Cigarette smoking and progression of kidney dysfunction: a longitudinal cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Cigarette smoking is one of the most important life-modifiable risk factors for CVD events. The effect on CKD progression caused by smoking remained uncertain, while the effect on CVD had been established. METHOD: The study population included participants from the specific health check and specific health guidance, an annual health check-up for all inhabitants of Japan who were aged between 40 and 74 years. 149,260 subjects (male, 37.1%; female, 62.9%) were included in this analysis. RESULTS: The relationship between smoking status along with new-onset proteinuria and eGFR deterioration more than 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 was examined. Median observation periods were 1427 days [738, 1813] in males and 1437 days [729, 1816] in females. In male participants, the strongest factor upon kidney dysfunction was new-onset proteinuria (1.41 [1.31 1.51], P < 0.001). The second strongest factor on kidney deterioration was smoking (1.24 [1.16 1.31], P < 0.001). In female participants, strongest factor upon kidney dysfunction was smoking (1.27 [1.16-1.39], P < 0.001). The second strongest factor on kidney deterioration was new-onset proteinuria (1.26 [1.17 1.36], P < 0.001). To reveal the relationship of effects from new-onset proteinuria and smoking on the kidney function, the participants were divided into four groups with and without new-onset proteinuria and smoking. The group with both proteinuria and smoking had significantly worst renal prognosis (P for trend < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Large longitudinal observation study revealed smoking has an evil effect on the progression of CKD. This evil effect could be observed in CKD patients with proteinuria as well as in general population without new-onset proteinuria.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, Albuminuria, and Adverse Outcomes: An Individual-Participant Data Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US. Objective: To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021. Exposures: The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). Main Outcomes and Measures: The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses. Results: Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

Weight Loss Improves Liver Dysfunction and Dipstick Proteinuria in Obesity: The Japan Specific Health Checkups Study.

Introduction: Obesity and inappropriate lifestyle is the major risk factors for liver dysfunction and proteinuria. Nevertheless, previous studies have not described the differential impacts of body weight changes and lifestyle modification on already developed liver dysfunction and proteinuria. Methods: The original cohort was 933,490 individuals from the Japanese general population. In this investigation, we included 36,256 obese individuals with elevated levels of aspartate aminotransferase and/or alanine aminotransferase (≥31 IU/L) or positive proteinuria (+/- or more) in both the first and second years. Outcomes were the first normalization of these data defined as improvement in liver dysfunction and proteinuria. Times to outcomes were assessed using the Cox proportional hazards modeling for -1 kg/m2/year change in body mass index (BMI) changes in exercise and alcohol intake. Results: The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for incident improvement in liver dysfunction with BMI change -1.0 kg/m2/year was 1.07 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-1.09) in obesity and that with improved proteinuria was 1.04 (95%CI 1.02-1.07). Compared to subjects without exercise habits, subjects who gained exercise habits exhibited a higher rate of improvement in liver dysfunction (HR 1.08; 95%CI 1.01-1.15) but not in proteinuria (HR 0.98; 95%CI 0.88-1.08). Compared to subjects with continuous alcohol intake habits, subjects who quit alcohol intake also showed a higher rate of improvement in liver dysfunction (HR 1.20; 95%CI 1.09-1.32). Conclusions: This study suggested that weight loss greater than 1 kg/m2/year improves liver dysfunction and dipstick proteinuria in obesity. Particularly, liver dysfunction can be remedied by acquiring an exercise habit and quitting alcohol intake.

