Continuing education meetings and workshops: effects on professional practice and healthcare outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Educational meetings are used widely by health personnel to provide continuing medical education and to promote implementation of innovations or translate new knowledge to change practice within healthcare systems. Previous reviews have concluded that educational meetings can result in small changes in behaviour, but that effects vary considerably. Investigations into which characteristics of educational meetings might lead to greater impact have yielded varying results, and factors that might explain heterogeneity in effects remain unclear. This is the second update of this Cochrane Review. OBJECTIVES: • To assess the effects of educational meetings on professional practice and healthcare outcomes • To investigate factors that might explain the heterogeneity of these effects SEARCH METHODS: We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, ERIC, Science Citation Index Expanded (ISI Web of Knowledge), and Social Sciences Citation Index (last search in November 2016). SELECTION CRITERIA: We sought randomised trials examining the effects of educational meetings on professional practice and patient outcomes. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently extracted data and assessed risk of bias. One review author assessed the certainty of evidence (GRADE) and discussed with a second review author. We included studies in the primary analysis that reported baseline data and that we judged to be at low or unclear risk of bias. For each comparison of dichotomous outcomes, we measured treatment effect as risk difference adjusted for baseline compliance. We expressed adjusted risk difference values as percentages, and we noted that values greater than zero favour educational meetings. For continuous outcomes, we measured treatment effect as per cent change relative to the control group mean post test, adjusted for baseline performance; we expressed values as percentages and noted that values greater than zero favour educational meetings. We report means and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and, when appropriate, medians and interquartile ranges to facilitate comparisons to previous versions of this review. We analysed professional and patient outcomes separately and analysed 22 variables that were hypothesised a priori to explain heterogeneity. We explored heterogeneity by using univariate meta-regression and by inspecting violin plots. MAIN RESULTS: We included 215 studies involving more than 28,167 health professionals, including 142 new studies for this update. Educational meetings as the single intervention or the main component of a multi-faceted intervention compared with no intervention • Probably slightly improve compliance with desired practice when compared with no intervention (65 comparisons, 7868 health professionals for dichotomous outcomes (adjusted risk difference 6.79%, 95% CI 6.62% to 6.97%; median 4.00%; interquartile range 0.29% to 13.00%); 28 comparisons, 2577 health professionals for continuous outcomes (adjusted relative percentage change 44.36%, 95% CI 41.98% to 46.75%; median 20.00%; interquartile range 6.00% to 65.00%)) • Probably slightly improve patient outcomes compared with no intervention (15 comparisons, 2530 health professionals for dichotomous outcomes (adjusted risk difference 3.30%, 95% CI 3.10% to 3.51%; median 0.10%; interquartile range 0.00% to 4.00%); 28 comparisons, 2294 health professionals for continuous outcomes (adjusted relative percentage change 8.35%, 95% CI 7.46% to 9.24%; median 2.00%; interquartile range -1.00% to 21.00%)) The certainty of evidence for this comparison is moderate. Educational meetings alone compared with other interventions • May improve compliance with desired practice when compared with other interventions (6 studies, 1402 health professionals for dichotomous outcomes (adjusted risk difference 9.99%, 95% CI 9.47% to 10.52%; median 16.5%; interquartile range 0.80% to 16.50%); 2 studies, 72 health professionals for continuous outcomes (adjusted relative percentage change 12.00%, 95% CI 9.16% to 14.84%; median 12.00%; interquartile range 0.00% to 24.00%)) No studies met the inclusion criteria for patient outcome measurements. The certainty of evidence for this comparison is low. Interactive educational meetings compared with didactic (lecture-based) educational meetings • We are uncertain of effects on compliance with desired practice (3 studies, 370 health professionals for dichotomous outcomes; 1 study, 192 health professionals for continuous outcomes) or on patient outcomes (1 study, 54 health professionals for continuous outcomes), as the certainty of evidence is very low Any other comparison of different formats and durations of educational meetings • We are uncertain of effects on compliance with desired practice (1 study, 19 health professionals for dichotomous outcomes; 1 study, 20 health professionals for continuous outcomes) or on patient outcomes (1 study, 113 health professionals for continuous outcomes), as the certainty of evidence is very low. Factors that might explain heterogeneity of effects Meta-regression suggests that larger estimates of effect are associated with studies judged to be at high risk of bias, with studies that had unit of analysis errors, and with studies in which the unit of analysis was the provider rather than the patient. Improved compliance with desired practice may be associated with: shorter meetings; poor baseline compliance; better attendance; shorter follow-up; professionals provided with additional take-home material; explicit building of educational meetings on theory; targeting of low- versus high-complexity behaviours; targeting of outcomes with high versus low importance; goal of increasing rather than decreasing behaviour; teaching by opinion leaders; and use of didactic versus interactive teaching methods. Pre-specified exploratory analyses of behaviour change techniques suggest that improved compliance with desired practice may be associated with use of a greater number of behaviour change techniques; goal-setting; provision of feedback; provision for social comparison; and provision for social support. Compliance may be decreased by the use of follow-up prompts, skills training, and barrier identification techniques. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Compared with no intervention, educational meetings as the main component of an intervention probably slightly improve professional practice and, to a lesser extent, patient outcomes. Educational meetings may improve compliance with desired practice to a greater extent than other kinds of behaviour change interventions, such as text messages, fees, or office systems. Our findings suggest that multi-strategy approaches might positively influence the effects of educational meetings. Additional trials of educational meetings compared with no intervention are unlikely to change the review findings; therefore we will not further update this review comparison in the future. However, we note that randomised trials comparing different types of education are needed.

