Soluble Semaphorin 4D Serum Concentrations Are Elevated in Critically Ill Patients with Liver Cirrhosis and Correlate with Aminotransferases.

Semaphorin 4D (Sema4D), also known as CD100, is a multifunctional transmembrane protein with immunoregulatory functions. Upon the activation of immune cells, soluble Semaphorin 4D (sSema4D) is proteolytically cleaved from the membrane by metalloproteinases. sSema4D levels are elevated in various (auto-)inflammatory diseases. Our aim was to investigate sSema4D levels in association with sepsis and critical illnesses and to evaluate sSema4D's potential as a prognostic biomarker. We measured sSema4D levels in 192 patients upon admission to our medical intensive care unit. We found similar levels of sSema4D in 125 patients with sepsis compared to 67 non-septic patients. sSema4D levels correlated with leukocytes but not with other markers of systemic inflammation such as C-reactive protein or procalcitonin. Most interestingly, in a subgroup of patients suffering from pre-existing liver cirrhosis, we observed significantly higher levels of sSema4D. Consistently, sSema4D was also positively correlated with markers of hepatic and cholestatic injury. Our study suggests that sSema4D is not regulated in sepsis compared to other causes of critical illness. However, sSema4D seems to be associated with hepatic injury and inflammation.

[From the forest to the ICU and back: an investigative work-up of Amanita phalloides poisoning]. / Vom Wald auf die Intensivstation und zurück: Eine detektivische Aufarbeitung einer Knollenblätterpilzvergiftung.

With over 90% of deaths following mushroom ingestion, poisoning with Amatoxin is one of the most dangerous food intoxications. Despite numerous case reports, treatment recommendations are based on a moderate level of evidence due to a lack of randomized controlled trials.We present the case of a 32-year-old patient who presented with acute liver failure after Amanita phalloides (green death cap mushroom) ingestion and whose therapeutic success was significantly influenced by the administration of activated charcoal, silibinin, and N-acetylcysteine as well as the determined research of an external mycologist.In various retrospective studies, a relevant reduction of mortality could be shown by the mentioned medicinal measures. Despite the high estimated amount of ingestion, we could confirm the effectiveness of this combination therapy in this case.Here, in addition to the drug therapy, attention should also be paid to the extraordinary cooperation of a mycologist, who was able to confirm the suspected diagnosis by his investigative approach and thus contributed to the success of the therapy. Immediate contact with the competent poison centre and the involvement of an expert is therefore recommended in unclear situations.

Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Augmentation and the Liver Phenotype of Adults With Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency (Genotype Pi∗ZZ).

BACKGROUND & AIMS: α1-Antitrypsin (AAT) is a major protease inhibitor produced by hepatocytes. The most relevant AAT mutation giving rise to AAT deficiency (AATD), the 'Pi∗Z' variant, causes harmful AAT protein accumulation in the liver, shortage of AAT in the systemic circulation, and thereby predisposes to liver and lung injury. Although intravenous AAT augmentation constitutes an established treatment of AATD-associated lung disease, its impact on the liver is unknown. METHODS: Liver-related parameters were assessed in a multinational cohort of 760 adults with severe AATD (Pi∗ZZ genotype) and available liver phenotyping, of whom 344 received augmentation therapy and 416 did not. Liver fibrosis was evaluated noninvasively via the serum test AST-to-platelet ratio index and via transient elastography-based liver stiffness measurement. Histologic parameters were compared in 15 Pi∗ZZ adults with and 35 without augmentation. RESULTS: Compared with nonaugmented subjects, augmented Pi∗ZZ individuals displayed lower serum liver enzyme levels (AST 71% vs 75% upper limit of normal, P < .001; bilirubin 49% vs 58% upper limit of normal, P = .019) and lower surrogate markers of fibrosis (AST-to-platelet ratio index 0.34 vs 0.38, P < .001; liver stiffness measurement 6.5 vs 7.2 kPa, P = .005). Among biopsied participants, augmented individuals had less pronounced liver fibrosis and less inflammatory foci but no differences in AAT accumulation were noted. CONCLUSIONS: The first evaluation of AAT augmentation on the Pi∗ZZ-related liver disease indicates liver safety of a widely used treatment for AATD-associated lung disease. Prospective studies are needed to confirm the beneficial effects and to demonstrate the potential efficacy of exogenous AAT in patients with Pi∗ZZ-associated liver disease.

