Toward Better and Healthier Air Quality: Global PM2.5 and O3 Pollution Status and Risk Assessment Based on the New WHO Air Quality Guidelines for 2021.

To reduce the high burden of disease caused by air pollution, the World Health Organization (WHO) released new Air Quality Guidelines (AQG) on September 22, 2021. In this study, the daily fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and surface ozone (O3) data of 618 cities around the world is collected from 2019 to 2022. Based on the new AQG, the number of attainment days for daily average concentrations of PM2.5 (≤ 15 µg m-3) and O3 (≤ 100 µg m-3) is approximately 10% and 90%, respectively. China and India exhibit a decreasing trend in the number of highly polluted days (> 75 µg m-3) for PM. Every year over 68% and 27% of cities in the world are exposed to harmful PM2.5 (> 35 µg m-3) and O3 (> 100 µg m-3) pollution, respectively. Combined with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), it is found that more than 35% of the world's cities face PM2.5-O3 compound pollution. Furthermore, the exposure risks in these cities (China, India, etc.) are mainly categorized as "High Risk", "Risk", and "Stabilization". In contrast, economically developed cities are mainly categorized as "High Safety", "Safety", and "Deep Stabilization." These findings indicate that global implementation of the WHO's new AQG will minimize the inequitable exposure risk from air pollution.

Spatiotemporal patterns of surface ozone exposure inequality in China.

Rising surface ozone (O3) levels in China are increasingly emphasizing the potential threats to public health, ecological balance, and economic sustainability. Using a 1 km × 1 km dataset of O3 concentrations, this research employs subpopulation demographic data combined with a population-weighted quality model. Its aim is to evaluate quantitatively the differences in O3 exposure among various subpopulations within China, both at a provincial and urban cluster level. Additionally, an exposure disparity indicator was devised to establish unambiguous exposure risks among significant urban agglomerations at varying O3 concentration levels. The findings reveal that as of 2018, the population-weighted average concentration of O3 for all subgroups has experienced a significant uptick, surpassing the average O3 concentration (118 µg/m3). Notably, the middle-aged demographic exhibited the highest O3 exposure level at 135.7 µg/m3, which is significantly elevated compared to other age brackets. Concurrently, there exists a prominent positive correlation between educational attainment and O3 exposure levels, with the medium-income bracket showing the greatest susceptibility to O3 exposure risks. From an industrial vantage point, the secondary sector demographic is the most adversely impacted by O3 exposure. In terms of urban-rural structure, urban groups in all regions had higher levels of exposure to O3 than rural areas, with North and East China having the most significant levels of exposure. These findings not only emphasize the intricate interplay between public health and environmental justice but further highlight the indispensability of segmented subgroup strategies in environmental health risk assessment. Moreover, this research furnishes invaluable scientific groundwork for crafting targeted public health interventions and sustainable air quality management policies.

Spatial-temporal evolution patterns and drivers of PM2.5 chemical fraction concentrations in China over the past 20 years.

The quantitative assessment of the spatial and temporal variability and drivers of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) fraction concentrations are important for pollution control and public health preservation in China. In this study, we investigated the spatial temporal variation of PM2.5 chemical component based on the PM2.5 chemical component datasets from 2000 to 2019 and revealed the driving forces of the differences in the spatial distribution using geodetector model (GD), multi-scale geographically weighted regression model (MGWR), and a two-step clustering approach. The results show that: the PM2.5 chemical fraction concentrations show a trend of first increasing (2000-2007) and then decreasing (2007-2019). From 2000 to 2019, the change rates of PM2.5, organic matter (OM), black carbon (BC), sulfates (SO2- 4), ammonium (NH+ 4), and nitrates (NO- 3) were -0.59, -0.23, -0.07, -0.15, -0.02, and 0.04µg/m3/yr in the entirety of China. The secondary aerosol (i.e., SO2- 4, NO- 3, and NH+ 4; SNA) had the highest fraction in PM2.5 concentrations (55.6-68.1% in different provinces), followed by OM and BC. Spatially, North, Central, and East China are the regions with the highest PM2.5 chemical component concentrations in China; meanwhile, they are also the regions with the most significant decrease in PM2.5 chemical fraction concentrations. The GD and MGWR model shows that among all variables, the number of enterprises, disposable income, private car ownership, and the share of secondary industry non-linearly enhance the differences in the spatial distribution of PM2.5 component concentrations. Electricity consumption has the strongest influence on NH+ 4 emissions in Northwest China and BC and OM emissions in Northeast China.

