Total testosterone, sex hormone-binding globulin, and free testosterone concentrations and risk of primary liver cancer: A prospective analysis of 200,000 men and 180,000 postmenopausal women.

In most countries, males have ~2-3 times higher incidence of primary liver cancer than females. Sex hormones have been hypothesized to contribute to these differences, but the evidence remains unclear. Using data from the UK Biobank, which included ~200,000 males and ~180,000 postmenopausal females who provided blood samples at recruitment, we estimated hazard ratios (HR2) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for a doubling in hormone concentration from multivariable adjusted Cox regression for circulating total testosterone, sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG), and free testosterone concentrations and risk of primary liver cancer. After a median of 11.8 years of follow-up, 531 cases of primary liver cancer were observed, of which 366 occurred in males and 165 occurred in females. Total testosterone and SHBG were shown to be positively associated with liver cancer risk in both males and females (Total testosterone HR2: 3.42, 95% CI:2.42-4.84 and 1.29, 0.97-1.72, respectively; SHBG HR2: 5.44, 4.42-6.68 and 1.52, 1.09-2.12, respectively). However, free testosterone was inversely associated with primary liver cancer in males (HR2: 0.42, 0.32-0.55) and no association was observed in females. When analyses compared two main liver cancer subtypes, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), there was evidence of heterogeneity; associations for total testosterone and SHBG concentrations were only positively associated with HCC in both males (HR2: 3.56, 2.65-4.79 and 7.72, 6.12-9.73, respectively) and females (HR2: 1.65, 1.20-2.27 and 6.74, 3.93-11.5, respectively) but not with ICC. Further research understanding the mechanisms of how sex-steroids may influence liver cancer risk is needed.

Genomic ascertainment of CHEK2-related cancer predisposition.

Purpose: There is clear evidence that deleterious germline variants in CHEK2 increases risk for breast and prostate cancers; there is limited or conflicting evidence for other cancers. Genomic ascertainment was used to quantify cancer risk in CHEK2 germline pathogenic variant heterozygotes. Patients and Methods: Germline CHEK2 variants were extracted from two exome-sequenced biobanks linked to the electronic health record: UK Biobank (n= 469,765) and Geisinger MyCode (n=170,503). Variants were classified as per American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG)/Association for Molecular Pathology (AMP) criteria. Heterozygotes harbored a CHEK2 pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variant; controls harbored benign/likely benign CHEK2 variation or wildtype CHEK2. Tumor phenotype and demographic data were retrieved; to adjust for relatedness, association analysis was performed with SAIGE-GENE+ with Bonferroni correction. Results: In CHEK2 heterozygotes in both MyCode and UK Biobank, there was a significant excess risk of all cancers tested, including breast cancer (C50; OR=1.54 and 1.84, respectively), male genital organ cancer (C60-C63; OR=1.61 and 1.77 respectively), urinary tract cancer (C64-C68; OR=1.56 and 1.75, respectively) and lymphoid, hematopoietic, and related tissue cancer (C81-C96; OR=1.42 and 2.11, respectively). Compared to controls, age-dependent cancer penetrance in CHEK2 heterozygotes was significantly younger in both cohorts; no significant difference was observed between the penetrance of truncating and missense variants for cancer in either cohort. Overall survival was significantly decreased in CHEK2 heterozygotes in UK Biobank but there was no statistical difference in MyCode. Conclusion: Using genomic ascertainment in two population-scale cohorts, this investigation quantified the prevalence, penetrance, cancer phenotype and survival in CHEK2 heterozygotes. Tailored treatment options and surveillance strategies to manage those risks are warranted.