How we achieve satisfaction in training - A German-wide survey on preferred training conditions among trainers and trainees for board certification in gastroenterology.

BACKGROUND: a majority of resident physicians in Germany are not satisfied with their training conditions. However, training satisfaction is important for physician retention and patient care. Although federal and state laws define the general training regulations and conditions, considerable variability still exists concerning their implementation in the healthcare units. Little is known about the expectations concerning training for gastroenterology board certification by trainers and trainees in Germany. This lack of data hinders discussion on and improvement of training in gastroenterology in Germany. AIM: assessment of preferred training conditions among trainers and trainees for board certification in gastroenterology in Germany. METHODS: an anonymous, voluntary survey consisting of single- and multiple-choice questions utilizing the Likert scale and fill-in responses was circulated to all members of the German Society for Digestive and Metabolic Diseases (DGVS - Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gastroenterologie, Verdauungs und Stoffwechselerkrankungen), as well as through the student council mailing lists of all German medical schools. The survey aimed to assess the consent regarding the ideal implementation of training regulations for gastroenterology board certification. Department heads, senior physicians, board-certified physicians, and outpatient-care physicians were classified as trainers and residents and students as trainees. Subgroups defined by place of work, age, gender, professional position, employment status, and parental status were investigated. RESULTS: 958 responses were included in the final analysis. We found a broad consensus among trainers and trainees on most aspects of our survey. Considerable differences were seen in items on part-time work, overtime, protected time for research, and advanced endoscopy training. CONCLUSION: the broad consensus seen in this survey is indicative of a shared vision for training conditions among trainers and trainees. However, the areas of dissent identified in this survey may assist trainers to better understand the expectations of trainees. Furthermore, this survey creates a sound basis upon which training conditions for board certification in gastroenterology in Germany can be discussed and improved.

Efficacy of allogenous fascia lata grafts in the management of lower eyelid retraction.

PURPOSE: To report on the use of allogenous fascia lata (FL) grafts in patients with lower eyelid retraction (LER). METHODS: In this retrospective study, a consecutive series of 27 patients (39 eyes) with LER who underwent lower eyelid elevation with FL was included. Examinations including measurement of the palpebral fissure vertical height (PFVH), the inferior scleral show distance, the margin reflex distance 2 (MRD 2), and the evaluation of conjunctival hyperemia were conducted at baseline and after a mean postoperative time of 25.9 ± 25.5 (5.0-81.0, median 13.0, last follow-up) months in all patients. RESULTS: At the last follow-up, a significant reduction of the PFVH (11.3 ± 1.7 versus 12.8 ± 2.1 at baseline, p < 0.001), the inferior scleral show distance (0.7 ± 1.0 mm versus 2.1 ± 1.1 at baseline, p < 0.001), and the MRD 2 (6.4 ± 0.9 versus 7.8 ± 1.3 at baseline, p < 0.001) occurred. The conjunctival hyperemia grading score (McMonnies) was significantly reduced (1.8 ± 0.7) at the last follow-up compared to baseline (2.6 ± 0.6, p < 0.001). No case of ectropion or entropion was observed at the last follow-up visit. CONCLUSION: In this case series, lower eyelid elevation with FL grafts as a spacer led to a significant reduction of the PFVH, MRD 2, inferior scleral show distance, and conjunctival hyperemia. No severe surgery-related complications occurred.

Medical transformer for multimodal survival prediction in intensive care: integration of imaging and non-imaging data.

When clinicians assess the prognosis of patients in intensive care, they take imaging and non-imaging data into account. In contrast, many traditional machine learning models rely on only one of these modalities, limiting their potential in medical applications. This work proposes and evaluates a transformer-based neural network as a novel AI architecture that integrates multimodal patient data, i.e., imaging data (chest radiographs) and non-imaging data (clinical data). We evaluate the performance of our model in a retrospective study with 6,125 patients in intensive care. We show that the combined model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] of 0.863) is superior to the radiographs-only model (AUROC = 0.811, p < 0.001) and the clinical data-only model (AUROC = 0.785, p < 0.001) when tasked with predicting in-hospital survival per patient. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our proposed model is robust in cases where not all (clinical) data points are available.

Insulin Resistance Is the Main Characteristic of Metabolically Unhealthy Obesity (MUO) Associated with NASH in Patients Undergoing Bariatric Surgery.

