Outcomes of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules managed with Genomic Sequencing Classifier.

CONTEXT: Molecular testing can refine the risk of malignancy in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology to decrease unnecessary diagnostic surgery. OBJECTIVE: This study was performed to evaluate the outcomes of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules managed with Afirma genomic sequencing classifier (GSC) testing. DESIGN, SETTING, PATIENTS, AND INTERVENTION: Adult patients who underwent a biopsy at three major academic centers between July 2017 and June 2021 with Bethesda III or IV cytology were included. All patients had surgery or minimum follow-up of 1 year ultrasound surveillance. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcomes were the sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of GSC in Bethesda III and IV nodules. RESULTS: The median nodule size of the 834 indeterminate nodules was 2.1 cm and the median follow-up was 23 months. GSC's sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV across all institutions were 95%, 81%, 50%, and 99% for Bethesda III nodules and 94%, 82%, 65%, and 98% for Bethesda IV nodules, respectively. The overall false negative rate was 2%. The NPV of GSC in thyroid nodules with oncocytic predominance was 100% in Bethesda III nodules and 98% in Bethesda IV nodules. However, the PPV of oncocytic nodules was low (17% in Bethesda III nodules and 45% in Bethesda IV nodules). Only 22% of thyroid nodules with benign GSC results grew during surveillance. CONCLUSIONS: GSC is a key tool for managing patients with indeterminate cytology, including the higher-risk Bethesda IV category. GSC benign thyroid nodules can be observed similarly to thyroid nodules with benign cytology.

Extent of Surgery for Medullary Thyroid Cancer and Prevalence of Occult Contralateral Foci.

Importance: Standard treatment for patients with medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) consists of total thyroidectomy with central neck dissection, but the rationale for bilateral surgery in patients with unilateral disease on ultrasonography remains unclear. Objective: To determine the presence of occult contralateral disease (lesions not seen on preoperative ultrasonography) in patients with MTC as a rationale for total thyroidectomy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multi-institutional, retrospective cohort study was conducted from September 1998 to April 2022 in academic medical centers and included patients with MTC who underwent thyroidectomy with preoperative imaging. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was the prevalence of sonographically occult foci of MTC in the contralateral lobe among patients with sporadic MTC. Results: The cohort comprised 176 patients with a median age at diagnosis of 55 years (range, 2-87 years), 69 (57.6%) of whom were female. Genetic testing was performed in 109 patients (61.9%), 48 (27.5%) of whom carried germline RET variants. Initial surgical management consisted of total thyroidectomy (161 [91.0%]), lobectomy followed by completion thyroidectomy (7 [4.0%]), and lobectomy alone (8 [4.5%]). Central and lateral neck dissections were performed as part of initial therapy for 146 patients (83.1%). In the entire cohort of 176 patients, 46 (26.0%) had contralateral foci disease and 9 (5.1%) had occult contralateral foci that were not identified on preoperative ultrasonography. Among 109 patients who underwent genetic testing, 38 (34.9%) had contralateral disease, 8 (7.3%) of whom had occult contralateral disease not seen on preoperative ultrasonography. Patients with sporadic MTC experienced a 95.7% reduction in the odds of having a focus of MTC in the contralateral lobe compared with patients with a germline RET variant (odds ratio, 0.043; 95% CI, 0.013-0.123). When adjusting for age, sex, tumor size, and lymph node involvement, the odds ratio of having contralateral MTC in patients with sporadic disease was 0.034 (95% CI, 0.007-0.116). Among patients who underwent lobectomy alone with postoperative calcitonin levels, 5 of 12 (41.7%) achieved undetectable calcitonin levels (<2.0 pg/mL; to convert to pmol/L, multiply by 0.292). Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this cohort study suggest that a staged approach involving initial thyroid lobectomy could be considered in patients with sporadic MTC and no contralateral ultrasonography findings, with no further surgery if calcitonin levels became undetectable. Further work using prospective randomized clinical trials to evaluate lobectomy as a biochemical cure in patients presenting with unilateral disease is warranted.

Diagnostic performance of molecular testing in indeterminate (Bethesda III and IV) thyroid nodules with Hürthle cell cytology.

BACKGROUND: Indeterminate thyroid nodules with Hürthle cell cytology remain a diagnostic challenge. The low benign call rate and positive predictive value of first-generation molecular tests precluded their use to rule out malignancy. We examined the diagnostic performance of current tests. METHOD: This subset analysis of our prospective randomized trial compared the benign call rate and positive predictive value of Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier and Thyroseq v3 in Bethesda III and IV nodules with Hürthle cell cytology. Molecular test samples were obtained at initial fine-needle aspiration (8/2017-7/2022) and reflexively sent for processing. RESULTS: Molecular testing was performed on 140 Hürthle cell nodules. Of 79 nodules tested with the Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier, the benign call rate was 84% (66/79). Nine of 66 nodules with benign results were resected, with no malignancies. Twelve of 13 nodules with suspicious results were resected, revealing 3 malignancies-2 papillary thyroid carcinomas and one Hürthle cell carcinoma (positive predictive value 25%). Of 61 nodules tested with Thyroseq v3, the benign call rate was 56% (34/61; (P < .01 versus Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier). Five of 34 nodules with negative results were resected, with no malignancies. Nineteen of 27 nodules with positive results were resected, revealing 3 malignancies-2 papillary thyroid carcinomas and 1 Hürthle cell carcinoma (positive predictive value 16%). CONCLUSION: The high benign call rate of current molecular tests in Hürthle cell nodules strengthens their value in enabling patients to avoid surgery.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Molecular Testing and Implications for Initial Surgical Management in Thyroid Nodules Harboring Suspected (Bethesda V) or Known (Bethesda VI) Papillary Thyroid Cancer.

