Mortality from liver cancer and liver disease in haemophilic men and boys in UK given blood products contaminated with hepatitis C. UK Haemophilia Centre Directors' Organisation.

BACKGROUND: Most people with haemophilia who were treated with blood products before the introduction of virus-inactivation procedures were infected with the hepatitis-C virus (HCV). However, there is little quantitative information about the long-term effects on mortality of such infection. METHODS: We carried out a cohort study of mortality from liver cancer and liver disease in 4865 haemophilic men and boys in the UK. They were treated between 1969 and 1985 with blood products carrying a high risk of HCV infection, and were followed up from first recorded exposure to Jan 1, 1993. FINDINGS: Based on death-certificate information, mortality was 16.7 times higher than in the general population for liver disease (95% CI 12.5-22.0; 51 deaths), and 5.6 times higher (1.8-13.0; five deaths) for liver cancer. For men and boys with severe haemophilia who were not infected with HIV-1, the cumulative risks of death from chronic or unspecified liver disease or from liver cancer in the 25 years since first recorded exposure to high HCV-risk products were 1.4% (0.7-3.0) at all ages, and 0.10% (0.01-0.7), 2.2% (0.8-6.1), and 14.3% (4.5-40.9) for those with first recorded exposure at ages under 25, 25-44, and 45 or older. For those with haemophilia and HIV-1 infection, the corresponding risks were 6.5% (4.5-9.5) at all ages, and 3.8% (2.1-6.8), 17.1% (10.0-28.5), and 18.7% (6.4-47.6) in the three age-groups. In those with severe haemophilia, age-standardised all-cause mortality was stable during 1969-84 but increased during 1985-92 in both HIV-1-infected and HIV-1-uninfected groups. Among those not infected with HIV-1, the increase in all-cause mortality resulted largely from deaths attributed to chronic or unspecified liver disease or liver cancer in men aged over 45. INTERPRETATION: There is an emerging risk of mortality from liver disease and liver cancer in the UK haemophilia population in individuals both infected and uninfected with HIV-1, which probably results from infection with hepatitis C.

Importance of age at infection with HIV-1 for survival and development of AIDS in UK haemophilia population. UK Haemophilia Centre Directors' Organisation.

BACKGROUND: Greater age at infection with HIV-1 is known to be associated with shorter time to development of AIDS, but the size of the differences between people infected in infancy and those infected in old age has not been examined in a single large population of patients with death as an endpoint. We, therefore, investigated the role of age at seroconversion in the entire UK population of haemophiliacs. METHODS: We studied 1216 HIV-1-infected haemophilia patients in the UK who were registered with the National Haemophilia Register and were alive on Jan 1, 1985. Their estimated ages at HIV-1 seroconversion ranged from 8 months to 79 years. FINDINGS: 10 years after seroconversion 67% (95% Cl 64-69) of the population were still alive. Survival was strongly related to age at seroconversion (86% [82-90], 72% [68-76], 45% [39-51], and 12% [5-21] at 10 years among those patients who seroconverted at ages < 15, 15-34, 35-54, and > or = 55). This steep age-gradient in survival was not explained by deaths expected in the absence of HIV infection or by confounding with other factors such as haemophilia type or severity. The age-gradient was steeper for survival (ie, time from HIV-1 infection to death) than for time to diagnosis of AIDS, partly because survival after an AIDS diagnosis was poorer in older patients, and there was also a substantial increase in mortality among HIV-infected patients who did not satisfy the formal AIDS definition and this increase was greater in older patients. INTERPRETATION: Age at infection with HIV-1 is a more important determinant of survival than has previously been appreciated. Age should, therefore, be considered in future studies of disease progression, and studies that compare people infected at different ages should provide insight into the biology of the immune response to HIV-1.

Mortality before and after HIV infection in the complete UK population of haemophiliacs. UK Haemophilia Centre Directors' Organisation.

During 1977-91, 6,278 males diagnosed with haemophilia were living in the UK. During 1979-86, 1,227 were infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV-1) as a result of transfusion therapy (median estimated seroconversion date, October 1982). Among 2,448 with severe haemophilia, the annual death rate was stable at 8 per 1,000 during 1977-84; during 1985-92 death rates remained at 8 per 1,000 among HIV-seronegative patients but rose steeply in seropositive patients, reaching 81 per 1,000 in 1991-92. Among 3,830 with mild or moderate haemophilia, the pattern was similar, with an initial death rate of 4 per 1,000 in 1977-84, rising to 85 per 1,000 in 1991-92 in seropositive patients. During 1985-92, there were 403 deaths in HIV seropositive patients, whereas 60 would have been predicted from rates in seronegatives, suggesting that 85% of the deaths in seropositive patients were due to HIV infection. Most of the excess deaths were certified as due to AIDS or to conditions recognized as being associated with AIDS.