Age-period-cohort modelling of type 1 diabetes incidence rates among children included in the EURODIAB 25-year follow-up study.

AIMS: Specific patterns in incidence may reveal environmental explanations for type 1 diabetes incidence. We aimed to study type 1 diabetes incidence in European childhood populations to assess whether an increase could be attributed to either period or cohort effects. METHODS: Nineteen EURODIAB centres provided single year incidence data for ages 0-14 in the 25-year period 1989-2013. Case counts and person years were classified by age, period and cohort (APC) in 1-year classes. APC Poisson regression models of rates were fitted using restricted cubic splines for age, period and cohort per centre and sex. Joint models were fitted for all centres and sexes, to find a parsimonious model. RESULTS: A total of 57,487 cases were included. In ten and seven of the 19 centres the APC models showed evidence of nonlinear cohort effects or period effects, respectively, in one or both sexes and indications of sex-specific age effects. Models showed a positive linear increase ranging from approximately 0.6 to 6.6%/year. Centres with low incidence rates showed the highest overall increase. A final joint model showed incidence peak at age 11.6 and 12.6 for girls and boys, respectively, and the rate-ratio was according to sex below 1 in ages 5-12. CONCLUSION: There was reasonable evidence for similar age-specific type 1 diabetes incidence rates across the EURODIAB population and peaks at a younger age for girls than boys. Cohort effects showed nonlinearity but varied between centres and the model did not contribute convincingly to identification of environmental causes of the increase.

Potential of UCHL1 as biomarker for destruction of pancreatic beta cells.

There is a clinical need for plasma tests for real-time detection of beta cell destruction, as surrogate endpoint in islet transplantation and immunoprevention trials in type 1 diabetes. This study reports on the use of label-free LC-MS/MS proteomics for bottom-up selection of candidate biomarkers. Ubiquitin COOH-terminal hydrolase 1 (UCHL1) was identified as abundant protein in rat and human beta cells, showing promising beta cell-selectivity, and was selected for further validation in standardized toxicity models. In vitro, H2O2-induced necrosis of INS-1 cells and human islets resulted in intracellular UCHL1 depletion and its extracellular discharge. In vivo, streptozotocin progressively depleted UCHL1 from islet cores and in 50% of animals, an associated plasma UCHL1 surge was detected preceding the GAD65 peak. UCHL1 was cleared with a half-life of 20min. Whole-body dynamic planar imaging of (99m)-Technetium-labeled UCHL1 indicated a rapid UCHL1 uptake in the liver and spleen, followed by urinary excretion of mainly proteolytic UCHL1 fragments. We conclude that LC-MS/MS proteomics is a useful tool to prioritize biomarkers for beta cell injury with promising molar abundance. Despite its consistent UCHL1 discharge by damaged beta cells in vitro, its in vivo use might be restrained by its rapid elimination from plasma. BIOLOGICAL SIGNIFICANCE: Our bottom-up LC-MS/MS proteomics represents a pragmatic approach to identify protein-type biomarkers of pancreatic beta cell injury. UCHL1 successfully passed sequential validation steps of beta cell-selectivity, antigenicity and toxic discharge in vitro. Whole-body dynamic planar imaging of radiolabeled recombinant UCHL1 indicated rapid clearance through the liver, spleen and urinary excretion of proteolytic fragments, likely explaining non-consistent detection in vivo. Integration of kinetic biomarker clearance studies in the a priori selection criteria is recommended before engaging in resource-intensive custom development of sensitive immunoassays for clinical translation.

BMI is an important driver of ß-cell loss in type 1 diabetes upon diagnosis in 10 to 18-year-old children.

