Prediction of 24-Hour Urinary Sodium Excretion Using Machine-Learning Algorithms.

BACKGROUND: Accurate quantification of sodium intake based on self-reported dietary assessments has been a persistent challenge. We aimed to apply machine-learning (ML) algorithms to predict 24-hour urinary sodium excretion from self-reported questionnaire information. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed 3454 participants from the NHS (Nurses' Health Study), NHS-II (Nurses' Health Study II), and HPFS (Health Professionals Follow-Up Study), with repeated measures of 24-hour urinary sodium excretion over 1 year. We used an ensemble approach to predict averaged 24-hour urinary sodium excretion using 36 characteristics. The TOHP-I (Trial of Hypertension Prevention I) was used for the external validation. The final ML algorithms were applied to 167 920 nonhypertensive adults with 30-year follow-up to estimate confounder-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of incident hypertension for predicted sodium. Averaged 24-hour urinary sodium excretion was better predicted and calibrated with ML compared with the food frequency questionnaire (Spearman correlation coefficient, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.49-0.54] with ML; 0.19 [95% CI, 0.16-0.23] with the food frequency questionnaire; 0.46 [95% CI, 0.42-0.50] in the TOHP-I). However, the prediction heavily depended on body size, and the prediction of energy-adjusted 24-hour sodium excretion was modestly better using ML. ML-predicted sodium was modestly more strongly associated than food frequency questionnaire-based sodium in the NHS-II (HR comparing Q5 versus Q1, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.40-1.56] with ML; 1.04 [95% CI, 0.99-1.08] with the food frequency questionnaire), but no material differences were observed in the NHS or HPFS. CONCLUSIONS: The present ML algorithm improved prediction of participants' absolute 24-hour urinary sodium excretion. The present algorithms may be a generalizable approach for predicting absolute sodium intake but do not substantially reduce the bias stemming from measurement error in disease associations.

Joint effects of one year of marine omega-3 fatty acid supplementation and participant dietary fish intake upon circulating lipid mediators of inflammation resolution in a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: We assessed the joint effects of omega (n)-3 fatty acid supplementation and dietary fish intake on systemic lipid mediators of inflammation among adults. METHODS: Within VITAL, a double-blind randomized controlled trial, adults were randomized to ω-3 fatty acids (460 mg EPA + 380 mg DHA/d) or placebo. We selected participants who reported low (<1 serving/mo) baseline dietary fish intake and matched them by age, sex, race, and trial arm to participants with self-reported highest fish intake (≥3.9 servings/wk). Baseline and 1-y plasma samples were tested for 9 ω-3 fatty acid-derived lipid mediators. Multivariable linear models assessed lipid mediator changes and joint effects of ω-3 fatty acid supplementation and dietary fish intake. RESULTS: Forty-eight participants with low baseline fish intake were matched to 48 with high fish intake. Mean age was 64.6 (±7.26), 50% were female, and 85% non-Hispanic white. One-year lipid mediator changes in expected directions were observed in those receiving ω-3 fatty acids versus placebo: reductions in proinflammatory mediators, PGD2, 5-HETE, and 12-HETE; increases in proresolving mediators, EPA and DHA. Larger 1-y lipid biomarker changes were seen in those with low baseline fish intake randomized to active ω-3 fatty acids for DHA, EPA, PGD2, Resolvin D1, and Resolvin D4 were observed, although no significant multiplicative interactions were detected. DISCUSSION: Beneficial changes in circulating proresolving and proinflammatory mediators were found with 1-y of ω-3 fatty acid supplementation versus placebo for all participants, with a trend toward larger effects among those with low baseline fish intake, although interactions were not significant.

Effects of Supplemental Vitamin D3, Omega-3 Fatty Acids on Physical Performance Measures in VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL.

