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BACKGROUND: Continuous cardiac output monitoring is not standard practice during cardiac surgery, even though patients are at substantial risk for systemic hypoperfusion. Thus, the frequency of low cardiac output during cardiac surgery is unknown. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study at a tertiary medical center from July 2021 to November 2023. Eligible patients were ≥18 undergoing isolated coronary bypass (CAB) surgery with the use of cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). Cardiac output indexed to body surface area (CI) was continuously recorded at 5-second intervals throughout surgery using a US Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved noninvasive monitor from the arterial blood pressure waveform. Mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) and central venous pressure (CVP) were also analyzed. Low CI was defined as <2 L/min/m2 and low MAP as <65 mm Hg. We calculated time with low CI for each patient for the entire surgery, pre-CPB and post-CPB periods, and the proportion of time with low CI and normal MAP. We used Pearson correlation to evaluate the relationship between CI and MAP and paired Wilcoxon rank sum tests to assess the difference in correlations of CI with MAP before and after CPB. RESULTS: In total, 101 patients were analyzed (age [standard deviation, SD] 64.8 [9.8] years, 25% female). Total intraoperative time (mean [SD]) with low CI was 86.4 (62) minutes, with 61.2 (42) minutes of low CI pre-CPB and 25.2 (31) minutes post-CPB. Total intraoperative time with low CI and normal MAP was 66.5 (56) minutes, representing mean (SD) 69% (23%) of the total time with low CI; 45.8 (38) minutes occurred pre-CPB and 20.6 (27) minutes occurred post-CPB. Overall, the correlation (mean [SD]) between CI and MAP was 0.33 (0.31), and the correlation was significantly higher pre-CPB (0.53 [0.32]) than post-CPB (0.29 [0.28], 95% confidence interval [CI] for difference [0.18-0.34], P < .001); however, there was substantial heterogeneity among participants in correlations of CI with MAP before and after CPB. Secondary analyses that accounted for CVP did not alter the correlation between CI and MAP. Exploratory analyses suggested duration of low CI (C <2 L/min/m2) was associated with increased risk of postoperative acute kidney injury (odds ratios [ORs] = 1.09; 95% CI; 1.01-1.13; P = .018). CONCLUSIONS: In a prospective cohort of patients undergoing CAB surgery, low CI was common even when blood pressure was normal. CI and MAP were correlated modestly. Correlation was higher before than after CPB with substantial heterogeneity among individuals. Future studies are needed to examine the independent relation of low CI to postoperative kidney injury and other adverse outcomes related to hypoperfusion.
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INTRODUCTION: Objectively measured physical activity (PA) is a modifiable risk factor for mortality. Understanding the predictive performance of PA is essential to establish potential targets for early intervention to reduce mortality among older adults. METHODS: The study used a subset of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011-2014 data consisting of participants aged 50 to 80 years old (n = 3653, 24297.5 person-years of follow-up, 416 deaths). Eight accelerometry derived features and 14 traditional predictors of all-cause mortality were compared and ranked in terms of their individual and combined predictive performance using the 10-fold cross-validated Concordance (C) from Cox regression. RESULTS: The top three predictors of mortality in univariate analysis were PA related: average MIMS in the 10 most active hours (C = 0.697), total MIMS per day (C = 0.686), and average log transformed MIMS in the most 10 active hours of the day (C = 0.684), outperforming age (C = 0.676) and other traditional predictors of mortality. In multivariate regression, adding objectively measured PA to the top performing model without PA variables increased concordance from C = 0.776 to C = 0.790 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the importance of PA as a risk marker of mortality and are consistent with prior studies, confirming the importance of accelerometer-derived activity measures beyond total volume.