Synergistic effect of proteinuria on dipstick hematuria-related decline in kidney function: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

BACKGROUND: The effect of isolated hematuria without proteinuria on kidney function decline, and the modification by the severity of proteinuria in general population are not fully elucidated. METHODS: Participants were included in the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study between 2008 and 2014. The exposure of interest was the frequency of dipstick hematuria during the observation. In each proteinuria frequency category (non-, occasional, persistent), hematuria-related decline in the eGFR rate was examined by analysis of covariance (ANCOVA). eGFR decline trajectories were also assessed using mixed-effects models. RESULTS: Among the 552,951 participants, 146,753 (26.5%) had hematuria, and 56,021 (10.1%) and 8,061 (1.5%) had occasional and persistent proteinuria, respectively. During the median follow-up of 3.0 years, annual change in eGFR decline in participants with hematuria was significantly faster than in those without hematuria (mean [95% confidence interval]: - 0.95 [- 0.98 to - 0.92] vs - 0.86 [- 0.87 to - 0.84] mL/min/1.73 m2/year; P < 0.001). In ANCOVA, the hematuria-related annual eGFR decline rate increased as proteinuria frequency categories increased (differences in annual eGFR decline rate between participants with and without hematuria: 0.08 [0.06 to 0.09] in participants with non-proteinuria category, 0.17 [0.15 to 0.18] in occasional proteinuria category, and 0.68 [0.65 to 0.71] mL/min/1.73 m2/year in persistent proteinuria category; P for interaction < 0.001). Similar results were obtained by the linear mixed-effect model. CONCLUSIONS: Proteinuria has a synergistic effect on dipstick hematuria-related decline in kidney function. Among the general population without proteinuria throughout the observational period, the "isolated hematuria"-related eGFR decline was statistically significant but the difference was small.

Trace proteinuria detected via dipstick test is associated with kidney function decline and new-onset overt proteinuria: the Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Microalbuminuria is associated with mortality, cardiovascular disease, and end-stage kidney disease. The association between trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) and kidney outcomes is unclear. METHODS: This nationwide longitudinal study used data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study conducted during 2008-2014. The frequency of trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) during first two visits was used as an exposure variable (TrUP 0/2, no trace proteinuria; TrUP 1/2, detected once; TrUP 2/2, detected twice), and kidney outcomes were evaluated. The association between the frequency of trace proteinuria and incidence of 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and overt proteinuria was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. Trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were compared using a mixed-effect model. RESULTS: Among 306,317 participants, 3188 and 17,461 developed a 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and new-onset overt proteinuria, respectively, during the median follow-up period of 36.2 months. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level in the TrUP 1/2 and TrUP 2/2 groups, compared to TrUP 0/2 group, were 1.23 (1.07-1.42) and 1.39 (1.01-1.92), respectively, and the adjusted HR (95% CI) for overt proteinuria were 2.94 (2.83-3.06) and 5.14 (4.80-5.51), respectively. The eGFR decline rates in the TrUP 1/2 and TrUP 2/2 groups were higher than that in the TrUP 0/2 group (p for interaction < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) was associated with subsequent kidney function decline and overt proteinuria in the general population.

Urate-lowering drugs for chronic kidney disease with asymptomatic hyperuricemia and hypertension: a randomized trial.

INTRODUCTION: Xanthine oxidase (XO) inhibitors may slow down chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. The comparative effectiveness of the different urate-lowering drugs is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine whether urate-lowering therapy with an XO inhibitor (febuxostat) and that with a uricosuric drug (benzbromarone) are comparable in slowing renal function decline in patients with CKD complicated with hypertension and hyperuricemia. METHODS: This study was an open-label randomized parallel-group clinical trial of 95 patients with stage G3 CKD in Japan. The patients had hypertension and hyperuricemia without a history of gout. They were randomized to receive febuxostat ( n  = 47; febuxostat group) or benzbromarone ( n  = 48; benzbromarone group) and titrated to reduce their serum urate level to <6.0 mg/dl. The primary end-point was change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from baseline to 52 weeks. The secondary end-points included changes in uric acid level, blood pressure, urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio, and XO activity. RESULTS: Of the 95 patients, 88 (92.6%) completed the trial. There were no significant differences in change in eGFR (in ml/min/1.73 m 2 ) between the febuxostat [-0.23, 95% confidence interval (CI), -2.00 to 1.55] and benzbromarone (-2.18, 95% CI, -3.84 to -0.52) groups (difference, 1.95; 95% CI, -0.48 to 4.38; P  = 0.115) nor in the secondary end-points, except for XO activity. Febuxostat significantly reduced XO activity ( P  = 0.010). There were no significant differences in primary and secondary outcomes between the groups. A decrease in eGFR was significantly less in the febuxostat group than that of the benzbromarone group in the CKDG3a, but not in CKDG3b, in the subgroup analysis. There were no adverse effects specific to either drug. CONCLUSIONS: No significant differences were found in the effects of febuxostat and benzbromarone in renal function decline in stage G3 CKD complicated with hyperuricemia and hypertension.

