Extended panel testing in ovarian cancer reveals BRIP1 as the third most important predisposition gene.

PURPOSE: The prevalence of germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in homologous recombination repair (HRR) and Lynch syndrome (LS) genes in ovarian cancer (OC) is uncertain. METHODS: An observational study reporting the detection rate of germline PVs in HRR and LS genes in all OC cases tested in the North West Genomic Laboratory Hub between September 1996 and May 2024. Effect sizes are reported using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for unselected cases tested between April 2021 and May 2024 versus 50703 controls from the Breast Cancer Risk after Diagnostic Gene Sequencing study. RESULTS: 2934 women were tested for BRCA1/2 and 433 (14.8%) had a PV. In up to 1572 women tested for PVs in non-BRCA1/2 HRR genes, detection rates were PALB2=0.8%, BRIP1=1.1%, RAD51C=0.4% and RAD51D=0.4%. In 940 unselected cases, BRIP1 (OR=8.7, 95% CI 4.6-15.8) was the third commonest OC predisposition gene followed by RAD51C (OR=8.3, 95% CI 3.1-23.1), RAD51D (OR=6.5, 95% CI 2.1-19.7) and PALB2 (OR=3.9, 95% CI 1.5-10.3). No PVs in LS genes were detected in unselected cases. CONCLUSIONS: Panel testing in OC resulted in a detection rate of 2-3% for germline PVs in non-BRCA1/2 HRR genes, with the largest contributor being BRIP1. Screening for LS in unselected cases of OC is unnecessary.

Co-observation of germline pathogenic variants in breast cancer predisposition genes: Results from analysis of the BRIDGES sequencing dataset.

Co-observation of a gene variant with a pathogenic variant in another gene that explains the disease presentation has been designated as evidence against pathogenicity for commonly used variant classification guidelines. Multiple variant curation expert panels have specified, from consensus opinion, that this evidence type is not applicable for the classification of breast cancer predisposition gene variants. Statistical analysis of sequence data for 55,815 individuals diagnosed with breast cancer from the BRIDGES sequencing project was undertaken to formally assess the utility of co-observation data for germline variant classification. Our analysis included expected loss-of-function variants in 11 breast cancer predisposition genes and pathogenic missense variants in BRCA1, BRCA2, and TP53. We assessed whether co-observation of pathogenic variants in two different genes occurred more or less often than expected under the assumption of independence. Co-observation of pathogenic variants in each of BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 with the remaining genes was less frequent than expected. This evidence for depletion remained after adjustment for age at diagnosis, study design (familial versus population-based), and country. Co-observation of a variant of uncertain significance in BRCA1, BRCA2, or PALB2 with a pathogenic variant in another breast cancer gene equated to supporting evidence against pathogenicity following criterion strength assignment based on the likelihood ratio and showed utility in reclassification of missense BRCA1 and BRCA2 variants identified in BRIDGES. Our approach has applicability for assessing the value of co-observation as a predictor of variant pathogenicity in other clinical contexts, including for gene-specific guidelines developed by ClinGen Variant Curation Expert Panels.

Cost and cost-effectiveness of BPaL regimen used in drug-resistant TB treatment in the Philippines.

BACKGROUND: In 2022, the WHO announced that the 6-month BPaL/M regimen should be used for drug-resistant TB (DR-TB). We estimate the patient and provider costs of BPaL compared to current standard-of-care treatment in the Philippines. METHODS: Patients on BPaL under operational research, or 9-11-month standard short oral regimen (SSOR) and 18-21-month standard long oral regimen (SLOR) under programmatic conditions were interviewed using the WHO cross-sectional TB patient cost tool. Provider costs were assessed through a bottom-up and top-down costing analysis. RESULTS: Total patient costs per treatment episode were lowest with BPaL (USD518.0) and increased with use of SSOR (USD825.8) and SLOR (USD1,023.0). Total provider costs per successful treatment were lowest with BPaL (USD1,994.5) and increased with SSOR (USD3,121.5) and SLOR (USD10,032.4). Compared to SSOR, BPaL treatment was cost-effective at even the lowest willingness to pay threshold. As expected, SLOR was the costliest and least effective regimen. CONCLUSIONS: Costs incurred by patients on BPaL were 37% (95% CI 22-56) less than SSOR and 50% (95% CI 32-68) less than SLOR, while providers could save 36% (95% CI 21-56) to 80% (95% CI 64-93) per successful treatment, respectively. The study shows that treatment of DR-TB with BPaL was cost-saving for patients and cost-effective for the health system.

