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2.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(1): e2352856, 2024 Jan 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38265800

RESUMO

Importance: Although there has been a reduction in stunting (low-height-for-age and low-length-for-age), a proxy of malnutrition, the prevalence of malnutrition in Ethiopia is still high. Child growth patterns and estimates of stunting are needed to increase awareness and resources to improve the potential for recovery. Objective: To estimate the prevalence, incidence, and reversal of stunting among children aged 0 to 24 months. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study of the Birhan Maternal and Child Health cohort in North Shewa Zone, Amhara, Ethiopia, was conducted between December 2018 and November 2020. Eligible participants included children aged 0 to 24 months who were enrolled during the study period and had their length measured at least once. Data analysis occurred from Month Year to Month Year. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome of this study was stunting, defined as length-for-age z score (LAZ) at least 2 SDs below the mean. Z scores were also used to determine the prevalence, incidence, and reversal of stunting at each key time point. Growth velocity was determined in centimeters per month between key time points and compared with global World Health Organization (WHO) standards for the same time periods. Heterogeneity was addressed by excluding outliers in sensitivity analyses using modeled growth trajectories for each child. Results: A total of 4354 children were enrolled, out of which 3674 (84.4%; 1786 [48.7%] female) had their length measured at least once and were included in this study. The median population-level length was consistently below WHO growth standards from birth to 2 years of age. The observed prevalence of stunting was highest by 2 years of age at 57.4% (95% CI, 54.8%-9 60.0%). Incidence of stunting increased over time and reached 51.0% (95% CI, 45.3%-56.6%) between ages 12 and 24 months. Reversal was 63.5% (95% CI, 54.8%-71.4%) by age 6 months and 45.2% (95% CI, 36.0%-54.8%) by age 2 years. Growth velocity point estimate differences were slowest compared with WHO standards during the neonatal period (-1.4 cm/month for girls and -1.6 cm/month for boys). There was substantial heterogeneity in anthropometric measurements. Conclusions and Relevance: The evidence from this cohort study highlights a chronically malnourished population with much of the burden associated with growth faltering during the neonatal periods as well as after 6 months of age. To end all forms of malnutrition, growth faltering in populations such as that in young children in Amhara, Ethiopia, needs to be addressed.


Assuntos
Transtornos do Crescimento , Desnutrição , Masculino , Criança , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Feminino , Pré-Escolar , Etiópia , Incidência , Estudos de Coortes , Prevalência
3.
Stat Med ; 42(13): 2029-2043, 2023 06 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36847107

RESUMO

Extending (i.e., generalizing or transporting) causal inferences from a randomized trial to a target population requires assumptions that randomized and nonrandomized individuals are exchangeable conditional on baseline covariates. These assumptions are made on the basis of background knowledge, which is often uncertain or controversial, and need to be subjected to sensitivity analysis. We present simple methods for sensitivity analyses that directly parameterize violations of the assumptions using bias functions and do not require detailed background knowledge about specific unknown or unmeasured determinants of the outcome or modifiers of the treatment effect. We show how the methods can be applied to non-nested trial designs, where the trial data are combined with a separately obtained sample of nonrandomized individuals, as well as to nested trial designs, where the trial is embedded within a cohort sampled from the target population.


Assuntos
Projetos de Pesquisa , Humanos , Viés , Causalidade
6.
Am J Epidemiol ; 190(8): 1632-1642, 2021 08 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33324969

RESUMO

In this article, we examine study designs for extending (generalizing or transporting) causal inferences from a randomized trial to a target population. Specifically, we consider nested trial designs, where randomized individuals are nested within a sample from the target population, and nonnested trial designs, including composite data-set designs, where observations from a randomized trial are combined with those from a separately obtained sample of nonrandomized individuals from the target population. We show that the counterfactual quantities that can be identified in each study design depend on what is known about the probability of sampling nonrandomized individuals. For each study design, we examine identification of counterfactual outcome means via the g-formula and inverse probability weighting. Last, we explore the implications of the sampling properties underlying the designs for the identification and estimation of the probability of trial participation.