The effect of lifestyle on the mortality associated with respiratory diseases in the general population.

Lifestyle factors, including smoking habit, diet, and physical activity, affect the prognosis of various diseases. We elucidated the effect of lifestyle factors and health status on deaths from respiratory diseases in the general Japanese population using data from a community health examination database. Data of the nationwide screening program of the Specific Health Check-up and Guidance System (Tokutei-Kenshin), targeting the general population in Japan, from 2008 to 2010 were analyzed. The underlying causes of death were coded according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10. The hazard ratios of the incidence of mortality associated with respiratory disease were estimated using the Cox regression model. This study included 664,926 participants aged 40-74 years, who were followed up for 7 years. There were 8051 deaths, including 1263 (15.69%) deaths from respiratory diseases. The independent risk factors of mortality associated with respiratory diseases were male sex, older age, low body mass index, no exercise habit, slow walking speed, no drinking habit, smoking history, history of cerebrovascular diseases, high hemoglobin A1c and uric acid levels, low low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, and proteinuria. Aging and decline of physical activity are significant risk factors for mortality associated with respiratory diseases, regardless of the smoking status.

The Kidney Failure Risk Equation: Evaluation of Novel Input Variables including eGFR Estimated Using the CKD-EPI 2021 Equation in 59 Cohorts.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict 2- and 5-year risk of kidney failure in populations with eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . However, the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR is now recommended for use but has not been fully tested in the context of KFRE. In 59 cohorts comprising 312,424 patients with CKD, the authors assessed the predictive performance and calibration associated with the use of the CKD-EPI 2021 equation and whether additional variables and accounting for the competing risk of death improves the KFRE's performance. The KFRE generally performed well using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR in populations with eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and was not improved by adding the 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. BACKGROUND: The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict kidney failure risk in people with GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . METHODS: Using 59 cohorts with 312,424 patients with CKD, we tested several modifications to the KFRE for their potential to improve the KFRE: using the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR, substituting 1-year average ACR for single-measure ACR and 1-year average eGFR in participants with high eGFR variability, and adding 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. We also assessed calibration of the KFRE in subgroups of eGFR and age before and after accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: The KFRE remained accurate and well calibrated overall using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR equation. The other modifications did not improve KFRE performance. In subgroups of eGFR 45-59 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 and in older adults using the 5-year time horizon, the KFRE demonstrated systematic underprediction and overprediction, respectively. We developed and tested a new model with a spline term in eGFR and incorporating the competing risk of mortality, resulting in more accurate calibration in those specific subgroups but not overall. CONCLUSIONS: The original KFRE is generally accurate for eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 when using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Incorporating competing risk methodology and splines for eGFR may improve calibration in low-risk settings with longer time horizons. Including historical averages, eGFR slopes, or a competing risk design did not meaningfully alter KFRE performance in most circumstances.

Association between height loss and mortality in the general population.

