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Assessing the impact of an intervention by using time-series observational data on multiple units and outcomes is a frequent problem in many fields of scientific research. Here, we propose a novel Bayesian multivariate factor analysis model for estimating intervention effects in such settings and develop an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the high-dimensional and nontractable posterior of interest. The proposed method is one of the few that can simultaneously deal with outcomes of mixed type (continuous, binomial, count), increase efficiency in the estimates of the causal effects by jointly modeling multiple outcomes affected by the intervention, and easily provide uncertainty quantification for all causal estimands of interest. Using the proposed approach, we evaluate the impact that Local Tracing Partnerships had on the effectiveness of England's Test and Trace programme for COVID-19.
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The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) rapidly replaced Delta (B.1.617.2) to become dominant in England. Our study assessed differences in transmission between Omicron and Delta using two independent data sources and methods. Omicron and Delta cases were identified through genomic sequencing, genotyping and S-gene target failure in England from 5-11 December 2021. Secondary attack rates for named contacts were calculated in household and non-household settings using contact tracing data, while household clustering was identified using national surveillance data. Logistic regression models were applied to control for factors associated with transmission for both methods. For contact tracing data, higher secondary attack rates for Omicron vs. Delta were identified in households (15.0% vs. 10.8%) and non-households (8.2% vs. 3.7%). For both variants, in household settings, onward transmission was reduced from cases and named contacts who had three doses of vaccine compared to two, but this effect was less pronounced for Omicron (adjusted risk ratio, aRR 0.78 and 0.88) than Delta (aRR 0.62 and 0.68). In non-household settings, a similar reduction was observed only in contacts who had three doses vs. two doses for both Delta (aRR 0.51) and Omicron (aRR 0.76). For national surveillance data, the risk of household clustering, was increased 3.5-fold for Omicron compared to Delta (aRR 3.54 (3.29-3.81)). Our study identified increased risk of onward transmission of Omicron, consistent with its successful global displacement of Delta. We identified a reduced effectiveness of vaccination in lowering risk of transmission, a likely contributor for the rapid propagation of Omicron.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Estudos de Coortes , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinação , Inglaterra/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Innovative testing approaches and care pathways are required to meet HIV, hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV) elimination goals. Routine testing for blood-borne viruses (BBVs) within emergency departments (EDs) is suggested by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control but there is a paucity of supporting evidence. We evaluated the introduction of routine BBV testing in EDs at a large teaching hospital in northern England. In October 2018, we modified the electronic laboratory ordering system to reflex opt-out HIV, HBV and HCV testing for all ED attendees aged 16-65 years who had a routine blood test for urea and electrolytes (U&Es). Linkage to care (LTC) was attempted for newly diagnosed patients, those never referred and those who had previously disengaged from care. The project operated for 18 months, here we present evaluation of the initial nine months (2 October 2018-1 July 2019). We analysed testing uptake, BBV seropositivity, LTC and treatment initiation within six months post-diagnosis. Over 9 months, 17,026/28,178 (60.4%) ED attendees who had U&Es performed were tested for ≥ 1 BBV. 299 active BBV infections were identified: 70 HIV Ab/Ag-positive (0.4% seroprevalence), 73 HBsAg-positive (0.4%) and 156 HCV RNA-positive (1.0%). Only 24.3% (17/70) HIV Ab/Ag-positive individuals required LTC, compared to 94.9% (148/156) HCV RNA-positive and 53.4% (39/73) HBsAg-positive individuals. LTC was successful in 94.1% (16/17) HIV Ab/Ag-positive and 69.3% (27/39) HBsAg-positive individuals. However, at 6 months LTC was just 39.2% (58/148) for HCV RNA-positive individuals, with 64% (37/58) of these commencing treatment. Universal opt-out ED BBV testing proved feasible and effective in identifying active BBV infections, especially among marginalised populations with reduced healthcare access. Our integrated approach achieved good LTC rates although further service development is necessary, particularly for HCV RNA-positive people who inject drugs.
