Effectiveness and safety of vedolizumab and infliximab in biologic-naive patients with Crohn's disease: results from the EVOLVE study.

OBJECTIVES: This study compared the real-world effectiveness and safety of α 4 ß 7 -integrin inhibitor vedolizumab and anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha (anti-TNFα) inhibitor infliximab in biologic-naive patients with Crohn's disease (CD). METHODS: EVOLVE was a retrospective, multicenter, medical chart review of biologic-naive adults with inflammatory bowel disease receiving vedolizumab or anti-TNFα treatment as first-line biologics in Canada, Greece, and the USA. Twelve-month outcomes were analyzed in vedolizumab- or infliximab-treated patients with moderate-to-severe CD (and subgroups with complicated and noncomplicated CD) including cumulative rates of clinical response, clinical remission, and mucosal healing, and incidence rates of serious adverse events (SAEs) and serious infections (SIs). Inverse probability weighting (IPW) was used to account for baseline differences between treatment groups. RESULTS: Data were analyzed from 167 patients. In the IPW dataset (99 vedolizumab-treated and 63 infliximab-treated), adjusted 12-month clinical remission rates were 73.1% and 55.2%, respectively ( P  = 0.31). Overall, effectiveness rates were similar across treatment and complicated/noncomplicated disease subgroups. Adjusted 12-month incidence rates (first occurrence/1000 person-years) of SAEs for vedolizumab vs. infliximab: 43.6 vs. 200.9 [hazard ratio (HR) 0.36 (0.09-1.54)]; SIs: 10.8 vs. 96.0 [HR 0.08 (<0.01-2.64)]. AE incidence was significantly lower in vedolizumab- vs. infliximab-treated patients for complicated [131.6 vs. 732.2; HR 0.19 (0.05-0.65)] and noncomplicated [276.3 vs. 494.8; HR 0.59 (0.35-0.99)] disease subgroups. CONCLUSION: These real-world data on first-line biologics show no differences in 12-month effectiveness outcomes for vedolizumab- vs. infliximab-treated biologic-naive patients with CD. Vedolizumab may have a more favorable safety profile vs. infliximab in patients with complicated and noncomplicated disease.

Pneumonia hospitalizations of children aged <2 years in Poland before (2013-2016) and after (2017-2018) universal mass vaccination with 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine.

As infection with Streptococcus pneumoniae is an important cause of pneumonia in children, the World Health Organization recommends childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs). In January 2017, PCV universal mass vaccination (UMV) was introduced in Poland for children aged <2 years. The objective of this study was to estimate and describe the trends in the incidences of various types of pneumonia hospitalizations in Poland before (2013-2016) and after (2017-2018) introduction of the UMV program. The study was conducted at the regional hospitals of Opole and Bialystok and included all hospitalized children aged <2 years with a primary or secondary diagnosis of pneumonia in their electronic medical records. Pneumonia diagnoses were identified based on International Classification of Diseases 10th revision (ICD-10) codes for bacterial, viral, and other/unknown-cause pneumonias. The effect of the implementation of PCV UMV was modeled via an inferential multivariate model. Among 4,168 children included in the study, 64.3% were admitted before PCV UMV. The number of radiograph-confirmed likely bacterial pneumonia cases varied between 55 and 176 cases per 100,000 person-years, and no trend was observed over time. However, inferential modeling showed statistically significant decreasing trends in the incidence rates of bacterial-coded pneumonia (28.48%), viral-coded pneumonia (35.36%), all-cause pneumonia (24.60%), and radiograph-confirmed likely non-bacterial pneumonia (24.98%) among children eligible for UMV. This might be the first indication of the impact of the PCV UMV program in Poland.