CONTEXT: Declining muscle strength and performance in older adults are associated with falls, fractures, and premature death. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether supplementation with vitamin D3 or omega-3 fatty acids vs. placebo for 2 years improves physical performance measures. DESIGN: VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL) was a double-blinded, placebo-controlled randomized trial of supplemental vitamin D3 and/or omega-3 fatty acids vs. placebo in the prevention of cancer and cardiovascular disease in 25,871 U.S. adults. This ancillary study was completed in a New England sub-cohort that had in-person evaluations at baseline and 2-year follow-up. SETTING: Center for Clinical Investigations in Boston. PARTICIPANTS: 1,054 participants (men ≥50 and women ≥55 years). INTERVENTIONS: 2x2 factorial design of supplemental vitamin D3 (cholecalciferol, 2000 IU/day) and/or marine omega-3 fatty acids (1 g/day). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 2-year changes in physical performance measures of grip strength, walking speed, standing balance, repeated chair stands, and Timed-up and Go (TUG). RESULTS: At 2 years, all randomized groups showed worsening walking speeds and TUG. There were no differences in changes in grip strength, walking speeds, Short Physical Performance Battery (composite of walking speed, balance, and chair stands), and TUG between the vitamin D3-treated and the placebo-treated groups and between the omega-3-treated and the placebo-treated groups. Effects overall did not vary by sex, age, body mass index, or baseline measures of total or free 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) or plasma n-3 index; TUG slightly worsened with vitamin D supplementation, compared to placebo, in participants with baseline total 25(OH)D levels above the median (p=0.01, p for interaction=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Neither supplemental vitamin D3 nor marine omega-3 fatty acids for 2 years improved physical performance in this generally healthy adult population.

Effect of multivitamin-mineral supplementation versus placebo on cognitive function: results from the clinic subcohort of the COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS) randomized clinical trial and meta-analysis of 3 cognitive studies within COSMOS.

BACKGROUND: Longer effects of multivitamin-mineral (MVM) supplementation on late-life cognitive function remain untested using in-person, detailed neuropsychological assessments. Furthermore, insufficient evidence exists for healthcare providers to recommend daily MVM supplements to prevent cognitive decline. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to test MVM effects on cognitive change using in-person, detailed neuropsychological assessments and conduct a meta-analysis within COSMOS (COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study) cognitive substudies for a robust evaluation of MVM effects on cognition. METHODS: COSMOS is a 2 × 2 factorial trial of cocoa extract (500 mg flavanols/d) and/or a daily MVM supplement for cardiovascular disease and cancer prevention among 21,442 United States adults aged ≥60 y. There were 573 participants in the clinic subcohort of COSMOS (that is, COSMOS-Clinic) who completed all cognitive tests administered at baseline. For the meta-analysis, we included nonoverlapping participants across 3 COSMOS cognitive substudies: COSMOS-Clinic (n = 573); COSMOS-Mind (n = 2158); COSMOS-Web (n = 2472). RESULTS: In COSMOS-Clinic, we observed a modest benefit of MVM compared with placebo on global cognition over 2 y {mean difference [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 0.06 SD units (SU) (-0.003, 0.13)}, with a significantly more favorable change in episodic memory [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.12 SU (0.002, 0.23)] but not in executive function or attention [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.04 SU (-0.04, 0.11)]. The meta-analysis of COSMOS substudies showed clear evidence of MVM benefits on global cognition [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.07 SU (0.03, 0.11); P = 0.0009] and episodic memory [mean difference (95% CI) = 0.06 SU (0.03, 0.10); P = 0.0007]; the magnitude of effect on global cognition was equivalent to reducing cognitive aging by 2 y. CONCLUSIONS: In COSMOS-Clinic, daily MVM supplementation leads to a significantly more favorable 2-y change in episodic memory. The meta-analysis within COSMOS cognitive substudies indicates that daily MVM significantly benefits both global cognition and episodic memory. These findings within the COSMOS trial support the benefits of a daily MVM in preventing cognitive decline among older adults. This trial was registered at COSMOS-clinicaltrials.gov as NCT02422745, at COSMOS-Mind-clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03035201, and at COSMOS-Web-clinicaltrials.gov as NCT04582617.