OBJECTIVE: Body weight-related insulin resistance probably plays a role in progression to type 1 diabetes, but has an uncertain impact following diagnosis. In this study, we investigated whether BMI measured at diagnosis was an independent predictor of C-peptide decline 1-year post-diagnosis. DESIGN: Multicentre longitudinal study carried out at diagnosis and up to 1-year follow-up. METHODS: Data on C-peptide were collected from seven diabetes centres in Europe. Patients were grouped according to age at diagnosis (<5 years, n=126; >5 years <10 years, n=295; >10 years <18 years, n=421; >18 years, n=410). Linear regression was used to investigate whether BMI was an independent predictor of change in fasting C-peptide over 1 year. Models were additionally adjusted for baseline insulin dose and HbA1c. RESULTS: In individuals diagnosed between 0 and 5 years, 5 and 10 years and those diagnosed >18 years, we found no association between BMI and C-peptide decline. In patients aged 10-18 years, higher BMI at baseline was associated with a greater decline in fasting C-peptide over 1 year with a decrease (ß 95% CI; P value) of 0.025 (0.010, 0.041) nM/kg per m(2) higher baseline BMI (P=0.001). This association remained significant after adjusting for gender and differences in HbA1c and insulin dose (ß=0.026, 95% CI=0.0097, 0.042; P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: These observations indicate that increased body weight and increased insulin demand are associated with more rapid disease progression after diagnosis of type 1 diabetes in an age group 10-18 years. This should be considered in studies of ß-cell function in type 1 diabetes.

Age-dependent decline of ß-cell function in type 1 diabetes after diagnosis: a multi-centre longitudinal study.

AIMS: C-peptide secretion is currently the only available clinical biomarker to measure residual ß-cell function in type 1 diabetes. However, the natural history of C-peptide decline after diagnosis can vary considerably dependent upon several variables. We investigated the shape of C-peptide decline over time from type 1 diabetes onset in relation to age at diagnosis, haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels and insulin dose. METHODS: We analysed data from 3929 type 1 diabetes patients recruited from seven European centres representing all age groups at disease onset (childhood, adolescence and adulthood). The influence of the age at onset on ß-cell function was investigated in a longitudinal analysis at diagnosis and up to 5-years follow-up. RESULTS: Fasting C-peptide (FCP) data at diagnosis were available in 3668 patients stratified according to age at diagnosis in four groups (<5 years, n = 344; >5 years < 10 years, n = 668; >10 years < 18 years, n = 991; >18 years, n = 1655). FCP levels were positively correlated with age (p < 0.001); the subsequent decline in FCP over time was log-linear with a greater decline rate in younger age groups (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals a positive correlation between age at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes and FCP with a more rapid decline of ß-cell function in the very young patients. These data can inform the design of clinical trials using C-peptide values as an end-point for the effect of a given treatment.

In antibody-positive first-degree relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes, HLA-A*24 and HLA-B*18, but not HLA-B*39, are predictors of impending diabetes with distinct HLA-DQ interactions.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Secondary type 1 diabetes prevention trials require selection of participants with impending diabetes. HLA-A and -B alleles have been reported to promote disease progression. We investigated whether typing for HLA-B*18 and -B*39 may complement screening for HLA-DQ8, -DQ2 and -A*24 and autoantibodies (Abs) against islet antigen-2 (IA-2) and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8) for predicting rapid progression to hyperglycaemia. METHODS: A registry-based group of 288 persistently autoantibody-positive (Ab(+)) offspring/siblings (aged 0-39 years) of known patients (Ab(+) against insulin, GAD, IA-2 and/or ZnT8) were typed for HLA-DQ, -A and -B and monitored from the first Ab(+) sample for development of diabetes within 5 years. RESULTS: Unlike HLA-B*39, HLA-B*18 was associated with accelerated disease progression, but only in HLA-DQ2 carriers (p < 0.006). In contrast, HLA-A*24 promoted progression preferentially in the presence of HLA-DQ8 (p < 0.002). In HLA-DQ2- and/or HLA-DQ8-positive relatives (n = 246), HLA-B*18 predicted impending diabetes (p = 0.015) in addition to HLA-A*24, HLA-DQ2/DQ8 and positivity for IA-2A or ZnT8A (p ≤ 0.004). HLA-B*18 interacted significantly with HLA-DQ2/DQ8 and HLA-A*24 in the presence of IA-2 and/or ZnT8 autoantibodies (p ≤ 0.009). Additional testing for HLA-B*18 and -A*24 significantly improved screening sensitivity for rapid progressors, from 38% to 53%, among relatives at high Ab-inferred risk carrying at least one genetic risk factor. Screening for HLA-B*18 increased sensitivity for progressors, from 17% to 28%, among individuals carrying ≥ 3 risk markers conferring >85% 5 year risk. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: These results reinforce the importance of HLA class I alleles in disease progression and quantify their added value for preparing prevention trials.

