Evaluation of early treatment with intravenous idursulfase and intrathecal idursulfase-IT on cognitive function in siblings with neuronopathic mucopolysaccharidosis II.

Mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II; Hunter syndrome; OMIM 309900) is a rare, X-linked, heterogeneous lysosomal storage disease. Approximately two-thirds of patients develop cognitive impairment, which is difficult to assess in clinical trials, partly owing to the variable nature of cognitive impairment. Analyzing data from siblings can help to minimize this heterogeneity. We report analyses of cognitive function from siblings with MPS II enrolled in clinical trials: a natural history study (NCT01822184), a randomized, open-label, phase 2/3 study of intravenous (IV) idursulfase with or without intrathecal idursulfase (idursulfase-IT; NCT02055118), and its extension (NCT2412787). Cognitive function was assessed using Differential Abilities Scales, Second Edition General Conceptual Ability (DAS-II GCA) scores; Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition; and Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales, Second Edition Adaptive Behavior Composite (VABS-II ABC). Seven sets of siblings (six pairs and one set of three) were included. All patients received IV idursulfase and 10 received subsequent idursulfase-IT. Younger siblings initiated IV idursulfase at an earlier age than their older sibling(s) in six of the sets; the younger sibling started treatment before 1 year of age in three sets. Monthly idursulfase-IT was generally associated with a stabilization of cognitive function: DAS-II GCA and VABS-II ABC scores were higher at age-matched assessments in the majority of those who either received idursulfase-IT earlier than their sibling or who received idursulfase-IT versus no idursulfase-IT. These data suggest that early initiation of intrathecal enzyme replacement therapy may stabilize or slow cognitive decline in some patients with neuronopathic MPS II.

Machine Learning ADME Models in Practice: Four Guidelines from a Successful Lead Optimization Case Study.

Optimization of the ADME properties and pharmacokinetic (PK) profile of compounds is one of the critical activities in any medicinal chemistry campaign to discover a future clinical candidate. Finding ways to expedite the process to address ADME/PK shortcomings and reduce the number of compounds to synthesize is highly valuable. This article provides practical guidelines and a case study on the use of ML ADME models to guide compound design in small molecule lead optimization. These guidelines highlight that ML models cannot have an impact in a vacuum: they help advance a program when they have the trust of users, are tuned to the needs of the program, and are integrated into decision-making processes in a way that complements and augments the expertise of chemists.

Evaluation of CD3 and CD8 T-Cell Immunohistochemistry for Prognostication and Prediction of Benefit From Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Early-Stage Colorectal Cancer Within the QUASAR Trial.

PURPOSE: High densities of tumor infiltrating CD3 and CD8 T-cells are associated with superior prognosis in colorectal cancer (CRC). Their value as predictors of benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy is uncertain. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Tumor tissue from 868 patients in the QUASAR trial (adjuvant fluorouracil/folinic acid v observation in stage II/III CRC) was analyzed by CD3 and CD8 immunohistochemistry. Pathologists, assisted by artificial intelligence, calculated CD3 and CD8 cell densities (cells/mm2) in the core tumor (CT) and invasive margin (IM). Participants were randomly partitioned into training and validation sets. The primary outcome was recurrence-free interval (RFI), 2-year RFI for assessment of biomarker-treatment interactions. Maximum-likelihood methods identified optimal high-risk/low-risk group cutpoints in the training set. Prognostic analyses were repeated in the validation set. RESULTS: In the training set, the recurrence rate in the high-risk group was twice that in the low-risk group for all measures (CD3-CT: rate ratio [RR], 2.00, P = .0008; CD3-IM: 2.38, P < .00001; CD8-CT: 2.17, P = .0001; CD8-IM: 2.13, P = .0001). This was closely replicated in the validation set (RR, 1.96, 1.79, 1.72, 1.72, respectively). In multivariate analyses, prognostic effects were similar in colon and rectal cancers, and in stage II and III disease. Proportional reductions in recurrence with adjuvant chemotherapy were of similar magnitude in the high- and low-recurrence risk groups. Combining information from CD3-IM and CD3-CT (CD3 Score) generated high-, intermediate-, and low-risk groups with numbers needed to treat (NNTs) to prevent one disease recurrence being 11, 21, and 36, respectively. CONCLUSION: Recurrence rates in the high-risk CD3/CD8 groups are twice those in the low-risk groups. Proportional reductions with chemotherapy are similar, allowing NNTs derived in QUASAR to be updated using contemporary, nonrandomized data sets.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Markers for Pancreatitis and Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

