Association between changes in disease severity and physical function after surviving a critical illness: A multicentre retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Whilst disease severity can significantly impact functional outcomes, the ability to predict the scale of this impact has not been consistent. AIM: We aimed to investigate whether changes in disease severity within the first 48 h of ICU admission are more strongly associated with physical dysfunction than a single-time assessment of disease severity at ICU admission. METHODS: A multicentre retrospective study in seven tertiary ICUs in Japan, including all consecutive adult ICU patients (>48 h ICU stay) between September 2019 and February 2020. The primary outcome was physical function defined as the Barthel Index, which is an ordinal scale (0-100: larger indicates better function) to measure physical independence and performance. The association between Barthel Index score at hospital discharge and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores, measured at ICU admission, the highest recorded score within 48 h of ICU admission, and the level of change between these two timepoints were investigated in multivariable analysis. RESULTS: A total of 199 patients were included. Median SOFA score at ICU admission and the highest recorded score within the first 48 h were 6 (interquartile range: 5-10) and 8 (interquartile range: 6-11), respectively. A quarter of patients had a Barthel Index score of 60 or less at hospital discharge. The highest SOFA score within 48 h of ICU admission and the level of change in SOFA scores between ICU admission and the highest recorded score within 48 h were significantly associated with lower Barthel Index scores at hospital discharge. No significant association was identified with regard to Barthel Index scores and SOFA score at ICU admission. An increase in SOFA score of 1 or more within the first 48 h of ICU admission was the threshold to predict a Barthel Index score of 60 or less at hospital discharge. Larger changes in SOFA scores over the first 48 h of ICU admission were also significantly associated with smaller changes in Barthel Index scores from ICU discharge to hospital discharge. CONCLUSIONS: The level of change in SOFA score between ICU admission and the highest recorded score within the first 48 h of ICU stay can more accurately predict the presence of physical dysfunction at hospital discharge than a single-time assessment of disease severity at ICU admission. The larger worsening in SOFA potentially indicates lower recovery after a critical illness.

Veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for acute respiratory distress syndrome caused by nitrogen dioxide inhalation: A case report.

Background: Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is known to cause lung injury, but there is no established treatment for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) caused by NO2 inhalation. Case Presentation: A 35-year-old man was accidentally exposed to NO2 fumes and presented to the emergency department. On admission, his oxygen saturation was 87% on ambient air and he was diagnosed with ARDS caused by NO2 inhalation and immediately intubated; however, hypoxemia and hypercapnia were not ameliorated. Hence, veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO) was introduced and the ventilator settings were set for lung-protective ventilation. Methylprednisolone was also administered. After the initiation of these treatments, oxygenation gradually improved. Therefore, ECMO was weaned off on day 11 and he was extubated on day 12. Conclusion: Lung injury caused by NO2 inhalation can cause ARDS, and lung-protective ventilation with V-V ECMO induction, as well as glucocorticoid administration, may be effective for this condition.

Chest CT findings in severe acute respiratory distress syndrome requiring V-V ECMO: J-CARVE registry.

BACKGROUND: Chest computed tomography findings are helpful for understanding the pathophysiology of severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). However, there is no large, multicenter, chest computed tomography registry for patients requiring veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO). The aim of this study was to describe chest computed tomography findings at V-V ECMO initiation and to evaluate the association between the findings and outcomes in severe ARDS. METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study enrolled patients with severe ARDS on V-V ECMO, who were admitted to the intensive care units of 24 hospitals in Japan between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2022. RESULTS: The primary outcome was 90-day in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were the successful liberation from V-V ECMO and the values of static lung compliance. Among the 697 registry patients, of the 582 patients who underwent chest computed tomography at V-V ECMO initiation, 394 survived and 188 died. Multivariate Cox regression showed that traction bronchiectasis and subcutaneous emphysema increased the risk of 90-day in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 1.77 [1.19-2.63], p = 0.005 and 1.97 [1.02-3.79], p = 0.044, respectively). The presence of traction bronchiectasis was also associated with decreased successful liberation from V-V ECMO (odds ratio: 0.27 [0.14-0.52], p < 0.001). Lower static lung compliance was associated with some chest computed tomography findings related to changes outside of pulmonary opacity, but not with the findings related to pulmonary opacity. CONCLUSIONS: Traction bronchiectasis and subcutaneous emphysema increased the risk of 90-day in-hospital mortality in patients with severe ARDS who required V-V ECMO.