Importance: Molecular testing is commonly used in the diagnosis of thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology. The role of molecular testing in prognosticating oncologic outcomes in thyroid nodules with suspicious or malignant cytology is unclear. Objective: To determine whether molecular profiling of Bethesda V (suspicious for thyroid cancer) and VI (thyroid cancer) nodules is associated with improved prognostication and whether it may inform initial treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study included consecutive patients with Bethesda V or VI nodules who underwent surgery, with histopathology showing differentiated thyroid cancer, between May 1, 2016, and July 31, 2019 in the University of California, Los Angeles health system. Data were analyzed between April 2, 2021, and January 18, 2023. Exposures: Masked ThyroSeq, version 3 molecular analysis after completion of initial treatment and acquisition of follow-up data. Main Outcomes and Measures: Structural disease persistence or recurrence, distant metastasis, and recurrence-free survival were assessed using ThyroSeq Cancer Risk Classifier (CRC) molecular risk groups (low, RAS-like; intermediate, BRAF-like; high, combination of BRAF/RAS plus TERT or other high-risk alterations) using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: In 105 patients with papillary thyroid cancer (median [IQR] follow-up, 3.8 [3.0-4.7] years), ThyroSeq identified genomic alterations in 100 (95%) samples (6 [6%] low risk, 88 [88%] intermediate risk, and 6 [6%] high risk; median [IQR] age, 44 [34-56] years; 68 [68%] female and 32 [32%] male). No patients with low-risk or negative results experienced recurrence. Of the 88 patients with intermediate risk, 6 (7%) experienced local recurrence, with 1 of them also developing distant metastasis. The 6 patients with high risk (all with BRAF V600E plus TERT mutation) underwent total thyroidectomy followed by radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation. Four patients with high risk (67%) experienced local recurrence, with 3 of them also developing distant metastasis. Thus, patients with high-risk alterations were more likely to experience persistence or recurrence and distant metastasis than patients with intermediate risk. In a multivariable analysis incorporating patient age, sex, cancer size, ThyroSeq molecular risk group, extrathyroidal extension, lymph node positivity, American Thyroid Association risk, and RAI ablation, only cancer size (hazard ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.02-1.80) and ThyroSeq CRC molecular risk group (high vs intermediate and low: hazard ratio, 6.22; 95% CI, 1.04-37.36) were associated with structural recurrence. Conclusions and Relevance: Among the 6% of patients with high-risk ThyroSeq CRC alterations in this cohort study, the majority experienced recurrence or distant metastasis despite initial treatment with total thyroidectomy and RAI ablation. In contrast, patients with low- and intermediate-risk alterations had a low recurrence rate. Preoperative knowledge of molecular alteration status at diagnosis may allow for deescalation of initial surgery and refining of the intensity of postoperative surveillance in patients presenting with Bethesda V and VI thyroid nodules.

Bethesda III and IV Thyroid Nodules Managed Nonoperatively After Molecular Testing With Afirma GSC or Thyroseq v3.

CONTEXT: Molecular testing has improved risk stratification and increased nonoperative management for patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules, but data on the long-term outcomes of current molecular tests Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier (GSC) and Thyroseq v3 are limited. OBJECTIVE: To determine the rate of delayed operation and the false negative rate of the Afirma GSC and Thyroseq v3 in Bethesda III and IV thyroid nodules. METHODS: Prospective follow-up of a single center, randomized, clinical trial comparing the performance of Afirma GSC and Thyroseq v3 in the diagnosis of indeterminate thyroid nodules at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Consecutive participants who underwent thyroid biopsy in the UCLA health system with Bethesda III and IV cytology from August 2017 to November 2019. The main outcome measure was false negative rate of molecular testing. RESULTS: Of 176 indeterminate nodules with negative or benign molecular test results, 14 (8%) nodules underwent immediate resection, with no malignancies found on surgical pathology. Nonoperative management with active surveillance was pursued for 162 (92%) nodules with benign or negative test results. The median surveillance was 34 months (range 12-60 months), and 44 patients were lost to follow-up. Of 15 nodules resected during surveillance, 1 malignancy was found (overall false negative rate of 0.6%). This was a 2.7 cm minimally invasive Hurthle cell carcinoma that initially tested negative with Thyroseq v3 and underwent delayed resection due to sonographic growth during surveillance. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of Bethesda III/IV thyroid nodules with negative or benign molecular test results are stable over 3 years of follow-up. These findings support the high sensitivity of current molecular tests and their role in ruling out malignancy in indeterminate thyroid nodules.