Carcinogenic industrial air pollution and postmenopausal breast cancer risk in the National Institutes of Health AARP Diet and Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Chemicals emitted from industrial facilities include known or suspected mammary carcinogens and endocrine disruptors, but epidemiologic studies are limited. We evaluated associations between air emissions of multiple carcinogenic chemicals and postmenopausal breast cancer risk in a large prospective U.S. METHODS: We used the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Toxics Release Inventory to estimate historical airborne emissions (1987-1995) of 19 known and probable carcinogens for participants enrolled (1995-1996) in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study. Among 170,402 women, 15,124 breast cancers were diagnosed through 2018. We constructed inverse distance- and wind-weighted average emissions metrics within 1, 2, 5, and 10 km of the enrollment address for each chemical. We estimated multivariable adjusted HRs and 95 % CIs for categories (quartiles, tertiles, medians) of each chemical in association with breast cancer overall and separately by type (invasive, ductal carcinoma in situ) and estrogen receptor (ER) status. RESULTS: We observed an association between benzene emissions and breast cancer risk that was strongest at 1 km (HRQ4 vs. non-exposed = 2.06, 95 %CI: 1.34-3.17; p-trend = 0.001). The magnitude of the association weakened with increasing distance (2 km HRQ4 vs. non-exposed = 1.17, 95 %CI=0.92-1.49; p-trend = 0.19; 5 km HRQ4 vs. non-exposed = 1.05, 95 %CI=0.94-1.16; p-trend = 0.37; 10 km HRQ4 vs. non-exposed = 0.95, 95 %CI=0.89-1.02; p-trend = 0.19) and appeared to be most relevant for invasive rather than intraductal disease. Overall risk was also elevated for vinyl chloride at 5 km (HR≥median vs. non-exposed = 1.20, 95 %CI=1.01-1.43; p-trend = 0.04), but not 2 km or 10 km. We observed suggestive associations for asbestos, trichloroethylene, and styrene in different subgroup analyses, but risk patterns were not clear across distances. Associations with other chemicals were generally null, with limited evidence of heterogeneity by disease type or ER status. CONCLUSIONS: An increased risk of breast cancer associated with relatively high levels of industrial benzene emissions warrants additional study, particularly among participants with diverse sociodemographic characteristics that live in areas with higher density of industrial facilities.

Plant and Animal Fat Intake and Overall and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality.

Importance: The impact of dietary fat intake on long-term human health has attracted substantial research interest, and the health effects of diverse dietary fats depend on available food sources. Yet there is a paucity of data elucidating the links between dietary fats from specific food sources and health. Objective: To study associations of dietary plant and animal fat intake with overall mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: This large prospective cohort study took place in the US from 1995 to 2019. The analysis of men and women was conducted in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study. Data were analyzed from February 2021 to May 2024. Exposures: Specific food sources of dietary fats and other dietary information were collected at baseline, using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Main Outcomes and Measures: Hazard ratios (HRs) and 24-year adjusted absolute risk differences (ARDs) were estimated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: The analysis included 407 531 men and women (231 881 [56.9%] male; the mean [SD] age of the cohort was 61.2 [5.4] years). During 8 107 711 person-years of follow-up, 185 111 deaths were ascertained, including 58 526 CVD deaths. After multivariable adjustment (including adjustment for the relevant food sources), a greater intake of plant fat (HRs, 0.91 and 0.86; adjusted ARDs, -1.10% and -0.73%; P for trend < .001), particularly fat from grains (HRs, 0.92 and 0.86; adjusted ARDs, -0.98% and -0.71%; P for trend < .001) and vegetable oils (HRs, 0.88 and 0.85; adjusted ARDs, -1.40% and -0.71%; P for trend < .001), was associated with a lower risk for overall and CVD mortality, respectively, comparing the highest to the lowest quintile. In contrast, a higher intake of total animal fat (HRs, 1.16 and 1.14; adjusted ARDs, 0.78% and 0.32%; P for trend < .001), dairy fat (HRs, 1.09 and 1.07; adjusted ARDs, 0.86% and 0.24%; P for trend < .001), or egg fat (HRs, 1.13 and 1.16; adjusted ARDs, 1.40% and 0.82%; P for trend < .001) was associated with an increased risk for mortality for overall and CVD mortality, respectively, comparing the highest to the lowest quintile. Replacement of 5% energy from animal fat with 5% energy from plant fat, particularly fat from grains or vegetable oils, was associated with a lower risk for mortality: 4% to 24% reduction in overall mortality, and 5% to 30% reduction in CVD mortality. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings from this prospective cohort study demonstrated consistent but small inverse associations between a higher intake of plant fat, particularly fat from grains and vegetable oils, and a lower risk for both overall and CVD mortality. A diet with a high intake of animal-based fat, including fat from dairy foods and eggs, was also shown to be associated with an elevated risk for both overall and CVD mortality.

Volatile organic compounds and mortality from ischemic heart disease: A case-cohort study.

