 1,845 (79%) nulliparous women had a vaginal delivery. A trend of increasing intervention and morbidity was observed with increasing Genesis risk score, including OVD (p < 0.001), PPH (p < 0.008), NICU admission (p < 0.001), low Apgar score at one-minute (p < 0.001) and OASI (p = 0.009). The morbidity associated with OVD was significantly higher compared to spontaneous vaginal delivery, including NICU admission (p < 0.001), PPH (p = 0.022), birth injury (p < 0.001), shoulder dystocia (p = 0.002) and Apgar score of<7 at one-minute (p < 0.001). The positive likelihood ratios for composite outcomes (where the OVD was excluded) increases with increasing risk score from 1.005 at risk score of 5% to 2.507 for risk score of>50%. CONCLUSION: In women who ultimately achieved a vaginal birth, we have shown more maternal and neonatal morbidity in the setting of a Genesis nomogram-determined high-risk score for intrapartum CD. Therefore, the Genesis prediction tool also has the potential to predict a more morbid vaginal delivery.

Correlation of maternal body mass index with umbilical artery Doppler in pregnancies complicated by fetal growth restriction and associated outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the correlation between umbilical artery (UA) Doppler and its feasibility across categories of maternal body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters) in the presence of fetal growth restriction (FGR). METHODS: A total of 1074 singleton pregnancies with suspected FGR on ultrasound examination between 24+0 and 36+0 weeks of pregnancy were reviewed. Evaluation of the UA Doppler was performed at 1- to 2-weekly intervals. Abnormal UA Doppler findings and delivery outcomes were compared between the different maternal BMI categories. RESULTS: Increased UA pulsatility index (PI >95th centile) was reported in 81% of obese class II patients (BMI 35-39.9) compared with a 46% incidence in the remaining categories, normal (BMI <24.9), overweight (BMI 25-29.9), and obese class I (BMI 30-34.9) (P = 0.001). In absent or reversed end diastolic flow (AEDF/REDF) we found an increasing incidence across the BMI categories (4%-25%) (P < 0.001). Higher maternal BMI was associated with lower birthweights and higher cesarean section rates. Increasing maternal BMI did not affect successful assessment of UA Doppler. CONCLUSION: There is a positive correlation between increasing maternal BMI and abnormal UA Doppler findings in FGR. Maternal BMI may be considered as an additional risk factor when evaluating UA Doppler for placental insufficiency.

Growth patterns and cardiovascular abnormalities in small for gestational age fetuses: 1. Pattern characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Fetal growth restriction is being defined as either "early" or "late" depending on age of onset. A recent investigation using individualized assessment has identified five different growth restriction patterns. No previous study has related these patterns to cardiovascular abnormalities. OBJECTIVES: To determine growth patterns in small fetuses (BW < 10th percentile) using Individualized Growth Assessment (IGA) and to relate cardiovascular abnormalities found with Doppler ultrasound to these patterns. STUDY DESIGN: A secondary analysis was carried out in 126 fetuses from the PORTO data set having both estimated weights and birth weights below the 10th percentile. Only fetuses with 2nd and 3rd trimester biometry scans appropriate for IGA and cardiovascular assessments were studied. There was one-to-one matching of biometry and Doppler evaluations in the 3rd trimester. Composite growth parameters were used to quantify growth pathology at individual time points (individual composite Prenatal Growth Assessment Score (icPGAS)) and during the 3rd trimester (Fetal Growth Pathology Score {FGPS1}). Normal and growth restriction patterns were identified using plots of FGPS1 values. Doppler measurements were classified as normal or abnormal based on published cross-sectional standards. Outcome variables were birth weight and birth age. RESULTS: In these SGA cases, 38.2% showed normal fetal growth and 61.8% had growth restriction. In the latter, seven different patterns were observed. Pattern 1 was most common (43.5%), followed by Patterns 5 (16.7%), 2 (15.4%) and 3 (14.1%). The characteristics of Pattern 1 indicated progressive growth restriction while Pattern 5 demonstrated recovery from an initial growth abnormality. Cardiovascular abnormalities were quite variable, with those in the umbilical artery being most frequent in Patterns 1 and 3. Pattern 2 had the highest incidence of middle cerebral artery abnormalities. Umbilical artery abnormalities were similar in the Normal and Pattern 5 groups as were those for the middle cerebral artery. Other cardiovascular abnormalities had low frequencies except in Pattern 2 where the ductus venosus incidence was high. Abnormally small neonates, as identified with IGA, were seen primarily in Patterns 1, 3 and 6 (80-88%). Premature deliveries occurred most frequently in Pattern 1 (56%), followed by Pattern 2 (33%). CONCLUSIONS: Growth in this SGA Group was very heterogeneous with a significant proportion of these small fetuses growing normally. Growth restriction did not appear to be a single process but was manifest as seven different FGPS1 patterns. Both growth pathology and cardiovascular abnormalities differed among patterns. Further investigation will be required to determine how specific growth abnormalities are related to fetal cardiovascular changes over time.

