Occupancy Analysis of Water Molecules inside Channels within 25 Å Radius of the Oxygen-Evolving Center of Photosystem II in Molecular Dynamics Simulations.

At room temperature and neutral pH, the oxygen-evolving center (OEC) of photosystem II (PSII) catalyzes water oxidation. During this process, oxygen is released from the OEC, while substrate waters are delivered to the OEC and protons are passed from the OEC to the lumen through water channels known as the narrow or the O4 channel, broad or the Cl1 channel, and large or the O1 channel. Protein residues lining the surfaces of these channels play a critical role in stabilizing the hydrogen-bonding networks that assist in the process. We carried out an occupancy analysis to better understand the structural and possible substrate water dynamics in full PSII monomer molecular dynamics (MD) trajectories in both the S1 and S2 states. We find that the equilibrated positions of water molecules derived from MD-derived electron density maps largely match the experimentally observed positions in crystallography. Furthermore, the occupancy reduction in MD simulations of some water molecules inside the single-filed narrow channel also correlates well with the crystallographic data during a structural transition when the S1 state of the OEC advances to the S2 state. The overall reduced occupancies of water molecules are the source of their "vacancy-hopping" dynamic nature inside these channels, unlike water molecules inside an ice lattice where all water molecules have a fixed unit occupancy. We propose on the basis of findings in our structural and molecular dynamics analysis that the water molecule occupying a pocket formed by D1-D61, D1-S169, and O4 of the OEC could be the last steppingstone to enter into the OEC and that the broad channel may be favored for proton transfer.

Computing the Relative Affinity of Chlorophylls a and b to Light-Harvesting Complex II.

In plants and algae, the primary antenna protein bound to photosystem II is light-harvesting complex II (LHCII), a pigment-protein complex that binds eight chlorophyll (Chl) a molecules and six Chl b molecules. Chl a and Chl b differ only in that Chl a has a methyl group (-CH3) on one of its pyrrole rings, while Chl b has a formyl group (-CHO) at that position. This blue-shifts the Chl b absorbance relative to Chl a. It is not known how the protein selectively binds the right Chl type at each site. Knowing the selection criteria would allow the design of light-harvesting complexes that bind different Chl types, modifying an organism to utilize the light of different wavelengths. The difference in the binding affinity of Chl a and Chl b in pea and spinach LHCII was calculated using multiconformation continuum electrostatics and free energy perturbation. Both methods have identified some Chl sites where the bound Chl type (a or b) has a significantly higher affinity, especially when the protein provides a hydrogen bond for the Chl b formyl group. However, the Chl a sites often have little calculated preference for one Chl type, so they are predicted to bind a mixture of Chl a and b. The electron density of the spinach LHCII was reanalyzed, which, however, confirmed that there is negligible Chl b in the Chl a-binding sites. It is suggested that the protein chooses the correct Chl type during folding, segregating the preferred Chl to the correct binding site.

Helical allophycocyanin nanotubes absorb far-red light in a thermophilic cyanobacterium.

To compete in certain low-light environments, some cyanobacteria express a paralog of the light-harvesting phycobiliprotein, allophycocyanin (AP), that strongly absorbs far-red light (FRL). Using cryo-electron microscopy and time-resolved absorption spectroscopy, we reveal the structure-function relationship of this FRL-absorbing AP complex (FRL-AP) that is expressed during acclimation to low light and that likely associates with chlorophyll a-containing photosystem I. FRL-AP assembles as helical nanotubes rather than typical toroids due to alterations of the domain geometry within each subunit. Spectroscopic characterization suggests that FRL-AP nanotubes are somewhat inefficient antenna; however, the enhanced ability to harvest FRL when visible light is severely attenuated represents a beneficial trade-off. The results expand the known diversity of light-harvesting proteins in nature and exemplify how biological plasticity is achieved by balancing resource accessibility with efficiency.