Height loss is caused by osteoporosis, vertebral fractures, disc reduction, postural changes, and kyphosis. Marked long-term height loss is reportedly associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality in the elderly. The present study investigated the relationship between short-term height loss and the risk of mortality using the longitudinal cohort data of the Japan Specific Health Checkup Study (J-SHC). Included individuals were aged 40 years or older and received periodic health checkups in 2008 and 2010. The exposure of interest was height loss over the 2 years, and the outcome was all-cause mortality over subsequent follow up. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association between height loss and all-cause mortality. Of the 222,392 individuals (88,285 men, 134,107 women) included in this study, 1436 died during the observation period (mean 4.8 ± 1.1 years). The subjects were divided into two groups based on a cut-off value of height loss of 0.5 cm over 2 years. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) was 1.26 (1.13-1.41) for exposure to height loss ≥ 0.5 cm compared to height loss < 0.5 cm. Height loss ≥ 0.5 cm correlated significantly with an increased risk of mortality compared to height loss < 0.5 cm in both men and women. Even a small decrease in height over 2 years was associated with the risk of all-cause mortality and might be a helpful marker for stratifying mortality risk.

Height loss is associated with decreased kidney function: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

AIM: Height loss that occurs with aging is a common phenomenon associated with musculoskeletal abnormalities, such as osteoporosis and sarcopenia. Notably, such height loss is also associated with poor outcomes, including cardiovascular disease and mortality. In this study, we investigated the relationship between height loss and kidney outcome. METHODS: This longitudinal study includes data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study from 2008 to 2014. Height loss was estimated using the first three visits (visits 1-3), and kidney outcomes were evaluated using data from the following visits (visit 3 to the last visit). The annual height change for each participant was estimated using mixed-effects model, and participants were divided into five groups according to the quintile of the rate. The association between height change and the incidence of 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level from baseline was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. The decline rates of estimated glomerular filtration rate among the groups were compared using a mixed-effects model. RESULTS: In total, 187 682 participants were included in the analyses. The median rate of height change was -0.11 cm/year. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level in participants with the steepest category of height decline (Q1; Quintile 1) was 1.45 (1.26-1.67) compared with the reference (Q4; Quintile 4). The decline of the estimated glomerular filtration rate in Q1 (-1.25 mL/min/1.73 m2 /year) was significantly higher than that of the reference: Q4 (-0.92 mL/min/1.73 m2 /year) (P for interaction <0.001). CONCLUSION: Height loss is associated with a rapid decline in kidney function. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2023; 23: 282-288.

Alcohol Consumption and a Decline in Glomerular Filtration Rate: The Japan Specific Health Checkups Study.

Previous studies have reported conflicting results on the clinical impact of alcohol consumption on the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). This retrospective cohort study aimed to assess the dose-dependent association between alcohol consumption and the slope of the estimated GFR (eGFR) in 304,929 participants aged 40-74 years who underwent annual health checkups in Japan between April 2008 and March 2011. The association between the baseline alcohol consumption and eGFR slope during the median observational period of 1.9 years was assessed using linear mixed-effects models with the random intercept and random slope of time adjusting for clinically relevant factors. In men, rare drinkers and daily drinkers with alcohol consumptions of ≥60 g/day had a significantly larger decline in eGFR than occasional drinkers (difference in multivariable-adjusted eGFR slope with 95% confidence interval (mL/min/1.73 m2/year) of rare, occasional, and daily drinkers with ≤19, 20-39, 40-59, and ≥60 g/day: -0.33 [-0.57, -0.09], 0.00 [reference], -0.06 [-0.39, 0.26], -0.16 [-0.43, 0.12], -0.08 [-0.47, 0.30], and -0.79 [-1.40, -0.17], respectively). In women, only rare drinkers were associated with lower eGFR slopes than occasional drinkers. In conclusion, alcohol consumption was associated with the eGFR slope in an inverse U-shaped fashion in men but not in women.