(1) Background: Metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) is a concept that applies to obese patients without any elements of metabolic syndrome (metS). In turn, metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) defines the presence of elements of metS in obese patients. The components of MUO can be divided into subgroups regarding the elements of inflammation, lipid and glucose metabolism and cardiovascular disease. MUO patients appear to be at greater risk of developing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) compared to MHO patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the influence of different MUO components on NAFLD and NASH in patients with morbid obesity undergoing bariatric surgery. (2) Methods: 141 patients undergoing bariatric surgery from September 2015 and October 2021 at RWTH Aachen university hospital (Germany) were included. Patients were evaluated pre-operatively for characteristics of metS and MUO (HbA1c, HOMA, CRP, BMI, fasting glucose, LDL, TG, HDL and the presence of arterial hypertension). Intraoperatively, a liver biopsy was taken from the left liver lobe and evaluated for the presence of NAFLD or NASH. In ordinal regression analyses, different factors were evaluated for their influence on NAFLD and NASH. (3) Results: Mean BMI of the patients was 52.3 kg/m2 (36-74.8, SD 8.4). Together, the parameters HbA1c, HOMA, CRP, BMI, fasting glucose, LDL, TG, HDL and the presence of arterial hypertension accounted for a significant amount of variance in the outcome, with a likelihood ratio of χ2 (9) = 41.547, p < 0.001, for predicting the presence of NASH. Only HOMA was an independent predictor of NASH (B = 0.102, SE = 0.0373, p = 0.007). Evaluation of steatosis showed a similar trend (likelihood ratio χ2 (9) = 40.272, p < 0.001). Independent predictors of steatosis were HbA1c (B = 0.833, SE = 0.343, p = 0.015) and HOMA (B = 0.136, SE = 0.039, p < 0.001). (4) Conclusions: The above-mentioned model, including components of MUO, was significant for diagnosing NASH in patients with morbid obesity undergoing bariatric surgery. Out of the different subitems, HOMA independently predicted the presence of NASH and steatosis, while HbA1c independently predicted steatosis and fibrosis. Taken together, the parameter of glucose metabolism appears to be more accurate for the prediction of NASH than the parameters of lipid metabolism, inflammation or the presence of cardiovascular disease.

An old foe on peculiar paths: severe falciparum malaria in a Syrian refugee, possibly infected during migrant smuggling from Türkiye to Germany.

Infectious diseases and their imperative awareness gain major relevance through global warming and multi-continent refugee crises. Here, we demonstrate the challenges of malaria diagnosis, disease course, and treatment, including post-artesunate hemolysis in a Syrian refugee with severe falciparum malaria, most probably infected during migrant smuggling from Türkiye to Germany.

Secreted Frizzled Related Protein 5 (SFRP5) Serum Levels Are Decreased in Critical Illness and Sepsis and Are Associated with Short-Term Mortality.

Sepsis is a major health burden with insufficiently understood mechanisms of inflammation and immune paralysis, leading to a life-threatening critical illness. The secreted frizzled related protein 5 (SFRP5) acts as an anti-inflammatory adipokine by antagonizing the Wnt5a pathway. The aim of this study was to elucidate the role of SFRP5 in critical illness and sepsis and to determine its value as a prognostic biomarker for mortality. We analyzed SFRP5 serum concentrations of 223 critically ill patients at admission to a medical intensive care unit (ICU) and compared those to 24 healthy individuals. SFRP5 serum concentrations were significantly decreased in critical illness as compared to healthy controls (24.66 vs. 100 ng/mL, p = 0.029). Even lower serum concentrations were found in septic as compared to nonseptic critically ill patients (19.21 vs. 32.83 ng/mL, p = 0.031). SFRP5 concentrations correlated with liver disease, age, anti-inflammation, and metabolic parameters. Furthermore, patients with sepsis recovered levels of SFRP5 in the first week of ICU treatment. SFRP5 levels at admission predicted short-term mortality in critically ill but not in septic patients. This study points to the role of the anti-inflammatory mediator SFRP5 not only in sepsis but also in nonseptic critically ill patients and associates high levels of SFRP5 to worse outcomes, predominantly in nonseptic critically ill patients.

Artificial Intelligence for Clinical Interpretation of Bedside Chest Radiographs.

