RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Changing the course duration or timing of subjects in learning pathways would influence medical students' learning outcomes. Curriculum designers need to consider the strategy of reducing cognitive load and evaluate it continuously. Our institution underwent gradual curricular changes characterized by reducing cognitive load since 2000. Therefore, we wanted to explore the impact of this strategy on our previous cohorts. METHODS: This cohort study explored learning pathways across academic years of more than a decade since 2000. Eight hundred eighty-two medical students between 2006 to 2012 were included eventually. Learning outcomes included an average and individual scores of subjects in different stages. Core subjects were identified as those where changes in duration or timing would influence learning outcomes and constitute different learning pathways. We examined whether the promising learning pathway defined as the pathway with the most features of reducing cognitive load has higher learning outcomes than other learning pathways in the exploring dataset. The relationship between features and learning outcomes was validated by learning pathways selected in the remaining dataset. RESULTS: We found nine core subjects, constituting four different learning pathways. Two features of extended course duration and increased proximity between core subjects of basic science and clinical medicine were identified in the promising learning pathway 2012, which also had the highest learning outcomes. Other pathways had some of the features, and pathway 2006 without such features had the lowest learning outcomes. The relationship between higher learning outcomes and cognitive load-reducing features was validated by comparing learning outcomes in two pathways with and without similar features of the promising learning pathway. CONCLUSION: An approach to finding a promising learning pathway facilitating students' learning outcomes was validated. Curricular designers may implement similar design to explore the promising learning pathway while considering potential confounding factors, including students, medical educators, and learning design of the course.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Medical students need to build a solid foundation of knowledge to become physicians. Clerkship is often considered the first transition point, and clerkship performance is essential for their development. We hope to identify subjects that could predict the clerkship performance, thus helping medical students learn more efficiently to achieve high clerkship performance. METHODS: This cohort study collected background and academic data from medical students who graduated between 2011 and 2019. Prediction models were developed by machine learning techniques to identify the affecting features in predicting the pre-clerkship performance and clerkship performance. Following serial processes of data collection, data preprocessing before machine learning, and techniques and performance of machine learning, different machine learning models were trained and validated using the 10-fold cross-validation method. RESULTS: Thirteen subjects from the pre-med stage and 10 subjects from the basic medical science stage with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) >0.7 for either pre-clerkship performance or clerkship performance were found. In each subject category, medical humanities and sociology in social science, chemistry, and physician scientist-related training in basic science, and pharmacology, immunology-microbiology, and histology in basic medical science have predictive abilities for clerkship performance above the top tertile. Using a machine learning technique based on random forest, the prediction model predicted clerkship performance with 95% accuracy and 88% AUC. CONCLUSION: Clerkship performance was predicted by selected subjects or combination of different subject categories in the pre-med and basic medical science stages. The demonstrated predictive ability of subjects or categories in the medical program may facilitate students' understanding of how these subjects or categories of the medical program relate to their performance in the clerkship to enhance their preparedness for the clerkship.