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Infecções por HIV , Hepatite B , Hepatite C , Humanos , Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Hepatite C/diagnóstico , Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Hepatite B/diagnóstico , Hepatite B/epidemiologia , Hepacivirus , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Resultado do Tratamento , Reino Unido , RNARESUMO
Symptoms are currently used as testing indicators for SARS-CoV-2 in England. In this study, we analysed national contact tracing data for England (NHS Test and Trace) for the period 1 December to 28 December 2021 to explore symptom differences between the variants, Delta and Omicron. We found that at least one of the symptoms currently used as indicators (fever, cough and loss of smell and taste) were reported in 61.5% of Omicron cases and 72.2% in Delta cases, suggesting that these symptoms are less predictive of Omicron infections. Nearly 40% of Omicron infections did not report any of the three key indicative symptoms, reinforcing the importance of the entire spectrum of symptoms for targeted testing. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, fever and cough were more commonly associated with Omicron infections compared to Delta, showing the importance of considering age and vaccination status when assessing symptom profiles. Sore throat was also more commonly reported in Omicron infections, and loss of smell and taste more commonly reported in Delta infections. Our study shows the value of continued monitoring of symptoms associated with SARS-CoV-2, as changes may influence the effectiveness of testing policy and case ascertainment approaches.
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COVID-19 , Busca de Comunicante , Anosmia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Tosse , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Febre , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genéticaRESUMO
Heart and circulatory diseases affect more than seven million people in the UK. Non-invasive cardiac imaging is a critical element of contemporary cardiology practice. Progressive improvements in technology over the last 20 years have increased diagnostic accuracy in all modalities and led to the incorporation of non-invasive imaging into many standard cardiac clinical care pathways. Cardiac imaging tests are requested by a variety of healthcare practitioners and performed in a range of settings from the most advanced hospitals to local health centres. Imaging is used to detect the presence and consequences of cardiovascular disease, as well as to monitor the response to therapies. The previous UK national imaging strategy statement which brought together all of the non-invasive imaging modalities was published in 2010. The purpose of this document is to collate contemporary standards developed by the modality-specific professional organisations which make up the British Cardiovascular Society Imaging Council, bringing together common and essential recommendations. The development process has been inclusive and iterative. Imaging societies (representing both cardiology and radiology) reviewed and agreed on the initial structure. The final document therefore represents a position, which has been generated inclusively, presents rigorous standards, is applicable to clinical practice and deliverable. This document will be of value to a variety of healthcare professionals including imaging departments, the National Health Service or other organisations, regulatory bodies, commissioners and other purchasers of services, and service users, i.e., patients, and their relatives.
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Cardiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico por imagem , Diagnóstico por Imagem , Humanos , Sociedades , Medicina Estatal , Reino UnidoRESUMO
We investigated risk factors associated with COVID-19 by conducting a retrospective, frequency-matched case-control study, with three sampling periods (August-October 2020). We compared cases completing routine contact tracing to asymptomatic population controls. Multivariable analyses estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for non-household community settings. Meta-analyses using random effects provided pooled odds ratios (pORs). Working in healthcare (pOR 2.87; aORs 2.72, 2.81, 3.08, for study periods 1-3 respectively), social care (pOR 4.15; aORs 2.46, 5.06, 5.41, for study periods 1-3 respectively) or hospitality (pOR 2.36; aORs 2.01, 2.54, 2.63, for study periods 1-3 respectively) were associated with increased odds of being a COVID-19 case. Additionally, working in bars, pubs and restaurants, warehouse settings, construction, educational settings were significantly associated. While definitively determining where transmission occurs is impossible, we provide evidence that in certain sectors, the impact of mitigation measures may only be partial and reinforcement of measures should be considered in these settings.