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BACKGROUND: Despite many studies evaluating lung ultrasound (LUS) for COVID-19 prognostication, the generalizability and utility across clinical settings is uncertain. METHODS: Adults (≥18 years of age) with COVID-19 were enrolled at two military hospitals, an emergency department, home visits, and a homeless shelter in the United States, and in a referral hospital in Uganda. Participants had a 12-zone LUS scan performed at time of enrollment and clips were read off-site. The primary outcome was progression to higher level of care after the ultrasound scan. We calculated the cross-validated area under the curve for the validation cohort for individual LUS features. RESULTS: We enrolled 191 participants with COVID-19 were enrolled (57.9% female, median age 45.0 years, interquartile range [IQR]: 31.5, 58.0). Nine participants clinically deteriorated. The top predictors of worsening disease in the validation cohort measured by cross-validated area under the curve (cvAUC) were B-lines (0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.87, 0.90), discrete B-lines (0.87, 95% CI: 0.85, 0.88), oxygen saturation (0.82, 95%: CI:0.81, 0.84), and A-lines (0.80, 95% CI: 0.78, 0.81). CONCLUSIONS: In an international multisite POCUS cohort, LUS parameters had high discriminative accuracy. Ultrasound can be applied towards triage across a wide breadth of care settings during a pandemic.
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Low physical activity (PA) measured by accelerometers and low heart rate variability (HRV) measured from short-term ECG recordings are associated with worse cognitive function. Wearable long-term ECG monitors are now widely used, and some devices also include an accelerometer. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether PA or HRV measured from long-term ECG monitors was associated with cognitive function among older adults. A total of 1590 ARIC participants had free-living PA and HRV measured over 14 days using the Zio® XT Patch [aged 72-94 years, 58% female, 32% Black]. Cognitive function was measured by cognitive factor scores and adjudicated dementia or mild cognitive impairment (MCI) status. Adjusted linear or multinomial regression models examined whether higher PA or higher HRV was cross-sectionally associated with higher factor scores or lower odds of MCI/dementia. Each 1-unit increase in the total amount of PA was associated with higher global cognition (ß = 0.30, 95% CI: 0.16-0.44) and executive function scores (ß = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.22-0.53) and lower odds of MCI (OR = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.22-0.67) or dementia (OR = 0.25, 95% CI: 0.08-0.74). HRV (i.e., SDNN and rMSSD) was not associated with cognitive function. More research is needed to define the role of wearable ECG monitors as a tool for digital phenotyping of dementia.
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Cognição , Disfunção Cognitiva , Demência , Eletrocardiografia , Exercício Físico , Frequência Cardíaca , Humanos , Frequência Cardíaca/fisiologia , Feminino , Demência/fisiopatologia , Demência/diagnóstico , Idoso , Masculino , Cognição/fisiologia , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Eletrocardiografia/métodos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Disfunção Cognitiva/diagnóstico , Disfunção Cognitiva/fisiopatologia , Dispositivos Eletrônicos Vestíveis , Estudos Transversais , Acelerometria/instrumentação , Acelerometria/métodosRESUMO
The glutamatergic modulator ketamine is associated with changes in sleep, depression, and suicidal ideation (SI). This study sought to evaluate differences in arousal-related sleep metrics between 36 individuals with treatment-resistant major depression (TRD) and 25 healthy volunteers (HVs). It also sought to determine whether ketamine normalizes arousal in individuals with TRD and whether ketamine's effects on arousal mediate its antidepressant and anti-SI effects. This was a secondary analysis of a biomarker-focused, randomized, double-blind, crossover trial of ketamine (0.5 mg/kg) compared to saline placebo. Polysomnography (PSG) studies were conducted one day before and one day after ketamine/placebo infusions. Sleep arousal was measured using spectral power functions over time including alpha (quiet wakefulness), beta (alert wakefulness), and delta (deep sleep) power, as well as macroarchitecture variables, including wakefulness after sleep onset (WASO), total sleep time (TST), rapid eye movement (REM) latency, and Post-Sleep Onset Sleep Efficiency (PSOSE). At baseline, diagnostic differences in sleep macroarchitecture included lower TST (p = 0.006) and shorter REM latency (p = 0.04) in the TRD versus HV group. Ketamine's temporal dynamic effects (relative to placebo) in TRD included increased delta power earlier in the night and increased alpha and delta power later in the night. However, there were no significant diagnostic differences in temporal patterns of alpha, beta, or delta power, no ketamine effects on sleep macroarchitecture arousal metrics, and no mediation effects of sleep variables on ketamine's antidepressant or anti-SI effects. These results highlight the role of sleep-related variables as part of the systemic neurobiological changes initiated after ketamine administration. Clinical Trials Identifier: NCT00088699.