Sustained function of alginate-encapsulated human islet cell implants in the peritoneal cavity of mice leading to a pilot study in a type 1 diabetic patient.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Alginate-encapsulated human islet cell grafts have not been able to correct diabetes in humans, whereas free grafts have. This study examined in immunodeficient mice whether alginate-encapsulated graft function was inferior to that of free grafts of the same size and composition. METHODS: Cultured human islet cells were equally distributed over free and alginate-encapsulated grafts before implantation in, respectively, the kidney capsule and the peritoneal cavity of non-obese diabetic mice with severe combined immunodeficiency and alloxan-induced diabetes. Implants were followed for in vivo function and retrieved for analysis of cellular composition (all) and insulin secretory responsiveness (capsules). RESULTS: Free implants with low beta cell purity (19 ± 1%) were non-functional and underwent 90% beta cell loss. At medium purity (50 ± 1%), they were functional at post-transplant week 1, evolving to normoglycaemia (4/8) or to C-peptide negativity (4/8) depending on the degree of beta cell-specific losses. Encapsulated implants immediately and sustainably corrected diabetes, irrespective of beta cell purity (16/16). Most capsules were retrievable as single units, enriched in endocrine cells that exhibited rapid secretory responses to glucose and glucagon. Single capsules with similar properties were also retrieved from a type 1 diabetic recipient at post-transplant month 3. However, the vast majority were clustered and contained debris, explaining the poor rise in plasma C-peptide. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In immunodeficient mice, i.p. implanted alginate-encapsulated human islet cells exhibited a better outcome than free implants under the kidney capsule. They did not show primary non-function at low beta cell purity and avoided beta cell-specific losses by rapidly establishing normoglycaemia. Retrieved capsules presented secretory responses to glucose, which was also observed in a type 1 diabetic recipient.

LC-MS/MS identification of doublecortin as abundant beta cell-selective protein discharged by damaged beta cells in vitro.

There is a clinical need for plasma tests that can directly detect injury to pancreatic beta cells in type 1 diabetes. Such tests require biomarkers that are abundantly and selectively released into plasma by damaged beta cells. We combined LC-MS/MS proteomics and tissue-comparative transcriptomics of FACS-purified beta cells for bottom-up identification of candidate markers. Less than 10% of 467 proteins detected in beta cells showed endocrine-enriched expression. One surprising candidate was the neuronal migration marker doublecortin: in situ analysis revealed uniform doublecortin expression in the cytoplasm of all beta cells. Western blotting and real-time PCR confirmed its strong beta cell-selectivity outside the brain and its high molar abundance, indicating promising biomarker properties in comparison to GAD65, a more established marker of beta cell injury. DCX potential was validated in vitro: chemically-induced necrosis of rat and human beta cells led to a discharge of intracellular doublecortin into the extracellular space, proportionate to the amount of injured cells, and similar to GAD65. In vivo, recombinant DCX showed favorable pharmacokinetic properties, with a half-life in plasma of around 3h. Combined, our findings provide first proof-of-principle for doublecortin as biomarker for beta cell injury in vitro, advocating its further validation as biomarker in vivo.

Screening for insulinoma antigen 2 and zinc transporter 8 autoantibodies: a cost-effective and age-independent strategy to identify rapid progressors to clinical onset among relatives of type 1 diabetic patients.

