Mortality Risk Stratification Utilizing Artificial Intelligence Electrocardiogram for Hyperkalemia in Cardiac Intensive Care Unit Patients.

Background: Hyperkalemia has been associated with increased mortality in cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) patients. An artificial intelligence (AI) enhanced electrocardiogram (ECG) can predict hyperkalemia, and other AI-ECG algorithms have demonstrated mortality risk-stratification in CICU patients. Objectives: The authors hypothesized that the AI-ECG hyperkalemia algorithm could stratify mortality risk beyond laboratory serum potassium measurement alone. Methods: We included 11,234 unique Mayo Clinic CICU patients admitted from 2007 to 2018 with a 12-lead ECG and blood potassium (K) level obtained at admission with K ≥5 mEq/L defining hyperkalemia. ECGs underwent AI evaluation for the probability of hyperkalemia (probability >0.5 defined as positive). Hospital mortality was analyzed using logistic regression, and survival to 1 year was estimated using Kaplan-Meier and Cox analysis. Results: In the final cohort (n = 11,234), the mean age was 69.6 ± 10.5 years, 37.8% were females, and 92.4% were White. Chronic kidney disease was present in 20.2%. The mean laboratory potassium value for the cohort was 4.2 ± 0.3 mEq/L. The AI-ECG predicted hyperkalemia in 33.9% (n = 3,810) of CICU patients and 12.9% (n = 1,451) of patients had laboratory-confirmed hyperkalemia (K ≥5 mEq/L). In-hospital mortality increased in false-positive, false-negative, and true-positive patients, respectively (P < 0.001), and each of these patient groups had successively lower survival out to 1 year. Conclusions: AI-ECG-based prediction of hyperkalemia, even with a normal laboratory potassium value, was associated with higher in-hospital mortality and lower 1-year survival in CICU patients. This study demonstrated that AI-ECG probability of hyperkalemia may enable rapid individualized risk stratification in critically ill patients beyond laboratory value alone.

Validation of Noninvasive Detection of Hyperkalemia by Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Electrocardiography in High Acuity Settings.

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis can enable detection of hyperkalemia. In this validation, we assessed the algorithm's performance in two high acuity settings. Methods: An emergency department (ED) cohort (February to August 2021) and a mixed intensive care unit (ICU) cohort (August 2017 to February 2018) were identified and analyzed separately. For each group, pairs of laboratory-collected potassium and 12 lead ECGs obtained within 4 hours of each other were identified. The previously developed AI ECG algorithm was subsequently applied to leads 1 and 2 of the 12 lead ECGs to screen for hyperkalemia (potassium >6.0 mEq/L). Results: The ED cohort (N=40,128) had a mean age of 60 years, 48% were male, and 1% (N=351) had hyperkalemia. The area under the curve (AUC) of the AI-enhanced ECG (AI-ECG) to detect hyperkalemia was 0.88, with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 80%, 80%, 3%, 99.8%, and 4.0, respectively, in the ED cohort. Low-eGFR (<30 ml/min) subanalysis yielded AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 0.83, 86%, 60%, 15%, 98%, and 2.2, respectively, in the ED cohort. The ICU cohort (N=2636) had a mean age of 65 years, 60% were male, and 3% (N=87) had hyperkalemia. The AUC for the AI-ECG was 0.88 and yielded sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 82%, 82%, 14%, 99%, and 4.6, respectively in the ICU cohort. Low-eGFR subanalysis yielded AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and LR+ of 0.85, 88%, 67%, 29%, 97%, and 2.7, respectively in the ICU cohort. Conclusions: The AI-ECG algorithm demonstrated a high NPV, suggesting that it is useful for ruling out hyperkalemia, but a low PPV, suggesting that it is insufficient for treating hyperkalemia.