Factors associated with healthcare providers' satisfaction with end-of-life care in the intensive care unit: A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to synthesize published data on and identify factors associated with healthcare providers' satisfaction with end-of-life care for critically ill adults. METHODS: Electronic databases were searched from inception to January 23, 2023. We included trials involving adults admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) or high-dependency units to evaluate palliative care interventions. STUDY SELECTION: The inclusion criteria were as follows: 1) Adult patients (age ≥18 years) or their family members admitted to the ICU or a high-dependency unit; 2) ICU palliative care interventions; 3) Randomized and non-randomized controlled trials; and 4) Full-text, peer-reviewed articles published in English. Two reviewers screened and extracted the data and assessed bias risk. The primary outcome was an improvement in the healthcare providers' satisfaction based on the validated scales. RESULTS: Out of 12 studies, 9 investigated combined dimension intervention. Healthcare providers' satisfaction improved in 6/7 (85.7%) of the studies testing educational intervention, 5/7 (71.4%) studies testing the effectiveness of palliative care team involvement, 4/5 (80%) of studies testing communication interventions, while 0/2 (0%) study testing ethic consultations. CONCLUSIONS: Most of the tested palliative care interventions were associated with improved healthcare provider satisfaction in intensive care units. The impacts of such intervention on mental health and burden remain to be investigated in this field.

High versus low positive end-expiratory pressure setting in patients receiving veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support for severe acute respiratory distress syndrome: study protocol for the multicentre, randomised ExPress SAVER Trial.

INTRODUCTION: While limiting the tidal volume to 6 mL/kg during veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO) to ameliorate lung injury in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is widely accepted, the best setting for positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) is still controversial. This study is being conducted to investigate whether a higher PEEP setting (15 cmH2O) during V-V ECMO can decrease the duration of ECMO support needed in patients with severe ARDS, as compared with a lower PEEP setting. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The study is an investigator-initiated, multicentre, open-label, two-arm, randomised controlled trial conducted with the participation of 20 intensive care units (ICUs) at academic as well as non-academic hospitals in Japan. The subjects of the study are patients with severe ARDS who require V-V ECMO support. Eligible patients will be randomised equally to the high PEEP group or low PEEP group. Recruitment to the study will continue until a total of 210 patients with ARDS requiring V-V ECMO support have been randomised. In the high PEEP group, PEEP will be set at 15 cmH2O from the start of V-V ECMO until the trials for liberation from V-V ECMO (or until day 28 after the allocation), while in the low PEEP group, the PEEP will be set at 5 cmH2O. Other treatments will be the same in the two groups. The primary endpoint of the study is the number of ECMO-free days until day 28, defined as the length of time (in days) from successful libration from V-V ECMO to day 28. The secondary endpoints are mortality on day 28, in-hospital mortality on day 60, ventilator-free days during the first 60 days and length of ICU stay. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics approval for the trial at all the participating hospitals was obtained on 27 September 2022, by central ethics approval (IRB at Hiroshima University Hospital, C2022-0006). The results of this study will be presented at domestic and international medical congresses, and also published in scientific journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The Japan Registry of Clinical Trials jRCT1062220062. Registered on 28 September 2022. PROTOCOL VERSION: 28 March 2023, version 4.0.

Characteristics of the pulmonary opacities on chest CT associated with difficulty in short-term liberation from veno-venous ECMO in patients with severe ARDS.