In first-degree relatives of type 1 diabetic patients, we investigated whether diabetes risk assessment solely based on insulinoma antigen 2 (IA-2) and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8) antibody status (IA-2A, respectively, ZnT8A) is as effective as screening for three or four autoantibodies [antibodies against insulin (IAA), glutamate decarboxylase 65 kDa (GAD) glutamate decarboxylase autoantibodies (GADA) and IA-2A with or without ZnT8A] in identifying children, adolescents and adults who progress rapidly to diabetes (within 5 years). Antibodies were determined by radiobinding assays during follow-up of 6444 siblings and offspring aged 0-39 years at inclusion and recruited consecutively by the Belgian Diabetes Registry. We identified 394 persistently IAA(+) , GADA(+) , IA-2A(+) and/or ZnT8A(+) relatives (6·1%). After a median follow-up time of 52 months, 132 relatives developed type 1 diabetes. In each age category tested (0-9, 10-19 and 20-39 years) progression to diabetes was significantly quicker in the presence of IA-2A and/or ZnT8A than in their joint absence (P < 0·001). Progression rate was age-independent in IA-2A(+) and/or ZnT8A(+) relatives but decreased with age if only GADA and/or IAA were present (P = 0·008). In the age group mainly considered for immune interventions until now (10-39 years), screening for IA-2A and ZnT8A alone identified 78% of the rapid progressors (versus 75% if positive for ≥ 2 antibodies among IAA, GADA, IA-2A and ZnT8A or versus 62% without testing for ZnT8A). Screening for IA-2A and ZnT8A alone allows identification of the majority of rapidly progressing prediabetic siblings and offspring regardless of age and is more cost-effective to select participants for intervention trials than conventional screening.

Immune responses against islet allografts during tapering of immunosuppression--a pilot study in 5 subjects.

Transplantation of isolated islet of Langerhans cells has great potential as a cure for type 1 diabetes but continuous immune suppressive therapy often causes considerable side effects. Tapering of immunosuppression in successfully transplanted patients would lower patients' health risk. To identify immune biomarkers that may prove informative in monitoring tapering, we studied the effect of tapering on islet auto- and alloimmune reactivity in a pilot study in five transplant recipients in vitro. Cytokine responses to the graft were measured using Luminex technology. Avidity of alloreactive cytotoxic T Lymphocytes (CTL) was determined by CD8 blockade. The influence of immunosuppression was mimicked by in vitro replenishment of tacrolimus and MPA, the active metabolite of mycophenolate mofetil. Tapering of tacrolimus was generally followed by decreased C-peptide production. T-cell autoreactivity increased in four out of five patients during tapering. Overall alloreactive CTL precursor frequencies did not change, but their avidity to donor mismatches increased significantly after tapering (P = 0·035). In vitro addition of tacrolimus but not MPA strongly inhibited CTL alloreactivity during tapering and led to a significant shift to anti-inflammatory graft-specific cytokine production. Tapering of immunosuppression is characterized by diverse immune profiles that appear to relate inversely to plasma C-peptide levels. Highly avid allospecific CTLs that are known to associate with rejection increased during tapering, but could be countered by restoring immune suppression in vitro. Immune monitoring studies may help guiding tapering of immunosuppression after islet cell transplantation, even though we do not have formal prove yet that the observed changes reflect direct effects of immune suppression on immunity.