Explainable Preoperative Automated Machine Learning Prediction Model for Cardiac Surgery-Associated Acute Kidney Injury.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to develop and validate an automated machine learning (autoML) prediction model for cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI). METHODS: Using 69 preoperative variables, we developed several models to predict post-operative AKI in adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Models included autoML and non-autoML types, including decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and artificial neural network (ANN), as well as a logistic regression prediction model. We then compared model performance using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and assessed model calibration using Brier score on the independent testing dataset. RESULTS: The incidence of CSA-AKI was 36%. Stacked ensemble autoML had the highest predictive performance among autoML models, and was chosen for comparison with other non-autoML and multivariable logistic regression models. The autoML had the highest AUROC (0.79), followed by RF (0.78), XGBoost (0.77), multivariable logistic regression (0.77), ANN (0.75), and DT (0.64). The autoML had comparable AUROC with RF and outperformed the other models. The autoML was well-calibrated. The Brier score for autoML, RF, DT, XGBoost, ANN, and multivariable logistic regression was 0.18, 0.18, 0.21, 0.19, 0.19, and 0.18, respectively. We applied SHAP and LIME algorithms to our autoML prediction model to extract an explanation of the variables that drive patient-specific predictions of CSA-AKI. CONCLUSION: We were able to present a preoperative autoML prediction model for CSA-AKI that provided high predictive performance that was comparable to RF and superior to other ML and multivariable logistic regression models. The novel approaches of the proposed explainable preoperative autoML prediction model for CSA-AKI may guide clinicians in advancing individualized medicine plans for patients under cardiac surgery.

Subtyping hospitalized patients with hypokalemia by machine learning consensus clustering and associated mortality risks.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalized patients with hypokalemia are heterogeneous and cluster analysis, an unsupervised machine learning methodology, may discover more precise and specific homogeneous groups within this population of interest. Our study aimed to cluster patients with hypokalemia at hospital admission using an unsupervised machine learning approach and assess the mortality risk among these distinct clusters. METHODS: We performed consensus clustering analysis based on demographic information, principal diagnoses, comorbidities and laboratory data among 4763 hospitalized adult patients with admission serum potassium ≤3.5 mEq/L. We calculated the standardized mean difference of each variable and used the cutoff of ±0.3 to identify each cluster's key features. We assessed the association of the hypokalemia cluster with hospital and 1-year mortality. RESULTS: Consensus cluster analysis identified three distinct clusters that best represented patients' baseline characteristics. Cluster 1 had 1150 (32%) patients, cluster 2 had 1344 (28%) patients and cluster 3 had 1909 (40%) patients. Based on the standardized difference, patients in cluster 1 were younger, had less comorbidity burden but higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and higher hemoglobin; patients in cluster 2 were older, more likely to be admitted for cardiovascular disease and had higher serum sodium and chloride levels but lower eGFR, serum bicarbonate, strong ion difference (SID) and hemoglobin, while patients in cluster 3 were older, had a greater comorbidity burden, higher serum bicarbonate and SID but lower serum sodium, chloride and eGFR. Compared with cluster 1, cluster 2 had both higher hospital and 1-year mortality, whereas cluster 3 had higher 1-year mortality but comparable hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated the use of consensus clustering analysis in the heterogeneous cohort of hospitalized hypokalemic patients to characterize their patterns of baseline clinical and laboratory data into three clinically distinct clusters with different mortality risks.

Hypernatremia subgroups among hospitalized patients by machine learning consensus clustering with different patient survival.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to characterize hypernatremia patients at hospital admission into clusters using an unsupervised machine learning approach and to evaluate the mortality risk among these distinct clusters. METHODS: We performed consensus cluster analysis based on demographic information, principal diagnoses, comorbidities, and laboratory data among 922 hospitalized adult patients with admission serum sodium of > 145 mEq/L. We calculated the standardized difference of each variable to identify each cluster's key features. We assessed the association of each hypernatremia cluster with hospital and 1-year mortality. RESULTS: There were three distinct clusters of patients with hypernatremia on admission: 318 (34%) patients in cluster 1, 339 (37%) patients in cluster 2, and 265 (29%) patients in cluster 3. Cluster 1 consisted of more critically ill patients with more severe hypernatremia and hypokalemic hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis. Cluster 2 consisted of older patients with more comorbidity burden, body mass index, and metabolic alkalosis. Cluster 3 consisted of younger patients with less comorbidity burden, higher baseline eGFR, hemoglobin, and serum albumin. Compared to cluster 3, odds ratios for hospital mortality were 15.74 (95% CI 3.75-66.18) for cluster 1, and 6.51 (95% CI 1.48-28.59) for cluster 2, whereas hazard ratios for 1-year mortality were 6.25 (95% CI 3.69-11.46) for cluster 1 and 4.66 (95% CI 2.73-8.59) for cluster 2. CONCLUSION: Our cluster analysis identified three clinically distinct phenotypes with differing mortality risk in patients hospitalized with hypernatremia.