Vitamin D and Marine n-3 Fatty Acids for Autoimmune Disease Prevention: Outcomes Two Years After Completion of a Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: In the 5.3-year randomized, 2 × 2 factorial, double-blind, placebo-controlled Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial (VITAL), vitamin D supplementation reduced autoimmune disease (AD) incidence (hazard ratio [HR] 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61-0.99). Omega-3 (n-3) fatty acid supplementation showed a statistically nonsignificant reduction (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.67-1.08). We aimed to confirm further AD cases arising during and after randomization and assess sustained effects with two years of postintervention observation. METHODS: Of the 12,786 men aged ≥50 and 13,085 women aged ≥55 initially randomized, we observed surviving and willing participants for two more years. We continued to confirm annual participant-reported new AD by medical record review. Cox models calculated HRs for all confirmed incident AD, (and secondary endpoints, including probable cases, and individual ADs), during the observational and randomized periods. RESULTS: A total of 21,592 participants (83.5%) were observed for two more years; 514 participants developed incident confirmed AD (236 since prior report), of whom 255 had been randomized to vitamin D versus 259 to vitamin D placebo (HR 0.98 [95% CI 0.83-1.17] at 7 years). AD was confirmed in 234 participants initially randomized to n-3 fatty acids versus 280 randomized to its placebo (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.70-0.99] at 7 years). Of newly confirmed cases, 65 had onset during randomization; their inclusion changed randomized results as follows: HR 0.85 (95% CI 0.70-1.04) for vitamin D and HR 0.87 (95% CI 0.71-1.06) for n-3 fatty acids. CONCLUSION: Two years after trial termination, the protective effects of 2000 IU/day of vitamin D dissipated, but 1,000 mg/day of n-3 fatty acids had a sustained effect in reducing AD incidence.

Effect of cocoa extract supplementation on cognitive function: results from the clinic subcohort of the COSMOS trial.

BACKGROUND: Some prior randomized clinical trials (RCTs) that tested the effects of cocoa extract (CE), a source of flavanols, on late-life cognition have yielded promising findings. A long-term RCT using in-person neuropsychological tests covering multiple cognitive domains may clarify the cognitive effects of CE. OBJECTIVES: To test whether daily supplementation with CE, compared with placebo, produces better cognitive change over 2 y. METHODS: The COcoa Supplement and Multivitamin Outcomes Study (COSMOS) is a 2 × 2 factorial RCT of CE [500 mg flavanols/d, including 80 mg (-)-epicatechin] and/or a daily multivitamin-mineral supplement for cardiovascular disease and cancer prevention among 21,442 United States adults aged ≥60 y. There were 573 participants in the clinic subcohort of COSMOS (that is, COSMOS-Clinic) who completed all cognitive tests at baseline; of these, 492 completed 2-y follow-up assessments. The primary outcome was global cognition (averaging z-scores across 11 tests). Secondary outcomes were episodic memory and executive function/attention. Repeated measures models were used to compare randomized groups. RESULTS: Participants' mean age (standard deviation) was 69.6 (5.3); 49.2% were females. Daily supplementation with CE, compared with placebo, had no significant effect on 2-y change in global cognition {mean difference [95% confidence interval (CI)]: -0.01 (-0.08, 0.05) standard deviation units (SU)}. CE, compared with placebo, had no significant effects on 2-y change in episodic memory [mean difference (95% CI): -0.01 (-0.13, 0.10) SU] or executive function/attention [mean difference (95% CI): 0.003 (-0.07, 0.08) SU]. Subgroup analyses uncorrected for multiple-testing suggested cognitive benefits of CE supplementation, compared with placebo among those with poorer baseline diet quality. CONCLUSIONS: Among 573 older adults who underwent repeat in-person, detailed neuropsychological assessments over 2 y, daily CE supplementation, compared with placebo, showed no overall benefits for global or domain-specific cognitive function. Possible cognitive benefits of CE among those with poorer diet quality warrant further study. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov with identifier - NCT02422745.