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COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Local de TrabalhoRESUMO
In November 2019, an outbreak of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli O157:H7 was detected in South Yorkshire, England. Initial investigations established consumption of milk from a local dairy as a common exposure. A sample of pasteurised milk tested the next day failed the phosphatase test, indicating contamination of the pasteurised milk by unpasteurised (raw) milk. The dairy owner agreed to immediately cease production and initiate a recall. Inspection of the pasteuriser revealed a damaged seal on the flow divert valve. Ultimately, there were 21 confirmed cases linked to the outbreak, of which 11 (52%) were female, and 12/21 (57%) were either <15 or >65 years of age. Twelve (57%) patients were treated in hospital, and three cases developed haemolytic uraemic syndrome. Although the outbreak strain was not detected in the milk samples, it was detected in faecal samples from the cattle on the farm. Outbreaks of gastrointestinal disease caused by milk pasteurisation failures are rare in the UK. However, such outbreaks are a major public health concern as, unlike unpasteurised milk, pasteurised milk is marketed as 'safe to drink' and sold to a larger, and more dispersed, population. The rapid, co-ordinated multi-agency investigation initiated in response to this outbreak undoubtedly prevented further cases.
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Infecções por Escherichia coli , Escherichia coli O157 , Escherichia coli Shiga Toxigênica , Animais , Bovinos , Surtos de Doenças , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Infecções por Escherichia coli/epidemiologia , Fazendas , Feminino , Microbiologia de Alimentos , Humanos , Masculino , LeiteRESUMO
Mitigation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission from international travel is a priority. We evaluated the effectiveness of travellers being required to quarantine for 14-days on return to England in Summer 2020. We identified 4,207 travel-related SARS-CoV-2 cases and their contacts, and identified 827 associated SARS-CoV-2 genomes. Overall, quarantine was associated with a lower rate of contacts, and the impact of quarantine was greatest in the 16-20 age-group. 186 SARS-CoV-2 genomes were sufficiently unique to identify travel-related clusters. Fewer genomically-linked cases were observed for index cases who returned from countries with quarantine requirement compared to countries with no quarantine requirement. This difference was explained by fewer importation events per identified genome for these cases, as opposed to fewer onward contacts per case. Overall, our study demonstrates that a 14-day quarantine period reduces, but does not completely eliminate, the onward transmission of imported cases, mainly by dissuading travel to countries with a quarantine requirement.
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COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas/prevenção & controle , Quarentena/legislação & jurisprudência , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas/transmissão , Busca de Comunicante , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Genoma Viral/genética , Genômica , Avaliação do Impacto na Saúde , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/classificação , Viagem/legislação & jurisprudência , Doença Relacionada a ViagensRESUMO
Understanding SARS-CoV-2 transmission in higher education settings is important to limit spread between students, and into at-risk populations. In this study, we sequenced 482 SARS-CoV-2 isolates from the University of Cambridge from 5 October to 6 December 2020. We perform a detailed phylogenetic comparison with 972 isolates from the surrounding community, complemented with epidemiological and contact tracing data, to determine transmission dynamics. We observe limited viral introductions into the university; the majority of student cases were linked to a single genetic cluster, likely following social gatherings at a venue outside the university. We identify considerable onward transmission associated with student accommodation and courses; this was effectively contained using local infection control measures and following a national lockdown. Transmission clusters were largely segregated within the university or the community. Our study highlights key determinants of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and effective interventions in a higher education setting that will inform public health policy during pandemics.