BACKGROUND: It is clinically important to predict difficulty in short-term liberation from veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO) in patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) at the time of initiation of the support. The aim of this study was to identify the characteristics of pulmonary opacities on chest CT that is associated with difficulty in short-term liberation from V-V ECMO (< 14 days). METHODS: This multicenter retrospective study was conducted in adult patients initiated on V-V ECMO for severe ARDS between January 2014 and June 2022. The pulmonary opacities on CT at the time of initiation of the ECMO support were evaluated in a blinded manner, focusing on the following three characteristics of the opacities: (1) their distribution (focal/diffuse on the dorso-ventral axis or unilateral/bilateral on the left-right axis); (2) their intensity (pure ground glass/pure consolidation/mixed pattern); and (3) the degree of fibroproliferation (signs of traction bronchiectasis or reticular opacities). RESULTS: Among the 153 patients, 72 (47%) were successfully liberated from ECMO in the short term, while short-term liberation failed in the remaining 81 (53%) patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the presence of mixed-pattern pulmonary opacities and signs of traction bronchiectasis, but not the distribution of the opacities, were independently associated with difficulty in short-term liberation (OR [95% CI]; 4.8 [1.4-16.5] and 3.9 [1.4-11.2], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of a mixed pattern of the pulmonary opacities and signs of traction bronchiectasis on the chest CT were independently associated with difficulty in short-term liberation from V-V ECMO in severe ARDS patients.

Effect of a systematic lung-protective protocol for COVID-19 pneumonia requiring invasive ventilation: A single center retrospective study.

The benefits of introducing a systematic lung-protective protocol for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia requiring invasive ventilation in the intensive care unit (ICU) are unknown. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the clinical effects of introducing such a protocol in terms of mortality, duration of ventilation, and length of ICU stay. In this single-centre, retrospective, quality comparison study, we identified patients with COVID-19 pneumonia who received invasive ventilation in our ICU between February 2020 and October 2021. We established a systematic lung-protective protocol for the pre-introduction group until March 2021 and the post-introduction group after April 2021. Patients who did not receive invasive ventilation and who underwent veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in a referring hospital were excluded. We collected patient characteristics at the time of ICU admission, including age, sex, body mass index (BMI), comorbidities, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, and Murray score. The study outcomes were ICU mortality, length of ICU stay, and duration of ventilation. The pre-introduction and post-introduction groups included 18 and 50 patients, respectively. No significant differences were observed in sex, BMI, SOFA score, APACHE II score, and Murray score; however, age was lower in the post-introduction group (70 vs. 56, P = 0.003). The introduction of this protocol did not improve ICU mortality. However, it reduced the ICU length of stay (26 days vs. 11 days, P = 0.003) and tended to shorten the duration of ventilation (15 days vs. 10 days, P = 0.06). The introduction of the protocol was associated with a decrease in the length of ICU stay and duration of ventilation; however, it did not change mortality. The application of the protocol could improve the security of medical resources during the COVID-19 pandemic. Further prospective multicentre studies are needed.

Corynebacterium ulcerans pneumonia treated with venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation: a case report.

We report the first case of airway obstruction due to toxin-producing Corynebacterium ulcerans, successfully managed with venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO). A woman aged 73 years who was living with companion animals was intubated for pneumonia of unknown origin and treated with an empirical antimicrobial agent. Corynebacterium species were detected in the sputum and treated as commensal bacteria. Subsequently, the patient suddenly could not ventilate because of central airway obstruction caused by pseudomembrane formation. Therefore, V-V ECMO was initiated. Additional mass spectrometry identified the Corynebacterium species as C. ulcerans. After treatment with antitoxin, the patient was successfully weaned from V-V ECMO. Hence, in patients in contact with companion animals who present with respiratory failure and pseudomembrane formation, C. ulcerans pneumonia should be suspected and treated with antitoxin. C. ulcerans pneumonia may result in an inability to ventilate due to pseudomembrane formation. Therefore, treatment strategies including V-V ECMO should be considered in such cases.