Black carbon pollution in China from 2001 to 2019: Patterns, trends, and drivers.

Based on a near real-time 10 km × 10 km resolution black carbon (BC) concentration dataset, this study investigated the spatial patterns, trend variations, and drivers of BC concentrations in China from 2001 to 2019 with spatial analysis, trend analysis, hotspot clustering, and multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR). The results indicate that Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the Chengdu-Chongqing agglomeration, Pearl River Delta, and East China Plain were the hotspot centers of BC concentration in China. From 2001 to 2019, the average rate of decline in BC concentrations across China was 0.36 µg/m3/year (p < 0.001), with BC concentrations peaking around 2006 and sustaining a decline for the next decade or so. The rate of BC decline was higher in Central, North, and East China than in other regions. The MGWR model revealed the spatial heterogeneity of the influences of different drivers. A number of enterprises had significant effects on BC in East, North, and Southwest China; coal production had strong effects on BC in Southwest and East China; electricity consumption had better effects on BC in Northeast, Northwest, and East China than in other regions; the ratio of secondary industries had the greatest effects on BC in North and Southwest China; and CO2 emissions had the strongest effects on BC in East and North China. Meanwhile, the reduction of BC emissions from the industrial sector was the dominant factor in the decrease of BC concentration in China. These findings provide references and policy prescriptions for how cities in different regions can reduce BC emissions.

Modeling the effects of elevation and precipitation on Rice (Oryza sativa L.) production considering multiple planting methods and cultivars in Central China.

In this study, we investigated the effects of elevation and precipitation on rice (Oryza sativa L.) production using the Crop Environment Resource Synthesis (CERES)-Rice model in Hubei province, China. We divided our study area into four zones based on elevation and precipitation. For each zone, our simulations were conducted using three planting methods: dry direct-seeded rice (DDSR), wet direct-seeded rice (WDSR), and transplanted-flooded rice (TFR), with three rice cultivars of different growth duration: Yangliangyou6 (long-duration), Huanghuazhan (mid-duration), and Lvhan1 (short-duration). Additionally, the optimal irrigation strategy for WDSR was determined with the CERES-Rice model. Our results indicated that the yields of WDSR with the optimal irrigation strategy were comparable with those of TFR in low-elevation regions but were less than the TFR yields in high-elevation areas. Furthermore, the rice yields increased at first and then decreased with increasing elevation, which was affected by growing period length and photosynthesis rate. Compared with the other two cultivars, the short-duration cultivar may be more suitable for growing in high-elevation regions. In addition, high precipitation could facilitate the cultivation of the long-duration cultivar in low-elevation regions, as it gives DDSR a yield potential comparable to that of WDSR for the short-duration cultivar in high-elevation regions. This study could help farmers choose optimal field management practices based on elevation and precipitation, ensuring sustainable and improved rice production.

Domino effect of a natural cascade alpine lake system on the Third Pole.

