The regression of the bovine tuberculin reaction: Results from the Reactor Quality Assurance study in Northern Ireland.

Tuberculin skin tests remain widely used in the control of bovine tuberculosis (bTB) in cattle. Little is known about the rate of regression of tuberculin reactions after the comparative intradermal cervical test (CICT) in cattle. This study aimed to collect data to describe tuberculin regression in reactors following the CICT at 72 ± 4 h post injection. Reactors were also tested using the interferon gamma (IFN-γ) assay to establish if any pattern existed between these results and the CICT reaction regression. The data were derived from 108 herds, 112 herd-level CICTs and 1008 animals. A multivariable linear mixed model was built to explore the regression of the bovine tuberculin reaction over time and the influence of potential predictors. The results confirmed a proportional decline in the bovine tuberculin reaction occurred over time. The predictors in the final model demonstrated that regression of the tuberculin reaction differed between reactors according to their IFN-γ test results and whether visible lesions were present at slaughter. Follow-up measurement of tuberculin reactions and the serial use of the IFN-γ assay in large breakdowns has the potential to provide both a mechanism for quality assurance of the current CICT bTB surveillance and the identification of atypical breakdowns or reactors requiring further investigation.

Further description of bovine tuberculosis trends in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland, 2003-2015.

Extending on earlier work, trends in bovine tuberculosis (bTB) from 2003 to 2015 are described for the countries of the UK and the Republic of Ireland using standardised definitions and measures. Based on measures of animal and herd incidence, there remains a stable situation of extremely low prevalence in Scotland and the Low Risk Area of England, and a higher but ongoing reduction in prevalence in the Republic of Ireland. In Northern Ireland, there has been a rising bTB trend during 2010-2015, although not to levels experienced during 2002-2004. In the High Risk Area and Edge Area of England during 2010-2015, the rising bTB trends have continued but with some recent evidence of stabilisation. In Wales, prevalence has fallen subsequent to a peak in 2008. The paper considers country-level differences in the light of key policy changes, which are presented in detail. This work is unique, and will assist policymakers when critically evaluating policy options for effective control and eradication. Ongoing updates of this analysis would be useful, providing an evidence base for country-level comparison of bTB trends into the future. The use of multivariable analytical methods should be considered, but will rely on substantial sharing of raw data across the five countries.