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What is already known about this topic?: The advent of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has markedly decreased mortality rates among patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Globally, there has been a 43% reduction in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related deaths from 2010 to 2022. Additionally, prior research indicates that the initiation of ART at an early stage within China has substantially lowered mortality rates. What is added by this report?: Over the previous decade, following the implementation of China's universal ART access strategy, the patterns of mortality causes among HIV-infected individuals across the country have undergone significant alterations. In 2022, the all-cause mortality rate among this population was reported at 2.7%, with the non-AIDS-related mortality rate at 1.8%. However, it is important to consider that the accuracy of death reporting could contribute to potential misclassification of the underlying causes of death. What are the implications for public health practice?: Efforts to enhance health outcomes should persist in emphasizing the advancement of ART strategies, with a particular focus on mitigating non-AIDS-related mortality in the future.
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BACKGROUND: To assess the prevalence of anemia before and after antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation and to identify impact of anemia on mortality among HIV-infected patients in China during the Treat-All era. METHODS: All HIV-infected patients who newly initiated ART between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2020 were enrolled and followed up to December 31, 2021 in China. We analyzed the prevalence of anemia before and after ART initiation. Generalized estimating equations were fitted to determine factors associated with anemia after ART. Time-dependent cox proportional hazards models were performed to estimate the effect of anemia on death. RESULTS: Of 436,658 patients at the baseline of ART initiation, the overall prevalence of anemia was 28.6%. During a median 2.65 (IQR: 1.80-3.51) years of follow-up after ART initiation, 376,325 (86.2%) patients had at least one Hb measurement (a total of 955,300 hemoglobin measurements). The annual prevalence of anemia after ART was 17.0%, 14.1%, 13.4%, 12.6% and 12.7%, respectively. Being anemic at the baseline of ART initiation (adjusted odds ratio, aOR = 6.80, 95% confidence interval (CI): 6.67-6.92) was the strongest factor associated with anemia after ART. Anemia status after ART showed a strong association with death after multivariable adjustment (mild anemia: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 2.65, 95% CI: 2.55-2.76; moderate anemia: aHR = 4.60; 95% CI:4.40-4.81; severe anemia: aHR = 6.41; 95% CI:5.94-6.91). CONCLUSIONS: In the era of ART universal access, pre-ART anemia was common among HIV-infected patients. Notably, a certain proportion of anemia still persisted after ART, and was significantly associated with death. We recommend strengthening the monitoring of patients at risk of anemia, especially in patients with baseline anemia or during the first year of ART, and timely treatment for correcting anemia.
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Anemia , Fármacos Anti-HIV , Infecções por HIV , Humanos , Anemia/tratamento farmacológico , Anemia/epidemiologia , Anemia/etiologia , Anemia/mortalidade , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , População do Leste Asiático , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/mortalidade , Modelos de Riscos ProporcionaisRESUMO
BACKGROUD: Women now account for about half of all people living with HIV worldwide, but researchers lack clear information and large population-based study about gender differences in treatment outcomes. METHODS: A nationwide retrospective observational cohort study with data from the China National Free Antiretroviral Treatment Program was performed. Antiretroviral-naive patients older than 18 years initiating standard antiretroviral therapy between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2011, were included and followed up to December 31, 2015. We used modified Poisson regression models to estimate the impact of gender on virological suppression and retention in treatment, and Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard models to evaluate gender difference in mortality. RESULTS: Sixty-eight thousand six hundred forty-six patients [46,083 (67.1%) men and 22,563 (32.9%) women] with HIV met eligibility criteria. Women were significantly more likely to achieve virological suppression than men both at 12 months [adjusted relative risk (aRR) 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01 to 1.03, P < 0.001] and 48 months (aRR 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.02, P = 0.005) after initiating antiretroviral treatment. Women were also more likely to remain in treatment at 12 months (aRR 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.02, P < 0.001) and 48 months (aRR 1.04, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.05, P < 0.001), although the difference became insignificant in alive patients. All-cause mortality was lower in women than in men (2.34 vs. 4.03 deaths/100PY, adjusted hazard ratio 0.72, 95% CI: 0.67 to 0.77, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In China, women are more likely to achieve virological suppression, remain in treatment, and have a significantly lower risk of death than men. Future studies could take both biological and sociobehavioral factors into analysis to clarify the influence factors.