Electrocardiographic deep learning for predicting post-procedural mortality: a model development and validation study.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative risk assessments used in clinical practice are insufficient in their ability to identify risk for postoperative mortality. Deep-learning analysis of electrocardiography can identify hidden risk markers that can help to prognosticate postoperative mortality. We aimed to develop a prognostic model that accurately predicts postoperative mortality in patients undergoing medical procedures and who had received preoperative electrocardiographic diagnostic testing. METHODS: In a derivation cohort of preoperative patients with available electrocardiograms (ECGs) from Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (Los Angeles, CA, USA) between Jan 1, 2015 and Dec 31, 2019, a deep-learning algorithm was developed to leverage waveform signals to discriminate postoperative mortality. We randomly split patients (8:1:1) into subsets for training, internal validation, and final algorithm test analyses. Model performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values in the hold-out test dataset and in two external hospital cohorts and compared with the established Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) score. The primary outcome was post-procedural mortality across three health-care systems. FINDINGS: 45 969 patients had a complete ECG waveform image available for at least one 12-lead ECG performed within the 30 days before the procedure date (59 975 inpatient procedures and 112 794 ECGs): 36 839 patients in the training dataset, 4549 in the internal validation dataset, and 4581 in the internal test dataset. In the held-out internal test cohort, the algorithm discriminates mortality with an AUC value of 0·83 (95% CI 0·79-0·87), surpassing the discrimination of the RCRI score with an AUC of 0·67 (0·61-0·72). The algorithm similarly discriminated risk for mortality in two independent US health-care systems, with AUCs of 0·79 (0·75-0·83) and 0·75 (0·74-0·76), respectively. Patients determined to be high risk by the deep-learning model had an unadjusted odds ratio (OR) of 8·83 (5·57-13·20) for postoperative mortality compared with an unadjusted OR of 2·08 (0·77-3·50) for postoperative mortality for RCRI scores of more than 2. The deep-learning algorithm performed similarly for patients undergoing cardiac surgery (AUC 0·85 [0·77-0·92]), non-cardiac surgery (AUC 0·83 [0·79-0·88]), and catheterisation or endoscopy suite procedures (AUC 0·76 [0·72-0·81]). INTERPRETATION: A deep-learning algorithm interpreting preoperative ECGs can improve discrimination of postoperative mortality. The deep-learning algorithm worked equally well for risk stratification of cardiac surgeries, non-cardiac surgeries, and catheterisation laboratory procedures, and was validated in three independent health-care systems. This algorithm can provide additional information to clinicians making the decision to perform medical procedures and stratify the risk of future complications. FUNDING: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.

Apolipoprotein E and Its Association With Cognitive Change and Modification of Treatment Effects of Vitamin D3 and Omega-3s on Cognitive Change: Results From the In-Clinic Subset of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Apolipoprotein E (APOE)-ε4 allele is associated with cognitive decline; however, its potential to modify effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s supplementation on later-life cognition is unclear. Our objectives were to estimate among the in-clinic subset of a randomized trial: (1) associations between APOE-ε4 and global and domain-specific cognitive change, with exploration of potential sex and race differences; and (2) modification by APOE-ε4 of effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s supplementation on cognitive change. METHODS: From an ancillary study of depression prevention within a completed 2 × 2 factorial trial testing vitamin D3 (2 000 IU per day), omega-3s (1 g per day), and/or placebos, we included 743 older adults with baseline in-person neuropsychiatric assessments and APOE genotyping data. The primary outcome was change in global cognition (averaging z-scores of 9 tests) over 2 years. Secondarily, episodic memory and executive function/attention z-scores were examined. General linear models of response profiles with multiplicative interaction terms were constructed; stratified results were reported. RESULTS: Mean age (standard deviation) was 67.1 (5.3) years; 50.6% were females; 24.9% were APOE-ε4 carriers. Compared to noncarriers, APOE-ε4 carriers had worse 2-year change in global cognition and episodic memory; differences were more apparent among females than males. There was no variation by race in APOE-ε4 associations with cognition. APOE-ε4 did not significantly modify effects of vitamin D3 or omega-3s, compared to placebo, on change in global cognition, episodic memory, or executive function/attention. CONCLUSIONS: APOE-ε4 was associated with worse cognition but did not modify overall effects of vitamin D3 or omega-3 supplementation on cognition over 2 years.

The effect of vitamin D and omega-3 fatty acid supplementation on pain prevalence and severity in older adults: a large-scale ancillary study of the VITamin D and OmegA-3 triaL (VITAL).