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Nível de Alerta , Estudos Cross-Over , Transtorno Depressivo Resistente a Tratamento , Ketamina , Polissonografia , Humanos , Ketamina/administração & dosagem , Ketamina/farmacologia , Masculino , Transtorno Depressivo Resistente a Tratamento/tratamento farmacológico , Transtorno Depressivo Resistente a Tratamento/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Adulto , Método Duplo-Cego , Nível de Alerta/efeitos dos fármacos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sono/efeitos dos fármacos , Transtorno Depressivo Maior/tratamento farmacológico , Transtorno Depressivo Maior/fisiopatologia , Vigília/efeitos dos fármacos , Ideação Suicida , Antidepressivos/administração & dosagem , Antidepressivos/farmacologia , Antidepressivos/uso terapêutico , Adulto JovemRESUMO
ABSTRACT: Ecological momentary assessment (EMA) allows for the collection of participant-reported outcomes (PROs), including pain, in the normal environment at high resolution and with reduced recall bias. Ecological momentary assessment is an important component in studies of pain, providing detailed information about the frequency, intensity, and degree of interference of individuals' pain. However, there is no universally agreed on standard for summarizing pain measures from repeated PRO assessment using EMA into a single, clinically meaningful measure of pain. Here, we quantify the accuracy of summaries (eg, mean and median) of pain outcomes obtained from EMA and the effect of thresholding these summaries to obtain binary clinical end points of chronic pain status (yes/no). Data applications and simulations indicate that binarizing empirical estimators (eg, sample mean, random intercept linear mixed model) can perform well. However, linear mixed-effect modeling estimators that account for the nonlinear relationship between average and variability of pain scores perform better for quantifying the true average pain and reduce estimation error by up to 50%, with larger improvements for individuals with more variable pain scores. We also show that binarizing pain scores (eg, <3 and ≥3) can lead to a substantial loss of statistical power (40%-50%). Thus, when examining pain outcomes using EMA, the use of linear mixed models using the entire scale (0-10) is superior to splitting the outcomes into 2 groups (<3 and ≥3) providing greater statistical power and sensitivity.
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Dor Aguda , Dor Crônica , Avaliação Momentânea Ecológica , Modelos Estatísticos , Medição da Dor , Medidas de Resultados Relatados pelo Paciente , Humanos , Dor Crônica/diagnóstico , Medição da Dor/métodos , Dor Aguda/diagnóstico , Masculino , FemininoRESUMO
Purpose: As health studies increasingly monitor free-living heart performance via ECG patches with accelerometers, researchers will seek to investigate cardio-electrical responses to physical activity and sedentary behavior, increasing demand for fast, scalable methods to process accelerometer data. We extend a posture classification algorithm for accelerometers in ECG patches when researchers do not have ground-truth labels or other reference measurements (i.e., upright measurement). Methods: Men living with and without HIV in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort study wore the Zio XT® for up to two weeks (n = 1,250). Our novel extensions for posture classification include (1) estimation of an upright posture for each individual without a reference upright measurement; (2) correction of the upright estimate for device removal and re-positioning using novel spherical change-point detection; and (3) classification of upright and recumbent periods using a clustering and voting process rather than a simple inclination threshold used in other algorithms. As no posture labels exist in the free-living environment, we perform numerous sensitivity analyses and evaluate the algorithm against labelled data from the Towson Accelerometer Study, where participants wore accelerometers at the waist. Results: On average, 87.1% of participants were recumbent at 4am and 15.5% were recumbent at 1pm. Participants were recumbent 54 minutes longer on weekends compared to weekdays. Performance was good in comparison to labelled data in a separate, controlled setting (accuracy = 96.0%, sensitivity = 97.5%, specificity = 95.9%). Conclusions: Posture may be classified in the free-living environment from accelerometers in ECG patches even without measuring a standard upright position. Furthermore, algorithms that fail to account for individuals who rotate and re-attach the accelerometer may fail in the free-living environment.