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Terapia Antirretroviral de Alta Atividade , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/mortalidade , Infecções por HIV/virologia , HIV-1 , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Adesão à Medicação/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Sexuais , Carga Viral , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the progress and characteristics of China' s "Free AIDS treatment strategy" since the implementation of the national "four free and one care" policy against AIDS 12 years ago. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study and cross-sectional analysis had been conducted in this study. 368 449 cases that had received the ' free antiviral therapy' from 2002 to 2014 were selected from the National Treatment Database. Data from the baseline (initial time of ART, CD(4) cell count, and antiretroviral regimen) and from the follow-up program (dates and status of follow-up, CD(4) cell counts) were gathered and analysed by SAS 9.3. RESULTS: The number of cases that having received new treatment was increasing year by year, accounting for 75.4% of all the cases identified from 2010 to 2014. Constituent ratios of patients with baseline CD(4) cell count <200 cells/µl and clinical diagnosis of AIDS were decreasing from 81.0% in 2006 to 39.7 % in 2014. Status on drug optimization showed that: 3TC replaced DDI, EFV replaced NVP and TDF replaced D4T, making the utilization rates as 99.5%, 75.7%, and 60.6%, respectively, by 2014. Regions that were covered by the treatment accounted for 75.4% of all the counties/districts involved. The previous CDC-led AIDS treatment program and mode of management had been transferred to the hospital-based model. Proportion on the twice-CD(4)-testing model had been 75.2% since 2010, with the rate of virological detection increased from 70.8% in 2010 to 87.4% in 2014 and the virological unsuccessful testing rate decreased from 17.6% in 2010 to 11.8% in 2014. Among all the patients, the 1, 5 and 10 year survival rates appeared as 92.2%, 80.5% and 69.6%, respectively. For patients with baseline CD(4) cell counts as <50 cells/µl or >350 cells/µl, the corresponding survival rates showed as 81.6% , 69.9% , 60.9% and 97.9%, 89.8% , 81.0%, respectively. CONCLUSION: China' s HIV/AIDS free antiretroviral therapy program appeared as a national treatment cohort which involved large number of participants, with new patients joining in, annually. Criterion on drug optimization and treatment were consistently following the recommendation and guidelines set by WHO. Management program on treatment had gradually turned to hospital-based, with follow-up and laboratory testing programs guaranteed, ended up with satisfactory treatment effects.
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Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/tratamento farmacológico , Antirretrovirais/economia , Programas Nacionais de Saúde/organização & administração , Antirretrovirais/uso terapêutico , China , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
A multicentre prospective cohort study was performed in 17 intensive care units (ICUs) in tertiary care hospitals in Hubei Province, China. Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) was defined according to modified criteria from the published literature. Among 4155 ventilated patients, the crude incidence and incidence rate of VAP were 20.9% and 28.9 cases per 1000 ventilator-days. Multivariate analysis using logistic regression revealed risk factors including male sex [risk ratio (RR): 1.5; P<0.001], coma (RR: 2.1; P<0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (RR: 1.4; P<0.001), infections at other sites (RR: 1.6; P=0.001), serious disease predating the onset of VAP (RR: 1.6; P<0.001) and interventions including antacid treatment (RR: 1.4; P<0.001), antimicrobial treatment (RR: 5.1; P<0.001), bronchoscopy (RR: 1.5; P=0.041) and tracheostomy (RR: 1.4; P=0.014). The most frequently isolated causative pathogens were Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Acinetobacter baumannii. Of all Staphylococcus aureus isolates, 45.7% were meticillin resistant. Rates, risk factors and causal pathogens of VAP in ICUs in Hubei differ from those reported from developed countries. These data show the need for more effective infection control interventions in Hubei, China.
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Bactérias/isolamento & purificação , Pneumonia Bacteriana/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Associada à Ventilação Mecânica/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Bactérias/classificação , Bactérias/efeitos dos fármacos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Masculino , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pneumonia Bacteriana/microbiologia , Pneumonia Associada à Ventilação Mecânica/microbiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To determine the major risk factors and their interactions of ischemic stroke (IS) and to develop a classification tree model to predict the incidence risk of IS for a Chinese population. METHODS: Exhaustive Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection (Exhaustive CHAID) algorithm of classification tree method was applied to build a prediction model for the incidence risk of IS under the design of 1:1 matched case-control study. The statistics of misclassification risk was used to evaluate the fitness of the model. RESULTS: In the prediction model, six variables of physical exercise, history of hypertension, tea drinking, HDL-c level, smoking status and educational level were in turn selected as the predictors of IS incidence risk. In the subgroup of lacking of physical exercise, individuals who had history of hypertension would have a significantly higher IS risk (92%) than that of the ones who had no history of hypertension (64%). The misclassification risk estimate of the prediction model was 0.21 with the standard error of 0.02, indicating that 79% of the cases could be classified correctly based on current prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: Lacking of physical exercise and history of hypertension are identified to be the prominent predicting variables of IS risk for a hospital population of southern China. Although CHAID analysis could provide detailed information and insight about interactions among risk factors of IS, we still need to validate our model and improve the vascular risk prediction for Chinese subjects in further studies.
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Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiologia , Árvores de Decisões , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Isquemia Encefálica/complicações , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologiaRESUMO
Hypertension (HTN) is a leading cause of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Lifestyle modification may be the preferential approach to prevent and control HTN. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of a community intervention program, which focused on improving the HTN knowledge, diets and lifestyles in a rural Chinese area. The study was carried out in a rural area of the Hubei Province from May 2003 to April 2006. A total of 1632 participants were recruited. Of the participants, 826 from the town of Xiaoxita and 806 from the town of Fenxiang were assigned to the intervention group (group I) and to the control group (group C), respectively. Group I participants underwent an intervention that included HTN education and dietary and lifestyle guidance. Group C participants were not subjected to an intervention. The outcome measures included HTN knowledge, dietary and lifestyle behaviors, and prevalence, awareness, treatment and control rates of HTN. Along with the changes in HTN education (P<0.05), the participants in group I exhibited a significantly greater improvement in dietary habits and lifestyle behaviors, including reducing salty food intake (13.6%), fat intake (22.9%) and alcohol consumption (9.6%), after 3 years in comparison with those in group C (21.7, 31.9 and 18%, respectively). The prevalence of HTN was significantly lower in group I (22.5%) than in group C (36%) after the intervention strategies. The study showed that the implementation of a community intervention program involving HTN education and lifestyle modifications for rural residents is a powerful approach to reduce HTN prevalence and improve long-term health outcomes.