Machine Learning Consensus Clustering Approach for Patients with Lactic Acidosis in Intensive Care Units.

BACKGROUND: Lactic acidosis is a heterogeneous condition with multiple underlying causes and associated outcomes. The use of multi-dimensional patient data to subtype lactic acidosis can personalize patient care. Machine learning consensus clustering may identify lactic acidosis subgroups with unique clinical profiles and outcomes. METHODS: We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database to abstract electronic medical record data from patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU) in a tertiary care hospital in the United States. We included patients who developed lactic acidosis (defined as serum lactate ≥ 4 mmol/L) within 48 h of ICU admission. We performed consensus clustering analysis based on patient characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, organ supports, and laboratory data to identify clinically distinct lactic acidosis subgroups. We calculated standardized mean differences to show key subgroup features. We compared outcomes among subgroups. RESULTS: We identified 1919 patients with lactic acidosis. The algorithm revealed three best unique lactic acidosis subgroups based on patient variables. Cluster 1 (n = 554) was characterized by old age, elective admission to cardiac surgery ICU, vasopressor use, mechanical ventilation use, and higher pH and serum bicarbonate. Cluster 2 (n = 815) was characterized by young age, admission to trauma/surgical ICU with higher blood pressure, lower comorbidity burden, lower severity index, and less vasopressor use. Cluster 3 (n = 550) was characterized by admission to medical ICU, history of liver disease and coagulopathy, acute kidney injury, lower blood pressure, higher comorbidity burden, higher severity index, higher serum lactate, and lower pH and serum bicarbonate. Cluster 3 had the worst outcomes, while cluster 1 had the most favorable outcomes in terms of persistent lactic acidosis and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Consensus clustering analysis synthesized the pattern of clinical and laboratory data to reveal clinically distinct lactic acidosis subgroups with different outcomes.

Machine Learning Consensus Clustering Approach for Hospitalized Patients with Dysmagnesemia.

BACKGROUND: The objectives of this study were to classify patients with serum magnesium derangement on hospital admission into clusters using unsupervised machine learning approach and to evaluate the mortality risks among these distinct clusters. METHODS: Consensus cluster analysis was performed based on demographic information, principal diagnoses, comorbidities, and laboratory data in hypomagnesemia (serum magnesium ≤ 1.6 mg/dL) and hypermagnesemia cohorts (serum magnesium ≥ 2.4 mg/dL). Each cluster's key features were determined using the standardized mean difference. The associations of the clusters with hospital mortality and one-year mortality were assessed. RESULTS: In hypomagnesemia cohort (n = 13,320), consensus cluster analysis identified three clusters. Cluster 1 patients had the highest comorbidity burden and lowest serum magnesium. Cluster 2 patients had the youngest age, lowest comorbidity burden, and highest kidney function. Cluster 3 patients had the oldest age and lowest kidney function. Cluster 1 and cluster 3 were associated with higher hospital and one-year mortality compared to cluster 2. In hypermagnesemia cohort (n = 4671), the analysis identified two clusters. Compared to cluster 1, the key features of cluster 2 included older age, higher comorbidity burden, more hospital admissions primarily due to kidney disease, more acute kidney injury, and lower kidney function. Compared to cluster 1, cluster 2 was associated with higher hospital mortality and one-year mortality. CONCLUSION: Our cluster analysis identified clinically distinct phenotypes with differing mortality risks in hospitalized patients with dysmagnesemia. Future studies are required to assess the application of this ML consensus clustering approach to care for hospitalized patients with dysmagnesemia.

Machine Learning Prediction Models for Mortality in Intensive Care Unit Patients with Lactic Acidosis.