Background Supine chest radiography for bedridden patients in intensive care units (ICUs) is one of the most frequently ordered imaging studies worldwide. Purpose To evaluate the diagnostic performance of a neural network-based model that is trained on structured semiquantitative radiologic reports of bedside chest radiographs. Materials and Methods For this retrospective single-center study, children and adults in the ICU of a university hospital who had been imaged using bedside chest radiography from January 2009 to December 2020 were reported by using a structured and itemized template. Ninety-eight radiologists rated the radiographs semiquantitatively for the severity of disease patterns. These data were used to train a neural network to identify cardiomegaly, pulmonary congestion, pleural effusion, pulmonary opacities, and atelectasis. A held-out internal test set (100 radiographs from 100 patients) that was assessed independently by an expert panel of six radiologists provided the ground truth. Individual assessments by each of these six radiologists, by two nonradiologist physicians in the ICU, and by the neural network were compared with the ground truth. Separately, the nonradiologist physicians assessed the images without and with preliminary readings provided by the neural network. The weighted Cohen κ coefficient was used to measure agreement between the readers and the ground truth. Results A total of 193 566 radiographs in 45 016 patients (mean age, 66 years ± 16 [SD]; 61% men) were included and divided into training (n = 122 294; 64%), validation (n = 31 243; 16%), and test (n = 40 029; 20%) sets. The neural network exhibited higher agreement with a majority vote of the expert panel (κ = 0.86) than each individual radiologist compared with the majority vote of the expert panel (κ = 0.81 to ≤0.84). When the neural network provided preliminary readings, the reports of the nonradiologist physicians improved considerably (aided vs unaided, κ = 0.87 vs 0.79, respectively; P < .001). Conclusion A neural network trained with structured semiquantitative bedside chest radiography reports allowed nonradiologist physicians improved interpretations compared with the consensus reading of expert radiologists. © RSNA, 2022 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Wielpütz in this issue.

Secondary Sclerosing Cholangitis Following Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Multicenter Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Secondary sclerosing cholangitis (SSC) is a rare disease with poor prognosis. Cases of SSC have been reported following coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-SSC). The aim of this study was to compare COVID-SSC to SSC in critically ill patients (SSC-CIP) and to assess factors influencing transplant-free survival. METHODS: In this retrospective, multicenter study involving 127 patients with SSC from 9 tertiary care centers in Germany, COVID-SSC was compared to SSC-CIP and logistic regression analyses were performed investigating factors impacting transplant-free survival. RESULTS: Twenty-four patients had COVID-SSC, 77 patients SSC-CIP, and 26 patients other forms of SSC. COVID-SSC developed after a median of 91 days following COVID-19 diagnosis. All patients had received extensive intensive care treatment (median days of mechanical ventilation, 48). Patients with COVID-SSC and SSC-CIP were comparable in most of the clinical parameters and transplant-free survival was not different from other forms of SSC (P = .443, log-rank test). In the overall cohort, the use of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) (odds ratio [OR], 0.36 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .16-.80], P = .013; log-rank P < .001) and high serum albumin levels (OR, 0.40 [95% CI, .17-.96], P = .040) were independently associated with an increased transplant-free survival, while the presence of liver cirrhosis (OR, 2.52 [95% CI, 1.01-6.25], P = .047) was associated with worse outcome. Multidrug-resistant organism (MDRO) colonization or infection did not impact patients' survival. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-SSC and CIP-SSC share the same clinical phenotype, course of the disease, and risk factors for its development. UDCA may be a promising therapeutic option in SSC, though future prospective trials are needed to confirm our findings.

Elevated Midkine Serum Levels Are Associated with Long-Term Survival in Critically Ill Patients.

Midkine (Mdk) is a multifunctional protein involved in inflammatory processes. Hence, circulating Mdk is increased in sepsis and has been previously suggested as a potential biomarker in these patients. The aim of this study was to elucidate the role of Mdk serum concentrations in critical illness and sepsis and to verify its value as a prognostic biomarker. Thus, we analyzed the Mdk serum concentrations of 192 critically ill patients on admission to the medical intensive care unit (ICU). While the serum levels of Mdk at admission were similar in septic and nonseptic critical illness (362 vs. 337 ng/L, p = 0.727), we found several interesting correlations of Mdk to laboratory and clinical markers associated with ischemia or hypoxia, e.g., to renal failure and hepatic injury. Mdk serum concentrations at admission did not differ between various causes of sepsis or other critical illness. Most noticeable, we observed upregulated Mdk serum concentrations at admission in patients surviving in the long-term, which was only seen in nonseptic critical illness but not in sepsis. Our study suggests a relevant role of Mdk in critically ill patients in general and highlights the possible protective features of Mdk in critical illness.