Tools for analyzing protonation states and for tracing proton transfer pathways with examples from the Rb. sphaeroides photosynthetic reaction centers.

Protons participate in many reactions. In proteins, protons need paths to move in and out of buried active sites. The vectorial movement of protons coupled to electron transfer reactions establishes the transmembrane electrochemical gradient used for many reactions, including ATP synthesis. Protons move through hydrogen bonded chains of waters and hydroxy side chains via the Grotthuss mechanism and by proton binding and release from acidic and basic residues. MCCE analysis shows that proteins exist in a large number of protonation states. Knowledge of the equilibrium ensemble can provide a rational basis for setting protonation states in simulations that fix them, such as molecular dynamics (MD). The proton path into the QB site in the bacterial reaction centers (RCs) of Rb. sphaeroides is analyzed by MD to provide an example of the benefits of using protonation states found by the MCCE program. A tangled web of side chains and waters link the cytoplasm to QB. MCCE analysis of snapshots from multiple trajectories shows that changing the input protonation state of a residue in MD biases the trajectory shifting the proton affinity of that residue. However, the proton affinity of some residues is more sensitive to the input structure. The proton transfer networks derived from different trajectories are quite robust. There are some changes in connectivity that are largely restricted to the specific residues whose protonation state is changed. Trajectories with QB•- are compared with earlier results obtained with QB [Wei et. al Photosynthesis Research volume 152, pages153-165 (2022)] showing only modest changes. While introducing new methods the study highlights the difficulty of establishing the connections between protein conformation.

The aprotic electrochemistry of quinones.

Quinones play important roles in biological electron transfer reactions in almost all organisms, with specific roles in many physiological processes and chemotherapy. Quinones participate in two-electron, two-proton reactions in aqueous solution at equilibrium near neutral pH, but protons often lag behind the electron transfers. The relevant reactions in proteins are often sequential one electron redox processes without involving protons. Here we report the aprotic electrochemistry of the two half-couples, Q/Q.- and Q.-/Q=, of 11 parent quinones and 118 substituted 1,4-benzoquinones, 91 1,4-naphthoquinones, and 107 9,10-anthraquinones. The measured redox potentials are fit quite well with the Hammett para sigma (σpara) parameter. Occasional exceptions can involve important groups, such as methoxy substituents in ubiquinone and hydroxy substituents in therapeutics. These can generally be explained by reasonable conjectures involving steric clashes and internal hydrogen bonds. We also provide data for 25 other quinones, 2 double quinones and 15 non-quinones, all measured under similar conditions.

Comparison of proton transfer paths to the QA and QB sites of the Rb. sphaeroides photosynthetic reaction centers.

The photosynthetic bacterial reaction centers from purple non-sulfur bacteria use light energy to drive the transfer of electrons from cytochrome c to ubiquinone. Ubiquinone bound in the QA site cycles between quinone, QA, and anionic semiquinone, QA·-, being reduced once and never binding protons. In the QB site, ubiquinone is reduced twice by QA·-, binds two protons and is released into the membrane as the quinol, QH2. The network of hydrogen bonds formed in a molecular dynamics trajectory was drawn to investigate proton transfer pathways from the cytoplasm to each quinone binding site. QA is isolated with no path for protons to enter from the surface. In contrast, there is a complex and tangled network requiring residues and waters that can bring protons to QB. There are three entries from clusters of surface residues centered around HisH126, GluH224, and HisH68. The network is in good agreement with earlier studies, Mutation of key nodes in the network, such as SerL223, were previously shown to slow proton delivery. Mutational studies had also shown that double mutations of residues such as AspM17 and AspL210 along multiple paths in the network presented here slow the reaction, while single mutations do not. Likewise, mutation of both HisH126 and HisH128, which are at the entry to two paths reduce the rate of proton uptake.

Characterizing Protein Protonation Microstates Using Monte Carlo Sampling.