Background: Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are major components of air pollution and tobacco smoke, two known risk factors for cardiovascular diseases. VOCs are ubiquitous in the environment and originate from a wide range of sources, including the burning of biomass, fossil fuels, and consumer products. Direct evidence for associations between specific VOCs and ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality in the general population is scarce. Methods: In a case-cohort study (stratified by age groups, sex, residence, and tobacco smoking), nested within the population-based Golestan cohort study (n = 50,045, 40-75 years, 58% women, enrollment: 2004-2008) in northeastern Iran, we measured urinary concentrations of 20 smoking-related VOC biomarkers using ultra high-performance liquid chromatography coupled with electrospray ionization tandem mass spectrometry. We calculated hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for their associations with IHD mortality during follow-up to 2018, using Cox regression models adjusted for age, ethnicity, education, marital status, body mass index, physical activity, wealth, and urinary cotinine. Results: There were 575 non-cases from random subcohort and 601 participants who died from IHD, mean (standard deviation) age, 58.2 (9.3) years, with a median of 8.4 years follow-up. Significant associations [3rd vs. 1st tertile, HR (95% CI), P for trend] were observed between biomarkers of acrylamide [1.68(1.05,2.69), 0.025], acrylonitrile [2.06(1.14,3.72), 0.058], acrolein [1.98(1.30,3.01), 0.003 and 2.44(1.43,4.18), 0.002], styrene/ethylbenzene [1.83(1.19,2.84), 0.007 and 1.44(1.01,2.07), 0.046], dimethylformamide/methylisocyanate [2.15(1.33,3.50), 0.001], and 1,3butadiene [2.35(1.52,3.63),<0.001] and IHD mortality. These associations were independent of tobacco smoking, and they were only present in the non-smoking subgroup. Conclusion: Our findings provide direct evidence for associations between exposure to several VOCs with widespread household and commercial use and IHD mortality many years after these exposures. These results highlight the importance of VOC exposure in the general population as a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and underline the importance of bio-monitoring non-tobacco VOC exposure.

Self-Reported Weekend Temporal Eating Patterns of American Adults Differ From Weekday: National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys: 2015-2020 Prepandemic.

BACKGROUND: Weekend-weekday differences in time of ingestive events may be implicated in adverse metabolic and health outcomes. However, little is known about the nature of weekend-weekday differences in temporal eating behaviors of the US adult population. OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to examine weekend-weekday differences in temporal and energy characteristics of ingestive events self-reported by American adults. DESIGN: Observational; within-person comparative. PARTICIPANTS/SETTING: The data were from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) 2015-March 2020 (pre-pandemic) for ≥20-year-old adults who provided 1 weekday (M-Th) and 1 weekend (F, S, Su) 24-h dietary recall (n = 3564 men and 3823 women). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prespecified primary temporal outcomes were recalled: time of ingestive events, and the duration of ingestive and fasting windows. Secondary outcomes included frequency and energy characteristics of ingestive events. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS PERFORMED: Gender-specific, survey-weighted, multiple linear regression models that accounted for complex survey design with dummy covariates for weekend/weekday, mode of recall administration (in-person on day 1 and telephone on day 2), and a respondent-specific fixed intercept. RESULTS: In both men and women, the weekend recalled time of first ingestive event, breakfast, and lunch were later than weekday (P ≤ .0008); however, no statistically significant differences were observed in time of dinner and the last eating episode. The mean weekend ingestive window (interval between the time of first and last eating events of the day) was shorter by 24 minutes (95% confidence interval [CI], -32, -11) in men and 18 minutes (95% CI, -20, -15) in women, and the mean overnight fasting window was correspondingly longer (P ≤ .0001). No statistically significant differences were observed between weekend and weekday frequency of ingestive events. Energy density of weekend food selections reported by women, and of beverages by men, was found to be higher than weekday (P ≤ .002). CONCLUSIONS: Weekend ingestive patterns were characterized by later time of first ingestive event, breakfast, and lunch, and selection of higher-energy-density foods and beverages.

Use of cholesterol-lowering medications in relation to risk of primary liver cancer in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

BACKGROUND: Although the relation between statin use and liver cancer risk has been extensively examined, few studies have examined other cholesterol-lowering medications in relation to liver cancer risk. The authors examined five classes of nonstatin medications and liver cancer risk. METHODS: A nested case-control including 3719 cases and 14,876 matched controls was conducted within the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Additional matches on type 2 diabetes and chronic liver disease were also implemented. The medications examined included cholesterol absorption inhibitors, bile acid sequestrants, fibrates, niacin, and omega-3 fatty acids. Conditional logistic regression estimated odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Cholesterol absorption inhibitor use was associated with reduced liver cancer risk in the overall analysis (odds ratio, 0.69; 95% confidence interval, 0.50-0.96) and in analyses based on type 2 diabetes and chronic liver disease status. Although bile acid sequestrant use was associated with increased liver cancer risk in the overall analysis (odds ratio, 5.31; 95% confidence interval, 3.53-7.97), the results of the analyses based on type 2 diabetes and chronic liver disease status were inconsistent. [Correction added on 19 August 2024, after first online publication: In the preceding sentence, the value '3.534' has been changed to '3.54'.]. No associations were observed for the other medications. CONCLUSIONS: Cholesterol absorption inhibitors may be associated with reduced liver cancer risk. Whether bile acid sequestrant use was associated with increased risk was only partially supported in the current study.