Assuntos
Causalidade , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/métodos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Humanos , Estudos Observacionais como Assunto , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/normas , Tamanho da Amostra
7.
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes ; 12(8): e005675, 2019 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31412732

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The risk of death or appropriate therapy varies widely among recipients of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs). The goals of this study were to develop a risk prediction tool that jointly considers future outcome probabilities of ICD shock and death. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a secondary analysis of patients receiving ICDs as part of the SCD-HeFT trial (Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial). We applied an illness-death regression model to jointly model both ICD shocks and death under the semi-competing risks framework, which predicts for each patient their probability of having received ICD shocks, dying, or both at any given point in time. Among 803 ICD recipients (mean age, 60 years; 23% women) followed for a median of 41.1 months, 430 (53.5%) patients completed the study without dying or receiving an ICD shock, 206 (25.7%) received at least 1 shock but survived, 113 (14.1%) died before experiencing a shock, and 54 (6.7%) received at least 1 shock and subsequently died. Predicted outcome probabilities based on baseline demographic and clinical variables reveal substantial heterogeneity in joint shock and death risks, both between patients at each time point and for each single patient across time. Overall, predictive performance for ICD shock and death individually was adequate, based on area under the curve at 5 years of 0.65 for shocks and of 0.79 for death. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis of outcomes after ICD implantation provides an alternative predictive model for individual risk of death or ICD shocks. If validated, this may provide a useful tool for individualized counseling regarding likely outcomes after device implantation, while also informing the design of further studies to focus the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00000609.


Assuntos
Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Cardioversão Elétrica/efeitos adversos , Cardioversão Elétrica/instrumentação , Traumatismos por Eletricidade/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Falha de Prótese , Idoso , Causas de Morte , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Cardioversão Elétrica/mortalidade , Traumatismos por Eletricidade/diagnóstico , Traumatismos por Eletricidade/mortalidade , Feminino , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Seleção de Pacientes , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
8.
Trials ; 16: 109, 2015 Mar 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25873142

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Advances in treatment have increased childhood cancer 5-year survival rates to greater than 80%. However, children previously treated with radiation are at significantly increased risk of developing subsequent neoplasms, the most common of which are skin cancers. The National Cancer Institute and Children's Oncology Group have issued recommendations for survivors treated with radiation to perform monthly skin self-examinations and receive a physician skin examination at least annually, as early detection has demonstrated markedly improved outcomes in the diagnosis and treatment of skin cancers. The goal of the present study is to increase rates of skin self-examinations and clinical skin examinations among adult survivors of childhood cancer treated with radiation. METHODS/DESIGN: This randomized controlled trial uses a 3-group comparative effectiveness design comparing: (1) Patient Activation and Education (PAE) including text messaging, print and web-based tutorials over 12 months; (2) PAE plus physician activation (PAE + MD) adding physician activation/educational materials about survivors' increased skin cancer risk and conducting full-body skin exams; and (3) PAE plus physician activation, plus teledermoscopy (PAE + MD + TD) adding participant receipt of a dermatoscope intended to empower them to photograph suspect moles or lesions for review by the study dermatologist. DISCUSSION: The current study addresses barriers to screening in this population by providing educational and motivational information for both survivors and physicians regarding the value of periodic skin examinations. It also utilizes innovative mobile health technology to encourage and motivate (that is activate) survivors to conduct skin self-examinations, request physician exams, and obtain treatment when worrisome lesions are found. Finally, as a comparative effectiveness trial, this study isolates the effects of adding specific components to the patient activation intervention to test the most effective intervention for enhancing skin examination vigilance among this high-risk group. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT02046811 ; Registration date: 22 January 2014.