BACKGROUND: Lactic acidosis is the most common cause of anion gap metabolic acidosis in the intensive care unit (ICU), associated with poor outcomes including mortality. We sought to compare machine learning (ML) approaches versus logistic regression analysis for prediction of mortality in lactic acidosis patients admitted to the ICU. METHODS: We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database to identify ICU adult patients with lactic acidosis (serum lactate ≥4 mmol/L). The outcome of interest was hospital mortality. We developed prediction models using four ML approaches consisting of random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), artificial neural network (ANN), and statistical modeling with forward stepwise logistic regression using the testing dataset. We then assessed model performance using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), accuracy, precision, error rate, Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), F1 score, and assessed model calibration using the Brier score, in the independent testing dataset. RESULTS: Of 1919 lactic acidosis ICU patients, 1535 and 384 were included in the training and testing dataset, respectively. Hospital mortality was 30%. RF had the highest AUROC at 0.83, followed by logistic regression 0.81, XGBoost 0.81, ANN 0.79, and DT 0.71. In addition, RF also had the highest accuracy (0.79), MCC (0.45), F1 score (0.56), and lowest error rate (21.4%). The RF model was the most well-calibrated. The Brier score for RF, DT, XGBoost, ANN, and multivariable logistic regression was 0.15, 0.19, 0.18, 0.19, and 0.16, respectively. The RF model outperformed multivariable logistic regression model, SOFA score (AUROC 0.74), SAP II score (AUROC 0.77), and Charlson score (AUROC 0.69). CONCLUSION: The ML prediction model using RF algorithm provided the highest predictive performance for hospital mortality among ICU patient with lactic acidosis.

Machine Learning Consensus Clustering Approach for Hospitalized Patients with Phosphate Derangements.

BACKGROUND: The goal of this study was to categorize patients with abnormal serum phosphate upon hospital admission into distinct clusters utilizing an unsupervised machine learning approach, and to assess the mortality risk associated with these clusters. METHODS: We utilized the consensus clustering approach on demographic information, comorbidities, principal diagnoses, and laboratory data of hypophosphatemia (serum phosphate ≤ 2.4 mg/dL) and hyperphosphatemia cohorts (serum phosphate ≥ 4.6 mg/dL). The standardized mean difference was applied to determine each cluster's key features. We assessed the association of the clusters with mortality. RESULTS: In the hypophosphatemia cohort (n = 3113), the consensus cluster analysis identified two clusters. The key features of patients in Cluster 2, compared with Cluster 1, included: older age; a higher comorbidity burden, particularly hypertension; diabetes mellitus; coronary artery disease; lower eGFR; and more acute kidney injury (AKI) at admission. Cluster 2 had a comparable hospital mortality (3.7% vs. 2.9%; p = 0.17), but a higher one-year mortality (26.8% vs. 14.0%; p < 0.001), and five-year mortality (20.2% vs. 44.3%; p < 0.001), compared to Cluster 1. In the hyperphosphatemia cohort (n = 7252), the analysis identified two clusters. The key features of patients in Cluster 2, compared with Cluster 1, included: older age; more primary admission for kidney disease; more history of hypertension; more end-stage kidney disease; more AKI at admission; and higher admission potassium, magnesium, and phosphate. Cluster 2 had a higher hospital (8.9% vs. 2.4%; p < 0.001) one-year mortality (32.9% vs. 14.8%; p < 0.001), and five-year mortality (24.5% vs. 51.1%; p < 0.001), compared with Cluster 1. CONCLUSION: Our cluster analysis classified clinically distinct phenotypes with different mortality risks among hospitalized patients with serum phosphate derangements. Age, comorbidities, and kidney function were the key features that differentiated the phenotypes.

Clinically Distinct Subtypes of Acute Kidney Injury on Hospital Admission Identified by Machine Learning Consensus Clustering.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to cluster patients with acute kidney injury at hospital admission into clinically distinct subtypes using an unsupervised machine learning approach and assess the mortality risk among the distinct clusters. METHODS: We performed consensus clustering analysis based on demographic information, principal diagnoses, comorbidities, and laboratory data among 4289 hospitalized adult patients with acute kidney injury at admission. The standardized difference of each variable was calculated to identify each cluster's key features. We assessed the association of each acute kidney injury cluster with hospital and one-year mortality. RESULTS: Consensus clustering analysis identified four distinct clusters. There were 1201 (28%) patients in cluster 1, 1396 (33%) patients in cluster 2, 1191 (28%) patients in cluster 3, and 501 (12%) patients in cluster 4. Cluster 1 patients were the youngest and had the least comorbidities. Cluster 2 and cluster 3 patients were older and had lower baseline kidney function. Cluster 2 patients had lower serum bicarbonate, strong ion difference, and hemoglobin, but higher serum chloride, whereas cluster 3 patients had lower serum chloride but higher serum bicarbonate and strong ion difference. Cluster 4 patients were younger and more likely to be admitted for genitourinary disease and infectious disease but less likely to be admitted for cardiovascular disease. Cluster 4 patients also had more severe acute kidney injury, lower serum sodium, serum chloride, and serum bicarbonate, but higher serum potassium and anion gap. Cluster 2, 3, and 4 patients had significantly higher hospital and one-year mortality than cluster 1 patients (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated using machine learning consensus clustering analysis to characterize a heterogeneous cohort of patients with acute kidney injury on hospital admission into four clinically distinct clusters with different associated mortality risks.