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COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Universidades , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/virologia , Busca de Comunicante , Genoma Viral/genética , Genômica , Humanos , Filogenia , RNA Viral/genética , Fatores de Risco , SARS-CoV-2/classificação , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Estudantes , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Universidades/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: How severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infectivity varies with viral load is incompletely understood. Whether rapid point-of-care antigen lateral flow devices (LFDs) detect most potential transmission sources despite imperfect clinical sensitivity is unknown. METHODS: We combined SARS-CoV-2 testing and contact tracing data from England between 1 September 2020 and 28 February 2021. We used multivariable logistic regression to investigate relationships between polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-confirmed infection in contacts of community-diagnosed cases and index case viral load, S gene target failure (proxy for B.1.1.7 infection), demographics, SARS-CoV-2 incidence, social deprivation, and contact event type. We used LFD performance to simulate the proportion of cases with a PCR-positive contact expected to be detected using 1 of 4 LFDs. RESULTS: In total, 231 498/2 474 066 (9%) contacts of 1 064 004 index cases tested PCR-positive. PCR-positive results in contacts independently increased with higher case viral loads (lower cycle threshold [Ct] values), for example, 11.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 11.5-12.0%) at Ct = 15 and 4.5% (95% CI 4.4-4.6%) at Ct = 30. B.1.1.7 infection increased PCR-positive results by ~50%, (eg, 1.55-fold, 95% CI 1.49-1.61, at Ct = 20). PCR-positive results were most common in household contacts (at Ct = 20.1, 8.7% [95% CI 8.6-8.9%]), followed by household visitors (7.1% [95% CI 6.8-7.3%]), contacts at events/activities (5.2% [95% CI 4.9-5.4%]), work/education (4.6% [95% CI 4.4-4.8%]), and least common after outdoor contact (2.9% [95% CI 2.3-3.8%]). Contacts of children were the least likely to test positive, particularly following contact outdoors or at work/education. The most and least sensitive LFDs would detect 89.5% (95% CI 89.4-89.6%) and 83.0% (95% CI 82.8-83.1%) of cases with PCR-positive contacts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 infectivity varies by case viral load, contact event type, and age. Those with high viral loads are the most infectious. B.1.1.7 increased transmission by ~50%. The best performing LFDs detect most infectious cases.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Teste para COVID-19 , Criança , Características da Família , Humanos , Carga ViralRESUMO
Objective: This cross-sectional observational study sought to describe variations in CT in the context of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (CT-TAVI) as currently performed in the UK. Methods: 408 members of the British Society of Cardiovascular Imaging were invited to complete a 27-item online CT-TAVI survey. Results: 47 responses (12% response rate) were received from 40 cardiac centres, 23 (58%) of which performed TAVI on-site (TAVI centres). Only six respondents (13%) performed high-volume activity (>200 scans per year) compared with 13 (28%) performing moderate (100-200 scans per year) and 27 (59%) performing low (0-99 scans per year) volume activity. Acquisition protocols varied (41% retrospective, 12% prospective with wide padding, 47% prospective with narrow padding), as did the phase of reporting (45% systolic, 37% diastolic, 11% both, 6% unreported). Median dose length product was 675 mGy.cm (IQR 477-954 mGy.cm). Compared with non-TAVI centres, TAVI centres were more likely to report minimum iliofemoral luminal diameter (n=25, 96% vs n=7, 58%, p=0.003) and optimal tube angulation for intervention (n=12, 46% vs n=1, 8%, p=0.02). Conclusions: This national survey formally describes current CT-TAVI practice in the UK. High-volume activity was only present at one in seven cardiac CT centres. There is wide variation in scan acquisition, scan reporting and radiation dose exposure in cardiac CT centres.