An important minority of prediabetic first-degree relatives of type 1 diabetic patients derives from seroconversion to persistent autoantibody positivity after 10 years of age.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The appearance of autoantibodies (Abs) before diabetes onset has mainly been studied in young children. However, most patients develop type 1 diabetes after the age of 15 years. In first-degree relatives aged under 40 years, we investigated the frequency of seroconversion to (persistent) Ab positivity, progression to diabetes and baseline characteristics of seroconverters according to age. METHODS: Abs against insulin (IAA), glutamate decarboxylase (GADA), insulinoma-associated protein 2 (IA-2A) and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8A) were measured during follow-up of 7,170 first-degree relatives. RESULTS: We identified 379 (5.3%) relatives with positivity for IAA, GADA, IA-2A and/or ZnT8A (Ab(+)) at first sampling and 224 (3.1%) at a later time point. Most seroconversions occurred after the age of 10 years (63%). During follow-up, Abs persisted more often in relatives initially Ab(+) (76%) than in seroconverters (53%; p < 0.001). In both groups diabetes developed at a similar pace and almost exclusively with Ab persistence (136 of 139 prediabetic individuals). For both groups, progression was more rapid if Abs appeared before the age of 10 years. Baseline characteristics at seroconversion did not vary significantly according to age. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Seroconversion to (persistent) Ab(+) occurs regardless of age. Although the progression rate to diabetes is higher under age 10 years, later seroconverters (up to age 40 years) have similar characteristics when compared with age-matched initially Ab(+) relatives and generate an important minority of prediabetic relatives, warranting their identification and, eventually, enrolment in prevention trials.

Four-year metabolic outcome of a randomised controlled CD3-antibody trial in recent-onset type 1 diabetic patients depends on their age and baseline residual beta cell mass.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of the study was to examine the 48 month outcome of treating recent-onset type 1 diabetic patients for 6 days with humanised CD3-antibody, ChAglyCD3. METHODS: Eighty patients, aged 12-39 years, were recruited for a phase 2 multicentre trial and randomised to placebo (n=40) or ChAglyCD3 (n=40) treatment by a third party member; participants and care-givers were blinded. The change in insulin dose (U kg(-1)day(-1)) over 48 months was chosen as primary endpoint and compared in 31 placebo-and 33 ChAglyCD3-treated patients. Adverse events were followed in 35 and 38 patients, respectively. RESULTS: Treatment with ChAglyCD3 delayed the rise in insulin requirements of patients with recent-onset diabetes and reduced its amplitude over 48 months (+0.09 vs +0.32 U kg(-1)day(-1) in the placebo group). Using multivariate analysis this effect was correlated with higher baseline residual beta cell function and a younger age. It was associated with better outcome variables in subgroups selected according to these variables. In the ChAglyCD3 subgroup with higher initial beta cell function, 0/11 patients became C-peptide-negative over 48 months vs 4/9 in the corresponding placebo subgroup. In the subgroup aged <27 years old, antibody treatment preserved initial beta cell function for 36 months (vs >80% decline within 24 months in the placebo subgroup <27 years old), resulted in lower HbA1c concentrations and tended to reduce glycaemic variability (p=0.08). No longterm adverse events were observed. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: A 6 day ChAglyCD3 treatment can suppress the rise in insulin requirements of recent-onset type 1 diabetic patients over 48 months, depending on their age and initial residual beta cell function. In younger patients this effect is associated with reduced deterioration of metabolic variables. These observations help to define inclusion criteria for prevention trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00627146 FUNDING: Center grants from the Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation (4-2001-434, 4-2005-1327) and grants from the Belgian Fund for Scientific Research-Flanders and from Brussels Free University-VUB.