Proteins are polyelectrolytes with acidic and basic amino acids Asp, Glu, Arg, Lys, and His, making up ≈25% of the residues. The protonation state of residues, cofactors, and ligands defines a "protonation microstate". In an ensemble of proteins some residues will be ionized and others neutral, leading to a mixture of protonation microstates rather than in a single one as is often assumed. The microstate distribution changes with pH. The protein environment also modifies residue proton affinity so microstate distributions change in different reaction intermediates or as ligands are bound. Particular protonation microstates may be required for function, while others exist simply because there are many states with similar energy. Here, the protonation microstates generated in Monte Carlo sampling in MCCE are characterized in HEW lysozyme as a function of pH and bacterial photosynthetic reaction centers (RCs) in different reaction intermediates. The lowest energy and highest probability microstates are compared. The ΔG, ΔH, and ΔS between the four protonation states of Glu35 and Asp52 in lysozyme are shown to be calculated with reasonable precision. At pH 7 the lysozyme charge ranges from 6 to 10, with 24 accepted protonation microstates, while RCs have ≈50,000. A weighted Pearson correlation analysis shows coupling between residue protonation states in RCs and how they change when the quinone in the QB site is reduced. Protonation microstates can be used to define input MD parameters and provide insight into the motion of protons coupled to reactions.

High-resolution cryo-electron microscopy structure of photosystem II from the mesophilic cyanobacterium, Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803.

Photosystem II (PSII) enables global-scale, light-driven water oxidation. Genetic manipulation of PSII from the mesophilic cyanobacterium Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803 has provided insights into the mechanism of water oxidation; however, the lack of a high-resolution structure of oxygen-evolving PSII from this organism has limited the interpretation of biophysical data to models based on structures of thermophilic cyanobacterial PSII. Here, we report the cryo-electron microscopy structure of PSII from Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803 at 1.93-Å resolution. A number of differences are observed relative to thermophilic PSII structures, including the following: the extrinsic subunit PsbQ is maintained, the C terminus of the D1 subunit is flexible, some waters near the active site are partially occupied, and differences in the PsbV subunit block the Large (O1) water channel. These features strongly influence the structural picture of PSII, especially as it pertains to the mechanism of water oxidation.

Protein Motifs for Proton Transfers That Build the Transmembrane Proton Gradient.

Biological membranes are barriers to polar molecules, so membrane embedded proteins control the transfers between cellular compartments. Protein controlled transport moves substrates and activates cellular signaling cascades. In addition, the electrochemical gradient across mitochondrial, bacterial and chloroplast membranes, is a key source of stored cellular energy. This is generated by electron, proton and ion transfers through proteins. The gradient is used to fuel ATP synthesis and to drive active transport. Here the mechanisms by which protons move into the buried active sites of Photosystem II (PSII), bacterial RCs (bRCs) and through the proton pumps, Bacteriorhodopsin (bR), Complex I and Cytochrome c oxidase (CcO), are reviewed. These proteins all use water filled proton transfer paths. The proton pumps, that move protons uphill from low to high concentration compartments, also utilize Proton Loading Sites (PLS), that transiently load and unload protons and gates, which block backflow of protons. PLS and gates should be synchronized so PLS proton affinity is high when the gate opens to the side with few protons and low when the path is open to the high concentration side. Proton transfer paths in the proteins we describe have different design features. Linear paths are seen with a unique entry and exit and a relatively straight path between them. Alternatively, paths can be complex with a tangle of possible routes. Likewise, PLS can be a single residue that changes protonation state or a cluster of residues with multiple charge and tautomer states.