Efficient risk-based collection of biospecimens in cohort studies: Designing a prospective study of diagnostic performance for multicancer detection tests.

In cohort studies, it can be infeasible to collect specimens on an entire cohort. For example, to estimate sensitivity of multiple Multi-Cancer Detection (MCD) assays, we desire an extra 80mL of cell-free DNA (cfDNA) blood, but this much extra blood is too expensive for us to collect on everyone. We propose a novel epidemiologic study design that efficiently oversamples those at highest baseline disease risk from whom to collect specimens, to increase the number of future cases with cfDNA blood collection. The variance reduction ratio from our risk-based subsample versus a simple random (sub)sample (SRS) depends primarily on the ratio of risk model sensitivity to the fraction of the cohort selected for specimen collection subject to constraining the risk model specificity. In a simulation where we chose 34% of Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Screening Trial cohort at highest risk of lung cancer for cfDNA blood collection, we could enrich the number of lung cancers 2.42-fold and the standard deviation of lung-cancer MCD sensitivity was 31-33% reduced versus SRS. Risk-based collection of specimens on a subsample of the cohort could be a feasible and efficient approach to collecting extra specimens for molecular epidemiology.

The risk and benefit profiles of US eligible lung cancer screening attendees vs. non-attendees.

BACKGROUND: The United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommend lung-cancer screening for individuals aged 50-80 with ≥20 pack-years and ≤15 quit-years, but uptake is low. The risk and benefit profiles of screening attendees are unknown; consequently, the impact and lost opportunity of ongoing lung-cancer screening in the US remains unclear. METHODS: We estimated lung-cancer death risk (using the Lung Cancer Death Risk Assessment Tool) and life gained from screening (using the LYFS-CT model) for individuals 50-79 who ever-smoked in the US-representative 2022 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We compared lung-cancer death risk and life-gained among USPSTF-eligible individuals by screening status (self-reported screened vs not screened in past year), and estimated the number of lung-cancer deaths averted and life-years gained under current screening levels and if everyone eligible was screened. RESULTS: USPSTF-eligibility was 33.7% (95%CI:33.1-34.4%), of whom 17.9% (95%CI : 17.0-18.8%) self-reported screening. Screening uptake increased with increasing lung-cancer death risk quintile (Q1 = 5.2% (95%CI : 3.0%-8.8%); Q5 = 21.8% (95%CI : 20.3%-23.3%)) and life-gain from screening quintile (Q1 = 6.2% (95%CI : 3.8%-9.9%); Q5 = 20.8% (95%CI : 19.5%-22.2%)). Screened individuals had higher lung-cancer death risk (Risk Ratio [RR]=1.35, 95%CI : 1.26-1.46) and life-years gained (RR = 1.19, 95%CI : 1.12-1.25) than unscreened individuals. Currently screening averts 19,306 lung-cancer deaths and gains 237,564 life-years; screening everyone eligible would additionally avert 56,956 lung-cancer deaths and gain 751,850 life-years. Two-thirds of USPSTF-lung-eligible women were up-to-date with breast-cancer screening, but only 17.3% attended lung screening in the past year. CONCLUSIONS: Eligible screening attendees had higher lung-cancer death risk and benefit from screening. Higher rates of screening could substantially increase the number of lung-cancer deaths prevented.

Multivitamin Use and Mortality Risk in 3 Prospective US Cohorts.