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Valva Aórtica/diagnóstico por imagem , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/diagnóstico por imagem , Padrões de Prática Médica/tendências , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/tendências , Substituição da Valva Aórtica Transcateter/tendências , Valva Aórtica/fisiopatologia , Valva Aórtica/cirurgia , Estudos Transversais , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/tendências , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/fisiopatologia , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/cirurgia , Hospitais com Alto Volume de Atendimentos/tendências , Hospitais com Baixo Volume de Atendimentos/tendências , Humanos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Doses de Radiação , Exposição à Radiação , Reino UnidoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Salmonella spp are a major cause of food-borne outbreaks in Europe. We investigated a large multi-country outbreak of Salmonella enterica serotype Enteritidis in the EU and European Economic Area (EEA). METHODS: A confirmed case was defined as a laboratory-confirmed infection with the outbreak strains of S Enteritidis based on whole-genome sequencing (WGS), occurring between May 1, 2015, and Oct 31, 2018. A probable case was defined as laboratory-confirmed infection with S Enteritidis with the multiple-locus variable-number tandem repeat analysis outbreak profile. Multi-country epidemiological, trace-back, trace-forward, and environmental investigations were done. We did a case-control study including confirmed and probable cases and controls randomly sampled from the population registry (frequency matched by age, sex, and postal code). Odds ratios (ORs) for exposure rates between cases and controls were calculated with unmatched univariable and multivariable logistic regression. FINDINGS: 18 EU and EEA countries reported 838 confirmed and 371 probable cases. 509 (42%) cases were reported in 2016, after which the number of cases steadily increased. The case-control study results showed that cases more often ate in food establishments than did controls (OR 3·4 [95% CI 1·6-7·3]), but no specific food item was identified. Recipe-based food trace-back investigations among cases who ate in food establishments identified eggs from Poland as the vehicle of infection in October, 2016. Phylogenetic analysis identified two strains of S Enteritidis in human cases that were subsequently identified in salmonella-positive eggs and primary production premises in Poland, confirming the source of the outbreak. After control measures were implemented, the number of cases decreased, but increased again in March, 2017, and the increase continued into 2018. INTERPRETATION: This outbreak highlights the public health value of multi-country sharing of epidemiological, trace-back, and microbiological data. The re-emergence of cases suggests that outbreak strains have continued to enter the food chain, although changes in strain population dynamics and fewer cases indicate that control measures had some effect. Routine use of WGS in salmonella surveillance and outbreak response promises to identify and stop outbreaks in the future. FUNDING: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control; Directorate General for Health and Food Safety, European Commission; and National Public Health and Food Safety Institutes of the authors' countries (see Acknowledgments for full list).
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Surtos de Doenças , Ovos/microbiologia , Estudos Epidemiológicos , Intoxicação Alimentar por Salmonella/diagnóstico , Salmonella enteritidis/isolamento & purificação , Sorogrupo , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Polônia , Intoxicação Alimentar por Salmonella/epidemiologia , Intoxicação Alimentar por Salmonella/microbiologiaRESUMO
AIMS: To explore how academics on nursing and healthcare programmes are managing their roles and responsibility in relation to student mental health. BACKGROUND: There is growing concern about the mental health of university students in general and healthcare students in particular. Shifts in Higher Education policy, encouraging a "whole university approach," may place greater responsibility for student mental health on academics. However, little is known about the challenges that poor student mental health creates for academics on healthcare programmes. DESIGN: A qualitative approach, using semi-structured interviews and focus groups, provided the opportunity for in-depth analysis. METHODS: Fourteen academics on healthcare programmes, including seven lecturers from nursing programmes, were interviewed between May-June 2017. Constant comparison analysis was followed to support grounded theory. RESULTS: Four key themes emerged. Academics had difficulty identifying and maintaining boundaries due to competing academic and professional identities. Student disclosures are accompanied by challenges arising due to professional responsibilities. Supporting student mental health on placement is difficult. Academics are aware and concerned about the potential negative impact of course content and practice on student mental health. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to explore in-depth the challenges faced by academics on healthcare programmes by the rising prevalence of and concern for, student mental health. The findings indicate that leaders of nursing education programmes and their managers, need to be aware that academics face complex challenges in managing and responding student mental health and may struggle to maintain boundaries due, in part, to competing professional identities.