What is the context? Infection with the bacteria Streptococcus pneumoniae is a key cause of pneumonia in children worldwide.Pneumococcal vaccines are available to help prevent this infection.In 2017, a pneumococcal vaccination program was introduced in Poland, free of charge for children aged less than 2 years.The impact of this vaccination program on the incidence of pneumonia hospitalizations is unknown.What is new? This study evaluated the incidence of pneumonia hospitalizations in children following the implementation of the vaccination program (2017-2018) and compared it with the incidence before implementation (2013-2016).The study was carried out in two regional hospitals and included all children aged less than 2 years hospitalized with pneumonia.Pneumonia cases were identified using International Classification of Diseases codes and bacterial cases were confirmed with chest x-rays.During the 2 years after the vaccination program was introduced, we observed:No clear trend in the incidence of bacterial pneumonia confirmed by chest x-ray.A statistically significant decline in the likelihood of developing other types of pneumonia among children eligible for the pneumococcal vaccination program.The incidence of pneumonia was higher in children from the region of Opole and for those who were admitted to hospital in winter and at a younger age.What is the impact? Pneumococcal vaccination might reduce the number of pneumonia hospitalizations. However, more research is needed to confirm these results.

Discontinuation and primary care visits in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation patients treated with apixaban or warfarin.

AIM: Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) requires long-term anticoagulation treatment, which may necessitate frequent primary care visits. MATERIALS & METHODS: NVAF patients initiating warfarin or apixaban in 2012-2017 were identified from linked primary (Clinical Practice Research Datalink) and secondary care (Hospital Episode Statistics) data. A propensity score matched Cox regression model compared discontinuation risk. Primary care visits were compared via negative binomial regression. RESULTS: A total of 2695 apixaban users were matched to warfarin patients. Discontinuation risk was lower with apixaban than warfarin (hazard ratio: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.35-0.46). Apixaban patients averaged 12.2 annual primary care visits, versus 17.1 for warfarin users (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Apixaban was associated with reduced rates of discontinuation and primary care visits compared with warfarin.

Statistical Modeling of Disease Progression for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Using Data from the ECLIPSE Study.

BACKGROUND: To develop statistical models predicting disease progression and outcomes in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), using data from ECLIPSE, a large, observational study of current and former smokers with COPD. METHODS: Based on a conceptual model of COPD disease progression and data from 2164 patients, associations were made between baseline characteristics, COPD disease progression attributes (exacerbations, lung function, exercise capacity, and symptoms), health-related quality of life (HRQoL), and survival. Linear and nonlinear functional forms of random intercept models were used to characterize these relationships. Endogeneity was addressed by time-lagging variables in the regression models. RESULTS: At the 5% significance level, an exacerbation history in the year before baseline was associated with increased risk of future exacerbations (moderate: +125.8%; severe: +89.2%) and decline in lung function (forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1]) (-94.20 mL per year). Each 1% increase in FEV1 % predicted was associated with decreased risk of exacerbations (moderate: -1.1%; severe: -3.0%) and increased 6-minute walk test distance (6MWD) (+1.5 m). Increases in baseline exercise capacity (6MWD, per meter) were associated with slightly increased risk of moderate exacerbations (+0.04%) and increased FEV1 (+0.62 mL). Symptoms (dyspnea, cough, and/or sputum) were associated with an increased risk of moderate exacerbations (+13.4% to +31.1%), and baseline dyspnea (modified Medical Research Council score ≥2 v. <2) was associated with lower FEV1 (-112.3 mL). CONCLUSIONS: A series of linked statistical regression equations have been developed to express associations between indicators of COPD disease severity and HRQoL and survival. These can be used to represent disease progression, for example, in new economic models of COPD.

Development of the Galaxy Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Model Using Data from ECLIPSE: Internal Validation of a Linked-Equations Cohort Model.