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Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Hipertensão/etnologia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Estilo de Vida , População Rural , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Dieta , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto , Prevalência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Successive point prevalence surveys were conducted in November 2007 and 2008 to monitor the prevalence of healthcare-associated infection (HCAI) in 13 grade III, 1st class hospitals in Hubei Province of China, using the case definition criteria established by the Ministry of Health in the People's Republic of China. In total, of 20 350 patients surveyed, 833 (4.09%) HCAIs were observed in 790 (3.88%) patients. There was no significant difference between the overall prevalence of HCAI in 2007 (4.14%) and 2008 (3.72%). Respiratory tract infection was the most common HCAI (63.15%), followed by surgical site infection (9.60%) and urinary tract infection (8.64%). Only 35.29% (294/833) of HCAI patients had positive microbiology results. Gram-negative bacteria were isolated most frequently and the most frequent organism was Pseudomonas aeruginosa, followed by Escherichia coli, Acinetobacter baumannii and Staphylococcus aureus. Antibiotic use was documented for 10,344 (50.83%) patients, and cephalosporins, penicillins, and quinolones were the most commonly used agents for treatment or prophylaxis.
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Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Uso de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Bactérias Gram-Negativas/isolamento & purificação , Bactérias Gram-Positivas/isolamento & purificação , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Infecções Urinárias/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Hypertension (HTN) has been proven to be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases. The purpose of the study was to examine risk factors for HTN and to develop a prediction model to estimate HTN risk for rural residents over the age of 35 years. This study was based on a cross-sectional survey of 3054 rural community residents (N=3054). Participants were divided into two groups: a training set (N1=2438) and a validation set (N2=616). The differences between the training set and validation set were not statistically significant. The predictors of HTN risk were identified from the training set using logistic regression analysis. Some risk factors were significantly associated with HTN, such as a high educational level (EL) (odds ratio (OR)=0.744), a predominantly sedentary job (OR=1.090), a positive family history of HTN (OR=1.614), being overweight (OR=1.525), dysarteriotony (OR=1.101), alcohol intake (OR=0.760), a salty diet (OR=1.146), more vegetable and fruit intake (OR=0.882), meat consumption (OR=0.787) and regular physical exercise (OR=0.866). We established the predictive models using logistic regression model (LRM) and artificial neural network (ANN). The accuracy of the models was compared by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) when the models were applied to the validation set. The ANN model (area under the curve (AUC)=0.900+/-0.014) proved better than the LRM (AUC=0.732+/-0.026) in terms of evaluating the HTN risk because it had a larger area under the ROC curve.
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Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Redes Neurais de Computação , Saúde da População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , China/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Escolaridade , Exercício Físico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Comportamento SedentárioRESUMO
To discuss the application of complex networks models in preventing and controlling communicable disease, analyze and control the spread of infectious diseases by using the models and the software of complex networks based on its basic properties. Compared with conventional epidemiological approach, the complex networks theory, as a new theory, not only can describe the dynamic process of infections diseases spreading but also forecast the situation of infectious disease. The influence of the network's topology on the infections diseases transmission can be deeply understood through the research on disease spreading by its theory, so to control the spread of diseases. Complex networks theory approach can be used in epidemiological research for having much advantage compared with those conventional epidemiological approaches.
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Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Doenças Transmissíveis/transmissão , Redes Neurais de Computação , Animais , Humanos , SoftwareRESUMO
HTRA1 was considered as one of important age-related macular degeneration (AMD) candidate genes. However, due to population heterogeneity and bias from case-control study, the association between HTRA1 and AMD needs further confirmation across different studies in different population. In this study, a meta-analysis was performed in 14 case-control studies which were published before August 31, 2008. Effect of HTRA1 polymorphism with AMD was synthetically evaluated. The pooled odds ratio (OR) for heterozygous genotype GA versus wild homozygous genotype GG is 2.13 (95% CI: 1.90, 2.39), the OR of homozygous genotype AA versus GG is 6.92 (95% CI: 5.74, 8.34) and the OR of allele A carrier (GA+AA) versus GG is 3.02 (95% CI: 2.57, 3.53). Sub-analysis indicated that the risk of HTRA1 rs11200638 on wet AMD was stronger than dry AMD, and it seems that HTRA1 rs11200638 could increase the risk of AMD in all races. This study strengthens the hypothesis of association between rs11200638 in the promoter of HTRA1 polymorphism and AMD. The variant of HTRA1/625G-->A could be a potentially promising genetic biomarker of AMD.