Diagnostic markers are desperately needed for the early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDA). We describe sets of markers expressed in temporal order in mouse models during pancreatitis, PDA initiation and progression. Cell type specificity and the differential expression of PDA markers were identified by screening single cell (sc) RNAseq from tumor samples of a mouse model for PDA (KIC) at early and late stages of PDA progression compared to that of a normal pancreas. Candidate genes were identified from three sources: (1) an unsupervised screening of the genes preferentially expressed in mouse PDA tumors; (2) signaling pathways that drive PDA, including the Ras pathway, calcium signaling, and known cancer genes, or genes encoding proteins that were identified by differential mass spectrometry (MS) of mouse tumors and conditioned media from human cancer cell lines; and (3) genes whose expression is associated with poor or better prognoses (PAAD, oncolnc.org). The developmental progression of PDA was detected in the temporal order of gene expression in the cancer cells of the KIC mice. The earliest diagnostic markers were expressed in epithelial cancer cells in early-stage, but not late-stage, PDA tumors. Other early markers were expressed in the epithelium of both early- and late-state PDA tumors. Markers that were expressed somewhat later were first elevated in the epithelial cancer cells of the late-stage tumors, then in both epithelial and mesenchymal cells, or only in mesenchymal cells. Stromal markers were differentially expressed in early- and/or late-stage PDA neoplasia in fibroblast and hematopoietic cells (lymphocytes and/or macrophages) or broadly expressed in cancer and many stromal cell types. Pancreatitis is a risk factor for PDA in humans. Mouse models of pancreatitis, including caerulein treatment and the acinar-specific homozygous deletion of differentiation transcription factors (dTFs), were screened for the early expression of all PDA markers identified in the KIC neoplasia. Prognostic markers associated with a more rapid decline were identified and showed differential and cell-type-specific expression in PDA, predominately in late-stage epithelial and/or mesenchymal cancer cells. Select markers were validated by immunohistochemistry in mouse and human samples of a normal pancreas and those with early- and late-stage PDA. In total, we present 2165 individual diagnostic and prognostic markers for disease progression to be tested in humans from pancreatitis to late-stage PDA.

The Pan-RAF-MEK Nondegrading Molecular Glue NST-628 Is a Potent and Brain-Penetrant Inhibitor of the RAS-MAPK Pathway with Activity across Diverse RAS- and RAF-Driven Cancers.

Alterations in the RAS-MAPK signaling cascade are common across multiple solid tumor types and are a driver for many cancers. NST-628 is a potent pan-RAF-MEK molecular glue that prevents the phosphorylation and activation of MEK by RAF, overcoming the limitations of traditional RAS-MAPK inhibitors and leading to deep durable inhibition of the pathway. Cellular, biochemical, and structural analyses of RAF-MEK complexes show that NST-628 engages all isoforms of RAF and prevents the formation of BRAF-CRAF heterodimers, a differentiated mechanism from all current RAF inhibitors. With a potent and durable inhibition of the RAF-MEK signaling complex as well as high intrinsic permeability into the brain, NST-628 demonstrates broad efficacy in cellular and patient-derived tumor models harboring diverse MAPK pathway alterations, including orthotopic intracranial models. Given its functional and pharmacokinetic mechanisms that are differentiated from previous therapies, NST-628 is positioned to make an impact clinically in areas of unmet patient need. Significance: This study introduces NST-628, a molecular glue having differentiated mechanism and drug-like properties. NST-628 treatment leads to broad efficacy with high tolerability and central nervous system activity across multiple RAS- and RAF-driven tumor models. NST-628 has the potential to provide transformative clinical benefits as both monotherapy and vertical combination anchor.