Assuntos
Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/etiologia , Neoplasias/radioterapia , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto/métodos , Neoplasias Cutâneas/etiologia , Sobreviventes/psicologia , Canadá , Pesquisa Comparativa da Efetividade , Dermoscopia/métodos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Humanos , Internet , Motivação , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/diagnóstico , Folhetos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Projetos de Pesquisa , Fatores de Risco , Autoexame , Neoplasias Cutâneas/diagnóstico , Telepatologia/métodos , Envio de Mensagens de Texto , Estados Unidos
9.
Am J Public Health ; 105(2): 408-13, 2015 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25033130

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We estimated dementia incidence rates, life expectancies with and without dementia, and percentage of total life expectancy without dementia. METHODS: We studied 3605 members of Group Health (Seattle, WA) aged 65 years or older who did not have dementia at enrollment to the Adult Changes in Thought study between 1994 and 2008. We estimated incidence rates of Alzheimer's disease and dementia, as well as life expectancies with and without dementia, defined as the average number of years one is expected to live with and without dementia, and percentage of total life expectancy without dementia. RESULTS: Dementia incidence increased through ages 85 to 89 years (74.2 cases per 1000 person-years) and 90 years or older (105 cases per 1000 person-years). Life expectancy without dementia and percentage of total life expectancy without dementia decreased with age. Life expectancy with dementia was longer in women and people with at least a college degree. Percentage of total life expectancy without dementia was greater in younger age groups, men, and those with more education. CONCLUSIONS: Efforts to delay onset of dementia, if successful, would likely benefit older adults of all ages.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer/epidemiologia , Demência/epidemiologia , Expectativa de Vida , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doença de Alzheimer/mortalidade , Demência/mortalidade , Escolaridade , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Washington/epidemiologia
10.
Diabetes Care ; 36(9): 2726-33, 2013 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23628618

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To study differences in glycemic control and HbA1c testing associated with use of secure electronic patient-provider messaging. We hypothesized that messaging use would be associated with better glycemic control and a higher rate of adherence to HbA1c testing recommendations. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Retrospective observational study of secure messaging at Group Health, a large nonprofit health care system. Our analysis included adults with diabetes who had registered for access to a shared electronic medical record (SMR) between 2003 and 2006. We fit log-linear regression models, using generalized estimating equations, to estimate the adjusted rate ratio of meeting three indicators of glycemic control (HbA1c <7%, HbA1c <8%, and HbA1c >9%) and HbA1c testing adherence by level of previous messaging use. Multiple imputation and inverse probability weights were used to account for missing data. RESULTS: During the study period, 6,301 adults with diabetes registered for access to the SMR. Of these individuals, 74% used messaging at least once during that time. Frequent use of messaging during the previous calendar quarter was associated with a higher rate of good glycemic control (HbA1c <7%: rate ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.15-1.37]) and a higher rate testing adherence (1.20 [1.15-1.25]). CONCLUSIONS: Among SMR users, recent and frequent messaging use was associated with better glycemic control and a higher rate of HbA1c testing adherence. These results suggest that secure messaging may facilitate important processes of care and help some patients to achieve or maintain adequate glycemic control.


Assuntos
Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Adulto , Idoso , Glicemia/fisiologia , Diabetes Mellitus , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Estudos Retrospectivos
11.
Radiology ; 261(2): 404-13, 2011 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21900620