Poor Person's pH Simulation of Membrane Proteins.

pH conditions are central to the functioning of all biomolecules. However, implications of pH changes are nontrivial on a molecular scale. Though a rigorous microscopic definition of pH exists, its implementation in classical molecular dynamics (MD) simulations is cumbersome, and more so in large integral membrane systems. In this chapter, an integrative pipeline is described that combines Multi-Conformation Continuum Electrostatics (MCCE) computations with MD simulations to capture the effect of transient protonation states on the coupled conformational changes in transmembrane proteins. The core methodologies are explained, and all the software required to set up this pipeline are outlined with their key parameters. All associated analyses of structure and function are provided using two case studies, namely those of bioenergetic complexes: NADH dehydrogenase (complex I) and Vo domain of V-type ATPase. The hybrid MCCE-MD pipeline has allowed the discovery of hydrogen bond networks, ligand binding pathways, and disease-causing mutations.

Evaluation of log P, pKa, and log D predictions from the SAMPL7 blind challenge.

The Statistical Assessment of Modeling of Proteins and Ligands (SAMPL) challenges focuses the computational modeling community on areas in need of improvement for rational drug design. The SAMPL7 physical property challenge dealt with prediction of octanol-water partition coefficients and pKa for 22 compounds. The dataset was composed of a series of N-acylsulfonamides and related bioisosteres. 17 research groups participated in the log P challenge, submitting 33 blind submissions total. For the pKa challenge, 7 different groups participated, submitting 9 blind submissions in total. Overall, the accuracy of octanol-water log P predictions in the SAMPL7 challenge was lower than octanol-water log P predictions in SAMPL6, likely due to a more diverse dataset. Compared to the SAMPL6 pKa challenge, accuracy remains unchanged in SAMPL7. Interestingly, here, though macroscopic pKa values were often predicted with reasonable accuracy, there was dramatically more disagreement among participants as to which microscopic transitions produced these values (with methods often disagreeing even as to the sign of the free energy change associated with certain transitions), indicating far more work needs to be done on pKa prediction methods.

Proton exit pathways surrounding the oxygen evolving complex of photosystem II.

Photosystem II allows water to be the primary electron source for the photosynthetic electron transfer chain. Water is oxidized to dioxygen at the Oxygen Evolving Complex (OEC), a Mn4CaO5 inorganic core embedded on the lumenal side of PSII. Water-filled channels surrounding the OEC must bring in substrate water molecules, remove the product protons to the lumen, and may transport the product oxygen. Three water-filled channels, denoted large, narrow, and broad, extend from the OEC towards the aqueous surface more than 15 Å away. However, the role of each pathway in the transport in and out of the OEC is yet to be established. Here, we combine Molecular Dynamics (MD), Multi Conformation Continuum Electrostatics (MCCE) and Network Analysis to compare and contrast the three potential proton transfer paths. Hydrogen bond network analysis shows that near the OEC the waters are highly interconnected with similar free energy for hydronium at all locations. The paths diverge as they move towards the lumen. The water chain in the broad channel is better connected than in the narrow and large channels, where disruptions in the network are observed approximately 10 Å from the OEC. In addition, the barrier for hydronium translocation is lower in the broad channel. Thus, a proton released from any location on the OEC can access all paths, but the likely exit to the lumen passes through PsbO via the broad channel.

Overview of the SAMPL6 pKa challenge: evaluating small molecule microscopic and macroscopic pKa predictions.