CONTEXTE: En 2022, l'OMS a annoncé que le traitement BPaL/M de 6 mois devrait être utilisé pour la TB pharmacorésistante (DR-TB). Nous estimons les coûts du BPaL pour les patients et les prestataires par rapport au traitement standard actuel aux Philippines. MÉTHODES: Des patients sous BPaL dans le cadre d'une recherche opérationnelle, ou un régime oral court standard de 9 à 11 mois (SSOR, pour l'anglais « standard short oral regimen ¼) et un régime oral long standard de 18 à 21 mois (SLOR, pour l'anglais « standard long oral regimen ¼) dans des conditions programmatiques ont été interrogés à l'aide de l'outil transversal de l'OMS sur le coût pour les patients atteints de TB. Les coûts des fournisseurs ont été évalués par une analyse ascendante et descendante des coûts. RÉSULTATS: Les coûts totaux pour les patients par épisode de traitement étaient les plus bas avec BPaL (518,0 USD) et augmentaient avec l'utilisation de SSOR (825,8 USD) et SLOR (1 023,0 USD). Les coûts totaux des prestataires par traitement réussi étaient les plus bas avec BPaL (1 994,5 USD) et ont augmenté avec SSOR (3 121,5 USD) et SLOR (10 032,4 USD). Comparé à SSOR, le traitement BPaL était rentable même au seuil de volonté de payer le plus bas. Comme prévu, le SLOR était le régime le plus coûteux et le moins efficace. CONCLUSIONS: Les coûts encourus par les patients sous BPaL étaient inférieurs de 37% (IC à 95% 22­56) à ceux du SSOR et de 50% (IC à 95% 32­68) à ceux du SLOR, tandis que les prestataires pouvaient économiser respectivement 36 % (IC à 95% 21­56) à 80% (IC à 95% 64­93) par traitement réussi. L'étude montre que le traitement de la DR-TB par BPaL a permis de réaliser des économies pour les patients et pour le système de santé.

Platform trial design for neurofibromatosis type 1, NF2-related schwannomatosis and non-NF2-related schwannomatosis: A potential model for rare diseases.

Background: Neurofibromatosis type 1, NF2-related schwannomatosis and non-NF2-related schwannomatosis (grouped under the abbreviation "NF") are rare hereditary tumor predisposition syndromes. Due to the low prevalence, variability in the range, and severity of manifestations, as well as limited treatment options, these conditions require innovative trial designs to accelerate the development of new treatments. Methods: Within European Patient-Centric Clinical Trial Platforms (EU-PEARL), we designed 2 platform-basket trials in NF. The trials were designed by a team of multidisciplinary NF experts and trial methodology experts. Results: The trial will consist of an observational and a treatment period. The observational period will serve as a longitudinal natural history study. The platform trial design and randomization to a sequence of available interventions allow for the addition of interventions during the trial. If a drug does not meet the predetermined efficacy endpoint or reveals unacceptable toxicities, participants may stop treatment on that arm and re-enter the observational period, where they can be re-randomized to a different treatment arm if eligible. Intervention-specific eligibility criteria and endpoints are listed in intervention-specific-appendices, allowing the flexibility and adaptability needed for highly variable and rare conditions like NF. Conclusions: These innovative platform-basket trials for NF may serve as a model for other rare diseases, as they will enhance the chance of identifying beneficial treatments through optimal learning from a small number of patients. The goal of these trials is to identify beneficial treatments for NF more rapidly and at a lower cost than traditional, single-agent clinical trials.

An app promoting weight gain prevention via healthy behaviours amongst young women with a family history of breast cancer: Acceptability and usability assessment.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is the most frequent female malignancy in the UK. Around 20% of cases are linked to weight gain, excess weight and health behaviours. We designed a weight gain prevention, health behaviour intervention for young women at increased risk. METHODS: The study comprised a single arm observational study over 2 months testing acceptability and usability of the intervention: online group welcome event, app and private Facebook group. Females aged 18-35 years at moderate or high risk of breast cancer (>17% lifetime risk) were recruited via invite letters and social media posts. The app included behaviour change techniques and education content. Online questionnaires were completed at baseline, as well as at 1 and 2 months. We also assessed feasibility of study procedures. RESULTS: Both recruitment methods were successful. Thirty-five women were recruited, 26% via social media posts. Median age was 33 (interquartile range = 28.2-34.5) years, the majority (94.1%) were of White ethnicity. Thirty-four participants were included in the analyses, of which 94% downloaded the app. Median self-monitoring logs per participant during the study period was 10.0 (interquartile range = 4.8-28.8). App quality mean (SD) score was 3.7 (0.6) at 1 and 2 months (scale: 1-5). Eighty-nine per cent rated the app at average or above at 1 month and 75.0% at 2 months. Nineteen women (55.9%) joined the Facebook group and there were 61 comments and 83 reactions and votes from participants during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: This first iteration of the app and intervention was well received and is suitable to progress to the next stage of refining and further testing.