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To describe the timeliness of follow-up care in community-based settings among women who receive a recommendation for immediate follow-up during the screening mammography process and how follow-up timeliness varies according to facility and facility-level characteristics. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was an institutional review board-approved and HIPAA-compliant study. Screening mammograms obtained from 1996 to 2007 in women 40-80 years old in the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium were examined. Inclusion criteria were a recommendation for immediate follow-up at screening, or subsequent imaging, and observed follow-up within 180 days of the recommendation. Recommendations for additional imaging (AI) and biopsy or surgical consultation (BSC) were analyzed separately. The distribution of time to follow-up care was estimated by using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. RESULTS: Data were available on 214,897 AI recommendations from 118 facilities and 35,622 BSC recommendations from 101 facilities. The median time to subsequent follow-up care after recommendation was 14 days for AI and 16 days for BSC. Approximately 90% of AI follow-up and 81% of BSC follow-up occurred within 30 days. Facilities with higher recall rates tended to have longer AI follow-up times (P < .001). Over the study period, BSC follow-up rates at 15 and 30 days improved (P < .001). Follow-up times varied substantially across facilities. Timely follow-up was associated with larger volumes of the recommended procedures but not notably associated with facility type nor observed facility-level characteristics. CONCLUSION: Most patients with follow-up returned within 3 weeks of the recommendation.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Mamografia , Cooperação do Paciente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
12.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 59(8): 1369-75, 2011 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21806558

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with risk of incident dementia or Alzheimer's disease (AD), beyond its effect on stroke. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: An integrated healthcare delivery system. PARTICIPANTS: A population-based sample of 3,045 community-dwelling adults aged 65 and older without dementia or clinical stroke followed from 1994 to 2008. MEASUREMENTS: AF was identified from health plan electronic data using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, codes from inpatient and outpatient encounters. Covariates came from self-report, study measures, and health plan data. Participants were screened every 2 years using the Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument (range 0-100), with detailed neuropsychological and clinical assessment of those scoring less than 86. A multidisciplinary consensus committee determined diagnoses of all-cause dementia and possible or probable AD using standard research criteria. RESULTS: AF was present in 132 (4.3%) participants at baseline and was diagnosed in 370 (12.2%) more over a mean of 6.8 years of follow-up; 572 participants (18.8%) developed dementia (449 with AD). The adjusted hazard ratio associated with AF was 1.38 (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.10-1.73) for all-cause dementia and 1.50 (95% CI=1.16-1.94) for possible or probable AD. Results were similar for participants with and without clinically recognized stroke during follow-up and in sensitivity analyses examining only probable AD. CONCLUSION: AF is associated with higher risk of developing AD and dementia. Future studies should examine whether specific treatments, including optimal anticoagulation, can decrease this risk.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer/epidemiologia , Doença de Alzheimer/etiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicações , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Washington
13.
Radiology ; 259(1): 72-84, 2011 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21343539

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To examine whether U.S. radiologists' interpretive volume affects their screening mammography performance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Annual interpretive volume measures (total, screening, diagnostic, and screening focus [ratio of screening to diagnostic mammograms]) were collected for 120 radiologists in the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) who interpreted 783 965 screening mammograms from 2002 to 2006. Volume measures in 1 year were examined by using multivariate logistic regression relative to screening sensitivity, false-positive rates, and cancer detection rate the next year. BCSC registries and the Statistical Coordinating Center received institutional review board approval for active or passive consenting processes and a Federal Certificate of Confidentiality and other protections for participating women, physicians, and facilities. All procedures were compliant with the terms of the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act. RESULTS: Mean sensitivity was 85.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 83.7%, 86.6%) and was significantly lower for radiologists with a greater screening focus (P = .023) but did not significantly differ by total (P = .47), screening (P = .33), or diagnostic (P = .23) volume. The mean false-positive rate was 9.1% (95% CI: 8.1%, 10.1%), with rates significantly higher for radiologists who had the lowest total (P = .008) and screening (P = .015) volumes. Radiologists with low diagnostic volume (P = .004 and P = .008) and a greater screening focus (P = .003 and P = .002) had significantly lower false-positive and cancer detection rates, respectively. Median invasive tumor size and proportion of cancers detected at early stages did not vary by volume. CONCLUSION: Increasing minimum interpretive volume requirements in the United States while adding a minimal requirement for diagnostic interpretation could reduce the number of false-positive work-ups without hindering cancer detection. These results provide detailed associations between mammography volumes and performance for policymakers to consider along with workforce, practice organization, and access issues and radiologist experience when reevaluating requirements.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Imageamento Tridimensional , Mamografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
14.
JAMA ; 303(8): 763-70, 2010 Feb 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20179286