Risk factors for mechanical ventilation and ECMO in COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU: A multicenter retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: The primary purpose of this study was to investigate risk factors associated with the need for mechanical ventilation (MV) and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 66 consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICUs of three Japanese institutions from February 2020 to January 2021. We performed logistic regression analyses to identify risk factors associated with subsequent MV and ECMO requirements. Further, multivariate analyses were performed following adjustment for Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores. RESULTS: At ICU admission, the risk factors for subsequent MV identified were: higher age (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.04, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.00-1.08, P = 0.03), higher values of APACHE II score (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.08-1.33, P < 0.001), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.18-1.97, P < 0.001), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.02, p<0.001) and C-reactive protein (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.00-1.19, P = 0.04), and lower values of lymphocytes (OR 1.00, 95% CI 1.00-1.00, P = 0.02) and antithrombin (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.91-0.95, P < 0.01). Patients who subsequently required ECMO showed lower values of estimated glomerular filtration rate (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.96-1.00, P = 0.04) and antithrombin (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88-1.00, P = 0.03) at ICU admission. Multivariate analysis showed that higher body mass index (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.00-1.40, P = 0.04) and higher levels of LDH (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.01-1.02, P < 0.01) were independent risk factors for the need for MV. Lower level of antithrombin (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88-1.00, P = 0.03) was a risk factor for the need for ECMO. CONCLUSION: We showed that low antithrombin level at ICU admission might be a risk factor for subsequent ECMO requirements, in addition to other previously reported factors.

Comparison of the efficacy of continuous intravenous infusion versus intramuscular injection of epinephrine for initial anaphylaxis treatment.

Aim: Continuous intravenous (CIV) infusion of epinephrine for the treatment of anaphylaxis may be required if symptoms do not improve after intramuscular (IM) injection. As CIV infusion permits precise dose adjustment, we compared treatment course and adverse events following CIV infusion and IM injection of epinephrine for the management of anaphylaxis. Methods: Medical records of patients, who were treated for anaphylaxis with epinephrine, were 18 years or older, and were admitted to our department from April 2005 to March 2016, were retrospectively reviewed. The cases were categorized as CIV infusion or IM injection, and treatment course and outcomes were compared between the two groups. Results: Of the 142 eligible cases, there were 78 in the CIV infusion group and 64 in the IM injection group. The CIV infusion group had lower systolic blood pressure, more respiratory symptoms, and higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores, but required a lower total dose of epinephrine, had fewer adverse events after epinephrine administration, and showed lower incidence of biphasic reactions. In addition, compared with the IM injection group, time to administration of epinephrine was significantly longer (P < 0.001), but time to resolution of symptoms, both from contact and epinephrine administration, was significantly shorter (P < 0.01 and P = 0.03, respectively). Conclusion: Continuous intravenous infusion of epinephrine for the treatment of anaphylaxis may be safe, has fewer adverse events, improves symptoms, and is relatively easy to administer under ready conditions. CIV infusion of epinephrine may also reduce the incidence of biphasic reactions.

Risk factors for bleeding complications during venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation as a bridge to recovery.

BACKGROUND: Bleeding complications during venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-V ECMO) can be critical. However, there is limited information on the associated risk factors. This study investigated the risk factors for bleeding complications during V-V ECMO as a bridge to recovery. METHODS: This single-center retrospective study enrolled 59 patients (bleeding and non-bleeding groups) who received V-V ECMO from 2012 to 2020, to evaluate whether peak activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) value, lowest platelet count, and mobilization to sitting on the edge of the bed during V-V ECMO were risk factors for bleeding complications, defined according to the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization guidelines. Age, sex, body mass index, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, and ECMO duration before bleeding complications were covariates in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-one (53%) participants experienced 36 bleeding complications; the ECMO cannulation site, gastrointestinal tract, and nasopharyngeal region were the most common bleeding sites. The use of transfusion products and length of ECMO and intensive care unit stay were significantly and medical costs were non-significantly increased in the bleeding group. Peak APTT (odds ratio [OR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.05, p < 0.01) was significantly associated whereas the lowest platelet count (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.82-1.13, p = 0.66) was unassociated with bleeding complications during ECMO. Achieving mobilization (OR 0.14, 95% CI 0.02-1.17, p = 0.07) decreased the trend of risk for bleeding complications. CONCLUSIONS: Peak APTT might be an independent modifiable factor for bleeding complications during V-V ECMO. The protective effect of mobilization during V-V ECMO requires further investigation.