Elongation of the inferior rectus tendon with fascia lata graft for large vertical squint angles in patients with Graves' orbitopathy.

PURPOSE: To investigate the use of fascia lata (FL) grafts for inferior rectus muscle (IRM) tendon elongation in patients with large vertical squint angles with Graves' orbitopathy (GO). METHODS: In this retrospective study, we included a consecutive series of 20 eyes of 13 patients with GO who underwent IRM tendon elongation with FL. Orthoptic and ophthalmologic examinations including measurement of the head posture, the extent of deviation in primary position (PP), elevation, motility, and binocular diplopia at the tangent of Harms were conducted preoperatively and after a mean postoperative time of 10.8 (5.0-35.0) months in all patients. RESULTS: The mean total repositioning distance was 9.3 ± 3.6 (3.5-16.0) mm. Postoperatively, we found a significant increase in elevation (5.4 ± 2.4 vs. 2.7 ± 2.4 mm preoperatively, p = 0.011). A significant reduction in vertical squint angle (2.8 ± 3.7 vs. 20.2 ± 18.8 Δ preoperatively, p = 0.004), chin elevation (2.3 ± 3.7 vs. 12.9 ± 6.3° preoperatively, p < 0.001), extorsion in PP (0.1 ± 3.8 vs. 8.4 ± 7.8° preoperatively, p = 0.002), and in elevation (1.8 ± 4.8 vs. 11.1 ± 10.9° preoperatively, p = 0.004) occurred postoperatively. A mean dose-effect relation of 2.6 ± 2.9 Δ/mm was calculated. Postoperatively, the lower eyelid retraction was significantly increased (1.5 ± 1.4 vs. 0.4 ± 0.5 mm preoperatively, p = 0.005). CONCLUSION: IRM tendon elongation with FL is a feasible and effective procedure without relevant risk for surgery-related complications.

Hepatobiliary phenotypes of adults with alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency.

OBJECTIVE: Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) is a common, potentially lethal inborn disorder caused by mutations in alpha-1 antitrypsin (AAT). Homozygosity for the 'Pi*Z' variant of AAT (Pi*ZZ genotype) causes lung and liver disease, whereas heterozygous 'Pi*Z' carriage (Pi*MZ genotype) predisposes to gallstones and liver fibrosis. The clinical significance of the more common 'Pi*S' variant remains largely undefined and no robust data exist on the prevalence of liver tumours in AATD. DESIGN: Baseline phenotypes of AATD individuals and non-carriers were analysed in 482 380 participants in the UK Biobank. 1104 participants of a multinational cohort (586 Pi*ZZ, 239 Pi*SZ, 279 non-carriers) underwent a comprehensive clinical assessment. Associations were adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, diabetes and alcohol consumption. RESULTS: Among UK Biobank participants, Pi*ZZ individuals displayed the highest liver enzyme values, the highest occurrence of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis (adjusted OR (aOR)=21.7 (8.8-53.7)) and primary liver cancer (aOR=44.5 (10.8-183.6)). Subjects with Pi*MZ genotype had slightly elevated liver enzymes and moderately increased odds for liver fibrosis/cirrhosis (aOR=1.7 (1.2-2.2)) and cholelithiasis (aOR=1.3 (1.2-1.4)). Individuals with homozygous Pi*S mutation (Pi*SS genotype) harboured minimally elevated alanine aminotransferase values, but no other hepatobiliary abnormalities. Pi*SZ participants displayed higher liver enzymes, more frequent liver fibrosis/cirrhosis (aOR=3.1 (1.1-8.2)) and primary liver cancer (aOR=6.6 (1.6-26.9)). The higher fibrosis burden was confirmed in a multinational cohort. Male sex, age ≥50 years, obesity and the presence of diabetes were associated with significant liver fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Our study defines the hepatobiliary phenotype of individuals with the most relevant AATD genotypes including their predisposition to liver tumours, thereby allowing evidence-based advice and individualised hepatological surveillance.