RESUMO

CONTEXT: Studies suggest that many survivors of critical illness experience long-term cognitive impairment but have not included premorbid measures of cognitive functioning and have not evaluated risk for dementia associated with critical illness. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether decline in cognitive function was greater among older individuals who experienced acute care or critical illness hospitalizations relative to those not hospitalized and to determine whether the risk for incident dementia differed by these exposures. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of data from a prospective cohort study from 1994 through 2007 comprising 2929 individuals 65 years old and older without dementia at baseline residing in the community in the Seattle area and belonging to the Group Health Cooperative. Participants with 2 or more study visits were included, and those who had a hospitalization for a diagnosis of primary brain injury were censored at the time of hospitalization. Individuals were screened with the Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument (CASI) (score range, 0-100) every 2 years at follow-up visits, and those with a score less than 86 underwent a clinical examination for dementia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Score on the CASI at follow-up study visits and incident dementia diagnosed in study participants, adjusted for baseline cognitive scores, age, and other risk factors. RESULTS: During a mean (SD) follow-up of 6.1 (3.2) years, 1601 participants had no hospitalization, 1287 had 1 or more noncritical illness hospitalizations, and 41 had 1 or more critical illness hospitalizations. The CASI score was assessed more than 45 days after discharge for 94.3% of participants. Adjusted CASI scores averaged 1.01 points lower for visits following acute care illness hospitalization compared with follow-up visits not following any hospitalization (95% confidence interval [CI], -1.33 to -0.70; P < .001) and 2.14 points lower on average for visits following critical illness hospitalization (95% CI, -4.24 to -0.03; P = .047). There were 146 cases of dementia among those not hospitalized, 228 cases of dementia among those with 1 or more noncritical illness hospitalizations, and 5 cases of dementia among those with 1 or more critical illness hospitalizations. The adjusted hazard ratio for incident dementia was 1.4 following a noncritical illness hospitalization (95% CI, 1.1 to 1.7; P = .001) and 2.3 following a critical illness hospitalization (95% CI, 0.9 to 5.7; P = .09). CONCLUSIONS: Among a cohort of older adults without dementia at baseline, those who experienced acute care hospitalization and critical illness hospitalization had a greater likelihood of cognitive decline compared with those who had no hospitalization. Noncritical illness hospitalization was significantly associated with the development of dementia.


Assuntos
Transtornos Cognitivos/epidemiologia , Estado Terminal , Demência/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Risco
15.
Trials ; 10: 96, 2009 Oct 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19843340

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Chronic back pain is a major public health problem and the primary reason patients seek massage treatment. Despite the growing use of massage for chronic low back pain, there have been few studies of its effectiveness. This trial will be the first evaluation of the effectiveness of relaxation massage for chronic back pain and the first large trial of a focused structural form of massage for this condition. METHODS AND DESIGN: A total of 399 participants (133 in each of three arms) between the ages of 20 and 65 years of age who have low back pain lasting at least 3 months will be recruited from an integrated health care delivery system. They will be randomized to one of two types of massage ("focused structural massage" or "relaxation massage"), or continued usual medical care. Ten massage treatments will be provided over 10 weeks. The primary outcomes, standard measures of dysfunction and bothersomeness of low back pain, will be assessed at baseline and after 10, 26, and 52 weeks by telephone interviewers masked to treatment assignment. General health status, satisfaction with back care, days of back-related disability, perceived stress, and use and costs of healthcare services for back pain will also be measured. Outcomes across assigned treatment groups will be compared using generalized estimating equations, accounting for participant correlation and adjusted for baseline value, age, and sex. For both primary outcome measures, this trial will have at least 85% power to detect the presence of a minimal clinically significant difference among the three treatment groups and 91% power for pairwise comparisons. Secondary analyses will compare the proportions of participants in each group that improve by a clinically meaningful amount. CONCLUSION: Results of this trial will help clarify the value of two types of massage therapy for chronic low back pain.