Risk of hip and forearm fracture in subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus and latent autoimmune diabetes of adults. The HUNT Study, Norway.

Type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus incur an increased risk of fracture, with a generally higher risk among individuals with type 1 diabetes. The fracture risk among individuals with latent autoimmune diabetes of adulthood (LADA) is not known. The present cohort study aimed to estimate the risk of hip and forearm fracture among individuals with LADA, alongside type 1 and type 2 diabetes, using data from the second survey of the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT2) in 1995-97. All inhabitants aged 20 years or older (N = 92,936) were invited to attend, of whom 65,234 (70%) participated. A total of 1972 (3%) reported to have diabetes; 1399 were found to have type 2 diabetes, 144 to have LADA, and 138 to have type 1 diabetes. All participants were followed prospectively with respect to hip- and forearm fractures by linkage to the local fracture registry. During a median follow-up of 16.2 years, 2695 persons with hip fractures and 3533 persons with forearm fractures were identified. There was an increased risk of hip fracture in women with type 2 diabetes (HR = 1.51, 95% CI 1.24-1.85) and LADA (HR = 2.15, 95% CI 1.25-3.72), whereas women with type 1 diabetes did not have a significantly increased risk (HR = 2.13, 95% CI 0.89-5.14). Among men, only LADA was associated with an increased risk of hip fracture (HR = 2.69, 95% CI 1.34-5.41). There was no statistically significant association between any of the diabetes types and forearm fracture. In women with type 2 diabetes, the highest risks of hip fracture were observed among those with highest HbA1c level at baseline, longest time since diagnosis, and most visual and movement impairment. We found that individuals with LADA had an increased risk of hip fracture similar to that previously reported for individuals with type 1 diabetes, and no increased risk of forearm fracture.

Associations of tobacco smoking with body mass distribution; a population-based study of 65,875 men and women in midlife.

BACKGROUND: Studies indicate an effect of smoking toward abdominal obesity, but few assess hip and waist circumferences (HC and WC) independently. The present study aimed to assess the associations of smoking status and volume smoked with HC and WC and their ratio in a population with low prevalence of obesity together with high prevalence of smoking. METHODS: We used cross-sectional survey data from 11 of a total 19 Norwegian counties examined in 1997-99 including 65,875 men and women aged 39-44 years. Analysis of associations were adjusted for confounding by socioeconomic position, health indicators, and additionally for BMI. RESULTS: Compared with never-smokers, when adjusting for confounders and in addition for BMI, mean HC remained lower while mean WC and waist-hip-ratio (WHR) were higher in current smokers. The finding of a lower HC and higher WHR level among smokers was consistent by sex and in strata by levels of education and physical activity, while the finding of higher WC by smoking was less consistent. Among current smokers, BMI-adjusted mean HC decreased whereas WC and WHR increased by volume smoked. Compared with current smokers, former smokers had higher BMI-adjusted HC, lower WHR and among women WC was lower. CONCLUSIONS: The main finding in this study was the consistent negative associations of smoking with HC. In line with the hypothesis that lower percentage gluteofemoral fat is linked with higher cardiovascular risk, our results suggest that smoking impacts cardiovascular risk through mechanisms that reduce the capacity of fat storage in the lower body region.

Impact of snus use in teenage boys on tobacco use in young adulthood; a cohort from the HUNT Study Norway.