Reducing emergency cesarean delivery and improving the primiparous experience: Findings of the RECIPE study.

OBJECTIVE: The ability to predict the need for emergency Cesarean delivery holds the potential to facilitate birth choices. The objective of the RECIPE study (Reducing Emergency Cesarean delivery and Improving the Primiparous Experience) was to externally validate a Cesarean delivery risk prediction model. This model, developed by the Genesis study, identified five key predictive factors for emergency Cesarean delivery: maternal age, maternal height, BMI, fetal head circumference (HC) and fetal abdominal circumference (AC). STUDY DESIGN: This prospective, observational study was conducted in two tertiary referral perinatal centers. Inclusion criteria were as follows: primiparous women with a singleton, cephalic presentation fetus in the absence of fetal growth restriction (FGR), oligohydramnios, pre-eclampsia, pre-existing diabetes mellitus or an indication for planned Cesarean delivery. Between 38 + 0 and 40 + 6 weeks' gestational age, participants attended for prenatal assessment that enabled the determination of an individualized risk calculation for emergency Cesarean delivery during labour based on maternal height, BMI, fetal HC and AC, with crucially both participants and care providers being blinded to the resultant risk prediction score. Labor, delivery and postnatal outcomes were ascertained. Calibration and receiver operator curves were generated to determine the predictive capacity for emergency Cesarean delivery of the Genesis risk prediction model in this cohort. RESULTS: 559 primiparous participants were enrolled from May 2017 to April 2019, of whom 142 (25 %) had an emergency Cesarean delivery during labour. Participants with a low predicted risk score (<10 %) had a mean predicted rate of 8% (+/- standard deviation of 2%) and a similarly low actual observed rate of Cesarean delivery (8%). Participants with a high predicted risk (>50 %) had a mean predicted Cesarean delivery rate of 64 % (+/- standard deviation of 9%) and also had a high actual observed Cesarean delivery rate (62 %). The calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated that this validation study had comparable discriminatory power for emergency Cesarean delivery to that described in the original Genesis study. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) in Genesis was 0.69, whereas the AUC in RECIPE was 0.72, which reflects good predictive capacity of the risk prediction model. CONCLUSION: The accuracy of the Genesis Cesarean delivery prediction tool is supported by this validation study.

The RECIPE study: reducing emergency Caesareans and improving the Primiparous experience: a blinded, prospective, observational study.

BACKGROUND: The RECIPE study aims to validate a risk prediction model for intrapartum caesarean delivery which has been developed by our group. The Genesis study was a prospective observational study carried out by the Perinatal Ireland Research Consortium across 7 clinical centres in Ireland between October 2012 and June 2015. Genesis investigated a range of maternal and fetal parameters in a prospective blinded study of 2336 singleton pregnancies between 39 + 0-41 + 0 weeks' gestational age. This resulted in the development of a risk prediction model for Caesarean Delivery in nulliparous women at term. The RECIPE study now proposes to provide external validation of this risk prediction tool. METHODS: In order to externally validate the model, we aim to include a centre which was not involved in the original study. We propose a trial of risk-assignment for intrapartum caesarean amongst nulliparous women with a singleton pregnancy between 38 + 0 and 40 + 6 weeks' gestational age who are planning a vaginal birth. Results of the risk prediction tool will be concealed from participants and from midwives and doctors providing labour care.. Participants will be invited for an ultrasound scan and delivery details will be collated postnatally. The principal aim of this study is to externally validate the risk prediction model. This prediction model holds the potential to accurately identify nulliparous women who are likely to achieve an uncomplicated vaginal birth and those at high prospect of requiring an unplanned caesarean delivery. DISCUSSION: Validation of the Genesis prediction model would enable more accurate counselling for women in the antenatal setting regarding their own likelihood of requiring an intrapartum Caesarean section. It would also provide valuable personalised information to women about the anticipated course of their own labour. We believe that this is an issue of national relevance that will impact positively on obstetric practice, and will positively empower women to make considered, personalised choices surrounding labour and delivery.