Sex differences in risk factors for end-stage kidney disease and death in type 2 diabetes: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the sex differences in the risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and mortality, as well as the effect modification of sex on associated factors in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: This multicenter observational cohort study included 4328 patients with type 2 diabetes. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of sex for ESKD and death were estimated using Cox proportional regression with adjustment for baseline covariates. For assessing risk modification, HRs and incidence rates for ESKD and death were compared between sexes across patient characteristics using Cox proportional and Poisson regression models. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 7 years, 276 patients (70% men) developed ESKD, and 241 patients (68% men) died. Men had higher risks of ESKD (HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.02-1.75; p = .034) and death (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.24-2.16; p = .001) versus women after adjusting for multiple covariates. Among patients with microalbuminuria, men had a substantially higher risk of ESKD versus women, compared to those with normo- and macroalbuminuria (p for interaction .04). Incidence rates were also increased in men versus women with albuminuria of around 300 mg/g. No differences were detected in the association of sex and death across baseline patient subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: In type 2 diabetes, men had an increased risk of ESKD and death versus women. Moderately increased albuminuria was strongly associated with sex difference in developing ESKD.

Elevated Crude Mortality in Obese Chronic Kidney Disease Patients with Loss of Exercise Habit: A Cohort Study of the Japanese General Population.

Objective The relationship between obesity and risk of death in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients remains controversial. In addition, no clear evidence has been accumulated regarding whether or not exercise improves mortality in CKD patients. Methods The original cohort was based on a Japanese general population of 685,889 people from 40 to 74 years old who had undergone annual specific health checkups. The number of all-cause deaths during follow-up (mean, 4.7 years) in this study was 1,490. Information on walking and exercise habits was obtained by questionnaires. The study population was divided into 4 categories by the combination of CKD and obesity [body mass index (BMI) ≥25.0 kg/m2]. Changes in the BMI and walking and exercise habits were determined by results for the first year and following year. Results Obese CKD patients with weight gain (BMI increase by more than +1.0 kg/m2/year) showed a higher crude mortality (1.32%) than those with a stable BMI (within ±1.0 kg/m2/year; 0.69%). In the obese CKD population, mortality was higher with loss of exercise habits (0.96%) than in those continuously maintaining exercise habits (0.52%). The age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death was 2.23 in the group with weight gain compared to the group with stable weight (p<0.01) and 2.08 in the group with loss of exercise habits compared to those who maintained exercise habits (p<0.01). Conclusion This observational cohort study suggested that loss of exercise habits as well as weight gain of more than 1 kg/m2/year might worsen all-cause mortality in the obese CKD population.

Risk Factors of Preterm Birth in Okinawa Prefecture, the Southernmost Island Prefecture of Japan.

OBJECTIVES: A high rate of preterm birth has been reported in Okinawa Prefecture, the southernmost island prefecture of Japan. Hence, this study aimed to identify the risk factors for preterm birth in this prefecture. METHODS: This retrospective study included data from January 2013 to December 2019 from three facilities in Okinawa Prefecture. Of 13,468 cases of preterm birth at ≥ 22 weeks of gestation, 11,868 were included in this study. Stillbirth and multiparity cases were excluded. First, we compared the overall preterm and full-term birth groups by categorizing the patient background, obstetric, and fetal risk factors. Further, we categorized preterm births into three groups (22-27, 28-33, and 34-36 weeks of gestation) and examined patient background factors to identify potential risk factors for the occurrence of preterm birth in each group. RESULTS: Preterm births accounted for 21.2% (2,521 cases) of all cases, with the rates of 2.6% (317 cases), 6.7% (800 cases), and 11.8% (1,404 cases) at 22-27, 28-33, and 34-36 weeks of gestation, respectively. To prevent preterm birth in Okinawa Prefecture, the present study specifically focused on patient background characteristics. In the multinomial logistic regression, the risk factors for preterm birth at 22-27 weeks of gestation were previous preterm birth (P < 0.0001) and lower age (P = 0.026); at 28-33 weeks of gestation, the risk factors were previous preterm birth (P < 0.0001) and history of cervical conization (P = 0.009); and at 34-36 weeks of gestation, only previous preterm birth (P < 0.0001) was a risk factor. CONCLUSIONS FOR PRACTICE: Previous preterm birth, younger age, and history of cervical conization were risk factors for Preterm birth in Okinawa. To reduce premature births in Okinawa Prefecture, it is important to pick up women with these risk factors and provide them with appropriate guidance and education on an ongoing basis.