BACKGROUND: As smoking rates decreased, the use of Swedish snus (smokeless tobacco) concordantly increased in Norway. The role of snus as possible contributor to the reduction of smoking has been widely discussed. Our aim was to quantitate transitions in snus use, smoking and dual use of snus and cigarettes in a young male population. METHODS: This prospective cohort study includes 1346 boys participating in the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study in Young-HUNT1 1995-97, age 13-19 and in HUNT3 2006-08, age 23-30. Participants reported on tobacco use at both points of time. Models with binominal regression were applied to examine relative risks (RRs), of adolescent ever snus users, dual users or smokers (reference: never tobacco use), to be current snus only users, smokers (including dual users), or tobacco free in adulthood. RESULTS: Current tobacco use in this male cohort increased from 27% in adolescence to 49% in adulthood, increasing more for snus only use and dual use than for smoking only. The adjusted RR (95% CI) of becoming a smoker as young adult, was 2.2 (CI 1.7-2.7) for adolescent snus users, 3.6 (CI 3.0-4.3) for adolescent dual users, and 2.7 (CI 2.2-3.3) for adolescent smokers. RR to become snus only users as adults was 3.1 (2.5-3.9) for adolescent dual users, 2.8 (2.2-3.4) for adolescent snus users and 1.5 (1.0-2.2) for adolescent smokers. The adjusted RR for the transition from adolescent tobacco use to no tobacco use in adulthood was similar for snus users and smokers with RR 0.5 (CI 0.4-0.7), but considerably lower for dual users with RR 0.2 (CI 0.2-0.3). CONCLUSIONS: The use of snus, with or without concurrent smoking, carried a high risk of adult smoking as well as adult snus only use. Dual use seemed to promote the opportunity to become snus only users in adulthood, but made it also more difficult to quit. The benefit of snus use for harm reduction is not evident in our cohort, as the combination of smoking and dual use resulted in high smoking rates among the young adults.

Does the Association of Comorbidity with 1-Year Mortality After Hip Fracture Differ According to Gender? The Norwegian Epidemiologic Osteoporosis Studies (NOREPOS).

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Excess mortality after hip fracture is higher in men than in women. The objective was to study whether comorbidity differs in men and women with hip fracture and to what degree differences in comorbidity according to gender may explain the higher excess mortality in men. DESIGN: Population-based matched cohort covering the population aged 50 and older in Norway. SETTING: Specialist healthcare (individuals with hip fracture) and general population (controls). PARTICIPANTS: All individuals with hip fracture aged 50 and older from 2005 to 2008 (n = 32,175) and individuals without hip fracture matched 3:1 to those with hip fracture on gender, age, and county of residence (n = 96,410). MEASUREMENTS: Comorbid diagnoses were recorded during the hospital stay. Relative and absolute excess 1-year mortality in individuals with hip fracture according to gender and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were investigated using Cox regression and linear regression, respectively. RESULTS: Despite lower age (mean 78.7 vs 81.7), men had higher comorbidity than women. Compared with controls, women (hazard ratio (HR) = 6.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 6.2-6.9) and men (HR = 7.8, 95% CI = 7.3-8.3) with a CCI of 2 or greater were more likely to die. Women with a CCI of 2 or greater had an estimated 1-year risk of dying of 44%, and controls had an 11% risk; men with a CCI of 2 or greater had an estimated risk of dying of 53%, and controls had a 12% risk. Men were twice as likely as women to die within 1 year (HR = 2.0, 95% CI = 1.9-2.1). When adjusting for comorbidity, the difference was only slightly smaller (HR = 1.8, 95% CI = 1.7-1.8). CONCLUSION: Men had greater comorbidity than women, but this did not explain the difference according to gender in excess mortality after hip fracture. Men who fracture a hip are an especially vulnerable subpopulation, even when there is no apparent comorbidity, and warrant special attention in follow-up and care.

Duration of labor and the risk of severe postpartum hemorrhage: A case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: Our main objective was to investigate the association between duration of active labor and severe postpartum hemorrhage. We examined the effect of the total duration of active labor, the effect of each stage of active labor, and the gradient effect of duration of labor on severe postpartum hemorrhage. METHODS: A case-control study was generated from a source population of all women admitted for delivery at Oslo University Hospital and Drammen Hospital in Buskerud municipality during the time period January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2011. The study population included all cases of severe postpartum hemorrhage (n = 859) and a random sample of controls (n = 1755). Severe postpartum hemorrhage was defined as postpartum blood loss ≥1500 mL or need for blood transfusion. Prolonged labor was defined as duration of active labor >12 hours according to the definition of the World Health Organization. We used logistic multivariable regression in the analysis. RESULTS: We observed a significantly longer mean duration of labor in women who experienced severe postpartum hemorrhage compared to controls (5.4 versus 3.8 hours, p<0.001). Women with severe postpartum hemorrhage also had a longer duration of all stages of active labor compared to controls. The association between the duration of active labor and severe postpartum changed from a linear dose-response association to a threshold association after adjusting for augmentation with oxytocin, induction of labor, primiparity, and fever during labor. Compared to controls, women with severe postpartum hemorrhage were more likely to have a prolonged labor >12 hours (adjusted odds ratio = 2.44, 95% confidence interval: 1.69-3.53, p< 0.001). CONCLUSION: Prolonged active labor (duration >12 hours) was associated with severe postpartum hemorrhage. Increased vigilance seems required when the labor is prolonged to reduce the risk of severe postpartum hemorrhage.