Predictive power of screening for antibodies against insulinoma-associated protein 2 beta (IA-2beta) and zinc transporter-8 to select first-degree relatives of type 1 diabetic patients with risk of rapid progression to clinical onset of the disease: implications for prevention trials.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We investigated whether screening for insulinoma-associated protein (IA-2) beta (IA-2beta) autoantibodies (IA-2betaA) and zinc transporter-8 (ZnT8) autoantibodies (ZnT8A) improves identification of first-degree relatives of type 1 diabetic patients with a high 5-year disease risk, which to date has been based on assays for insulin autoantibodies (IAA), GAD autoantibodies (GADA) and IA-2 autoantibodies (IA-2A). METHODS: IA-2betaA and ZnT8A (using a ZnT8 carboxy-terminal hybrid construct, CW-CR, carrying 325Arg and 325Trp) were determined by radiobinding assay in 409 IAA(+), GADA(+) and/or IA-2A(+) siblings or offspring (<40 years) of type 1 diabetic patients consecutively recruited by the Belgian Diabetes Registry. The median (interquartile range) age of the first-degree relatives was 12 (6-19) years. RESULTS: Of the first-degree relatives, 24% were IA-2A(+) (n = 97), 14% (n = 59) IA-2betaA(+) and 20% (n = 80) ZnT8A(+). IA-2betaA and ZnT8A were significantly (p < 0.001) associated with IA-2A and prediabetes (n = 86); in IA-2A(-) first-degree relatives (n = 312) the presence of IA-2betaA and ZnT8A was associated with an increased progression rate to diabetes (p < 0.001). Positivity for IA-2A and/or ZnT8A emerged as the most sensitive combination of two markers to identify first-degree relatives with a 5-year progression rate to diabetes of 45% (survival analysis) and as strongest predictor of diabetes (Cox regression analysis). Omission of first-degree relatives protected by HLA-DQ genotypes or maternal diabetes reduced the group to be followed from n = 409 to n = 246 (40%) with minor loss in the number of prediabetic IA-2A(+) or ZnT8A(+) first-degree relatives identified (n = 3). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: IA-2A(+) and/or ZnT8A(+) first-degree relatives may be the participants of choice in future secondary prevention trials with immunointervention in relatives of type 1 diabetic patients.

Hyperglycaemic clamp test for diabetes risk assessment in IA-2-antibody-positive relatives of type 1 diabetic patients.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of the study was to investigate the use of hyperglycaemic clamp tests to identify individuals who will develop diabetes among insulinoma-associated protein-2 antibody (IA-2A)-positive first-degree relatives (IA-2A(+) FDRs) of type 1 diabetic patients. METHODS: Hyperglycaemic clamps were performed in 17 non-diabetic IA-2A(+) FDRs aged 14 to 33 years and in 21 matched healthy volunteers (HVs). Insulin and C-peptide responses were measured during the first (5-10 min) and second (120-150 min) release phase, and after glucagon injection (150-160 min). Clamp-induced C-peptide release was compared with C-peptide release during OGTT. RESULTS: Seven (41%) FDRs developed diabetes 3-63 months after their initial clamp test. In all phases they had lower C-peptide responses than non-progressors (p < 0.05) and HVs (p < 0.002). All five FDRs with low first-phase release also had low second-phase release and developed diabetes 3-21 months later. Two of seven FDRs with normal first-phase but low second-phase release developed diabetes after 34 and 63 months, respectively. None of the five FDRs with normal C-peptide responses in all test phases has developed diabetes so far (follow-up 56 to 99 months). OGTT-induced C-peptide release also tended to be lower in progressors than in non-progressors or HVs, but there was less overlap in results between progressors and the other groups using the clamp. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Clamp-derived functional variables stratify risk of diabetes in IA-2A(+) FDRs and may more consistently identify progressors than OGTT-derived variables. A low first-phase C-peptide response specifically predicts impending diabetes while a low second-phase response may reflect an earlier disease stage. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00654121 FUNDING: The insulin trial was financially supported by Novo Nordisk Pharma nv.

Insulin treatment in IA-2A-positive relatives of type 1 diabetic patients.