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BACKGROUND: Low physical activity (PA) measured from accelerometers and low heart rate variability (HRV) measured from short-term ECG recordings are associated with worse cognitive function. Wearable long-term ECG monitors are now widely used. These monitors can provide long-term HRV data and, if embedded with an accelerometer, they can also provide PA data. Whether PA or HRV measured from long-term ECG monitors is associated with cognitive function among older adults is unknown. METHODS: Free-living PA and HRV were measured simultaneously over 14-days using the Zio ® XT Patch among 1590 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study [aged 72-94 years, 58% female, 32% Black]. Total amount of PA was estimated by total mean amplitude deviation (TMAD) from the 14-day accelerometry raw data. HRV indices (SDNN and rMSSD) were measured from the 14-day ECG raw data. Cognitive factor scores for global cognition, executive function, language, and memory were derived using latent variable methods. Dementia or mild cognitive impairment (MCI) status was adjudicated. Linear or multinomial regression models examined whether higher PA or higher HRV was cross-sectionally associated with higher factor scores or lower odds of MCI/dementia. Models were adjusted for demographic and medical comorbidities. RESULTS: Each 1-unit higher in total amount of PA was significantly associated with 0.30 higher global cognition factor scores (95% CI: 0.16-0.44), 0.38 higher executive function factor scores (95% CI: 0.22-0.53), and 62% lower odds of MCI (OR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.22-0.67) or 75% lower odds of dementia (OR: 0.25, 95% CI: 0.08-0.74) versus unimpaired cognition. Neither HRV measure was significantly associated with cognitive function or dementia. CONCLUSIONS: PA derived from a 2-week ECG monitor with an embedded accelerometer was significantly associated with higher cognitive test performance and lower odds of MCI/dementia among older adults. By contrast, HRV indices measured over 2 weeks were not significantly associated with cognitive outcomes. More research is needed to define the role of wearable ECG monitors as a tool for digital phenotyping of dementia. CLINICAL PERSPECTIVE: What Is New?: This cross-sectional study evaluated associations between physical activity (PA) and heart rate variability (HRV) measured over 14 days from a wearable ECG monitor with cognitive function.Higher total amount of PA was associated with higher global cognition and executive function, as well as lower odds of mild cognitive impairment or dementia.HRV indices measured over 2 weeks were not significantly associated with cognitive outcomes.What Are the Clinical Implications?: These findings replicate positive associations between PA and cognitive function using accelerometer data from a wearable ECG monitor with an embedded accelerometer.These findings raise the possibility of using wearable ECG monitors (with embedded accelerometers) as a promising tool for digital phenotyping of dementia.
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Objectively measuring physical activity (PA) has consistently shown an association with reduced all-cause mortality risk in cross-sectional studies. However, the strength of this association may change over time. We quantify the time-varying, covariate-adjusted association between the total volume of PA and all-cause mortality over a 12-year follow-up period using Cox regression with a time varying effect of population-referenced quantile total activity count adjusted for traditional risk factors. Analyses focus on participants 50-84 years old with adequate accelerometer wear time and without missing covariates. The findings suggest that (1) the use of baseline PA in Cox models with long follow-up periods may be inappropriate without time-varying effects and (2) the use of accelerometry derived volume of PA in risk score calculations may be most appropriate for short-term to medium-term risk scores.
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Background Low physical activity (PA) is associated with poor health outcomes after stroke. Step counts are a common metric of PA; however, other physiologic signals (eg, heart rate) may help to identify subgroups of individuals poststroke at varying levels of risk of poor health outcomes. Here, we aimed to identify clinically relevant subgroups of individuals poststroke based on PA profiles that leverage multiple data sources, including step count and heart rate data, from wearable devices. Methods and Results Seventy individuals poststroke participated. Participants wore a Fitbit Inspire 2 for 1 year and completed clinical assessments. We defined a group-based steps-per-minute threshold and an individual heart rate threshold to categorize each minute of PA into 1 of 4 states: high steps/high heart rate, low steps/low heart rate, high steps/low heart rate, and low steps/high heart rate. We used the proportion of time spent in each state along with steps per day, sedentary time, mean steps among minutes with high steps and high heart rate, and resting heart rate in a k-means clustering algorithm to identify subgroups and compared Activity Measure for Post-Acute Care Mobility T Score, Stroke Impact Scale, and gait speed among subgroups. We identified 3 subgroups, Active (n=8), Sedentary (n=29), and Deconditioned (n=33), which differed significantly on all clustering variables except resting heart rate. We observed significant differences in Activity Measure for Post-Acute Care Mobility T scores between subgroups, with the Deconditioned subgroup exhibiting the lowest score. Conclusions Quantifying PA with heart rate and step count using readily available wearable devices can identify clinically meaningful subgroups of individuals poststroke.
