Predictive factors for low rate of remission in a population of Colombian patients with severe proliferative lupus nephritis.

The objective of this study is to determine the predictive risk factors of failure to achieve remission within 12 months in a group of patients with proliferative lupus nephritis from Northwestern Colombia. Pragmatic clinical study with retrospective analysis was conducted. We included subjects with systemic lupus erythematosus as defined by the American College of Rheumatology with biopsy-proven nephritis. We assessed 149 patients, with 84 % female. Age at diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus is 24.7 years (16-31). The time between diagnosis of lupus erythematosus and proliferative nephritis is 2 months (0-35.5). ISN/RPS 2003 histologic classification types are the following: IV (63.8 %), III (13.4 %), V + III (3.3 %), and V + IV (3.3 %). Activity index is 6.18 ± 4.55 and chronicity index is 1 (0-3). The result of 24-h proteinuria is 2000 mg (667-4770) and baseline creatinine is 0.9 mg/dL (0.7-1.3). Induction therapy includes corticosteroids (100 %), cyclophosphamide (74.1 %), and mycophenolate mofetil (25.9 %). At 12 months, 40.7 % of individuals failed to attain partial or complete remission. Elevated creatinine (p = 0.0001) and 24-h proteinuria greater than 1500 mg (p = 0.0011) were basal predictors of failure to attain partial or complete remission by bivariate analysis. Similar results were obtained in multivariate analysis: Baseline creatinine elevation (OR 3.62, 95 % CI, 1.59-8.23; p = 0.002) and 24-h proteinuria greater than 1500 mg (OR 3.62, 95 % CI, 1.29-10.13; p = 0.014) were independent predictors of failure to achieve partial or complete remission. At 12 months, 40.7 % of patients did not attain partial or complete remission. Baseline elevated creatinine and 24-h proteinuria over 1500 mg were predictors for poor response.

Predictive risk factors for failure to induction therapy of lupus nephritis in a cohort of Colombian patients.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the predictors of failure to obtain remission after induction therapy for proliferative lupus nephritis in a group of northwestern Colombian patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted. We included patients with systemic lupus erythematosus according to the American College of Rheumatology criteria who had nephritis confirmed by renal biopsy. RESULTS: We followed 84 patients: 88.1% female, and 11.9% male. The mean age at diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus was 27.5±11.8 years (9-70). The average time between diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus and proliferative nephritis onset was 13.6 months (0-168). Histopathologic type: iv (78.57%), iii (15.47%), iii-iv/v (5.96%). Activity index: 6.7±4.6. Chronicity index: 2±2.7. 24-hour proteinuria (mg): 6,164 (130-18,100). Baseline creatinine: 1.14 mg/dL (0.43-7.4). Induction therapy: Steroids (100%), cyclophosphamide (76.2%) and mycophenolate mofetil (23.8%). At six months, 56% of individuals failed to achieve partial or complete remission. Predictors of failure to induction therapy were, in accordance with the bivariate analysis (OR; 95%CI): creatinine level more than 1.2mg/dL (10.8; 3.18-36.84; P<.005), nephrotic range proteinuria (11.9; 3.09-45.8; P<.001), and an activity index above 8 (5.04; 1.7-14.3; P<.001). In the multivariate analysis, only baseline creatinine higher than 1.2mg/dL (10.92; 2.65-45.02; P=.001), and nephrotic range proteinuria (9.81; 1.85-52.04; P=.007) were significant. CONCLUSIONS: A significant percentage of Colombian patients fail to achieve remission of proliferative lupus nephritis after six months of treatment.