AIMS: We examined whether parenteral regular insulin can prevent diabetes in IA-2 antibody-positive (IA-2A+) relatives of type 1 diabetic patients, using a trial protocol that differed substantially from that of the Diabetes Prevention Trial-1. METHODS: Twenty-five IA-2A+ relatives received regular human insulin twice a day for 36 months, during which time they were followed (median [interquartile range; IQR]: 47 [19-66] months) for glucose tolerance, HbA(1c) and islet autoantibodies, together with 25 IA-2A+ relatives (observation/control group) who fulfilled the same inclusion criteria, but were observed for 52 [27-67] months (P=0.58). RESULTS: Twelve (48%) insulin-treated relatives and 15 (60%) relatives in the control group developed diabetes. There was no difference in diabetes-free survival between the two groups (P=0.97). Five-year progression (95% confidence interval) was 44% (25-69) in the insulin-treated group and 49% (29-70) in the observation group. At inclusion, progressors tended to have a higher pro-insulin/C-peptide ratio than non-progressors when measured 2 hours after a standardized glucose load (median [IQR]: 2.7% [1.8-4.3] vs. 1.6% [1.1-2.1]; P=0.01). No major hypoglycaemic episodes or significant increases in body mass index or diabetes autoantibodies were observed. CONCLUSION: Prophylactic injections of regular human insulin were well tolerated, but failed to prevent type 1 diabetes onset in IA-2A+ relatives.

Total error profiling of a proinsulin time-resolved fluorescence immunoassay.

We applied total error profiling to evaluate the conversion of a known proinsulin (PI) enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) into a time-resolved fluorescence immunoassay (TRFIA). The formula and acceptance criteria proposed by the Ligand Binding Assay Bioanalytical Focus Group (LBABFG) of the American Association of Pharmaceutical Scientists (AAPS) were applied. We found that the expected dynamic range enlargement with TRFIA compared to ELISA ([0.5-240] versus resp. [0.7-98] pmol/L) is limited by an interference of C-peptide when present in the sample at high concentrations (>7000 pmol/L).

Restoring a functional beta-cell mass in diabetes.

Type 1 and type 2 diabetes have often been presented as disease forms that profoundly differ in the presence and pathogenic significance of a reduced beta-cell mass. We review evidence indicating that the beta-cell mass in type 1 diabetes is usually not decreased by at least 90% at clinical onset, and remains often detectable for years after diagnosis at age above 15 years. Clinical and experimental evidence also exists for a reduced beta-cell mass in type 2 diabetes where it can be the cause for and/or the consequence of dysregulated beta-cell functions. With beta-cell mass defined as number of beta-cells, these views face the limitation of insufficient data and methods for human organs. Because beta-cells can occur under different phenotypes that vary with age and with environmental conditions, we propose to use the term functional beta-cell mass as an assessment of a beta-cell population by the number of beta-cells and their phenotype or functional state. Assays exist to measure functional beta-cell mass in isolated preparations. We selected a glucose-clamp test to evaluate functional beta-cell mass in type 1 patients at clinical onset and in type 1 recipients following intraportal islet cell transplantation. Comparison of the data with those in non-diabetic controls helps targeting and monitoring of therapeutic interventions.

[Epidemiology, prediction and prevention of type 1 diabetes: not one fiction in Belgium]. / Epidemiologie, predictie en preventie van type 1 diabetes: geen fictie in België.

The achievements of the Belgian Diabetes Registry (BDR) over a period of almost 20 years are described. This registry is a national and multicentric initiative that collects blood samples and information from diabetes patients and their relatives and treats the results in a confidential and protected way. Not only could the size of the health care problem 'diabetes' finally be quantified and monitored in Belgium for the age group 0-39 years, but in addition a platform was created for the early detection of individuals at high risk of the disease and its complications. This is a conditio sine qua non for the preparation of internationally competitive prevention studies and novel beta cell therapies, that could be effectively launched in Belgium with the help of BDR.

Adiponectin levels do not predict clinical onset of type 1 diabetes in antibody-positive relatives.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Insulin resistance has been proposed as a risk factor for type 1 diabetes. We investigated whether adiponectin, an insulin sensitiser, can serve as an additional predictive marker for type 1 diabetes in first-degree relatives of known patients. METHODS: Adiponectin was followed in 211 persistently islet antibody-positive (Ab+) first-degree relatives of type 1 diabetic patients and in 211 age- and sex-matched persistently antibody-negative relatives, and correlated with antibody status, random proinsulin:C-peptide ratio and HLA-DQ genotype. During follow-up, 37 Ab+ relatives developed type 1 diabetes. RESULTS: In the group of 422 relatives, baseline adiponectin correlated inversely with age and BMI and was lower in male than in female participants, especially after 15 years of age (p < 0.001). There was no correlation with antibody status or later development of diabetes. In 24 Ab+ relatives sampled fasted, adiponectin levels correlated significantly with homeostasis model assessment of insulin sensitivity (p = 0.006). In Ab+ relatives (n = 211), adiponectin levels could not predict type 1 diabetes nor complement risk assessment based on islet antibodies, HLA-DQ genotype and pancreatic hormones in Cox regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Adiponectin levels do not contribute to the prediction of type 1 diabetes in Ab+ relatives.