Importance: One in 3 US adults uses multivitamins (MV), with a primary motivation being disease prevention. In 2022, the US Preventive Services Task Force reviewed data on MV supplementation and mortality from randomized clinical trials and found insufficient evidence for determining benefits or harms owing, in part, to limited follow-up time and external validity. Objective: To estimate the association of MV use with mortality risk, accounting for confounding by healthy lifestyle and reverse causation whereby individuals in poor health initiate MV use. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from 3 prospective cohort studies in the US, each with baseline MV use (assessed from 1993 to 2001), and follow-up MV use (assessed from 1998 to 2004), extended duration of follow-up up to 27 years, and extensive characterization of potential confounders. Participants were adults, without a history of cancer or other chronic diseases, who participated in National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study (327 732 participants); Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (42 732 participants); or Agricultural Health Study (19 660 participants). Data were analyzed from June 2022 to April 2024. Exposure: Self-reported MV use. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was mortality. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Results: Among 390 124 participants (median [IQR] age, 61.5 [56.7-66.0] years; 216 202 [55.4%] male), 164 762 deaths occurred during follow-up; 159 692 participants (40.9%) were never smokers, and 157 319 participants (40.3%) were college educated. Among daily MV users, 49.3% and 42.0% were female and college educated, compared with 39.3% and 37.9% among nonusers, respectively. In contrast, 11.0% of daily users, compared with 13.0% of nonusers, were current smokers. MV use was not associated with lower all-cause mortality risk in the first (multivariable-adjusted HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07) or second (multivariable-adjusted HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.99-1.08) halves of follow-up. HRs were similar for major causes of death and time-varying analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of US adults, MV use was not associated with a mortality benefit. Still, many US adults report using MV to maintain or improve health.

Estimating impacts of reducing acrylonitrile exposure on lung cancer mortality in an occupational cohort with the parametric g-formula.

OBJECTIVES: To inform the potential human carcinogenicity of acrylonitrile, we estimate associations between acrylonitrile exposures and lung cancer mortality in US workers with the objectives of (1) assessing potential for healthy worker survivor bias and (2) adjusting for this bias while assessing the expected lung cancer mortality under different hypothetical occupational exposure limits on acrylonitrile exposure using the parametric g-formula. METHODS: We used data from a cohort of 25 460 workers at facilities making or using acrylonitrile in the USA. We estimated HRs to quantify associations between employment and lung cancer mortality, and exposure and leaving employment. Using the parametric g-formula, we estimated cumulative lung cancer mortality at hypothetical limits on acrylonitrile exposure. RESULTS: Recent and current employment was associated with lung cancer, and exposure was associated with leaving employment, indicating potential for healthy worker survivor bias. Relative to no intervention, reducing the historical exposure under limits of 2.0, 1.0 and 0.45 parts per million would have been expected to reduce lung cancer mortality by age 90 by 4.46 (95% CI 0.78 to 8.15), 5.03 (95% CI 0.96 to 9.11) and 6.45 (95% CI 2.35 to 10.58) deaths per 1000 workers, respectively. A larger lung cancer mortality reduction would be expected under elimination of exposure: 7.21 (95% CI 2.72 to 11.70) deaths per 1000 workers. CONCLUSIONS: Healthy worker survivor bias likely led to underestimation of excess risk. Our results corroborate previous study findings of an excess hazard of lung cancer among the highest exposed workers.

White Blood Cell Count, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, and Incident Cancer in the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: The peripheral white blood cell (WBC) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) reflect levels of inflammation and adaptive immunity. They are associated with cancer prognosis, but their associations with cancer incidence are not established. METHODS: We evaluated 443,540 cancer-free adults in the UK Biobank with data on total WBC and its subsets, follow-up starting one year after baseline. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) per quartile of WBC or NLR for incidence of 73 cancer types. RESULTS: 22,747 incident cancers were diagnosed during a median of 6.9 years of follow-up. WBC was associated with risk of cancer overall [HR, 1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.06], chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic leukemia (CLL/SLL, 2.79; 95% CI, 2.45-3.18), lung cancer (1.14, 95% CI, 1.08-1.20), and breast cancer (95% CI, 1.05-1.02-1.08). NLR was positively associated with cancer overall (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02-1.04, per quartile) and kidney cancer (1.16; 95% CI, 1.07-1.25), and inversely with CLL/SLL (0.38; 95% CI, 0.33-0.42). CONCLUSIONS: High WBC or NLR may reflect excessive inflammatory status, promoting development of some cancers. Conversely, low NLR indicates a relative rise in lymphocytes, which could reflect an increase in circulating premalignant cells before CLL/SLL diagnosis. Peripheral WBC and NLR, in combination with other clinical information or biomarkers, may be useful tools for cancer risk stratification. IMPACT: Elevated levels of WBCs or an increased NLR may indicate an overly active inflammatory response, potentially contributing to the eventual onset of certain types of cancer.