ABSTRACT: A diet supplemented with vitamin D and marine omega-3 fatty acids may prevent and treat painful disorders by promoting the resolution of inflammation. However, large, randomized placebo-controlled trials evaluating the effects of supplementation with omega-3 fatty acids and vitamin D on the presence and severity of pain are lacking. VITamin D and OmegA-3 triaL-Pain (VITAL-Pain) is an ancillary study to the VITAL trial, a large randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of vitamin D (2000 IU/day) and omega-3 supplementation (1 g/day) over 5.3 years of median follow-up, among 25,871 older men and women. We assessed pain among those reaching the end of the VITAL intervention phase using questions from the 2012 National Health Interview Survey. We used ordinal logistic regression to test the effect of vitamin D and omega-3 fatty acids on the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval [CI] of reporting higher pain prevalence or severity. Overall, 19,611 participants provided complete pain information at the end of the VITAL trial. The ORs for higher pain prevalence or severity for vitamin D and omega-3 supplementation vs placebo were 0.99 ([CI] 0.94-1.05) and 0.99 ([CI] 0.94-1.04), respectively. There was no interaction between the 2 active treatments. Dietary supplementation with commonly used moderate doses of vitamin D or omega-3 fatty acids over a median of 5.3 years did not result in a lower prevalence or severity of pain in middle-aged and older U.S. adults.

Omega-3 Blood Levels and Stroke Risk: A Pooled and Harmonized Analysis of 183 291 Participants From 29 Prospective Studies.

BACKGROUND: The effect of marine omega-3 PUFAs on risk of stroke remains unclear. METHODS: We investigated the associations between circulating and tissue omega-3 PUFA levels and incident stroke (total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic) in 29 international prospective cohorts. Each site conducted a de novo individual-level analysis using a prespecified analytical protocol with defined exposures, covariates, analytical methods, and outcomes; the harmonized data from the studies were then centrally pooled. Multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs across omega-3 PUFA quintiles were computed for each stroke outcome. RESULTS: Among 183 291 study participants, there were 10 561 total strokes, 8220 ischemic strokes, and 1142 hemorrhagic strokes recorded over a median of 14.3 years follow-up. For eicosapentaenoic acid, comparing quintile 5 (Q5, highest) with quintile 1 (Q1, lowest), total stroke incidence was 17% lower (HR, 0.83 [CI, 0.76-0.91]; P<0.0001), and ischemic stroke was 18% lower (HR, 0.82 [CI, 0.74-0.91]; P<0.0001). For docosahexaenoic acid, comparing Q5 with Q1, there was a 12% lower incidence of total stroke (HR, 0.88 [CI, 0.81-0.96]; P=0.0001) and a 14% lower incidence of ischemic stroke (HR, 0.86 [CI, 0.78-0.95]; P=0.0001). Neither eicosapentaenoic acid nor docosahexaenoic acid was associated with a risk for hemorrhagic stroke. These associations were not modified by either baseline history of AF or prevalent CVD. CONCLUSIONS: Higher omega-3 PUFA levels are associated with lower risks of total and ischemic stroke but have no association with hemorrhagic stroke.

Risk Factors for the Development of New-Onset Persistent Atrial Fibrillation: Subanalysis of the VITAL Study.

BACKGROUND: Sustained forms of atrial fibrillation (AF) are associated with lower treatment success rates and poorer prognosis compared with paroxysmal AF. Yet, little is known about risk factors that predispose to persistent AF on initial presentation. Our objective was to define risk factors associated with new-onset persistent AF. METHODS: We prospectively examined the differential associations between lifestyle, clinical, and socioeconomic risk factors and AF pattern (persistent versus paroxysmal) at the time of diagnosis among 25 119 participants without a history of cardiovascular disease, AF, or cancer in the VITAL rhythm study (Vitamin D and Omega-3). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.3 years, 900 participants developed AF and 346 (38.4%) were classified as persistent at the time of diagnosis. In multivariable competing risk models, increasing age, male sex, White race, height, weight, body mass index ≥30 kg/m2, hypertension, current or past smoking, alcohol intake ≥2 drinks/day, postcollege education, and randomized treatment with vitamin D were significantly associated with incident persistent AF. Compared with paroxysmal AF, increasing age, male sex, weight, body mass index ≥30 kg/m2, and postcollege education were more strongly associated with persistent AF in multivariable models regardless of whether interim cardiovascular disease and heart failure events were censored. CONCLUSIONS: In a prospective cohort without baseline AF or cardiovascular disease, over one-third of AF at the time of diagnosis is persistent. Older age, male sex, postcollege education, and obesity were preferentially associated with persistent AF and represent a high-risk AF subset for population-based intervention.