The age at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes continues to decrease in Belgian boys but not in girls: a 15-year survey.

BACKGROUND: The age at clinical onset of type 1 diabetes is decreasing. Preliminary Belgian data suggested that this anticipation occurred preferentially in boys. We investigated whether this gender-specific anticipation could be confirmed over a 15-year observation period. METHODS: In Antwerp, we studied incidence trends between 1989 and 2003 in 746 type 1 diabetic patients under age 40. For 2928 antibody-positive patients diagnosed nationwide during the same period, age at diagnosis was analysed according to gender and calendar year. RESULTS: In Antwerp, the incidence of type 1 diabetes under age 15 increased significantly with time from 10.9/100 000/year in 1989-1993 to 15.8/100 000/year in 1999-2003 (p = 0.008). The rising incidence in children was largely restricted to boys under age 10 where the incidence more than doubled during the 15-year period (6.8/100 000/year in 1989-1993 vs 17.2/100 000/year in 1999-2003; p < 0.001). Such an increase was not found in girls under age 10 (p = 0.54). This selective trend toward younger age at diagnosis in boys was confirmed in the larger group of Belgian patients where the median age at diagnosis decreased in boys-but not in girls-from 20 years in 1989-1993 to 15 years in 1999-2003 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Over a 15-year observation period, a selective anticipation of clinical onset of type 1 diabetes was found in boys but not in girls. This suggests that an environmental factor may preferentially accelerate the sub-clinical disease process in young boys.

Identification of prediabetes in first-degree relatives at intermediate risk of type I diabetes.

Prevention trials of type I diabetes are limited by recruitment of individuals at high risk of the disease. We investigated whether demographic and biological characteristics can identify rapid progressors among first-degree relatives of known patients at intermediate (< 10%) 5-year risk. Diabetes-associated antibodies, random proinsulin : C-peptide (PI/C) ratio and HLA DQ genotype were determined (repeatedly) in 258 islet antibody-positive IA-2Antibody-negative (Abpos/IA-2Aneg) normoglycaemic first-degree relatives. During follow-up (median 81 months), 14 of 258 Abpos/IA-2Aneg relatives developed type I diabetes; 13 (93%) of them had persistent antibodies conferring a 12% [95% confidence interval (CI): 5-19%] 5-year risk of diabetes. In Abpos/IA-2Aneg relatives with persistent antibodies (n = 126), the presence of >/= 1 HLA DQ susceptibility haplotype in the absence of a protective haplotype (P = 0.033) and appearance on follow-up of a high PI/C ratio (P = 0.007) or IA-2A-positivity (P = 0.009) were identified as independent predictors of diabetes. In persistently antibody-positive relatives with HLA DQ risk a recurrently high PI/C ratio or development of IA-2A identified a subgroup (n = 32) comprising 10 of 13 (77%) prediabetic relatives and conferred a 35% (95% CI: 18-53%) 5-year risk. Under age 15 years, 5-year progression (95% CI) was 57% (30-84%) and sensitivity 62%. In the absence of IA-2A, the combination of antibody persistence, HLA DQ risk and elevated PI/C ratio or later development of IA-2A and young age defines a subgroup of relatives with a high risk of type I diabetes (>/= 35% in 5 years). Together with initially IA-2A-positive relatives these individuals qualify for standardized beta cell function tests in view of prevention trials.