Population-based germline breast cancer gene association studies and meta-analysis to inform wider mainstream testing.

BACKGROUND: Germline genetic testing, previously restricted to familial and young-onset breast cancer, is now offered increasingly broadly to patients with 'population-type' breast cancer in mainstream oncology clinics, with wide variation in the genes included. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Weighted meta-analysis was carried out for three population-based case-control studies (BRIDGES, CARRIERS and UK Biobank) comprising in total 101 397 women with breast cancer and 312 944 women without breast cancer, to quantify 37 putative breast cancer susceptibility genes (BCSGs) for the frequency of pathogenic variants (PVs) in unselected, 'population-type' breast cancer cases and their association with breast cancer and its subtypes. RESULTS: Meta-analysed odds ratios (ORs) and frequencies of PVs in 'population-type' breast cancer cases were generated for BRCA1 (OR 8.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 7.47-10.20; 1 in 101), BRCA2 (OR 5.68, 95% CI 5.13-6.30; 1 in 68) and PALB2 (OR 4.30, 95% CI 3.68-5.03; 1 in 187). For both CHEK2 (OR 2.40, 95% CI 2.21-2.62; 1 in 73) and ATM (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.93-2.41; 1 in 132) subgroup analysis showed a stronger association with oestrogen receptor-positive disease. The magnitude of association and frequency of PVs were low for RAD51C (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.29-2.04; 1 in 913), RAD51D (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.29-2.41; 1 in 1079) and BARD1 (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.85-2.97; 1 in 672); frequencies and associations were higher when the analysis was restricted to triple-negative breast cancers. The PV frequency in 'population-type' breast cancer cases was very low for 'syndromic' BCSGs TP53 (1 in 1844), STK11 (1 in 11 525), CDH1 (1 in 2668), PTEN (1 in 3755) and NF1 (1 in 1470), with metrics of association also modest ranging from OR 3.62 (95% CI 1.98-6.61) for TP53 down to OR 1.60 (95% CI 0.48-5.30) for STK11. CONCLUSIONS: These metrics reflecting 'population-type' breast cancer will be informative in defining the appropriate gene set as we continue to expand to germline testing to an increasingly unselected group of breast cancer cases.

Perspectives from the 2nd International Post-Tuberculosis Symposium: mobilising advocacy and research for improved outcomes.

In 2020, it was estimated that there were 155 million survivors of TB alive, all at risk of possible post TB disability. The 2nd International Post-Tuberculosis Symposium (Stellenbosch, South Africa) was held to increase global awareness and empower TB-affected communities to play an active role in driving the agenda. We aimed to update knowledge on post-TB life and illness, identify research priorities, build research collaborations and highlight the need to embed lung health outcomes in clinical TB trials and programmatic TB care services. The symposium was a multidisciplinary meeting that included clinicians, researchers, TB survivors, funders and policy makers. Ten academic working groups set their own goals and covered the following thematic areas: 1) patient engagement and perspectives; 2) epidemiology and modelling; 3) pathogenesis of post-TB sequelae; 4) post-TB lung disease; 5) cardiovascular and pulmonary vascular complications; 6) neuromuscular & skeletal complications; 7) paediatric complications; 8) economic-social and psychological (ESP) consequences; 9) prevention, treatment and management; 10) advocacy, policy and stakeholder engagement. The working groups provided important updates for their respective fields, highlighted research priorities, and made progress towards the standardisation and alignment of post-TB outcomes and definitions.