Risk factors for complete uterine rupture.

BACKGROUND: Complete uterine rupture is a rare peripartum complication associated with a catastrophic outcome. Because of its rarity, knowledge about its risk factors is not very accurate. Most previous studies were small and over a limited time interval. Moreover, international diagnostic coding was used in most studies. These codes are not able to differentiate between the catastrophic complete type and less catastrophic partial type. Complete uterine rupture is expected to increase as the rate of cesarean delivery increases. Thus, we need more accurate knowledge about the risk factors for this complication. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to estimate the incidence and risk factors for complete uterine rupture during childbirth in Norway. STUDY DESIGN: This population-based study included women that gave birth after starting labor in 1967-2008. Data were from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway and Patient Administration System, complemented with information from medical records. We included 1,317,967 women without previous cesarean delivery and 57,859 with previous cesarean delivery. The outcome was complete uterine rupture (tearing of all uterine wall layers, including serosa and membranes). Risk factors were parameters related to demographics, pregnancy, and labor. Odds ratios for complete uterine rupture were computed with crude logistic regressions for each risk factor. Separate multivariable logistic regressions were performed to calculate the adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Complete uterine rupture occurred in 51 cases without previous cesarean delivery (0.38 per 10,000) and 122 with previous cesarean delivery (21.1 per 10,000). The strongest risk factor was sequential labor induction with prostaglandins and oxytocin, compared with spontaneous labor, in those without previous cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 48.0, 95% confidence interval, 20.5-112.3) and those with previous cesarean delivery (adjusted odds ratio, 16.1, 95% confidence interval, 8.6-29.9). Other significant risk factors for those without and with previous cesarean delivery, respectively, included labor augmentation with oxytocin (adjusted odds ratio, 22.5, 95% confidence interval, 10.9-41.2; adjusted odds ratio, 4.4, 95% confidence interval, 2.9-6.6), antepartum fetal death (adjusted odds ratio, 15.0, 95% confidence interval, 6.2-36.6; adjusted odds ratio, 4.0, 95% confidence interval, 1.1-14.2), and previous first-trimester miscarriages (adjusted odds ratio, 9.6, 95% confidence interval, 5.7-17.4; adjusted odds ratio, 5.00, 95% confidence interval, 3.4-7.3). After a previous cesarean delivery, the risk of rupture was increased by an interdelivery interval <16 months (adjusted odds ratio, 2.3; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-5.4) and a previous cesarean delivery with severe postpartum hemorrhage (adjusted odds ratio, 5.6; 95% confidence interval, 2.4-13.2). CONCLUSION: Sequential labor induction with prostaglandins and oxytocin and augmentation of labor with oxytocin are important risk factors for complete uterine rupture in intact and scarred uteri.

Elective cesarean section or not? Maternal age and risk of adverse outcomes at term: a population-based registry study of low-risk primiparous women.

BACKGROUND: Maternal age at delivery and cesarean section rates are increasing. In older women, the decision on delivery mode may be influenced by a reported increased risk of surgical interventions during labor and complications with increasing maternal age. We examined the association between maternal age and adverse outcomes in low-risk primiparous women, and the risk of adverse outcomes by delivery modes, both planned and performed (elective and emergency cesarean section, operative vaginal delivery, and unassisted vaginal delivery) in women aged ≥ 35 years. METHODS: A population-based registry study was conducted using data from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway and Statistics Norway including 169,583 low-risk primiparas with singleton, cephalic labors at ≥ 37 weeks during 1999 - 2009. Outcomes studied were obstetric blood loss, maternal transfer to intensive care units, 5-min Apgar score, and neonatal complications. We adjusted for potential confounders using relative risk models and multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Most adverse outcomes increased with increasing maternal age. However, the increase in absolute risks was low, except for moderate obstetric blood loss and transfer to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). Operative deliveries increased with increasing maternal age and in women aged ≥ 35 years, the risk of maternal complications in operative delivery increased. Neonatal adverse outcomes increased mainly in emergency operative deliveries. Moderate blood loss was three times more likely in elective and emergency cesarean section than in unassisted vaginal delivery, and twice as likely in operative vaginal delivery. Low Apgar score and neonatal complications occurred two to three times more often in emergency operative deliveries than in unassisted vaginal delivery. However, comparing outcomes after elective cesarean section and planned vaginal delivery, only moderate blood loss (higher in elective cesarean section), neonatal transfer to NICU and neonatal infections (both higher in planned vaginal delivery) differed significantly. CONCLUSIONS: Most studied adverse outcomes increased with increasing maternal age, as did operative delivery. Although emergency operative procedures were associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes, the absolute risk difference in complications between the modes of delivery was low for the majority of outcomes studied.