BACKGROUND: The recent joint International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research / Society for Medical Decision Making Modeling Good Research Practices Task Force emphasized the importance of conceptualizing and validating models. We report a new model of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (part of the Galaxy project) founded on a conceptual model, implemented using a novel linked-equation approach, and internally validated. METHODS: An expert panel developed a conceptual model including causal relationships between disease attributes, progression, and final outcomes. Risk equations describing these relationships were estimated using data from the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) study, with costs estimated from the TOwards a Revolution in COPD Health (TORCH) study. Implementation as a linked-equation model enabled direct estimation of health service costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for COPD patients over their lifetimes. Internal validation compared 3 years of predicted cohort experience with ECLIPSE results. RESULTS: At 3 years, the Galaxy COPD model predictions of annual exacerbation rate and annual decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second fell within the ECLIPSE data confidence limits, although 3-year overall survival was outside the observed confidence limits. Projections of the risk equations over time permitted extrapolation to patient lifetimes. Averaging the predicted cost/QALY outcomes for the different patients within the ECLIPSE cohort gives an estimated lifetime cost of £25,214 (undiscounted)/£20,318 (discounted) and lifetime QALYs of 6.45 (undiscounted/5.24 [discounted]) per ECLIPSE patient. CONCLUSIONS: A new form of model for COPD was conceptualized, implemented, and internally validated, based on a series of linked equations using epidemiological data (ECLIPSE) and cost data (TORCH). This Galaxy model predicts COPD outcomes from treatment effects on disease attributes such as lung function, exacerbations, symptoms, or exercise capacity; further external validation is required.

Burden of illness for osteoporotic fractures compared with other serious diseases among postmenopausal women in the United States.

OBJECTIVES: To provide a national estimate of the incidence of hospitalizations due to osteoporotic fractures (OFs) in women; compare this with the incidence of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and breast cancer; and assess temporal trends in the incidence and length of hospitalizations. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study included all women 55 years and older at the time of admission, admitted to a hospital participating in the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample for an outcome of interest. We performed a retrospective analysis of hospitalizations for OFs (hip, forearm, spine, pelvis, distal femur, wrist, and humerus), MI, stroke, or breast cancer, using the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample, 2000-2011. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2011, there were 4.9 million hospitalizations for OF, 2.9 million for MI, 3.0 million for stroke, and 0.7 million for breast cancer. Osteoporotic fractures accounted for more than 40% of the hospitalizations in these 4 outcomes, with an age-adjusted rate of 1124 admissions per 100,000 person-years. In comparison, MI, stroke, and breast cancer had age-adjusted incidence rates of 668, 687, and 151 admissions per 100,000 person-years, respectively. The annual total population facility-related hospital cost was highest for hospitalizations due to OFs ($5.1 billion), followed by MI ($4.3 billion), stroke ($3.0 billion), and breast cancer ($0.5 billion). CONCLUSION: These data provide evidence that in US women 55 years and older, the hospitalization burden of OFs and population facility-related hospital cost is greater than that of MI, stroke, or breast cancer. Prioritization of bone health and supporting programs such as fracture liaison services is needed to reduce this substantial burden.

The COSEHC™ Global Vascular Risk Management quality improvement program: first follow-up report.

The Global Vascular Risk Management (GVRM) Study is a 5-year prospective observational study of 87,863 patients (61% females) with hypertension and associated cardiovascular risk factors began January 1, 2010. Data are gathered electronically and cardiovascular risk is evaluated using the Consortium for Southeastern Hypertension Control™ (COSEHC™)-11 risk score. Here, we report the results obtained at the completion of 33 months since study initiation. De-identified electronic medical records of enrolled patients were used to compare clinical indicators, antihypertensive medication usage, and COSEHC™ risk scores across sex and diabetic status subgroups. The results from each subgroup, assessed at baseline and at regular follow-up periods, are reported since the project initiation. Inference testing was performed to look for statistically significant differences between goal attainments rates between sexes. At-goal rates for systolic blood pressure (SBP) were improved during the 33 months of the study, with females achieving higher goal rates when compared to males. On the other hand, at-goal control rates for total and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol (chol) were better in males compared to females. Diabetic patients had lower at-goal rates for SBP and triglycerides but higher rates for LDL-chol. The LDL-chol at-goal rates were higher for males, while high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-chol rates were higher for females. Utilization of antihypertensive medications was similar during and after the baseline period for both men and women. Patients taking two or more antihypertensive medications had higher mean COSEHC™-11 scores compared to those on monotherapy. With treatment, hypertensive patients can reach SBP and cholesterol goals; however, population-wide improvement in treatment goal adherence continues to be a challenge for physicians. The COSEHC™ GVRM Study shows, however, that continuous monitoring and feedback to physicians of accurate longitudinal data is an effective tool in achieving better control rates of cardiovascular risk factors.