En 2020, il est estimé qu'il y a 155 millions de survivants de la TB dans le monde, tous exposés à un risque d'invalidité post-TB. Le deuxième Symposium International Post-Tuberculose (Stellenbosch, Afrique du Sud) a été organisé dans le but de sensibiliser davantage à l'échelle mondiale et de permettre aux communautés touchées par la TB de contribuer activement à la mise en œuvre de l'agenda. De plus, nous avons entrepris de mettre à jour les connaissances sur la vie et les maladies post-TB, de déterminer les domaines de recherche prioritaires, d'établir des partenariats de recherche et de souligner l'importance d'intégrer les résultats sur la santé pulmonaire dans les essais cliniques et les services de soins de la TB. Le symposium était une réunion de travail pluridisciplinaire rassemblant des praticiens, des chercheurs, des personnes ayant survécu à la TB, des donateurs, des décideurs politiques et d'autres acteurs clés. Dix groupes de travail académiques ont établi leurs propres objectifs et ont abordé les sujets thématiques suivants : 1) engagement et perspectives des patients ; 2) épidémiologie et modélisation ; 3) pathogénie des séquelles post-TB ; 4) maladie pulmonaire post-TB (PTLD, pour l'anglais «post-TB lung disease ¼) ; 5) complications cardiovasculaires et vasculaires pulmonaires ; 6) complications neuromusculaires et squelettiques ; 7) complications pédiatriques ; 8) conséquences économiques, sociales et psychologiques (ESP, pour l'anglais «economic-social and psychological¼) ; 9) prévention, traitement et gestion ; 10) plaidoyer, politique et engagement des parties prenantes. Les groupes de travail académiques ont apporté des mises à jour significatives dans leurs domaines respectifs, ont mis en évidence les priorités de recherche et ont avancé vers la normalisation et l'harmonisation des résultats et des définitions de la post-TB.

Online Provision of BRCA1 and BRCA2 Health Information: A Search Engine Driven Systematic Web-Based Analysis.

BRCA genetic testing is available for UK Jewish individuals but the provision of information online for BRCA is unknown. We aimed to evaluate online provision of BRCA information by UK organisations (UKO), UK Jewish community organisations (JCO), and genetic testing providers (GTP). Google searches for organisations offering BRCA information were performed using relevant sets of keywords. The first 100 website links were categorised into UKOs/JCOs/GTPs; additional JCOs were supplemented through community experts. Websites were reviewed using customised questionnaires for BRCA information. Information provision was assessed for five domains: accessibility, scope, depth, accuracy, and quality. These domains were combined to provide a composite score (maximum score = 5). Results were screened (n = 6856) and 45 UKOs, 16 JCOs, and 18 GTPs provided BRCA information. Accessibility was high (84%,66/79). Scope was lacking with 35% (28/79) addressing >50% items. Most (82%, 65/79) described BRCA-associated cancers: breast and/or ovarian cancer was mentioned by 78%(62/79), but only 34% (27/79) mentioned ≥1 pancreatic, prostate, melanoma. Few websites provided carrier frequencies in the general (24%,19/79) and Jewish populations (20%,16/79). Only 15% (12/79) had quality information with some/minimal shortcomings. Overall information provision was low-to-moderate: median scores UKO = 2.1 (IQR = 1), JCO = 1.6 (IQR = 0.9), and GTP = 2.3 (IQR = 1) (maximum-score = 5). There is a scarcity of high-quality BRCA information online. These findings have implications for UK Jewish BRCA programmes and those considering BRCA testing.

The psychosocial impact of prostate cancer screening for BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers.

OBJECTIVES: To report the long-term outcomes from a longitudinal psychosocial study that forms part of the 'Identification of Men with a genetic predisposition to ProstAte Cancer: Targeted Screening in men at higher genetic risk and controls' (IMPACT) study. The IMPACT study is a multi-national study of targeted prostate cancer (PrCa) screening in individuals with a known germline pathogenic variant (GPV) in either the BReast CAncer gene 1 (BRCA1) or the BReast CAncer gene 2 (BRCA2). SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Participants enrolled in the IMPACT study were invited to complete a psychosocial questionnaire prior to each annual screening visit for a minimum of 5 years. The questionnaire included questions on sociodemographics and the following measures: Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, Impact of Event Scale, 36-item Short-Form Health Survey, Memorial Anxiety Scale for PrCa, Cancer Worry Scale, risk perception and knowledge. RESULTS: A total of 760 participants completed questionnaires: 207 participants with GPV in BRCA1, 265 with GPV in BRCA2 and 288 controls (non-carriers from families with a known GPV). We found no evidence of clinically concerning levels of general or cancer-specific distress or poor health-related quality of life in the cohort as a whole. Individuals in the control group had significantly less worry about PrCa compared with the carriers; however, all mean scores were low and within reported general population norms, where available. BRCA2 carriers with previously high prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels experience a small but significant increase in PrCa anxiety (P = 0.01) and PSA-specific anxiety (P < 0.001). Cancer risk perceptions reflected information provided during genetic counselling and participants had good levels of knowledge, although this declined over time. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to report the longitudinal psychosocial impact of a targeted PrCa screening programme for BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers. The results reassure that an annual PSA-based screening programme does not have an adverse impact on psychosocial health or health-related quality of life in these higher-risk individuals. These results are important as more PrCa screening is targeted to higher-risk groups.