Inter-hospital comparison of Cesarean delivery rates should not be considered to reflect quality of care without consideration of patient heterogeneity: An observational study.

OBJECTIVE: Contemporary approaches to monitoring quality of care in obstetrics often focus on comparing Cesarean Delivery rates. Varied rates can complicate interpretation of quality of care. We previously developed a risk prediction tool for nulliparous women who may require intrapartum Cesarean delivery which identified five key predictors. Our objective with this study was to ascertain if patient heterogeneity can account for much of the observed variation in Cesarean delivery rates, thereby enabling Cesarean delivery rates to be a better marker of quality of care. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of the Genesis study. This was a large prospective study of 2336 nulliparous singleton pregnancies recruited at seven hospitals. A heterogeneity score was calculated for each hospital. An adjusted Cesarean delivery rate was also calculated incorporating the heterogeneous risk score. RESULTS: A cut-off at the 90th percentile was determined for each predictive factor. Above the 90th percentile was considered to represent 'high risk' (with the exception of maternal height which identified those below the 10th percentile). The patient heterogeneous risk score was defined as the number of risk factors > 90th percentile (<10th percentile for height). An unequal distribution of high-risk patients between centers was observed (p < 0.001). The correlation between the Cesarean delivery rate and the patient heterogeneous risk score was high (0.76, p < 0.05). When adjusted for patient heterogeneity, Cesarean delivery rates became closer aligned. CONCLUSION: Inter-institutional diversity is common. We suggest that crude comparison of Cesarean delivery rates between different hospitals as a marker of care quality is inappropriate. Allowing for marked differences in patient characteristics is essential for correct interpretation of such comparisons.

Defining the upper limit of the second stage of labor in nulliparous patients.

BACKGROUND: Increased duration of the second stage of labor provides clinical challenges in decision-making regarding the optimal mode of delivery that minimizes maternal and neonatal morbidity. OBJECTIVE: In a large cohort of uncomplicated nulliparous singleton cephalic labors, we sought to examine the effect of increasing duration of second stage on delivery and perinatal outcome. STUDY DESIGN: The GENESIS Study recruited 2336 nulliparous patients with vertex presentation in a prospective double-blinded study to examine prenatal and intrapartum predictors of delivery. Metrics included maternal demographics, duration of second stage, mode of delivery, and associated maternal and neonatal outcomes. Indicators of morbidity included third- or fourth-degree tear, postpartum hemorrhage, neonatal intensive care unit admission, low Apgar scores, cord pH <7.20 and a composite of birth injury that included cephalohematoma, fetal laceration, brachial plexus palsy, facial nerve palsy, and fetal fracture. RESULTS: Of 2336 recruited nulliparous participants, 1872 reached the second stage of labor and had complete data for analysis. Increased maternal age (P=.02) and birthweight (P<.001) were found to be associated with a longer second stage. Increasing second stage duration was found to impact on mode of delivery, such that at <1 hour duration the spontaneous vaginal delivery rate was 63% vs 24% at >3 hours (P<.001). Operative vaginal delivery increased from 35% at <1 hour to 65% at >3 hours (P<.001). The rate of cesarean delivery increased with duration of the second stage from 1.2% at <1 hour to 11% at >3 hours (P<.001). The rates of third- or fourth-degree tear increased with second stage duration (P=.003), as did postpartum hemorrhage (P<.001). The composite neonatal birth injury rate increased from 1.8% at <1 hour to 3.4% at >3 hours. The maximum rate of birth injury was 6.5% at 2-3 hours (P<.001). Multiple logistic regression analysis that controlled for maternal age and birthweight confirmed that operative vaginal delivery, perineal trauma, postpartum hemorrhage, and neonatal birth injury remained significantly more likely with increasing second stage duration. CONCLUSION: In a prospective cohort of nulliparous pregnancies, increasing duration of second stage of labor was associated with increased rates of operative vaginal and cesarean delivery. Although almost 90% of term nulliparous women with a second stage of labor >3 hours will succeed in achieving a vaginal birth, this success comes at a maternal morbidity cost, with a 10% risk of severe perineal injury and an increasing rate of significant neonatal injury.