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Bradicardia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Frequência Cardíaca , Algoritmos , Exercício Físico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnósticoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Objectively measured physical activity (PA) data were collected in the accelerometry substudy of the UK Biobank. UK Biobank also contains information about multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis at the time of and after PA collection. This study aimed to 1) quantify the difference in PA between prevalent MS cases and matched healthy controls, and 2) evaluate the predictive performance of objective PA measures for incident MS cases. METHODS: The first analysis compared eight accelerometer-derived PA summaries between MS patients ( N = 316) and matched controls (30 controls for each MS case). The second analysis focused on predicting time to MS diagnosis among participants who were not diagnosed with MS. A total of 19 predictors including eight measures of objective PA were compared using Cox proportional hazards models (number of events = 47; 585,900 person-years of follow-up). RESULTS: In the prevalent MS study, the difference between MS cases and matched controls was statistically significant for all PA summaries ( P < 0.001). In the incident MS study, the most predictive variable of progression to MS in univariate Cox regression models was lower age ( C = 0.604), and the most predictive PA variable was lower relative amplitude (RA, C = 0.594). A two-stage forward selection using Cox regression resulted in a model with concordance C = 0.693 and four predictors: age ( P = 0.015), stroke ( P = 0.009), Townsend deprivation index ( P = 0.874), and RA ( P = 0.004). A model including age, stroke, and RA had a concordance of C = 0.691. CONCLUSIONS: Objective PA summaries were significantly different and consistent with lower activity among study participants who had MS at the time of the accelerometry study. Among individuals who did not have MS, younger age, stroke history, and lower RA were significantly associated with a higher risk of a future MS diagnosis.
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Esclerose Múltipla , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Biobanco do Reino Unido , Bancos de Espécimes Biológicos , Exercício Físico , Acelerometria , Reino UnidoRESUMO
Large-scale data obtained from aggregation of already collected multi-site neuroimaging datasets has brought benefits such as higher statistical power, reliability, and robustness to the studies. Despite these promises from growth in sample size, substantial technical variability stemming from differences in scanner specifications exists in the aggregated data and could inadvertently bias any downstream analyses on it. Such a challenge calls for data normalization and/or harmonization frameworks, in addition to comprehensive criteria to estimate the scanner-related variability and evaluate the harmonization frameworks. In this study, we propose MISPEL (Multi-scanner Image harmonization via Structure Preserving Embedding Learning), a supervised multi-scanner harmonization method that is naturally extendable to more than two scanners. We also designed a set of criteria to investigate the scanner-related technical variability and evaluate the harmonization techniques. As an essential requirement of our criteria, we introduced a multi-scanner matched dataset of 3T T1 images across four scanners, which, to the best of our knowledge is one of the few datasets of this kind. We also investigated our evaluations using two popular segmentation frameworks: FSL and segmentation in statistical parametric mapping (SPM). Lastly, we compared MISPEL to popular methods of normalization and harmonization, namely White Stripe, RAVEL, and CALAMITI. MISPEL outperformed these methods and is promising for many other neuroimaging modalities.
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Aprendizado Profundo , Humanos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Neuroimagem , Pâncreas , Tamanho da AmostraRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Parkinson's disease (PD) is the fastest-growing neurological condition with over 10 million cases worldwide. While age and sex are known predictors of incident PD, there is a need to identify other predictors. This study compares the prediction performance of accelerometry-derived physical activity (PA) measures and traditional risk factors for incident PD in the UK Biobank. METHODS: The study population consisted of 92,352 UK Biobank participants without PD at baseline (43.8% male, median age 63 years with interquartile range 43-69). 245 participants were diagnosed with PD by April 1, 2021 (586,604 person-years of follow-up). The incident PD prediction performances of 10 traditional predictors and 8 objective PA measures were compared using single- and multi-variable Cox models. Prediction performance was assessed using a novel, stable statistic: the repeated cross-validated concordance (rcvC). Sensitivity analyses were conducted where PD cases diagnosed within the first six months, one year, and two years were deleted. RESULTS: Single-predictor Cox regression models indicated that all PA measures were statistically significant (p-values < 0.0001). The highest-performing individual predictors were total acceleration (TA) (rcvC = 0.813) among PA measures, and age (rcvC = 0.757) among traditional predictors. The two-step forward-selection process produced a model containing age, sex, and TA (rcvC = 0.851). Adding TA to the model increased the rcvC by 9.8% (p-value < 0.0001). Results were largely unchanged in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Objective PA summaries have better single-predictor model performance than known risk factors and increase the prediction performance substantially when added to models with age and sex.
