α-Fetoprotein, α-Fetoprotein-L3, and Des-γ-Carboxy Prothrombin Stratify Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment Response and Progression Risk.

Background and Aims: Assessing aggressive biology at early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis remains challenging. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the only clinical biomarker of aggressive HCC. In this study, AFP, Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3), and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) were measured at diagnosis prior to transplant evaluation and first cycle liver-directed therapy (LDT). Methods: The prospective cohort included 207 patients who received LDT as a bridge/downstage to transplant or definitive treatment plan between 2016 and 2022. Plasma AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP levels were measured at diagnosis and analyzed with other factors associated with treatment response and time-to-progression. Results: Biomarker phenotyping revealed 41% were triple negative, 30% expressed multiple biomarkers, and 12% express all 3 biomarkers. The biomarker profile was associated with target/overall response rate and time-to-progression (P < .001). Profiling stratified 1-year progression risk in nontransplant candidates, driven by coexpression of AFP and DCP in multivariate analysis controlling for tumor burden and staging. Conclusion: The biomarker panel at diagnosis established prognosis for LDT response and stratified 1-year HCC progression risk. AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP profiling isolated aggressive HCC biology at diagnosis and may have important implications in post-LDT surveillance and transplant wait time.

Yttrium-90 Induces an Effector Memory Response with Neoantigen Clonotype Expansion: Implications for Immunotherapy.

Yttrium-90 (90Y) transarterial radioembolization can safely and effectively treat hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Clinical trials combining 90Y with immunotherapy are aimed at improving treatment response rates. The impact of transient 90Y-induced lymphopenia on T-cell homeostasis and functional dynamics is unknown. Paired blood specimens were collected prior to first-cycle 90Y and at imaging follow-up in patients with HCC Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages A-B. Flow cytometry and T-cell receptor (TCR) sequencing were used to monitor changes in T-cell subsets and TCR repertoire following 90Y. Objective response (OR) rates were determined using modified RECIST and defined as either OR or nonobjective response. Time-to-progression (TTP) was defined as progression to Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C within 6 months following 90Y. 90Y induced shifts in both CD4+ (P = 0.049) and CD8+ (P < 0.001) toward an effector memory T-cell response independent of treatment response rate. Nonresponders to 90Y were characterized by a sustained elevation in both naïve CD4+ cells (P = 0.019) and programmed cell death protein 1 expression in CD8+ cells (P = 0.003). Paired analysis of the TCR repertoire revealed a variable induction of neoantigen clonotypes and expansion of existing clonotypes independent of 90Y response. In patients with an OR, changes in TCR clonality did not influence TTP. However, polyclonal profiles in patients without an OR were associated with shorter TTP (P = 0.005; HR, 10.8) and 75% disease progression rates 6 months following treatment. 90Y induces a population shift from central to effector memory accompanied by neoantigen T-cell responses independent of treatment response rate. Monoclonal shifts in the post-90Y T-cell repertoire had superior overall TTP and improved TTP in patients with a first-cycle nonobjective response. SIGNIFICANCE: 90Y can safely treat HCC; however, it causes transient lymphopenia. In this article, 90Y stimulates a peripheral effector memory response independent of initial treatment response. TCR sequencing revealed that polyclonal profiles in patients without an OR to treatment were associated with rapid progression rates 6 months after 90Y.

Imaging Delay Following Liver-Directed Therapy Increases Progression Risk in Early- to Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths in the world. Patients with early-stage HCC are treated with liver-directed therapies to bridge or downstage for liver transplantation (LT). In this study, the impact of HCC care delay on HCC progression among early-stage patients was investigated. Early-stage HCC patients undergoing their first cycle of liver-directed therapy (LDT) for bridge/downstaging to LT between 04/2016 and 04/2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Baseline variables were analyzed for risk of disease progression and time to progression (TTP). HCC care delay was determined by the number of rescheduled appointments related to HCC care. The study cohort consisted of 316 patients who received first-cycle LDT. The HCC care no-show rate was associated with TTP (p = 0.004), while the overall no-show rate was not (p = 0.242). The HCC care no-show rate and HCC care delay were further expanded as no-show rates and rescheduled appointments for imaging, laboratory, and office visits, respectively. More than 60% of patients experienced HCC care delay for imaging and laboratory appointments compared to just 8% for office visits. Multivariate analysis revealed that HCC-specific no-show rates and HCC care delay for imaging (p < 0.001) were both independently associated with TTP, highlighting the importance of minimizing delays in early-stage HCC imaging surveillance to reduce disease progression risk.

Lineage-specific regulation of PD-1 expression in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma following 90yttrium transarterial radioembolization - Implications in treatment outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths in the world. Liver-directed therapies, including 90Yttrium (90Y) radioembolization, play an integral role in the management of HCC with excellent response rates. This has led to clinical trials of immunotherapy in combination with 90Y. Elevated PD-1 expression and lymphopenia were recently shown as risk factors for disease progression in early-stage HCC treated with liver-directed therapies. The aim of this study was to investigate PD-1 expression dynamics in bridge/downstage to transplant in HCC patients receiving first-cycle 90Y and evaluate the impact of these changes on response rates and time-to-progression (TTP). METHODS: Patients with HCC receiving first-cycle 90Y as a bridge to liver transplantation (n = 99) were prospectively enrolled. Blood specimens were collected before 90Y and again during routine imagining follow-up to analyze PD-1 expression via flow cytometry. Complete and objective response rates (CR and ORR) were determined using mRECIST. RESULTS: In 84/88 patients with available follow-up imaging, 83% had a localized ORR with 63% having localized CR. For overall response, 71% and 54% experienced ORR and CR, respectively. Post-90Y PD-1 upregulation in CD8 + associated with HCC progression and decreased TTP. Treatment with 90Y was associated with an anticipated significant post-treatment drop in lymphocytes (P < 0.001) that was independent of PD-1 expression for either CD4+ or CD8+ T cells (P = 0.751 and P = 0.375) and not associated with TTP risk. The change in lymphocytes was not correlated with PD-1 expression following treatment nor TTP. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated PD-1 expression on peripheral T cells is associated with increased risk of HCC progression and shorter time to progression in bridging/downstaging to transplant HCC patients undergoing first-cycle 90Y. Treatment-induced lymphopenia was not associated with treatment response, or increased progression risk, suggesting this anticipated adverse event does not impact short-term HCC outcomes.

