[Development and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for Prolonged Hospitalization in Patients With Diabetic Foot Ulcers]. / ç³–å°¿ç— è¶³æºƒç–¡æ‚£è€ ä½é™¢æ—¶é—´å»¶é•¿é£Žé™©é¢„æµ‹æ¨¡åž‹æž„å»ºåŠéªŒè¯.

Objective: To investigate the risk factors associated with prolonged hospitalization in patients diagnosed with diabetic foot ulcers (DFU), to develop a predictive model, and to conduct internal validation of the model. Methods: The clinical data of DFU patients admitted to West China Hospital, Sichuan University between January 2012 and December 2022 were retrospectively collected. The subjects were randomly assigned to a training cohort and a validation cohort at a ratio of 7 to 3. Hospital stays longer than 75th percentile were defined as prolonged length-of-stay. A thorough analysis of the risk factors was conducted using the training cohort, which enabled the development of an accurate risk prediction model. To ensure robustness, the model was internally validated using the validation cohort. Results: A total of 967 inpatients with DFU were included, among whom 245 patients were identified as having an extended length-of-stay. The training cohort consisted of 622 patients, while the validation cohort comprised 291 patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that smoking history (odds ratio [OR]=1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13 to 2.48, P=0.010), Wagner grade 3 or higher (OR=7.13, 95% CI, 3.68 to 13.83, P<0.001), midfoot ulcers (OR=1.99, 95% CI, 1.07 to 3.72, P=0.030), posterior foot ulcers (OR=3.68, 95% CI, 1.83 to 7.41, P<0.001), multisite ulcers (OR=2.91, 95% CI, 1.80 to 4.69, P<0.001), wound size≥3 cm2 (OR=2.00, 95% CI, 1.28-3.11, P=0.002), and white blood cell count (OR=1.11, 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.18, P<0.001) were associated with an increased risk of prolonged length of stay. Additionally, a nomogram was constructed based on the identified risk factors. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for both the training cohort and the validation cohort were 0.782 (95% CI, 0.745 to 0.820) and 0.756 (95% CI, 0.694 to 0.818), respectively, indicating robust predictive performance. Furthermore, the calibration plot demonstrated optimal concordance between the predicted probabilities and the observed outcomes in both the training and the validation cohorts. Conclusion: Smoking history, Wagner grade≥3, midfoot ulcers, posterior foot ulcers, multisite ulcers, ulcer area≥3 cm2, and elevated white blood cell count are identified as independent predictors of prolonged hospitalization. Therefore, it is imperative that clinicians conduct a comprehensive patient evaluation and implement appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic strategies to effectively shorten the length of stay for DFU patients.

Inflammo-immune perspective on the association of eight migraine risk factors with migraine: a multi-omics Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Migraine risk factors are associated with migraine susceptibility, yet their mechanisms are unclear. Evidence suggests a role for inflammatory proteins and immune cells in migraine pathogenesis. This study aimed to examine the inflammo-immune association between eight migraine risk factors and the disorder. Methods: This study utilized inverse variance weighted (IVW) method and colocalization analysis to explore potential causal relationships between eight migraine risk factors, migraine, 731 immune cells, and 91 circulating inflammatory proteins. Mediation Mendelian randomization (MR) was further used to confirm the mediating role of circulating inflammatory proteins and immune cells between the eight migraine risk factors and migraine. Results: Migraine risk factors are linked to 276 immune cells and inflammatory proteins, with cigarettes smoked per day strongly co-localized with CD33-HLA DR+ cells. Despite no co-localization, 23 immune cells/inflammatory proteins relate to migraine. Depression, all anxiety disorders, and sleep apnea are correlated with migraine, and all anxiety disorders are supported by strong co-localization evidence. However, the mediating effect of inflammatory proteins and immune cells between eight migraine risk factors and migraine has not been confirmed. Conclusion: We elucidate the potential causal relationships between eight migraine risk factors, migraine, immune cells, and inflammatory proteins, enhancing our understanding of the molecular etiology of migraine pathogenesis from an inflammatory-immune perspective.

Pedal medial arterial calcification in diabetic foot ulcers: A significant risk factor of amputation and mortality.

AIMS: Pedal medial arterial calcification (MAC) is frequently observed in individuals with diabetic foot ulcers (DFUs). However, the impact of pedal MAC on individuals with DFUs remains uncertain. The main aim of this study was to evaluate the association between pedal MAC with amputation and mortality outcomes. METHODS: A prospective, observational cohort study was conducted at West China Hospital from January 2012 to December 2021. Logistic regression analyses, Kaplan-Meier survival method, and Cox proportional hazards models were employed to evaluate the relationship between pedal MAC and amputation as well as mortality. RESULTS: A total of 979 patients were enrolled in the study. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) was observed in 53% of patients with DFUs, and pedal MAC was found in 8%. Over a median follow-up of 46 (23-72) months, foot amputation was performed on 190 patients, and mortality occurred in 246 patients. Pedal MAC showed a significant association with amputation both in unadjusted analysis (odds ratio [OR] = 2.98, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.86-4.76, p < .001) and after adjusting sex, age, albumin levels, hemoglobin levels, and diabetic retinopathy status (OR 2.29, 95% CI 1.33-3.93, p = .003). The risk of amputation was found to be twofold higher in individuals with PAD and pedal MAC compared to those with PAD alone (OR 2.05, 95% CI 1.10-3.82, p = .024). Furthermore, the presence of pedal MAC was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality (p = .005), particularly among individuals with DFUs but without PAD (HR 4.26, 95% CI 1.90-9.52, p < .001), rather than in individuals presenting with both DFUs and PAD. CONCLUSION: The presence of pedal MAC is significantly associated with both amputation and mortality in individuals with DFUs. Moreover, pedal MAC could provide additional value to predict amputation other than PAD.

