Survival Predictors in Liver Transplantation: Time-Varying Effect of Red Blood Cell Transfusion.

BACKGROUND: Many attempts have been undertaken to better predict outcome after liver transplantation. The aim of this study was to identify the pre- and intraoperative variables that may influence the survival after liver transplantation, at a single institution. METHODS: Anesthetic records from 543 consecutive patients who underwent liver transplantation from June 2006 to June 2014 were reviewed in this retrospective study. Patients undergoing retransplantation were excluded from the analysis, as were patients with familial amyloid polyneuropathy. Preoperative variables studied were age, sex, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score, primary diagnosis, cold ischemia time, preoperative international normalized ratio, serum albumin, and and hemoglobin levels. Intraoperative variables included were norepinephrine consumption, blood loss, red blood cell transfusion, and surgical time. Variables significant in the univariate analysis with a P value of <.2 were included in a multivariate Cox regression model. RESULTS: Only red blood cell transfusion (hazard ratio [HR], 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.29) and female sex (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.10-2.65) were identified as significant independent predictors for survival after liver transplantation. Because of proportionality assumption violation, the multivariate Cox regression model was subsequently upgraded by adding a time-varying interaction between red blood cell transfusion and time since liver transplantation. As a result, we found that at 3 months after liver transplantation, the rate of dying increased 14% (95% CI, 2%-26%) for each unit transfused, and at 6 months it increased 12% (95% CI, 0.3%-24%). CONCLUSIONS: Red blood cell transfusion ceased to influence survival from 1 year onward.

Perioperative Predictors of Survival After Liver Transplantation for Familial Amyloid Polyneuropathy in a Portuguese Center.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) has been the treatment of choice to halt the progression of familial amyloid polyneuropathy (FAP). Few studies have identified prognostic factors for post-LT survival in FAP. Our aim was to assess survival rate and to identify independent factors for survival after LT. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study of FAP patients transplanted for the first time analyzed 116 transplantations from 2006 to 2014. The median follow-up period was 45.5 months. RESULTS: The overall survival rates at 1 month, 1 year, and 5 years were 89%, 82% and 79%, respectively. On multivariate analysis, only number of red blood cell (RBC) units transfused during surgery, operation time, and body mass index were independent prognostic factors for patient survival. Only 30% of patients were transfused during surgery, and, in these, each RBC unit transfused increased mortality by 53%. The operation time increased mortality by 20% for every 15 minutes of surgery. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that operation time and RBC transfused are predominant factors affecting post-LT survival in our FAP patients.