A retrospective comparison of mortality in critically ill hospitalized patients undergoing echocardiography with and without an ultrasound contrast agent.

OBJECTIVES: To compare acute mortality in critically ill hospitalized patients undergoing echocardiography with and without an ultrasound contrast agent (UCA). BACKGROUND: Because of serious cardiopulmonary reactions reported immediately after administration of perflutren-containing UCAs, the FDA required a black box safety warning for this class of agents, including perflutren protein-type A microspheres injectable suspension. METHODS: This study used the largest hospital service-level database in the U.S. All adult patients undergoing in-patient echocardiography between January 2003 and October 2005 were identified (n = 2,588,722, of which 22,499 received perflutren protein-type A microspheres injectable suspension). Of the 22,499 contrast echocardiography patients, 2,900 had diagnoses meeting criteria for critical illness (heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, respiratory failure, pulmonary embolism, emphysema, and pulmonary hypertension). To control for the differences between the contrast and noncontrast patients, we used propensity score matching. Variables used in the construction of the propensity score included comorbidities, demographic factors, hospital-specific factors, level of care, and mechanical ventilation status. Patients receiving contrast echocardiography were matched to 4 control patients who received noncontrast echocardiography. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate mortality effects. RESULTS: There were 167 deaths in the study among critically ill patients, 38 of 2,900 from the contrast group and 129 of 11,600 from the control group. The contrast agent was not associated with an increase in same-day mortality (odds ratio: 1.18; 95% confidence interval: 0.82 to 1.71; p = 0.37). Before matching, contrast patients showed greater morbidity than noncontrast patients (Deyo-Charlson comorbidity score 2.45 vs. 2.25, p < 0.0001). After propensity score matching, these differences were significantly reduced, showing that both groups were well balanced. CONCLUSIONS: There is no increase in mortality in critically ill patients undergoing echocardiography with the UCA compared with case-matched control patients.

COSEHC global vascular risk management quality improvement program: rationale and design.

BACKGROUND: The Consortium for Southeastern Hypertension Control (COSEHC) promotes global risk factor management in patients with metabolic syndrome. The COSEHC Global Vascular Risk Management Study (GVRM) intends to quantify these efforts on long-term patient outcomes. The objectives of this study were to present baseline demographics of patients enrolled in the GVRM, calculate a modified COSEHC risk score using 11 variables (COSEHC-11), and compare it with the original COSEHC-17 and Framingham, Prospective Cardiovascular Münster (PROCAM), and Systemic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) risk scores. METHODS: Deidentified electronic medical records of enrolled patients were used to calculate the risk scores. The ability of the COSEHC-11 score to predict the COSEHC-17 score was assessed by regression analysis. Raw risk scores were converted to probability estimates of fatal coronary heart disease (CHD) and compared with predicted risks from other algorithms. RESULTS: Of the 177,404 patients enrolled, 43,676 had data for all 11 variables. The COSEHC-11 score (mean ± standard deviation) of these 43,676 patients was 31.75 ± 11.66, implying a five-year fatal CHD risk of 1.4%. The COSEHC-11 score was highly predictive of the COSEHC-17 score (R(2) = 0.93; P < 0.0001) and correlated well with the SCORE algorithm. CONCLUSION: The COSEHC-11 risk score is statistically similar to the COSEHC-17 risk score and should be a viable tool for evaluating its ability to predict five-year cardiovascular mortality in the coming years.

