RESUMO
The plant-availability of phosphorus (P) plays a central role in the ability of secondary P resources to replace mineral fertilizer. This is because secondary P plant-availability varies, often with large fractions of residual P that has no immediate fertilization effect. Therefore, if low quality secondary P fertilizers are applied, they will accumulate in soils that, in the long run, may increase the risk of P runoff and eutrophication. Substance flow analyses (SFA), used to identify potentials for improved P management, have not considered this well-known quality barrier. We, therefore, argue that traditional SFA over-estimates the fertilizer potential of secondary P resources. Using Norway as a case, we present a plant-availability extended SFA methodology that integrates SFA and the concept of relative agronomic efficiency. To account for the plant-available soil P stock and long-term soil interactions, we adjust the Norwegian P fertilization demand based on soil P values. We found that, while the method has uncertainties particularly for long-term estimations, it more realistically estimates secondary P fertilizer potentials and is adaptable to other countries. For Norway, we found the overall secondary P fertilizer potential reduced by 6-55% when considering plant-availability. The most important secondary resource was manure, which had the highest P plant-availability and quantities large enough (10.9kt plant-available P/yr) to meet Norway's entire P fertilization demand (5.8kt plant-available P/yr). However, barriers related to its transportability need to be overcome to efficiently use this resource. Fish sludge was also an important product, with 6.1kt plant-available P/yr but with uncertain plant-availability data. We argue that high quality secondary P resources can theoretically meet Norway's P fertilization demand and, therefore, make Norway mineral P independent. However, it is important that their use is carefully regulated based on plant-availability to eliminate the soil accumulation of both available and residual P.
RESUMO
Food waste (FW) generates large upstream and downstream emissions to the environment and unnecessarily consumes natural resources, potentially affecting future food security. The ecological impacts of FW can be addressed by the upstream strategies of FW prevention or by downstream strategies of FW recycling, including energy and nutrient recovery. While FW recycling is often prioritized in practice, the ecological implications of the two strategies remain poorly understood from a quantitative systems perspective. Here, we develop a multilayer systems framework and scenarios to quantify the implications of food waste strategies on national biomass, energy, and phosphorus (P) cycles, using Norway as a case study. We found that (i) avoidable food waste in Norway accounts for 17% of sold food; (ii) 10% of the avoidable food waste occurs at the consumption stage, while industry and retailers account for only 7%; (iii) the theoretical potential for systems-wide net process energy savings is 16% for FW prevention and 8% for FW recycling; (iv) the theoretical potential for systems-wide P savings is 21% for FW prevention and 9% for FW recycling; (v) while FW recycling results in exclusively domestic nutrient and energy savings, FW prevention leads to domestic and international savings due to large food imports; (vi) most effective is a combination of prevention and recycling, however, FW prevention reduces the potential for FW recycling and therefore needs to be prioritized to avoid potential overcapacities for FW recycling.