Key transcriptional effectors of the pancreatic acinar phenotype and oncogenic transformation.

Proper maintenance of mature cellular phenotypes is essential for stable physiology, suppression of disease states, and resistance to oncogenic transformation. We describe the transcriptional regulatory roles of four key DNA-binding transcription factors (Ptf1a, Nr5a2, Foxa2 and Gata4) that sit at the top of a regulatory hierarchy controlling all aspects of a highly differentiated cell-type-the mature pancreatic acinar cell (PAC). Selective inactivation of Ptf1a, Nr5a2, Foxa2 and Gata4 individually in mouse adult PACs rapidly altered the transcriptome and differentiation status of PACs. The changes most emphatically included transcription of the genes for the secretory digestive enzymes (which conscript more than 90% of acinar cell protein synthesis), a potent anabolic metabolism that provides the energy and materials for protein synthesis, suppressed and properly balanced cellular replication, and susceptibility to transformation by oncogenic KrasG12D. The simultaneous inactivation of Foxa2 and Gata4 caused a greater-than-additive disruption of gene expression and uncovered their collaboration to maintain Ptf1a expression and control PAC replication. A measure of PAC dedifferentiation ranked the effects of the conditional knockouts as Foxa2+Gata4 > Ptf1a > Nr5a2 > Foxa2 > Gata4. Whereas the loss of Ptf1a or Nr5a2 greatly accelerated Kras-mediated transformation of mature acinar cells in vivo, the absence of Foxa2, Gata4, or Foxa2+Gata4 together blocked transformation completely, despite extensive dedifferentiation. A lack of correlation between PAC dedifferentiation and sensitivity to oncogenic KrasG12D negates the simple proposition that the level of differentiation determines acinar cell resistance to transformation.

Associations between AI-Assisted Tumor Amphiregulin and Epiregulin IHC and Outcomes from Anti-EGFR Therapy in the Routine Management of Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: High tumor production of the EGFR ligands, amphiregulin (AREG) and epiregulin (EREG), predicted benefit from anti-EGFR therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) in a retrospective analysis of clinical trial data. Here, AREG/EREG IHC was analyzed in a cohort of patients who received anti-EGFR therapy as part of routine care, including key clinical contexts not investigated in the previous analysis. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Patients who received panitumumab or cetuximab ± chemotherapy for treatment of RAS wild-type mCRC at eight UK cancer centers were eligible. Archival formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor tissue was analyzed for AREG and EREG IHC in six regional laboratories using previously developed artificial intelligence technologies. Primary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: A total of 494 of 541 patients (91.3%) had adequate tissue for analysis. A total of 45 were excluded after central extended RAS testing, leaving 449 patients in the primary analysis population. After adjustment for additional prognostic factors, high AREG/EREG expression (n = 360; 80.2%) was associated with significantly prolonged PFS [median: 8.5 vs. 4.4 months; HR, 0.73; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.56-0.95; P = 0.02] and OS [median: 16.4 vs. 8.9 months; HR, 0.66 95% CI, 0.50-0.86; P = 0.002]. The significant OS benefit was maintained among patients with right primary tumor location (PTL), those receiving cetuximab or panitumumab, those with an oxaliplatin- or irinotecan-based chemotherapy backbone, and those with tumor tissue obtained by biopsy or surgical resection. CONCLUSIONS: High tumor AREG/EREG expression was associated with superior survival outcomes from anti-EGFR therapy in mCRC, including in right PTL disease. AREG/EREG IHC assessment could aid therapeutic decisions in routine practice. See related commentary by Randon and Pietrantonio, p. 4021.