Fiber and whole grain intakes in relation to liver cancer risk: An analysis in 2 prospective cohorts and systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The association between fiber or whole grain intakes and the risk of liver cancer remains unclear. We assessed the associations between fiber or whole grain intakes and liver cancer risk among 2 prospective studies, and systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed these results with published prospective studies. APPROACH AND RESULTS: A total of 111,396 participants from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO) and 26,085 men from the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study were included. Intakes of total fiber and whole grains were estimated from validated food frequency questionnaires. Study-specific HRs and 95% CI with liver cancer risk were estimated using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. We systematically reviewed existing literature, and studies were combined in a dose-response meta-analysis. A total of 277 (median follow-up = 15.6 y) and 165 (median follow-up = 16.0 y) cases of liver cancer were observed in Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial and Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study, respectively. Dietary fiber was inversely associated with liver cancer risk in Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (HR 10g/day : 0.69; 95% CI: 0.55-0.86). No significant associations were observed between whole grain intakes and liver cancer risk in either study. Our meta-analysis included 2383 incident liver cancer cases (7 prospective cohorts) for fiber intake and 1523 cases (5 prospective cohorts) for whole grain intake; combined HRs for liver cancer risk were 0.83 (0.76-0.91) per 10 g/day of fiber and 0.92 (0.85-0.99) per 16 g/day (1 serving) of whole grains. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary fiber and whole grains were inversely associated with liver cancer risk. Further research exploring potential mechanisms and different fiber types is needed.

Sex-specific associations between sodium and potassium intake and overall and cause-specific mortality: a large prospective U.S. cohort study, systematic review, and updated meta-analysis of cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: The impact of sodium intake on cardiovascular disease (CVD) health and mortality has been studied for decades, including the well-established association with blood pressure. However, non-linear patterns, dose-response associations, and sex differences in the relationship between sodium and potassium intakes and overall and cause-specific mortality remain to be elucidated and a comprehensive examination is lacking. Our study objective was to determine whether intake of sodium and potassium and the sodium-potassium ratio are associated with overall and cause-specific mortality in men and women. METHODS: We conducted a prospective analysis of 237,036 men and 179,068 women in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models were utilized to calculate hazard ratios. A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies was also conducted. RESULTS: During 6,009,748 person-years of follow-up, there were 77,614 deaths, 49,297 among men and 28,317 among women. Adjusting for other risk factors, we found a significant positive association between higher sodium intake (≥ 2,000 mg/d) and increased overall and CVD mortality (overall mortality, fifth versus lowest quintile, men and women HRs = 1.06 and 1.10, Pnonlinearity < 0.0001; CVD mortality, fifth versus lowest quintile, HRs = 1.07 and 1.21, Pnonlinearity = 0.0002 and 0.01). Higher potassium intake and a lower sodium-potassium ratio were associated with a reduced mortality, with women showing stronger associations (overall mortality, fifth versus lowest quintile, HRs for potassium = 0.96 and 0.82, and HRs for the sodium-potassium ratio = 1.09 and 1.23, for men and women, respectively; Pnonlinearity < 0.05 and both P for interaction ≤ 0.0006). The overall mortality associations with intake of sodium, potassium and the sodium-potassium ratio were generally similar across population risk factor subgroups with the exception that the inverse potassium-mortality association was stronger in men with lower body mass index or fruit consumption (Pinteraction < 0.0004). The updated meta-analysis of cohort studies based on 42 risk estimates, 2,085,904 participants, and 80,085 CVD events yielded very similar results (highest versus lowest sodium categories, pooled relative risk for CVD events = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.06-1.20; Pnonlinearity < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates significant positive associations between daily sodium intake (within the range of sodium intake between 2,000 and 7,500 mg/d), the sodium-potassium ratio, and risk of CVD and overall mortality, with women having stronger sodium-potassium ratio-mortality associations than men, and with the meta-analysis providing compelling support for the CVD associations. These data may suggest decreasing sodium intake and increasing potassium intake as means to improve health and longevity, and our data pointing to a sex difference in the potassium-mortality and sodium-potassium ratio-mortality relationships provide additional evidence relevant to current dietary guidelines for the general adult population. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO Identifier: CRD42022331618.

Associations of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the United States adult population, 2003-2018.