The prediction of acid dissociation constants (pKa) is a prerequisite for predicting many other properties of a small molecule, such as its protein-ligand binding affinity, distribution coefficient (log D), membrane permeability, and solubility. The prediction of each of these properties requires knowledge of the relevant protonation states and solution free energy penalties of each state. The SAMPL6 pKa Challenge was the first time that a separate challenge was conducted for evaluating pKa predictions as part of the Statistical Assessment of Modeling of Proteins and Ligands (SAMPL) exercises. This challenge was motivated by significant inaccuracies observed in prior physical property prediction challenges, such as the SAMPL5 log D Challenge, caused by protonation state and pKa prediction issues. The goal of the pKa challenge was to assess the performance of contemporary pKa prediction methods for drug-like molecules. The challenge set was composed of 24 small molecules that resembled fragments of kinase inhibitors, a number of which were multiprotic. Eleven research groups contributed blind predictions for a total of 37 pKa distinct prediction methods. In addition to blinded submissions, four widely used pKa prediction methods were included in the analysis as reference methods. Collecting both microscopic and macroscopic pKa predictions allowed in-depth evaluation of pKa prediction performance. This article highlights deficiencies of typical pKa prediction evaluation approaches when the distinction between microscopic and macroscopic pKas is ignored; in particular, we suggest more stringent evaluation criteria for microscopic and macroscopic pKa predictions guided by the available experimental data. Top-performing submissions for macroscopic pKa predictions achieved RMSE of 0.7-1.0 pKa units and included both quantum chemical and empirical approaches, where the total number of extra or missing macroscopic pKas predicted by these submissions were fewer than 8 for 24 molecules. A large number of submissions had RMSE spanning 1-3 pKa units. Molecules with sulfur-containing heterocycles or iodo and bromo groups were less accurately predicted on average considering all methods evaluated. For a subset of molecules, we utilized experimentally-determined microstates based on NMR to evaluate the dominant tautomer predictions for each macroscopic state. Prediction of dominant tautomers was a major source of error for microscopic pKa predictions, especially errors in charged tautomers. The degree of inaccuracy in pKa predictions observed in this challenge is detrimental to the protein-ligand binding affinity predictions due to errors in dominant protonation state predictions and the calculation of free energy corrections for multiple protonation states. Underestimation of ligand pKa by 1 unit can lead to errors in binding free energy errors up to 1.2 kcal/mol. The SAMPL6 pKa Challenge demonstrated the need for improving pKa prediction methods for drug-like molecules, especially for challenging moieties and multiprotic molecules.

Identification of a Na+-Binding Site near the Oxygen-Evolving Complex of Spinach Photosystem II.

The oxygen-evolving complex (OEC) of photosystem II (PSII) is an oxomanganese cluster composed of four redox-active Mn ions and one redox-inactive Ca2+ ion, with two nearby bound Cl- ions. Sodium is a common counterion of both chloride and hydroxide anions, and a sodium-specific binding site has not been identified near the OEC. Here, we find that the oxygen-evolution activity of spinach PSII increases with Na+ concentration, particularly at high pH. A Na+-specific binding site next to the OEC, becomes available after deprotonation of the D1-H337 amino acid residue, is suggested by the analysis of two recently published PSII cryo-electron microscopy maps in combination with quantum mechanical calculations and multiconformation continuum electrostatics simulations.

Hydrogen bond network analysis reveals the pathway for the proton transfer in the E-channel of T. thermophilus Complex I.

Complex I, NADH-ubiquinone oxidoreductase, is the first enzyme in the mitochondrial and bacterial aerobic respiratory chain. It pumps four protons through four transiently open pathways from the high pH, negative, N-side of the membrane to the positive, P-side driven by the exergonic transfer of electrons from NADH to a quinone. Three protons transfer through subunits descended from antiporters, while the fourth, E-channel is unique. The path through the E-channel is determined by a network analysis of hydrogen bonded pathways obtained by Monte Carlo sampling of protonation states, polar hydrogen orientation and water occupancy. Input coordinates are derived from molecular dynamics trajectories comparing oxidized, reduced (dihydro) and no menaquinone-8 (MQ). A complex proton transfer path from the N- to the P-side is found consisting of six clusters of highly connected hydrogen-bonded residues. The network connectivity depends on the presence of quinone and its redox state, supporting a role for this cofactor in coupling electron and proton transfers. The N-side is more organized with MQ-bound complex I facilitating proton entry, while the P-side is more connected in the apo-protein, facilitating proton exit. Subunit Nqo8 forms the core of the E channel; Nqo4 provides the N-side entry, Nqo7 and then Nqo10 join the pathway in the middle, while Nqo11 contributes to the P-side exit.