Long-term Weight Loss as a Predictor of Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND: Serial weight decrease can be a prognostic predictor in chronic hemodialysis (HD) patients. We investigated the impact of long-term post-HD body weight (BW) changes on all-cause mortality among HD patients. METHODS: This longitudinal cohort study and post-hoc analysis evaluated participants of a previous randomized controlled trial conducted between 2006 and 2011 who were followed up until 2018. Weight change slopes were generated with repeated measurements every 6 months during the trial for patients having ≥5 BW measurements. Participants were categorized into four groups based on quartiles of weight change slopes; the median weight changes per 6 months were -1.02 kg, -0.25 kg, +0.26 kg, and +0.86 kg for first, second, third, and fourth quartile, respectively. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to evaluate differences in subsequent survival among the four groups. BW trajectories were plotted with a backward time-scale and multilevel regression analysis to visualize the difference in BW trajectories between survivors and non-survivors. RESULTS: Among the 461 patients, 404 were evaluated, and 168 (41.6%) died within a median follow-up period of 10.2 years. The Cox proportional hazard regression adjusted for covariates and baseline BW showed that a higher rate of weight loss was associated with higher mortality. The hazard ratios were 2.02 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-3.20), 1.77 (95% CI, 1.10-2.85), 1.00 (reference), and 1.11 (95% CI, 0.67-1.83) for the first, second, third (reference), and fourth quartiles, respectively. BW trajectories revealed a significant decrease in BW in non-survivors. CONCLUSION: Weight loss elucidated via serial BW measurements every 6 months is significantly associated with higher mortality among HD patients.

Long-term effectiveness of a primary care practice facilitation program for chronic kidney disease management: an extended follow-up of a cluster-randomized FROM-J study.

BACKGROUND: Practice facilitation program by multidisciplinary care for primary care physicians (PCPs) is expected to improve chronic kidney disease (CKD) outcomes, but there is no clear evidence of its long-term effectiveness. We have previously performed a cluster-randomized controlled trial for 3.5 years (the Frontier of Renal Outcome Modifications in Japan (FROM-J) study) with two arms-group A without the program and group B with the program. We aimed to assess the long-term effectiveness of the practice facilitation program on CKD outcomes via an extended 10-year follow-up of the FROM-J study. METHODS: We enrolled patients who were in the FROM-J study. The primary composite endpoint comprised cardiovascular disease (CVD), renal replacement therapy initiation and a 50% decrease in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The secondary endpoints were survival rate, eGFR decline rate and collaboration rate between PCPs and nephrologists. RESULTS: The occurrence of the primary composite endpoint tended to be lower in group B (group A: 27.1% versus group B: 22.1%, P = 0.051). Furthermore, CVD incidence was remarkably lower in group B (group A: 10.5% versus group B: 6.4%, P = 0.001). Although both mortality and the rate of eGFR decline were identical between both groups, the eGFR decline rate was significantly better in group B than in group A only in patients with stage G3a at enrollment (group A: 2.35 ± 3.87 mL/min/1.73 m2/year versus group B: 1.68 ± 2.98 mL/min/1.73 m2/year, P = 0.02). The collaboration rate was higher in group B. CONCLUSIONS: The CKD practice facilitation program for PCPs reliably decreases CVD events and may reduce the progression of cases to end-stage kidney disease.

A Body Shape Index and Aortic Disease-Related Mortality in Japanese General Population.