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Bacharelado em Enfermagem/organização & administração , Saúde Mental , Estudantes de Enfermagem/psicologia , Currículo , Feminino , Humanos , MasculinoRESUMO
Since April 2014, invasive pneumococcal disease incidence has increased substantially across North East England, United Kingdom, reversing the decline that followed the 2006 introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. Significant increases occurred in 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine serotypes and nonvaccine serotypes. Trends in other regions and long-term effects of multivalent vaccines require further investigation.
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Infecções Pneumocócicas/epidemiologia , Vacinas Pneumocócicas/administração & dosagem , Streptococcus pneumoniae/classificação , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções Pneumocócicas/imunologia , Infecções Pneumocócicas/prevenção & controle , Infecções Pneumocócicas/virologia , Sorogrupo , Streptococcus pneumoniae/genética , Reino Unido/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Aortic valve replacement is the second most common cardiothoracic procedure in the UK. With an ageing population, there are an increasing number of patients with prosthetic valves that require follow-up. Imaging of prosthetic valves is challenging with conventional echocardiographic techniques making early detection of valve dysfunction or complications difficult. CT has recently emerged as a complementary approach offering excellent spatial resolution and the ability to identify a range of aortic valve replacement complications including structural valve dysfunction, thrombus development, pannus formation and prosthetic valve infective endocarditis. This review discusses each and how CT might be incorporated into a multimodal cardiovascular imaging pathway for the assessment of aortic valve replacements and in guiding clinical management.
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In patients with heart valve disease, echocardiography is the mainstay for diagnosis, assessment and serial surveillance. However, other modalities, notably cardiac MRI and CT, are used if echocardiographic imaging is suboptimal but can also give complementary information to improve assessment of the valve lesion and cardiac compensation to aid the timing of surgery and determine risk. This statement discusses the way these imaging techniques are currently integrated to improve care beyond what is possible with echocardiography alone.
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OBJECTIVE: To explore factors that might be relevant when designing a triage tool. DESIGN: A mixed-methods study using multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify significant factors associated with requiring different levels of care, and qualitative focus groups exploring views of patients and physiotherapy clinicians regarding case complexity. SETTING: A community-based adult musculoskeletal service delivering tier 1 (standard physiotherapy) and tier 2 care (complex care beyond the scope of standard physiotherapy) and providing onward referral to orthopedic clinics (tier 3). PARTICIPANTS: Quantitative data were extracted from a random sample of patients (N=484) who had received treatment for musculoskeletal conditions. Patients and physiotherapists who had received care or who worked in the service participated in focus groups. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Themes that emerged from focus groups were compared against predictors of requiring complex care found to be significant (P<.05) after quantitative data analysis. RESULTS: A total of 184 patients (38.0%; 95% confidence interval, 33.8-42.4) received complex care. Peripheral joint problems, unclear diagnosis, and symptoms affecting sleep were significant independent predictors of requiring complex care. These data supported some of the main themes raised at focus groups. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of patients receive tier 2 complex care. Further studies are needed to evaluate whether the predictive factors found to be significant in our study might be useful for developing a tool for more effective triage to the most appropriate tier of musculoskeletal care.
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Pessoas com Deficiência/reabilitação , Doenças Musculoesqueléticas/reabilitação , Modalidades de Fisioterapia , Triagem/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Barreiras de Comunicação , Comorbidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças Musculoesqueléticas/complicações , Dor/etiologia , Dor/reabilitação , Encaminhamento e Consulta , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Fatores Sexuais , Transtornos do Sono-Vigília/etiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to measure the associations between domains of deprivation and antibiotic resistance of Escherichia coli. METHODS: Routine surveillance data for antibiotic susceptibility of E. coli isolates were obtained from urine specimens taken from patients presenting with suspected urinary tract infection in 2010-12 to healthcare practitioners based in the community in Leeds and Bradford. Eight antibiotics were included in the analyses. Postcodes were linked to lower super output areas (average populations of 1500). The 2010 Indices of Deprivation were used as neighbourhood characteristics for each lower super output area. Multilevel logistic regression models were used to estimate the independent effect of structural components on the odds of resistance to each antibiotic. RESULTS: With respect to living conditions, residence in the most-deprived areas compared with the least-deprived areas was associated with increased odds of antibiotic resistance for all eight antibiotics analysed. The magnitude of these associations included an OR of 2.04 (95% CI 1.03-3.07) for cefalexin, 2.16 (95% CI 1.16-4.05) for ciprofloxacin, 2.47 (95% CI 1.08-5.66) for nitrofurantoin and 1.33 (95% CI 1.07-1.75) for trimethoprim. CONCLUSIONS: Social deprivation in the form of living conditions is associated with increased antibiotic resistance for E. coli. This evidence suggests there is a need for further individual-level studies to explore the potential mechanism for these associations.