Background: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common liver disorder worldwide and a leading cause of liver-related mortality. Prior studies have linked per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) exposure to liver dysfunction and alterations in metabolic pathways, but the extent of a PFAS-NAFLD relationship is unclear. Thus, the aim of the current study was to examine whether there were associations between PFAS exposures and NAFLD in the US adult population over a 16-year period. Methods: Data from 10,234 persons who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 2003 and 2018 were analyzed. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using multivariable logistic regression for the associations between PFAS and NAFLD, defined by the Hepatic Steatosis Index (NAFLD-HSI), the Fatty Liver Index (NAFLD-FLI), and by Transient Elastography with Controlled Attenuation Parameter (NAFLD-TE-CAP). Results: Overall, there was a significant inverse association between total PFAS and NAFLD-HSI (P-trend = 0.04). Significant inverse associations were also found between perfluorohexane sulfonic acid (PFHxS) and NAFLD-HSI (P-trend = 0.04), and NAFLD-FLI (P-trend = 0.03). Analysis by time period, 2003-2010 versus 2011-2018, found that while inverse associations were more apparent during the latter period when total PFAS (P-trend = 0.02), PFHxS (P-trend = 0.04), and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) (P-trend = 0.03) were inversely associated with NAFLD-HSI and PFOA was inversely associated with NAFLD-FLI (P-trend = 0.05), there were no significant interaction effects. No significant associations between the PFAS and NAFLD-TE-CAP were found. Conclusions: The current study found no evidence of a positive association between the most common PFAS and NAFLD in the US population.

Sociodemographic inequities in the burden of carcinogenic industrial air emissions in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Industrial facilities are not located uniformly across communities in the United States, but how the burden of exposure to carcinogenic air emissions may vary across population characteristics is unclear. We evaluated differences in carcinogenic industrial pollution among major sociodemographic groups in the United States and Puerto Rico. METHODS: We evaluated cross-sectional associations of population characteristics including race and ethnicity, educational attainment, and poverty at the census tract level with point-source industrial emissions of 21 known human carcinogens using regulatory data from the US Environmental Protection Agency. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals comparing the highest emissions (tertile or quintile) to the referent group (zero emissions [ie, nonexposed]) for all sociodemographic characteristics were estimated using multinomial, population density-adjusted logistic regression models. RESULTS: In 2018, approximately 7.4 million people lived in census tracts with nearly 12 million pounds of carcinogenic air releases. The odds of tracts having the greatest burden of benzene, 1,3-butadiene, ethylene oxide, formaldehyde, trichloroethylene, and nickel emissions compared with nonexposed were 10%-20% higher for African American populations, whereas White populations were up to 18% less likely to live in tracts with the highest emissions. Among Hispanic and Latino populations, odds were 16%-21% higher for benzene, 1,3-butadiene, and ethylene oxide. Populations experiencing poverty or with less than high school education were associated with up to 51% higher burden, irrespective of race and ethnicity. CONCLUSIONS: Carcinogenic industrial emissions disproportionately impact African American and Hispanic and Latino populations and people with limited education or experiencing poverty thus representing a source of pollution that may contribute to observed cancer disparities.

Association with menopausal hormone therapy and asymptomatic gallstones in US women in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Study.

15% of US adults have gallstones, most of which are clinically "silent". Several studies show that menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) increases symptomatic gallstones and cholecystectomy risk. MHT use may be contraindicated in women with gallstones and population studies may be biased by "confounding by contraindication" while the true association between MHT and gallstones remains underestimated. We sought to examine whether MHT use was associated with asymptomatic gallstones using instrumental variable (IV) analysis to account for confounding by contraindication. We used 2018 postmenopausal women from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey to estimate associations of MHT use with asymptomatic gallstones. A traditional logistic regression analysis was compared to instrumental variable (IV) analysis to account for confounding by contraindication. 12% of women with asymptomatic gallstones and 25% of women without gallstones were current MHT users (P < 0.001). The traditional analysis suggested a decreased odds of asymptomatic gallstones in current versus never users (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37, 0.89), but increased odds (OR 1.51, 95% CI 0.44, 5.16) in the IV analysis. The traditional analysis consistently underestimated the odds of asymptomatic gallstones with MHT use compared to the IV analysis. Accounting for confounding by contraindication, we found a suggestive, though imprecise, positive association between MHT use and asymptomatic gallstones among postmenopausal women. Failure to consider contraindication can produce incorrect results.

Identification of pre-diagnostic lipid sets associated with liver cancer risk using untargeted lipidomics and chemical set analysis: A nested case-control study within the ATBC cohort.