Association of Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Pi*Z Allele Frequency and Progressive Liver Fibrosis in Two Chronic Hepatitis C Cohorts.

(1) Background: The inherited alpha-1 antitrypsin (A1AT) deficiency variant 'Pi*Z' emerged as a genetic modifier of chronic liver disease. Controversial data exist on the relevance of heterozygous Pi*Z carriage ('Pi*MZ' genotype) as an additional risk factor in patients with chronic viral hepatitis C to develop progressive liver fibrosis. (2) Methods: Two prospectively recruited cohorts totaling 572 patients with therapy-naïve chronic viral hepatitis C (HCV) were analyzed. The Frankfurt cohort included 337 patients and a second cohort from Leipzig included 235 patients. The stage of liver fibrosis was assessed by liver biopsy, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score (Frankfurt) as well as liver stiffness measurement (LSM) via transient elastography (Leipzig). All patients were genotyped for the Pi*Z variant (rs28929474) of the SERPINA1 gene. (3) Results: In the Frankfurt cohort, 16/337 (4.7%) patients carried the heterozygous Pi*Z allele while 10/235 (4.3%) in the Leipzig cohort were Pi*Z carriers. In both cohorts, there was no higher proportion of Pi*Z heterozygosity in patients with cirrhosis compared to patients without cirrhosis or patients with cirrhosis vs. no liver fibrosis. Accordingly, Pi*Z frequency was not different in histological or serological stages of liver fibrosis (F0-F4) and showed no clear association with LSM. (4) Conclusions: Evaluation in two representative HCV cohorts does not indicate Pi*Z heterozygosity as a clinically relevant disease modifier in chronic HCV infection. However, validation in even larger cohorts with longitudinal follow-up is warranted.

Serum Perilipin 2 (PLIN2) Predicts Multiple Organ Dysfunction in Critically Ill Patients.

Perilipin 2 (PLIN2) is a lipid droplet protein with various metabolic functions. However, studies investigating PLIN2 in the context of inflammation, especially in systemic and acute inflammation, are lacking. Hence, we assessed the relevance of serum PLIN2 in critically ill patients. We measured serum PLIN2 serum in 259 critically ill patients (166 with sepsis) upon admission to a medical intensive care unit (ICU) compared to 12 healthy controls. A subset of 36 patients underwent computed tomography to quantify body composition. Compared to controls, serum PLIN2 concentrations were elevated in critically ill patients at ICU admission. Interestingly, PLIN2 independently indicated multiple organ dysfunction (MOD), defined as a SOFA score > 9 points, at ICU admission, and was also able to independently predict MOD after 48 h. Moreover, serum PLIN2 levels were associated with severe respiratory failure potentially reflecting a moribund state. However, PLIN2 was neither a predictor of ICU mortality nor did it reflect metabolic dysregulation. Conclusively, the first study assessing serum PLIN2 in critical illness proved that it may assist in risk stratification because it is capable of independently indicating MOD at admission and predicting MOD 48 h after PLIN2 measurement. Further evaluation regarding the underlying mechanisms is warranted.

A Radiomics Approach to Predict the Emergence of New Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Computed Tomography for High-Risk Patients with Liver Cirrhosis.

Liver cirrhosis poses a major risk for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective study investigated to what extent radiomic features allow the prediction of emerging HCC in patients with cirrhosis in contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT). A total of 51 patients with liver cirrhosis and newly detected HCC lesions (n = 82) during follow-up (FU-CT) after local tumor therapy were included. These lesions were not to have been detected by the radiologist in the chronologically prior CECT (PRE-CT). For training purposes, segmentations of 22 patients with liver cirrhosis but without HCC-recurrence were added. A total of 186 areas (82 HCCs and 104 cirrhotic liver areas without HCC) were analyzed. Using univariate analysis, four independent features were identified, and a multivariate logistic regression model was trained to classify the outlined regions as "HCC probable" or "HCC improbable". In total, 60/82 (73%) of segmentations with later detected HCC and 84/104 (81%) segmentations without HCC were classified correctly (AUC of 81%, 95% CI 74-87%), yielding a sensitivity of 72% (95% CI 57-83%) and a specificity of 86% (95% CI 76-96%). In conclusion, the model predicted the occurrence of new HCCs within segmented areas with an acceptable sensitivity and specificity in cirrhotic liver tissue in CECT.