Long-term open-label extension study of the safety and efficacy of intrathecal idursulfase-IT in patients with neuronopathic mucopolysaccharidosis II.

Enzyme replacement therapy with weekly infused intravenous (IV) idursulfase is effective in treating somatic symptoms of mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II; Hunter syndrome). A formulation of idursulfase for intrathecal administration (idursulfase-IT) is under investigation for the treatment of neuronopathic MPS II. Here, we report 36-month data from the open-label extension (NCT02412787) of a phase 2/3, randomized, controlled study (HGT-HIT-094; NCT02055118) that assessed the safety and efficacy of monthly idursulfase-IT 10 mg in addition to weekly IV idursulfase on cognitive function in children older than 3 years with MPS II and mild-to-moderate cognitive impairment. Participants were also enrolled in this extension from a linked non-randomized sub-study of children younger than 3 years at the start of idursulfase-IT therapy. The extension safety population comprised 56 patients who received idursulfase-IT 10 mg once a month (or age-adjusted dose for sub-study patients) plus IV idursulfase (0.5 mg/kg) once a week. Idursulfase-IT was generally well tolerated over the cumulative treatment period of up to 36 months. Overall, 25.0% of patients had at least one adverse event (AE) related to idursulfase-IT; most treatment-emergent AEs were mild in severity. Of serious AEs (reported by 76.8% patients), none were considered related to idursulfase-IT treatment. There were no deaths or discontinuations owing to AEs. Secondary efficacy analyses (in patients younger than 6 years at phase 2/3 study baseline; n = 40) indicated a trend for improved Differential Ability Scale-II (DAS-II) General Conceptual Ability (GCA) scores in the early idursulfase-IT versus delayed idursulfase-IT group (treatment difference over 36 months from phase 2/3 study baseline: least-squares mean, 6.8 [90% confidence interval: -2.1, 15.8; p = 0.2064]). Post hoc analyses of DAS-II GCA scores by genotype revealed a clinically meaningful treatment effect in patients younger than 6 years with missense variants of the iduronate-2-sulfatase gene (IDS) (least-squares mean [standard error] treatment difference over 36 months, 12.3 [7.24]). These long-term data further suggest the benefits of idursulfase-IT in the treatment of neurocognitive dysfunction in some patients with MPS II. After many years of extensive review and regulatory discussions, the data were found to be insufficient to meet the evidentiary standard to support regulatory filings.

Intrathecal idursulfase-IT in patients with neuronopathic mucopolysaccharidosis II: Results from a phase 2/3 randomized study.

Two-thirds of patients with mucopolysaccharidosis II (MPS II; Hunter syndrome) have cognitive impairment. This phase 2/3, randomized, controlled, open-label, multicenter study (NCT02055118) investigated the effects of intrathecally administered idursulfase-IT on cognitive function in patients with MPS II. Children older than 3 years with MPS II and mild-to-moderate cognitive impairment (assessed by Differential Ability Scales-II [DAS-II], General Conceptual Ability [GCA] score) who had tolerated intravenous idursulfase for at least 4 months were randomly assigned (2:1) to monthly idursulfase-IT 10 mg (n = 34) via an intrathecal drug delivery device (IDDD; or by lumbar puncture) or no idursulfase-IT treatment (n = 15) for 52 weeks. All patients continued to receive weekly intravenous idursulfase 0.5 mg/kg as standard of care. Of 49 randomized patients, 47 completed the study (two patients receiving idursulfase-IT discontinued). The primary endpoint (change from baseline in DAS-II GCA score at week 52 in a linear mixed-effects model for repeated measures analysis) was not met: although there was a smaller decrease in DAS-II GCA scores with idursulfase-IT than with no idursulfase-IT at week 52, this was not significant (least-squares mean treatment difference [95% confidence interval], 3.0 [-7.3, 13.3]; p = 0.5669). Changes from baseline in Vineland Adaptive Behavioral Scales-II Adaptive Behavior Composite scores at week 52 (key secondary endpoint) were similar in the idursulfase-IT (n = 31) and no idursulfase-IT (n = 14) groups. There were trends towards a potential positive effect of idursulfase-IT across DAS-II composite, cluster, and subtest scores, notably in patients younger than 6 years at baseline. In a post hoc analysis, there was a significant (p = 0.0174), clinically meaningful difference in change from baseline in DAS-II GCA scores at week 52 with idursulfase-IT (n = 13) versus no idursulfase-IT (n = 6) among those younger than 6 years with missense iduronate-2-sulfatase gene variants. Overall, idursulfase-IT reduced cerebrospinal glycosaminoglycan levels from baseline by 72.0% at week 52. Idursulfase-IT was generally well tolerated. These data suggest potential benefits of idursulfase-IT in the treatment of cognitive impairment in some patients with neuronopathic MPS II. After many years of extensive review and regulatory discussions, the data were found to be insufficient to meet the evidentiary standard to support regulatory filings.

SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test results across symptomatic COVID-19 cases in Auckland, New Zealand, February-June 2020.

ABSTRACT: During the first wave of COVID-19 transmission in New Zealand, a review of RT-PCR testing in all symptomatic cases reported in the Auckland Region found 74% of test results to have been positive. Detection rate was superior for nasopharyngeal swabs than for oropharyngeal samples, and highest one week after symptom onset. Certain symptom presentations may associate with these cases returning negative results, with dyspnoea reported by a greater proportion of cases who tested negative.

Ex vivo mechanical testing of various suture patterns for use in tendon plating.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the influence of suture patterns on resistance to gap formation after tendon plating STUDY DESIGN: Ex vivo study SAMPLE POPULATION: Suspensory ligament and superficial and deep digital flexor tendons harvested from 16 neonatal cadaver foal limbs. METHODS: Each tendon/ligament from a given limb was randomly assigned to one of three treatment groups consisting of a 7-hole veterinary cuttable plate fixed with alternating simple interrupted, figure-8, or hybrid suture patterns. The constructs were distracted at a rate of 1.0 mm/s to failure, as determined by the formation of a 1 mm gap for initial failure and a 3 mm gap for ultimate failure. The mode of failure was also recorded. RESULTS: Constructs prepared with hybrid and figure-8 patterns sustained over 2× higher (p < .01) forces before gap formation compared to those prepared with a simple interrupted pattern. No difference was identified between tendons whose plate was secured with hybrid or figure-8 suture patterns. Mode of failure between groups did not differ. CONCLUSION: The figure-8 and hybrid patterns described herein improved the resistance to gap formation of plated tendons compared to an alternating simple interrupted pattern described previously. CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE: Figure-8 and hybrid patterns should be considered over simple interrupted patterns to improve resistance to gap formation in horses undergoing tendon plating.

Gq-Gi-PLCß in cells: More than the sum of its reconstituted parts.

The recent paper by Pfeil et al., "Heterotrimeric G Protein Subunit Gαq Is a Master Switch for Gßγ-Mediated Calcium Mobilization by Gi-Coupled GPCRs", opens another path from biochemical in vitro reconstitution to understanding the complex regulation of calcium signaling inside the cell.

Assessing goodness-of-fit for evaluation of dose-proportionality.

For the clinical development of a new drug, the determination of dose-proportionality is an essential part of the pharmacokinetic evaluations, which may provide early indications of non-linear pharmacokinetics and may help to identify sub-populations with divergent clearances. Prior to making any conclusions regarding dose-proportionality, the goodness-of-fit of the model must be assessed to evaluate the model performance. We propose the use of simulation-based visual predictive checks to improve the validity of dose-proportionality conclusions for complex designs. We provide an illustrative example and include a table to facilitate review by regulatory authorities.