NF2-related schwannomatosis and other schwannomatosis: an updated genetic and epidemiological study.

OBJECTIVES: New diagnostic criteria for NF2-related schwannomatosis (NF2) were published in 2022. An updated UK prevalence was generated in accordance with these, with an emphasis on the rate of de novo NF2 (a 50% frequency is widely quoted in genetic counselling). The distribution of variant types among de novo and familial NF2 cases was also assessed. METHODS: The UK National NF2 database identifies patients meeting updated NF2 criteria from a highly ascertained population cared for by England's specialised service. Diagnostic prevalence was assessed on 1 February 2023. Molecular analysis of blood and, where possible, tumour specimens for NF2, LZTR1 and SMARCB1 was performed. RESULTS: 1084 living NF2 patients were identified on prevalence day (equivalent to 1 in 61 332). The proportion with NF2 inherited from an affected parent was only 23% in England. If people without a confirmed molecular diagnosis or bilateral vestibular schwannoma are excluded, the frequency of de novo NF2 remains high (72%). Of the identified de novo cases, almost half were mosaic. The most common variant type was nonsense variants, accounting for 173/697 (24.8%) of people with an established variant, but only 18/235 (7.7%) with an inherited NF2 pathogenic variant (p<0.0001). Missense variants had the highest proportion of familial association (56%). The prevalence of LZTR1-related schwannomatosis and SMARCB1-related schwannomatosis was 1 in 527 000 and 1 in 1.1M, respectively, 8.4-18.4 times lower than NF2. CONCLUSIONS: This work confirms a much higher rate of de novo NF2 than previously reported and highlights the benefits of maintaining patient databases for accurate counselling.

Cost-Effectiveness of Unselected Multigene Germline and Somatic Genetic Testing for Epithelial Ovarian Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Parallel panel germline and somatic genetic testing of all patients with ovarian cancer (OC) can identify more pathogenic variants (PVs) that would benefit from PARP inhibitor (PARPi) therapy, and allow for precision prevention in unaffected relatives with PVs. In this study, we estimate the cost-effectiveness and population impact of parallel panel germline and somatic BRCA testing of all patients with OC incorporating PARPi therapy in the United Kingdom and the United States compared with clinical criteria/family history (FH)-based germline BRCA testing. We also evaluate the cost-effectiveness of multigene panel germline testing alone. METHODS: Microsimulation cost-effectiveness modeling using data from 2,391 (UK: n=1,483; US: n=908) unselected, population-based patients with OC was used to compare lifetime costs and effects of panel germline and somatic BRCA testing of all OC cases (with PARPi therapy) (strategy A) versus clinical criteria/FH-based germline BRCA testing (strategy B). Unaffected relatives with germline BRCA1/BRCA2/RAD51C/RAD51D/BRIP1 PVs identified through cascade testing underwent appropriate OC and breast cancer (BC) risk-reduction interventions. We also compared the cost-effectiveness of multigene panel germline testing alone (without PARPi therapy) versus strategy B. Unaffected relatives with PVs could undergo risk-reducing interventions. Lifetime horizon with payer/societal perspectives, along with probabilistic/one-way sensitivity analyses, are presented. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained were compared with £30,000/QALY (UK) and $100,000/QALY (US) thresholds. OC incidence, BC incidence, and prevented deaths were estimated. RESULTS: Compared with clinical criteria/FH-based BRCA testing, BRCA1/BRCA2/RAD51C/RAD51D/BRIP1 germline testing and BRCA1/BRCA2 somatic testing of all patients with OC incorporating PARPi therapy had a UK ICER of £51,175/QALY (payer perspective) and £50,202/QALY (societal perspective) and a US ICER of $175,232/QALY (payer perspective) and $174,667/QALY (societal perspective), above UK/NICE and US cost-effectiveness thresholds in the base case. However, strategy A becomes cost-effective if PARPi costs decrease by 45% to 46% or if overall survival with PARPi reaches a hazard ratio of 0.28. Unselected panel germline testing alone (without PARPi therapy) is cost-effective, with payer-perspective ICERs of £11,291/QALY or $68,808/QALY and societal-perspective ICERs of £6,923/QALY or $65,786/QALY. One year's testing could prevent 209 UK BC/OC cases and 192 deaths, and 560 US BC/OC cases and 460 deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Unselected panel germline and somatic BRCA testing can become cost-effective, with a 45% to 46% reduction in PARPi costs. Regarding germline testing, unselected panel germline testing is highly cost-effective and should replace BRCA testing alone.

