Pursuing Elimination of Hepatitis C in Egypt: Cost-Effectiveness and Economic Evaluation of a Country-Wide Program.

INTRODUCTION: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a global public health crisis. Egypt presents the highest HCV global prevalence. Recently, three different HCV screening/testing/therapy programs were implemented: In 2014 (wave 1), major decisions on HCV therapy were enacted, accompanied by a 99% discount for the HCV therapy sofosbuvir. In 2016 (wave 2), a first testing program was launched to identify patients for free treatment. In 2018 (wave 3), population-wide screening was conducted using a WHO-prequalified finger prick rapid diagnostic test (RDT) to identify/treat all Egyptians with HCV. The financial advantages of HCV screening programs (wave 1-3 results) were estimated vs a baseline period of limited Egyptian HCV testing/therapeutic intervention (2008-2014). METHODS: Using published evidence and model-based estimates from real-world data, we evaluated the direct costs of the different HCV programs, accompanied by a conservative simulation of major HCV health consequences (i.e., liver-related deaths/life years lost) and related indirect costs. Total economic consequences of each HCV program were compared to each other and baseline from a societal perspective. Future costs and health effects were discounted by 3.5% per year. RESULTS: Discounted total costs (in US dollars) were $1,057 billion (baseline), $913 million (wave 1), $457 million (wave 2), and $396 million (wave 3). Discounted HCV-related life years lost were 418,000 (baseline), 377,000 (wave 1), 142,000 (wave 2), and 62,000 (wave 3). With each successive Egyptian HCV screening/testing/therapy wave, total costs and HCV-related mortality were reduced. CONCLUSION: Use of the community-applied, WHO-prequalified RDT was the most dominant approach to cost-effectiveness. These results provide rationale for worldwide scalability of similar HCV elimination programs.

Nationwide hepatitis C virus screening and treatment of adolescents in Egyptian schools.

Until 2018, Egypt had the highest prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection globally, affecting approximately 7% of the population. Despite efforts in diagnosis and treatment since 2006, nearly 2 million individuals with chronic HCV infection had yet to be diagnosed as of early 2018. In December, 2018, a mass HCV screening campaign for adolescents aged 15-18 years was initiated. Among 3 024 325 adolescents screened, the HCV antibody seroprevalence was 11 477 (0·38%), of whom 8187 (78·7%) were HCV RNA-positive. Sustained virological response 12 weeks after completion of treatment (SVR12) was attained by 7327 (99·6%) adolescents with a fixed-dose combination of generic ledipasvir 90 mg plus sofosbuvir 400 mg. Although mass screening in this age group might not be regularly adopted by many health systems and its cost-effectiveness might be lower than the screening of adults and high-risk groups (eg, patients on haemodialysis, people who inject drugs), breaking the chain of transmission in younger populations should lead to a reduction in HCV incidence and complications, and hasten the elimination of the disease.

The Burden of Obesity in Egypt.

Objective: Estimating the burden of obesity to society is an essential step in setting priorities and raising awareness. We aimed to assess the clinical, humanistic and economic burden of obesity for adults in Egypt. Methods: We used the population attributable fraction concept to estimate the burden. A non-systematic review was conducted to estimate the prevalence of obesity and its comorbidities in addition to the obesity attributable fraction. Patient numbers, direct healthcare costs, disability adjusted life years (DALYs) and attributable mortality were estimated. Results: Obesity is a major contributor to the development of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obstructive sleep apnea and fatty liver, in addition to several serious diseases. The estimated annual deaths due to obesity was about 115 thousand (19.08% of the total estimated deaths in 2020). DALYs attributable to obesity may have reached 4 million in 2020.The economic burden imposed by obesity is around 62 Billion Egyptian pounds annually. This value is the cost of treating diseases attributable to obesity in adults. Conclusions: Diseases attributable to obesity create a huge economic, humanistic, and clinical burden in Egypt. Reducing obesity could help dramatically decrease the catastrophic health effect of these diseases which in turn decreases mortality and DALYs lost.