Subtyping Hyperchloremia among Hospitalized Patients by Machine Learning Consensus Clustering.

Background and Objectives: Despite the association between hyperchloremia and adverse outcomes, mortality risks among patients with hyperchloremia have not consistently been observed among all studies with different patient populations with hyperchloremia. The objective of this study was to characterize hyperchloremic patients at hospital admission into clusters using an unsupervised machine learning approach and to evaluate the mortality risk among these distinct clusters. Materials and Methods: We performed consensus cluster analysis based on demographic information, principal diagnoses, comorbidities, and laboratory data among 11,394 hospitalized adult patients with admission serum chloride of >108 mEq/L. We calculated the standardized mean difference of each variable to identify each cluster's key features. We assessed the association of each hyperchloremia cluster with hospital and one-year mortality. Results: There were three distinct clusters of patients with admission hyperchloremia: 3237 (28%), 4059 (36%), and 4098 (36%) patients in clusters 1 through 3, respectively. Cluster 1 was characterized by higher serum chloride but lower serum sodium, bicarbonate, hemoglobin, and albumin. Cluster 2 was characterized by younger age, lower comorbidity score, lower serum chloride, and higher estimated glomerular filtration (eGFR), hemoglobin, and albumin. Cluster 3 was characterized by older age, higher comorbidity score, higher serum sodium, potassium, and lower eGFR. Compared with cluster 2, odds ratios for hospital mortality were 3.60 (95% CI 2.33-5.56) for cluster 1, and 4.83 (95% CI 3.21-7.28) for cluster 3, whereas hazard ratios for one-year mortality were 4.49 (95% CI 3.53-5.70) for cluster 1 and 6.96 (95% CI 5.56-8.72) for cluster 3. Conclusions: Our cluster analysis identified three clinically distinct phenotypes with differing mortality risks in hospitalized patients with admission hyperchloremia.

Machine Learning Consensus Clustering of Hospitalized Patients with Admission Hyponatremia.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to characterize patients with hyponatremia at hospital admission into clusters using an unsupervised machine learning approach, and to evaluate the short- and long-term mortality risk among these distinct clusters. METHODS: We performed consensus cluster analysis based on demographic information, principal diagnoses, comorbidities, and laboratory data among 11,099 hospitalized adult hyponatremia patients with an admission serum sodium below 135 mEq/L. The standardized mean difference was utilized to identify each cluster's key features. We assessed the association of each hyponatremia cluster with hospital and one-year mortality using logistic and Cox proportional hazard analysis, respectively. RESULTS: There were three distinct clusters of hyponatremia patients: 2033 (18%) in cluster 1, 3064 (28%) in cluster 2, and 6002 (54%) in cluster 3. Among these three distinct clusters, clusters 3 patients were the youngest, had lowest comorbidity burden, and highest kidney function. Cluster 1 patients were more likely to be admitted for genitourinary disease, and have diabetes and end-stage kidney disease. Cluster 1 patients had the lowest kidney function, serum bicarbonate, and hemoglobin, but highest serum potassium and prevalence of acute kidney injury. In contrast, cluster 2 patients were the oldest and were more likely to be admitted for respiratory disease, have coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, stroke, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Cluster 2 patients had lowest serum sodium and serum chloride, but highest serum bicarbonate. Cluster 1 patients had the highest hospital mortality and one-year mortality, followed by cluster 2 and cluster 3, respectively. CONCLUSION: We identified three clinically distinct phenotypes with differing mortality risks in a heterogeneous cohort of hospitalized hyponatremic patients using an unsupervised machine learning approach.

Hypotension within one-hour from starting CRRT is associated with in-hospital mortality.

