Population Pharmacokinetics of Fasinumab in Healthy Volunteers and Patients With Pain Due to Osteoarthritis of the Knee or Hip.

Osteoarthritis (OA) pain management options are currently limited. Fasinumab, an anti-nerve growth factor monoclonal antibody, has been investigated in healthy volunteers and patients with OA-related pain, among other conditions. Data from 12 Phase I-III clinical trials of 92 healthy volunteers and 7430 patients with OA were used to develop a population pharmacokinetic model to characterize fasinumab concentration-time profiles and assess the covariates' effect on fasinumab pharmacokinetic parameters. Participants received single or repeated fasinumab doses intravenously (IV)/subcutaneously (SC), based on body weight (0.03-1 mg/kg IV or 0.1-0.3 mg/kg SC)/fixed dose (9-12 mg IV or 1-12 mg SC). Fasinumab concentration-time data following IV and SC administration in healthy volunteers and patients with OA-related pain were adequately described by a 2-compartment model. Bioavailability increased with higher doses; estimated at 55.1% with 1 mg SC dose, increasing in a greater-than-proportional manner above this. Body weight had the largest predicted impact on fasinumab steady-state exposures, participants at the 5th and 95th percentiles had a 43%-45% higher/22%-23% lower exposure versus reference, respectively. Other covariates had small but clinically irrelevant impacts.

Disease progression modeling of the North Star Ambulatory Assessment for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy.

Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is a rare genetic disorder caused by decreased or absent dystrophin gene leading to progressive muscle degeneration and weakness in young boys. Disease progression models for the North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA), a functional measurement widely used to assess outcomes in clinical trials, were developed using a longitudinal population modeling approach. The relationship between NSAA total score over time, loss of ambulation, and potential covariates that may influence disease progression were evaluated. Data included individual participant observations from an internal placebo-controlled phase II clinical trial and from the external natural history database for male patients with DMD obtained through the Cooperative International Neuromuscular Research Group (CINRG). A modified indirect response model for NSAA joined to a loss of ambulation (LOA) time-to-event model described the data well. Age was used as the independent variable because ambulatory function is known to vary with age. The NSAA and LOA models were linked using the dissipation rate constant parameter from the NSAA model by including the parameter as a covariate on the hazard equation for LOA. No covariates were identified. The model was then used as a simulation tool to explore various clinical trial design scenarios. This model contributes to the quantitative understanding of disease progression in DMD and may guide model-informed drug development decisions for ongoing and future DMD clinical trials.

Population PK and PD Analysis of Domagrozumab in Pediatric Patients with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy.

Myostatin, a negative regulator of skeletal muscle growth, is a therapeutic target in muscle-wasting diseases. Domagrozumab, a humanized recombinant monoclonal antibody, binds myostatin and inhibits activity. Domagrozumab was investigated in a phase II trial (NCT02310763) as a potential treatment for boys with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) modeling is vital in clinical trial design, particularly for determining dosing regimens in pediatric populations. This analysis sought to establish the PK/PD relationship between free domagrozumab and total myostatin concentrations in pediatric patients with DMD using a prior semimechanistic model developed from a phase I study in healthy adult volunteers (NCT01616277) and following inclusion of phase II data. The refined model was developed using a multiple-step approach comprising structural, random effects, and covariate model development; assessment of model adequacy (goodness-of-fit); and predictive performance. Differences in PKs/PDs between healthy adult volunteers and pediatric patients with DMD were quantitatively accounted for and evaluated by predicting myostatin coverage (the percentage of myostatin bound by domagrozumab). The final model parameter estimates and semimechanistic target-mediated drug disposition structure sufficiently described both domagrozumab and myostatin concentrations in pediatric patients with DMD, and most population parameters were comparable with the prior model (in healthy adult volunteers). Predicted myostatin coverage for phase II patients with DMD was consistently > 90%. Baseline serum myostatin was ~ 65% lower than in healthy adult volunteers. This study provides insights into the regulation of myostatin in healthy adults and pediatric patients with DMD. Clinicaltrials.gov identifiers: NCT01616277 and NCT02310763.

Population Pharmacokinetic Analysis of Rivipansel in Healthy Subjects and Subjects with Sickle Cell Disease.