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Doença de Parkinson , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Feminino , Doença de Parkinson/epidemiologia , Doença de Parkinson/diagnóstico , Bancos de Espécimes Biológicos , Fatores de Risco , Exercício Físico , Reino Unido/epidemiologiaRESUMO
We introduce fast multilevel functional principal component analysis (fast MFPCA), which scales up to high dimensional functional data measured at multiple visits. The new approach is orders of magnitude faster than and achieves comparable estimation accuracy with the original MFPCA (Di et al., 2009). Methods are motivated by the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (NHANES), which contains minute-level physical activity information of more than 10000 participants over multiple days and 1440 observations per day. While MFPCA takes more than five days to analyze these data, fast MFPCA takes less than five minutes. A theoretical study of the proposed method is also provided. The associated function mfpca.face() is available in the R package refund.
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BACKGROUND: Identifying an individual from accelerometry data collected during walking without reliance on step-cycle detection has not been achieved with high accuracy. RESEARCH QUESTION: We propose an open-source reproducible method to: (1) create a unique, person-specific "walking fingerprint" from a sample of un-landmarked high-resolution data collected by a wrist-worn accelerometer; and (2) predict who an individual is from their walking fingerprint. METHODS: Accelerometry data were collected during walking from 32 individuals (23-52 y.o., 19 females) for at least 380 s each. For this study's purpose, data are not landmarked, nor synchronized. Individual walking fingerprints were created by: (1) partitioning the accelerometer time series in adjacent, non-overlapping one-second intervals; (2) transforming all one-second interval data for a given individual into a three-dimensional (3D) image obtained by plotting each one-second interval time series by the lagged time series for a series of lags; (3) partitioning these resulting participant-specific 3D images into a grid of cells; and (4) identifying the combinations of cells (areas in the 3D image) that best predict the individual. For every participant, the first 200 s of data were used as training and the last 180 s as testing. This approach does not use segmentation methods for individual strides, which reduces dependence on complementary algorithms and increases its generalizability. RESULTS: The method correctly identified 100 % of the participants in the test data and highlighted unique features of walking that characterize the individuals. SIGNIFICANCE: Predicting the identity of an individual from their walking pattern has immediate implications that can complement or replace those of actual fingerprinting, voice, and image recognition. Furthermore, as walking may change with age or disease burden, individual walking fingerprints may be used as biomarkers of change in health status with potential clinical and epidemiologic implications.
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Exercício Físico , Punho , Feminino , Humanos , Caminhada , Articulação do Punho , Acelerometria/métodosRESUMO
The inclusion of LUS with simple, point-of-care clinical parameters have potential to improve COVID-19 prognostication above that from standard clinical care delivery. https://bit.ly/3InePYK.