Marine n-3 Fatty Acids and Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease: A Novel Analysis of the VITAL Trial Using Win Ratio and Hierarchical Composite Outcomes.

This study aimed to investigate whether n-3 fatty acid supplementation reduced cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in a novel analysis using hierarchical composite CVD outcomes based on win ratio in the VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL). This was a secondary analysis of our VITAL randomized trial, which assessed the effects of marine n-3 fatty acids (1 g/day) and vitamin D3 on incident CVD and cancer among healthy older adults (n = 25,871). The primary analysis estimated win ratios of a composite of major CVD outcomes prioritized as fatal coronary heart disease, other fatal CVD including stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and non-fatal stroke, comparing n-3 fatty acids to placebo. The primary result was a nonsignificant benefit of this supplementation for the prioritized primary CVD outcome (reciprocal win ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.90 [0.78-1.04]), similar to the 0.92 (0.80-1.06) hazard ratio in our original time-to-first event analysis without outcome prioritization. Its benefits came from reducing MI (0.71 [0.57-0.88]) but not stroke (1.01 [0.80 to 1.28]) components. For the primary CVD outcome, participants with low fish consumption at baseline benefited (0.79 [0.65-0.96]) more than those with high consumption (1.05 [0.85-1.30]). These results are consistent with, but slightly stronger than, those without outcome prioritization.

A randomized clinical trial of omega-3 fatty acid and vitamin D supplementation on electrocardiographic risk profiles.

Beneficial and adverse associations with arrhythmias have been reported for omega-3 fatty acids (omega-3 FA) and Vitamin D. The 12 lead electrocardiogram (ECG) contains quantitative measures reflecting diverse aspects of electrophysiology that might provide insights into mechanisms underlying these associations. In a pre-specified ancillary study of the VITaminD and omegA-3 (VITAL) trial, we examined the effect of 1 g of marine omega-3 FA per day, comprised of 460 mg eicosapentanoic acid and 380 mg of docosahexaenoic acid, and 2000 IU VitaminD3 per day on ECG characteristics associated with atrial and ventricular arrhythmias among individuals age 50 years or greater. A total of 911 study participants underwent ECGs at baseline and again at 2 years after the randomization. Individuals randomized to active omega-3 FA demonstrated significant net increase in PR-interval duration (p = 0.005) and P-wave duration (p = 0.03) as well significant net decrease in P-wave amplitude (p = 0.037) as compared to placebo. RMSSD increased to a greater extent in the omega-3 FA arm compared to placebo (p = 0.040). For Vitamin D3, the Cornell voltage increased to a lesser extent in the participants assigned to active treatment as compared to placebo (p = 0.044). There were no other significant differences in QRS, QTc, Cornell voltage or heart rate. Thus, randomized treatment with omega-3 FA supplements resulted in changes on the ECG that are potentially reflective of heightened vagal tone and/or slowing of intraatrial and AV conduction. Vitamin D3 supplementation resulted in modest reductions in progressive LV voltage suggestive of a potential antihypertrophic effect.Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT01169259, NCT02178410 (06/26/2010 and 06/30/2014).

Contribution of Migraine to Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction.

BACKGROUND: Migraine with aura (MA) is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) independently from traditional vascular risk factors. However, the importance of MA on CVD occurrence relative to existing cardiovascular prediction tools remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we sought to determine if adding MA status to 2 CVD risk prediction models improves risk prediction. METHODS: Participants enrolled in the Women's Health Study self-reported MA status and were followed for incident CVD events. We included MA status as a covariable in the Reynolds Risk Score and the American Heart Association (AHA)/American College of Cardiology (ACC) pooled cohort equation and assessed discrimination (Harrell c-index), continuous and categorical net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: MA status was significantly associated with CVD after including covariables in the Reynolds Risk Score (HR: 2.09; 95% CI: 1.54-2.84) and the AHA/ACC score (HR: 2.10; 95% CI: 1.55-2.85). Adding information on MA status improved discrimination of the Reynolds Risk Score model (from 0.792 to 0.797; P = 0.02) and the AHA/ACC score model (from 0.793 to 0.798; P = 0.01). We observed a small but statistically significant improvement in the IDI and continuous NRI after adding MA status to both models. We did not, however, observe significant improvements in the categorical NRI. CONCLUSIONS: Adding information on MA status to commonly used CVD risk prediction algorithms enhanced model fit but did not substantially improve risk stratification among women. Despite the strong association of migraine with CVD risk, the relatively low prevalence of MA compared with other CV risk factors limits its usefulness in improving risk classification at the population level.

