[Physician Numbers and Employment in Bavaria: Trends in statistics of the Bavarian Medical Association and the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians of Bavaria]. / Entwicklung der Ärzt*innenzahlen und Beschäftigungsverhältnisse in Bayern ­ Trends in den Ärzt*innenstatistiken der Bayerischen Landesärztekammer und der Kassenärztlichen Vereinigung Bayerns.

BACKGROUND: Although the number of places at medical schools and physicians in Germany has increased continuously over the past 25 years, there is a threat of a shortage of physicians. Based on data from the Bavarian Medical Association (BLÄK) and the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians of Bavaria (KVB), an analysis of the number of physicians in Bavaria over a longer period of time was carried out in order to understand current developments and possible starting points for the future organization of medical care. The figures were analyzed with regard to the distribution of physicians by outpatient and inpatient sector as well as with regard to the development of the number of employees, the scope of employment and the gender distribution in the outpatient sector. METHODS: Data were taken from the annually published and systematically compiled numbers of physicians from the BLÄK (2000 to 2022) as well as the outpatient billing data of practicing and employed physicians in Bavaria (2010 to 2022), processed by the KVB. Descriptive analyses were performed. RESULTS: Since 2000, the number of physicians in Bavaria has risen by 83% in the inpatient setting and by 35% in the outpatient setting. As a result, more physicians have been working in hospitals than in outpatient care since 2010. In the outpatient setting the trend is moving away from establishing one's own practice and full-time work towards salaried and part-time employment. Employed physicians have lower average working hours than self-employed physicians. The proportion of women among physicians has steadily increased, with female physicians more likely to be employed and working part-time compared with male physicians. Nevertheless, part-time employment is also prominent among male physicians in some specialties today. CONCLUSION: The trend towards practicing in salaried and part-time positions continues unabated and is represented across all specialties, suggesting that more physicians are needed to maintain the number of working hours over time. In addition to incentives and subsidies, this reality must be taken into account when planning care. At the same time, it is questionable whether increasing medical school places without managing them according to need is the right way to address the shortage of physicians in outpatient care when an ever-increasing proportion of physicians is working in inpatient care.

HPV vaccination leads to decrease of anogenital warts and precancerous lesions of the cervix uteri in young women with low vaccination rates: a retrospective cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: Although the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine has been recommended in Germany for girls since 2007, no organised vaccination programme was introduced and HPV vaccine coverage remains low. We investigated the HPV vaccination rates from 2008 to 2018 and the effects of HPV vaccination on anogenital warts and precancerous lesions in young women in Bavaria, Germany, a state with low vaccination rates. METHODS: Retrospective analyses of claims data from the Bavarian Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians (KVB) on females born between 1990 and 2009 (9 to 28 years old in 2018) were conducted to calculate vaccination rates by birth cohort, proportion of vaccine types administered and incidence of anogenital warts and precancerous lesions of the cervix uteri. 942 841 Bavarian females 9 to 28 years old with available information on HPV vaccination were included to calculate vaccination rates. For the outcome analyses, data from 433 346 females 19 to 28 years old were analysed. Hazard ratios (HR) were computed from univariable and multivariable Cox regression models comparing vaccinated and unvaccinated women, considering type of vaccine used and contraceptive prescription. RESULTS: 40·9% of 18-year-olds and only 13·3% of 12-year-olds were fully vaccinated in 2018 in Bavaria. Gardasil® and Gardasil9® were most commonly administered. Vaccinated compared to unvaccinated women had a lower incidence of anogenital warts and cervical lesions, however only small differences were detected between fully and partially vaccinated women. Fully vaccinated women had a 63% (HR 0·37 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0·34 to 0·40) and 23% (HR 0·77, 95%CI 0·71 to 0·84) lower risk of anogenital warts and cervical lesions, respectively. Women who were prescribed contraceptives prior to vaccination had a 49% higher risk of developing anogenital warts (HR 1·49, 95%CI 1·25 to 1·79) or cervical lesions (HR 1·49, 95%CI 1·27 to 1·75) compared to vaccinated women without contraceptive prescription. CONCLUSIONS: The evaluation of the effects of HPV vaccination in Bavaria showed a promising decline of anogenital warts and precancerous lesions in vaccinated young women. However, an increase in vaccination rates is necessary to achieve a greater population impact in preventing HPV-related diseases.

Performance of new enzyme-linked fluorescent assays for detection of Epstein-Barr virus specific antibodies in routine diagnostics.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Indirect fluorescent antibody assays are still the gold standard for the detection of Epstein-Barr-virus-specific antibodies; however, this technique requires several manual steps and an experienced technician. This retrospective study investigated the performance of the new VIDAS(®) enzyme-linked fluorescent assays for automated qualitative detection of EBV VCA IgM, VCA/EA IgG, and EBNA IgG antibodies in routine diagnostics. METHODS: 174 serum samples were tested first with the gold standard. In context with the clinical status, 60 samples IFA IgG/IgM positive and with clinical symptoms compatible with infectious mononucleosis, 26 samples IFA IgG/IgM negative and missing any clinical symptoms and 88 samples with varying IFA status and without any clinical information were defined. In a second step all samples were retested with the new assays. RESULTS: In the overall agreement between VIDAS(®) and IFA for evaluable results, almost perfect agreement was observed (kappa = 0.91; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.86-0.97). Estimating all indeterminate VIDAS(®) results as discordant or concordant the observed kappa values were 0.71 (CI 0.63-0.79) and 0.93 (CI 0.88-0.98), respectively. With the new assays 45, 22, and 70 identical results were obtained, respectively. Western blot analysis of the discrepant samples showed a quasi similar performance of both assays. CONCLUSIONS: The new VIDAS(®) assays can be an alternative to IFA testing especially in high-throughput laboratories. Full automation of EBV serological diagnostis by the new VIDAS assays is of major importance for routine diagnostic laboratories.