Assuntos
Protocolos Clínicos , Dor Lombar/terapia , Massagem/métodos , Adulto , Idoso , Doença Crônica , Coleta de Dados , Recursos em Saúde , Humanos , Massagem/efeitos adversos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde
16.
Diabetes Care ; 32(7): 1182-7, 2009 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19366959

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that electronic patient-provider messaging is associated with high care quality for diabetes and lower outpatient utilization. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of electronic patient-provider messaging over a 15-month period between 1 January 2004 and 31 March 2005. The study was set at Group Health Cooperative--a consumer-governed, nonprofit health care system that operates in Washington and Idaho. Participants included all patients aged >or=18 years with a diagnosis of diabetes. In addition to usual care, all patients had the option to use electronic messaging to communicate with their care providers. The primary outcome measures were diabetes-related quality-of-care indicators (A1C, blood pressure, and LDL cholesterol) and outpatient visits (primary care, specialty care, and emergency). RESULTS: Nineteen percent of patients with diabetes used electronic messaging to communicate with their care providers during the study period (n = 2,924) (overall study cohort: 15,427 subjects). In multivariate models, frequent use of electronic messaging was associated with A1C <7% (relative risk [RR] 1.36 [95% CI 1.16-1.58]). Contrary to our hypothesis, frequent use of electronic messaging was also associated with a higher rate of outpatient visits (1.39 [1.26-1.53]). CONCLUSIONS: Frequent use of electronic secure messaging is associated with better glycemic control and increased outpatient utilization. Electronic patient-provider communication may represent one strategy to meet the health care needs of this unique population. More research is necessary to assess the effect of electronic messaging on care quality and utilization.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus/reabilitação , Equipamentos e Provisões Elétricas , Pacientes Ambulatoriais , Adulto , Idoso , Pressão Sanguínea , LDL-Colesterol , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Relações Profissional-Paciente , Garantia da Qualidade dos Cuidados de Saúde , Análise de Regressão , Medidas de Segurança , Adulto Jovem
17.
Acad Radiol ; 16(2): 227-38, 2009 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19124109

RESUMO

Although much research has been conducted to understand the influence of interpretive volume on radiologists' performance of mammography interpretation, the published literature has been unable to achieve consensus on the volume standards required for optimal mammography accuracy. One potential contributing factor is that studies have used different statistical approaches to address the same underlying scientific question. Such studies have relied on multiple mammography interpretations from a sample of radiologists; thus, an important statistical issue is appropriately accounting for dependence, or correlation, among interpretations made by (or clustered within) the same radiologist. The aim of this review is to increase awareness about differences between statistical approaches used to analyze clustered data. Statistical frameworks commonly used to model binary measures of interpretive performance are reviewed, focusing on two broad classes of regression frameworks: marginal and conditional models. Although both frameworks account for dependence in clustered data, the interpretations of their parameters differ; hence, the choice of statistical framework may (implicitly) dictate the scientific question being addressed. Additional statistical issues that influence estimation and inference are also discussed, together with their potential impact on the scientific interpretation of the analysis. This work was motivated by ongoing research being conducted by the National Cancer Institute's Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium; however, the ideas are relevant to a broad range of settings in which researchers seek to identify and understand sources of variability in clustered binary outcomes.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Interpretação de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Modelos Estatísticos , Variações Dependentes do Observador , Médicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Competência Profissional/estatística & dados numéricos , Aumento da Imagem/métodos , Curva ROC , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Tamanho da Amostra , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Washington
18.
Am Stat ; 63(2): 155-162, 2009 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22544972