BACKGROUND: Sickle cell disease is an inherited blood disorder with reduced blood-carrying capacity. It is associated with a tendency to form microclots in blood vessels, leading to painful episodes known as a vaso-occlusive crisis. Rivipansel is a pan-selectin inhibitor being studied for the treatment of a vaso-occlusive crisis in patients with sickle cell disease. METHODS: A population pharmacokinetic model of rivipansel plasma and urine concentrations was constructed using a two-compartment model and data from nine different clinical studies. Creatinine clearance was calculated using the Schwartz formula for children and the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration formula for adults. Urine volume and concentration of the study drug in urine from subjects in five clinical studies were used to estimate renal and nonrenal clearance. RESULTS: Rivipansel drug concentrations were well described by the model. The post hoc estimates of average steady-state concentrations were predicted to be similar for the adult and pediatric cohorts of the pivotal phase III study. Parameter estimates showed almost exclusively renal excretion of rivipansel, which is consistent with the known properties of the drug. CONCLUSIONS: The pharmacokinetics of rivipansel was well characterized by a two-compartment population pharmacokinetic model. Our results illustrate the important role of simulations in optimizing a potential drug dosing regimen for patients with sickle cell disease and progressive renal impairment.

Modeling of Survival and Frequency of Cardiovascular-Related Hospitalization in Patients with Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy Treated with Tafamidis.

INTRODUCTION: ATTR-ACT (Tafamidis in Transthyretin Cardiomyopathy Clinical Trial) demonstrated the efficacy and safety of tafamidis in transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM). Model-based analyses from ATTR-ACT can examine predictor effects on dose-response/exposure-response relationships. METHODS: Parametric hazard distributions were developed for all-cause mortality and frequency of cardiovascular-related hospitalization. Time-to-event models were fitted to survival data, and repeated time-to-event models were fitted to hospitalization data. Disease-specific characteristics were assessed as baseline predictors of event hazards. RESULTS: There were 441 patients in this analysis. At month 30, 70.5% (tafamidis) and 57.1% (placebo) of patients were alive, with 154/441 deaths reported; 495 cardiovascular-related hospitalizations occurred. The cumulative risk of death was 42.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 24.2-58.0) lower with tafamidis than with placebo, regardless of New York Heart Association (NYHA) class; significant predictors of decreased risk were genotype (wild-type), greater 6-Minute Walk Test (6MWT) distance, higher left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and lower blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide concentrations. The average cumulative risk of cardiovascular-related hospitalization up to 30 months was 40.8% (95% CI 31.0-49.7) lower with tafamidis in NYHA class I/II patients. Significant predictors of reduced risk were greater 6MWT distance, higher LVEF, and lower BUN and troponin I concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Tafamidis reduced cumulative mortality and hospitalization risk versus placebo in patients with ATTR-CM. Baseline predictors of outcome were consistent with the cardiovascular nature of the disease and suggested that earlier treatment may improve outcomes. CLINICAL TRIALS. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT01994889 (date of registration: November 26, 2013).

Population pharmacokinetic modelling and simulation of tafamidis in healthy subjects and patients with transthyretin amyloidosis.

AIMS: Since the first approval for transthyretin amyloid polyneuropathy patients, new formulations and different strength of tafamidis have been developed and tested in a different population (transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy). The objective of this analysis was to develop a unified population pharmacokinetic (PK) model of tafamidis, which can describe the PK of various different formulations in healthy subjects as well as patients with TTR amyloidosis, and to understand effects of intrinsic and extrinsic factors on the PK variability. METHODS: Pooled data from 23 clinical studies (17 Phase 1 and 6 Phase 2/3 studies) were used for the analysis. The plasma concentration-time data were analysed using a nonlinear mixed effects modelling methodology. Covariate analysis was performed using a stepwise covariate model building procedure. RESULTS: The final model was a 2-compartment model with first-order absorption and elimination coupled with an absorption lag time for nonsolution formations. Body weight, food and tafamidis formulations were incorporated as structural covariates on PK parameters. Covariate analysis further identified age ≥65 years (14.5% decrease) and moderate hepatic impairment effects (57.6% increase) on apparent clearance and transthyretin amyloid polyneuropathy effect (17.3% decrease) on F. However, model-based clinical trial simulation results indicated that tafamidis steady-state exposure changes were not clinically meaningful under the tested conditions. CONCLUSIONS: The unified population PK model of tafamidis was developed based on 23 studies. Subsequent clinical trial simulations indicated that no significant changes in tafamidis exposure necessitating a dose modification are expected due to either extrinsic or intrinsic factors. The model was used to support labelling statements for dose recommendations in special populations.