Lipid-lowering drugs and inflammatory bowel disease's risk: a drug-target Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has been associated with lipid-lowering drugs in observational studies. Drug-target Mendelian randomization (MR) was utilized in this study to examine the causal relationship between lipid-lowering drugs and incidence of IBD, aiming to identify new preventive uses for the drugs. METHODS: We identified instrumental variables for three classes of lipid-lowering drugs: HMGCR inhibitors, PCSK9 inhibitors, and NPC1L1 inhibitors, using data from the Global Lipids Genetics Consortium. Summary statistics of IBD were obtained from UK Inflammatory Bowel Disease Genetics. The summary-data-based MR (SMR) and the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) MR were used for analysis. Sensitivity analyses were performed by conventional MR methods. RESULTS: The SMR analysis showed no significant genetic association between increased gene expression of HMGCR, PCSK9, and NPC1L1 and IBD, Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). According to IVW-MR analysis, increased HMGCR expression is associated with a reduced risk of IBD (OR = 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.59-0.90, P = 0.003) and CD (OR = 0.75, 95% CI 0.57-0.97, P = 0.03), but not with UC. Additionally, increased NPC1L1 gene expression was associated with elevated risk of IBD (OR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.07-2.40, P = 0.023), but not with CD and UC. However, no significant causal relationships were found between PCSK9 gene expression and IBD, CD, and UC. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated no evidence of heterogeneity or pleiotropy among the reported results. CONCLUSIONS: The heightened expression of genetic variations in HMGCR inhibitor targets could potentially reduce the risk of IBD and CD, while genetic variation in the expression of NPC1L1 targets was positively associated with IBD.

[Characteristics of Inflammatory Markers in Diabetic Foot Patients and Their Relationship With Prognosis of Diabetic Foot Ulcers]. / ç³–å°¿ç— è¶³æ‚£è€ ç‚Žç—‡æ ‡å¿—ç‰©ç‰¹å¾åŠå ¶ä¸Žè¶³æºƒç–¡é¢„åŽå ³ç³».

Objective: To explore the characteristics of baseline inflammatory markers in diabetic foot patients and their relationship with the prognosis of diabetic foot ulcers. Methods: The clinical data of diabetic foot patients (n=495) admitted to West China Hospital, Sichuan University since 2016 were retrospectively collected through the hospital electronic medical record system to analyze the characteristics of inflammatory markers and their relationship with the prognosis of diabetic foot ulcers. Results: White blood cell count (WBC), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels were significantly higher in patients defined as grade 4 on the Wagner Scale than those in patients defined as grade 0-3 on the Wagner Scale. Neutrophil percentage (NE%) was higher in Wagner grade-4 patients than those in Wagner grade-0 and grade-1 patients and higher in Wagner grade-3 patients than those in Wagner grade-0 patients. NE%, CRP, PCT, and IL-6 levels were positively correlated with the severity of diabetic foot, with the respective odds ratio (OR) at 95% confidence interval (CI) being 1.038 (1.019-1.056), 1.019 (1.012-1.026), 8.225 (2.015-33.576), and 1.017 (1.008-1.025). Using Wagner grade-0 patients as the reference, patients with higher WBC were more likely to progress to Wagner grade 2, 3, and 4, with the respective OR (95% CI) values being 1.260 (1.096-1.447), 1.188 (1.041-1.356), and 1.301 (1.137-1.490); patients with higher ESR were more likely to progress to Wagner grade 3 and 4, with the respective OR (95% CI) values being 1.030 (1.006-1.054) and 1.045 (1.019-1.071). Baseline ESR (P=0.008), CRP (P=0.039), and IL-6 (P=0.033) levels were lower in patients who had received antibiotics prior to their admission than those in patients who had not received antibiotics before admission. The levels of WBC, NE%, ESR, PCT, and IL-6 were lower in the full recovery group than those in the group of patients who did not respond to treatment. The higher the levels of NE% and IL-6, the worse the prognosis of diabetic foot ulcers became, with the respective OR (95% CI) values being 1.030 (1.010-1.051) and 1.008 (1.002-1.013). Conclusion: The severity of diabetic foot ulcers increased with the rise in baseline levels of inflammatory markers. Elevated baseline NE% and IL-6 levels suggest a poor prognosis. Our findings suggest that early assessment of diabetic foot infection and standardized antibiotic therapy should be implemented to improve the prognosis.