Hypoalbuminemia Is a Hepatocellular Carcinoma Independent Risk Factor for Tumor Progression in Low-Risk Bridge to Transplant Candidates.

Due to active hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance, many patients are diagnosed with early-stage disease and are usually amendable to curative treatments. These patients lack poor prognostic factors associated with Milan Criteria and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) biomarker levels. There are currently limited strategies to assess prognosis in the patients who remain at risk of post-treatment HCC progression. In a cohort of liver transplant (LT) candidates with HCC, this study seeks to identify factors prior to liver-directed therapy (LDT) associated with time to progression (TTP). This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from LT candidates with recently diagnosed HCC and receiving LDT as a bridge to LT at three interventional oncology programs within a single system (n = 373). Demographics, clinical hepatology and serology, and factors related to HCC burden were extracted and analyzed for associations with TTP risk. Albumin level below the cohort median (3.4 g/dL) emerged as an independent risk factor for TTP controlling for AFP > 20 ng/mL as well as Milan, T-stage, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage individually. In modality-specific subgroup survival analysis, albumin-based TTP stratification was restricted to patients receiving first cycle microwave ablation (p = 0.007). In n = 162 patients matching all low-risk criteria for Milan, T-stage, BCLC stage, and AFP, the effect of albumin < 3.4 g/dL remained significant for TTP (p = 0.004) with 2-year TTP rates of 68% (<3.4 g/dL) compared to 95% (≥3.4 g/dL). In optimal bridge to LT candidates with small HCC and low AFP biomarker levels, albumin level at treatment baseline provides an HCC-independent positive prognostic factor for risk of HCC progression prior to LT.

PD-1 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma predicts liver-directed therapy response and bridge-to-transplant survival.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergo liver-directed therapy (LDT) to control tumor burden while awaiting liver transplantation with response impacting waitlist survival. In this study, we investigate the link between absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and PD-1 expression with response to LDT and bridge-to-transplant survival. METHODS: Treatment-naïve HCC patients (n = 86) undergoing LDT were enrolled at a single center from August 2016-March 2020. Response to LDT was determined using mRECIST. Blood samples were collected on the day of LDT and at follow-up. Cells were analyzed for phenotype by flow cytometry. Outcomes were liver transplantation or tumor progression. RESULTS: Incomplete response to initial LDT was associated with tumor progression precluding liver transplantation (OR: 7.6, 1.7 - 33.3, P < 0.001). Univariate analysis of baseline T cell phenotypes revealed ALC (OR: 0.44, 0.24-0.85, P = 0.009) as well as intermediate expression of PD-1 on CD4 (OR: 3.3, 1.03-10.3, P = 0.034) and CD8 T cells (OR: 3.0, 0.99-8.8 P = 0.043) associated with incomplete response to LDT. Elevations in PD-1 expression were associated with increased risk of bridge-to-transplant tumor progression (HR: 3.2, 1.2-9.4). In patients successfully bridged to liver transplantation, pre-treatment peripheral PD-1 profile was associated with advanced tumor staging (P < 0.005) with 2/4 of patients with elevations in PD-1 having T3-T4 TNM staging compared to 0 with low PD-1 expression. CONCLUSION: Low lymphocyte count or elevated expression of the PD-1 checkpoint inhibitor is associated with incomplete response to LDT and increased risk of bridge-to-transplant tumor progression. Patients with impaired T cell homeostasis may benefit from PD-1 immunotherapy to improve response to LDT and improve bridge-to-transplant outcomes.

Baseline Alpha-Fetoprotein, Alpha-Fetoprotein-L3, and Des-Gamma-Carboxy Prothrombin Biomarker Status in Bridge to Liver Transplant Outcomes for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

The biomarkers α-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP fraction (AFP-L3), and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) have emerging implications in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance, overall prognosis, and post-surgical recurrence risk. This retrospective study investigated treatment and bridge to liver transplant (LT) prognosis associated with AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP biomarker profiles prior to liver-directed therapy (LDT). In a 140-patient cohort, each biomarker was associated with HCC progression risk using the established thresholds of AFP > 20 ng/mL, AFP-L3 > 15%, and DCP > 7.5 ng/mL. Over 60% of the cohort expressed at least one biomarker at baseline. Although most biomarker-positive patients expressed the clinical standard AFP (57/87), only 32% were positive for AFP alone. Biomarker accumulation increased HCC progression risk but was not associated with demographic factors or preserved liver function. Biomarker triple negative patients had smaller index HCC (p = 0.003), decreased multifocal burden (p = 0.010), and a higher objective response rate (ORR, 62% compared to 46%, p = 0.011). Expressing all three biomarkers at baseline was associated with dismal first-line ORR (12%) with a median time to progression (TTP) of only 181 days post-LDT. Patients with triple negative status for the HCC biomarkers AFP, AFP-L3%, and DCP have the highest first-line ORR with < 5% HCC progression 1-year post-LDT. Biomarker profiling can establish baseline prognosis for identifying optimal bridge to LT and downstaging to LT candidates with triple negative biomarker status and providing an ideal post-LDT target as a compliment to radiographic response.