Comparing Model Performance in Characterizing the PK/PD of the Anti-Myostatin Antibody Domagrozumab.

Modeling and simulation provides quantitative information on target coverage for dose selection. Optimal model selection often relies on fit criteria and is not necessarily mechanistically driven. One such case is discussed where healthy volunteer data of an anti-myostatin monoclonal antibody domagrozumab were used to develop different target-mediated drug disposition models; a quasi-steady state (QSS) rapid binding approximation model, a Michaelis-Menten (MM)-binding kinetics (MM-BK) model, and an MM-indirect response (MM-IDR) model. Whereas the MM-BK model was identified as optimal in fitting the data, with all parameters estimated with high precision, the QSS model also converged but was not able to capture the nonlinear decline. Although the least mechanistic model, MM-IDR, had the lowest objective function value, the MM-BK model was further developed as it provided a reasonable fit and allowed simulations regarding growth differentiation factor-8 target coverage for phase II dose selection with sufficient certainty to allow for testing of the underlying mechanistic assumptions.

A modeling and simulation-based assessment of the impact of confounding factors on the readout of a sildenafil survival trial in pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Sildenafil (REVATIO®) was approved for the treatment of adult Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH) in the US and the EU. A pediatric study has been performed and sildenafil was approved in the EU for pediatric PAH. The long-term extension of this study revealed good survival but also an increased mortality with the high dose of sildenafil compared to lower doses. As a consequence, FDA required Pfizer to evaluate REVATIO®'s effect on the risk of death in adults with PAH. Following FDA's rationale a survival model was developed to characterize the exposure-mortality relationship and assess its potential impact on an ongoing survival trial in adults in the context of confounding factors. Clinical trial simulations were performed to assess the design of the survival trial in adults (AFFILIATE, NCT02060487), expected to last approximately 8 years according to both assumptions: absence or presence of an exposure-mortality relationship and to quantify the impact of confounding factors on its readout. Simulations showed that the trial would be robust in most conditions. But its interpretation will depend on the number of confounding factors such as additional treatments attempting to control disease progression.Clinical trial identifier NCT00159913 for STARTS-1, NCT00159874 for STARTS-2.

Modeling and simulation of the modified Rankin Scale and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale neurological endpoints in intracerebral hemorrhage.

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a form of stroke characterized by uncontrolled bleeding into the parenchyma of the brain. There is no approved therapy for ICH and it is associated with very poor neurological outcomes with around half of subjects dying within 1 month and most subjects showing complete or partial disability. A key challenge is to identify subjects who could benefit from intervention using characteristics such as baseline hemorrhage volume and the increase in hemorrhage volume in the first few hours, which have been correlated with final outcomes in ICH. Combined longitudinal models were developed to describe stroke scales using categorical data (Modified Rankin Scale, mRS), continuous bounded data (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, NIHSS), and time to death. Covariate effects for baseline hematoma volume and maximum increase in hematoma volume were incorporated to assess the improvement in outcome when hematoma volume increase would be reduced by a potential treatment. The combined model provided an adequate description of stroke scales, with patients split into a Non-survival and a High-survival sub-population, and dropout due to death was well described by a constant hazard survival model. Models were compared indicating that the combined mRS/NIHSS model provided the most information, followed by the NIHSS-only model, and the mRS-only model, and finally the traditional statistical analysis on dichotomized response at 90 days. Simulations showed that substantial reductions in hematoma volume increase were required to increase the probability of a favorable outcome.