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Continuous glucose monitors (CGMs) are increasingly used to measure blood glucose levels and provide information about the treatment and management of diabetes. Our motivating study contains CGM data during sleep for 174 study participants with type II diabetes mellitus measured at a 5-min frequency for an average of 10 nights. We aim to quantify the effects of diabetes medications and sleep apnea severity on glucose levels. Statistically, this is an inference question about the association between scalar covariates and functional responses observed at multiple visits (sleep periods). However, many characteristics of the data make analyses difficult, including (1) nonstationary within-period patterns; (2) substantial between-period heterogeneity, non-Gaussianity, and outliers; and (3) large dimensionality due to the number of study participants, sleep periods, and time points. For our analyses, we evaluate and compare two methods: fast univariate inference (FUI) and functional additive mixed models (FAMMs). We extend FUI and introduce a new approach for testing the hypotheses of no effect and time invariance of the covariates. We also highlight areas for further methodological development for FAMM. Our study reveals that (1) biguanide medication and sleep apnea severity significantly affect glucose trajectories during sleep and (2) the estimated effects are time invariant.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Síndromes da Apneia do Sono , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Sono , Glicemia/análise , Glucose/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
Background: While point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) has been used to track worsening COVID-19 disease it is unclear if there are dynamic differences between severity trajectories. Methods: We studied 12-lung zone protocol scans from 244 participants [with repeat scans obtained in 3 days (N = 114), 7 days (N = 53), and weekly (N = 9)] ≥ 18 years of age hospitalized for COVID-19 pneumonia. Differences in mean lung ultrasound (LUS) scores and percent of lung fields with A-lines over time were compared between peak severity levels (as defined by the WHO clinical progression scale) using linear mixed-effects models. Results: Mean LUS scores were elevated by 0.19 (p = 0.035) and A-lines were present in 14.7% fewer lung fields (p = 0.02) among those with ICU-level or fatal peak illness compared to less severe hospitalized illness, regardless of duration of illness. There were no differences between severity groups in the trajectories of mean LUS score 0.19 (p = 0.66) or percent A-lines (p = 0.40). Discussion: Our results do not support the use of serial LUS scans to monitor COVID-19 disease progression among hospitalized adults.
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Increased physical activity (PA) has been associated with a decreased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. However, most previous studies use self-reported PA instead of objectively measured PA assessed by wearable accelerometers. To the best of our knowledge, there have not been studies that quantified the univariate and multivariate ability of objectively measured PA summaries to predict the risk of CVD mortality. We investigate the ability of objectively measured PA summary variables to predict CVD mortality: as individual predictors, as part of the best multivariate model incorporating traditional predictors, and as additions to the best multivariate model using only traditional CVD predictors. Data were collected in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2003-2006 waves for US participants aged 50-85. The predictive ability was measured using Concordance, sometimes referred to as the C-statistic. Specifically, we calculated 10-fold cross-validated concordance (CVC) in survey-weighted Cox proportional hazard models. The best univariate predictor of CVD mortality was total activity count (outperformed age). In multivariate models, two of the eight predictors identified using the improvement in CVC threshold of 0.001 were PA measures (CVC = 0.844). The best model without physical activity (7 predictors) had CVC of 0.830. The addition of PA measures to the best traditional model was significantly better at predicting CVD mortality (P < 0.001). Accelerometer-derived PA measures have excellent cardiovascular mortality prediction performance. Wearable accelerometers have a potential for assessment of individuals' CVD mortality risks.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Exercício Físico , Humanos , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Fatores de Risco , FenótipoRESUMO
The clinical utility of point-of-care lung ultrasound (LUS) among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 is unclear. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: A large tertiary care center in Maryland, between April 2020 and September 2021. PATIENTS: Hospitalized adults (≥ 18 yr old) with positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction results. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: All patients were scanned using a standardized protocol including 12 lung zones and followed to determine clinical outcomes until hospital discharge and vital status at 28 days. Ultrasounds were independently reviewed for lung and pleural line artifacts and abnormalities, and the mean LUS Score (mLUSS) (ranging from 0 to 3) across lung zones was determined. The primary outcome was time to ICU-level care, defined as high-flow oxygen, noninvasive, or invasive mechanical ventilation, within 28 days of the initial ultrasound. Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for age and sex were fit for mLUSS and each ultrasound covariate. A total of 264 participants were enrolled in the study; the median age was 61 years and 114 participants (43.2%) were female. The median mLUSS was 1.0 (interquartile range, 0.5-1.3). Following enrollment, 27 participants (10.0%) went on to require ICU-level care, and 14 (5.3%) subsequently died by 28 days. Each increase in mLUSS at enrollment was associated with disease progression to ICU-level care (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 3.61; 95% CI, 1.27-10.2) and 28-day mortality (aHR, 3.10; 95% CI, 1.29-7.50). Pleural line abnormalities were independently associated with disease progression to death (aHR, 20.93; CI, 3.33-131.30). CONCLUSIONS: Participants with a mLUSS greater than or equal to 1 or pleural line changes on LUS had an increased likelihood of subsequent requirement of high-flow oxygen or greater. LUS is a promising tool for assessing risk of COVID-19 progression at the bedside.