Population data on calcium in drinking water and hip fracture: An association may depend on other minerals in water. A NOREPOS study.

BACKGROUND: The Norwegian population has among the highest hip fracture rates in the world. The incidence varies geographically, also within Norway. Calcium in drinking water has been found to be beneficially associated with bone health in some studies, but not in all. In most previous studies, other minerals in water have not been taken into account. Trace minerals, for which drinking water can be an important source and even fulfill the daily nutritional requirement, could act as effect-modifiers in the association between calcium and hip fracture risk. The aim of the present study was to investigate the association between calcium in drinking water and hip fracture, and whether other water minerals modified this association. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A survey of trace metals in 429 waterworks, supplying 64% of the population in Norway, was linked geographically to the home addresses of patients with incident hip fractures (1994-2000). Drinking water mineral concentrations were divided into "low" (below and equal waterworks average) and "high" (above waterworks average). Poisson regression models were fitted, and all incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were adjusted for age, geographic region, urbanization degree, type of water source, and pH of the water. Effect modifications were examined by stratification, and interactions between calcium and magnesium, copper, zinc, iron and manganese were tested both on the multiplicative and the additive scale. Analyses were stratified on gender. RESULTS: Among those supplied from the 429 waterworks (2,110,916 person-years in men and 2,397,217 person-years in women), 5433 men and 13,493 women aged 50-85 years suffered a hip fracture during 1994-2000. Compared to low calcium in drinking water, a high level was associated with a 15% lower hip fracture risk in men (IRR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.78, 0.91) but no significant difference was found in women (IRR=0.98, 95%CI: 0.93-1.02). There was interaction between calcium and copper on hip fracture risk in men (p=0.051); the association between calcium and hip fracture risk was stronger when the copper concentration in water was high (IRR=0.52, 95% CI: 0.35, 0.78) as opposed to when it was low (IRR=0.88, 95% CI: 0.81, 0.94). This pattern persisted also after including potential confounding factors and other minerals in the model. No similar variation in risk was found in women. CONCLUSION: In this large, prospective population study covering two thirds of the Norwegian population and comprising 19,000 hip fractures, we found an inverse association between calcium in drinking water and hip fracture risk in men. The association was stronger when the copper concentration in the water was high.

Validation study of uterine rupture registration in the Medical Birth Registry of Norway.

OBJECTIVE: To validate uterine rupture registration in the Medical Birth Registry of Norway (MBRN) between 1999 and 2008, and to identify rupture type and causes of incorrect or missed registration during 1967-2008. DESIGN: Population-based study. POPULATION: The validation sample was 392,958 maternities from 21 maternity units registered in MBRN and local Patient Administration Systems in 1999-2008. In addition we identified type of rupture and causes of incorrect registration among 2,422,934 maternities from 48 units, and 1,449,201 maternities from 21 units during 1967-2008. METHODS: Information about uterine rupture in MBRN was compared with information in medical records. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value of uterine rupture registration in MBRN. RESULTS: In 1999-2008, there were 10 false positive cases among 151 uterine ruptures registered in MBRN. In addition, 82 ruptures not registered in MBRN, were identified through Patient Administration Systems. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value of the MBRN to detect uterine rupture was 63.2, 99.99, 93.4 and 99.98%, respectively. The incidence of uterine rupture changed after correction from 0.38 to 0.56/1000. During 1967-2008, false positive cases (125) were mainly due to wrong coding by MBRN. Around 60% of 141 false negative cases were due to lack of reporting by maternity units. Complete rupture accounted for 63.9% of ruptures registered in MBRN. CONCLUSIONS: The validity of MBRN data on uterine rupture is not optimal, diagnosis being under-reported by around 37%. Ticked boxes may improve the quality of registration.

Patterns of snus and cigarette use: a study of Norwegian men followed from age 16 to 19.