Towards regulatory endorsement of drug development tools to promote the application of model-informed drug development in Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Drug development for rare diseases is challenged by small populations and limited data. This makes development of clinical trial protocols difficult and contributes to the uncertainty around whether or not a potential therapy is efficacious. The use of data standards to aggregate data from multiple sources, and the use of such integrated databases to develop statistical models can inform protocol development and reduce the risks in developing new therapies. Achieving regulatory endorsement of such models through defined pathways at the US Food and Drug Administration and European Medicines Authority allows such tools to be used by the drug development community for defined contexts of use without further need for discussion of the underlying model(s). The Duchenne Regulatory Science Consortium (D-RSC) has brought together multiple stakeholders to develop a clinical trial simulation tool for Duchenne muscular dystrophy using such an approach. Here we describe the work of D-RSC as an example of how such an approach may be effective at reducing uncertainty in drug development for rare diseases, and thus bringing effective therapies to patients faster.

Application of Quantitative Pharmacology Approaches in Bridging Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of Domagrozumab From Adult Healthy Subjects to Pediatric Patients With Duchenne Muscular Disease.

Domagrozumab, a monoclonal antibody that binds to myostatin, is being developed for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) boys following a first-in-human study in healthy adults. Literature reporting pharmacokinetic parameters of monoclonal antibodies suggested that body-weight- and body-surface-area-adjusted clearance and volume of distribution estimates between adults and children are similar for subjects older than 6 years. Population modeling identified a Michaelis-Menten binding kinetics model to optimally characterize the target mediated drug disposition profile of domagrozumab and identified body mass index on the volume of distribution as the only significant covariate. Model parameters were predicted with high-precision pharmacokinetics (clearance 1.01 × 10-4 L/[h·kg]; central volume of distribution 457 × 10-4 L/kg; maximum elimination rate 17.5 × 10-4 nmol/[h·kg], Km 10.6 nmol/L) and pharmacodynamics (myostatin turnover rate 457 × 10-4 h-1 ; complex removal rate 90 × 10-4 h-1 ; half-saturation constant 4.32 nmol/L) and were used to predict target coverage for dosage selection in the DMD population. Additionally, allometric approaches (estimated scaling exponents (standard error) for clearance and volume were 0.81 [0.01] and 0.98 [0.02], respectively) in conjunction with a separate analysis to obtain the population mean weight and standard deviation suggested that if dosed per body weight, an only 11% difference in clearance is expected between the heaviest and lightest patient, thus preventing the need for dose adjustment. In summary, quantitative approaches were instrumental in bridging and derisking the fast-track development of domagrozumab in DMD.

Dose Selection Based on Modeling and Simulation for Rivipansel in Pediatric Patients Aged 6 to 11 Years With Sickle Cell Disease.

This modeling and simulation exercise aimed to provide dosing recommendations for rivipansel phase III studies in children aged 6-11 years with sickle cell disease (SCD). Pharmacokinetic data from 109 patients aged 12-51 years who received rivipansel (2-40 mg/kg) in previous studies (three phase I and one phase II) were integrated to build a three-compartmental simulation model. Renal clearance simulations across the age range accounted for renal function development and postulated hyperfiltration in SCD. Simulated demographic distributions for the pediatric SCD population were used to predict concentration-time profiles from three dosing regimens, which were then compared against efficacious average steady-state concentrations observed in phase II. A dosing regimen comprising a 40-mg/kg loading dose followed by a 20-mg/kg maintenance dose every 12 hours was selected, as it will likely provide an efficacious concentration range. Its validity will be confirmed in the ongoing phase III study.

Efficacy of 1, 5, and 20 mg oral sildenafil in the treatment of adults with pulmonary arterial hypertension: a randomized, double-blind study with open-label extension.

BACKGROUND: In a previous study, 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) improvement with sildenafil was not dose dependent at the 3 doses tested (20, 40, and 80 mg 3 times daily [TID]). This study assessed whether lower doses were less effective than the approved 20-mg TID dosage. METHODS: Treatment-naive patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension were randomized to 12 weeks of double-blind sildenafil 1, 5, or 20 mg TID; 12 weeks of open-label sildenafil 20 mg TID followed. Changes from baseline in 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) for sildenafil 1 or 5 mg versus 20 mg TID were compared using a Williams test. Hemodynamics, functional class, and biomarkers were assessed. RESULTS: The study was prematurely terminated for non-safety reasons, with 129 of 219 planned patients treated. At week 12, 6MWD change from baseline was significantly greater for sildenafil 20 versus 1 mg (P = 0.011) but not versus 5 mg. At week 24, 6MWD increases from baseline were larger in those initially randomized to 20 versus 5 or 1 mg (74 vs 50 and 47 m, respectively). At week 12, changes in hemodynamic parameters were generally small and variable between treatment groups; odds ratios for improvement in functional class were not statistically significantly different. Improvements in B-type natriuretic peptide levels were significantly greater with sildenafil 20 versus 1 but not 5 mg. CONCLUSIONS: Sildenafil 20 mg TID appeared to be more effective than 1 mg TID for improving 6MWD; sildenafil 5 mg TID appeared to have similar clinical and hemodynamic effects as 20 mg TID. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00430716 (Registration date: January 31, 2007).