Implementing Multifactorial Risk Assessment with Polygenic Risk Scores for Personalized Breast Cancer Screening in the Population Setting: Challenges and Opportunities.

Risk-stratified breast screening has been proposed as a strategy to overcome the limitations of age-based screening. A prospective cohort study was undertaken within the PERSPECTIVE I&I project, which will generate the first Canadian evidence on multifactorial breast cancer risk assessment in the population setting to inform the implementation of risk-stratified screening. Recruited females aged 40-69 unaffected by breast cancer, with a previous mammogram, underwent multifactorial breast cancer risk assessment. The adoption of multifactorial risk assessment, the effectiveness of methods for collecting risk factor information and the costs of risk assessment were examined. Associations between participant characteristics and study sites, as well as data collection methods, were assessed using logistic regression; all p-values are two-sided. Of the 4246 participants recruited, 88.4% completed a risk assessment, with 79.8%, 15.7% and 4.4% estimated at average, higher than average and high risk, respectively. The total per-participant cost for risk assessment was CAD 315. Participants who chose to provide risk factor information on paper/telephone (27.2%) vs. online were more likely to be older (p = 0.021), not born in Canada (p = 0.043), visible minorities (p = 0.01) and have a lower attained education (p < 0.0001) and perceived fair/poor health (p < 0.001). The 34.4% of participants requiring risk factor verification for missing/unusual values were more likely to be visible minorities (p = 0.009) and have a lower attained education (p ≤ 0.006). This study demonstrates the feasibility of risk assessment for risk-stratified screening at the population level. Implementation should incorporate an equity lens to ensure cancer-screening disparities are not widened.

Evaluation of selection strategies in dual-purpose and specialized breeding of indigenous chicken.

This study aimed to evaluate various selection strategies for adoption in dual-purpose (ICD), meat (ICM) and layer (ICL) breeding goals in indigenous chicken breeding programs. The ICM goal aimed to improve live weight (LW12), daily gain (ADG) and egg weight (EW12) or together with feed efficiency and antibody response. For the ICL goal, age at first egg (AFE) and egg number (EN12) or together with feed efficiency and antibody response were targeted. In the ICD goal, the objective was to improve LW12, ADG, AFE and EN12 or together with feed efficiency and antibody response. Highest total index responses of US$ 49.83, US$ 65.71, and US$ 37.90 were estimated in indices targeting only production traits in the ICD, ICM and ICL goals, respectively. Highest index accuracy estimates of 0.77 and 0.70 were observed in indices that considered production and feed-related traits in the ICD and ICL goals, respectively, while in the ICM goal, the highest estimate of 0.96 was observed in an index targeting only production traits. Inbreeding levels ranged from 0.60 to 1.14% across the various indices considered in the breeding goals. Targeting only production traits in the ICD, ICM and ICL goals required the least number of generations of selection of 7.46, 5.50, and 8.52, respectively, to achieve predefined gains. Generally, a strategy targeting only production traits in a goal was the most optimal but resulted to unfavorable correlated responses in feed efficiency and antibody response. Addition of feed efficiency or/and antibody response in a goal was, however, not attractive due to the decline in total index response and accuracy and increase in inbreeding levels and number of generations of selection. Considering the feed availability and disease challenges in the tropics, choice of including feed efficiency or/and antibody response in the ICD, ICM and ICL goals should depend on targeted production system, resource availability to support breeding activities and magnitude of correlated responses on these traits when not included in the goals.

Breast cancer after ovarian cancer in BRCA1 and BRCA2 pathogenic variant heterozygotes: Lower rates for 5 years post chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: The identification of germline BRCA1/BRCA2 pathogenic variants (PV) infer high remaining lifetime breast/ovarian cancer risks, but there is paucity of studies assessing breast cancer risk after ovarian cancer diagnosis. METHODS: We reviewed the history of breast cancer in 895 PV heterozygotes (BRCA1 = 541). Cumulative annual breast cancer incidence was assessed at 2, 5, 10, and >10 years after ovarian cancer diagnosis date. RESULTS: Breast cancer annual rates were evaluated in 701 assessable women with no breast cancer at ovarian diagnosis (BRCA1 = 425). Incidence was lower at 2 years (1.18%) and 2 to 5 years (1.13%) but rose thereafter for BRCA1 with incidence post 10 years in excess of 4% annually. Breast cancer pathology in BRCA1 PV heterozygotes showed less high-grade triple-negative breast cancer and more lower-grade hormone-receptor-positive cancer than women with no prior ovarian cancer. In the prospective cohort from ovarian cancer diagnosis, <4% of all deaths were caused by breast cancer, although 50% of deaths in women with breast cancer after ovarian cancer diagnosis were due to breast cancer. CONCLUSION: Women can be reassured that incidence of breast cancer after ovarian cancer diagnosis is relatively low. It appears likely that this effect is due to platinum-based chemotherapy. Nonetheless women need to be aware that incidence increases thereafter, especially after 10 years.