BACKGROUND: The use of moist snuff (snus) in young Norwegians is increasing, while smoking rates are declining. It is not clear whether snus facilitates smoking. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether 16-year-old men who were never-smokers, but snus users in 2001, had an increased risk of smoking 3 years later. METHODS: In a prospective school-based cohort study, 1440 men, who responded to questionnaires in 2001 and 2004, were included in the analyses. The participation rate was 89% in 2001 and 50% in 2004. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to assess the OR of snus users, smokers and dual users of cigarettes and snus, compared with non-tobacco users at baseline, to be smokers at follow-up. RESULTS: Snus use at baseline was associated with increased odds of dual use at follow-up when the outcome was (1) current dual use versus no tobacco (OR 3.49, 95% CI 1.8 to 6.8) and when the outcome was (2) current dual use versus no smoking but including snus-only use (OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.1 to 3.3). Baseline snus users who were dual users at follow-up seemed to prefer using snus daily and cigarettes occasionally. Use of snus only at baseline was not associated with increased odds of smoking only at follow-up, after adjusting for known risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Young men who only used snus at baseline had an increased risk of being dual users at follow-up. Snus use may therefore facilitate smoking.

Maternal age and elective cesarean section in a low-risk population.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between maternal age and elective cesarean section in primiparous and para one women in a low-risk population. DESIGN: Population-based registry study. SETTING: Norway. POPULATION: The source population was all mothers giving birth to their first or second child from 1 January 1999 to 31 December 2006. The final study population comprised 229 370 primiparous and para one low-risk mothers. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway. We constructed a low-risk population by excluding pregnancies with medical conditions associated with elective cesarean section and maternal age. The association between maternal age and elective cesarean was analysed by relative-risk models. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Elective cesarean section. RESULTS: In this low-risk population, the proportion of cesarean section was 9%, and 27% of these were elective. Cesarean delivery increased substantially with increasing maternal age, especially elective cesarean section. In primipara, elective cesarean section increased from 0.6 to 7.5% of all deliveries, corresponding to a relative risk of 11.7 (95% confidence interval 8.9-15.4) in women ≥ 40 years relative to 20-24 years. When comparing women ≥ 40 years with those aged below 25 years, the relative risk in para one without previous cesarean section was 4.5 (95% confidence interval 3.5-5.8; the proportion increasing from 1.4 to 6.2%), while in para one with previous cesarean section it was 2.9 (95% confidence interval 2.4-3.6; the proportion increasing from 17.5 to 51.5%). CONCLUSIONS: We found a close association between maternal age and elective cesarean section in a low-risk population.

Diagnostic accuracy of three types of fall risk methods for predicting falls in nursing homes.

AIMS: To determine the diagnostic accuracy of three different methods for identifying individuals at high risk of falling. The St- Thomas Risk Assessment tool (STRATIFY- modified for nursing homes), staff judgment of fall risk, and previous falls remembered by the staff were evaluated. We also examined whether a combination of two of the methods would increase accuracy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A prospective observational cohort study was carried out for 18 months. One thousand one hundred and forty-eight participants were included and assessed for fall risk. Falls among these residents were recorded from the date of inclusion to the date of death, transfer, or end of observation time. Diagnostic accuracy was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, predictive values and likelihood ratios, as well as Kaplan-Meier estimates and the Cox proportional hazard model, with time to the first fall as the dependent variable. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive value and likelihood ratios were calculated for falls within 30, 90 and 180 days of assessment for fall risk. RESULTS: Five hundred and seventy (49.6%) of the 1148 residents had one or more falls during the observation period. One thousand one hundred had more than 30 days of observation, 987 more than 90 days, and 867 more than 180 days. For falls within 30 days of assessment for fall risk, sensitivity varied from 65% to 72%, specificity from 69% to 75%, positive predictive value from 31% to 35% and negative predictive value from 91% to 92%. Sensitivity and negative predictive value decreased for falls within 90 days and decreased further for falls within 180 days, whereas specificity and positive predictive value increased for all three assessment methods. Staff judgment of fall risk was the single method having the highest sensitivity but the lowest specificity. A combination of either two of them increased sensitivity to more than 80%, but decreased specificity. The positive Likelihood ratio varied from 2.24 to 2.70 and the negative Likelihood ratio from 0.41 to 0.49 for falls within 30 days. The relative risk of sustaining a fall was 2.4, 2.9 and 3.0 times higher for those assessed to be at high risk of falls compared with those assessed to be at low risk, according to STRATIFY, staff judgment of fall risk and previous falls remembered by the staff, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic accuracy of the three methods did not differ markedly. However, staff judgment had the highest sensitivity and the lowest specificity after 30, 90 and 180 days. A combination of either two of the methods showed the highest sensitivity but the lowest specificity.