The Impact of Aspirin on Ultrasound Markers of Uteroplacental Flow in Low-Risk Pregnancy: Secondary Analysis of a Multicenter RCT.

OBJECTIVE: This article evaluates the effect of low-dose aspirin on uterine artery (UtA) Doppler, placental volume, and vascularization flow indices in low-risk pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: In this secondary analysis of the TEST randomized controlled trial, low-risk nulliparous women were originally randomized at 11 weeks to: (1) routine aspirin 75 mg; (2) no aspirin; and (3) aspirin based upon the preeclampsia Fetal Medicine Foundation screening test. UtA Doppler, three-dimensional (3D) placental volume, and vascularization flow indices were assessed prior to and 6 weeks postaspirin commencement. RESULTS: A total of 546 women were included (aspirin n = 192, no aspirin n = 354). Between first and second trimesters, aspirin use was not associated with a change in UtA Doppler, placental volume, or vascular flow indices. There was no significant difference in the change in UtA Doppler pulsatility index (PI) Z-scores or notching (PI Z-score -0.2 vs. -0.2, p = 0.17), nor was there a significant change in placental volume Z-score and vascular flow indices (volume Z-score change: 0.74 vs. 0.62, p = 0.34). CONCLUSION: Low-dose aspirin commenced at 11 weeks in low-risk women does not appear to improve uterine and placental perfusion or placental volume. Any perceived effect on uteroplacental vasculature is not reflected in changes in placental volume nor uteroplacental flow as assessed by two-dimensional and 3D ultrasound.

Trial of feasibility and acceptability of routine low-dose aspirin versus Early Screening Test indicated aspirin for pre-eclampsia prevention (TEST study): a multicentre randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the feasibility and acceptability of routine aspirin in low-risk women, compared with screening-test indicated aspirin for the prevention of pre-eclampsia and fetal growth restriction. DESIGN: Multicentre open-label feasibility randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Two tertiary maternity hospitals in Dublin, Ireland. PARTICIPANTS: 546 low-risk nulliparous women completed the study. INTERVENTIONS: Women underwent computerised randomisation to: Group 1-routine aspirin 75 mg from 11 until 36 weeks; Group 2-no aspirin and; Group 3-aspirin based on the Fetal Medicine Foundation screening test. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: (1) Proportion agreeing to participate; (2) compliance with protocol; (3) proportion where first trimester uterine artery Doppler was obtainable and; (4) time taken to issue a screening result. Secondary outcomes included rates of pre-eclampsia and small-for-gestational-age fetuses. RESULTS: 546 were included in the routine aspirin (n=179), no aspirin (n=183) and screen and treat (n=184) groups. 546 of 1054 were approached (51.8%) and enrolled. Average aspirin adherence was 90%. The uterine artery Doppler was obtained in 98.4% (181/184) and the average time to obtain a screening result was 7.6 (0-26) days. Of those taking aspirin, vaginal spotting was greater; n=29 (15.1%), non-aspirin n=28 (7.9%), OR 2.1 (95% CI 1.2 to 3.6). Postpartum haemorrhage >500 mL was also greater; aspirin n=26 (13.5%), no aspirin n=20 (5.6%), OR 2.6 (95% CI 1.4 to 4.8). CONCLUSION: Low-risk nulliparous women are open to taking aspirin in pregnancy and had high levels of adherence. Aspirin use was associated with greater rates of vaginal bleeding. An appropriately powered randomised controlled trial is now required to address the efficacy and safety of universal low-dose aspirin in low-risk pregnancy compared with a screening approach. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN (15191778); Post-results.

Prediction of cesarean delivery in the term nulliparous woman: results from the prospective, multicenter Genesis study.