AIMS: Aortic diseases (ADs), including aortic dissection, aortic aneurysm, and aortic rupture, are fatal, with extremely high mortality rates. A body shape index (ABSI), an anthropometric measure calculated as waist circumference adjusted by height and weight, improves the predictive capacity for mortality. However, whether ABSI is a risk factor for AD-related mortality in the general population remains unclear. METHODS: We used a nationwide database of 630,842 individuals (aged 40-75 years) who participated in the annual "Specific Health Check and Guidance in Japan" between 2008 and 2010. RESULTS: During the follow-up period of 3.8 years, 159 AD-related deaths occurred, including 105 aortic dissections and 54 aortic aneurysm ruptures. The subjects were divided into three groups based on ABSI tertiles. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that the 3rd tertile (with the highest ABSI) had the greatest risk among the three groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis demonstrated that ABSI was significantly associated with AD-related death after adjusting for confounding risk factors. Neither waist circumference nor body mass index consistently predicted AD-related death in the multivariate model. The prediction capacity was significantly improved by the addition of ABSI to the confounding risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated for the first time that ABSI, a surrogate marker for abdominal visceral fat tissue, was associated with AD-related deaths in the general population, suggesting the importance of central adiposity in the development of AD.

Dialysate calcium, alfacalcidol, and clinical outcomes: A post-hoc analysis of the J-DAVID trial.

The selection of dialysate calcium concentration (D-Ca) is still controversial among chronic hemodialysis (HD) regimens. We examined the trajectories of CKD MBD parameters among the J-DAVID trial participants to see the effect of D-Ca and alfacalcidol. The trial was an open-label randomized clinical trial including 976 HD patients with intact PTH of 180 pg/mL or lower which compared the users of vitamin D receptor activator (oral alfacalcidol) and non-users over a median of 4 years. The main D-Ca used at baseline were 3.0 mEq/L in 70% and 2.5 mEq/L in 25%, respectively. The primary endpoint was the composite of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events and the secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses in which D-Ca was included as a possible effect modifier and serum laboratory data as time-varying covariates showed no significant effect modification for composite cardiovascular events or all-cause mortality. This post hoc analysis showed that the effects of alfacalcidol on cardiovascular outcomes were not significantly modified by D-Ca.

Health-related behavioral changes and incidence of chronic kidney disease: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

The transtheoretical model (TTM) is a commonly used model of health-related behavioral change. However, the practical effect of using this model for chronic kidney disease (CKD) self-management remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between stages of change for lifestyle behavior and the incidence of CKD in the general Japanese population. A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 178,780 non-CKD participants aged 40-74 years who underwent annual health check-ups for two consecutive years between 2008 and 2009. Health behavior change was determined using questionnaires based on the TTM, which consists of five stages of change (precontemplation, contemplation, preparation, action, and maintenance). The exposure of interest was the change in stages between two years. Participants were categorized into 3 groups 'improved', 'unchanged', or 'deteriorated'. The association between the change in stages and the incidence of CKD was examined using logistic regression analysis. After one year of follow-up, 20.0% of participants developed CKD. Participants in the deteriorated group showed a significantly higher risk of CKD incidence than in the improved group. Promoting the stage of change for healthy lifestyle behaviors evaluated by the TTM was associated with a risk reduction for the incidence of CKD.

Prediction of mortality risk of health checkup participants using machine learning-based models: the J-SHC study.

Early detection and treatment of diseases through health checkups are effective in improving life expectancy. In this study, we compared the predictive ability for 5-year mortality between two machine learning-based models (gradient boosting decision tree [XGBoost] and neural network) and a conventional logistic regression model in 116,749 health checkup participants. We built prediction models using a training dataset consisting of 85,361 participants in 2008 and evaluated the models using a test dataset consisting of 31,388 participants from 2009 to 2014. The predictive ability was evaluated by the values of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the test dataset. The AUC values were 0.811 for XGBoost, 0.774 for neural network, and 0.772 for logistic regression models, indicating that the predictive ability of XGBoost was the highest. The importance rating of each explanatory variable was evaluated using the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values, which were similar among these models. This study showed that the machine learning-based model has a higher predictive ability than the conventional logistic regression model and may be useful for risk assessment and health guidance for health checkup participants.