PURPOSE: To investigate early hemodynamic instability and its implications on adverse outcomes in patients who require continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective study of patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and underwent CRRT at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota between December 2006 through November 2015. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality and major adverse kidney events (MAKE) at 90 days. Hypotension was defined as any of the following criteria occurring during the first hour of CRRT initiation: mean arterial pressure < 60 mmHg, systolic blood pressure (SBP) <90 mmHg or a decline in SBP >40 mmHg from baseline, a positive fluid balance >500 mL or increased vasopressor requirement. The analysis included 1743 patients, 1398 with acute kidney injury (AKI). In-hospital mortality occurred in 884 patients (51%). Early hypotension occurred in 1124 patients (64.6%) and remained independently associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 1.56, 95% CI: 1.25-1.9). CONCLUSION: Hypotension occurs frequently in patients receiving CRRT despite having a reputation as the dialysis modality with better hemodynamic tolerance. It is an independent predictor for worse outcomes. Further studies are required to understand this phenomenon.

Safety and compatibility of smart device heart rhythm monitoring in patients with cardiovascular implantable electronic devices.

INTRODUCTION: Emerging medical technology has allowed for monitoring of heart rhythm abnormalities using smartphone compatible devices. The safety and utility of such devices have not been established in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs). We sought to assess the safety and compatibility of the Food and Drug Administration-approved AliveCor Kardia device in patients with CIEDs. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively recruited patients with CIED for a Kardia recording during their routine device interrogation. A recording was obtained in paced and nonpaced states. Adverse clinical events were noted at the time of recording. Electrograms (EGMs) from the cardiac device were obtained at the time of recording to assess for any electromagnetic interference (EMI) introduced by Kardia. Recordings were analyzed for quality and given a score of 3 (interpretable rhythm, no noise), 2 (interpretable rhythm, significant noise) or 1 (uninterpretable). A total of 251 patients were recruited (59% with a pacemaker and 41% with ICD). There were no adverse clinical events noted at the time of recording and no changes to CIED settings. Review of all EGMs revealed no EMI introduced by Kardia. Recordings were correctly interpreted in 90% of paced recordings (183 had a score of 3, 43 of 2, and 25 of 1) and 94.7% of nonpaced recordings (147 of 3, 15 of 2, and 9 of 1). CONCLUSION: The AliveCor Kardia device has an excellent safety profile when used in conjunction with most CIEDs. The quality of recordings was preserved in this population. The device, therefore, can be considered for heart rhythm monitoring in patients with CIEDs.

Development and Validation of a Deep-Learning Model to Screen for Hyperkalemia From the Electrocardiogram.

Importance: For patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), hyperkalemia is common, associated with fatal arrhythmias, and often asymptomatic, while guideline-directed monitoring of serum potassium is underused. A deep-learning model that enables noninvasive hyperkalemia screening from the electrocardiogram (ECG) may improve detection of this life-threatening condition. Objective: To evaluate the performance of a deep-learning model in detection of hyperkalemia from the ECG in patients with CKD. Design, Setting, and Participants: A deep convolutional neural network (DNN) was trained using 1 576 581 ECGs from 449 380 patients seen at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, from 1994 to 2017. The DNN was trained using 2 (leads I and II) or 4 (leads I, II, V3, and V5) ECG leads to detect serum potassium levels of 5.5 mEq/L or less (to convert to millimoles per liter, multiply by 1) and was validated using retrospective data from the Mayo Clinic in Minnesota, Florida, and Arizona. The validation included 61 965 patients with stage 3 or greater CKD. Each patient had a serum potassium count drawn within 4 hours after their ECG was recorded. Data were analyzed between April 12, 2018, and June 25, 2018. Exposures: Use of a deep-learning model. Main Outcomes and Measures: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and sensitivity and specificity, with serum potassium level as the reference standard. The model was evaluated at 2 operating points, 1 for equal specificity and sensitivity and another for high (90%) sensitivity. Results: Of the total 1 638 546 ECGs, 908 000 (55%) were from men. The prevalence of hyperkalemia in the 3 validation data sets ranged from 2.6% (n = 1282 of 50 099; Minnesota) to 4.8% (n = 287 of 6011; Florida). Using ECG leads I and II, the AUC of the deep-learning model was 0.883 (95% CI, 0.873-0.893) for Minnesota, 0.860 (95% CI, 0.837-0.883) for Florida, and 0.853 (95% CI, 0.830-0.877) for Arizona. Using a 90% sensitivity operating point, the sensitivity was 90.2% (95% CI, 88.4%-91.7%) and specificity was 63.2% (95% CI, 62.7%-63.6%) for Minnesota; the sensitivity was 91.3% (95% CI, 87.4%-94.3%) and specificity was 54.7% (95% CI, 53.4%-56.0%) for Florida; and the sensitivity was 88.9% (95% CI, 84.5%-92.4%) and specificity was 55.0% (95% CI, 53.7%-56.3%) for Arizona. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, using only 2 ECG leads, a deep-learning model detected hyperkalemia in patients with renal disease with an AUC of 0.853 to 0.883. The application of artificial intelligence to the ECG may enable screening for hyperkalemia. Prospective studies are warranted.