Validation of the BOADICEA model in a prospective cohort of BRCA1/2 pathogenic variant carriers.

BACKGROUND: No validation has been conducted for the BOADICEA multifactorial breast cancer risk prediction model specifically in BRCA1/2 pathogenic variant (PV) carriers to date. Here, we evaluated the performance of BOADICEA in predicting 5-year breast cancer risks in a prospective cohort of BRCA1/2 PV carriers ascertained through clinical genetic centres. METHODS: We evaluated the model calibration and discriminatory ability in the prospective TRANsIBCCS cohort study comprising 1614 BRCA1 and 1365 BRCA2 PV carriers (209 incident cases). Study participants had lifestyle, reproductive, hormonal, anthropometric risk factor information, a polygenic risk score based on 313 SNPs and family history information. RESULTS: The full multifactorial model considering family history together with all other risk factors was well calibrated overall (E/O=1.07, 95% CI: 0.92 to 1.24) and in quintiles of predicted risk. Discrimination was maximised when all risk factors were considered (Harrell's C-index=0.70, 95% CI: 0.67 to 0.74; area under the curve=0.79, 95% CI: 0.76 to 0.82). The model performance was similar when evaluated separately in BRCA1 or BRCA2 PV carriers. The full model identified 5.8%, 12.9% and 24.0% of BRCA1/2 PV carriers with 5-year breast cancer risks of <1.65%, <3% and <5%, respectively, risk thresholds commonly used for different management and risk-reduction options. CONCLUSION: BOADICEA may be used to aid personalised cancer risk management and decision-making for BRCA1 and BRCA2 PV carriers. It is implemented in the free-access CanRisk tool (https://www.canrisk.org/).

Breast density prediction from low and standard dose mammograms using deep learning: effect of image resolution and model training approach on prediction quality.

Purpose. To improve breast cancer risk prediction for young women, we have developed deep learning methods to estimate mammographic density from low dose mammograms taken at approximately 1/10th of the usual dose. We investigate the quality and reliability of the density scores produced on low dose mammograms focussing on how image resolution and levels of training affect the low dose predictions.Methods. Deep learning models are developed and tested, with two feature extraction methods and an end-to-end trained method, on five different resolutions of 15,290 standard dose and simulated low dose mammograms with known labels. The models are further tested on a dataset with 296 matching standard and real low dose images allowing performance on the low dose images to be ascertained.Results. Prediction quality on standard and simulated low dose images compared to labels is similar for all equivalent model training and image resolution versions. Increasing resolution results in improved performance of both feature extraction methods for standard and simulated low dose images, while the trained models show high performance across the resolutions. For the trained models the Spearman rank correlation coefficient between predictions of standard and low dose images at low resolution is 0.951 (0.937 to 0.960) and at the highest resolution 0.956 (0.942 to 0.965). If pairs of model predictions are averaged, similarity increases.Conclusions. Deep learning mammographic density predictions on low dose mammograms are highly correlated with standard dose equivalents for feature extraction and end-to-end approaches across multiple image resolutions. Deep learning models can reliably make high quality mammographic density predictions on low dose mammograms.