In pre-disposed individuals, a reprogramming of the hepatic lipid metabolism may support liver cancer initiation. We conducted a high-resolution mass spectrometry based untargeted lipidomics analysis of pre-diagnostic serum samples from a nested case-control study (219 liver cancer cases and 219 controls) within the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention (ATBC) Study. Out of 462 annotated lipids, 158 (34.2%) were associated with liver cancer risk in a conditional logistic regression analysis at a false discovery rate (FDR) <0.05. A chemical set enrichment analysis (ChemRICH) and co-regulatory set analysis suggested that 22/28 lipid classes and 47/83 correlation modules were significantly associated with liver cancer risk (FDR <0.05). Strong positive associations were observed for monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA), triacylglycerols (TAGs) and phosphatidylcholines (PCs) having MUFA acyl chains. Negative associations were observed for sphingolipids (ceramides and sphingomyelins), lysophosphatidylcholines, cholesterol esters and polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) containing TAGs and PCs. Stearoyl-CoA desaturase enzyme 1 (SCD1), a rate limiting enzyme in fatty acid metabolism and ceramidases seems to be critical in this reprogramming. In conclusion, our study reports pre-diagnostic lipid changes that provide novel insights into hepatic lipid metabolism reprogramming may contribute to a pro-cell growth and anti-apoptotic tissue environment and, in turn, support liver cancer initiation.

Trends in smoking-attributable and smoking-unrelated lung cancer death rates in the U.S., 1991-2018.

BACKGROUND: In the U.S., lung cancer death rates have declined for decades, primarily due to pronounced decreases in cigarette smoking. However, it is unclear whether there have been similar declines in mortality rates of lung cancer unrelated to smoking. We estimated trends in U.S. lung cancer death rates attributable and not attributable to smoking from 1991-2018. METHODS: The study included 30-79-year-olds in the National Health Interview Survey who were linked to the National Death Index, 1991-2014. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for smoking status and lung cancer death were estimated, and age-specific population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated. Annual PAFs were multiplied by annual U.S. national lung cancer mortality, partitioning rates into smoking-attributable and smoking-unrelated lung cancer deaths. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: During 1991-2018, the proportion of never smokers increased among both men (35.1% to 54.6%) and women (54.0% to 65.4%). Compared to ever smokers, never smokers had 86% lower risk (HR = 0.14; 95%CI 0.12, 0.16) of lung cancer death. The fraction of lung cancer deaths attributable to smoking decreased from 81.4% (95%CI 78.9, 81.4) to 74.7% (95%CI 78.1, 71.4). Smoking-attributable lung cancer death rates declined 2.7%/year (95%CI -2.9, -2.5) and smoking-unrelated lung cancer death rates declined 1.8%/year (95%CI -2.0, -1.5); these declines accelerated in recent years. CONCLUSIONS: An increasing proportion of lung cancer deaths are unrelated to smoking, due to declines in smoking prevalence. However, smoking-unrelated lung cancer death rates have declined, perhaps due to decreases in secondhand smoke and air pollution exposure and treatment improvements.

Trends in hepatocellular carcinoma stage by racial/ethnic group in the United States, 1992-2019.

Background & Aims: Although incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) began to decline in the United States in the past decade, disparities in rates among racial/ethnic groups have persisted. Whether disparities in stage at diagnosis have remained over time, however, is unclear. Methods: National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program has created a new staging-over-time variable that facilitates the examination of trends in HCC stage. Thus, the proportions of HCCs diagnosed by stage between 1992 and 2019 were examined among non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black (NHB), Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander, and American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) individuals. HCC incidence between 1992 and 2019 was also analysed using Joinpoint regression. Results: Between 1992 and 2019, the proportion of stage 1 HCCs increased and the proportion of stage 4 HCCs decreased among non-Hispanic White, NHB, Hispanic, and Asian/Pacific Islander individuals. Among AI/AN persons, the proportion of stage 1 tumours remained stable, and the proportion of stage 4 tumours declined. In the most recent time period, NHB individuals had the lowest proportions of stage 1 HCCs (32%) and the highest proportion of stage 4 HCCs (20%) of any group. Joinpoint analysis found that HCC incidence began to decline by 2013 among all groups except AI/AN individuals, the only group that had an increase in incidence. Conclusions: Despite generally favourable trends in HCC stage and incidence rates, disparities remain. NHB persons continue to have less favourable stages at diagnosis, and incidence rates continue to increase among AI/AN persons. Impact and implications: HCC incidence rates among most United States racial/ethnic groups began to decline in recent years, but whether stage at diagnosis also improved was unclear. As a result, a new SEER stage variable was used to examine stage trends by race/ethnicity. Although the finding of generally favourable trends in stage as well as incidence is encouraging, continuity disparities in both stage and incidence require serious attention.