Identifying the proton loading site cluster in the ba3 cytochrome c oxidase that loads and traps protons.

Cytochrome c Oxidase (CcO) is the terminal electron acceptor in aerobic respiratory chain, reducing O2 to water. The released free energy is stored by pumping protons through the protein, maintaining the transmembrane electrochemical gradient. Protons are held transiently in a proton loading site (PLS) that binds and releases protons driven by the electron transfer reaction cycle. Multi-Conformation Continuum Electrostatics (MCCE) was applied to crystal structures and Molecular Dynamics snapshots of the B-type Thermus thermophilus CcO. Six residues are identified as the PLS, binding and releasing protons as the charges on heme b and the binuclear center are changed: the heme a3 propionic acids, Asp287, Asp372, His376 and Glu126B. The unloaded state has one proton and the loaded state two protons on these six residues. Different input structures, modifying the PLS conformation, show different proton distributions and result in different proton pumping behaviors. One loaded and one unloaded protonation states have the loaded/unloaded states close in energy so the PLS binds and releases a proton through the reaction cycle. The alternative proton distributions have state energies too far apart to be shifted by the electron transfers so are locked in loaded or unloaded states. Here the protein can use active states to load and unload protons, but has nearby trapped states, which stabilize PLS protonation state, providing new ideas about the CcO proton pumping mechanism. The distance between the PLS residues Asp287 and His376 correlates with the energy difference between loaded and unloaded states.

Mesoscopic to Macroscopic Electron Transfer by Hopping in a Crystal Network of Cytochromes.

Rapid and directed electron transfer (ET) is essential for biological processes. While the rates of ET over 1-2 nm in proteins can largely be described by simplified nonadiabatic theory, it is not known how these processes scale to microscopic distances. We generated crystalline lattices of Small Tetraheme Cytochromes (STC) forming well-defined, three-dimensional networks of closely spaced redox centers that appear to be nearly ideal for multistep ET. Electrons were injected into specific locations in the STC crystals by direct photoreduction, and their redistribution was monitored by imaging. The results demonstrate ET over mesoscopic to microscopic (∼100 µm) distances through sequential hopping in a biologically based heme network. We estimate that a hypothetical "nanowire" composed of crystalline STC with a cross-section of about 100 cytochromes could support the anaerobic respiration of a Shewanella cell. The crystalline lattice insulates mobile electrons from oxidation by O2, as compared to those in cytochromes in solution, potentially allowing for efficient delivery of current without production of reactive oxygen species. The platform allows direct tests of whether the assumptions based on short-range ET hold for sequential ET over mesoscopic distances. We estimate that the interprotein ET across 6 Å between hemes in adjacent proteins was about 105 s-1, about 100-fold slower than expectations based on simplified theory. More detailed analyses implied that additional factors, possibly contributed by the crystal lattice, may strongly impact mesoscale ET mainly by increasing the reorganizational energy of interprotein ET, which suggests design strategies for engineering improved nanowires suitable for future bioelectronic materials.

Charge Transfer and Chemo-Mechanical Coupling in Respiratory Complex I.