Third Pole natural cascade alpine lakes (NCALs) are exceptionally sensitive to climate change, yet the underlying cryosphere-hydrological processes and associated societal impacts are largely unknown. Here, with a state-of-the-art cryosphere-hydrology-lake-dam model, we quantified the notable high-mountain Hoh-Xil NCALs basin (including Lakes Zonag, Kusai, Hedin Noel, and Yanhu, from upstream to downstream) formed by the Lake Zonag outburst in September 2011. We demonstrate that long-term increased precipitation and accelerated ice and snow melting as well as short-term heavy precipitation and earthquake events were responsible for the Lake Zonag outburst; while the permafrost degradation only had a marginal impact on the lake inflows but was crucial to lakeshore stability. The quadrupling of the Lake Yanhu area since 2012 was due to the tripling of inflows (from 0.25 to 0.76 km3/year for 1999 to 2010 and 2012 to 2018, respectively). Prediction of the NCALs changes suggests a high risk of the downstream Qinghai-Tibet Railway, necessitating timely adaptions/mitigations.

Evaluating and improving simulations of diurnal variation in land surface temperature with the Community Land Model for the Tibetan Plateau.

This study evaluated and improved the ability of the Community Land Model version 5.0 (CLM5.0) in simulating the diurnal land surface temperature (LST) cycle for the whole Tibetan Plateau (TP) by comparing it with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer satellite observations. During daytime, the model underestimated the LST on sparsely vegetated areas in summer, whereas cold biases occurred over the whole TP in winter. The lower simulated daytime LST resulted from weaker heat transfer resistances and greater soil thermal conductivity in the model, which generated a stronger heat flux transferred to the deep soil. During nighttime, CLM5.0 overestimated LST for the whole TP in both two seasons. These warm biases were mainly due to the greater soil thermal inertia, which is also related to greater soil thermal conductivity and wetter surface soil layer in the model. We employed the sensible heat roughness length scheme from Zeng, Wang & Wang (2012), the recommended soil thermal conductivity scheme from Dai et al. (2019), and the modified soil evaporation resistance parameterization, which was appropriate for the TP soil texture, to improve simulated daytime and nighttime LST, evapotranspiration, and surface (0-10 cm) soil moisture. In addition, the model produced lower daytime LST in winter because of overestimation of the snow cover fraction and an inaccurate atmospheric forcing dataset in the northwestern TP. In summary, this study reveals the reasons for biases when simulating LST variation, improves the simulations of turbulent fluxes and LST, and further shows that satellite-based observations can help enhance the land surface model parameterization and unobservable land surface processes on the TP.

Effects of temperature frequency trends on projected japonica rice (Oryza sativa L.) yield and dry matter distribution with elevated carbon dioxide.

In this study, we investigated the effects of temperature frequency trends on the projected yield and dry matter distribution of japonica rice (Oryza sativa L.) with elevated carbon dioxide (CO2) under future climate change scenarios in northwestern China. The Crop Environment Resource Synthesis (CERES)-Rice model was forced with the outputs from three general circulation models (GCMs) to project the rice growth and yield. Future temperature trends had the most significant impact on rice growth, and the frequency of higher than optimal temperatures (∼24-28 oC) for rice growth showed a marked increase in the future, which greatly restricted photosynthesis. The frequency of extreme temperatures (>35 oC) also increased, exerting a strong impact on rice fertilization and producing a significantly reduced yield. Although the increased temperature suppressed photosynthetic production, the elevated CO2 stimulated this production; therefore, the net result was determined by the dominant process. The aboveground biomass at harvest trended downward when temperature became the major factor in photosynthetic production and trended upward when CO2-fertilization dominated the process. The trends for the leaf and stem dry matter at harvest were affected not only by changes in photosynthesis but also by the dry matter distribution to the panicles. The trends for the rice panicle dry matter at harvest were closely related to the effects of temperature and CO2 on photosynthetic production, and extreme temperatures also remarkably affected these trends by reducing the number of fertilized spikelets. The trends of rice yield were very similar to those of panicle dry matter because the panicle dry matter is mostly composed of grain weight (yield). This study provides a better understanding of the japonica rice processes, particularly under extreme climate scenarios, which will likely become more frequent in the future.