Effects of evidence-based ICU care on long-term outcomes of patients with sepsis or septic shock (ILOSS): protocol for a multicentre prospective observational cohort study in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: Sepsis is not only the leading cause of death in the intensive care unit (ICU) but also a major risk factor for physical and cognitive impairment and mental disorders, known as postintensive care syndrome (PICS), reduced health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and even mental health disorders in patient families (PICS-family; PICS-F). The ABCDEF bundle is strongly recommended to overcome them, while the association between implementing the bundle and the long-term outcomes is also unknown. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a multicentre prospective observational study at 26 ICUs. All consecutive patients between 1 November 2020 and 30 April 2022, who are 18 years old or older and expected to stay in an ICU for more than 48 hours due to sepsis or septic shock, are enrolled. Follow-up to evaluate survival and PICS/ PICS-F will be performed at 3, 6 and 12 months and additionally every 6 months up to 5 years after hospital discharge. Primary outcomes include survival at 12 months, which is the primary outcome, and the incidence of PICS defined as the presence of any physical impairment, cognitive impairment or mental disorders. PICS assessment scores, HRQoL and employment status are evaluated. The association between the implementation rate for the ABCDEF bundle and for each of the individual elements and long-term outcomes will be evaluated. The PICS-F, defined as the presence of mental disorders, and HRQoL of the family is also assessed. Additional analyses with data up to 5 years follow-up are planned. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study received ethics approvals from Saiseikai Utsunomiya Hospital (2020-42) and all other participating institutions and was registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry. Informed consent will be obtained from all patients. The findings will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented at scientific conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000041433.

Aeromedical Transport Operations Using Helicopters during the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake in Japan.

More than 6,000 people died in the Great Hanshin (Kobe) Earthquake in 1995, and it was later reported that there were around 500 preventable trauma deaths. In response, the Japanese government developed the helicopter emergency medical service in 2001, known in Japan as the "Doctor-Heli" (DH), which had 46 DHs and 2 private medical helicopters as of April 2016. DHs transport physicians and nurses to provide pre-hospital medical care at the scene of medical emergencies. Following lessons learned in the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, a research group in the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare developed a command and control system for the DH fleet as well as the Disaster Relief Aircraft Management System Network (D-NET), which uses a satellite communications network to monitor the location of the fleet and weather in real-time during disasters. During the Kumamoto Earthquake disaster in April 2016, 75 patients were transported by 13 DHs and 1 private medical helicopter in the first 5 days. When medical demand for the DHs exceeded supply, 5 patients, 8 patients, and 1 patient were transported by Self-Defense Force, Fire Department, and Coast Guard helicopters, respectively. Of the 89 patients who were transported, 30 (34%) had trauma, 3 (3%) had pulmonary embolisms caused by sleeping in vehicles, and 17 (19%) were pregnant women or newborns. This was the first time that the command and control system for aeromedical transport and D-NET, established after the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, were operated in an actual large-scale disaster. Aeromedical transport by DHs and helicopters belonging to several other organizations was accomplished smoothly because the commanders of the involved organizations could communicate directly with each other in person within the Aviation Coordination Section of the prefectural government office. However, ongoing challenges in the detailed operating methods for aeromedical transport were highlighted and include improving shared knowledge and training across the organizational framework. These are particularly important issues to address given the Nankai Trough and Tokyo inland earthquakes that are predicted for the near future in Japan.

Ultrasound-Guided Resuscitative Endovascular Balloon Occlusion of the Aorta in the Resuscitation Area.