Relation of serum BDNF to major depression and exploration of mechanistic roles of serum BDNF in a study of vitamin D3 and omega-3 supplements for late-life depression prevention.

This study: 1) examined cross-sectional and longitudinal relations of serum brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) to late-life depression (LLD); 2) tested effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s on change in BDNF; 3) explored modifying or mediating roles of BDNF on effects of vitamin D3 and omega-3s for LLD. We selected 400 adults from a completed trial of vitamin D3 and omega-3 supplements for LLD prevention. BDNF was measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. We administered semi-structured diagnostic interviews and Patient Health Questionnaire [PHQ]-9 to ascertain outcomes at baseline (depression caseness vs. non-caseness; PHQ-9) and at 2-year follow-up among baseline non-depressed individuals (incident vs. no incident MDD; change in PHQ-9). At baseline, while there were no significant differences in mean serum BDNF comparing depression cases and non-cases, being in the lowest vs. highest serum BDNF quartile was significantly associated with worse depressive symptoms. There were no significant longitudinal associations between serum BDNF and LLD. Neither supplement significantly affected change in BDNF; serum BDNF did not appear to modify or mediate treatment effects on LLD. In conclusion, we observed significant cross-sectional but not longitudinal associations between serum BDNF levels and LLD. Vitamin D3 or omega-3s did not alter serum BDNF over 2 years.

Effects of Vitamin D3 and Marine Omega-3 Fatty Acids Supplementation on Indicated and Selective Prevention of Depression in Older Adults: Results From the Clinical Center Sub-Cohort of the VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL).

Objective: To test vitamin D3 and omega-3 fatty acids (omega-3s) for late-life depression prevention under the National Academy of Medicine framework for indicated (targeting subthreshold depression) and selective (targeting presence of high-risk factors) prevention.Methods: The VITamin D and OmegA-3 TriaL (VITAL) is a 2 × 2 factorial trial of vitamin D3 (2,000 IU/d) and/or omega-3s (1 g/d) for cardiovascular and cancer prevention (enrollment: November 2011-March 2014; end date: December 31, 2017). In this targeted prevention study, we included 720 VITAL clinical sub-cohort participants who completed neurobehavioral assessments at baseline and 2 years (91.9% retention). High-risk factors were subthreshold or clinical anxiety, impaired activities of daily living, physical/functional limitation, medical comorbidity, cognitive impairment, caregiving burden, problem drinking, and low psychosocial support. Coprimary outcomes were incident major depressive disorder (MDD), adjudicated using DSM-IV (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition), and change in mood (Patient Health Questionnaire-9 [PHQ-9]). We used exact tests to determine treatment effects on MDD incidence and repeated-measures models to determine treatment effects on PHQ-9.Results: A total of 11.1% had subthreshold depression, 60.8% had ≥ 1 high-risk factor, MDD incidence was 4.7% (5.1% among completers), and mean PHQ-9 score change was 0.02 points. Among those with subthreshold depression, the MDD risk ratio (95% confidence interval) was 0.36 (0.06 to 1.28) for vitamin D3 and 0.85 (0.25 to 2.92) for omega-3s, compared to placebo; results were also null among those with ≥ 1 high-risk factor (vitamin D3 vs placebo: 0.63 [0.25 to 1.53]; omega-3s vs placebo: 1.08 [0.46 to 2.71]). There were no significant differences in PHQ-9 score change comparing either supplement with placebo.Conclusions: Neither vitamin D3 nor omega-3s showed benefits for indicated and selective prevention of late-life depression; statistical power was limited.Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01696435.