RESUMO

Statistical experiments, more commonly referred to as Monte Carlo or simulation studies, are used to study the behavior of statistical methods and measures under controlled situations. Whereas recent computing and methodological advances have permitted increased efficiency in the simulation process, known as variance reduction, such experiments remain limited by their finite nature and hence are subject to uncertainty; when a simulation is run more than once, different results are obtained. However, virtually no emphasis has been placed on reporting the uncertainty, referred to here as Monte Carlo error, associated with simulation results in the published literature, or on justifying the number of replications used. These deserve broader consideration. Here we present a series of simple and practical methods for estimating Monte Carlo error as well as determining the number of replications required to achieve a desired level of accuracy. The issues and methods are demonstrated with two simple examples, one evaluating operating characteristics of the maximum likelihood estimator for the parameters in logistic regression and the other in the context of using the bootstrap to obtain 95% confidence intervals. The results suggest that in many settings, Monte Carlo error may be more substantial than traditionally thought.

19.
Med Care ; 46(7): 701-8, 2008 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18580389

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Women in medically vulnerable populations, including racial and ethnic minorities, socioeconomically disadvantaged, and residents of rural areas, experience higher breast cancer mortality than do others. Whether mammography facilities that treat vulnerable women demonstrate lower quality of care than other facilities is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To assess the quality of mammography women receive at facilities characterized as serving a high proportion of medically vulnerable populations. RESEARCH DESIGN: We prospectively collected self-reported breast cancer risk factor information, mammography interpretations, and cancer outcomes on 1,579,929 screening mammography examinations from 750,857 women, aged 40-80 years, attending any of 151 facilities in the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium between 1998 and 2004. To classify facilities as serving medically vulnerable populations, we used 4 criteria: educational attainment, racial/ethnic minority, household income, and rural/urban residence. RESULTS: After adjustment for patient-level factors known to affect mammography accuracy, facilities serving vulnerable populations had significantly higher mammography specificity than did other facilities: ie, those serving a higher proportion of women who were minorities [odds ratio (OR): 1.32; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.73], living in rural areas (1.45; 1.15-1.73), and with lower household income (1.33; 1.05-1.68). We observed no statistically significant differences between facilities in mammography sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: Facilities serving high proportions of vulnerable populations provide screening mammography with equal or better quality (as reflected in higher specificity with no corresponding decrease in sensitivity) than other facilities. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms underlying these findings.


Assuntos
Instalações de Saúde , Mamografia/normas , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde/normas , Populações Vulneráveis , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estados Unidos
20.
Am J Epidemiol ; 167(8): 908-16, 2008 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18270370

RESUMO

Ecologic (aggregate) data are widely available and widely utilized in epidemiologic studies. However, ecologic bias, which arises because aggregate data cannot characterize within-group variability in exposure and confounder variables, can only be removed by supplementing ecologic data with individual-level data. Here the authors describe the two-phase study design as a framework for achieving this objective. In phase 1, outcomes are stratified by any combination of area, confounders, and error-prone (or discretized) versions of exposures of interest. Phase 2 data, sampled within each phase 1 stratum, provide accurate measures of exposure and possibly of additional confounders. The phase 1 aggregate-level data provide a high level of statistical power and a cross-classification by which individuals may be efficiently sampled in phase 2. The phase 2 individual-level data then provide a control for ecologic bias by characterizing the within-area variability in exposures and confounders. In this paper, the authors illustrate the two-phase study design by estimating the association between infant mortality and birth weight in several regions of North Carolina for 2000-2004, controlling for gender and race. This example shows that the two-phase design removes ecologic bias and produces gains in efficiency over the use of case-control data alone. The authors discuss the advantages and disadvantages of the approach.


Assuntos
Viés , Peso ao Nascer , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Fatores de Confusão Epidemiológicos , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Projetos de Pesquisa Epidemiológica , Feminino , Geografia , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Modelos Estatísticos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Gravidez , Fatores de Risco
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