Hyponatremia and hospital outcomes among patients with pneumonia: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Community-acquired (CAP) and nosocomial pneumonias contribute substantially to morbidity and hospital resource utilization. Hyponatremia, occurring in >1/4 of patients with CAP, is associated with greater disease severity and worsened outcomes. METHODS: To explore how hyponatremia is associated with outcomes in hospitalized patients with pneumonia, we analyzed a large administrative database with laboratory component from January 2004 to December 2005. Hyponatremia was defined as at least two [Na+] < 135 mEq/L within 24 hours of admission value. RESULTS: Of 7,965 patients with pneumonia, 649 (8.1%) with hyponatremia were older (72.4 +/- 15.7 vs. 68.0 +/- 22.0, p < 0.01), had a higher mean Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index Score (1.7 +/- 1.7 vs. 1.6 +/- 1.6, p = 0.02), and higher rates of ICU (10.0% vs. 6.3%, p < 0.001) and MV (3.9% vs. 2.3%, p = 0.01) in the first 48 hours of hospitalization than patients with normal sodium. Hyponatremia was associated with an increased ICU (6.3 +/- 5.6 vs. 5.3 +/- 5.1 days, p = 0.07) and hospital lengths of stay (LOS, 7.6 +/- 5.3 vs. 7.0 +/- 5.2 days, p < 0.001) and a trend toward increased hospital mortality (5.4% vs. 4.0%, p = 0.1). After adjusting for confounders, hyponatremia was associated with an increased risk of ICU (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.20-2.08), MV (OR 1.75 95% CI 1.13-2.69), and hospital death (OR 1.3, 95% CI 0.90-1.87) and with increases of 0.8 day to ICU and 0.3 day to hospital LOS, and over $1,300 to total hospital costs. CONCLUSION: Hyponatremia is common among hospitalized patients with pneumonia and is associated with worsened clinical and economic outcomes. Studies in this large population are needed to explore whether prompt correction of [Na+] may impact these outcomes.

Epidemiology, clinical and economic outcomes of admission hyponatremia among hospitalized patients.

BACKGROUND: Hyponatremia, the most frequent electrolyte derangement identified among hospitalized patients, is associated with worsened outcomes in patients with pneumonia, heart failure and other disorders. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of hospitalized patients to quantify the attributable influence of admission hyponatremia on hospital costs and outcomes. Data were derived from a large administrative database with laboratory components, representing 198,281 discharges from 39 US hospitals from January 2004 to December 2005. Hyponatremia was defined as admission serum [Na(+)]<135 mEq/L. RESULTS: The incidence of hyponatremia at admission was 5.5% (n=10,899). Patients with hyponatremia were older (65.7+/-19.6 vs. 61.5+/-21.8, p<0.001) and had a higher Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index score (1.8+/-2.1 vs. 1.3+/-1.8, p<0.001) than those with normal [Na(+)]. A higher proportion of hyponatremic patients required intensive care unit (ICU) (17.3% vs. 10.9%, p<0.001) and mechanical ventilation (MV) (5.0% vs. 2.8%, p<0.001) within 48 hours of hospitalization. Hospital mortality (5.9% vs. 3.0%, p<0.001), mean length of stay (HLOS, 8.6+/-8.0 vs. 7.2+/-8.2 days, p<0.001) and costs ($16,502+/-$28,984 vs. $13,558+/-$24,640, p<0.001) were significantly greater among patients with hyponatremia than those without. After adjusting for confounders, hyponatremia was independently associated with an increased need for ICU (OR 1.64, 95% CI 1.56-1.73) and MV (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.53-1.84), and higher hospital mortality (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.42-1.69). Hyponatremia also contributed an increase in HLOS of 1.0 day and total hospital costs of $2,289. CONCLUSIONS: Hyponatremia is common at admission among hospitalized patients and is independently associated with a 55% increase in the risk of death, substantial hospital resource utilization and costs. Potential for bias inherent in the retrospective cohort design is the main limitation of our study. Studies are warranted to explore how prompt normalization of [Na(+)] may impact these outcomes.