Self-administered physical activity questionnaires for the elderly: a systematic review of measurement properties.

OBJECTIVE: To systematically review and appraise studies examining self-administered physical activity questionnaires (PAQ) for the elderly. This article is one of a group of four articles in Sports Medicine on the content and measurement properties of PAQs. LITERATURE SEARCH METHODOLOGY: Searches in PubMed, EMBASE and SportDiscu (until May 2009) on self-administered PAQ. Inclusion criteria were as follows: (i) the study examined (at least one of) the measurement properties of a self-administered PAQ; (ii) the questionnaire aimed to measure physical activity (PA) in older people; (iii) the average age of the study population was >55 years; (iv) the article was written in English. We excluded PA interviews, diaries and studies that evaluated the measurement properties of a self-administered PAQ in a specific population, such as patients. We used a standard checklist (qualitative attributes and measurement properties of PA questionnaires [QAPAQ]) for appraising the measurement properties of PAQs. FINDINGS: Eighteen articles on 13 PAQs were reviewed, including 16 reliability analyses and 25 validity analyses (of which 15 were on construct validity, seven on health/functioning associations, two on known-groups validity and one on responsiveness). Many studies suffered from methodological flaws, e.g. too small sample size or inadequate time interval between test and retest. Three PAQs received a positive rating on reliability: IPAQ-C (International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Chinese), intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) > or = 0.81; WHI-PAQ (Women's Health Initiative-PAQ), ICC = 0.76; and PASE (Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly), Pearson correlation coefficient (r) = 0.84. However, PASE was negatively rated on reliability in another study (ICC = 0.65). One PAQ received a positive rating on construct validity: PASE against Mini-Logger (r > 0.52), but PASE was negatively rated in another study against accelerometer and another PAQ, Spearman correlation coefficient = 0.17 and 0.48, respectively. Three of the 13 PAQs were tested for health/functioning associations and all three were positively rated in some categories of PA in many studies (r > 0.30). CONCLUSIONS: Even though several studies showed an association between the tested PAQ and health/functioning variables, the knowledge about reliability and construct validity of self-administrated PAQs for older adults is still scarce and more high-quality validation studies are needed.

Effects of onset of labor and mode of delivery on severe postpartum hemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to study the impact of labor onset and delivery mode on the risk of severe postpartum hemorrhage. STUDY DESIGN: This was a population-based study of 307,415 mothers who were registered in the Medical Birth Registry of Norway from 1999-2004. RESULTS: Severe postpartum hemorrhage occurred in 1.1% of all mothers and in 2.1% of those mothers with previous cesarean section delivery (CS). Compared with spontaneous labor, hemorrhage risk was higher for induction (odds ratio [OR], 1.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.56-1.88) and prelabor CS (OR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.84-2.29). The risk was 55% higher for emergency CS and half that for vaginal deliveries (OR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.43-0.53), compared with prelabor CS. The highest risk was for emergency CS after induction in mothers with previous CS (OR, 6.57; 95% CI, 4.25-10.13), compared with spontaneous vaginal delivery in mothers with no previous CS. CONCLUSION: Induction and prelabor CS should be practiced with caution because of the increased risk of severe postpartum hemorrhage.

Does mortality of the aged increase with the number of falls? Results from a nine-year follow-up study.

The objective of the study was to examine the predictive effect of prospectively registered falls on survival within a randomly selected group of elderly women. A longitudinal study, with 9 years follows up after 1 year prospective fall registration was designed. Persons age 75 or more living in the community. A total of 300 Norwegian women; mean age was 80.8 participated in the study. Base-line registrations of health, functioning and medication were made. Falls which occurred during a 1-year period after baseline were registered as well as the date of death within a 9-year period after the end of the fall registration period. Half of the women reported one or more falls (1-11). Eighty-six women (28.7%) experienced only one fall and 65 (21.7%) had at least two. During the 9-year follow-up period, 41.7% died. Cox regression analyzes demonstrated that frequent falling, old age and a self-reported worsening of health were significantly associated with mortality during the follow-up period. Their relative risks of death when experiencing at least two falls was 1.6 (95% CI 1.1-2.4), P = 0.04, when compared with no falls. Older fallers appear to have markedly increased mortality. Since falls are common among elderly people, this is a relevant fact for public health policy. Increasing age, poor self-rated health and high frequency of falls predict independently mortality in our 9 years follow up study. Because women represent the largest proportion of the elderly and falls are amendable, fall preventive may have the potential for significant impact on increasing year of life.

Differences in precision in bone mineral density measured by SXA and DXA: the NOREPOS study.