Advancing clinical trial design in pulmonary hypertension.

In pulmonary hypertension, as in many other diseases, there is a need for a smarter approach to evaluating new treatments. The traditional randomized controlled trial has served medical science well, but constrains the development of treatments for rare diseases. A workshop was established to consider alternative clinical trial designs in pulmonary hypertension and here discusses their merits, limitations and challenges to implementation of novel approaches.

Lack of efficacy of the selective iNOS inhibitor GW274150 in prophylaxis of migraine headache.

INTRODUCTION: This study investigated the efficacy and tolerability of the highly selective iNOS inhibitor GW274150 in prophylaxis of migraine headache. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The study was conducted in two parts, each comprising a 4-week baseline period, a 12-week, double-blind, parallel-group treatment period, and a 4-week follow-up period. The study had an adaptive design in that findings of Part 1 of the study were used to inform the conduct of Part 2. Following an interim analysis at the end of Part 1, the trial could be stopped for futility or continued in Part 2 to study the full-dose response or to increase sample size in case initial assumptions had been violated. The primary end-point in both parts of the study was the probability of the occurrence of a migraine headache day during the baseline period and the treatment period. RESULTS: In Part 1, adult male and female patients with migraine received GW274150 60 mg (n = 37), 120 mg (n = 37), or placebo (n = 38) once daily for 12 weeks. In Part 2, female patients with migraine received GW274150 60 mg (n= 160) or placebo (n = 154) once daily for 12 weeks. GW274150 was no more effective than placebo for the primary efficacy end-point or any secondary efficacy end-point in Part 1 or Part 2. GW274150 was generally well tolerated. CONCLUSIONS: GW274150 at doses predicted to inhibit iNOS >80% did not differ from placebo in the prophylaxis of migraine. The results do not support a role of iNOS inhibition in migraine prevention.

Lessons learned from a phase III population pharmacokinetic study of cariporide in coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

BACKGROUND: Cariporide (HOE642) is a recently developed inhibitor of the myocardial sodium-hydrogen exchange system. The clinical effects of sodium-hydrogen exchange inhibition in patients at high risk for myocardial cell necrosis were investigated in the GUARDIAN trial (n = 11,590 patients). Although the trial did not show a significant benefit of cariporide over placebo in the overall population, a 25% relative risk reduction in the primary end point of death or myocardial infarction (12.1% for the highest tested cariporide dose of 120 mg 3 times a day versus 16.2% for placebo; P =.03) was observed in the subpopulation of patients who underwent bypass surgery. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to identify an optimal dosing regimen that might offer increased protection during the period of highest risk. METHODS: A population pharmacokinetic model of cariporide was developed with use of data from phase I studies. After adequate predictability was shown for the patients in the pharmacokinetic substudy of the GUARDIAN trial (n = 269 patients), the model was used to predict the individual pharmacokinetic profile in the remaining patients. These predicted concentrations were used to calculate the mean concentration during the period of coronary artery bypass graft surgery (the acute risk period in patients who receive coronary artery bypass grafts), and this mean concentration was used as predictor variable in a time-to-event analysis. RESULTS: A mixture of two Weibull functions adequately described the time course of the observed sum of the acute and chronic hazard rate. The calculated mean concentration during the period of surgery was an adequate predictor for the probability of an event in the acute risk period. The estimated minimal effective mean concentration was 0.5 mg/L. CONCLUSIONS: A dosing regimen with a loading dose of an infusion of 120 mg/h for 1 hour followed by an infusion of 20 mg/h for 47 hours should achieve stable exposure above the estimated minimal effective concentration in more than 95% of patients during and after coronary artery bypass graft surgery.