End of Life, Withdrawal, and Palliative Care Utilization among Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis Therapy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Withdrawal from maintenance hemodialysis before death has become more common because of high disease and treatment burden. The study objective was to identify patient factors and examine the terminal course associated with hemodialysis withdrawal, and assess patterns of palliative care involvement before death among patients on maintenance hemodialysis. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: We designed an observational cohort study of adult patients on incident hemodialysis in a midwestern United States tertiary center, from January 2001 to November 2013, with death events through to November 2015. Logistic regression models evaluated associations between patient characteristics and withdrawal status and palliative care service utilization. RESULTS: Among 1226 patients, 536 died and 262 (49% of 536) withdrew. A random sample (10%; 52 out of 536) review of Death Notification Forms revealed 73% sensitivity for withdrawal. Risk factors for withdrawal before death included older age, white race, palliative care consultation within 6 months, hospitalization within 30 days, cerebrovascular disease, and no coronary artery disease. Most withdrawal decisions were made by patients (60%) or a family member (33%; surrogates). The majority withdrew either because of acute medical complications (51%) or failure to thrive/frailty (22%). After withdrawal, median time to death was 7 days (interquartile range, 4-11). In-hospital deaths were less common in the withdrawal group (34% versus 46% nonwithdrawal, P=0.003). A third (34%; 90 out of 262) of those that withdrew received palliative care services. Palliative care consultation in the withdrawal group was associated with longer hemodialysis duration (odds ratio, 1.19 per year; 95% confidence interval, 1.10 to 1.3; P<0.001), hospitalization within 30 days of death (odds ratio, 5.78; 95% confidence interval, 2.62 to 12.73; P<0.001), and death in hospital (odds ratio, 1.92; 95% confidence interval, 1.13 to 3.27; P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: In this single-center study, the rate of hemodialysis withdrawals were twice the frequency previously described. Acute medical complications and frailty appeared to be driving factors. However, palliative care services were used in only a minority of patients.

Errors of Classification With Potassium Blood Testing: The Variability and Repeatability of Critical Clinical Tests.

OBJECTIVE: To understand the performance of a currently used clinical blood test with regard to the frequency and size of variation of the results. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From November 29, 2012, through November 29, 2013, patients were recruited at 65 sites as part of a previously reported clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01737697). Eligible outpatients who had been fasting for at least 8 hours underwent venous phlebotomy at baseline, 30 minutes, and 60 minutes to measure plasma potassium levels in whole blood using a point-of-care device (i-STAT, Abbott Laboratories). We analyzed the results to assess their variability and frequency of pseudohyperkalemia and pseudonormokalemia. RESULTS: A total of 1170 patients were included in this study. Absolute differences between pairs of measurements from different time points ranged from 0 to 2.5 mmol/L, with a mean difference of 0.26 mmol/L. The mean percentage differences were approximately 5% with an SD of 5%. Approximately 12% of differences between repeated fasting potassium blood test results were above 0.5 mmol/L (33% of the normal range), and 20% of patients (234) had at least one difference greater than 0.5 mmol/L. In 44.0% of the patients with a hyperkalemic average value (true hyperkalemia) (302 of 686), at least one blood test result was in the normal range (pseudonormokalemia), and in 30.2% of the patients with a normal average value (146 of 484), at least one blood test result was elevated (pseudohyperkalemia). CONCLUSION: Expected variability and errors exist with potassium blood tests, even when conditions are optimized. Pseudohyperkalemia and pseudonormokalemia are common, indicating a need for thoughtful clinical interpretation of unexpected test results.