Efficacy of vitamin D3 supplementation on cancer mortality: Systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

To evaluate the effect of vitamin D3 supplementation on cancer mortality in the general population and on prognosis in cancer patients, a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised, placebo-controlled trials (RCTs) and individual patient data (IPD) was conducted. Overall, 14 RCTs with a total of 104,727 participants (2015 cancer deaths) were identified and 7 RCTs, including 90 % of all study participants (n = 94,068), could be included in the IPD meta-analyses. The main meta-analysis of the 14 RCTs yielded a statistically non-significant reduction in cancer mortality by 6 % (risk ratio (RR) [95%-confidence interval (95%CI)]: 0.94 [0.86-1.02]). Subgroup analyses revealed a 12 % lower cancer mortality in the vitamin D3 group compared with the placebo group in 10 trials with a daily dosing regimen (RR [95%CI]: 0.88 [0.78-0.98]), whereas no mortality reduction was seen in 4 trials using a bolus regimen (RR [95%CI]: 1.07 [0.91-1.24]; p-value for interaction: 0.042). The IPD meta-analysis (RR [95%CI]: 0.93 [0.84; 1.02]) confirmed the finding of all trials. The IPD were used to test effect modification by age, sex, body mass index, ethnicity, baseline serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, adherence and cancer-related factors but no statistically significant findings were obtained in meta-analyses of all trials. When restricted to trials with daily dosing in a post-hoc analysis, adults aged ≥ 70 years (RR [95%CI]: 0.83 [0.77; 0.98]) and subjects with vitamin D3 therapy initiation before cancer diagnosis (RR [95%CI]: 0.87 [0.69; 0.99]) appeared to benefit most from daily vitamin D3 supplementation. Measurements of baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and inclusion of other than non-Hispanic White adults were too sparse in the trials to draw conclusions. Results for all-cause and cancer-specific survival of participants with cancer were comparable to those obtained in the general population for cancer mortality. In conclusion, vitamin D3 did not reduce cancer mortality in the main meta-analysis of all RCTs because the observed risk reduction by 6 % was not statistically significant. However, a subgroup analysis revealed that vitamin D3 administered daily, in contrast to bolus supplementation, reduced cancer mortality by 12 %.

Over-the-counter fish oil supplementation and pro-resolving and pro-inflammatory lipid mediators in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the effects of over-the-counter fish oil (FO) supplements on circulating omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (n-3 PUFA)-derived specialized pro-resolving mediators (SPMs), nor about whether having a chronic inflammatory disease such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA) influences SPM levels. We investigated associations between over-the-counter n-3 PUFA FO supplementation and circulating SPMs among patients with vs. without RA. METHODS: We studied 104 participants: 26 with RA taking FO matched by age and sex to 26 with RA not taking FO, 26 without RA taking FO, and 26 without RA not taking FO. Targeted-liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectroscopy was performed on patient plasma to identify and quantify 27 lipid mediators (including eicosanoids and SPMs). We performed t-tests and then multivariable linear regression analyses to assess whether having RA or taking FO supplements was associated with circulating lipid mediator concentrations, adjusting for age, race, sex, smoking, body mass index, and current medication use (statins, prednisone and immunomodulators among RA cases only). We tested for interactions between FO supplementation and RA status. We also conducted Spearman's correlations between EPA, DHA, and ARA and their downstream metabolites. RESULTS: Among patients who were taking FO compared to those who were not, in multivariable- adjusted analyses, SPM substrates EPA and DHA were both elevated as were several of their pro-resolving bioactive products, including 15- and 18-HEPE from EPA, and 14- and 17-HDHA from DHA, which are substrates for specific SPMs. While E-series and D-series resolvins were present and identified, we did not find statistical elevations of other SPMs. Results were similar among patients with RA and patients without RA, taking vs. not taking FO supplementation (no formal statistical interaction observed). There was a strong positive correlation between EPA and DHA and their immediate downstream SPM precursors (18-HEPE and15-HEPE from EPA; 17-HDHA and 14-HDHA from DHA) among all patients. CONCLUSION: Patients taking FO supplements, regardless of RA status, not only had higher blood levels of EPA and DHA, but also of their enzymatic products 18-HEPE (E-series resolvin precursors), 15-HEPE and 17-HDHA (D-series resolvin and protectin precursors). Patients with RA, an inflammatory autoimmune disease, may be able to augment some SPM precursor reserves, similarly to matched controls without RA, by taking oral FO supplements.