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Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas/microbiologia , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana , Infecções por Escherichia coli/microbiologia , Escherichia coli/efeitos dos fármacos , Condições Sociais , Infecções Urinárias/microbiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Infecções Comunitárias Adquiridas/epidemiologia , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Escherichia coli/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Escherichia coli/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Infecções Urinárias/epidemiologia , Urina/microbiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In 2012, an ongoing outbreak of diphtheria in Indonesia was focused in the province of East Java. There was a need to assess vaccine coverage and immunity gaps in children. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional seroprevalence and vaccine coverage survey of children 1-15 years of age in 2 districts of East Java: one of high incidence (on the island of Madura) and one of low incidence (on the mainland). From each district, we sampled 150 children (10 children per year of age). Sera and throat swabs were taken to determine immunity and carriage status. Immunity was defined as ≥0.1 international unit/mL of antibody to diphtheria toxin. RESULTS: A total of 297 children were selected to participate in the study. Coverage of three doses of combined vaccine for diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis was significantly lower (P < 0.001) in the high incidence district compared with the low [57%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 36-78 vs. 97%, 95% CI: 93-100]. Despite this higher vaccine coverage, seroprevalence of immunity was lower in the low incidence district compared with the high (71%, 95% CI: 63-80 vs. 83%, 95% CI: 76-90). Immunity in the high incidence district was associated with increased age, increased prevalence of toxigenic Corynebacterium diphtheriae carriers and with receipt of multiple (and likely more recent) boosters. CONCLUSIONS: Significant variation exists in vaccine coverage and seroprevalence of immunity to diphtheria in East Java. Immunity in high incidence districts is likely because of natural immunity acquired through exposure to toxigenic C. diphtheriae. Booster vaccines are essential for achieving protective levels of immunity.
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Difteria/epidemiologia , Difteria/imunologia , Adolescente , Portador Sadio/epidemiologia , Portador Sadio/imunologia , Portador Sadio/prevenção & controle , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Difteria/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Difteria, Tétano e Coqueluche/imunologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Indonésia/epidemiologia , Lactente , Masculino , Faringe/microbiologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: There is evidence regarding the abuse potential of buprenorphine in prison settings. There is also emerging evidence from community settings that buprenorphine/naloxone is less amenable to abuse than the single preparation buprenorphine hydrochloride as evidenced by cost-differentials of diverted medication. This study sought to explore cost-differentials within a prison setting of diverted buprenorphine/naloxone medication relative to either single preparation buprenorphine hydrochloride or methadone. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey in one remand prison. RESULTS: A total of 85 prisoners participated in the survey. Prisoners estimated buprenorphine to have a significantly (p<0.001) higher cost than buprenorphine/naloxone both inside and outside of prison. This finding was supported when the analysis was restricted to both the prisoners with a longer-term experience of taking opioid substitution drugs during their current prison stay and those with a longer-term experience prior to reception. CONCLUSIONS: Consideration should be given to the recommendation that buprenorphine/naloxone medication is the prescribed buprenorphine preparation of choice for clinicians offering opiate substitution therapy to prisoners, pending developments of buprenorphine preparations that have less abuse potential than sublingual preparations.