The Effect of Quality Control on Accuracy of Digital Pathology Image Analysis.

Digital slide images produced from routine diagnostic histopathological preparations suffer from variation arising at every step of the processing pipeline. Typically, pathologists compensate for such variation using expert knowledge and experience, which is difficult to replicate in automated solutions. The extent to which inconsistencies affect image analysis is explored in this work, examining in detail, the results from a previously published algorithm automating the generation of tumor:stroma ratio (TSR) in colorectal clinical trial datasets. One dataset consisting of 2,211 cases and 106,268 expert-labelled images is used to identify quality issues, by visually inspecting cases where algorithm-pathologist agreement is lowest. Twelve categories are identified and used to analyze pathologist-algorithm agreement in relation to these categories. Of the 2,211 cases, 701 were found to be free from any image quality issues. Algorithm performance was then assessed, comparing pathologist agreement with image quality classification. It was found that agreement was lowest on poorly differentiated tissue, with a mean TSR difference of 0.25 (sd = 0.24). Removing images that contained quality issues increased accuracy from 80% to 83%, at the expense of reducing the dataset to 33,736 images (32%). Training the algorithm on the optimized dataset, prior to testing on all images saw a decrease in accuracy of 4%, indicating that the optimized dataset did not contain enough variation to generate a fully representative model. The results provide an in-depth perspective on image quality, highlighting the importance of the effects on downstream image analysis.

Tamoxifen related side effects and their impact on breast cancer incidence: A retrospective analysis of the randomised IBIS-I trial.

BACKGROUND: Studies in the adjuvant setting have shown that endocrine therapy related side effects predict breast cancer recurrence risk. Here, we assess the relationship between early reported side effects and incidence of breast cancer in women randomised to tamoxifen for cancer prevention in the International Breast Intervention Study (IBIS)-I trial. METHODS: Women randomised to tamoxifen in the IBIS-I trial and for whom side effect status was known at the 6-month follow-up visit were included in this analysis. Side effects included in this analysis were hot flushes, vaginal discharge, and vaginal dryness. The primary endpoint was all breast cancer and secondary endpoint was oestrogen receptor (ER) positive breast cancer. Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate breast cancer incidence in the tamoxifen group with and without side effects reported within 6 months of randomisation. RESULTS: Women randomised to tamoxifen and reporting hot flushes at the 6-month follow-up visit had a non-statistically significant increase in breast cancer compared to those without hot flushes (HR = 1.26 (0.98-1.62), P = 0.08). A significant higher breast cancer risk was observed for postmenopausal women who reported hot flushes at the 6-month follow-up visit compared to those without hot flushes (HR = 1.59 (1.12-2.26), P = 0.01). A higher risk was observed for ER-positive breast cancer in postmenopausal women (HR = 1.81 (1.19-2.74), P = 0.01). No significant associations between gynaecological side effects and breast cancer occurrence was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, no association between side effects reported at 6 months and subsequent breast cancer occurrence was observed. Some side effects might be useful markers for breast cancer occurrence in postmenopausal women.

Resident selection for emergency medicine specialty training in Canada: A survey of existing practice with recommendations for programs, applicants, and references.

OBJECTIVE: Little is known about how the Royal College of Emergency Medicine (RCEM) residency programs are selecting their residents. This creates uncertainty regarding alignment between current selection processes and known best practices. We seek to describe the current selection processes of Canadian RCEM programs. METHODS: An online survey was distributed to all RCEM program directors and assistant directors. The survey instrument included 22 questions and sought both qualitative and quantitative data from the following six domains: application file, letters of reference, elective selection, interview, rank order, and selection process evaluation. RESULTS: We received responses from 13 of 14 programs for an aggregate response rate of 92.9%. A candidate's letters of reference were identified as the most important criterion from the paper application (38.5%). Having a high level of familiarity with the applicant was the most important characteristic of a reference letter author (46.2%). In determining rank order, 53.8% of programs weighed the interview more heavily than the paper application. Once final candidate scores are established following the interview stage, all program respondents indicated that further adjustment is made to the final rank order list. Only 1 of 13 program respondents reported ever having completed a formal evaluation of their selection process. CONCLUSION: We have identified elements of the selection process that will inform recommendations for programs, students, and referees. We encourage programs to conduct regular reviews of their selection process going forward to be in alignment with best practices.