Prospective Study of Routine Heparin Avoidance Hemodialysis in a Tertiary Acute Care Inpatient Practice.

INTRODUCTION: Extracorporeal circuit (EC) anticoagulation with heparin is a key advance in hemodialysis (HD), but anticoagulation is problematic in inpatients at risk of bleeding. We prospectively evaluated a heparin-avoidance HD protocol, clotting of the EC circuit (CEC), impact on dialysis efficiency, and associated risk factors in our acute care inpatients who required HD (January 17, 2014 to May 31, 2015). METHODS: HD sessions without routine EC heparin were performed using airless dialysis tubing. Patients received systemic anticoagulation therapy and/or antiplatelets for non-HD indications. We observed patients for indications of CEC (interrupted HD session, circuit loss, or inability to return blood). The primary outcome was CEC. Logistic regression with generalized estimating equations assessed associations between CEC and other variables. RESULTS: HD sessions (n = 1200) were performed in 338 patients (204 with end-stage renal disease; 134 with acute kidney injury); a median session was 211 minutes (interquartile range [IQR]: 183-240 minutes); delivered dialysis dose measured by Kt/V was 1.4 (IQR: 1.2 Kt/V 1.7). Heparin in the EC was prescribed in only 4.5% of sessions; EC clotting rate was 5.2%. Determinants for CEC were temporary catheters (odds ratio [OR]: 2.8; P < 0.01), transfusions (OR: 2.4; P = 0.04), therapeutic systemic anticoagulation (OR: 0.2; P < 0.01), and antiplatelets (OR: 0.4; P < 0.01). CEC was associated with a lower delivered Kt/V (difference: 0.39; P < 0.01). Most CEC events during transfusions (71%) occurred with administration of blood products through the HD circuit. DISCUSSION: We successfully adopted heparin avoidance using airless HD tubing as our standard inpatient protocol. This protocol is feasible and safe in acute care inpatient HD. CEC rates were low and were associated with temporary HD catheters and transfusions. Antiplatelet agents and systemic anticoagulation were protective.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:NCT02086682.

Noninvasive blood potassium measurement using signal-processed, single-lead ecg acquired from a handheld smartphone.

OBJECTIVE: We have previously used a 12-lead, signal-processed ECG to calculate blood potassium levels. We now assess the feasibility of doing so with a smartphone-enabled single lead, to permit remote monitoring. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Twenty-one hemodialysis patients held a smartphone equipped with inexpensive FDA-approved electrodes for three 2min intervals during hemodialysis. Individualized potassium estimation models were generated for each patient. ECG-calculated potassium values were compared to blood potassium results at subsequent visits to evaluate the accuracy of the potassium estimation models. RESULTS: The mean absolute error between the estimated potassium and blood potassium 0.38±0.32 mEq/L (9% of average potassium level) decreasing to 0.6 mEq/L using predictors of poor signal. CONCLUSIONS: A single-lead ECG acquired using electrodes attached to a smartphone device can be processed to calculate the serum potassium with an error of 9% in patients undergoing hemodialysis. SUMMARY: A single-lead ECG acquired using electrodes attached to a smartphone can be processed to calculate the serum potassium in patients undergoing hemodialysis remotely.

High-dose hydroxocobalamin for vasoplegic syndrome causing false blood leak alarm.

Blood leak alarms are important safety features in a hemodialysis machine to protect patients from loss of blood through a rupture in the dialyzer membrane (true alarms). A false blood leak alarm can be triggered by air bubbles or detector malfunction (such as deposits of grease or scale). Hydroxocobalamin is an injectable form of vitamin B12 approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of confirmed or suspected cyanide toxicity. Due to observations of an increase in arterial pressure after high-dose hydroxocobalamin infusion for the treatment of acute cyanide poisoning, it has recently been reported as an off-label rescue treatment for post-cardiopulmonary bypass vasoplegic syndrome. We report an 83-year-old man who received hydroxocobalamin following cardiac surgery for treatment of vasoplegic syndrome. The patient developed severe acute kidney injury with volume overload. Hydroxocobalamin interference with the blood leak detector compromised his dialysis treatment. We describe the use of continuous renal replacement therapy to overcome the hydroxocobalamin-related interference with hemodialysis. As the utility of hydroxocobalamin potentially expands, physicians must be aware of its inadvertent effect on renal replacement therapy.