Incidences of colorectal adenomas and cancers under colonoscopy surveillance suggest an accelerated "Big Bang" pathway to CRC in three of the four Lynch syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancers (CRCs) in the Lynch syndromes have been assumed to emerge through an accelerated adenoma-carcinoma pathway. In this model adenomas with deficient mismatch repair have an increased probability of acquiring additional cancer driver mutation(s) resulting in more rapid progression to malignancy. If this model was accurate, the success of colonoscopy in preventing CRC would be a function of the intervals between colonoscopies and mean sojourn time of detectable adenomas. Contrary to expectations, colonoscopy did not decrease incidence of CRC in the Lynch syndromes and shorter colonoscopy intervals have not been effective in reducing CRC incidence. The prospective Lynch Syndrome Database (PLSD) was designed to examine these issues in carriers of pathogenic variants of the mis-match repair (path_MMR) genes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We examined the CRC and colorectal adenoma incidences in 3,574 path_MLH1, path_MSH2, path_MSH6 and path_PMS2 carriers subjected to regular colonoscopy with polypectomy, and considered the results based on sojourn times and stochastic probability paradigms. RESULTS: Most of the path_MMR carriers in each genetic group had no adenomas. There was no association between incidences of CRC and the presence of adenomas. There was no CRC observed in path_PMS2 carriers. CONCLUSIONS: Colonoscopy prevented CRC in path_PMS2 carriers but not in the others. Our findings are consistent with colonoscopy surveillance blocking the adenoma-carcinoma pathway by removing identified adenomas which might otherwise become CRCs. However, in the other carriers most CRCs likely arised from dMMR cells in the crypts that have an increased mutation rate with increased stochastic chaotic probabilities for mutations. Therefore, this mechanism, that may be associated with no or only a short sojourn time of MSI tumours as adenomas, could explain the findings in our previous and current reports.

Breast cancer risk assessment for prescription of menopausal hormone therapy in women with a family history of breast cancer: an epidemiological modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) can alleviate menopausal symptoms but has been associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. MHT prescription should be preceded by individualised risk/benefit evaluation; however, data outlining the impact of family history alongside different MHT therapeutic approaches are lacking. AIM: To quantify the risks associated with MHT use in women with varying breast cancer family histories of developing and dying from breast cancer. DESIGN AND SETTING: An epidemiological modelling study for women in England using the BOADICEA breast cancer prediction model and data relating to MHT use and breast cancer risk taken from research by the Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. METHOD: The risk of developing and dying from breast cancer between the ages of 50 and 80 years was modelled in women with four different breast cancer family history profiles: 'average', 'modest', 'intermediate', and 'strong' by using 1) background risks of breast cancer by age and family history, 2) relative risks for breast cancer associated with MHT use, and 3) 10-year breast cancer-specific net mortality rates. This study modelled use of combined oestrogen-progestogen MHT (cyclical or continuous) and oestrogen-only MHT. RESULTS: For a woman of 'average' family history taking no MHT, the cumulative breast cancer risk (age 50-80 years) is 9.8%, and the risk of dying from the breast cancer is 1.7%. In this model, 5 years' exposure to combined-cyclical MHT (age 50-55 years) was calculated to increase these risks to 11.0% and 1.8%, respectively. For a woman with a 'strong' family history taking no MHT, the cumulative breast cancer risk is 19.6% (age 50-80 years), and the risk of dying from the breast cancer is 3.2%. With 5 years' exposure to MHT (age 50-55 years), this model showed that these risks increase to 22.4% and 3.5%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this model, both family history and MHT are associated with increased risk of breast cancer. Estimates of the risks of breast cancer associated with MHT for women with different family histories can be used to support decision making around MHT prescription for women experiencing menopausal symptoms.

The impact of inversions across 33,924 families with rare disease from a national genome sequencing project.

Detection of structural variants (SVs) is currently biased toward those that alter copy number. The relative contribution of inversions toward genetic disease is unclear. In this study, we analyzed genome sequencing data for 33,924 families with rare disease from the 100,000 Genomes Project. From a database hosting >500 million SVs, we focused on 351 genes where haploinsufficiency is a confirmed disease mechanism and identified 47 ultra-rare rearrangements that included an inversion (24 bp to 36.4 Mb, 20/47 de novo). Validation utilized a number of orthogonal approaches, including retrospective exome analysis. RNA-seq data supported the respective diagnoses for six participants. Phenotypic blending was apparent in four probands. Diagnostic odysseys were a common theme (>50 years for one individual), and targeted analysis for the specific gene had already been performed for 30% of these individuals but with no findings. We provide formal confirmation of a European founder origin for an intragenic MSH2 inversion. For two individuals with complex SVs involving the MECP2 mutational hotspot, ambiguous SV structures were resolved using long-read sequencing, influencing clinical interpretation. A de novo inversion of HOXD11-13 was uncovered in a family with Kantaputra-type mesomelic dysplasia. Lastly, a complex translocation disrupting APC and involving nine rearranged segments confirmed a clinical diagnosis for three family members and resolved a conundrum for a sibling with a single polyp. Overall, inversions play a small but notable role in rare disease, likely explaining the etiology in around 1/750 families across heterogeneous clinical cohorts.