BACKGROUND: In contemporary practice many nulliparous women require intervention during childbirth such as operative vaginal delivery or cesarean delivery (CD). Despite the knowledge that the increasing rate of CD is associated with increasing maternal age, obesity and larger infant birthweight, we lack a reliable method to predict the requirement for such potentially hazardous obstetric procedures during labor and delivery. This issue is important, as there are greater rates of morbidity and mortality associated with unplanned CD performed in labor compared with scheduled CDs. A prediction algorithm to identify women at risk of an unplanned CD could help reduced labor associated morbidity. OBJECTIVE: In this primary analysis of the Genesis study, our objective was to prospectively assess the use of prenatally determined, maternal and fetal, anthropomorphic, clinical, and ultrasound features to develop a predictive tool for unplanned CD in the term nulliparous woman, before the onset of labor. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Genesis study recruited 2336 nulliparous women with a vertex presentation between 39+0 and 40+6 weeks' gestation in a prospective multicenter national study to examine predictors of CD. At recruitment, a detailed clinical evaluation and ultrasound assessment were performed. To reduce bias from knowledge of these data potentially influencing mode of delivery, women, midwives, and obstetricians were blinded to the ultrasound data. All hypothetical prenatal risk factors for unplanned CD were assessed as a composite. Multiple logistic regression analysis and mathematical modeling was used to develop a risk evaluation tool for CD in nulliparous women. Continuous predictors were standardized using z scores. RESULTS: From a total enrolled cohort of 2336 nulliparous participants, 491 (21%) had an unplanned CD. Five parameters were determined to be the best combined predictors of CD. These were advancing maternal age (odds ratio [OR], 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09 to 1.34), shorter maternal height (OR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.52 to 1.93), increasing body mass index (OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.43), larger fetal abdominal circumference (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.38), and larger fetal head circumference (OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.42). A nomogram was developed to provide an individualized risk assessment to predict CD in clinical practice, with excellent calibration and discriminative ability (Kolmogorov-Smirnov, D statistic, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.28 to 0.30) with a misclassification rate of 0.21 (95% CI, 0.19 to 0.25). CONCLUSION: Five parameters (maternal age, body mass index, height, fetal abdominal circumference, and fetal head circumference) can, in combination, be used to better determine the overall risk of CD in nulliparous women at term. A risk score can be used to inform women of their individualized probability of CD. This risk tool may be useful for reassuring most women regarding their likely success at achieving an uncomplicated vaginal delivery as well as selecting those patients with such a high risk for CD that they should avoid a trial of labor. Such a risk tool has the potential to greatly improve planning hospital service needs and minimizing patient risk.

The effect of maternal obesity on sonographic fetal weight estimation and perinatal outcome in pregnancies complicated by fetal growth restriction.

PURPOSE: Maternal obesity represents a challenge in the sonographic (US) assessment of fetal weight, and is a recognized risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcome. The objective of this secondary analysis of data from the Prospective Observational Trial to Optimize Pediatric Health in fetal growth restriction (FGR) Study (PORTO) was to describe the effect of maternal obesity on the accuracy of US in determining the estimated fetal weight (EFW) and the perinatal outcome of pregnancies affected by FGR. METHODS: Between 2010 and 2012, 1,116 women with nonanomalous singleton pregnancies with an EFW in less than the tenth centile were recruited for the PORTO study. Maternal body mass index (BMI) was divided into five subcategories: normal (BMI < 24.9 kg/m(2) ), overweight (25-29.9), obese class 1 (30-34.9), obese class 2 (35-39.9), and obese class 3 (>40). The accuracy of the EFW was determined in women who delivered within 2 weeks of their last US scan. Perinatal outcomes were analyzed by BMI subcategory. RESULTS: Of the 1,074 patients with complete records, 691 (64%) were of normal weight, 258 (24%) were overweight, 93 (9%) were in obese class 1, 32 (3%) were in obese class 2, and none were in obese class 3. Overall, the EFW determined prior to delivery was within 6% of the actual birth weight in all BMI subcategories. Overweight and obese women delivered more commonly by cesarean section and at earlier gestational ages than did women with a normal BMI (p = 0.0008), resulting in lower birth weights (p = 0.0031) and significantly increased composite perinatal morbidity (p < 0.0001) and mortality (p = 0.0215) rates. CONCLUSIONS: US examination is reliable for assessing the weight of fetuses with FGR in overweight women. Maternal obesity, however, has a significant adverse effect on perinatal outcomes. Thus, health education should focus on awareness of this adverse effect, with optimization of prepregnancy weight as its main goal.