BACKGROUND: In trauma resuscitation with resuscitative endovascular balloon occlusion of the aorta (REBOA), urgent and accurate placement of the catheter in the resuscitation area without fluoroscopy can shorten the time from admission to REBOA, allowing rapid, temporary control of bleeding. DISCUSSION: The experience-based protocol in our center for ultrasound-guided REBOA in the resuscitation area without fluoroscopy is as follows: the femoral artery is punctured and a guidewire inserted; sonography is used to verify that the guidewire is in the abdominal aorta; the position of the balloon is confirmed with ultrasound after estimating the distance to the clavicle, and the pressure in the radial artery and sheath is used to monitor correct positioning; connect the pressure transducer to the catheter sheath for continuous monitoring of the blood pressure in the sheath, and inflate the balloon until the blood pressure tracing at the sheath has disappeared; check the pulse in the left radial artery, and withdraw the catheter slightly if the pulse in the radial artery is not palpable or is decreased (if this pulse is not palpable or decreased, the balloon is in the aortic arch). In this retrospective review of our REBOA protocol, between April 2012 and March 2016, 34 patients were enrolled. Two patients had complications, including dissection of the femoral artery in one and difficult percutaneous vascular access in another. Median time needed to complete the procedure was 8 min. Overall, 24 of 34 patients survived more than 24 h (72%), and overall mortality was 47%. Patients who lived more than 24 h, and then died had severe traumatic brain injury or septic shock. CONCLUSIONS: Ultrasound-guided REBOA is presented. Monitoring the blood pressure in the left radial artery allows us to determine adequate positioning of the balloon, and the blood pressure in the catheter sheath located in the femoral artery should also be monitored to prevent aortic injuries caused by the overinflation of the balloon.

Analysis of risk classification for massive transfusion in severe trauma using the gray zone approach.

BACKGROUND: The Traumatic Bleeding Severity Score (TBSS) was developed to predict the need for massive transfusion (MT). The aim of this study is evaluation of clinical thresholds for activation of a MT protocol using the gray zone approach based on TBSS. METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective study of trauma patients, admitted from 2010 to 2013. The TBSS on admission was calculated, and the accuracy of predicting MT was analyzed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Risk classification for MT was made using sensitivity/specificity. The gray zone (indeterminate risk) was defined from a sensitivity of 95% to a specificity of 95%, patients were separated into MT and non-MT groups, and their clinical characteristics were compared. RESULTS: A total of 264 patients were enrolled, with an area under the TBSS curve of 0.967 (95% confidence interval, 0.94-0.99). A TBSS of 10 points or less resulted in a sensitivity of 96.5% with 146 patients in this group, and 3.4% (5/146) of them received MT. A TBSS of 17 points or higher had a specificity of 97.8%, which included 72 patients, and 94.4% (68/72) of them received MT. Forty-six patients had a TBSS from 11 to 16 points (gray zone), and 26.1% (12/46) of them received MT. Comparing the MT group (12/46) and non-MT group (34/46), coagulopathy and extravasation on computed tomographic scan were more prevalent in the MT group. CONCLUSION: The TBSS is highly accurate in predicting the need for MT, and a risk classification for needing MT was created based on TBSS.

Predicting the need for massive transfusion in trauma patients: the Traumatic Bleeding Severity Score.

BACKGROUND: The ability to easily predict the need for massive transfusion may improve the process of care, allowing early mobilization of resources. There are currently no clear criteria to activate massive transfusion in severely injured trauma patients. The aims of this study were to create a scoring system to predict the need for massive transfusion and then to validate this scoring system. METHODS: We reviewed the records of 119 severely injured trauma patients and identified massive transfusion predictors using statistical methods. Each predictor was converted into a simple score based on the odds ratio in a multivariate logistic regression analysis. The Traumatic Bleeding Severity Score (TBSS) was defined as the sum of the component scores. The predictive value of the TBSS for massive transfusion was then validated, using data from 113 severely injured trauma patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to compare the results of TBSS with the Trauma-Associated Severe Hemorrhage score and the Assessment of Blood Consumption score. RESULTS: In the development phase, five predictors of massive transfusion were identified, including age, systolic blood pressure, the Focused Assessment with Sonography for Trauma scan, severity of pelvic fracture, and lactate level. The maximum TBSS is 57 points. In the validation study, the average TBSS in patients who received massive transfusion was significantly greater (24.2 [6.7]) than the score of patients who did not (6.2 [4.7]) (p < 0.01). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity for a TBSS greater than 15 points was 0.985 (significantly higher than the other scoring systems evaluated at 0.892 and 0.813, respectively), 97.4%, and 96.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The TBSS is simple to calculate using an available iOS application and is accurate in predicting the need for massive transfusion. Additional multicenter studies are needed to further validate this scoring system and further assess its utility. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic study, level III.