The mitochondrial respiratory chain, formed by five protein complexes, utilizes energy from catabolic processes to synthesize ATP. Complex I, the first and the largest protein complex of the chain, harvests electrons from NADH to reduce quinone, while pumping protons across the mitochondrial membrane. Detailed knowledge of the working principle of such coupled charge-transfer processes remains, however, fragmentary due to bottlenecks in understanding redox-driven conformational transitions and their interplay with the hydrated proton pathways. Complex I from Thermus thermophilus encases 16 subunits with nine iron-sulfur clusters, reduced by electrons from NADH. Here, employing the latest crystal structure of T. thermophilus complex I, we have used microsecond-scale molecular dynamics simulations to study the chemo-mechanical coupling between redox changes of the iron-sulfur clusters and conformational transitions across complex I. First, we identify the redox switches within complex I, which allosterically couple the dynamics of the quinone binding pocket to the site of NADH reduction. Second, our free-energy calculations reveal that the affinity of the quinone, specifically menaquinone, for the binding-site is higher than that of its reduced, menaquinol form-a design essential for menaquinol release. Remarkably, the barriers to diffusive menaquinone dynamics are lesser than that of the more ubiquitous ubiquinone, and the naphthoquinone headgroup of the former furnishes stronger binding interactions with the pocket, favoring menaquinone for charge transport in T. thermophilus. Our computations are consistent with experimentally validated mutations and hierarchize the key residues into three functional classes, identifying new mutation targets. Third, long-range hydrogen-bond networks connecting the quinone-binding site to the transmembrane subunits are found to be responsible for proton pumping. Put together, the simulations reveal the molecular design principles linking redox reactions to quinone turnover to proton translocation in complex I.

Standard state free energies, not pKas, are ideal for describing small molecule protonation and tautomeric states.

The pKa is the standard measure used to describe the aqueous proton affinity of a compound, indicating the proton concentration (pH) at which two protonation states (e.g. A- and AH) have equal free energy. However, compounds can have additional protonation states (e.g. AH2+), and may assume multiple tautomeric forms, with the protons in different positions (microstates). Macroscopic pKas give the pH where the molecule changes its total number of protons, while microscopic pKas identify the tautomeric states involved. As tautomers have the same number of protons, the free energy difference between them and their relative probability is pH independent so there is no pKa connecting them. The question arises: What is the best way to describe protonation equilibria of a complex molecule in any pH range? Knowing the number of protons and the relative free energy of all microstates at a single pH, ∆G°, provides all the information needed to determine the free energy, and thus the probability of each microstate at each pH. Microstate probabilities as a function of pH generate titration curves that highlight the low energy, observable microstates, which can then be compared with experiment. A network description connecting microstates as nodes makes it straightforward to test thermodynamic consistency of microstate free energies. The utility of this analysis is illustrated by a description of one molecule from the SAMPL6 Blind pKa Prediction Challenge. Analysis of microstate ∆G°s also makes a more compact way to archive and compare the pH dependent behavior of compounds with multiple protonatable sites.

Thermodynamics of the S2-to-S3 state transition of the oxygen-evolving complex of photosystem II.

The room temperature pump-probe X-ray free electron laser (XFEL) measurements used for serial femtosecond crystallography provide remarkable information about the structures of the catalytic (S-state) intermediates of the oxygen-evolution reaction of photosystem II. However, mixed populations of these intermediates and moderate resolution limit the interpretation of the data from current experiments. The S3 XFEL structures show extra density near the OEC that may correspond to a water/hydroxide molecule. However, in the latest structure, this additional oxygen is 2.08 Šfrom the Oε2 of D1-E189, which is closer than the sum of the van der Waals radii of the two oxygens. Here, we use Boltzmann statistics and Monte Carlo sampling to provide a model for the S2-to-S3 state transition, allowing structural changes and the insertion of an additional water/hydroxide. Based on our model, water/hydroxide addition to the oxygen-evolving complex (OEC) is not thermodynamically favorable in the S2g = 2 state, but it is in the S2g = 4.1 redox isomer. Thus, formation of the S3 state starts by a transition from the S2g = 2 to the S2g = 4.1 structure. Then, electrostatic interactions support protonation of D1-H190 and deprotonation of the Ca2+-ligated water (W3) with proton loss to the lumen. The W3 hydroxide moves toward Mn4, completing the coordination shell of Mn4 and favoring its oxidation to Mn(iv) in the S3 state. In addition, binding an additional hydroxide to Mn1 leads to a conformational change of D1-E189 in the S2g = 4.1 and S3 structures. In the S3 state a fraction of D1-E189 release from Mn1 and bind a proton.