Development and Validation of a Test to Monitor Endoscopic Activity in Patients With Crohn's Disease Based on Serum Levels of Proteins.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Noninvasive tests to measure endoscopic activity in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) have limitations. We aimed to develop a test to identify patients in remission, based on endoscopic analysis, and monitor CD activity based on serum levels of proteins. METHODS: We developed a test to measure 13 proteins in blood (ANG1, ANG2, CRP, SAA1, IL7, EMMPRIN, MMP1, MMP2, MMP3, MMP9, TGFA, CEACAM1, and VCAM1), called the endoscopic healing index [EHI], using samples from 278 patients with CD from a multinational training cohort. We validated the test using 2 independent cohorts of patients with CD: 116 biologic-naive patients with early-stage CD (validation cohort 1) and 195 biologic-exposed patients with chronic CD (validation cohort 2). The ability of the test to identify patients with active disease vs patients in remission (defined as a simple endoscopic score for CD of ≤2 and ≤1 in each segment, or a total CD endoscopic index of severity score <3) was assessed by using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis. The diagnostic accuracy of the test was compared with that of measurement of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and fecal calprotectin. RESULTS: The EHI scores range from 0 to 100 units; higher scores indicate more severe CD activity, based on endoscopy findings. The EHI identified patients in remission with an AUROC of 0.962 in validation cohort 1 (95% confidence interval, 0.942-0.982) and an AUROC of 0.693 in validation cohort 2 (95% confidence interval, 0.619-0.767), regardless of CD location or phenotype. A cutoff value of 20 points identified patients in remission with the highest level of sensitivity (97.1% in validation cohort 1 and 83.2% in validation cohort 2), with specificity values of 69.0% and 36.6%, respectively. A cutoff value of 50 points identified patients in remission with the highest level of specificity (100% in validation cohort 1 and 87.8% in validation cohort 2), with sensitivity values of 37.3% and 30.0%, respectively. The EHI identified patients in remission with a significantly higher AUROC value than the test for CRP (0.876, P < .001 in validation cohort 1 and 0.624, P = .109 in validation cohort 2). In analysis of patients with available FC measurements, the AUROC value for the EHI did not differ significantly from that of measurement of FC (AUROC, 0.950 for EHI vs AUROC, 0.923 for FC; P = .147 in validation cohort 1 and AUROC, 0.803 for EHI vs AUROC, 0.854 for FC; P = .298 in validation cohort 2). CONCLUSIONS: We developed an index called the EHI to identify patients with CD in endoscopic remission based on blood levels of 13 proteins. The EHI identified patients with resolution of endoscopic disease activity, with good overall accuracy, although with variation between the 2 cohorts assessed. The EHI AUROC values were comparable to measurement of FC and higher than measurement of serum CRP. The test might be used in practice to assess endoscopic activity in patients with CD.

Statistical Issues and Recommendations for Clinical Trials Conducted During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Abstract-The COVID-19 pandemic has had and continues to have major impacts on planned and ongoing clinical trials. Its effects on trial data create multiple potential statistical issues. The scale of impact is unprecedented, but when viewed individually, many of the issues are well defined and feasible to address. A number of strategies and recommendations are put forward to assess and address issues related to estimands, missing data, validity and modifications of statistical analysis methods, need for additional analyses, ability to meet objectives and overall trial interpretability.