Autonomic Nerve Function Predicts Risk of Early Death after Discharge in Acute Medical Disease.

BACKGROUND: Heart rate variability, a marker of autonomic function, has shown promising prognostic results in specific populations, but has not been tested in a general medical population. We hypothesized that heart rate variability identifies high-risk medical patients early after admission to the hospital. METHODS: This was a single-center prospective cohort study of acutely admitted medical patients aged ≥18 years with a life expectancy ≥3 months, included between 2019-2023. Unstable patients needing direct admission to the intensive care unit were excluded. Heart rate variability was recorded within 24 hours of admission for 10 minutes. The standard deviation of normal-normal beats (SDNN) was the primary heart rate variability marker. Low SDNN was defined as the lowest tertile (≤22 ms). The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. The secondary outcome was 30-day readmission or mortality. RESULTS: Among 721 patients included, low SDNN carried an 8-fold greater risk of 30-day mortality in univariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 8.3; P = .001); in multivariate analyses a 4-fold greater risk (HR 3.8; P = .037). Low SDNN was associated with the combined outcome of 30-day mortality or readmission (HR 1.5; P = .03) in multivariate analysis. In receiver operating characteristics analyses, low SDNN improved the predictive accuracy of early warning score for 30-day mortality or readmission from 0.63 to 0.71 (P = .008) but did not improve the accuracy for 30-day mortality alone. CONCLUSIONS: In patients admitted due to acute medical illness, low heart rate variability predicted 30-day mortality and readmission, suggesting heart rate variability as a tool to identify patients at high and low risk of relevant endpoints.

Parasympathetic tonus in type 2 diabetes and pre-diabetes and its clinical implications.

Autonomic imbalance reflected by higher resting heart rate and reduced parasympathetic tone may be driven by low-grade inflammation (LGI) and impaired glycemic control in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and pre-diabetes. We examined the interaction of parasympathetic components of heart rate variability (HRV), variables of LGI, and glucose metabolism in people with T2DM, pre-diabetes, and normal glucose metabolism (NGM). We recorded HRV by Holter (48 h) in 633 community-dwelling people of whom T2DM n = 131, pre-diabetes n = 372, and NGM n = 130 and mean HbA1c of 7.2, 6.0 and 5.3%, respectively. Age was 55-75 years and all were without known cardiovascular disease except from hypertension. Fasting plasma glucose, fasting insulin, HOMA-IR, HbA1c and LGI (CRP, Interleukin-18 (IL-18), and white blood cells) were measured. Root-mean-square-of-normal-to-normal-beats (RMSSD), and proportion of normal-to-normal complexes differing by more than 50 ms (pNN50) are accepted measures of parasympathetic activity. In univariate analyses, RMSSD and pNN50 were significantly inversely correlated with level of HbA1c and CRP among people with T2DM and pre-diabetes, but not among NGM. RMSSD and pNN50 remained significantly inversely associated with level of HbA1c after adjusting for age, sex, smoking, and BMI among people with T2DM (ß = - 0.22) and pre-diabetes (ß = - 0.11); adjustment for LGI, HOMA-IR, and FPG did not attenuate these associations. In backward elimination models, age and level of HbA1c remained associated with RMSSD and pNN50. In people with well controlled diabetes and pre-diabetes, a lower parasympathetic activity was more related to age and HbA1c than to markers of LGI. Thus, this study shows that the driver of parasympathetic tonus may be more the level of glycemic control than inflammation in people with prediabetes and well controlled diabetes.