The aims were to compare the precision (reliability) in single X-ray (SXA) and dual X-ray (DXA) absorptiometry, and to compare smallest detectable difference (SDD). An additional aim was to examine determinants for precision in bone mineral density (BMD). BMD was measured by SXA (DTX-100, Osteometer) in the forearm and by DXA (Lunar Expert) in the forearm and in the hip. Two measurements were performed at each site/method, and 195 of 207 participants had complete datasets. Participants were aged 47-49 and 71-74 years. The precision was estimated by Root Mean Square Standard Deviation (RMS SD) with 95% Confidence Interval (95%CI) and the corresponding coefficients of variation (CV%). Determinants (age, gender, BMD) were analysed by multiple linear regression with log (SD) and log (CV) as dependent variables. RMS SD tended to be largest in older women and in those with low BMD. RMS SD for SXA and DXA forearm was 4.6 (4.2-5.1) and 6.8 (6.1-7.4) and the corresponding CVs 1.0% and 1.4%. RMS SD for DXA hip was 11.0 (9.9-12.0) with CV 1.2%. To detect a 3% change in BMD one would need two repeated measurements by DXA in the distal forearm at each of two consultations, but only one measurement by SXA in the distal forearm and also only one measurement by DXA in the hip. Precision differed by type of densitometer affecting the number of repeated measurements needed to detect a given BMD difference.

In vivo and in vitro comparison of densitometers in the NOREPOS study.

The purpose of this study was to assess the agreement of in vivo hip scans on 3 densitometers (1 GE Lunar DPX-IQ and 2 GE Lunar Prodigy scanners) and to evaluate whether the European Spine Phantom (ESP) was able to reproduce the in vivo variability. Sixteen subjects had 3 repeated scans (with repositioning) on each densitometer, and the ESP was measured on each densitometer at least 40 times. Mean differences between hip scans on the Prodigy scanners were small and insignificant, and the in vivo results were not significantly different from the in vitro results. Bland and Altman plots showed no systematic differences between the Prodigy scanners over the range of bone mineral density (BMD). On the other hand, differences between Prodigy and DPX-IQ changed systematically over the range of BMD. The ESP did not fully reproduce the in vivo difference between Prodigy and DPX-IQ. In conclusion, the ESP is a valid substitute when assessing agreement between Prodigy scanners. However, when assessing agreement between different types of scanners, substitution of in vivo with in vitro measurements should be made with caution.

Predictors of uptake and adherence to the use of hip protectors among nursing-home residents.

The aim of the present study was to identify predictors for initial uptake and adherence with the use of hip protectors when offering hip protectors free of charge to nursing-home residents. An 18 months prospective follow up study was carried out in 18 Norwegian nursing homes. One thousand two hundred and thirty-six residents were included in the study of which 604 started to use a hip protector. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify predictors for the initial uptake. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify predictors for adherence. A stepwise backward strategy was used in both the logistic and in the Cox regression. The effect of nursing homes as clusters was adjusted for in the analysis. The uptake rate among all residents was 46% and the adherence was approximately 75% after 3 months, and approximately 60% after 18 months. Female gender [odds ratio (OR): 1.54, 95% CI: 1.06-2.24, P = 0.022], previous fractures (OR: 1.67, 95% CI: 1.02-2.75, P = 0.043), previous falls (OR: 2.08, 95% CI: 1.35-3.19, P < 0.001) and memory (not able to memorise: OR: 3.71, 95% CI: 2.09-6.59, P < 0.001, large problems with memorising: OR: 2.85, 95% CI: 1.81-4.49, P < 0.001, medium problems with memorising: OR: 2.45, 95% CI: 1.39-4.33, P = 0.002, some problems with memorising: OR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.14-3.48, P = 0.016) seemed to be important predictors for uptake. Among those who took up the offer male gender (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.00-2.91, P = 0.049), memory (not able to memorise: HR: 0.26, 95% CI: 0.14-0.50, P < 0.001, large problems with memorising: HR: 0.32, 95% CI: 0.22-0.45, P < 0.001, medium problems with memorising: HR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.30-0.73, P < 0.001, some problems with memorising: HR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.32-0.73, P = 0.001) and bowel incontinence (HR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.25-0.66, P < 0.001) were predictors for a lower probability of ending hip protector use. Factors related to a high risk of falling were important predictors for both uptake and adherence. The fact that neither memory impairments nor incontinence (bowel) seemed to be barriers to hip protector use is important since these characteristics are common among nursing-home residents and tertiary prevention such as the use of hip protectors is probably the most feasible intervention to prevent hip fractures in this group.